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UK Trading &

Value
Indicator

05 April 2012

Intellisys

www.intellisys.uk.com

05 April 2012

Contents
Market Pictures - Indices ......................................................................... 5
FTSE 100 ................................................................................................ 5
FTSE 250 ................................................................................................ 6
FTSE All Share Index ................................................................................ 7
FTSE AIM All Share .................................................................................. 8
Market Pictures Interest Rates ............................................................ 10
UK Bank Lending Rates ........................................................................... 10
Eurozone Lending Rates.......................................................................... 11
US Federal Funds Rate ........................................................................... 12
Market Pictures Exchange Rates ......................................................... 13
Market Pictures - Oil............................................................................... 15
Over Valued 16
Aerospace & Defence
.............................................
Automobiles & Parts
Banks

.............................................................

Beverages

........................................................

Chemicals

........................................................

Construction & Building Materials

..............................

Electronics & Electrical Equipment

.............................

Engineering & Machinery

Over Valued 18
Over Valued 18

.....................................................

Under Valued 18
Under Valued 18

..............................................................
....................................

Information Technology & Hardware


Insurance

Over Valued 19
Over Valued 19

..........................

........................................................

Leisure & Hotels

..................................................

Life Assurance

..................................................

Media & Entertainment

Under Valued 19
Over Valued 19
Over Valued 20
Under Valued 20

..........................................

..............................................................

Oil & Gas

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Software & Computer Services
Speciality & Other Finance
Support Services

Under Valued 20
Over Valued 20

...........................................................

Personal Care & Household Products

..........................

Under Valued 21
Under Valued 21

..............................
.................................

Over Valued 21
Under Valued 22

......................................

..................................................

Telecommunication Services
Transport

Over Valued 17
Under Valued 18

...................................

Household Goods & Textiles

Mining

Over Valued 17
Over Valued 17

...............................................

Food Producers & Processors


General Retail

Over Valued 16
Under Valued 16

........................................

Food & Drug Stores

Health

Over Valued 16
Under Valued 16

..............................................

Under Valued 22
Under Valued 23

....................................

........................................................

Under Valued 23
Utilities
.............................................................
DISCLAIMER ............................................................................................. 24

Page 2 of 25

Intellisys 05 April 2012

Intellisys

www.intellisys.uk.com

05 April 2012

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide
that will identify those shares that merit their investment attention in an
increasingly time critical and information noisy trading environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box,
typically, before the official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an
investment are the two primary drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key
factors that influence investment timing. Having identified the key parameters,
these have been established as rules that reflect market dynamics and cut
through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental
factors as well as the daily pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters
(analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage,
the trading indicators appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in
identifying good trading points as well as some 74% accurate for overall trend
correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40
stocks analysed.

Individual Stock Recommendation & Trend Accuracy Scores


120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

Page 3 of 25

Intellisys 05 April 2012

Intellisys

www.intellisys.uk.com

05 April 2012

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Prices.
On a daily basis, Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not
only the Profit & Loss Account but also the Balance Sheet and Cash flow
Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his
investment research for the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment
valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate cross-border analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the
Target as realistically valid as possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Price delivery is not only a
function of market levels but a management teams ability to establish and
maintain a value generating operating environment set against a constantly
changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start
with a modest range of some 6 10 valuation measures and remove those that
are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis approach is the opposite we use
as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target prices may appear strange or
extreme. However, subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them
as starting points to challenge their established or perceived valuation opinion of
a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist
investors from falling in love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by
management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and
investment systems active position monitoring is critical for maximised
investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction
with, and not separate from subscribers existing investment systems as well as
discussing investment options with their financial advisers.

Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Recommendations and Target Prices


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this
publication is provided solely to enable you to make your own investment
decisions.
If you are unsure about dealing in shares and other equity investments, you
should contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may not be
suitable for everyone.
The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise
and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated
in a foreign currency, fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value
of stocks and shares and the income from them. Past performance is not
necessarily a guide to future performance.

Page 4 of 25

Intellisys 05 April 2012

Intellisys

www.intellisys.uk.com

05 April 2012

Market Pictures - Indices


FTSE 100
PE

Index
FTSE 100

FTSE 100 PE

6,732.4

5Y Hi

5Y Hi

18.2
18.2

3Y Hi

6,091.3

3Y Hi

1Y Hi

6,082.9

1Y Hi

Last Close

5,703.8

1Y Lo

Last Close

4,944.4

3Y Lo

3,925.5

5Y Lo

14.1
9.6

1Y Lo

7.9

3Y Lo

7.9

5Y Lo

3,512.1

2000

4000

6000

7.0
5

8000

% change
1M

-3.5; 3M

10

15

20

% change

0.6; 12M

-5.2

1M

-4.0; 3M

Yield

-6.0; 12M

-31.0

RSI

FTSE 100 DY

FTSE 100 RSI

5Y Hi

6.2
74.8

Hi
3Y Hi

5.2

1Y Hi

3.9

Last Close

3.6

1Y Lo

Last Close

35.1

3.0

3Y Lo

2.9
Lo

25.5

2.9

5Y Lo
1.0

3.0

5.0

7.0

20

40

60

80

% change
1M

5.2; 3M

Page 5 of 25

2.8; 12M

21.0

Intellisys 05 April 2012

Intellisys

www.intellisys.uk.com

05 April 2012

Market Pictures - Indices


FTSE 250
PE

Index
FTSE 250

FTSE 250 PE

5Y Hi

12,220.2

5Y Hi

27.8

3Y Hi

12,167.8

3Y Hi

27.8

1Y Hi

12,167.8

1Y Hi

Last Close

Last Close

11,352.5

1Y Lo

3Y Lo 7.1

6,718.4

5Y Lo

5Y Lo 7.1

5,491.5

500

18.5

1Y Lo 7.1

9,425.9

3Y Lo

19.5

5500

10500

15500

% change
1M

-1.6; 3M

10

15

20

25

30

% change

10.5; 12M

-3.5

1M

6.6; 3M

Yield

18.9; 12M

6.5

RSI
FTSE 250 RSI

FTSE 250 DY

5Y Hi

5.7

Hi
3Y Hi

83.4

4.0

1Y Hi

3.3

Last Close

Last Close

2.8

1Y Lo

39.2

2.3

3Y Lo

2.2

Lo
5Y Lo

25.6

1.9
1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

20

40

60

80

100

% change
1M

2.9; 3M

Page 6 of 25

-7.8; 12M

19.5

Intellisys 05 April 2012

Intellisys

www.intellisys.uk.com

05 April 2012

Market Pictures - Indices


FTSE All Share Index
PE

Index
FTSE ALL SHARE

5Y Hi

FTSE ALL SHARE PE

3,479.0

5Y Hi

19.5
19.5

3Y Hi

3,160.9

3Y Hi

1Y Hi

3,160.9

1Y Hi

Last Close

Last Close

2,967.0

1Y Lo

2,557.8

3Y Lo

1,998.7

5Y Lo

10.4

1Y Lo

8.5

3Y Lo

8.5

5Y Lo 7.4

1,781.6

500

14.6

1500

2500

3500

4500

% change
1M

-3.2; 3M

10

15

20

25

% change

2.1; 12M

-5.0

1M

-3.1; 3M

Yield

-3.3; 12M

-27.8

RSI
FTSE ALL SHARE RSI

FTSE ALL SHARE DY

5Y Hi

6.1

Hi
3Y Hi

74.8

5.1

1Y Hi

3.8

Last Close

Last Close

3.5

1Y Lo

35.6

2.9

3Y Lo

2.8

Lo
5Y Lo

25.4

2.7
1.0

3.0

5.0

7.0

20

40

60

80

% change
1M

4.8; 3M

Page 7 of 25

1.2; 12M

20.3

Intellisys 05 April 2012

Intellisys

www.intellisys.uk.com

05 April 2012

Market Pictures - Indices


FTSE AIM All Share
PE

Index
FTSE AIM ALL-SHARE

5Y Hi

FTSE AIM ALL-SHARE PE

1,236.6

3Y Hi

5Y1,439.5
Hi

968.3

1Y Hi

3Y1,240.8
Hi

921.6

Last Close

1Y304.6
Hi

780.7

1Y Lo

-242.3
Last Close

657.8

1Y Lo

-203,906.0

3Y Lo 421.7

3Y Lo

-203,906.0

5Y Lo373.8

5Y Lo

-203,906.0

200

700

1200

1700

-250000

-200000

% change
1M

-5.8; 3M

-150000

-100000

-50000

50000

% change

11.0; 12M

-14.0

1M -179.5; 3M -347.2; 12M -59.9

Yield

RSI

FTSE AIM ALL-SHARE DY

FTSE AIM ALL-SHARE RSI

5Y Hi

2.1
Hi

3Y Hi

91.9

1.9

1Y Hi

0.8

Last Close

0.7

1Y Lo

Last Close

35.7

0.6

3Y Lo

0.5
Lo

23.6

5Y Lo 0.4
0.2

0.7

1.2

1.7

2.2

50

100

% change
1M

11.3; 3M

Page 8 of 25

-4.2; 12M

15.0

Intellisys 05 April 2012

Intellisys

www.intellisys.uk.com

05 April 2012

Market Pictures - Indices


S&P 500
PE

Index
S&P 500 COMPOSITE

5Y Hi

S&P 500 COMPOSITE PE

1,565.2

5Y Hi

146.3
146.3

3Y Hi

1,419.0

3Y Hi

1Y Hi

1,419.0

1Y 17.5
Hi

Last Close

1,399.0

Last Close
16.3

1Y Lo
3Y Lo
5Y Lo

1Y13.4
Lo

1,099.2

3Y13.4
Lo

815.6

5Y13.4
Lo

676.5

400

900

1400

10

1900

% change
1M

2.1; 3M

60

110

160

% change

9.5; 12M

5.0

1M

3.6; 3M

Yield

10.7; 12M

-5.6

RSI
S&P 500 COMPOSITE RSI

S&P 500 COMPOSITE DY

5Y Hi

3.4
Hi

3Y Hi

81.6

2.7

1Y Hi

2.4

Last Close

2.1

1Y Lo

Last Close

50.3

1.9

3Y Lo

1.8
Lo

5Y Lo

30.0

1.8
0.5

1.5

2.5

3.5

4.5

20

40

60

80

100

% change
1M

-1.9; 3M

Page 9 of 25

-5.9; 12M

7.9

Intellisys 05 April 2012

Intellisys

www.intellisys.uk.com

05 April 2012

Market Pictures Interest Rates


UK Bank Lending Rates
UK

UK CLEARING BANKS BASE RATE


5Y Hi

5.75

3Y Hi 0.50
1Y Hi 0.50
Last Close 0.50
1Y Lo 0.50
3Y Lo 0.50
5Y Lo 0.50
0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

% change
1M

0.0; 3M

0.0; 12M

0.0

UK Lending PE

UK CLEARING BANKS BASE RATE PE


5Y Lo
17.4
3Y Lo

200.0

1Y Lo

200.0

Last Close

200.0

1Y Hi

200.0

3Y Hi

200.0

5Y Hi

200.0
10

Page 10 of 25

60

110

160

210

Intellisys 05 April 2012

Intellisys

www.intellisys.uk.com

05 April 2012

Market Pictures Interest Rates


Eurozone Lending Rates
Eurozone

EUROZONE MARGINAL LENDING RATE


5Y Hi

5.25

3Y Hi

2.50

1Y Hi

2.25

Last Close

1.75

1Y Lo

1.75

3Y Lo

1.75

5Y Lo

1.75

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

% change
1M

0.0; 3M

0.0; 12M

0.0

Eurozone Lending PE

EUROZONE MARGINAL LENDING RATE - PE


5Y Lo

19.0

3Y Lo

40.0

1Y Lo

44.4

Last Close

57.1

1Y Hi

57.1

3Y Hi

57.1

5Y Hi

57.1
10

Page 11 of 25

20

30

40

50

60

Intellisys 05 April 2012

Intellisys

www.intellisys.uk.com

05 April 2012

Market Pictures Interest Rates


US Federal Funds Rate
US

US FEDERAL FUNDS RATE


5Y Hi

5.41

3Y Hi0.25
1Y 0.17
Hi
Last Close
0.15
1Y0.04
Lo
3Y0.04
Lo
5Y0.04
Lo
0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

2510

3010

% change
1M

36.4; 3M

114.3; 12M

66.7

US Lending PE

US FEDERAL FUNDS RATE - PE


5Y18.5
Lo
3Y Lo

400.0

1Y Lo

588.2

Last Close

666.7

1Y Hi

2,500.0

3Y Hi

2,500.0

5Y Hi

2,500.0
10

Page 12 of 25

510

1010

1510

2010

Intellisys 05 April 2012

Intellisys

www.intellisys.uk.com

05 April 2012

Market Pictures Exchange Rates


US$/

US$/
5Y Hi

2.11

3Y Hi

1.70

1Y Hi

1.67

Last Close

1.59

1Y Lo

1.53

3Y Lo

1.43

5Y Lo

1.37

1.00

1.20

1.40

1.60

1.80

2.00

2.20

1.50

1.60

% change
1M

0.1; 3M

1.7; 12M

-1.7

EURO/
5Y Hi

1.50

3Y Hi

1.24

1Y Hi

1.21

Last Close

1.21

1Y Lo
3Y Lo

1.11
1.07

5Y Lo
1.02
1.00

1.10

1.20

1.30

1.40

% change
1M

Page 13 of 25

0.8; 3M

0.1; 12M

6.7

Intellisys 05 April 2012

Intellisys

www.intellisys.uk.com

05 April 2012

Market Pictures Exchange Rates


US$/

US$/EURO
5Y Hi

1.60

3Y Hi

1.51

1Y Hi

1.48

Last Close

1.31

1Y Lo

1.27

3Y Lo

1.19

5Y Lo

1.19

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

1.60

1.80

% change
1M

-0.5; 3M

1.5; 12M

-7.6

YEN/
5Y Hi

250.1

3Y Hi
1Y Hi
Last Close

162.5
139.4
130.9

1Y Lo 117.1
3Y Lo 117.1
5Y Lo 117.1
100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

% change
1M

Page 14 of 25

1.2; 3M

9.3; 12M

-3.3

Intellisys 05 April 2012

Intellisys

www.intellisys.uk.com

05 April 2012

Market Pictures - Oil


Brent Monthly FOB US$/bbl

Oil (Brent) Monthly FOB U$/bbl


5Y Hi

145.6

3Y Hi

126.6

1Y Hi

126.6

Last Close

123.1

1Y Lo

104.0

3Y Lo

48.3

5Y Lo

34.6
0

50

100

150

200

% change
1M

-1.12; 3M

8.04; 12M

2.52

RISK WARNING Recommendations and Target Prices


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this
publication is provided solely to enable you to make your own investment
decisions.
If you are unsure about dealing in shares and other equity investments, you
should contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may not be
suitable for everyone.
The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise
and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated
in a foreign currency, fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value
of stocks and shares and the income from them. Past performance is not
necessarily a guide to future performance.

Page 15 of 25

Intellisys 05 April 2012

Intellisys

www.intellisys.uk.com

05 April 2012

Over Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock
BAE SYSTEMS
C HEMRING GROUP
C OBHAM
MEGGITT
ROLLS-ROYC E HOLDINGS
SMITHS GROUP
ULTRA ELEC TRONIC S HDG.
UMEC O

Price 12M Lo
295.40 248.10
387.90 368.80
227.00 165.90
398.50 305.00
811.00 552.19
1013.00 869.50
1731.00 1305.00
380.00 243.50

12M Hi
340.80
707.00
235.50
412.00
842.50
1340.00
1780.00
499.88

ST Rec
LT Rec
Neutral Strong Buy
Neutral Strong Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Sell

Price 12M Lo
198.90 157.00
361.50 268.60
61.75
47.00
13.50
6.80

12M Hi
245.00
425.40
72.75
19.71

ST Rec
LT Rec
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral Strong Buy

Price 12M Lo
218.50 138.85
556.80 463.50
31.88
21.84
26.10
17.34
1536.00 1169.50

12M Hi
308.85
667.20
62.36
44.43
1690.00

ST Rec
LT Rec
Neutral Strong Buy
Neutral Strong Buy
Sell Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Sell

Price
1135.00
1516.50
2535.00

12M Lo
1031.00
1112.00
1979.00

12M Hi
1395.00
1553.00
2660.00

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Page 16 of 25

Target
408
1064
86
10
758

Beta
1.86
1.14
1.77
1.29
1.71

LT Rec
Neutral
Sell
Buy

Target
1206
1337
2905

Beta
0.43
0.55
0.99

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock
C RODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS
JOHNSON MATTHEY
VIC TREX
YULE C ATTO
ZOTEFOAMS

Beta
1.98
1.42
1.34
1.14

Over Valued

Beverages
Stock
BARR (AG)
DIAGEO
SABMILLER

Target
157
302
62
21

Under Valued

Banks
Stock
BARC LAYS
HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)
LLOYDS BANKING GROUP
ROYAL BANK OF SC TL.GP.
STANDARD C HARTERED

Beta
0.65
0.52
0.91
1.34
1.10
0.73
0.60
0.80

Over Valued

Automobiles & Parts


Stock
GKN
INC HC APE
LOOKERS
PENDRAGON

Target
602
585
240
347
671
1050
1281
339

Price
2073.00
182.80
2324.00
1366.00
240.60
186.50

12M Lo
1597.00
107.50
1523.00
1025.00
148.00
109.00

12M Hi
2238.00
196.10
2408.00
1590.00
253.00
186.50

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell

LT Rec
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Buy

Target
1697
177
2442
1392
346
236

Intellisys 05 April 2012

Beta
1.08
1.07
1.47
1.22
1.29
1.01

Intellisys

www.intellisys.uk.com

05 April 2012

Over Valued

Construction & Building Materials


Stock
BALFOUR BEATTY
BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS
BELLWAY
BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)
BOVIS HOMES GROUP
C ARILLION
C LARKE (T)
C OSTAIN GROUP
GALLIFORD TRY
KELLER
KIER GROUP
LOW & BONAR
MARSHALLS
MORGAN SINDALL GROUP
PERSIMMON
REDROW
SIG
TAYLOR WIMPEY
TRAVIS PERKINS
WOLSELEY

Price
278.80
132.60
797.50
1323.00
470.20
288.60
46.00
232.00
605.00
446.00
1108.00
59.50
95.50
665.50
618.50
125.50
114.10
48.89
1070.00
2322.00

12M Lo
214.60
67.50
540.50
1019.00
326.50
281.00
35.50
180.00
383.75
239.25
1097.00
38.00
83.25
510.00
374.00
103.50
76.95
28.71
715.00
1404.00

12M Hi
335.30
151.50
859.50
1414.00
518.50
403.20
104.00
249.00
628.00
671.50
1489.00
76.75
124.50
725.00
706.50
135.30
153.50
52.75
1125.00
2558.00

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Price 12M Lo
925.00 643.50
558.50 434.30
119.50
86.75
196.80 180.90
212.60 127.90
1158.00 714.00
1330.00 800.00
1775.00 1039.00
0.17
0.14
164.50 120.50
220.00 212.00

12M Hi
930.00
701.50
146.50
344.00
219.00
1262.00
1886.00
1837.00
0.28
208.00
295.00

ST Rec
LT Rec
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Buy
Neutral Strong Buy
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Sell
Neutral Strong Buy
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Sell

Page 17 of 25

Beta
0.84
1.45
1.01
0.68
1.07
1.09
0.80
0.56
1.05
1.32
1.04
1.11
1.35
0.89
1.10
0.97
1.59
1.50
1.89
1.44

Target
430
669
148
368
183
780
1862
1146
0
228
119

Beta
0.76
1.18
1.35
1.47
2.17
0.99
1.29
1.43
0.64
1.60
1.13

Over Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock
AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP
BODYC OTE
C ASTINGS
C OOKSON GROUP
FENNER
HALMA
HILL & SMITH
IMI
METALRAX GROUP
MORGAN C RUC IBLE
ROTORK
SENIOR
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN
SPIRAX-SARC O
VITEC GROUP
WEIR GROUP

Target
301
66
681
1329
207
364
201
796
560
407
3218
148
67
1454
634
87
11
13
1087
1764

Over Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock
DIALIGHT
DOMINO PRINTING SC IENC ES
E2V TEC HNOLOGIES
INVENSYS
LAIRD
OXFORD INSTRUMENTS
RENISHAW
SPEC TRIS
BIOME TEC HNOLOGIES
TT ELEC TRONIC S
XAAR

LT Rec
Neutral
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Sell
Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Neutral
Sell
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Sell

Price
86.00
373.50
295.00
689.50
425.00
383.30
333.00
957.50
8.37
317.00
2052.00
194.30
173.25
2126.00
681.50
1705.00

12M Lo
62.50
225.60
252.50
395.80
280.00
306.30
235.00
636.50
7.25
224.00
1501.00
135.60
150.00
1649.00
488.00
1375.00

12M Hi
126.75
426.50
358.00
732.50
483.70
429.60
393.50
1119.00
12.00
360.00
2099.00
203.00
257.50
2184.00
690.00
2236.00

ST Rec
LT Rec
Neutral Strong Buy
Neutral
Sell
Neutral Strong Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral Strong Buy
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell

Target
262
313
464
679
412
330
524
1239
5
304
1615
214
150
2031
660
1427

Intellisys 05 April 2012

Beta
1.32
1.59
0.98
2.29
1.41
0.76
1.41
1.40
0.86
1.77
0.99
1.77
1.07
0.85
1.52
1.39

Intellisys

www.intellisys.uk.com

05 April 2012

Under Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock
GREGGS
MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.
SAINSBURY (J)
TESC O
THORNTONS

Price 12M Lo
517.50 445.00
294.50 277.00
302.70 263.50
325.95 310.45
30.50
9.50

12M Hi
558.00
328.00
362.80
420.05
82.00

ST Rec
LT Rec
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Buy
Neutral Strong Buy
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell

Price 12M Lo
1209.00 977.00
807.00 588.50
328.60 311.00
313.90 232.00
16.25
3.29
704.50 544.50
2068.00 1885.00

12M Hi
1233.00
841.00
409.70
332.20
35.12
720.50
2189.00

ST Rec
LT Rec
Neutral
Sell
Neutral Strong Buy
Neutral Strong Buy
Neutral Strong Buy
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Sell

Price 12M Lo
22.25
16.00
230.40 227.00
1527.00 1092.00
648.00 375.00
9.38
7.50
18.50
9.36
3.43
2.20
44.75
36.00
315.40 269.50
16.25
5.20
785.00 570.00
63.55
60.20
301.30 217.00
370.00 301.80
47.50
25.50
156.00 127.30
2937.00 2031.00
812.00 633.00
38.00
21.50

12M Hi
23.75
304.50
1600.00
741.00
21.25
19.91
8.70
106.00
405.90
31.00
1030.00
151.40
313.80
402.20
48.25
448.50
3060.00
830.00
77.00

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Price 12M Lo
639.25 498.00
39.50
36.50
620.50 521.00

12M Hi
639.25
59.00
715.00

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Page 18 of 25

LT Rec
Buy
Neutral
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Neutral
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
29
251
528
202
10
28
3
99
408
1177
1186
286
284
386
22
360
2116
467
22

Beta
0.71
0.49
1.36
1.03
0.65
1.45
0.97
0.93
0.64
0.88
0.48
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.07
0.56
0.78
0.56
1.33

LT Rec
Sell
Buy
Buy

Target
422
49
772

Beta
0.39
0.76
0.36

Under Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock
HARVARD INTL.
GAMES WORKSHOP
HEADLAM GROUP
HORNBY

Beta
0.60
0.60
0.93
0.33
1.40
0.63
0.58

Under Valued

Health
Stock
C ONSORT MEDIC AL
C ORIN GROUP
SMITH & NEPHEW

Target
1020
1522
732
667
-30
824
1004

Over Valued

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
C ARPETRIGHT
C LINTON C ARDS
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENC H C ONNEC TN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS
JD SPORTS FASHION
KESA ELEC TRIC ALS
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENC ER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERC ARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Beta
0.52
0.45
0.64
0.73
0.77

Over Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock
ASSOC IATED BRIT.FOODS
C RANSWIC K
DAIRY C REST
DEVRO
PREMIER FOODS
TATE & LYLE
UNILEVER (UK)

Target
295
369
569
423
28

Price 12M Lo
42.13
21.75
570.00 370.00
295.00 233.25
93.50
93.00

12M Hi
42.13
577.50
310.00
145.00

ST Rec
LT
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral Strong

Rec
Sell
Sell
Buy
Buy

Target
31
470
352
146

Intellisys 05 April 2012

Beta
0.48
0.38
0.93
0.65

Intellisys

www.intellisys.uk.com

05 April 2012

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock
ARM HOLDINGS
C SR
FILTRONIC
IMAGINATION TEC HNOLOGIES
PSION
SPIRENT C OMMUNIC ATIONS
WOLFSON MIC ROELEC TRONIC S

Price 12M Lo
592.50 464.00
221.70 154.10
31.00
14.50
681.50 296.90
60.00
41.00
156.80 105.80
181.00
96.00

12M Hi
645.00
391.40
35.00
717.00
102.75
162.20
260.00

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Price 12M Lo
1189.00 787.00
315.90 270.60
140.10 109.60
417.30 336.00
396.10 340.50
690.00 576.00
103.50
99.60
368.00 285.00

12M Hi
1754.00
427.00
151.80
449.00
424.70
764.50
139.80
385.25

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Price 12M Lo
1925.00 1742.00
57.75
26.50
189.30 136.70
710.50 600.00
507.50 410.00
161.30 114.00
1425.00 955.00
473.70 371.20
260.70 215.60
155.50 100.60
10.75
9.14
127.20 109.50
291.80 254.90
406.00 380.50
1845.00 1409.00
263.50 179.30
97.50
84.60

12M Hi
2642.00
96.15
250.00
752.00
523.50
165.00
1497.00
540.00
336.80
197.90
15.70
153.70
335.00
468.30
1870.00
265.00
112.00

Page 19 of 25

LT Rec
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy

ST Rec
LT Rec
Neutral Strong Buy
Neutral
Sell
Neutral Strong Buy
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral Strong Buy

Target
-8431
7154
2329
84
6455
4461
2753
6192

Beta
0.51
0.49
0.51
0.31
0.50
0.32
0.43
0.50

Target
3101
26
672
563
551
161
1653
420
332
116
-201
176
305
574
1554
265
151

Beta
1.08
1.73
0.95
0.44
0.86
1.00
1.31
1.41
1.02
1.26
1.30
0.99
0.85
0.72
1.02
0.94
1.26

Over Valued

Life Assurance
Stock
AVIVA
C HESNARA
LEGAL & GENERAL
OLD MUTUAL
PRUDENTIAL
ST.JAMES'S PLAC E

Beta
0.76
1.20
0.66
0.96
1.16
1.01
1.06

Under Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock
C ARNIVAL
ENTERPRISE INNS
TUI TRAVEL
FULLER SMITH 'A'
GREENE KING
LADBROKES
IC TL.HTLS.GP.
MILLENNIUM & C PTH.HTLS.
MITC HELLS & BUTLERS
BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.
PUNC H TAVERNS
RANK GROUP
RESTAURANT GROUP
WETHERSPOON (JD)
WHITBREAD
WILLIAM HILL
MARSTON'S

Target
408
605
58
262
344
382
80

Over Valued

Insurance
Stock
ADMIRAL GROUP
AMLIN
BEAZLEY
C ATLIN GROUP
HISC OX
JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON
RSA INSURANC E GROUP
NOVAE GROUP

LT Rec
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell

Price 12M Lo
317.00 275.30
190.00 161.75
128.50
89.80
156.00
98.05
740.00 509.00
346.80 294.00

12M Hi
452.70
260.00
135.00
164.60
797.50
376.00

ST Rec
LT Rec
Neutral Strong Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Sell
Neutral Strong Buy

Target
435
177
83
160
316
121

Intellisys 05 April 2012

Beta
1.26
0.58
1.67
1.66
1.72
0.81

Intellisys

www.intellisys.uk.com

05 April 2012

Over Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock
AEGIS GROUP
BLOOMSBURY PBL.
BRITISH SKY BC AST.GROUP
C ENTAUR MEDIA
DAILY MAIL 'A'
EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR
INFORMA
ITE GROUP
ITV
JOHNSTON PRESS
PEARSON
PHOTO-ME INTL.
PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON
THOMSON REUTERS
STV GROUP
ST.IVES
TRINITY MIRROR
UBM
WILMINGTON GROUP
WPP
YELL GROUP

Price 12M Lo
178.90 116.17
108.50
91.25
658.00 618.50
36.50
32.50
444.00 343.40
763.00 522.50
433.20 313.90
216.70 157.70
85.25
51.65
5.77
4.11
1136.00 1038.00
43.00
39.50
270.00 159.00
28.37
26.21
114.00
76.25
80.25
68.50
37.00
35.25
615.00 416.00
97.75
78.50
827.00 578.00
3.82
3.35

12M Hi
187.40
138.00
850.00
56.25
505.50
809.50
451.00
258.00
89.90
8.20
1255.00
67.00
292.00
39.25
168.00
102.25
54.25
641.50
154.75
880.00
11.00

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Price
2269.50
302.00
1103.00
1877.00
998.50
5150.00
3406.50
16.50
1210.00
1074.00

12M Lo
2138.50
237.90
900.50
1667.00
941.00
4580.00
2712.50
16.25
928.00
764.00

12M Hi
3344.00
340.00
1491.00
2631.50
1760.00
7565.00
4595.00
47.00
2518.00
1550.00

ST Rec
LT Rec
Neutral Strong Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral Strong Buy
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Sell
Neutral Strong Buy
Neutral
Sell

Price
1409.00
452.05
332.40
9.75
913.50
162.00
121.75
391.80
2159.00
2187.50
296.50
1480.00
713.00

12M Lo
1144.00
363.20
291.86
9.00
530.00
120.50
95.25
310.00
1883.50
1890.50
278.00
945.50
469.90

12M Hi
1564.00
504.60
531.75
14.75
968.00
328.60
297.00
520.50
2402.00
2489.00
400.00
1601.00
763.50

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Page 20 of 25

Target
5603
315
998
4184
856
1571
4670
-57
4643
1010

Beta
1.75
0.95
1.38
1.40
1.92
0.33
1.42
0.94
2.10
1.78

Price 12M Lo
127.50 108.75
320.10 285.00
3514.00 3100.00

LT Rec
Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Buy

Target
1943
1326
412
24
801
374
651
538
6588
6649
202
472
796

Beta
0.70
1.06
1.36
0.86
1.30
1.36
1.14
1.36
0.91
0.92
0.47
1.06
1.36

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock
MC BRIDE
PZ C USSONS
REC KITT BENC KISER GROUP

Beta
1.31
0.51
0.61
1.04
1.09
1.05
1.52
1.42
1.52
1.46
0.66
0.86
0.35
0.51
0.81
1.45
1.57
1.30
0.86
1.29
1.32

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock
BG GROUP
BP
C AIRN ENERGY
FORTUNE OIL
HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS
MELROSE RESOURC ES
PREMIER OIL
ROYAL DUTC H SHELL A(LON)
ROYAL DUTC H SHELL B
SOC O INTERNATIONAL
TULLOW OIL
WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

Target
98
140
650
-77
495
603
347
182
81
69
1159
89
167
9
28
232
506
1743
119
889
53

Under Valued

Mining
Stock
ANGLO AMERIC AN
ANGLO PAC IFIC GROUP
ANTOFAGASTA
BHP BILLITON
LONMIN
RANDGOLD RESOURC ES
RIO TINTO
UK C OAL
VEDANTA RESOURC ES
XSTRATA

LT Rec
Sell
Buy
Neutral
Sell
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Neutral
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Neutral
Strong Buy

12M Hi
151.06
387.90
3599.00

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

LT Rec
Sell
Buy
Sell

Target
106
368
3245

Intellisys 05 April 2012

Beta
0.87
0.74
0.34

Intellisys

www.intellisys.uk.com

05 April 2012

Under Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock
ARK THERAPEUTIC S GP.
ASTRAZENEC A
BTG
DEC HRA PHARMAC EUTIC ALS
GLAXOSMITHKLINE
OXFORD BIOMEDIC A
PHYTOPHARM
SHIRE
SKYEPHARMA
VERNALIS

Price
3.50
2781.00
347.10
464.00
1414.50
2.94
7.37
2025.00
34.00
24.25

12M Lo
3.13
2543.50
231.90
433.00
1205.00
2.88
6.40
1791.00
31.00
18.75

12M Hi
5.35
3194.00
365.00
579.00
1497.00
7.20
9.50
2300.00
66.13
49.00

ST Rec
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Price 12M Lo
22.00
21.75
124.00
57.75
1598.00 1298.00
419.80 324.70
302.00 225.00
20.00
16.50
91.55
58.95
453.90 242.90
348.50 214.90
195.75 154.75
76.50
41.50
1575.00 1444.00
287.50 231.70

12M Hi
27.00
129.75
1799.00
490.00
524.00
23.00
144.80
473.00
420.20
262.75
156.63
2109.00
312.40

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Page 21 of 25

Beta
0.97
0.45
0.73
0.32
0.49
0.61
0.92
0.63
0.70
0.82

LT Rec
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Strong Buy
Neutral
Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Buy
Buy

Target
49
64
970
1122
297
20
219
477
435
499
-23
1756
322

Beta
0.73
0.84
1.48
1.09
1.11
0.92
1.36
0.75
1.33
0.88
0.48
0.82
0.65

Over Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock
ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.
BREWIN DOLPHIN
C AMELLIA
C HARLES STANLEY GROUP
C HARLES TAYLOR C NSL.
C LOSE BROTHERS GROUP
F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT
HELPHIRE GROUP
HENDERSON GROUP
IC AP
INTERMEDIATE C APITAL GP.
INVESTEC
LONDON STOC K EX.GROUP
MAN GROUP
RATHBONE BROTHERS
SC HRODERS
SC HRODERS NV

Target
-7
10284
210
1786
1902
13
1
1888
262
84

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock
TIMEWEAVE
ANITE
AVEVA GROUP
C OMPUTAC ENTER
KOFAX
INNOVATION GROUP
LOGIC A
MIC RO FOC US INTL.
MISYS
PHOENIX IT GROUP
RM
FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

LT Rec
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy

Price 12M Lo
12M Hi
259.60 167.80
269.10
168.00 113.70
177.00
9700.00 8800.00 10950.00
292.50 240.00
350.00
156.00 115.63
160.50
764.00 590.00
820.00
65.60
56.05
81.70
1.80
1.36
14.25
124.80
95.05
171.90
382.60 311.60
541.50
271.90 197.90
345.00
366.70 318.40
522.00
1052.00 756.50 1076.00
122.80 104.50
259.60
1267.00 977.00 1316.00
1471.00 1183.00 1906.00
1142.00 970.00 1554.00

ST Rec
LT Rec
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Sell
Neutral Strong Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Buy

Target
176
129
18158
304
221
377
87
0
100
333
295
295
809
160
1225
1690
1690

Intellisys 05 April 2012

Beta
1.07
0.72
0.87
0.96
0.70
0.83
0.91
0.67
1.42
1.06
1.65
1.56
1.17
1.27
0.74
1.31
1.30

Intellisys

www.intellisys.uk.com

05 April 2012

Under Valued

Support Services
Stock
AC AL
AGGREKO
AMEC
ASHTEAD GROUP
BABC OC K INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL
UK MAIL GROUP
C APITA
C OMMUNISIS
C OMPASS GROUP
BERENDSEN
DE LA RUE
DIGNITY
DIPLOMA
ELEC TROC OMP.
FILTRONA
G4S
HAYS
HOMESERVE
INTERSERVE
INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVIC E GROUP
MANAGEMENT C NSL.GP.
MENZIES (JOHN)
MIC HAEL PAGE INTL.
MITIE GROUP
MOUC HEL GROUP
OFFIC E2OFFIC E
PAYPOINT
PREMIER FARNELL
REGUS
RENTOKIL INITIAL
REXAM
RIC ARDO
ROBERT WALTERS
RPC GROUP
RPS GROUP
SERC O GROUP
SHANKS GROUP
SPEEDY HIRE
TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG
WSP GROUP

Price 12M Lo
202.50 166.25
2160.00 1522.00
1109.00 740.50
251.40
99.40
805.50 570.50
339.25 270.00
990.50 676.50
232.50 192.25
720.00 611.50
33.75
23.75
639.50 512.50
517.00 402.70
900.00 730.00
828.00 705.00
440.10 284.00
236.50 182.20
478.50 296.30
267.00 219.90
81.55
58.85
230.00 214.70
276.30 252.75
2478.00 1744.00
30.25
25.25
39.00
27.75
609.50 445.50
467.10 323.00
276.00 197.50
6.87
4.75
160.50 122.00
670.00 410.25
206.90 144.50
114.00
64.00
84.85
58.20
419.10 299.80
355.50 325.00
263.50 158.25
358.50 290.00
240.00 156.60
539.50 458.00
95.30
90.80
27.50
18.50
70.00
37.75
42.50
36.25
250.00 191.00
54.50
47.00
243.75 160.00

12M Hi
344.00
2316.00
1207.00
271.10
828.00
392.50
1028.00
318.50
767.00
39.75
671.00
568.00
1001.00
854.50
453.00
294.90
479.10
292.10
119.60
532.00
341.25
2570.00
36.00
45.50
614.00
567.00
288.30
86.75
166.50
670.00
301.00
117.70
100.90
436.00
410.00
326.00
393.20
253.00
597.50
130.90
34.00
79.75
52.88
258.00
956.25
366.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral

Page 22 of 25

Target
354
1282
1335
131
729
1123
1024
564
729
101
804
1090
1057
1008
494
387
444
404
149
483
828
1680
70
59
1272
454
420
-312
298
758
366
72
52
546
566
364
464
308
699
170
-8
-350
65
601
-9725
597

Beta
0.94
1.16
1.01
1.52
0.56
0.73
0.54
0.34
0.43
0.77
0.71
1.02
#NA
0.20
1.01
1.01
1.11
0.58
0.98
0.65
1.35
0.86
1.14
0.68
1.47
1.35
0.61
0.91
0.39
0.72
1.18
1.40
1.30
0.87
0.82
1.25
0.84
1.58
0.57
1.46
1.31
0.63
0.88
0.90
0.77
0.95

Under Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
C ABLE & WIRELESS C OMMS.
INMARSAT
KC OM GROUP
TELEC OM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP

LT Rec
Strong Buy
Sell
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Neutral
Strong Buy
Neutral
Strong Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Neutral
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy

Price 12M Lo
222.10 161.00
32.25
31.25
446.20 389.30
72.50
59.75
692.00 461.00
172.10 155.05

12M Hi
232.10
48.92
628.50
84.00
802.00
182.70

ST Rec
LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Neutral Strong Buy
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Buy

Target
261
138
365
84
475
190

Intellisys 05 April 2012

Beta
0.92
0.65
0.53
1.27
0.04
0.63

Intellisys

www.intellisys.uk.com

05 April 2012

Under Valued

Transport
Stock
BBA AVIATION
BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.
C LARKSON
EASYJET
FIRST GROUP
FISHER(JAMES)& SONS
GO-AHEAD GROUP
NATIONAL EXPRESS
NORTHGATE
STAGEC OAC H GROUP
WINC ANTON

Price 12M Lo
215.90 156.00
400.50 282.00
1367.00 1015.00
483.80 302.54
216.90 216.90
597.50 440.50
1212.00 1190.00
228.50 201.60
204.10 190.90
246.80 215.90
64.00
56.00

12M Hi
223.40
505.00
1367.00
495.80
370.20
605.00
1598.00
270.20
346.70
287.40
123.25

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Page 23 of 25

Target
168
665
1667
553
423
344
1812
181
396
212
163

Beta
1.41
0.94
0.81
0.77
1.08
0.83
0.94
1.28
1.38
0.88
0.85

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock
C ENTRIC A
NATIONAL GRID
PENNON GROUP
SEVERN TRENT
UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

LT Rec
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy

Price 12M Lo
309.90 278.80
634.50 569.00
704.50 620.00
1521.00 1375.00
596.00 560.00

12M Hi
333.00
659.00
737.50
1610.00
637.00

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Neutral

Target
326
795
598
1365
609

Intellisys 05 April 2012

Beta
0.49
0.55
0.59
0.46
0.58

Intellisys

www.intellisys.uk.com

05 April 2012

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Page 24 of 25

Intellisys 05 April 2012

to
or
of
of

Intellisys

www.intellisys.uk.com

05 April 2012

Intelligent Analysis Limited (including its Directors, employees and representatives) or a


connected person may have positions in or options or other financial instruments on any of the
securities mentioned within a report, and may buy, sell or offer to purchase or sell such
securities from time to time, subject to restrictions imposed by internal rules.
Subscribers, and casual reader, are reminded that the value of shares in any company may go
up or down and that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.
Intelligent Analysis Limited is not registered with or regulated by any financial regulatory
authority and does not offer, provide or purport to provide or offer investment advice.

RISK WARNING Recommendations and Target Prices


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is
provided solely to enable you to make your own investment decisions.
If you are unsure about dealing in shares and other equity investments, you should contact
your financial adviser as these types of investments may not be suitable for everyone.
The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise and you
may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income
from them. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Page 25 of 25

Intellisys 05 April 2012

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