Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Agenda
F. Conti
CEO
2011 results
2012 outlook 2012-2016 strategic update
Macro assumptions Key priorities Divisional targets
L. Ferraris F. Conti
CFO
Managerial actions
Mature markets Growth markets Efficiencies
Financial outcome
Overall financial targets
GDP growth
+2.0%
+1.0%
+1.0% 0.0% -1.0% 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 2Q 11 3Q 11 4Q 11
1Q 12
-0.6% -1.9%
Eurozone
USA
Eurozone
USA
Growth markets
+8.0% +6.0% +4.0% +2.0% +5.5%
GDP growth
+5.4%
+5.0%
1Q 10
2Q 10
3Q 10
4Q 10
1Q 11
2Q 11
3Q 11
4Q 11
1Q 12
2010
3Q11
4Q11
1Q12
Latam
1. Source: Global Insight. Year-on-year changes
Emerging markets
97 94
Italy
Spain2
Latam
Slovakia
Russia
2011 Results
2011 results
2011 Results
Financial highlights
Consolidated results
mn Revenues EBITDA - recurring1 EBIT Group net income Group net ordinary income1 Net debt2
FY11
79,514
17,717 17,416 11,366
4,148
4,097 44,629
1. Excluding capital gains, losses and one-off items 2. Excluding net debt of assets held for sale
2011 Results
mn
EBIT Net financial charges
Interest charges Other
FY10
11,258 (3,198)
2,850 348
FY11
11,366 (3,024)
2,776 248
%
+1.0 -5.4
-2.6 -28.7
Net income from equity investments using equity method EBT Income tax
14
8,074 (2,401) 5,673 (1,283) 4,390
2011 Results
Italy 100
~ 15 ~ 85 ~40 - 45(1)
Spain2 100
~ 55 - 60
100
100
~ 90 - 95 ~ 5 - 10
2012
Latam 100
~ 25 - 30
Unhedged Hedged
2013
2012 Slovakia
2013
100
~ 35 - 40 ~ 60 - 65
100
100
~ 60
~ 70 - 75
~ 40
2012
2013
2012
2013
2011 Results
17,480
66 1,310
-210
+78
+472
+122
-645
+275
+145
17,717
1,585 211
7,896 S&H1 EGP Iberia & Latam International I&N Market G&EM
7,251
1,642
FY10
G&EM Italy
Market Italy
I&N Italy
International
EGP
S&H1
FY11
8
2011 Results
-8.8%
2,392
FY10
Ancillary services
Other
FY11
2011 Results
+12.4%
3,813
-34
+220
+286
4,285
FY10
Energy margin
Connection fees
Other
FY11
10
2011 Results
1,520
433
57 318
+99
-29
-5
712
811
FY10
Centrel1
SEE2
Russia
FY11
1. Slovensk Elektrrne 2. Romanian, Bulgarian and Greek operations 3. Including Enel Investment Holding
11
2011 Results
-11.0%
4,487
-262
-122
-240
+70
+61
3,994
FY10
Perimeter effect
Regulated business
Others
FY11
12
2011 Results
-109
+24
+22
3,257
FY10
Forex effect
Generation business
Distribution business
FY11
13
2011 Results
1,585
184
-7
+53
+23
+22
84 336
107
389
34
878
Enel.si North America Iberia and Latin America Italy and Europe
871
FY10
North America
Enel.si
Other
FY11
14
2011 Results
(1)
Capex
Taxes
Dividends3
Extraordinary activities4
+1(5)
-44,924
-44,629
-7,589 -636
(5)
-2,526
+16,417
1. Net debt change calculated on continuing operations 2. Net financial charges due to interest expenses 3. Including 882mn of dividends paid to minorities
4. Mainly related with Maritza sale 5. Net financial debt of assets held for sale
15
2011 Results
~0.8
~13
~9.7
~6.1
~6.6
~7.0
2012
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
After2016
16
2012 outlook
17
2012 outlook
Focus on Italy: GEM division
Electricity demand (TWh)
339
332
~334
EBITDA (bn)
1.9(1)
2011
2012
1.3
99
22%
45%
2011
2012
Gas oversupply
34 2008 28 2011 ~27 2012 Residential and industrial
Thermal generation
2012 profitability impacted by demand decline, 1. Excluding extraordinary items for ~ 300mn solar overcapacity and gas scenario 2. Net of network losses
18
2012 outlook
Focus on Spain1
Electricity demand (TWh)
CAGR 2008-2012: -1.1%
264
255
~ 253
EBITDA (bn)
~3.7
~28% ~72% 2012
Unregulated business Regulated business2
~67% 2011
19
2012 outlook
Focus on Latam
Electricity demand1 (TWh)
~833 803
EBITDA (bn)
~3.6 ~50%
2011
2012
20
2012 outlook
Focus on Russia & Slovakia
Russia: change in Plan assumptions
New Plan Gas net back parity: 2023 vs. Old Plan 2015 +1.4%(2)
2011
2012
2011
2012
2012 outlook
Focus on Renewables
Enel Green Power net installed capacity (GW)
~8.1
7.1
EBITDA (bn)
~1.7 2011 2012 ~1.4
2011
2012
22
23
Commodities
Brent ($/bbl) Coal5 ($/ton)
111
2011
1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
107
2012
100
2014
100
2016
122
2011
131
2012
125
2014
128
2016
Source: Global Insight Peninsular Brazil, Chile (CIS), Colombia, Peru, Argentina Average growth weighted by Enels production CIF ARA
24
Italy
185
Negative
Iberia
150
Positive
~60%
Slovakia
15
Positive
25
Leadership in innovation
Operational excellence
Margins protections through hedging and portfolio optimization Optimize marginal plant management
Focused growth in mass market and SOHO segments Cost leadership and quality of service to final customers Smart grids and electric mobility development
Margins resilience
EBITDA2
~5.7 ~0.5
31%
~5.3 ~0.5
~1.3
Maintenance: ~80%
~1.1
64%
~3.9
~3.7
~3.5
2012-2016
2012
2014
2016
28
Operational excellence
Proactive with regulation
Synergies & Zenith plan Cash optimization: selective just in time investments
strategy with limited risk exposure Complete reorganization in distribution Maintain quality of service and grid modernization
Margins resilience
EBITDA
~4.0
45%
~3.7 ~28%
Maintenance: ~82%
55%
2012-2016
2012
2014
2016
Regulated business, demand recovery and price increase to improve long term profitability
1. Net of connection fees 2. Regulated activities include also extra-peninsular operations
30
Cash optimization
Distribution: ~1.8 mn new clients over the period Pursue new regulatory model in Argentina Capture opportunities to optimize current structure Synergies & Zenith plan, Operational excellence Cash optimization: selective just in time investments
Structure optimization
Operational excellence
EBITDA
~4.6
Regulated ~60% Maintenance Growth
~3.6 ~50%
47%
Unregulated ~40%
~50%
53%
~50%
~49%
2014
Unregulated
2016
Russia
Strengthen market position
Efficiency programmes
33
EBITDA
~0.4
15%
Maintenance: 45%
~0.5
~0.8 2012
~0.9
2012-2016
2014
2016
34
EBITDA
29%
~2.6 ~2.2
4% 11%
~1.7
Maintenance: ~10%
2012-2016
2012
2014
2016
Managerial actions
37
Managerial actions
Mature markets
Gas sourcing diversification and flexibility Upward vertical integration o Upstream gas o LNG midstream (Porto Empedocle)
Italy
Generation
o New pumping storage opportunities in Spain o Backup capacity & efficiency projects in Italy
Smart grids and services for final customer o Smart meters and electric vehicles
Iberia
Sales
Managerial actions
Growth markets
Worldwide Renewables
Latin America
Russia: revamping initiatives Slovakia: ca. + 1 GW new nuclear capacity Romania: Efficiency improvements (smart meters)
Solid growth in attractive business and geographies Total capacity increase ca. +6.6GW by 2016
39
~31
Asset allocation
~52% ~38%
Efficiencies
40
2011 target of ca. 1.3 bn achieved Ca. 1.3 bn maintained from 2012 onward
Zenith &
Zenith 2
programmes
2009-2011 target of ca. 3.8 bn cumulated achieved 2009-2015 new target ca. 5.9 bn cumulated
One
Company
Project
41
Financial targets
42
Financial targets
Dividends
Dividend pay-out policies
Based on 2011 results Based on 2012-16 results
~ 11 bn
60%(1) 30%
40%(2)
as a floor
~ 3.5 bn
30%
30%
~ 7.5 bn
Minorities Enels shareholders
43
Financial targets
2012-2016 cumulated cash flow available to net debt reduction (bn)
~66
~27
~14
Dividends3
Disposals
44
2012
2014
2016
~ 16.5
~ 3.4 ~ 43
~ 17.0 ~ 3.8 ~ 39
~ 19.0 ~ 5.0 ~ 30
Net debt
45
Annexes
-3.2%
79.0
1.5% 21.7%
41.0%
7.8% 28.0%
7.1%
290.2
15.6% 13.2% 25.2% 14.2% 3.9%
293.9
12.9% 16.2%
34.4%
FY10
+3.0%
FY11
208.6
20.7% 9.9%
214.9
17.2% 14.1% 25.0% 18.4% 2.9% 22.4%
27.9%
23.9%
FY10
Other renewables Hydro
FY11
Coal Nuclear Oil & gas CCGT
International
FY10
FY11
47
FY2011 Group total net installed capacity1: breakdown by source and location
MW Hydro 13,647 Other ren. 1,445 Nuclear Coal 6,804 CCGT 5,964 Oil & gas ST/OCGT 12,022 TOTAL
Italy
Iberia
4,684
1,760
3,526
5,455
4,746(2)
4,936(3)
Centrel
2,329
1,818
845
400
SEE
14
654(4)
Americas
9,591
800
488
3,880
2,492
Russia
3,623
800
4,604
TOTAL
30,265
4,668
5,344
17,215
15,390
24,454
3. Including 1,013 MW of installed capacity in Ireland 4. Including 166 MW other renewable capacity in France
Iberia
6,311
3,579
25,177
26,728
7,939(2)
9,923(3)
Centrel
3,791
25
14,340
2,259
SEE
25
768(4)
2,624
Americas
37,952
2,041
2,085
21,237
5,638
Russia
20,023
1,108
21,301
TOTAL
70,223
12,549
39,517
86,142
47,421
38,010
1. Including Group renewable capacity 2. Including 745 GWh of net production in Morocco
3. Including 70 GWh of net production in Ireland 4. Including 245 GWh of net production in France
3,583
701
1,664
121
2,486
North America
313
47
605
45
1,010
TOTAL
2,539
769
3,541
230
7,079
50
12,583
3,339
3,161
476
6,976
North America
1,069
268
1,409
175
2,921
TOTAL
10,097
5,568
6,142
673
22,480
51
42%
52
+145
+115
211
+30 66
FY10
Import
Other
FY11
1. Including Engineering and Innovation division and and Other & Elisions
53
+16.1%
+166 483
-88 561
FY10
Free market
Regulated market
FY11
54
26,529
Bonds Bank loans and others 2,473 7,199
3,010
9,672
4,259
23,519
5,413
3,866
1,796 2,070
5,673
1,192 4,481
6,061
688 5,373
6,574
841 5,733
<12m
2013
2014
2015
2016
After 2016
Amount Committed credit lines Cash and cash equivalents Total Uncommitted lines Commercial paper
Outstanding
25,505
25,505 2,745 9,309
9,649
(7,015) 2,634 798 3,211
Total liquidity
37,559
6,643
30,916
56
Debt structure1
Average debt maturity: 6 years and 7 months Average cost of gross debt2: 4.9% (Fixed+hedged)/Total gross long-term debt: 78% (Fixed+hedged)/Total net debt: 96%
Rating:
% -9.5 +29.1
(14,969)
44,629
-7.4
-0.7
57
mn
Endesa 12.31.2010
4,806 5,746 1,474 724 -1,128
11,622 484 716 169 -9,265 -7,896 70 2,062 51 2,183
Group - Total
12.31.2011
9,918 37,461 180 1,144 -3,576 45,127 6,894 2,473 305 -5,632 4,040 888 3,204 650 57 4,799 -370 -1,076 -824 -7,067 -498 44,629
12.31.2011
8,333 32,445 398 -2,499
38,677 4,199 1,075 139 -110 5,303 826 2,016 650 4 3,496
12.31.2011
1,585 5,016 180 746 -1,077 6,450 2,695 1,398 166 -5,522 -1,263 62 1,188 53 1,303 -232 -2,754 -2,946 3,504
Bank loans maturities > 12m Bonds maturities > 12m Preference shares > 12m Other loans maturities > 12m Financial receivables maturities > 12m Total net LT debt - maturities > 12m Bank loans maturities < 12m Bonds maturities < 12m Preference shares < 12m Other loans maturities < 12m Financial receivables maturities < 12m Total net LT debt - maturities < 12m Other ST bank debt Commercial paper Cash Collateral and other derivatives payables Other ST financial debt ST debt Factoring receivables Cash Collateral and other derivatives receivables Other ST financial receivables Cash at banks and marketable securities Total net ST debt (incl. current maturities) Net financial debt
58
Preference shares
Other loans
Commercial paper Other Total
(159) (5,687)
(426) (7,759)
1,188
2,016
(130) 167
(26) 33
(110) 276
3,204
1. As of December 31st, 2011 2. EFI: Enel Financial International; EIH: Enel Investments Holding; EP: Enel Produzione; ED: Enel Distribuzione
59
5.5% 5.0%
7:1
6:8
6:7
2009
2010
2011
2009
2010
2011
2009
2010
2011
50.9
71%
44.9
44.6
2009
2010
2011
2009
2010
2011
2009
2010
2011
60
Enel Group (excluding Endesa) mn Bank loans Bonds Other Total Endesa <12m 4,199 1,075 139 5,413 2013 417 1,600 53 2,070 2014 2,327 2,102 52 4,481 2015 1,492 3,837 44 5,373 2016 1,182 4,504 47 5,733 After 2016 2,915 20,402 202 23,519
mn
Bank loans Bonds Other1 Total
<12m
2,695 1,398 166 4,259
2013
319 1,182 295 1,796
2014
370 723 99 1,192
After 2016
456 2,138 416 3,010
61
Amount 60M credit facility for Endesa acquisition 2009 credit facility for Endesa acquisition (2014) 2009 credit facility for Endesa acquisition (2016) Other committed credit lines2 Total committed credit lines Other short-term bank debt uncommitted lines Total credit lines Commercial paper Total credit lines + CP Cash and cash equivalents 1,933 1,359 617 14,359 18,268 1,223 19,491 6,000 25,491 -
Outstanding 1,933 1,359 617 3,908 7,817 778 8,595 2,021 10,616 (4,261)
Total liquidity
25,491
6,355
19,136
1. As of December 31st, 2011 2. Including 1,420mn relating to a committed line pertaining to Slovenske Elektrarne
62
Outstanding 1,832 20
8,759
3,309 12,068 -
1,852
1,190 3,042 (2,754)
6,907
2,119 9,026 2,754
Total liquidity
12,068
288
11,780
63
+5.6% 7,484
81
7,090
92
1,065
1,557
2,866
2,491
1,210 1,147
62
1,450
1,383 432
90
648
FY10
FY11
64
Balance sheet
mn
Net financial debt
Shareholders equity Net capital employed
FY10
FY11
44,924
53,866 98,790
44,629
54,440 99,069
-0.7
+1.1 +0.3
65
mn
FY11
Revenues
EBITDA EBIT Capex
23,146
2,182 1,590 432
+32.0
-8.8 -13.2 -33.3
Headcount
6,334
-4.0
66
Market - Italy
mn
FY11
Revenues
EBITDA EBIT Capex
17,731
561 141 90
-5.2
+16.1 +143.1 +45.2
Headcount
3,745
-2.0
67
mn
FY11
% +0.4
+12.4 +15.0 +20.6
Revenues
EBITDA EBIT Capex
7,460
4,285 3,347 1,383
Headcount
18,951
-1.0
68
International
mn
FY11
% +21.3
+8.0 +17.6 +19.8
Revenues
EBITDA EBIT Capex
7,715
1,642 1,062 1,450
Headcount
13,779
-7.4
69
mn
FY11
% +4.4
-8.2 -12.6 -13.1
Revenues
EBITDA EBIT Capex
32,647
7,251 4,057 2,491
Headcount
22,877
-7.5
70
mn
FY11
% +16.5
+21.0 +11.8 +46.2
Revenues
EBITDA EBIT Capex
2,539
1,585 1,080 1,557
Headcount
3,229
+9.3
71
mn
FY10
FY11
Revenues
Holding Services Engineering & Innovation
2,420
679
1,133 608
2,515
762 1,356 397
+3.9
+12.2 +19.7 -34.7
EBITDA2
Holding Services Engineering & Innovation
66
(68) 136 14
211
(38) 237 12
+219.7
+74.3 -14.3
1. Including the Engineering & Innovation division 2. Including Other & Elisions of -16mn in FY10 and 0mn in FY11
72
Continued
mn
EBIT2
Holding Services Engineering & Innovation
FY10 (55)
(75) 26 10
FY11 89
(52) 132 9
% +407.7 -10.0
Capex
Holding Services & other Engineering & Innovation
92
7 80 5
81
13 64 4
-12.0
+85.7 -20.0 -20.0
Headcount
Holding
Services & other Engineering & Innovation
6,175
803 4,033 1,339
6,445
873
4,245 1,327
+4.4
+8.7
+5.3 -0.9
73
1. Including the Engineering & Innovation division 2. Including Other & Elisions of -16mn in FY10 and 0mn in FY11
11,258
966
11,366
1,080
89
n.m. +11.8%
4,643 EGP Iberia & Latam International I&N Market G&EM S&H1
4,057
-12.6%
1,062
+17.6%
FY10
FY11
74
Disclaimer
This presentation contains certain statements that are neither reported financial results nor other historical information (forward-looking statements). These forward-looking statements are based on Enel S.p.A.s current expectations and projections about future events. Because these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of Enel S.p.A. to control or estimate precisely, including changes in the regulatory environment, future market developments, fluctuations in the price and availability of fuel and other risks. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements contained herein, which are made only as of the date of this presentation. Enel S.p.A. does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation. Pursuant to art. 154-BIS, par. 2, of the Unified Financial Act of February 24, 1998, the executive in charge of preparing the corporate accounting documents at Enel, Luigi Ferraris, declares that the accounting information contained herein correspond to document results, books and accounting records.
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