MUMBAI (Reuters) - Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan surprised markets in his maiden policy review on Friday

by raising interest rates to ward off rising inflation, while scaling back some of the emergency measures put in place to support the ailing rupee. Rajan, who took office early this month amid India's worst economic crisis since 1991, increased the RBI's policy repo rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 7.50 percent, defying widespread forecasts that he would leave the rate on hold to bolster a sluggish economy. As expected, the former IMF chief economist struck a hawkish tone but was non-committal about the direction of the next policy rate move and said he intends to withdraw liquidity tightening steps that had been implemented to stabilise the currency as soon as market conditions allow. Despite an economy that grew at just 4.4 percent in the June quarter, its weakest in four years, Rajan opted to increase India's policy interest rate for the first time in nearly two years, following similar moves by Indonesia and Brazil whose currencies have also been hit by heavy capital outflows in recent months. India's wholesale price index (WPI) inflation rose to a six-month high of 6.1 percent in August, with consumer price inflation (CPI) at 9.52 percent. "In the absence of an appropriate policy response, WPI inflation will be higher than initially projected over the rest of the year," Rajan, 50, said in his policy statement. "What is equally worrisome is that inflation at the retail level, measured by the CPI, has been high for a number of years, entrenching inflation expectations at elevated levels and eroding consumer and business confidence," he said. While Indian growth rates are less sensitive to interest rate changes than some other countries, Indian voters are very sensitive to inflation, and there are several important state elections over coming months and a general election due by May. Government bonds, the rupee and stocks all extended losses after the RBI decision. The rupee fell as much as 20 percent this year to a record low in late August as investors pulled money from emerging markets ahead of an expected move by the U.S. Federal Reserve to begin scaling back its massive stimulus programme. It has recovered some of those losses since Rajan took over at the RBI amid high expectations on September 4, gaining about 9 percent through Thursday, helped by the Fed's unexpected decision this week to hold off on tapering its bond purchases. "The statement clearly has a strong hawkish bias as it states that with a relatively more stable exchange rate, monetary policy formulation will be determined once again by internal determinants viz inflation and fiscal deficit," said Anubhuti Sahay, economist at Standard Chartered in Mumbai.

Full coverage of the RBI review http://in.reuters.com/subjects/rbi-policy-review India rates, inflation & industrial output http://link.reuters.com/deq95s ROLLING BACK RUPEE SUPPORT The Fed's surprise move to forge ahead with its current easy money policy gave Rajan an extra cushion to roll back some of the steps imposed to bolster a currency that had been the worst performer in Asia, dragged down by investor worries over the country's record current account deficit. Rajan, who famously forecast the global financial crisis, said on Friday that domestic drivers of the rupee now take precedence: "The focus has turned to internal determinants of the value of the rupee, primarily the fiscal deficit and domestic inflation. The RBI on Friday reduced the marginal standing facility (MSF) rate by 75 bps to 9.50 percent, which makes borrowing cheaper for banks. It had raised the MSF rate to 10.25 percent in midJuly to tighten market liquidity and bolster the rupee, and the MSF had been widely regarded as the effective policy rate. Rajan said he wanted the repo rate to resume its place as the operational policy rate as the rupee support measures are unwound, returning the gap between the repo rate and the MSF rate to its customary 100 basis points. "It could be that we walk (move) more on the MSF side, but it could be that the repo rate will do some of the walking. I want to be at this point entirely neutral on what the next step would be. It would be dependent on economic conditions," he told a media briefing. Also on Friday, the RBI partially scaled back the minimum cash balance requirement that banks must keep with the central bank on a daily basis. "The hike in repo rate has partially dented the positive impact of the reduction in MSF rate by 75 bps and relaxation in CRR (cash reserve ratio) maintenance requirement," Standard Chartered's Sahay said.

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India's banking sector to create 800,000 jobs in next 6 yrs: Assocham

New Delhi: India's banking sector will generate 800,000 jobs in the next six years, on the back of branch expansion by existing banks, entry of new banks and retirement of staff, an Assocham study said. In this fiscal 2013-14 itself, public sector banks will hire 50,000 people, and private sector banks, regional rural banks and foreign banks will together recruit over 50,000 people, the study said. "This trend is likely to continue in the years to come as business volume and growth will go up along with entry of new private banks in the sector," Assocham Secretary General D S Rawat said. A total of 26 entities, including Tata group, Aditya Birla Group, IDFC Ltd and LIC Housing Finance, have applied for a new banking license. The Reserve Bank of India's new Governor Raghuram Rajan has said that the central bank will award the licenses by the end of January 2014 or soon after.

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The rupee has been on a floating exchange rate since March 2007. In any country, it is a learning process for everyone to get used to the idea that the government has nothing to do with the exchange rate. For comparison, look back at the Nifty or the price of petrol or diesel. It has taken many years for people to get used to the idea that government has nothing to do with these market outcomes. Every now and then, when a large movement in prices takes place, there are fresh demands that government must do something to interfere with the functioning of the market. We need to stay on course to get everyone used to the idea that no policymaker has any idea about what is the correct price of petrol or the rupee. Balance-Sheet Effects

There is a lot of loose talk about balance-sheet effects associated with rupee depreciation. The government does not borrow in dollars. That leaves corporate exposures. When a company borrows in dollars, this borrowing can be offset by hedging using currency derivatives or using natural hedges. The overall hedging status shows up as the sensitivity of the stock price to the rupee. For a company that is vulnerable to depreciation, on average, when the rupee depreciates, the stock price goes down. The macro/finance group at the NIPFP recently analysed data for the 1,282 companies in the CMIE Cospi index. There are 81 firms who stand to (statistically) significantly gain from rupee depreciation. There is not a single company that stands to (statistically) significantly lose from rupee depreciation. Something Unusual? In 2013, rupee fluctuations are not odd. There has been a 12% rupee depreciation. Roughly half of this is simply about fluctuations of the dollar, euro and yen. An India-specific component of six percentage points in this year is in line with high inflation in India and weakening conditions in politics and the economy. When compared with other emerging markets, the rupee is roughly in the middle of the pack. The data does not show "free fall" or "speculative froth". The rupee has done many such moves before. So far, the US Federal Reserve has only envisioned circumstances in future when it will scale back its bond-buying programme. We might have liked to save up the dry powder for events in future when the Federal Reserve actually starts buying less than $85 billion per month, at which time Indian assets will become less attractive. Instead, we got into a tizzy while nothing was amiss. Cost-Benefit Analysis We have reversed financial development, we have messed up the operating procedure of monetary policy, we have created chaos in the short end of the bond market, we have impeded Indian households taking refuge from high inflation by purchasing gold, we have resurrected gold smuggling, we have raised the possibility of reversing trade reforms. In return, for what?