Professional Documents
Culture Documents
DEVALE
SET – 1
Answer –
1. Decision-making:-
The word ‘decision’ suggests a deliberate choice made out of
several possible alternative courses of action after carefully
considering them. The act of choice signifying solution to an
economic problem is economic decision making. It involves
choices among a set of alternative courses of action. Decision-
making is essentially a process of selecting the best out of many
alternative Opportunities or courses of action that are open to a
management.
Decision-making is a management function. Decision making is a
routine affair in any business unit. Hence, it is a part of business
activity. It is a basic function of a managerial economist. In the
day today business, he has to take innumerable decisions.
Sometimes the manager takes the decision himself, sometimes in
collaboration and consultations with others. Some decisions are
taken on the spot and some others are taken after careful
thinking. Some decisions are major and complex while others are
minor and simple. Some decisions are taken in the absence of any
information. Some decisions are taken in the background of
certainty, known factors and information. Some other decisions
are taken in the midst of uncertainties. The choice made by the
business executives are difficult, crucial and have far-reaching
consequences. The basic aim of taking a decision is to select the
best course of action which maximizes the economic benefits and
minimizes the use of scarce resources of a firm. Hence, each
decision involves cost benefit analysis. Any slight error or delay in
decision making may cause considerable economic and financial
damage to a firm. It is for this reason, management experts are of
the opinion that right decision – making at the right time is the
secret of a successful manager.
2. Forward planning:-
The term ‘planning’ implies a consciously directed activity with
certain predetermined goals and means to carry them out. It is a
deliberate activity. It is a programmed action. Basically Planning is
concerned with tackling future situations in a systematic manner.
Forward planning implies planning in advance for the future. It is
associated with deciding the future course of action of a firm. It is
prepared on the basis of past and current experience of a firm. It
is prepared in the background of uncertain and unpredictable
environment and guess work. Future events and happenings
cannot be predicted accurately. The success or failure of the
future plan depends on a number of factors and forces which are
unknown in nature. Much of economic activity is forward looking.
Every time we build a new factory, add to the stocks of inputs,
trucks, computers or improvements in R&D, our intension is to
enhance the future productivity of the firm. Growing firms devote
a significant share of their current output to net capital formation
to bolster future economic output. A business executive must be
sufficiently intelligent enough to think in advance, prepare a
sound plan and take all possible precautionary measures to meet
all types of challenges of the future business. Hence, forward
planning has acquired greater significance in business circles.
Out of five different degrees, the first two are theoretical and the
last one is a rare possibility. Hence, in all our general discussion,
we make reference only to two terms relatively elastic demand
and relatively inelastic demand.
Q.3 Suppose your manufacturing company planning to
release a new product into market, Explain the various
methods forecasting for a new product
Answer –
a. Survey Methods:-
Survey methods help us in obtaining information about the future
purchase plans of potential buyers through collecting the opinions
of experts or by interviewing the consumers. These methods are
extensively used in short run and estimating the demand for new
products. There are different approaches under survey methods.
They are
A. Consumers’ interview method: under this method, efforts
are made to collect the relevant information directly from the
consumers with regard to their future purchase plans. In order to
gather information from consumers, a number of alternative
techniques are developed from time to time. Among them, the
following are some of the important ones.
Survey of buyer’s intentions or preferences: It is one of the oldest
methods of demand forecasting. It is also called as “Opinion
surveys”. Under this method, consumer buyers are requested to
indicate their preferences and willingness about particular
products. They are asked to reveal their ‘future purchase plans
with respect to specific items. They are expected to give answers
to questions like what items they intend to buy, in what quantity,
why, where, when, what quality they expect, how much money
they are planning to spend etc. Generally, the field survey is
conducted by the marketing research department of the company
or hiring the services of outside research organizations consisting
of learned and highly qualified professionals. The heart of the
survey is questionnaire. It is a comprehensive one covering
almost all questions either directly or indirectly in a most
intelligent manner. It is prepared by an expert body who are
specialists in the field or marketing. The questionnaire is
distributed among the consumer buyers either through mail or in
person by the company. Consumers are requested to furnish all
relevant and correct information. The next step is to collect the
questionnaire from the consumers for the purpose of evaluation.
The materials collected will be classified, edited analyzed. If any
bias prejudices, exaggerations, artificial or excess demand
creation etc., are found at the time of answering they would be
eliminated. The information so collected will now be consolidated
and reviewed by the top executives with lot of experience. It will
be examined thoroughly. Inferences are drawn and conclusions
are arrived at. Finally a report is prepared and submitted to
management for taking final decisions.
Statistical Method :
Answer –
Meaning of equilibrium
The word equilibrium is derived from the Latin word “equilibrium”
which means equal balance. It means a state of even balance in
which opposing forces or tendencies neutralize each other.
It is a position of rest characterized by absence of change. It is a
state where there is complete agreement of the economic plans of
the various market participants so that no one has a tendency to
revise or alter his decision. In the words of professor Mehta:
“Equilibrium denotes in economics absence of change in
movement.”
Answer –
Answer –
Assumptions:-
1. Higher advertisement expenditure would certainly increase
sales revenue of a firm.
2. Market price remains constant.
3. Demand and cost curves of the firm are conventional in nature.
Generally under competitive conditions, a firm in order to increase
its volume of sales and sales revenue would go for aggressive
advertisements. This leads to a shift in the demand curve to the
right. Forward shift in demand curve implies increased
advertisement expenditure resulting in higher sales and sales
revenue. A price cut may increase sales in general. But increase in
sales mainly depends on whether the demand for a product is
elastic or inelastic. A price reduction policy may increase its sales
only when the demand is elastic and if the demand is inelastic;
such a policy would have adverse effects on sales. Hence, to
promote sales, advertisements become an effective instrument
today. It is the experience of most of the firms that with an
increase in advertisement expenditure, sales of the company
would also go up. A sales maximizer would generally incur higher
amounts of advertisement expenditure than a profit maximizer.
However, it is to be remembered that amount allotted for sales
promotion should bring more than proportionate increase in sales
and total profits of a firm. Otherwise, it will have a negative effect
on business decisions Thus, by introducing; a non price variable in
to his model, Boumal makes a successful attempt to analyze the
behavior of a competitive firm under oligopoly market conditions.
Under oligopoly conditions as there are only a few big firms
competing with each other either producing similar or
differentiated products, would resort to heavy advertisements as
an effective means to increase their sales and sales revenue. This
appears to be more practical in the present day situations.