FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Innovative Statistics, Intelligent

Analysis | 2013 OVERALL COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS

FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis | 2013 OVERALL COLLEGE
FOOTBALL RATINGS
Pick PositionOverall Team EfficiencyTeam OffenseTeam DefenseSpecial TeamsQuarterbacksRunning
BacksTight EndsWide ReceiversOffensive LineDefensive LineNFL Main Drive StatsNFL Offensive
Drive StatsNFL Defensive Drive StatsNFL Pace/Time StatsNFL Playoff OddsNFL Snap CountsNCAA:
FEI Ratings, DefenseNCAA: FEI Ratings, OffenseNCAA: FEI Ratings, OverallNCAA: FEI Ratings,
Special TeamsNCAA: S&P Ratings, DefenseNCAA: S&P Ratings, OffenseNCAA: S&P Ratings,
OverallNCAA: F/+ Combined RatingsNCAA: FEI Field PositionPick Year
through games of 1/6/14
Beginning with the 2009 Football Outsiders Almanac, Brian Fremeau and Bill Connelly, originators
of Football Outsiders' two statistical approaches -- FEI and S&P+, respectively -- began to create a
combined ranking that would serve as Football Outsiders' 'official' college football rankings.

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in
major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game
garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the
baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is
rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing
poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams.
The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from both play-by-play and drive
data from all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays).There are four key
components to the S&P+:
Success Rate: A common Football Outsiders tool used to measure efficiency by determining whether
every play of a given game was successful or not.The terms of success in college football: 50 percent
of necessary yardage on first down, 70 percent on second down, and 100 percent on third and fourth
down.EqPts Per Play (PPP): An explosiveness measure derived from determining the point value of
every yard line (based on the expected number of points an offense could expect to score from that
yard line) and, therefore, every play of a given game.Drive Efficiency: As of February 2013, S&P+
also includes a drive-based aspect based on the field position a team creates and its average success
at scoring or preventing the points expected based on that field position.Opponent adjustments:
Success Rate and PPP combine to form S&P, an OPS-like measure for football. Then each team's
S&P output for a given category (Rushing/Passing on either Standard Downs or Passing Downs) is
compared to the expected output based upon their opponents and their opponents' opponents.
Special Teams F/+ has been added to the overall F/+ formula starting with 2007. It is a direct
offshoot of the Special Teams Efficiency rating found on the FEI page. To read about the rationale
behind this adjustment, go here. For years before 2007, an even combination of S&P+ and FEI is
used.

F/+ RkTeamRecordF/+Last
WeekChangeOff
F/+RkDef
F/+RkSpec.

Tms
F/+RkS&P+RkFEIRk1Florida State14-049.2%1021.5%325.7%12.0%27310.310.31912Alabama1-242.3%2017.8%1019.3%75.2%1270.920.28933Stanford1-340.0%3013.3%1821.6%45.1%2257.740.31124Auburn1235.1%4019.5%712.3%183.3%7251.770.27145Oregon11-233.3%8320.0%611.2%222.1%26251.4100
.25476Michigan State13-132.1%934.8%4325.3%22.0%29251.480.25287Baylor1-230.4%7020.5%410.7%25-0.9%88262.430.235118Oklahoma State10-330.0%11310.2%2620.4%-0.7%85243.4150.24599Ohio State12-229.9%5-422.1%23.9%453.9%5251.0110.2161310South
Carolina11-229.8%14420.2%512.9%16-3.3%114248.8120.257611USC0-429.0%1216.5%3721.5%51.0%46245.9130.1842012Louisville1-129.0%16411.8%2315.1%102.0%28257.350.1812113Arizona State10-428.5%-717.7%1110.4%260.3%60242.7160.2391014Missouri1228.5%17313.3%1715.1%110.1%65245.4140.263515UCLA10-327.8%13-214.4%1510.9%232.5%182
36.3220.2291216Clemson11-226.6%15-113.0%1914.0%13-0.4%78256.760.1702217LS10-326.4%18118.0%95.6%362.9%10238.5190.2131518Washington426.3%19112.1%2211.8%212.4%19235.9230.2021619Wisconsin9-426.2%10-99.5%2815.8%90.9%50
251.490.1861920Oklahoma11-224.7%23312.2%2110.9%241.6%37232.7240.2151421Central
Florida12-123.8%24316.4%135.2%382.2%23237.7200.1931722Georgia8-522.3%0-218.7%83.5%460.1%66241.4170.1921823Texas A&M9-421.2%22-124.01-5.1%862.3%21239.5180.1622424Kansas State8520.5%27314.4%144.4%431.8%33227.3310.1602525Arizona8-518.1%30510.4%2510.4%27-2.7%10
6224.6330.15426F/+ RkTeamRecordF/+Last
WeekChangeOff
F/+RkDef
F/+RkSpec.
Tms
F/+RkS&P+RkFEIRk26Notre Dame9-417.5%25-111.6%246.4%33-0.5%82222.8340.1632327Virginia
Tech8-517.1%21-6-5.9%8523.3%3-0.3%75236.7210.1232928Ole Miss8-516.1%3575.3%4112.0%2-1.2%92229.5290.1362829Iowa8-515.1%28-10.5%6013.9%140.7%52232.6250.1133130BU8-514.9%26-42.8%5113.8%15-1.7%95230.7270.1382731Uth5-713.9%3435.1%427.3%301.5%39219.5390.1143032Utah State9-513.7%33-7.4%9318.3%82.8%12231.8260.0833933Mississippi State7-612.6%43102.9%5012.1%1-2.4%102230.0280.1003234Georgia Tech7-612.1%3-38.3%311.5%572.2%22222.1350.0893535Texas512.0%3944.1%466.1%351.8%31213.5480.0873736Miami9-410.8%29-717.3%12-7.6%911.1%42229
.2300.0674237Michigan7-610.2%32-55.3%404.5%400.3%61216.4440.0883638North Carolina7610.1%4026.8%352.3%491.0%48221.8370.0674339Nebraska949.1%4560.4%617.2%321.5%38211.2540.0624640East Carolina10-38.8%38-27.4%342.2%1-0.8%87221.9360.0674141Duke10-48.5%36-57.5%33-0.2%621.2%40216.1460.0973342Oregon
State7-68.5%5086.5%362.3%50-0.3%73213.3500.0873843Texas Tech8-58.0%601712.3%20-0.9%9-3.4%116216.4450.0664444TCU4-87.1%473-7.9%9414.5%120.5%55217.8430.0415045Boise
State8-57.0%37-83.9%47-1.5%724.7%3221.0380.0275746Houston8-56.842-4-2.3%687.9%281.1%43212.9520.0943447Bowling Green10-46.4%41-65.9%8-2.5%763.0%9224.7320.0714048Florida4-86.1%4-2-8.9%9912.9%172.2%24213.5490.0424949Fresno State11-26.0%44-59.9%27-1.370-2.6%105218.8400.0325350Vanderbilt9-45.9%5331.4%552.6%481.9%30204.7640.06245F/+
RkTeamRecordF/+Last

WeekChangeOff
F/+RkDef
F/+RkSpec.
Tms
F/+RkS&P+RkFEIRk51North Texas9-44.9%4925.0%807.3%312.6%16218.7410.0225852Marshall10-44.4%51-18.6%30-3.1%78-1.1%89213.2510.04
54853Washington State6-73.7%5851.5%541.6%540.6%53207.4600.0285654Pittsburgh-63.6%5950.6%585.4%37-2.4%103218.1420.0325255Minnesota8-52.8%8-7-3.2%733.3%472.8%13198.2740.0305556Indiana5-72.3%56014.016-11.1%106-0.6%84214.5470.0026157Ball State10-32.3%52-54.7%4-4.6%852.1%25207.4590.0125958Navy9-42.2%6688.2%2-8.8%972.9%11205.8620.0335159Northwestern-72.0%57-2-2.1%674.4%42-0.3%72208.9570.0116060Northern Illinois12-21.2%6114.2%45-2.0%4-1.1%90205.4630.0494761Penn State7-5-0.1%621-3.1%726.2%34-3.1%112211253-0.0156562Toledo7-5-0.2%6312.6526.5%893.7%6211.1550.0006263Maryland7-6-1.4%652-3.6%75-0.3%642.6%17208.358-0.0467164Cin
cinnati9-4-1.5%6402.3%532.0%52-5.7%123209.7560.0305465Boston College7-6-2.2%54-112.949-7.8%922.7%14206.961-0.0457066Colorado State8-6-2.6%62-3.7%760.8%600.3%61203.4660.0006367UTSA75-2.7%6700.9%56-0.8%68-2.7%106204.265-0.0396968South Alabama6-6-2.9%7130.7%7-3.5%800.0%70199.272-0.0126469Rice10-4-3.1%55-14-2.4%69-2.3%751.6%3601.668-0.0356870Tulane7-6-3.7%722-11.6%1057.4%290.5%56199173-0.0286771Illinois4-8-4.0%70-15.7%39-10.0%1000.3%5820.171-0.0557772Tennessee5-7-5.2%753-6.8%891.2%580.4%57203.367-0.0497473Florida Atlantic6--5.4%730-7.9%954.2%44-1.7%94200.270-0.0487374San Jose State6-6-6.1%7409.0%29-13.2%12-1.9%99201.469-0.0708575Syracuse7-6-6.2%761-5.6%83-0.3%63-0.3%77198.075-0.07886F/+
RkTeamRecordF/+Last
WeekChangeOff
F/+RkDef
F/+RkSpec.
Tms
F/+RkS&P+RkFEIRk76West Virginia4-8-6.6%804-7.2%92-0.4%650.9%49183598-0.0166677Western Kentucky8-4-6.7%825-5.5%82-1.8%730.5%54197.377-0.0698278Iowa
State3-9-7.4%813-5.1%81-4.0%811.7%34187.590-0.0477279Virginia2-10-.7%77-2-11.9%1084.6%39-0.4%79197.976-0.0668180Buffalo8-5-7.%69-11-6.6%86-1.5%710.3%63196.878-0.0698381Wake Forest4-8-8.5%7-2-12.9%1124.5%410.0%69194.981-0.0608082Hawaii1-11-8.7%842-.9%98-0.7%671.0%47186.692-0.0798783Memphis3-9-9.0830-11.8%1070.1%612.7%15192.783-0.0537684SMU-7-9.7%862-2.8%71-3.4%79-3.4%115194.682-0.0527585Middle Tennessee8-5-9.8%78-7-4.%79-4.5%84-0.4%80189.488-0.0587886UL-Lafayette9-4-9.8%882-1.5%66-9.0%980.8%5189.787-0.0597987Arkansas3-9-10.1%870-1.5%65-8.0%94-0.6%83195.280-0.0938988Nvada4-8-10.5%85-33.5%48-15.0%1171.0%45195.379-0.1069289San Diego State8-5-11.7%95-10.8%1021.6%55-2.4%104192.684-0.0938890Arkansas State8-5-12.1%933-8.296-8.1%954.2%4186.991-0.1029191Rutgers6-7-12.4%90-1-.1%91-8.5%963.3%8185.194-0.1189492N.C. State3-9-12.6%89-3-9.7%100-2.9%770.0%6819.585-0.1309893Connecticut3-9-13.2%91-2-11.9%1091.0%59-2.3%101183.697-0.1139394ulsa3-9-13.5%92-2-12.2%1101.9%53-3.2%113191.686-0.0939095Colorado4-8-14.8%9-

1-6.7%87-6.2%88-1.9%97181.9101-0.15210496UNLV7-6-15.3%95-1-5.7%4-5.3%87-4.3%118187.689-0.1259697Kentucky2-10-16.1%1003-.3%74-12.0%109-0.8%86185.393-0.1219598Temple2-10-16.%97-1-0.2%63-13.6%116-2.2%100179.7103-0.0708499South Florida2-10-17.3%9-1-20.5%1231.6%561.6%35179.1104-0.13399100Army2-10-17.6%99-1-2.7%70-3.0%111-1.9%98171.8110-0.12797F/+ RkTeamRecordF/+Last

WeekChangeOff
F/+RkDef
F/+RkSpec.
Tms
F/+RkS&P+RkFEIRk101Kansas3-9-19.0%1010-18.5%119-0.5%660.0%67170.111-0.137101102Wyoming5-7-19.9%1031-4.0%77-10.3%101-5.6%12214.495-0.146102103California1-11-20.2%1052-6.7%88-100%99-3.4%116179.9102-0.166106104Ohio7-6-20.2%040-9.7%101-12.8%1102.3%20184.26-0.190110105Troy6-6-20.7%10610.3%62-20.6%120-0.3%76183.399-0.158105106Kent State4--20.8%102-4-7.0%90-13.2%113-0.5%81177.4106-0.134100107Texas State6-6-21.6%1081-18.6%20-4.2%821.2%41174.1108-0.215115108Akron5-7-21.8%107-1-14.7%114-4.3%83-2.9%11083.0100-0.146103109UL-Monroe6-6-23.4%1112-11.2%104-6.9%90-5.3%12116.6107-0.167107110New Mexico3-9-23.8%109-10.6%59-26.2%1251.8%32179.105-0.185109111Central Michigan6-6-25.1%110-1-11.8%106-13.5%1150.1%641676113-0.207112112Louisiana Tech5-7-26.4%1120-15.1%116-11.0%104-0.3%731613116-0.183108113Air Force2-10-26.5%1130-1.1%64-24.1%122-1.3%931719109-0.235117114Purdue1-11-27.3%1140-14.6%113-11.%107-1.2%91167.7112-0.214114115UAB2-10-28.8%150-4.8%78-23.9%121-0.1%71165.514-0.210113116Idaho1-11-30.9%1160-17.4%117-10.7%103-2.8%109162.7115-0.242119117Western
Michigan1-11-31.5%1170-18.3%118-7.9%93-5.3%120159.8117-0.217116118Massachusets1-11-32.7%1191-19.8%122-11.0%105-1.9%96152.1121-0.255121119UTEP2-10-3.8%118-1-8.6%97-24.5%1240.3%58159.0118-0.254120120Southern Miss1-11-32.8%1200-19.8%21-10.3%102-2.8%108158.0119-0.279123121Georgia State0-12-33.1%1210-14.8%115-15.2118-3.1%111151.9122-0.207111122New Mexico State2-10-34.9%1220-12.8%111-15.6119-6.4%124151.1123-0.240118123Miami (Ohio)0-12-36.5%1230-25.9%25-11.6%1081.1%44142.7125-0.261122124Eastern Michigan2-10-42.1%1240-11.2%103-24.2123-6.7%125154.1120-0.345125125Florida International1-11-42.5%1250-24.0%124-13.3114-5.3%119143.0124-0.285124

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