Professional Documents
Culture Documents
VS.
Delhi
Rent
Kolkata
Buy
Mumbai
Pune
Hyderabad
Bengaluru
Chennai
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Table of Contents
3 6 7 8
9 10 12 13 14 15 17 19 20 21 22
5 ArthaYantra Buy vs Rent Score (ABRSTM) 6. Other Important Numbers 7. Conclusion 8. Limitations and Concerns 9. Appendix
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Summary
Buying the house is perhaps the biggest and the most common dream of every professional. Though buying a house has high emotional quotient, it is a decision that has to be nancially prudent. A wrong decision could result in excess debt and an illiquid asset. This research paper provides a personal nance perspective to the rent vs. buy decision. Here are some of the key ndings of the research: Property cost vs Rental Value: The Residential Property prices in Bengaluru and Delhi NCR are not proportional to their rental value. Though the average residential property values of Bengaluru is higher than Kolkata by 6%, the average rental value is less by nearly 32%. The situation is similar for Delhi NCR and Mumbai. Though their average residential property values are identical, their average rental values differ by nearly 60%. Down payment: The years of saving required to afford the initial down payment i.e. 20% of the property price determines how sooner one can buy a house. It takes at least 4 years to save for the required corpus in Hyderabad and Pune. In Kolkata and Bengaluru it takes 5 years and in Chennai it is 6 years. In Mumbai and Delhi NCR a professional has to save for at least 8 years to be able to afford the down payment amount required. Area: The average square feet per lakh (INR) determines the amount you need to pay for the desired area . At 26.57 sq ft per lakh, Hyderabad gives highest value for money compared to other 6 metros. Hyderabad is followed by Pune, Kolkata, Bengaluru and Chennai. Delhi NCR and Mumbai offer the least sq ft lakh. Rent to Buy Ratio: The ratio compares the monthly cost of renting house to the monthly cost of owning the same place. The ratio underlines the necessity and urgency with which the house needs to be bought. The rent to buy ratio of 0.41 shows that the rental values in Kolkata are higher and makes it an immediate buy. The ratio of 0.33 for Hyderabad and Pune gives ownership of house an advantage over renting. Breakeven Horizon: The annual out of pocket costs in case of renting include the monthly rent, maintenance charges and tax. The annual out of pocket costs in case of ownership include the monthly EMI, the maintenance charges and tax. The values have been calculated and compared across the average loan tenure of 15 years. The year at which the annual costs match determines the minimum stay period in the house. The minimum stay period is 12 years for Kolkata, 14 years for Pune and Hyderabad, 15 years for Mumbai and above 15 years for Delhi NCR, Bengaluru and Chennai. The tax benets received under the HRA allowance dominate the tax benets received in case of ownership over the period of 15years.
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ArthaYantra Buy vs Rent Score (ABRS ): Our proprietary ArthaYantra Buy vs Rent Score TM (ABRS ) not only aids in making the rent vs Buy decision but also explains the affordability TM and need to buy or rent in a given city. ABRS considers 3 important factors: rental value, property price and gross income of the individual. Delhi NCR: The rent to buy ratio of 0.20 means that the average rental value of residential property is very less compared to its higher prices. Renting is the best option. Kolkata: The buy to rent ratio of 0.41 means that the average rental value of residential property is high compared to the average property price. This makes Kolkata a place to buy. The moderate prices and a decent number of sq ft lakh make it a place where in you should buy a house as soon as you can afford it. The out of pocket costs are also in favor of th buy with the breakeven being achieved at 12 year (fastest of the seven cities). Mumbai: The place with highest average rental value and average property price. The rent to buy ratio of 0.31 meant that the rental prices are moderately high and it is advisable to buy. But the higher property prices and least number of sq ft lakh( among the seven cities) makes it a place to rent. Pune: The rent to buy ratio of 0.33 means that the rental prices are moderately high and it is advisable to buy. The years required to save for down payment (4 years, least among the seven cities) and the property prices being in a affordable range makes it the second most affordable city. Hyderabad: The most affordable city for a professional. The rent to buy ratio of 0.33 meant that the rental prices are moderately high and it is advisable to buy. The years required to save for down payment is 4 and one can get 26.57 sq ft lakh. The affordable gross salary zone also starts from INR 10 lakh. Bengaluru: The average residential property values of Bengaluru is higher than Kolkata by 6%, the average rental value is less by nearly 32%.A buy to rent ratio of 0.27 and moderately high property prices makes it a place to Rent. Chennai: The rent to buy ratio of 0.25 means that the rental prices are cheaper compared to EMI to be paid in case of ownership. The city with third highest property price also means that one need to save longer for the required down payment. These factors make it better for renting.
TM
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BUY
Mumbai
Pune
Hyderabad
Bengaluru
Chennai
80
100
DELHI NCR
KOLKATA MUMBAI
8-25 L
8-12 L
13-17 L
18-25 L
8-25 L
PUNE
8-10 L
11-12 L
13-25 L
HYDERABAD
8-9 L
10-11 L
12-25 L
BENGALURU CHENNAI
8-12 L
13-15 L
16-25 L
8-15 L
16-20 L
21-25 L
MUMBAI
DELHI NCR
CHENNAI
KOLKATA
BENGALURU
PUNE
HYDERABAD
Sq Ft per Lakh
9.19 Sq ft
9.19 Sq ft
13.96 Sq ft
18.39 Sq ft
19.52 Sq ft
23.39 Sq ft
26.57 Sq ft
*
Gross Income
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1. Introduction
Buying a home is a tough decision to make and emotions cloud the decision making. Often buying a home is given a high emotional weightage by family, friends and society at large. People associate the advantages of housing security, physical asset creation and property appreciation with home ownership. Renting is associated with expenditure. However, renting gives exible lifestyle options, high level of mobility and is easy on the purse when compared to the Home loan EMI. From a personal nance perspective there is always a tussle between buying a home and renting it. Is it prudent to buy? Is there an upside to taking a place on rent? How the lifestyle is going to be affected? What is the impact of the locality chosen? This research paper tries to objectively address the major factors which impact the decision of buying or renting. The common assumption that the residential property always appreciates is inconsistent. The appreciation of a residential property is dependent on several factors. So one can't actually determine the rate at which the residential property is going to appreciate or depreciate. A school of thought supporting the rent argument says the amount invested in a home when invested well in capital markets for the common horizon of 15 years could yield the same or better rewards. The real estate market scenario is similar to that of equity markets because it is unpredictable. The other common assumption held is buying a home eventually results in increased tax savings. But the fact that the EMI payments accounting for principal payment of home loan come under the same section as Provident fund and required risk cover for self and family, one can't enjoy major tax benets beyond 1.2 lakh stipulated in section 80C. The tax benets received under section 24B i.e. the interest payments made towards house loan can be matched up with house rent allowance in case of renting. So a professional shouldn't base the decision of buying a house on the tax savings he/she is going to receive. So eventually, the three factors which play a predominant role in making the decision are: Current Property price which determines the EMI to be paid, current monthly Rental value and the current gross income. Monthly rent or the EMI being paid shouldn't end up consuming most of the salary which in turn affects the lifestyle. It is not a good nancial decision to buy if the rental value is low compared to the EMI to be paid in case of ownership. As a part of this research we aim to provide a quantitative answer to the question of buying vs. renting a home. We analyzed the costs associated with owning a house and renting a house across seven major cities of India: Delhi NCR, Pune, Mumbai, Hyderabad, Bengaluru, Kolkata and Chennai.
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2. Methodology
Property prices and rental prices of various residential properties were collected from multiple data sources to generate the primary and secondary data for the analysis. The public data sources including the data by National Housing Board (NHB) of India, data from various real estate reports and data from major real estate aggregations is collated. The primary research has been performed by collating information from over 100 real estate agents across the cities considered. The methodology used for arriving at results considers various key parameters derived from the initial data collected: Price of the residential property and their rental value. Various important factors like the years of saving required for a professional to accumulate the corpus for down payment and the number of square feet per lakh are derived from the average property price. The main idea behind this research was to quantify the buy vs. rent decision from a personal nance perspective. The factors which drive the decision are: how much more money does a professional need to shell out for buying a home compared to renting it? Can the professional afford this additional amount? Our proprietary ArthaYantra Buy vs. Rent Score (ABRSTM) tries to address these questions and come up with a comprehensive scoring system. The scoring system not only tells whether it's better to buy or rent but also tells whether it's affordable to buy or rent.
Factors associated with buying a house Down payment for home loan No. of Years required to save for down payment EMI on home loan Monthly property maintenance charges Annual repairs Annual property tax Income tax savings under section 80c and 24 b
Factors associated with renting a house Security Deposit Monthly Rent Yearly increase in rent Monthly property maintenance charges Income tax savings under HRA exemption
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3. Assumptions
The sale price of 1000 sq ft area ready to occupy homes for sale is considered. The rental value of 1000 sq ft area ready to occupy homes for rent is considered. 20% of the cost of the house is considered as the required down payment to buy a house. The loan tenure is 15 years. The lending rate for the loan is 10.50%. Average savings rate is 25%. The minimum gross income required to buy a house is calculated by considering 50%of monthly take home salary= Monthly EMI to be paid. The gross income of the professional increases 10% annually. 1.5% of the property value is considered as the property tax to be paid. 10% annual increase in rent is considered. Considering real estate as an asset class having same properties of other asset classes. The ownership/buy case considered is for self occupancy.
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4. Findings
4.1 Historical data of Real estate prices
National Housing Board India's Residential Index (NHB Residex) tracks the movement of prices in the residential housing segment across India. Figure 1 shows the historical NHB Residex values since its inception in 2007.
NHB Residex
2007 Delhi NCR Kolkata Mumbai Pune 100 100 100 100 Q2 2012 172 196 197 200 85 100 309
Figure 2: Historical values of National Housing Board India Residential Index (NHB Residex)
Chennai has recorded the highest raise in the index value by 209%. Pune followed up with 100%, Kolkata and Mumbai with 96% and 97% respectively. Delhi NCR's index was up by 72%. The index value of Bengaluru recovered steadily from its dip in 2009 and recorded a 0% increase. The current index value of Hyderabad recorded a 15% decline compared to its base year, resulting in cheaper residential properties compared to those in 2007. It is evident that each of the cities has different real estate market and different expectations from real estate. The effort is to identify the places that are most affordable for a professional, given the current scenario. It is important to look at these graphs to get only a high level perspective of the general movement in real estate in each of the cities. We delve into each city's prospect in the later sections. The relative nature of the index hides many interesting facts.
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(Rs. 18,137)
(Rs. 28,830)
(Rs. 14,955)
(Rs. 3,764,188)
(Rs. 4,276,071)
(Rs. 5,123,000)
(Rs. 5,437,500)
(Rs. 7,161,591)
(Rs. 10,882,500)
(Rs. 10,931,885)
ur
al
Be
ng
Figure 3: Average property price and rental values across seven major cities of India
The most important thing that stands out while assessing the current residential property prices and NHB Residex is the base effect. Chennai's property prices (INR 7,161,591) as per NHB Residex have grown three fold but still remain less than that of Delhi NCR (INR 10,882,500) and Mumbai (INR 10,931,885). Pune whose property prices (INR 4,276,071) doubled as per NHB Residex are identical with that of Hyderabad (INR 3,764,188) which recorded a 15% decline in its index value. This means that the property prices of Chennai and Pune in the base year 2007 were less compared to other cities. The most important factor that stands out from the rental value of the properties across the seven cities is the anomaly of the property values not proportional to the corresponding rental values. Kolkata's average property price (INR 5,123,000) is less than that of Bengaluru (INR 5,437,500) by 6%. But the Average rental value of Kolkata (INR 17,833) is higher than that of Bengaluru (INR 12,125) by nearly 32%. The same case has been observed with Delhi NCR and Mumbai. Though their average residential property values are identical, the average rental value of Mumbai (INR 28,830) is higher than that of Delhi NCR (INR 18,137) by 60%.
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*On a scale of 1 to 7 with 1 being most affordable and 7 being least affordable based on the average property prices.
Table 2: City wise ranking based on the affordability to rent and buy
The above table shows the affordability to rent rank and the affordability to buy rank based on the average property prices and average rental values across the seven major cities of India. Hyderabad stands out as the most affordable place for a professional to rent as well as buy. Mumbai stands out as the least affordable place in both scenarios. Pune is the second most affordable place and Delhi NCR is the second least affordable place. The rank of affordability to Rent matches with the rank of affordability to buy in the case of above mentioned 4 cities. This means that the high/low property prices of the 4 cities are translated to their relative rental prices. Bengaluru ranks 3rd on the affordability to rent where as it ranks 4th on affordability to buy. Chennai ranks 4th on the affordability to rent where as it ranks 5th on affordability to buy. Kolkata ranks 5th on the affordability to rent where as it ranks 3rd on affordability to buy. This means that the average property price in Kolkata is less than that of Bengaluru and Chennai but the rental value is higher. This signies the fact that people of different cities have different expectations from their real estate markets.
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(8 Years)
NCR
(6 years)
(8 Years)
(5 Years)
Bengaluru
(4 years)
(5 years)
(4 years)
The average property prices translate to the number of years professional needs to save for the required corpus for down payment. Based on the above stated assumption and average property prices a professional can afford the down payment required in Hyderabad and Pune in 4 years. In Kolkata and Bengaluru a professional has to save for 5 years and in Chennai a professional has to for 6 years. In Mumbai and Delhi NCR, a professional has to save for at least 8 years to be able to afford the down payment. A professional from Hyderabad and Pune needs to save two fold to be able to buy a house in Mumbai and Delhi NCR.
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4.4 Area
The area of residential occupancy is an important aspect of life style. It determines the size of the home that is provided for the family. Figure 5 compares the average number of sq ft that can be bought for 1 lakh rupees across the seven cities.
(Sq ft 9.15)
NCR
(Sq ft 9.19)
(Sq ft 13.96)
(Sq ft 18.39)
Bengaluru
(Sq ft 19.52)
(Sq ft 23.39)
(Sq ft 26.57)
Figure 5: Average no. of sq ft per INR 1lakh across seven major cities of India
Mumbai, the costliest city to buy a home out of the seven cities considered, offers the least space of 9.15 sq ft per lakh. Delhi NCR is the second costliest city offering a living space of 9.19 sq ft per lakh, which is only 0.04 sq ft more than Mumbai. Hyderabad, being the cheapest city to buy a home out of the seven cities considered offers the largest living area of 26.57 sq ft per lakh. This means that a professional who wants to own a home in Mumbai and Delhi NCR has to spend 3 times more than what he spends in Hyderabad for the same no of sq ft. Pune is the next cheapest city to buy a home in. It provides a residential space of 23.39 sq ft per lakh. A professional from Mumbai and Delhi NCR will get 2 and a half times more area in Pune for lakh. Kolkata offers the third largest living space of 19.52 sq ft per lakh. Bengaluru and Chennai come in next at 18.39 sq ft and 13.96 sq ft per lakh respectively.
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CITIES
Average out of Pocket Cost (Ren ng the house) (INR) 19,137 18,833 29,830 13,000 11,438 13,125 15,955
Average out of Pocket Cost (Owning the house) (INR) 97,236 46,304 97,673 38,814 34,288 48,085 64,331
Rent yo Buy Ra o
(Ren ng the house)/(Owning the house)
7 1 4 2 3 5 6
*On a scale of 1 to 7 based on the monthly cost of renting and monthly cost of buying with 1 means buy as soon as possible and 7 means renting is better than buying.
Table 3
As per the values mentioned in Table 3,Delhi NCR has the least rent to buy ratio value which means that the renting is nearly 80% cheaper compared to buying a house based on the monthly charges one bares in both the cases. Kolkata scores highest making the decision to buy easier once in a position to afford the EMI payments and required down payment. The rent to buy ratio of 0.33 in Hyderabad and the least average out of pocket cost in case of owing house (INR 34,288) means that the buying is a better option in Hyderabad. Though Mumbai has a ratio value of 0.31 which meant that the buying is better option, high average out of pocket cost in case of owning (INR 97,673) meant that affordability is a major stumbling block.
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Though the tax benets in case of ownership are higher during the initial years, renting the same place gives better tax benets over the next few years. The benets of renting are higher especially in the regions where the costs of ownership and renting don't match up during the average loan tenure of 15 years. The breakeven year i.e. the year at which the annual cost of owning house is equal to the annual cost of renting the same place is calculated over the average loan tenure i.e 15 years. The cost of ownership and renting matchup in Kolkata happens after 12 years. The costs matchup happens approximately th after 14years in Pune and Hyderabad and at 15 year in Mumbai. The costs don't matchup in the case of Delhi NCR, Bengaluru and Chennai. The planned length of stay in the house becomes an important aspect in deciding whether to buy or rent especially for a rst time home buyer. With the current average stay around 7 years. most of the house owners might not see a break even point.
NCR
(12)
(16)
(15)
(14)
(14)
Bengaluru
(16)
(16)
10
No. of years
12
14
16
18
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Score
100 90 87.5 77.5 80 75 67.5 55 50
Recommended Ac on
Buy (Rents are very high) Buy (Rents are high) Buy/Neutral. But it is recommended to buy as rents are very high Buy/Neutral (Can afford both ownership and rent ) Can afford both ownership and Renting but because of low Rent to Ownership Rent is recommended. It is Advisable to buy but EMI can't be afforded. Have to Rent. Rent/Neutral (Can afford both ownership and rent but rent/EMI ratio is low) Can afford to Rent but can't afford to Buy. Can't afford both ownership and renting Table 4: ArthaYantra Buy vs. Rent Score Explanation
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Delhi NCR
Kolkata
Mumbai
Pune
Hyderabad
Bengaluru
Chennai
55 55 55 55 55 55
65 65 65 65 65 65
65 65 77.5 90 90 90
65 77.5 90 90 90 90
55 55 55 67.5 80 80
55 55 55 55 67.5 80
Table 5: ArthaYantra Buy vs. Rent scores for different salary ranges across seven major cities of India.
Delhi NCR: The low rental values compared to high property prices makes it a place where renting can be easily afforded and the EMI associated with home loan in high. It is advisable to rent for a professional with a salary range of 8 25 lakhs Kolkata: The ABRS score of 75 for a salary range of 8-12 lakhs signies the fact the rental value is critically high but a professional in the salary range can't afford to buy. A professional whose salary range is between 13 25 lakhs is better off owning a home than renting it. Mumbai: The score of 65 signies that though the rents are high, it is advisable to rent because the property prices are also high. The EMI payments to be made in case of ownership are not affordable. Pune: For a professional with a salary range of 8- 11 lakhs in Pune, it is advisable to rent. A professional with a salary of 12- 15 lakhs falls in the neutral zone i.e. he can afford to buy and it is advisable to buy but have to make few adjustments to the current lifestyle in order to afford the additional amount for EMI payments. Professionals with a salary range more than 15 lakhs are advised to buy. Hyderabad: For a professional with a salary range of 8- 9 lakhs in Hyderabad, it is advisable to rent. A professional with a salary of 10- 11 lakhs falls in the neutral zone i.e. he can afford to buy and it is advisable to buy but have to make few adjustments to the current lifestyle in order to afford the additional amount for EMI payments. Professionals with a salary range more than 12 lakhs are advised to buy. Bengaluru: The score of 55 for a professional with a salary range of 8-14 lakhs signies that the monthly cost of renting is cheaper than that of buying by more than 70%. The low rental prices also mean that though a professional with a salary more than 15 lakhs can afford to buy a house, renting is a better option. Chennai: The score of 55 for a professional with a salary range of 8-19 lakhs signies that the monthly cost of renting is cheaper than that of buying by more than 70%. The low rental prices also mean that though a professional with a salary more than 20 lakhs can afford to buy a house, renting is a better option.
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Delhi NCR
72%
Kolkata
96%
Mumbai
97%
Pune
100%
Hyderabad Bengaluru
-15% 0%
Chennai
209%
Initial Corpus 2,176,500 required for owning* (INR) No.of Years to save for the corpus Average No.of sq.ft per INR 1lakh Initial corpus required for renting**
Rent to buy ratio
1,024,600 2,186,377
855,214
752,838
1,087,500
1,432,318
9.19
19.52
9.15
23.39
26.57
18.39
13.96
181,370
178,333
245,660
120,000
31,313
121,250
149,550
0.20
0.41
0.31
0.33
0.33
0.27
0.25
15+
12
15
14
14
15+
15+
*Ini al corpus required for owning = 20% of the Average property price (down payment for house loan) **Ini al corpus required for ren ng= Amount equivalent to 10 months of rental value (Hyderabad which is 3 months) *** Average out of pocket cost(Ren ng the house) / Average out of pocket cost (Owning the house) The gross income of 8 lakhs per annum is considered.
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7. Conclusion
Based on the current real estate markets, Hyderabad and Pune are the best places to own a house. The property prices and rental values in these two cities are low, thus making them the most affordable places for a professional to rent or own a house. The larger residential spaces offered by Hyderabad and Pune provide a better lifestyle option. The real estate market of Kolkata favors the home owners because of its moderate property prices and high rental value. Though the moderate property prices of Chennai and Bengaluru make a strong case of ownership for professionals with higher salaries, the low rental values make renting a better option. The high property prices and low rental values of Delhi NCR make the decision to rent easier. Mumbai is the least affordable city for a professional because of its high property prices and rental values. The research addresses the fact that Buy vs. rent decision has a huge impact on the personal nance of a professional. Buying a home is an integral part of every one's dream. But a very calculated and merit based judgment is needed before taking the decision to own the house. It is important to assess both home for rent as well as homes for sale columns of real estate homes classieds column before making a decision. The comprehensive ArthaYantra Buy vs. Rent Score (ABRSTM) suggests the decision a professional should take across the seven major cities of India based on the current rental values, property prices and the salary. If a professional nds himself in the rent zone as per the ABRS but still wants to buy a house, one has to make sure that his/her Emotional Premium attached with buying a house is going to match the EMI premium being paid.
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9. Appendix
FIGURES:
Figure1: Graphical Representation of Buy Vs. Rent Figure 2: Historical values of National Housing Board India Residential Index (NHB Residex) Figure 3: Average property price and rental values across seven major cities of India Figure 4: No. of years required to save the corpus for down payment across seven major cities of India Figure 5: Average no. of sq ft per INR 1lakh across seven major cities of India Figure 6: Break even horizon for the seven major cities of India
TABLE:
Table 1: Factors associated with home ownership and renting
Table 2: City wise ranking based on the affordability to rent and buy Table 3: Rent to Buy ratio and Urgency to buy rank of seven major cities across India
SOURCES:
National Housing Board, India: www.nhb.org.in Jones Lang LaSalle: www.joneslanglasalle.co.in Makaan: www.makaan.com Magic Bricks: www.magicbricks.com Multiple Primary sources (100+)
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ArthaYantra is a young and innovative company started by a group of alumni of the Indian School of Business (ISB) Hyderabad. It provides integrated personal nance services using its unique proprietary framework, Personal Financial Lifecycle Management (PFLM)TM, which helps clients achieve their nancial goals. ArthaYantra's vision is to provide independent, high quality, customized nancial planning solutions and their efcient execution to individuals. It employs proprietary nancial models and enable investments through well balanced passive investment strategies. ArthaYantra's clientele includes individuals from India, US, Europe and Middle East.
Our Mission
To positively impact the future of our customers & their families.
For more information on this report please contact ArthaYantra Corporation Pvt. Ltd. visit us online: www.arthayantra.com or Write to : contactus@arthayantra.com Website: www.arthayantra.com : h p://twi er.com/arthayantra : h p://www.facebook.com/arthayantra :h p://www.linkedin.com/company/arthayantra
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ArthaYantra
Plot #319, Second Floor, Ayyappa Society, Madhapur, Hyderabad - 500081, AP, India. Phone : +91- 040-66245874, Fax : +91-040-66245. www.arthayantra.com, contactus@arthayantra.com