Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Intellisys
11 May 2012
Contents
Introduction...................................................................................................................... 3
Aerospace & Defence ........................................................................................................ 4
Automobiles & Parts .......................................................................................................... 4
Banks ............................................................................................................................... 4
Beverages ........................................................................................................................ 4
Chemicals ......................................................................................................................... 4
Construction & Building Materials ....................................................................................... 5
Electronics & Electrical Equipment ...................................................................................... 5
Engineering & Machinery ................................................................................................... 5
Food & Drug Stores ........................................................................................................... 5
Food Producers & Processors ............................................................................................. 6
General Retail ................................................................................................................... 6
Health .............................................................................................................................. 6
Household Goods & Textiles .............................................................................................. 6
Information Technology & Hardware .................................................................................. 6
Insurance ......................................................................................................................... 7
Leisure & Hotels................................................................................................................ 7
Life Assurance .................................................................................................................. 7
Media & Entertainment ...................................................................................................... 7
Mining .............................................................................................................................. 8
Oil & Gas .......................................................................................................................... 8
Personal Care & Household Products .................................................................................. 8
Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology ....................................................................................... 8
Software & Computer Services ........................................................................................... 9
Speciality & Other Finance ................................................................................................. 9
Support Services ............................................................................................................. 10
Telecommunication Services ............................................................................................ 10
Transport ....................................................................................................................... 11
Utilities ........................................................................................................................... 11
DISCLAIMER ................................................................................................................... 12
RISK WARNING .............................................................................................................. 13
Page 2 of 13
www.intellisys.uk.com
Intellisys
11 May 2012
Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will
identify those shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and
information noisy trading environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically,
before the official open of the London Stock Markets.
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that
influence investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been
established as rules that reflect market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading
indicators appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as
well as some 74% accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks
analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%
120.0%
110.0%
110.0%
100.0%
100.0%
90.0%
90.0%
80.0%
80.0%
70.0%
70.0%
60.0%
60.0%
50.0%
50.0%
40.0%
40.0%
30.0%
30.0%
20.0%
20.0%
1
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell
Trend
Source: Intellisys
However, like all trading and investment systems active position monitoring is critical for
maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommend that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not
separate from, a subscribers existing trading system as well discussing investment options
with their chosen financial advisers.
Page 3 of 13
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Intellisys
11 May 2012
Price
278.3
336.3
215.8
390.5
839.5
1034
1633
560
12M Lo
248.1
316.9
165.9
305
545.04
869.5
1305
243.5
12M Hi
340.8
677
239.5
413.5
859
1255
1780
576.25
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.649
0.515
0.909
1.335
1.100
0.721
0.602
0.795
Price
188.6
354.1
62.75
14.5
12M Lo
157
268.6
47
6.8
12M Hi
245
425.4
72.75
19.71
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.979
1.415
1.341
1.131
Price
208.8
556.5
31.2
23.05
1377
12M Lo
138.85
463.5
21.84
17.34
1169.5
12M Hi
279.05
648
55
42.91
1672
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Beta
1.860
1.139
1.766
1.296
1.704
Price
1117
1535
2481.5
12M Lo
1031
1112
1979
12M Hi
1395
1614.5
2660
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.418
0.545
0.984
Price
2133
195.4
2243
1335
218
177.5
12M Lo
1597
107.5
1523
1025
148
109
12M Hi
2282
208.1
2408
1590
253
186.5
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.082
1.071
1.469
1.221
1.288
1.011
Banks
Stock
BARC LAYS
HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)
LLOYDS BANKING GROUP
ROYAL BANK OF SC TL.GP.
STANDARD C HARTERED
Beverages
Stock
BARR (AG)
DIAGEO
SABMILLER
Chemicals
Stock
C RODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS
JOHNSON MATTHEY
VIC TREX
YULE C ATTO
ZOTEFOAMS
Page 4 of 13
www.intellisys.uk.com
Intellisys
11 May 2012
Price
269.9
126.4
729
1221
456.2
297
47.38
204
608.5
426.5
1156
58.75
89.25
670
590
121.2
97.5
46
980
2246
12M Lo
214.6
67.5
540.5
1025
326.5
264.6
35.5
180
383.75
239.25
1095
38
83.25
510
374
103.5
76.95
28.71
715
1404
12M Hi
331.8
151.5
859.5
1414
518.5
403.2
97.75
247.5
653
661
1489
76.75
124
725
706.5
135.3
153.5
52.75
1125
2558
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.844
1.446
1.018
0.680
1.074
1.092
0.807
0.564
1.052
1.319
1.039
1.106
1.351
0.887
1.104
0.977
1.591
1.496
1.894
1.439
Price
998
572
143
200
186.8
1165
1364
1784
0.16
172
231
12M Lo
643.5
434.3
86.75
180.9
128.5
714
800
1039
0.14
120.5
212
12M Hi
1095
701.5
149.5
333.9
222
1285
1886
1902
0.25
208
295
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.766
1.178
1.336
1.459
2.159
0.985
1.288
1.421
0.634
1.592
1.133
Price
74.5
397.9
310
664
424.8
391
323
922
7.75
285.7
2085
208.3
195.75
2174
638.5
1560
12M Lo
62.5
225.6
252.5
395.8
280
306.3
235
636.5
7.25
224
1501
135.6
150
1649
488
1375
12M Hi
121
437.1
358
747.5
483.7
429.6
393.5
1119
11.63
360
2260
213
250
2334
690
2236
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.325
1.583
0.986
2.282
1.410
0.760
1.410
1.407
0.855
1.768
0.986
1.757
1.057
0.850
1.515
1.383
Price
487.7
276.4
309.4
320.15
24.88
12M Lo
445
274.8
263.5
310.45
9.5
12M Hi
558
328
362.8
420.05
70.5
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.516
0.453
0.637
0.735
0.766
Page 5 of 13
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Intellisys
11 May 2012
Price
1196
814
309
290
135
693.5
2064
12M Lo
977
588.5
290.4
232
32.9
544.5
1892
12M Hi
1242
841
409.7
332.2
351.2
720.5
2189
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.595
0.604
0.934
0.339
1.401
0.622
0.580
Price
24
238
1441
618
18.23
3.55
42
276.3
12.25
781.5
56
285.8
347.9
48.5
166
2953
830
37.75
12M Lo
16
222.4
1092
375
9.36
2.2
36
269.5
5.2
570
52.1
217
301.8
26
127.3
2153
633
21.5
12M Hi
24
304.5
1600
741
19.91
8.7
103.75
405.9
31
1030
151.4
313.8
402.2
51
448.5
3060
928.5
68.63
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.709
0.490
1.362
1.047
1.454
0.969
0.927
0.647
0.860
0.474
1.285
0.976
0.737
1.057
0.557
0.779
0.557
1.330
Price
668
40.75
613
12M Lo
498
35.25
521
12M Hi
668
57.75
694
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.394
0.749
0.362
Price
44
562.5
304.25
95
12M Lo
21.75
405
233.25
90
12M Hi
44.5
577.5
310
145
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.479
0.382
0.925
0.654
12M Lo
464
154.1
14.5
296.9
41
105.8
96
12M Hi
645
377.5
35
717
95.88
174
243.5
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.769
1.194
0.659
0.962
1.168
1.000
1.063
General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
C ARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENC H C ONNEC TN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS
JD SPORTS FASHION
KESA ELEC TRIC ALS
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENC ER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERC ARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES
Health
Stock
C ONSORT MEDIC AL
C ORIN GROUP
SMITH & NEPHEW
Page 6 of 13
Price
507.5
222.8
25
632
58
162.5
186
www.intellisys.uk.com
Intellisys
11 May 2012
Insurance
Stock
ADMIRAL GROUP
AMLIN
BEAZLEY
C ATLIN GROUP
HISC OX
JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON
RSA INSURANC E GROUP
NOVAE GROUP
Price
1148
322.1
141.4
418.6
381.1
694.5
103.5
367.25
12M Lo
787
270.6
109.6
336
340.5
576
99.6
285
12M Hi
1754
426.4
151.8
449
424.7
764.5
139.8
381
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.519
0.483
0.515
0.304
0.488
0.321
0.432
0.497
Price
1962
70
184.2
725
497.6
171.8
1486
493.8
253.7
144
8.18
115.3
273.7
377.8
1924
264.4
97.4
12M Lo
1742
26.5
136.7
615
410
114
955
371.2
215.6
100.6
8.18
109.5
254.9
375.3
1409
183.3
84.6
12M Hi
2642
95.85
250
752
527.5
181.4
1532
534
336.8
174
15.4
153.7
314.6
468.2
2006
281.7
112
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.075
1.717
0.953
0.441
0.867
0.992
1.314
1.399
1.023
1.265
1.298
0.996
0.856
0.729
1.017
0.945
1.257
Price
302.8
178
113.4
149.7
722
324.5
12M Lo
275.3
161.75
89.8
98.47
509
294
12M Hi
447.1
255
135
165.31
797.5
376
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.259
0.590
1.671
1.658
1.719
0.816
Price
166.1
109
692
34.5
412.4
756.5
399.6
212.1
82.4
6
1163
41.25
315
29.57
110
70
33.75
570.5
95
813
3.5
12M Lo
116.17
91.25
618.5
30.5
343.4
522.5
313.9
157.7
51.65
4.11
1038
41.25
198.25
26.21
76.25
67.5
30.25
416
78.5
578
3.35
12M Hi
187.4
135.5
850
56.25
505.5
828
451
254.9
89.9
8
1255
67
357.5
38.04
160
102.25
54.25
641.5
151
880
11
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.315
0.513
0.604
1.044
1.086
1.058
1.519
1.414
1.517
1.464
0.664
0.853
0.335
0.505
0.812
1.320
1.405
1.297
0.863
1.294
1.140
Life Assurance
Stock
AVIVA
C HESNARA
LEGAL & GENERAL
OLD MUTUAL
PRUDENTIAL
ST.JAMES'S PLAC E
Page 7 of 13
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Intellisys
11 May 2012
Mining
Stock
ANGLO AMERIC AN
ANGLO PAC IFIC GROUP
ANTOFAGASTA
BHP BILLITON
LONMIN
RANDGOLD RESOURC ES
RIO TINTO
UK C OAL
VEDANTA RESOURC ES
XSTRATA
Price
2186
282.8
1047
1871.5
948
4833
3149.5
16.25
1118
1088
12M Lo
2138.5
237.9
900.5
1667
940.5
4580
2712.5
12.5
928
764
12M Hi
3181
340
1491
2521.5
1600
7565
4595
47
2169
1425.5
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.748
0.944
1.378
1.401
1.913
0.335
1.420
0.928
2.091
1.773
Price
1333.5
410.5
314.3
9.92
803
115.75
118.75
345.4
2050.5
2122.5
267
1476
776
12M Lo
1144
363.2
291.86
9
530
115.75
95.25
310
1883.5
1890.5
262.5
945.5
469.9
12M Hi
1547
504.6
501.41
14.75
968
295
245.5
485
2402
2489
397.5
1601
798
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.703
1.061
1.352
0.853
1.303
1.357
1.156
1.363
0.911
0.918
0.468
1.066
1.349
Price
119.5
327.1
3440
12M Lo
107.06
285
3100
12M Hi
148.71
387.9
3660
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.873
0.739
0.333
Price
3.8
2677.5
369.1
444.5
1406
3.8
7.75
1990
75
24.25
12M Lo
3.13
2543.5
236.8
392.5
1205
2.88
6.4
1818
31
18.75
12M Hi
5.35
3194
387.7
524.84
1497
7.2
9.5
2300
87
49
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.963
0.457
0.713
0.300
0.482
0.609
0.916
0.624
0.707
0.817
Page 8 of 13
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Intellisys
11 May 2012
Price
20.75
119.25
1599
387
240
20.75
73.85
459.1
348.7
219.75
82.25
1500
266
12M Lo
20.75
57.75
1298
324.7
225
16.75
58.95
242.9
214.9
154.75
41.5
1444
231.7
12M Hi
27
129.75
1799
490
503.5
23
144.8
476.7
420.2
262.75
156.63
2109
312.4
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.717
0.839
1.475
1.095
1.109
0.922
1.357
0.741
1.323
0.881
0.476
0.822
0.649
Price
262.9
157.7
9850
284.88
148
705.5
66.45
1.48
104.8
347.1
245.9
344.8
1034
85.95
1246
1314
1052
12M Lo
167.8
113.7
8800
240
115.63
590
56.05
1.36
95.05
311.6
197.9
318.4
756.5
82.45
977
1183
970
12M Hi
283.8
177
10950
350
160
812
81.7
4.83
163.7
509.5
345
522
1093
259.6
1351
1730
1403
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.071
0.723
0.871
0.953
0.703
0.839
0.911
0.671
1.414
1.069
1.652
1.553
1.168
1.275
0.738
1.308
1.302
Page 9 of 13
www.intellisys.uk.com
Intellisys
11 May 2012
Support Services
Stock
AC AL
AGGREKO
AMEC
ASHTEAD GROUP
BABC OC K INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL
UK MAIL GROUP
C APITA
C OMMUNISIS
C OMPASS GROUP
BERENDSEN
DE LA RUE
DIGNITY
DIPLOMA
ELEC TROC OMP.
FILTRONA
G4S
HAYS
HOMESERVE
INTERSERVE
INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVIC E GROUP
MANAGEMENT C NSL.GP.
MENZIES (JOHN)
MIC HAEL PAGE INTL.
MITIE GROUP
MOUC HEL GROUP
OFFIC E2OFFIC E
PAYPOINT
PREMIER FARNELL
REGUS
RENTOKIL INITIAL
REXAM
RIC ARDO
ROBERT WALTERS
RPC GROUP
RPS GROUP
SERC O GROUP
SHANKS GROUP
SPEEDY HIRE
TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG
WSP GROUP
Price
202.5
2171
1037
227.7
806
330
1003
248
654.5
33.25
635
476.1
983.5
844
449.2
217.6
459.5
266.4
80
245.3
280.9
2440
29
35.5
630
375.4
285.7
5.99
141.5
648
195
98.8
82.85
400.4
355
225
352.4
214.6
549.5
87.2
25.5
73.25
45.5
234.75
50.5
257.5
12M Lo
166.25
1522
740.5
99.4
570.5
275
676.5
192.25
611.5
23.75
512.5
402.7
730
727
284
182.2
296.3
219.9
58.85
214.7
270.1
1744
25.25
27.75
445.5
323
208
4.75
123.5
451
144.5
64
58.2
299.8
325
158.25
300.5
156.6
458
87.2
18.5
38.5
36.25
191
47
160
12M Hi
329.75
2316
1207
271.1
851
392.5
1063
318.5
767
39.75
671
568
1001
866
460.5
294.9
484.5
292.1
117.3
531.5
341.25
2605
36
45.5
652
552.5
296.7
75.25
166.5
670
301
117.5
100.9
438
410
326
393.2
253
597.5
130.9
34
79.75
52.88
269
925
345
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.936
1.155
1.005
1.523
0.546
0.729
0.544
0.349
0.439
0.767
0.708
1.014
#NA
0.192
1.005
1.014
1.112
0.573
0.973
0.656
1.346
0.862
1.136
0.679
1.461
1.350
0.607
0.916
0.397
0.711
1.179
1.398
1.294
0.873
0.818
1.245
0.835
1.581
0.567
1.460
1.310
0.606
0.873
0.901
0.763
0.948
Price
211.5
31.3
458.2
69
695
171.25
12M Lo
161
30.07
389.3
62
472
155.05
12M Hi
232.1
48.92
618.5
84
802
182.7
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.921
0.644
0.529
1.271
0.040
0.623
Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
C ABLE & WIRELESS C OMMS.
INMARSAT
KC OM GROUP
TELEC OM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP
Page 10 of 13
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Intellisys
11 May 2012
Transport
Stock
BBA AVIATION
BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.
C LARKSON
EASYJET
FIRST GROUP
FISHER(JAMES)& SONS
GO-AHEAD GROUP
NATIONAL EXPRESS
NORTHGATE
STAGEC OAC H GROUP
WINC ANTON
Price
200.6
331
1330
522.5
206.7
585
1133
212.9
193.3
246.7
47.5
12M Lo
156
282
1015
302.54
190
440.5
1094
201.6
190
219.96
45
12M Hi
223.4
479.5
1390
527.5
370.2
615
1598
270.2
338
287.4
123.25
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.409
0.943
0.814
0.766
1.084
0.827
0.944
1.290
1.379
0.875
0.854
Price
310.2
670
732.5
1642
630
12M Lo
278.8
569
623.5
1375
560
12M Hi
330.3
672.5
751
1720
637
ST Rating
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.489
0.551
0.588
0.458
0.576
Utilities
Stock
C ENTRIC A
NATIONAL GRID
PENNON GROUP
SEVERN TRENT
UNITED UTILITIES GROUP
Page 11 of 13
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Intellisys
11 May 2012
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11 May 2012
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