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The Process of Portfolio Management
The Process of Portfolio Management
The Life of every man is a diary in which he means to write one story, and writes another; and his humblest hour is when he compares the volume as it is with what he vowed to make it. - J.M. Barrie
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Outline
Introduction
Part
one: Background, Basic Principles, and Investment Policy Part two: Portfolio construction Part three: Portfolio management Part four: Portfolio protection and contemporary issues
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Introduction
Investments
Security
analysis Portfolio management Purpose of portfolio management Low risk vs. high risk investments The portfolio managers job The six steps of portfolio management
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Investments
Traditional
investments covers:
Security analysis
Involves estimating the merits of individual investments
Portfolio management
Deals with the construction and maintenance of a collection of investments
Security Analysis
A three-step process
1) The analyst considers prospects for the economy, given the state of the business cycle 2) The analyst determines which industries are likely to fare well in the forecasted economic conditions 3) The analyst chooses particular companies within the favored industries EIC analysis (a top-down approach)
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Portfolio Management
Portfolio management primarily involves reducing risk rather than increasing return
Consider two $10,000 investments:
1) Earns 10% per year for each of ten years (low risk) 2) Earns 9%, -11%, 10%, 8%, 12%, 46%, 8%, 20%, 12%, and 10% in the ten years, respectively (high risk)
$25,937 $23,642
$20,000
$10,000
$10,000
2) Earns 9%, -11%, 10%, 8%, 12%, 46%, 8%, 20%, -12%, and 10% in the ten years, respectively (high risk)
The lower the dispersion of returns, the greater the terminal value of equal investments
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Formulate an Investment Strategy (Chapters 6 14) Have a Game Plan for Portfolio Revision (Chapters 15 18)
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person cannot be an effective portfolio manager without a solid grounding in the basic principles of finance Egos sometimes get involved
Take time to review simple material Fluff and bluster have no place in the formation of investment policy or strategy
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These two ideas form the basis for all aspects of financial management
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Setting objectives
It is difficult to accomplish your objectives until you know what they are Terms like growth or income may mean different things to different people
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Investment policy
The separation of investment policy from investment management is a fundamental tenet of institutional money management
Board of directors or investment policy committee establish policy Investment manager implements policy
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International investment
Emerging markets carry special risk Emerging markets may not be informationally efficient
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Security screening
A screen is a logical protocol to reduce the total to a workable number for closer investigation
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Debt securities
Pricing Duration
Enables the portfolio manager to alter the risk of the fixed-income portfolio component
Bond diversification
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Pension funds
Significant holdings in gold and timberland (real assets) In many respects, timberland is an ideal investment for long-term investors with no liquidity problems
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Active management:
Requires the periodic changing of the portfolio components as the managers outlook for the market changes
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Performance evaluation
Did the portfolio manager do what he or she was hired to do?
Someone needs to verify that the firm followed directions
Fiduciary duties
Responsibilities for looking after someone elses money and having some discretion in its investment
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Portfolio protection
Called portfolio insurance prior to 1987 A managerial tool to reduce the likelihood that a portfolio will fall in value below a predetermined level
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Futures
Related to options Use of derivative assets to:
Generate additional income Manage risk
Contemporary issues
Derivative securities Tactical asset allocation Program trading Stock lending CFA program
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