You are on page 1of 17

Powered by

12 June 2013

Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................3
Value ...........................................................................................................................................4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................4
RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets ....................................................................................4
How to use the report .................................................................................................................5
Under Valued .....................................................................6
Aerospace & Defence
Under Valued ......................................................................6

Automobiles & Parts


Banks
Beverages

Over Valued .........................................................................................6


Under Valued ..................................................................................6

Under Valued ..................................................................................6


Under Valued ....................................................7
Construction & Building Materials

Chemicals

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Engineering & Machinery
Food & Drug Stores

Under Valued ..................................................7


Over Valued ...............................................................8

Over Valued .......................................................................8


Under Valued ........................................................8

Food Producers & Processors


Under Valued ..............................................................................9
General Retail
Over Valued .........................................................................................9
Heath
Over Valued ..........................................................9
Over Valued ...............................................9

Household Goods & Textiles

Information Technology & Hardware


Under Valued ................................................................................... 10
Insurance
Over Valued ..................................................................... 10
Leisure & Hotels
Life Assurance

Under Valued .................................................................... 10


Under Valued ................................................................ 11

Media & Entertainment


Under Valued ...................................................................................... 11
Mining
Under Valued ................................................................................... 11
Oil & Gas
Personal Care & Household Products

Over Valued .......................................... 12


Under Valued ................................................ 12

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Under Valued ............................................................................... 12
Real Estate
Under Valued .................................................... 13
Software & Computer Services
Speciality & Other Finance
Support Services

Under Valued .......................................................... 13


Under Valued ..................................................................... 14

Under Valued ....................................................... 15


Telecommunication Services
Under
Valued
Transport
................................................................................... 15
Under
Valued
Utilities
....................................................................................... 15

DISCLAIMER ........................................................................................................................... 16
RISK WARNING ...................................................................................................................... 17

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

12 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 2 of 17

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will identify those
shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and information noisy trading
environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically, before the
official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an investment are the two primary
drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that influence
investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been established as rules that reflect
market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental factors as well as the daily
pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters (analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment
meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading indicators
appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as well as some 74%
accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

12 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 3 of 17

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Indications. On a daily basis,
Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not only the Consolidated Income Statement but
also the Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation
models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his investment research for
the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate crossborder analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the Target as realistically valid as
possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Indication delivery is not only a function of market levels but
a management teams ability to establish and maintain a value generating operating environment set
against a constantly changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start with a modest range of
some 6 8 valuation measures and remove those that are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis
approach is the opposite we use as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target Indications may appear strange or extreme. However,
subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them as starting points to challenge their
established or perceived valuation opinion of a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist investors from falling in
love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and investment systems active position
monitoring is critical for maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not separate
from subscribers existing investment systems as well as discussing investment options with their financial
advisers.
Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided solely to
enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares and other
equity investments, you should contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may not be
suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise
and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

12 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 4 of 17

How to use the report


This daily report is typically available for download as a PDF from 7am - well in advance of the markets
open - and is based upon previous days closing prices.
We have kept the report deliberately simple for quick reading and identification of the shares most likely to
be active as can be seen from the following:

Longer term action based


upon implied target price
Todays action
Sector

Implied target
price based upon
49 valuation
metrics

Closing price

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS SUSP - 24/09/12
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Company

Price
29.00
266.70
1136.00
675.00
21.16
6.36
23.50
324.70
0.40
731.00
57.25
269.80
377.90
55.00
212.00
3576.00
951.50
49.25

12M Lo
18.50
222.40
1000.00
375.00
9.36
2.20
19.50
189.00
0.24
570.00
38.00
237.20
302.70
31.25
127.30
2540.00
633.00
21.50

12M Hi
29.50
282.70
1586.00
728.50
21.69
6.55
82.00
342.30
17.00
863.00
110.60
313.80
389.50
55.00
227.00
3644.00
1017.00
51.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Latest 12 month Hi/Lo for


the share price

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
30
298
739
268
38
4
112
415
-62
1341
321
365
448
61
97
2798
542
29

Beta
0.72
0.52
1.30
0.97
1.56
0.94
1.05
0.67
0.88
0.47
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.04
0.44
0.72
0.56
1.31

eta measures a shares


volatility/risk relative to
market (see below)

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility or risk relative to its market. The market has a beta
of 1.0 and individual shares are attributed a beta according to how much they deviate from
the market. This can be summarised as:
eta <1.0

Share should move by less than market (i.e., less risk/lower reward)

eta =1.0

Share should move in line with the market (i.e., market neutral)

eta >1.0

Share should move by more than market (i.e., higher risk/higher reward)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

12 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 5 of 17

Under Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BAE SYSTEMS

392.60

276.40

427.00

Neutral

Buy

Target
561

Beta
0.67

CHEMRING GROUP

264.20

217.00

414.70

Neutral

Buy

317

0.66

COBHAM

260.40

190.10

293.40

Neutral

Neutral

277

0.82

MEGGITT

516.50

364.30

534.50

Neutral

Neutral

492

1.32

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS

1187.00

799.39

1225.00

Neutral

Neutral

1136

1.07

SMITHS GROUP

1303.00

979.50

1390.00

Neutral

Sell

1083

0.71

ULTRA ELECTRONICS HDG.

1679.00

1424.00

1843.00

Neutral

Neutral

1596

0.51

Unde r V a lue d

Automobiles & Parts


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GKN

304.40

173.60

313.40

Neutral

Neutral

301

2.02

INCHCAPE

524.00

316.60

577.50

Neutral

Neutral

549

1.48

LOOKERS

100.00

56.50

110.00

Neutral

Neutral

97

1.23

24.75

13.50

26.50

Neutral

Buy

33

1.11

PENDRAGON

Target

Over Valued

Banks
Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BARCLAYS

304.55

150.55

333.85

Neutral

Sell

-829

1.94

HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)

693.40

510.60

769.90

Neutral

Buy

834

1.17

61.19

28.76

62.96

Sell

Sell

1.89

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP


ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.

327.50

196.60

367.80

Neutral

Sell

-135

1.35

STANDARD CHARTERED

1447.50

1228.50

1837.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3307

1.70

Under Valued

Beverages
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

503.00

350.00

588.50

Neutral

Neutral

546

0.55

DIAGEO

1906.00

1587.00

2085.00

Neutral

Sell

1663

0.55

SABMILLER

3170.00

2439.00

3657.00

Neutral

Buy

3669

0.95

BARR (AG)

Target

Beta

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ALENT

360.60

305.00

397.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3359

#NA

AZ ELECTRONIC MATS.(DI)

305.90

240.00

406.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

479

1.23

CARCLO

361.00

358.00

503.00

Neutral

Sell

119

0.73

2424.00

2125.00

2841.00

Neutral

Buy

3233

1.04

229.80

179.00

275.00

Neutral

Buy

289

0.99
1.45

CRODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS
JOHNSON MATTHEY

2623.00

2080.27

2750.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4391

VICTREX

1622.00

1185.00

1765.00

Neutral

Sell

1316

1.14

SYNTHOMER

192.30

127.40

225.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

332

1.16

ZOTEFOAMS

202.50

157.00

225.00

Neutral

Buy

246

1.00

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

12 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 6 of 17

Under Valued

Construction & Building Materials


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALUMASC GROUP

93.00

61.50

104.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

Target
252

Beta

BALFOUR BEATTY

221.30

207.60

320.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1285

0.80

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS

310.30

125.30

346.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

595

1.58
1.15

0.51

BELLWAY

1305.00

765.00

1377.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2854

BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)

2097.00

1239.00

2207.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3288

0.66

BOOT (HENRY)

175.00

115.50

201.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

407

0.83
1.20

BOVIS HOMES GROUP

776.50

428.00

778.50

Neutral

Buy

1057

CARILLION

247.60

235.50

331.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1506

1.12

CLARKE (T)

53.00

40.00

61.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

450

0.82

COSTAIN GROUP

262.00

188.25

306.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1116

0.57

1317.00

1078.00

1540.00

Neutral

Sell

842

1.14

GALLIFORD TRY

935.00

584.00

999.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2883

1.01

KELLER

925.00

348.25

978.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2345

1.26

1176.00

1106.00

1408.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5371

0.97

64.25

50.00

76.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

217

1.07
1.39

CRH

KIER GROUP
LOW & BONAR
MARSHALLS

131.00

76.00

142.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

401

MORGAN SINDALL GROUP

576.00

508.00

695.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4322

0.87

16.50

10.63

18.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

60

1.15

NORCROS

1214.00

529.83

1280.00

Sell

Strong Buy

1998

1.20

REDROW

PERSIMMON

215.90

107.30

238.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

452

1.09

SIG

164.20

84.75

179.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

499

1.79

48.00

46.88

362.50

Neutral

Buy

68

0.88

SUPERGLASS HOLDINGS

94.60

42.72

103.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

228

1.67

TRAVIS PERKINS

TAYLOR WIMPEY

1526.00

916.00

1611.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4099

2.01

WOLSELEY

3055.00

2154.34

3483.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5756

1.46

Under Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1157.00

994.50

1365.00

Neutral

Sell

800

0.75

DOMINO PRINTING SCIENCES

620.50

509.00

717.00

Neutral

Buy

873

1.18

E2V TECHNOLOGIES

116.00

105.50

144.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

256

1.29

INVENSYS

393.20

198.90

402.70

Neutral

Sell

341

1.41

LAIRD

186.10

177.00

249.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

320

2.13

OXFORD INSTRUMENTS

1455.00

1149.00

1752.00

Neutral

Sell

1237

1.00

RENISHAW

1700.00

1260.00

2081.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2615

1.26

SPECTRIS

2026.00

1427.00

2470.00

Neutral

Buy

2752

1.52

0.08

0.07

0.13

Neutral

Sell

0.84

TT ELECTRONICS

157.50

114.00

178.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

312

1.58

XAAR

800.00

185.00

807.00

Sell

Sell

232

1.11

DIALIGHT

BIOME TECHNOLOGIES

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

12 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 7 of 17

Over Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP

83.00

54.25

91.75

Neutral

Buy

124

1.28

BODYCOTE

531.50

310.30

563.00

Neutral

Buy

626

1.60

CASTINGS

341.13

277.75

358.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

624

0.99

VESUVIUS

377.30

263.19

402.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

974

2.20

FENNER

337.80

329.30

435.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

511

1.42

HALMA

501.50

375.00

538.50

Neutral

Sell

354

0.75

HILL & SMITH

415.00

297.00

480.00

Neutral

Sell

342

1.37

1277.00

776.00

1359.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5149

1.41

272.40

220.30

305.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

890

1.82

2705.00

1859.00

3037.00

Neutral

Sell

1314

1.00

255.10

177.00

280.80

Neutral

Sell

228

1.64
0.79

IMI
MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIAL
ROTORK
SENIOR
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN

Target

Beta

48.50

35.40

83.55

Neutral

Sell

39

SPIRAX-SARCO

2711.00

1903.48

2928.35

Neutral

Sell

1982

0.84

VITEC GROUP

608.50

586.50

740.00

Neutral

Sell

418

1.39

WEIR GROUP

2192.00

1397.00

2474.00

Neutral

Sell

2031

1.38

Over Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GREGGS

399.30

398.00

523.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

667

0.47

MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.

261.20

248.60

296.40

Buy

Sell

158

0.39

SAINSBURY (J)

362.70

283.50

396.50

Neutral

Sell

191

0.57

TESCO

343.95

301.10

387.75

Neutral

Sell

252

0.68

84.00

19.25

100.50

Neutral

Sell

60

0.84

THORNTONS

Beta

Under Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ASSOCIATED BRIT.FOODS

1782.00

1205.00

2031.00

Neutral

Buy

2040

0.62

CRANSWICK

1121.00

732.50

1127.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2016

0.43

DAIRY CREST

464.00

316.00

503.50

Neutral

Neutral

489

0.94

DEVRO

320.00

278.00

380.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

497

0.32

65.50

54.50

125.75

Neutral

Sell

-181

1.25

PREMIER FOODS
TATE & LYLE
UNILEVER (UK)

799.50

634.50

875.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1500

0.71

2650.00

2055.00

2885.00

Neutral

Neutral

2684

0.58

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

12 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 8 of 17

Under Valued

General Retail
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS

28.50

20.50

29.50

Neutral

Buy

33

0.69

451.60

227.50

465.60

Neutral

Sell

337

0.54

1358.00

1000.00

1541.00

Neutral

Sell

919

1.27

613.50

585.00

728.50

Neutral

Sell

277

0.95

41.19

12.97

42.90

Neutral

Neutral

45

1.51

179.50

55.20

186.00

Neutral

Sell

59

1.13

29.00

19.50

34.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

104

0.99

HALFORDS GROUP

315.40

189.00

405.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

478

0.68

JD SPORTS FASHION

907.00

606.50

920.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1475

0.53

BROWN (N) GROUP


BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP

DARTY

Target

Beta

66.75

38.00

72.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

102

1.25

KINGFISHER

345.10

254.10

352.90

Neutral

Neutral

357

0.94

MARKS & SPENCER GROUP

445.70

312.20

485.00

Neutral

Buy

500

0.65

57.50

43.00

71.00

Neutral

Neutral

62

1.04

382.00

189.25

385.00

Neutral

Buy

468

0.47

NEXT

4590.00

3051.00

4749.00

Neutral

Neutral

4404

0.67

TED BAKER

1410.00

875.00

1490.00

Neutral

Sell

622

0.55

69.00

38.00

70.00

Neutral

Sell

52

1.50

MOSS BROTHERS GROUP


MOTHERCARE

TOPPS TILES

Over Valued

Heath
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIOQUELL

136.00

126.50

160.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
111

0.46

CONSORT MEDICAL

736.00

585.00

831.50

Neutral

Sell

542

0.39

OPTOS

119.25

119.25

222.75

Neutral

Buy

149

1.18

SMITH & NEPHEW

737.50

603.50

794.50

Neutral

Sell

666

0.43

Over Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GAMES WORKSHOP

725.00

565.00

742.00

Neutral

Neutral

706

0.44

HEADLAM GROUP

370.00

263.00

378.75

Neutral

Sell

322

0.92

82.50

55.25

88.50

Sell

Buy

110

0.77

HORNBY

Target

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ARM HOLDINGS

866.00

469.00

1097.00

Neutral

Sell

452

0.74

CSR

523.00

200.40

570.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1490

1.18

FILTRONIC
IMAGINATION TECHNOLOGIES

Target

Beta

63.00

27.25

83.25

Neutral

Sell

25

0.90

317.90

296.00

624.00

Neutral

Buy

354

1.08

SPIRENT COMMUNICATIONS

130.30

122.00

170.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

441

0.94

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS

172.00

170.00

230.00

Neutral

Sell

-681

0.90

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

12 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 9 of 17

Under Valued

Insurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1304.00

1019.00

1374.00

Neutral

Sell

-383

0.53

AMLIN

385.70

323.60

435.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1474

0.46

BEAZLEY

223.30

132.50

241.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

917

0.60

CATLIN GROUP

465.80

409.40

552.50

Neutral

Neutral

451

0.30

HISCOX

531.50

414.09

600.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1836

0.48

JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON

898.00

679.50

914.50

Neutral

Buy

1197

0.31

RSA INSURANCE GROUP

115.50

100.70

136.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

695

0.41

NOVAE GROUP

489.00

345.00

507.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3288

0.48

ADMIRAL GROUP

Over Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

2125.00

2083.00

2628.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4020

1.01

ENTERPRISE INNS

112.60

55.50

123.80

Neutral

Sell

106

1.61

TUI TRAVEL

340.30

158.00

373.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

785

1.01

FULLER SMITH 'A'

893.25

700.00

925.00

Neutral

Sell

678

0.39

GREENE KING

750.00

479.20

789.50

Neutral

Sell

651

0.93

LADBROKES

195.80

152.70

243.10

Neutral

Buy

250

0.93

1816.00

1493.74

2039.00

Neutral

Sell

1481

1.18

CARNIVAL

ICTL.HTLS.GP.
MILLENNIUM & CPTH.HTLS.

549.00

455.40

582.50

Neutral

Buy

620

1.40

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS

364.10

219.70

408.50

Neutral

Sell

318

1.12

BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.

124.20

91.90

156.00

Neutral

Sell

45

1.25

13.00

5.61

13.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

50

1.27

159.10

115.00

177.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

506

1.00
0.76

PUNCH TAVERNS
RANK GROUP
RESTAURANT GROUP

500.00

290.00

531.00

Neutral

Sell

395

WETHERSPOON (JD)

614.50

387.60

661.50

Neutral

Buy

745

0.69

WHITBREAD

2919.00

1824.00

2925.00

Sell

Sell

2005

0.99

WILLIAM HILL

436.50

247.83

452.80

Neutral

Sell

258

0.87

MARSTON'S

141.50

94.70

154.70

Neutral

Sell

17

1.21

Under Valued

Life Assurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVIVA

329.60

260.50

388.40

Neutral

Neutral

320

1.25

CHESNARA

247.00

161.25

270.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

459

0.70

LEGAL & GENERAL

172.50

115.80

187.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

435

1.71

OLD MUTUAL

184.50

148.70

221.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

369

1.57

PRUDENTIAL

1055.00

701.50

1203.00

Neutral

Neutral

1063

1.71

543.50

318.20

640.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6137

0.85

ST.JAMES'S PLACE

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

12 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 10 of 17

Under Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BLOOMSBURY PBL.

127.00

102.00

146.50

Neutral

Sell

-619

0.37

BRITISH SKY BCAST.GROUP

778.00

656.00

899.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1687

0.54

CENTAUR MEDIA

Target

Beta

34.75

29.00

60.00

Neutral

Sell

-18

1.03

DAILY MAIL 'A'

768.00

363.50

770.00

Sell

Strong Buy

4075

1.14

EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR

951.00

708.00

1030.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7479

1.00

INFORMA

485.10

350.40

537.00

Neutral

Sell

-54

1.53

ITE GROUP

281.80

180.00

299.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

273

1.45

ITV

134.00

70.40

134.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

1252

1.54

17.75

4.88

19.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

776

1.27

1181.00

1119.00

1294.00

Neutral

Buy

337

0.63

83.00

36.25

84.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2615

0.79

277.50

265.00

350.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

898

0.16

34.20

26.85

36.45

Neutral

Sell

-606

0.50

STV GROUP

135.50

81.50

146.88

Neutral

Sell

262

0.79

ST.IVES

158.00

67.50

166.50

Neutral

Sell

245

1.50

TRINITY MIRROR

111.75

25.50

122.25

Neutral

Sell

-287

1.59

UBM

677.50

532.50

788.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1902

1.31
0.84

JOHNSTON PRESS
PEARSON
PHOTO-ME INTL.
PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON
THOMSON REUTERS

WILMINGTON GROUP

163.50

82.00

164.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1343

WPP

1102.00

743.00

1190.00

Neutral

Sell

-503

1.35

HIBU

0.38

0.26

2.18

Neutral

Strong Buy

804

1.07

Under Valued

Mining
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1371.50

1371.50

2215.00

Buy

Sell

1110

1.74

ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP

226.00

215.00

290.00

Neutral

Neutral

222

0.96

ANTOFAGASTA

884.50

884.00

1381.00

Neutral

Sell

810

1.41

1778.50

1724.00

2236.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2777

1.43

GLENCORE XSTRATA

302.50

293.55

397.85

Buy

Strong Buy

927

#NA

LONMIN

280.80

240.84

420.20

Neutral

Buy

323

2.03

RANDGOLD RESOURCES

4926.00

4545.00

7775.00

Neutral

Sell

2868

0.34

RIO TINTO

2702.50

2702.50

3757.00

Neutral

Sell

2152

1.50

3.38

10.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

157

0.89

832.50

1335.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1979

2.20

ANGLO AMERICAN

BHP BILLITON

COALFIELD RESOURCES
VEDANTA RESOURCES

1189.00

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1173.00

1000.50

1350.50

Neutral

Sell

849

BP

460.30

401.60

483.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

957

1.03

CAIRN ENERGY

261.30

248.20

309.40

Neutral

Sell

-13

1.32

BG GROUP

FORTUNE OIL
HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS
PREMIER OIL
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL B
SOCO INTERNATIONAL
TULLOW OIL
WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

Beta
0.80

7.65

7.60

12.50

Neutral

Buy

10

0.82

801.00

688.00

941.00

Neutral

Sell

540

1.31
1.36

55.25

55.00

120.00

Neutral

Sell

-59

343.70

321.30

401.20

Neutral

Buy

388

1.43

2210.00

2098.00

2366.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

7988

0.84

370.80

276.50

404.30

Buy

Buy

488

0.53

1017.00

977.00

1531.00

Neutral

Sell

675

1.04

800.00

651.50

879.50

Neutral

Sell

702

1.35

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

12 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 11 of 17

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

MCBRIDE

111.00

101.00

144.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

236

0.84

PZ CUSSONS

365.80

297.20

415.60

Neutral

Sell

303

0.69

4567.00

3300.00

4926.00

Neutral

Neutral

4606

0.36

RECKITT BENCKISER GROUP

Beta

Under Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

0.44

0.36

3.58

Buy

Sell

-2

1.01

3276.50

2656.50

3521.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

6413

0.47

BTG

363.10

300.30

423.00

Neutral

Sell

166

0.58

DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS

699.00

469.50

780.00

Neutral

Neutral

730

0.25

1667.50

1317.50

1782.00

Neutral

Neutral

1674

0.49

OXFORD BIOMEDICA

1.73

1.55

2.80

Buy

Sell

0.64

PHYTOPHARM SUSP - 21/05/13

1.33

1.05

12.75

Buy

Strong Buy

0.95

2091.00

1727.00

2213.00

Neutral

Sell

1432

0.66

ARK THERAPEUTICS GP.


ASTRAZENECA

GLAXOSMITHKLINE

SHIRE

Target

Beta

SKYEPHARMA

51.25

43.50

101.50

Neutral

Sell

31

0.73

VERNALIS

22.00

21.75

27.38

Neutral

Sell

10

0.91

Under Valued

Real Estate
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIG YELLOW GROUP

370.00

276.30

426.70

Neutral

Sell

-619

1.18

BRITISH LAND

583.50

478.30

658.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1687

1.06

CAPITAL & REGIONAL

Target

Beta

33.25

22.75

37.00

Neutral

Sell

-18

0.85

971.00

600.00

1004.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4075

0.70

DERWENT LONDON

2246.00

1740.00

2542.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7479

1.24

DEVELOPMENT SECS.

195.00

121.75

203.00

Neutral

Sell

-54

0.99

GRAINGER

146.30

83.10

157.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

273

1.58

CLS HOLDINGS

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES

519.00

367.80

598.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1252

1.10

HAMMERSON

485.00

409.20

554.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

776

1.19

HELICAL BAR

264.00

175.00

297.50

Neutral

Buy

337

0.77

LAND SECURITIES GROUP

906.50

715.00

994.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2615

1.16

INTU PROPERTIES

322.70

309.80

366.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

898

1.09

MCKAY SECURITIES

145.50

127.00

155.00

Neutral

Sell

-606

0.73

MUCKLOW (A & J) GROUP

350.25

325.00

437.50

Neutral

Sell

262

0.42

PRIMARY HEALTH PROPS.

315.00

312.17

363.53

Neutral

Sell

245

0.35

75.50

32.50

79.50

Sell

Sell

-287

1.19

SAVILLS

600.00

319.50

601.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1902

0.77

SHAFTESBURY

603.00

492.00

668.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1343

1.05

SEGRO

270.20

209.80

302.80

Neutral

Sell

-503

1.73

ST MODWEN PROPS.

280.10

145.50

329.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

804

1.59

QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.

TOWN CENTRE SECURITIES

208.50

150.00

223.00

Neutral

Sell

1.01

UNITE GROUP

350.10

180.75

387.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2175

1.79

WARNER ESTATE
WORKSPACE GROUP

1.41

1.00

2.75

Neutral

Sell

-1087

1.03

394.50

222.75

418.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

1286

1.05

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

12 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 12 of 17

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ANITE

132.20

113.00

162.00

Neutral

Sell

123

0.73

2290.00

1550.00

2420.00

Neutral

Sell

1319

1.40

AVEVA GROUP

Target

Beta

COMPUTACENTER

465.60

292.40

567.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1318

1.00

KOFAX

332.00

242.00

335.00

Neutral

Neutral

327

1.11

27.50

18.25

28.00

Neutral

Sell

25

0.85

MICRO FOCUS INTL.

643.50

431.48

710.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

974

0.76

PHOENIX IT GROUP

158.50

130.00

222.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

318

0.74

69.75

68.00

85.50

Neutral

Sell

-93

0.52

1884.00

1275.00

2047.00

Neutral

Buy

2124

0.76

341.70

247.75

368.18

Neutral

Buy

427

0.72

INNOVATION GROUP

RM
FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

Under Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.

395.80

244.80

492.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1274

1.09

BREWIN DOLPHIN

237.00

136.30

244.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

663

0.73

9530.00

9250.00

11105.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

97137

0.84

CAMELLIA
CHARLES STANLEY GROUP

397.63

247.50

406.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

1307

0.97

CHARLES TAYLOR

195.00

147.00

195.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1160

0.69

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

940.50

699.50

1107.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5131

0.86

F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT

96.10

73.00

110.40

Neutral

Sell

69

0.89

3.40

0.55

3.70

Sell

Sell

-125

0.69

HENDERSON GROUP

147.90

90.55

180.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

803

1.44

HELPHIRE GROUP
ICAP

359.90

280.80

377.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

1797

1.07

INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GP.

430.20

249.10

501.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3166

1.70

INVESTEC

428.40

345.40

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1858

1.56

1351.00

930.00

1434.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4348

1.15

86.25

63.25

134.40

Neutral

Sell

-4468

1.32

RATHBONE BROTHERS

1563.00

1186.00

1577.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5620

0.75

SCHRODERS

2159.00

1237.00

2560.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

8508

1.30

SCHRODERS NV

1665.00

966.00

2000.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

11208

1.27

LONDON STOCK EX.GROUP


MAN GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

12 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 13 of 17

Under Valued

Support Services
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ACAL

235.00

157.75

242.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1232

0.92

1642.00

1557.00

2400.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3372

1.05

AMEC

998.00

933.00

1172.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3287

1.04

ASHTEAD GROUP

613.50

228.30

671.00

Neutral

Buy

883

1.63

1103.00

842.50

1205.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2213

0.48

518.00

331.50

580.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

1985

0.76

1257.00

1009.00

1342.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2786

0.55

UK MAIL GROUP

495.00

214.00

525.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1428

0.39

CAPITA

938.00

641.50

1018.00

Neutral

Sell

232

0.51

AGGREKO

BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL

COMMUNISIS

54.00

25.34

56.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

470

0.78

COMPASS GROUP

838.00

624.50

910.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1964

0.74

BERENDSEN

748.50

470.00

812.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2834

1.05

DE LA RUE

952.50

891.50

1075.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1748

#NA

DIGNITY

1359.00

803.50

1462.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2058

0.22

DIPLOMA

546.00

417.10

627.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1371

0.96

ELECTROCOMP.

253.20

196.60

278.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

1036

1.04

FILTRONA

684.00

439.60

750.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1281

1.13

G4S

235.30

235.30

313.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

894

0.58

HAYS

83.90

66.40

101.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

420

1.10

HOMESERVE

281.90

137.50

281.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

1235

0.94

INTERSERVE

471.60

297.20

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3321

1.28

3095.00

2558.00

3453.00

Neutral

Buy

4431

0.78

45.38

26.50

47.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

346

1.17
0.72

INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP
MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.

29.50

21.25

32.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

210

MENZIES (JOHN)

713.00

542.00

801.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2171

1.43

MICHAEL PAGE INTL.

373.10

341.40

451.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

802

1.42

MITIE GROUP

248.00

248.00

300.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1260

0.55

82.00

82.00

156.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

699

0.33

OFFICE2OFFICE
PAYPOINT

955.00

670.50

989.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1709

0.71

PREMIER FARNELL

200.40

153.20

236.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

756

1.33

REGUS

155.60

82.65

177.50

Neutral

Sell

66

1.46

87.00

69.40

100.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

309

1.25

REXAM

501.00

403.43

547.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1728

0.90

RICARDO

406.00

304.50

431.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1604

0.86

ROBERT WALTERS

218.75

176.25

234.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1134

1.24

RPC GROUP

412.60

365.40

477.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1818

0.78

RPS GROUP

206.50

200.20

274.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

1022

1.51

SERCO GROUP

591.00

526.00

647.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2313

0.60

SHANKS GROUP

80.50

73.00

98.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

684

1.46

RENTOKIL INITIAL

SPEEDY HIRE
TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG

54.00

22.25

61.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

251

1.26

172.75

82.00

174.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

536

0.63

59.00

40.50

59.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

324

0.93

352.50

245.75

356.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2001

0.86

89.50

42.00

89.50

Sell

Strong Buy

519

0.79

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

12 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 14 of 17

Under Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

305.00

200.70

322.30

Neutral

Buy

355

0.91

40.73

27.55

46.29

Neutral

Strong Buy

85

0.70

638.00

463.50

749.00

Neutral

Sell

489

0.53

82.00

68.25

88.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

134

1.24

1229.00

775.00

1325.00

Neutral

Sell

742

0.09

192.00

154.45

199.90

Neutral

Neutral

189

0.54

Beta

Under Valued

Transport
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BBA AVIATION

278.70

178.00

288.40

Sell

Sell

176

1.30

BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.

421.25

317.00

429.75

Neutral

Neutral

449

0.98

CLARKSON

1600.00

1150.00

1716.00

Neutral

Sell

1158

0.80

EASYJET

1229.00

489.00

1300.00

Neutral

Sell

685

0.77

FIRST GROUP

Target

Beta

99.60

96.21

212.39

Neutral

Strong Buy

478

0.91

955.00

578.00

1110.00

Neutral

Sell

408

0.77

GO-AHEAD GROUP

1438.00

1113.00

1588.00

Neutral

Buy

1834

0.90

NATIONAL EXPRESS

206.20

164.50

230.50

Neutral

Buy

256

1.35
1.41

FISHER(JAMES)& SONS

NORTHGATE

344.00

159.60

350.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

689

STAGECOACH GROUP

292.60

230.40

319.60

Neutral

Buy

377

0.89

67.25

31.00

78.50

Sell

Sell

-43

0.90

WINCANTON

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

CENTRICA

366.40

307.10

394.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

575

0.47

NATIONAL GRID

741.00

641.00

847.50

Neutral

Buy

864

0.50

PENNON GROUP

662.00

598.00

796.00

Neutral

Buy

790

0.59

SSE

1511.00

1294.00

1676.00

Neutral

Buy

2136

0.42

SEVERN TRENT

1937.00

1513.00

2090.00

Neutral

Sell

1541

0.35

732.00

646.00

787.50

Neutral

Neutral

700

0.50

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

12 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 15 of 17

DISCLAIMER
Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited has prepared this report. Intellisys is the trading name of Intellisys
Intelligent Analysis Limited.
Intellisys is a provider of financial research reports that indicate the possible value of quoted company
shares. The information contained within any and all of Intellisys reports are designed to present an
objective assessment of the possible value or relative value of a company and/or an actuarial sector or
stock market index. Intellisys utilises as extensive as possible range of valuation tools and proprietary
systems to derive its outputs. The base data for the models are derived from sources believed to be
accurate but Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy or reliability of
the source data or its models and proprietary systems. Subscribers, and casual readers, should not rely
upon the Intellisys research outputs when forming specific investment decisions but should seek advice
specific to their situation and investment requirements from a person authorized under the Financial
Services and Markets Act 2000, before entering into any investment agreement.
Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited has used reasonable care and skill in compiling the content of this
report. No representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is given by any person as to the accuracy or
completeness or accuracy of the information and no responsibility or liability is accepted to the accuracy or
sufficiency of any of the information, for any errors, omissions or misstatements, negligent or otherwise. In
no event will Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited, Intellisys or any of its officers, employees or agents be
liable to any other party for any direct, indirect, special or other consequential damages arising from the use
of this report.
The Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited and/or Intellisys reports are not directed to any person in any
jurisdiction where (by reason of that persons nationality, residence or otherwise) the publication or
availability of the Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited and/or Intellisys information may be prohibited.
Persons in respect of whom such prohibitions apply must not access the Intellisys Intelligent Analysis
Limited and/or Intellisys reports. Neither this document, nor any copy in whatever form of media, may be
taken or transmitted into the United States, Canada, Australia, Ireland, South Africa or Japan or into any
jurisdiction where it would be unlawful to do so. Any failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a
violation of relevant local securities laws. Recipients of Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited and/or Intellisys
reports outside the UK are not covered by the rules and regulations made for the protection of investors in
the UK.
Any user distributing information taken from any Intellisys reports and/or the Intellisys website, in whatever
form, to any other person, agrees to attach a copy of this Disclaimer and the Terms and Conditions of Use
pages and obtain the agreement of such other person to comply with the terms set forth.
Intellisys' published reports are published for information purposes and only available to market
counterparties, high net-worth and sophisticated individual investors.
No Intellisys report constitutes an offer or invitation to trade, sell, purchase or acquire any shares or other
financial instruments in any company or any interest therein, nor shall it form the basis of any contract
entered into for the sale of shares or any other financial instrument in any company.
Intellisys believes that the information within each and any of its reports to be correct, but its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. No representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is given by any
person as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and no responsibility or liability is accepted for
the accuracy or sufficiency of any of the information, for any errors, omissions or mis-statements, negligent
or otherwise.
Intellisys (including its Directors, employees and representatives) or a connected person may have positions
in or options or other financial instruments on any of the securities mentioned within a report, and may buy,

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

12 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 16 of 17

sell or offer to purchase or sell such securities from time to time, subject to restrictions imposed by internal
rules.
Subscribers, and casual reader, are reminded that the value of shares in any company may go up or down
and that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.
Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited is not registered with or regulated by any financial regulatory authority
and does not offer, provide or purport to provide or offer investment advice.

RISK WARNING
Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided solely to
enable you to make your own investment decisions.
If you are unsure about dealing in shares and other equity investments, you should contact your financial
adviser as these types of investments may not be suitable for everyone.
The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise and you may not get
back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency, fluctuations in the
exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them. Past performance
is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

12 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 17 of 17

You might also like