Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Manpower
Employment
Outlook Survey
India
Contents
Employment Outlook 14
International Comparisons – Asia Pacific
International Comparisons – Americas
International
International Comparisons Comparisons – EMEA
– Europe
About Manpower 24
4
India Employment Outlook
Indian employers predict steady headcount growth during
The Manpower Quarter 2 2009. With 25% predicting an increase in
headcount, 6% forecasting a decrease and 64%
Employment Outlook anticipating no change, the resulting Net Employment
Outlook stands at a favorable +19%.
Survey for the second
Throughout this report, we use the term “Net Employment
quarter 2009 was Outlook.” This figure is derived by taking the percentage
of employers anticipating total employment to increase,
conducted by interviewing a and subtracting from this, the percentage expecting to
see a decrease in employment at their location in the next
representative sample of quarter. The result of this calculation is the Net
Employment Outlook.
3,335 employers in India. Quarter-over-quarter, hiring intentions have remained
All survey participants were relatively stable, but comparison with Quarter 2 2008
reveals a 17 percentage point decline in the Outlook,
asked, “How do you reflecting considerably weaker hiring plans.
end of June 2009 as From this point forward, all data discussed in the
commentary is seasonally adjusted, unless stated
compared to the current otherwise.
quarter?”
5
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey India
Regional Comparisons
Employers in all four regions predict a strong labor market the West. In the East there is more consistency with
in Quarter 2 2009, with the most optimistic forecast in the Quarter 1 2008, and the Outlook has only declined by a
East, where the Net Employment Outlook stands at slight 2 percentage points.
+27%. Outlooks for the South, West and North are
Based on unadjusted survey data, employers in all four
+24%, +23% and +22%, respectively.
regions predict positive hiring activity for the forthcoming
Quarter-over-quarter, hiring intentions have strengthened quarter. The strongest hiring intentions are reported in the
in all four regions. In the East, the Outlook is 7 percentage East, where the Outlook is a healthy +24%, followed by
points stronger, while in the South and West, it has the South, where the Outlook is +20%. In the North and
improved by 5 percentage points, and by 4 percentage the West, favorable Outlooks of +17% are reported.
points in the North. Quarter-over-quarter the Outlook remains relatively stable
in two regions, the North and West, and improves slightly
However, year-over-year comparison reveals weaker
in the East and South. Year-over-year, the Outlook has
hiring plans in all four regions. The Outlook has declined by
declined in all four regions.
a considerable 19 percentage points in both the North and
South, and there is a similar 18 percentage point decline in
6
North + 22 (17)% East + 27 (24)%
With a Net Employment Outlook of +22%, employers in In the East, employers predict a particularly healthy
the North forecast solid headcount growth during hiring climate in Quarter 2 2009. With a Net
Quarter 2 2009. Their hiring plans have strengthened Employment Outlook of +27%, employers report a
slightly, quarter-over-quarter, with a 4 percentage point moderate 7 percentage point improvement in hiring
improvement in the Outlook. Year-over-year, however, prospects quarter-over-quarter. Year-over-year, however,
the Outlook is weaker by a considerable 19 percentage the Outlook is slightly weaker, by 2 percentage points.
points.
Based on unadjusted survey data, the Outlook is +24%,
Based on unadjusted survey data, the Outlook is +17%, following a slight 4 percentage point improvement
and has remained relatively stable quarter-over-quarter. quarter-over-quarter. Year-over-year, the Outlook has
Year-over-year, the Outlook is weaker by 19 percentage declined by 2 percentage points.
points.
7
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey India
Sector Comparisons
Employers in all seven industry sectors expect Comparison with Quarter 2 2008 reveals weaker hiring
headcount to grow during Quarter 2 2009. The most intentions in all seven sectors. The decline has been
optimistic projections are reported in the Services steepest in the Mining & Construction and the Finance,
sector, with a strong Net Employment Outlook of +29%. Insurance & Real Estate sectors, by 28 and 26
In the Transportation & Utilities sector, the Outlook is a percentage points, respectively. The smallest decline is
healthy +23%, while it is +22% for both the reported by employers in the Public Administration &
Manufacturing and the Public Administration & Education sector, but even here, the decline has been a
Education sectors, and +21% for the Finance, considerable 10 percentage points.
Insurance & Real Estate sector.
Based on unadjusted survey data, employers forecast
Quarter-over-quarter, hiring intentions are stronger in six positive hiring activity in all seven sectors for Quarter 2
of the seven sectors, with the strongest improvement of 2009. The Public Administration & Education sector is
11 percentage points reported by employers in the expected to see the strongest growth, with an Outlook
Transportation & Utilities sector. A more moderate of +22%, and employers in the Services and
increase of 7 percentage points is reported for the Transportation & Utilities sectors report Outlooks of
Wholesale & Retail Trade sector, while both the Services +20%. Quarter-over-quarter, Outlooks have improved in
and Public Administration & Education sector Outlooks four sectors, but declined in two, most notably the 11
are 6 percentage points stronger. Employers in the percentage point decrease in the Mining & Construction
Mining & Construction sector, however, report a slight 3 sector. Year-over-year, Outlooks have weakened in all
percentage point decline. seven sectors.
8
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate Manufacturing
Employers predict healthy headcount growth in Quarter With a Net Employment Outlook of +22%, employers in
2 2009. They report a Net Employment Outlook of the Manufacturing industry sector expect healthy hiring
+21%, which represents a slight 4 percentage point prospects for job seekers during Quarter 2 2009.
improvement on the previous quarter. However, year- Quarter-over-quarter, hiring intentions have improved
over-year, hiring plans have weakened sharply, with a 26 slightly, with a 4 percentage point increase, although
percentage point decline in the Outlook. year-over-year the Outlook is weaker by a considerable
15 percentage points.
Based on unadjusted survey data, the Outlook is +13%
and has declined both quarter-over-quarter and year- Based on unadjusted survey data, the Outlook is +18%,
over-year, by 3 and 26 percentage points, respectively. remaining relatively stable quarter-over-quarter, but
weakening by 15 percentage points year-over-year.
9
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey India
10
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey India
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey India
12
Over 72,000 employers have been interviewed across employers in Colombia, Peru and Costa Rica remain
34 countries and territories to measure anticipated somewhat optimistic. However, employers in the United
employment trends* between April and June 2009. States report the gloomiest Outlook since the 1982
Employers in 13 of the 34 countries and territories recession, and Mexican employers report their least
Manpower surveyed expect to add to their workforces optimistic Outlook – and the country's first negative
in Quarter 2 2009. However, where year-over-year forecast – since Manpower began surveying there in
comparisons can be made, hiring expectations are 2002. In the Asia Pacific region, job prospects are
decidedly weaker in all countries and territories surveyed generally less optimistic with employers in all countries
compared to 12 months ago. Notably, employers in 24 and territories surveyed except India reporting weaker
countries and territories are reporting the weakest hiring hiring plans compared to the previous quarter.
plans since the surveys were established there by Meanwhile, employee hiring plans weaken in all of the
Manpower. Israeli employers also join the survey this countries and territories compared to one year ago. In
quarter. the Europe, Middle East & Africa (EMEA) region,
Despite weaker second-quarter forecasts, employment
Outlooks decline from three months ago in 12 of 17
prospects are most favorable in India, South Africa,
countries, with employers in Italy, the Czech Republic
Colombia, Peru, Poland, China, the Netherlands and
and South Africa anticipating a slightly improved hiring
Costa Rica. Employer hiring expectations are weakest
pace. Outlooks have declined in all 17 of the region's
in Singapore, Ireland, Spain, New Zealand, Taiwan, Italy
countries where year-over-year comparisons are
and the United Kingdom.
possible.
On a regional basis, employment prospects are mixed, * Commentary is based on seasonally adjusted data
but reveal a generally downward trend. In the Americas, where available.
13
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey India
Australia China
14
Japan New Zealand
Singapore Taiwan
15
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey India
Argentina Canada
16
Guatemala Mexico
USA Peru
17
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey India
Austria Belgium
18
Germany Greece
Ireland Italy
Netherlands Norway
Poland Romania
19
South Africa Spain
Sweden Switzerland
UK
20
About the Survey Throughout this report, we use the term “Net
Employment Outlook.” This figure is derived by taking
The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is the percentage of employers anticipating an increase in
conducted quarterly to measure employers' intentions hiring activity and subtracting from this the percentage
to increase or decrease the number of employees in of employers expecting to see a decrease in
their workforce during the next quarter. The survey has employment at their location in the next quarter. The
been running for more than 45 years and is one of the result of this calculation is the Net Employment Outlook.
most trusted surveys of employment activity in the
world. Various factors underpin the success of the Net Employment Outlook
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey:
Unique: It is unparalleled in its size, scope, longevity and Throughout this report, we use the term “Net
area of focus. Employment Outlook.” This figure is derived by taking
the percentage of employers anticipating an increase in
Projective: The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey hiring activity and subtracting from this the percentage
is the most extensive, forward-looking employment of employers expecting to see a decrease in
survey in the world, asking employers to forecast employment at their location in the next quarter. The
employment over the next quarter. In contrast, other result of this calculation is the Net Employment Outlook.
surveys and studies focus on retrospective data to
report on what occurred in the past. Seasonal Adjustment
Seasonal adjustments have been applied to the data for
Focused: For more than four decades, the survey has
Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, China, France,
derived all of its information from a single question.
Germany, Hong Kong, India, Ireland, Italy, Japan,
Independent: The survey is conducted with a Mexico, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Singapore,
representative sample of employers from throughout the Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Taiwan, the United
countries in which it is conducted. The survey Kingdom and the United States to provide additional
participants are not derived from Manpower's customer insight into the survey data. These adjustments make it
base. possible to review the data without the employment
fluctuations that normally occur at the same time each
Robust: The survey is based on interviews with over year, thus providing a clearer picture of the data over
72,000 public and private employers across 34 time. Manpower intends to add seasonal adjustments to
countries and territories to measure anticipated the data for other countries in the future, as more
employment trends each quarter. This sample allows for historical data is compiled. Note that in Quarter 2 2008,
analysis to be performed across specific sectors and Manpower adopted the TRAMO-SEATS method of
regions to provide more detailed information. seasonal adjustment for data.
21
2002 Manpower United Kingdom's Quarterly Survey 2008 Manpower operations in Colombia, the Czech
of Employment Prospects is updated to adopt Republic, Greece, Guatemala, Poland and
an enhanced research methodology. Romania join the survey program. China and
Manpower's operations in Mexico and Ireland Taiwan add seasonally adjusted data in the
launch the survey in their respective countries. second quarter. India and Switzerland add
seasonally adjusted data in the third quarter.
2003 3rd generation of the Manpower Employment
Outlook Survey is launched, expanding the 2009 Manpower operations in Israel join the survey
program to a total of 18 countries worldwide: program.
Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, France,
Germany, Hong Kong, Ireland, Italy, Japan, About Manpower Inc.
Mexico, Netherlands, Norway, Singapore,
Manpower Inc. (NYSE: MAN) is a world leader in the
Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom and United
employment services industry; creating and delivering
States.
services that enable its clients to win in the changing
2004 Manpower operations in New Zealand launch world of work. Founded in 1948, the $22 billion
the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey. company offers employers a range of services for the
entire employment and business cycle including
2005 Manpower operations in China, India, permanent, temporary and contract recruitment;
Switzerland, and Taiwan launch the Manpower employee assessment and selection; training;
Employment Outlook Survey. outplacement; outsourcing and consulting.
Manpower's worldwide network of 4,400 offices in 82
2006 Manpower operations in Costa Rica and Peru
countries and territories enables the company to meet
join the survey program. Surveys in Australia,
the needs of its 400,000 clients per year, including small
Austria, Belgium, France, Germany, Hong
and medium size enterprises in all industry sectors, as
Kong, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Mexico,
well as the world's largest multinational corporations.
Netherlands, Norway, Singapore, Spain and
The focus of Manpower's work is on raising productivity
Sweden add seasonally adjusted data in the
through improved quality, efficiency and cost-reduction
third quarter. Manpower operations in South
across their total workforce, enabling clients to
Africa launch the Manpower Employment
concentrate on their core business activities. Manpower
Outlook Survey.
Inc. operates under five brands: Manpower, Manpower
2007 Manpower operations in Argentina join the Professional, Elan, Jefferson Wells and Right
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey. The Management. More information on Manpower Inc. is
survey in New Zealand adds seasonally available at www.manpower.com.
adjusted data in the first quarter.
22
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