-

--

20110207-0211

2.72.11
LME0.61%LME2.68%78
LME1.84%
1.81%1.64%
7.54%
4.57%1.68%

s34020041917193

010-59707167
liwen@longone.com.cn
:

010-59707167

1.312.12011

25%19%
2.92.11
9.68%2.29%
LME3.42%

zhangfang@longone.com.cn
:2011 02 14

6000
5500
5000
4500
4000
3500
3000
2500

3001.4%0.4%
0.9%1.9%0.4%0.5%0.7%

601168
600362000960601958
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2011/1/21

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2010/11/21

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2010/10/21

2010/8/21

2010/7/21

2010/6/21

2010/5/21

2010/4/21

2010/3/21

2010/2/21

2000

2010/1/21

300

/EPS
2010

2011

2012

1.42

1.88

2.35

0.81

1.38

1.75

0.68

0.92

1.42

0.28

0.56

0.80

0.49

0.79

0.99

0.37

0.5

0.61

LME

HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN

2.72.11LME0.61%LME
2.68%78LME1.84%
1.81%1.64%
7.54%4.57%1.68%
1.312.12011

25%19%
2.92.119.68%
2.29%LME3.42%

3001.4%0.4%0.9%
1.9%0.4%0.5%0.7%

601168
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LME
(London Metal Exchange, LME)(Singapore Exchange Ltd
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2 11

LME/

1357.05

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C0MEX /

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289.66

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29.9175

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29.995

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LME/
LME/

2.11

2011

1804.25

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0.57%

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813.63

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LME3 2 .14

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1#

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1#

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2.11

2011

REO 42.0-45.0 %

2250 0

0.00%

9.76%

9.76%

(/)

La2O3/TREO 99.0-99 .9%

2900 0

0.00%

1.75%

1.75%

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CeO2/TREO 99.0-99.5%

3550 0

0.00%

4.41%

4.41%

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Nd2 O3 /TREO 9 9.0-99.9%

310000

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19.23%

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Pr6O11/TREO 99.0-9 9.5%

250000

0.00%

7.53%

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(Nd2O3+Pr6O11)/TREO75.0%

247500

0.00%

13.79%

18.14%

99.99-99 .999%

5050 0

0.00%

4.12%

4.12%

(/ )
/
/

99.99%

3100

0.00%

2.82%

2.82%

99.95%

1825

0.00%

25.00%

31.29%

99.95%

3000

0.00%

9.09%

9.09%

2.11

2011

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405000

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

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3800 0

0.00%

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HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN

2.11

2011

97-9 8%

59.5

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

MB /

>95%

782.5

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170

9.68%

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0.00%

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2.11

2011

3930 0

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6.22%

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0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

65-70%Mo

19.75

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12.22%

12.22%

MB /

LME3 /
1#/
/
/

17.7

2.91%

10.49%

10.49%

MB /

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114500

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0.00%

2.69%

MBAPT /

1#

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0.00%

2.29%

MBAPT /

352.5

2.92%

2.92%

5.22%

2.11

2011

1#

8950 0

2.29%

1.13%

6.55%

MB /

MMTAII

8950 0

0.00%

0.00%

5.92%

MB /

MMTAI

1355 0

0.00%

2.07%

9.27%

1#

1835 0

-0 .27%

-0.27 %

-2.65%

99%

1710 0

0.00%

0.00%

2.40%

2.11

2011

3910 0

0.26%

1.43%

2.56%

1#

337500

0.00%

0.00%

6.30%

10%

14.3

0.00%

0.00%

3.62%

/
MB/

LME3 /
/
MB /

2.11

2011

98%

3000

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

MB /

570

0.88%

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1.33%

MB /

99.99%

955

0.00%

8.52%

36.43%

99.95%

8650

0.00%

0.00%

8.81%

MB /

HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN

HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN

C0MEX/

5. 1#

80000
75000
70000
65000
60000
55000
50000
45000
40000

1#/

2011/02
2011/02

2010/11

2010/10

2010/09

2010/08

2010/07

2010/06

2010/05

2010/04

2010/03

2010/02

2011/01

7000
6500
6000
5500
5000
4500
4000
3500
3000
2011/01

4. 1#

2010/12

AUA2/

2010/12

2010/11

2010/10

2010/09

10
2010/08

15

2010/07

C0MEX/

2010/06

20

2010/05

25

2010/04

30

2010/03

35

2010/02

3. C0MEX
2010/01

2011/02

2011/01

2010/12

2010/11

2010/10

2010/09

2010/08

2010/07

2010/06

2010/05

2010/04

2010/03

1500
1450
1400
1350
1300
1250
1200
1150
1100
1050
1000

2010/01

2011/02

2011/01

2010/12

2010/11

2010/10

2010/09

2010/08

2010/07

2010/06

2010/05

2010/04

2010/02

2010/01

1. C0MEX

2010/01
2010/02
2010/03
2010/04
2010/05
2010/06
2010/07
2010/08
2010/09
2010/10
2010/11
2010/12
2011/01
2011/02

2011/02

2011/01

2010/12

2010/11

2010/10

2010/09

2010/08

2010/07

2010/06

2010/05

2010/04

2010/03

2010/03

2010/02

2010/01

2010/02

2010/01

2.

340
320
300
280
260
240
220
200

1#/

6.LME3

11000

600000

10000

550000

9000

500000

8000

450000

7000

400000

6000

350000

5000

300000

LME3/

HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN

12500

10000

1#/

2011/02

15000

2011/01

17500

2010/12

20000

2010/11

2010/10

22500
2011/02

2011/01

2010/12

2010/11

2010/10

2010/09

2010/08

2010/07

2010/09

11. 1#

2010/08

1#/
2010/06

10000

2010/07

12500

2010/05

15000

2010/06

17500

2010/04

20000

2010/05

9. 1#

2010/03

A00/

2010/04

10000

2010/03

12500

2010/01
2010/02
2010/03
2010/04
2010/05
2010/06
2010/07
2010/08
2010/09
2010/10
2010/11
2010/12
2011/01
2011/02

15000

2010/02

17500

2010/01

2011/02

2011/01

2010/12

2010/11

2010/10

2010/09

2010/08

2010/07

2010/06

2010/05

2010/04

2010/03

2010/02

2010/01

20000

2010/02

2011/02

2011/01

2010/12

2010/11

2010/10

2010/09

2010/08

2010/07

2010/06

2010/05

2010/04

2010/03

2010/02

2010/01

7. A00

2010/01

2011/02

2011/01

2010/12

2010/11

2010/10

2010/09

2010/08

2010/07

2010/06

2010/05

2010/04

2010/03

2010/02

2010/01

8. LME3
2700
4700000

2500
4600000

2300
4500000

2100
4400000

1900

4300000

1700

4200000

4100000

1500
4000000

LME3/

10.LME3

2800
2600
2400
2200
2000
1800
1600
1400
1200
1000
350000

300000

250000

200000

150000

100000

LME3/

12. LME3

3000
2800
2600
2400
2200
2000
1800
1600
1400
1200
1000
750000

700000

650000

600000

550000

500000

450000

400000

LME3/

HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN

175000

125000

100000

15. 1#

225000

200000

175000

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125000

100000

17./

40000
35000
30000
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
0
2010/01
2010/02
2010/03
2010/04
2010/05
2010/06
2010/07
2010/08
2010/09
2010/10
2010/11
2010/12
2011/01
2011/02

2011/02

2011/01

2010/12

2010/11

2010/10

2010/09

2010/08

2010/07

2010/06

2010/05

2010/04

2010/03

2010/02

2010/01

200000

2010/01
2010/02
2010/03
2010/04
2010/05
2010/06
2010/07
2010/08
2010/09
2010/10
2010/11
2010/12
2011/01
2011/02

2011/02

2011/01

2010/12

2010/11

2010/10

2010/09

2010/08

2010/07

2010/06

2010/05

2010/04

2010/03

2010/02

2010/01

13. 1#

2007/01
2007/04
2007/07
2007/10
2008/01
2008/04
2008/07
2008/10
2009/01
2009/04
2009/07
2009/10
2010/01
2010/04
2010/07
2010/10
2011/01

2007/01
2007/04
2007/07
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2008/01
2008/04
2008/07
2008/10
2009/01
2009/04
2009/07
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2010/01
2010/04
2010/07
2010/10
2011/01

14.LME3
35000

30000

150000
25000

20000

15000

10000

1#/

1#/

30000
28000
26000
24000
22000
20000
18000
16000
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12000
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16. LME3

30000
28000
26000
24000
22000
20000
18000
16000
14000
12000
10000
170000

160000

150000

140000

130000

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110000

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18. /

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300000

250000

200000

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100000

50000

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3500

3000

2500

2000

1500

1000

21.

23.

250

200

150

100

50

25.

HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN

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2007/10
2008/01
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2010/01
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2010/10
2011/01

2007/01
2007/04
2007/07
2007/10
2008/01
2008/04
2008/07
2008/10
2009/01
2009/04
2009/07
2009/10
2010/01
2010/04
2010/07
2010/10
2011/01

4500

2006/07
2006/10
2007/01
2007/04
2007/07
2007/10
2008/01
2008/04
2008/07
2008/10
2009/01
2009/04
2009/07
2009/10
2010/01
2010/04
2010/07
2010/10
2011/01

2006/07
2006/10
2007/01
2007/04
2007/07
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2010/04
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2010/10
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19.

2006/07
2006/10
2007/01
2007/04
2007/07
2007/10
2008/01
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2008/07
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2006/07
2006/10
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2009/10
2010/01
2010/04
2010/07
2010/10
2011/01

20.
2000
1800
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200

99%/

80000
75000
70000
65000
60000
55000
50000
45000
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35000
30000

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/

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80000

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20000

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10000

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99%/

24.

800
780
760
740
720
700
680
660
640
620
600

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26.

HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN

27.

29. LME3

45000
40000
35000
30000
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
0
2006/07
2006/10
2007/01
2007/04
2007/07
2007/10
2008/01
2008/04
2008/07
2008/10
2009/01
2009/04
2009/07
2009/10
2010/01
2010/04
2010/07
2010/10
2011/01

2006/06
2006/09
2006/12
2007/03
2007/06
2007/09
2007/12
2008/03
2008/06
2008/09
2008/12
2009/03
2009/06
2009/09
2009/12
2010/03
2010/06
2010/09
2010/12

2006/07
2006/10
2007/01
2007/04
2007/07
2007/10
2008/01
2008/04
2008/07
2008/10
2009/01
2009/04
2009/07
2009/10
2010/01
2010/04
2010/07
2010/10
2011/01

2006/07
2006/10
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2007/04
2007/07
2007/10
2008/01
2008/04
2008/07
2008/10
2009/01
2009/04
2009/07
2009/10
2010/01
2010/04
2010/07
2010/10
2011/01

280
260
240
220
200
180
160
140
120
100

130000
120000
110000
100000
90000
80000
70000
60000
50000
40000

2006/07
2006/10
2007/01
2007/04
2007/07
2007/10
2008/01
2008/04
2008/07
2008/10
2009/01
2009/04
2009/07
2009/10
2010/01
2010/04
2010/07
2010/10
2011/01

2011/01

2010/12

2010/11

2010/10

2010/09

2010/08

2010/07

2010/06

2010/05

2010/04

2010/03

2010/02

1300

1200

1100

1000
900

800

700

600

/
MB/

28. 1#APT
350

300

250

200

150

100

MB(/)
MB1#APT(/)

30.

40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5

LME3(/)

MB/

10

MB/

90000
90000

80000
80000

70000
70000

60000
60000

50000
50000

40000
40000

30000
30000

20000
20000

34. 1#

HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN

2006/10
2007/01
2007/04
2007/07
2007/10
2008/01
2008/04
2008/07
2008/10
2009/01
2009/04
2009/07
2009/10
2010/01
2010/04
2010/07
2010/10
2011/01

2006/07
2006/10
2007/01
2007/04
2007/07
2007/10
2008/01
2008/04
2008/07
2008/10
2009/01
2009/04
2009/07
2009/10
2010/01
2010/04
2010/07
2010/10
2011/01

32. 1#

2006/10
2007/01
2007/04
2007/07
2007/10
2008/01
2008/04
2008/07
2008/10
2009/01
2009/04
2009/07
2009/10
2010/01
2010/04
2010/07
2010/10
2011/01

2006/07
2006/10
2007/01
2007/04
2007/07
2007/10
2008/01
2008/04
2008/07
2008/10
2009/01
2009/04
2009/07
2009/10
2010/01
2010/04
2010/07
2010/10
2011/01

2007/01
2007/04
2007/07
2007/10
2008/01
2008/04
2008/07
2008/10
2009/01
2009/04
2009/07
2009/10
2010/01
2010/04
2010/07
2010/10
2011/01

31. 1#
700

600

500

400

300

200

100

1#(98%,/)

33. MB

1#(/)
MB(MMTAII)/

35. MB

45000
45000

40000
40000

35000
35000

30000

30000

25000

25000

20000

20000

15000

15000

10000

10000

1#/

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11

HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN

1300
300

LME/

40.MB

6000
5500
5000
4500
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000

MB98%,/

12

2011/02

400

2011/01

1400

2010/12

500

2010/11

600

1500

2010/10

1600

2010/09

700

2010/08

800

1700

2010/07

1#/

2010/06

1800

2010/05

900

2010/04

1900

2010/03

38.LME

2010/02

2011/01

2010/12

2010/11

2010/10

2010/09

2010/08

2010/07

2010/06

2010/05

2010/04

2010/03

2010/02

2006/07
2006/10
2007/01
2007/04
2007/07
2007/10
2008/01
2008/04
2008/07
2008/10
2009/01
2009/04
2009/07
2009/10
2010/01
2010/04
2010/07
2010/10
2011/01

1000000
900000
800000
700000
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000

2010/01

2011/02

2011/01

2010/12

2010/11

2010/10

2010/09

2010/08

2010/07

2010/06

2010/05

2010/04

2010/03

2010/02

2010/01

36. 1#

2006/07
2006/10
2007/01
2007/04
2007/07
2007/10
2008/01
2008/04
2008/07
2008/10
2009/01
2009/04
2009/07
2009/10
2010/01
2010/04
2010/07
2010/10
2011/01

2006/06
2006/09
2006/12
2007/03
2007/06
2007/09
2007/12
2008/03
2008/06
2008/09
2008/12
2009/03
2009/06
2009/09
2009/12
2010/03
2010/06
2010/09
2010/12

37.LME3
48000
46000
44000
42000
40000
38000
36000
34000
32000
30000

LME3/

39.LME3

LME/

41. MB

1100

1000

900

800

700

600

500

400

MB(/)

42.
11000
10000
9000
8000
7000
6000
5000
2011/01

2010/10

2010/01
2010/04
2010/07

2009/10

2009/01
2009/04
2009/07

2008/10

2008/01
2008/04
2008/07

2007/10

2007/01
2007/04
2007/07

4000

(50/cm/)

Bloomberg

HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN

13

1.
300

1%

1.4%

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-1.8%

-0.9%

-2.3%

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0.7%

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-0.4%

-1.8%

-0.5%

-1.9%

1.8%

0.4%

1%

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-7.6%

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-7.2%

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2.8%

3.5%

3%

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-9.6%

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-17.6%

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7.1%

1%

-3.1%

26.6%

29.7%

9.2%

12.3%

19.0%

22.1%

-8.7%

-5.6%

29.5%

32.6%

66.7%

69.8%

64.1%

67.2%

2. 1 10

10

10.6x

10

002379

38.9

10.1%

30.1

7.6

n.a.

3.5x

600489

34.4

-1.7%

490.1

233.3

146.6x

002340

53.8

5.3%

65.3

50.4

114.5x

6.4x

600432

25.8

-1.7%

209.5

197.2

161.4x

5.8x

000602

28.6

4.0%

43.1

42.7

n.a.

19.5x

600259

54.4

-1.8%

135.7

66.4

n.a.

48.1x
12.1x

002428

80.3

3.3%

100.9

25.7

n.a.

8.4x

600331

13.8

-2.0%

142.7

142.7

56.9x

*ST

000831

6.7

3.3%

43.5

30.5

n.a.

38.9x

000758

27.3

-2.1%

174.7

116.4

216.5x

9.1x

002333

13.8

2.6%

34.6

9.1

34.7x

3.0x

600362

38.8

-2.5%

1,343.2

805.0

48.8x

3.4x

600768

8.9

2.5%

11.9

10.2

n.a.

9.1x

002155

28.9

-2.6%

158.2

158.2

102.7x

8.1x

*ST

000603

23.6

2.5%

33.1

13.4

n.a.

47.7x

002160

18.6

-2.8%

31.6

31.6

n.a.

4.9x

601137

25.3

2.3%

54.3

11.1

n.a.

3.2x

000630

27.8

-3.1%

360.1

360.1

54.5x

5.3x

10

002295

18.7

2.2%

26.4

16.9

37.4x

3.1x 10

002167

36.1

-3.2%

64.9

63.1

195.9x

11.2x

6.4x

3. 1 10

10

10

601137

25.3

n.a.

54.3

11.1

n.a.

3.2x

002340

53.8

-11.1%

65.3

50.4

114.5x

002540

34.5

n.a.

55.1

11.1

n.a.

2.7x

600961

14.9

-11.6%

78.5

38.4

122.0x

4.1x

002171

29.9

25.8%

48.8

48.2

141.0x

7.2x

600311

14.6

-12.4%

97.0

97.0

n.a.

10.9x

002182

26.0

20.6%

49.9

36.0

170.9x

5.6x

600531

26.6

-12.5%

78.6

78.6

78.9x

4.6x

002160

18.6

12.4%

31.6

31.6

n.a.

4.9x

002466

51.1

-13.4%

50.0

12.5

n.a.

5.3x

000960

34.0

7.7%

280.4

155.2

139.0x

6.8x

002167

36.1

-13.4%

64.9

63.1

195.9x

11.2x

002295

18.7

7.1%

26.4

16.9

37.4x

3.1x

600259

54.4

-14.0%

135.7

66.4

n.a.

48.1x

002428

80.3

6.7%

100.9

25.7

n.a.

8.4x

*ST

000603

23.6

-15.1%

33.1

13.4

n.a.

47.7x

601600

10.6

4.4%

1,437.7

1,018.4

n.a.

2.8x

000762

29.8

-16.9%

82.2

82.2

822.4x

11.9x

10

600497

27.9

4.2%

281.6

262.5

97.0x

6.7x 10

000762

29.8

-16.9%

82.2

82.2

822.4x

11.9x

4. 3 10

10

10

601137

25.3

n.a.

54.3

11.1

n.a.

3.2x

601899

7.3

-23.8%

1,054.2

458.6

26.2x

5.1x

002540

34.5

n.a.

55.1

11.1

n.a.

2.7x

002155

28.9

-25.0%

158.2

158.2

102.7x

8.1x

002501

51.1

n.a.

47.8

9.6

n.a.

4.3x

600547

45.3

-25.5%

645.1

313.6

72.0x

17.9x

002171

29.9

48.8%

48.8

48.2

141.0x

7.2x

600259

54.4

-27.1%

135.7

66.4

n.a.

48.1x

002182

26.0

38.5%

49.9

36.0

170.9x

5.6x

000751

8.2

-27.1%

90.9

90.9

163.8x

5.5x

002160

18.6

35.2%

31.6

31.6

n.a.

4.9x

601958

21.6

-27.2%

696.9

167.2

100.0x

5.3x

600139

37.6

10.0%

89.2

44.1

94.8x

23.5x

600311

14.6

-27.6%

97.0

97.0

n.a.

10.9x

002167

36.1

8.4%

64.9

63.1

195.9x

11.2x

000762

29.8

-27.9%

82.2

82.2

822.4x

11.9x

000602

28.6

4.8%

43.1

42.7

n.a.

19.5x

000762

29.8

-27.9%

82.2

82.2

822.4x

11.9x

10

002428

80.3

4.7%

100.9

25.7

n.a.

8.4x 10

600961

14.9

-30.0%

78.5

38.4

122.0x

4.1x

wind

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HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN

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2011/2/11

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2010/12/11

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2010/8/11

2010/7/11

2010/6/11

2010/5/11

2010/4/11

2010/3/11

2011/2/11

2011/2/11

2011/1/11

6500
6000
5500
5000
4500
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
2011/1/11

4. 1

2010/12/11

300

2010/12/11

2010/11/11

2010/10/11

2010/9/11

2010/8/11

()

2010/10/11

15000
14000
13000
12000
11000
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6000
5000
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2010/9/11

5. 1

2010/8/11

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2010/7/11

300

2010/7/11

2000
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2500

2010/6/11

3000

2010/5/11

3500

2010/5/11

4000

2010/4/11

4500

2010/4/11

3. 1

2010/3/11

5000

2010/2/11

2011/2/11

2011/1/11

2010/12/11

2010/11/11

2010/10/11

1. 1

2010/3/11

2010/2/11

2011/2/11

2011/1/11

2010/12/11

2010/11/11

2010/9/11

2010/8/11

2010/7/11

2010/6/11

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2010/3/11

2010/2/11

15000
14000
13000
12000
11000
10000
9000
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2010/2/11

2011/2/11

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2010/12/11

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2010/10/11

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2010/8/11

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2010/9/11

2010/8/11

2010/7/11

2010/6/11

2010/5/11

2010/4/11

2010/3/11

2010/2/11

2. 1

7500
7000
6500
6000
5500
5000
4500
4000
3500
3000

300

6. 1

5000

4500

4000

3500

3000

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2000

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wind

6 20%
6 -20%20%
6 20%

6 10%
6 -10%10%
6 10%

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