Methods to Determine Robust Innovation

Paths for Electric Vehicle Technology

Dipl. Ing Gerfried Cebrat
Austrian Mobility Research 8010 Graz Email: gcebrat@fgm.at

Subject:
Technologies increasing the
endurance/autonomy of BEV’s
(Battery Electric Vehicles).
-Range extenders
-Flow batteries (redox batteries
as one variant)
-Quick exchange of batteries
Method:
Mapping the innovation:
Enumerating the influencing
factors
Assessing: In-depth research of
acceptance via MCDA

Time Technological Procedural Economic

horizon/
Method Analysis Factors Analysis

State of Influence State of

Present
the art analysis the art

Scenarios
Foresight
Future influence Scenarios
analysis
analysis

Hurdle Factor
Economy of scale Competitive supplier market
The variants:
Standards needed The range extenders and flow batteries still need
Resources needed batteries technological research clarifying the operational
Investment demand infrastructure characteristics of an industrialised concept before a
Theoretical demand BEVs robust assessment may be conducted.
Product differentiation Market ability
The results:
Modularity of the vehicles
Battery Exchange BE will have much better
Autonomy/range
Vehicle downsizing
acceptance by the environment relying on well known
Low vehicle weight tanking stops
Switching ability Local economic value added • BE battery vehicle interfaces - if generic - are
Available parking space more complex compared to the charging
Needed grid capacity interface
Legal & policy framework Emission depending road usage fees • Dynamic: Technological Competitors (created by
Vehicle taxation incentives) may push viable alternatives
Purchase subsidies
rendering the BE business model obsolete
Other incentives (priority)
Emission-based access restrictions
Reference/show case BEVs running in the street
Technological know how Energy density batteries
light range extenders
Production know how
Preferences consumers Willingness to add BEV to the fleet
Operational cost (users)
Investment burden (car buyers)
Willingness to switch to BEVs
Fighting global warming

Supported by:

More on alternative fuel policies: www.alter-motive.org

The sole responsibility for the content of this publication lies with the authors. It does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the European
Communities. The European Commission is not responsible for any use that may be made of the information contained therein.
 Paradigm Change in Automotive
Propulsion Train Engineering
DI Gerfried Cebrat Energie- und Umweltconsulting jointly with FGM
A project funded by the A3 programme, initiated by the Austrian Ministry for
Transport, Innovation and Technology bmvit, managed by the FFG
Target: Project Partners:
• Enumerate disruptive changes with power • Energie und Umwelt Consulting DI-Gerfried Cebrat
trains through technological innovation • Forschungsgesellschaft Mobilität – Austrian
• Assess inovative concepts in multiple Mobility Research gemeinn. GmbH., Subcontractor
dimensions

Requirements for Paradigm Change Future BEV Technologies

BEV Engineering with regards to
ICE Engineering Priority based heat
management Heat storage
No heat excess Priority with system (defogging- defrosting –
because no ICE health not comfort battery life – contact heat and exchange
– air temperature) between systems

Thermal heat
collectors Switched cooling

Use of environ- Surface aesthetics Photovoltaic integration

mental energy follows function into surfaces

Operational motor Operational battery

User will is
Cost stress control stress control
limited by the
optimisation
system
Foresight
driving control
Scalable number
Vehicle and power Exchangeable of battery cells
Flexible
power trains train are separate tanks for
detachable units range extenders Undockable
(rolling)
range extenders

Space Integration needs Structure integrated

limitations supersede Iron free
EDLC
COG optimisation machines allow
for low COG
Tilting powertrain

BEV Battery electric vehicles ICE Internal Combustion Engine EDLC Electric Double Layer Capacitor
COG Centre Of Gravity
Ranking of Technologies:
Foresight
driving control
Operational battery Undockable
Usability hurdles

Priority based heat stress control (rolling)

range extenders
management (BEV)
Operational motor
stress control
Scalable number
Foresight of (exchangeable) battery cells
driving assist Exchangeable
Thermal heat tanks for
Photovoltaic inte range extenders
-gration into surfaces collectors
Switched cooling Iron free Tilting power train
Heat storage machines allow
and exchange Structure for low COG
between systems integrated EDLC

Time scale
The sole responsibility for the content of this publication lies with the authors. It does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the bmvit/FFG.
The bmvit/FFG is not responsible for any use that may be made of the information contained therein.