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2007 Bio-based Industry Outlook Conference Breakout Session: Climate Change Management in Biofuels Systems Iowa State University 6 November 2007
Outline
Why we are here
Climate Change 101
Summary
Due to its short half-life (precipitation!), H2O is a feedback gas, rather than forcing warming
*Decay rate has several pathways with different rates. About 22% of the CO2 is very long lived. The first two half-lives are 30 yr and 325 yr. IPCC (2007) WG1-AR4, SPM, p. 3
5
7.2
Adapted from IPCC AR4 WGI with updated inventory and flux data
1500
1000
500
280
379
st an t
A1 B
B1
17 50
21 00
20 05
21 00
Co n
21 00
A2
IPCC (2007) WG1-AR4, SPM, p. 14, modified to show zone where irreversible warming of Greenland ice sheet is projected to occur (ibid., p. 17)
What to do . . .
Eliminate the C-positive, accentuate the C-negative! Minimize fossil fuel inputs
Improve energy efficiency Point-source capture/sequestration of CO2 Replace with biofuels, nuclear (???$$$)
Geologic Storage
Cost
CCS component Capture: Power Plant Capture: Gas Processing or Ammonia Production Capture: Other Industrial Sources Transportation Storage: Geological Storage: Ocean Mineral Carbonation Cost range
55 - 275 US$/tC net captured 18 - 202 US$/tC net captured 92 - 422 US$/tC net captured 3.7 29 US$/tC transported 250km 1.8 29 US$/tC injected 18 - 110 US$/tC injected 183 - 367 US$/tC net mineralized
$100
$200
$300
$400
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Terrestrial Storage
Standing biomass (trees, crops)
Currently 466 Gt C Near saturation
Soil carbon
Currently 2011 Gt C Near saturation
Biochar
Potential storage capacity 380 Gt C in top 15 cm Product of pyrolysis C-negative energy
Courtesy of J. Lehmann (2007)
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15
Biochar
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Grains
Corn, wheat, sweet sorghum Oil seeds
Pyrolysis
Bio-oil, bio-gas, biochar
Trees Grains Crop Grasses Residues Forages
Crop Residues
Corn stover, wheat straw
Grasses
Switchgrass, Miscanthus, Native prairie Sugar cane
Forages
Alfalfa New thick-stemmed variety (USDA-ARS-PSRU St. Paul))
Pyrolysis
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Ethanol
Well-to-wheel analysis shows GHG reductions by all options Cellulosic is an improvement over corn/wheat starch Sugar cane clearly least Cpositive Pyrolysis of residues for biochar could enhance Cnegativity
80 Carbon Positivity (well-to-wheel), % 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Corn Wheat Sugar beets Sugar cane Wood Grass Crop Residues
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Diesel
Predictive assessment by Netherlands Energy Agency (1999) FAME diesel competitive with ethanol Gasification and cellulosic processes have best potential (Fischer-Tropsch is C-negative!) Pyrolysis (biochar probably assumed to be combusted in process) Additional assessments by same group yielded C-negative values for cellulosic ethanol
70 60 50 C Positivity (well-to-wheel), % 40 30 20 10 0 Canola (FAME) -10 -20 Soybean (FAME) Eucalyptus (HTU) Eucalyptus (gas F-T) Eucalyptus (pyrolysis) Eucalyptus (gas DME)
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Several pyrolysis approaches available with comparable energy output Pyrolysis is C-negative when more than 30-34% char is produced Carbon-negativity is assured when pyrolysis/combustion combined with sequestration
Liquid Volatile Carbon Positivity
Fast
34
10-50
30-50
10-30
70 to -47
Hydrothermal
34
100
-194
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Trade-offs
N 2O EtOH-Starch EtOH-Sugar cane EtOHCellulose Combustion Pyrolysis varies varies varies char char varies char Food Water Soil Maturity Quality Cost Robust
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Acknowledgments
Research supported in part by the U. S. Department of Energys (DOE) National Energy Technology Laboratory and in part by the DOEs Office of Biological and Environmental Research (OBER) through the Carbon Sequestration in Terrestrial Ecosystems (CSiTE) project. Research was performed at the W.R. Wiley Environmental Molecular Sciences Laboratory, a national scientific user facility at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) sponsored by the DOE-OBER. The PNNL is operated for the DOE by Battelle Memorial Institute under contract DE AC06 76RL01830.
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