Professional Documents
Culture Documents
;
Alesia Sadosky, PhD
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2
.
5
%
P
r
e
g
a
b
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l
i
n
2
.
8
7
(
3
.
0
4
)
4
3
.
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(
3
2
.
0
3
)
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/
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o
s
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t
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l
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a
7
4
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m
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a
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7
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5
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M
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a
n
)
1
3
/
4
6
4
9
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5
3
5
6
.
0
3
4
.
8
%
L
a
m
o
t
r
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g
i
n
e
2
.
5
(
M
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d
i
a
n
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2
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(
M
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d
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a
n
)
1
9
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6
4
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/
4
6
K
a
d
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g
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t
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l
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7
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0
P
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r
a
l
l
e
l
,
8
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k
s
1
.
9
5
/
3
0
5
3
.
2
2
1
.
7
%
V
e
n
l
a
f
a
x
i
n
e
4
.
1
1
1
/
3
0
K
o
c
h
a
r
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t
a
l
.
7
6
P
l
a
c
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o
5
7
P
a
r
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l
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l
,
1
m
o
n
t
h
4
/
2
8
5
6
.
3
S
o
d
i
u
m
v
a
l
p
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a
t
e
4
0
0
m
g
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I
D
1
/
2
9
K
o
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h
a
r
e
t
a
l
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7
7
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l
a
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e
b
o
4
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l
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m
o
n
t
h
s
0
.
2
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3
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2
1
5
5
.
2
5
3
.
8
%
S
o
d
i
u
m
v
a
l
p
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o
a
t
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5
0
0
m
g
Q
D
3
1
/
2
2
K
v
i
n
e
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d
a
l
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t
a
l
.
7
8
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l
a
c
e
b
o
1
5
C
r
o
s
s
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r
,
5
w
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k
s
0
/
1
5
5
4
.
2
I
m
i
p
r
a
m
i
n
e
3
/
1
5
L
e
s
s
e
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t
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l
.
4
4
P
l
a
c
e
b
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3
3
7
P
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r
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l
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l
,
5
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k
s
1
.
5
4
3
2
/
9
7
1
7
/
9
7
8
/
9
7
5
9
.
9
5
9
.
9
%
P
r
e
g
a
b
a
l
i
n
7
5
m
g
1
.
7
9
1
0
/
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r
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l
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n
3
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g
2
.
4
5
0
/
8
1
3
7
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8
1
5
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8
1
P
r
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g
a
b
a
l
i
n
6
0
0
m
g
2
.
6
5
3
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8
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8
1
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8
2
M
a
x
e
t
a
l
.
7
9
P
l
a
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e
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o
3
7
C
r
o
s
s
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v
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r
,
6
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s
2
5
/
2
9
5
7
.
0
A
m
i
t
r
i
p
t
y
l
i
n
e
2
8
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2
9
M
a
x
e
t
a
l
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8
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l
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b
o
2
4
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r
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s
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6
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2
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0
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e
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i
p
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m
i
n
e
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8
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a
x
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t
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l
.
8
1
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l
a
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5
4
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r
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s
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6
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4
6
5
8
.
0
A
m
i
t
r
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p
t
y
l
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e
3
1
/
3
8
D
e
s
i
p
r
a
m
i
n
e
2
9
/
3
8
F
l
u
o
x
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t
i
n
e
2
9
/
4
6
M
o
r
e
l
l
o
e
t
a
l
.
8
2
A
m
i
t
r
i
p
t
y
l
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n
e
2
5
C
r
o
s
s
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,
6
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k
s
4
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2
4
1
7
/
2
4
6
0
.
4
G
a
b
a
p
e
n
t
i
n
3
/
2
3
1
8
/
2
3
Therapies for painful diabetic peripheral neuropathy 173
T
a
b
l
e
1
.
(
C
o
n
t
i
n
u
e
d
)
S
t
u
d
y
D
r
u
g
,
D
o
s
e
T
o
t
a
l
N
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t
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d
y
T
y
p
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a
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d
T
r
e
a
t
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t
D
u
r
a
t
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o
n
N
R
S
M
e
a
n
d
i
f
f
(
S
D
)
V
A
S
M
e
a
n
d
i
f
f
(
S
D
)
3
0
%
R
e
d
u
c
t
i
o
n
5
0
%
R
e
d
u
c
t
i
o
n
D
i
s
c
o
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t
i
n
u
a
t
i
o
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s
A
d
v
e
r
s
e
E
v
e
n
t
s
M
e
a
n
A
g
e
(
i
n
y
e
a
r
s
)
%
M
a
l
e
R
a
s
k
i
n
e
t
a
l
.
3
7
P
l
a
c
e
b
o
3
2
3
P
a
r
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l
l
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l
,
1
2
w
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k
s
1
5
.
1
3
7
/
1
0
9
2
3
/
1
0
9
2
9
/
1
0
9
7
7
/
1
0
9
5
9
.
2
4
9
.
5
%
T
o
p
i
r
a
m
a
t
e
2
1
.
8
1
0
3
/
2
0
8
7
4
/
2
0
8
1
0
2
/
2
1
4
1
7
0
/
2
1
1
R
a
s
k
i
n
e
t
a
l
.
4
3
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l
a
c
e
b
o
3
4
8
P
a
r
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l
l
e
l
,
1
2
w
e
e
k
s
1
.
6
(
1
.
9
1
)
4
9
/
1
1
3
3
4
/
1
1
3
1
6
/
1
1
6
5
7
/
1
1
6
5
8
.
8
4
6
.
5
%
D
u
l
o
x
e
t
i
n
e
6
0
m
g
Q
D
2
.
5
(
1
.
9
1
)
7
7
/
1
1
4
5
7
/
1
1
3
1
5
/
1
1
6
7
1
/
1
1
6
D
u
l
o
x
e
t
i
n
e
6
0
m
g
B
I
D
2
.
4
7
(
1
.
9
2
)
7
3
/
1
1
3
4
4
/
1
1
4
2
1
/
1
1
6
7
3
/
1
1
6
R
a
s
k
i
n
e
t
a
l
.
c
8
3
D
u
l
o
x
e
t
i
n
e
6
0
m
g
B
I
D
4
4
9
P
a
r
a
l
l
e
l
,
2
7
w
e
e
k
s
2
.
7
1
2
1
/
3
3
4
3
2
1
/
3
3
4
5
9
.
9
5
2
.
1
%
D
u
l
o
x
e
t
i
n
e
1
2
0
m
g
Q
D
2
.
7
4
3
/
1
1
5
1
0
6
/
1
1
5
R
a
u
c
k
e
t
a
l
.
8
4
P
l
a
c
e
b
o
1
1
9
P
a
r
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l
l
e
l
,
1
0
w
e
e
k
s
2
.
2
1
2
6
1
1
/
5
9
4
4
/
5
9
5
5
.
0
4
7
.
0
%
L
a
c
o
s
a
m
i
d
e
4
0
0
m
g
3
.
1
1
3
6
.
1
1
4
/
6
0
5
2
/
6
0
R
i
c
h
t
e
r
e
t
a
l
.
4
6
P
l
a
c
e
b
o
2
4
6
P
a
r
a
l
l
e
l
,
6
w
e
e
k
s
1
.
1
1
3
/
8
5
1
3
/
8
5
5
7
.
1
6
0
.
6
%
P
r
e
g
a
b
a
l
i
n
1
5
0
m
g
1
.
6
1
5
/
7
9
4
/
7
9
P
r
e
g
a
b
a
l
i
n
6
0
0
m
g
2
.
4
3
2
/
8
2
1
0
/
8
2
R
o
s
e
n
s
t
o
c
k
e
t
a
l
.
4
5
P
l
a
c
e
b
o
1
4
6
P
a
r
a
l
l
e
l
,
8
w
e
e
k
s
0
.
8
1
0
/
7
0
8
/
7
0
2
0
/
7
0
5
9
.
7
5
6
.
1
%
P
r
e
g
a
b
a
l
i
n
3
0
0
m
g
/
d
a
y
2
.
5
3
0
/
7
6
1
1
/
7
6
4
7
/
7
6
R
o
w
b
o
t
h
a
m
e
t
a
l
.
8
5
P
l
a
c
e
b
o
2
4
5
P
a
r
a
l
l
e
l
,
6
w
e
e
k
s
1
8
.
7
2
7
/
8
1
1
2
/
8
1
5
9
.
0
5
9
.
4
%
V
e
n
l
a
f
a
x
i
n
e
X
R
7
5
m
g
2
2
.
4
3
2
/
8
1
1
8
/
8
1
V
e
n
l
a
f
a
x
i
n
e
X
R
1
5
0
t
o
2
2
5
m
g
3
3
.
8
4
6
/
8
2
R
o
w
b
o
t
h
a
m
e
t
a
l
.
8
6
P
l
a
c
e
b
o
2
6
6
P
a
r
a
l
l
e
l
,
7
w
e
e
k
s
1
.
1
(
2
.
2
8
)
8
/
6
5
1
4
/
6
5
4
3
/
6
5
6
1
.
9
5
4
.
5
%
A
B
T
-
5
9
4
1
5
0
l
g
B
I
D
1
.
9
(
2
.
2
4
)
1
8
/
6
5
2
5
/
6
5
5
4
/
6
5
A
B
T
-
5
9
4
2
2
5
l
g
B
I
D
1
.
9
(
2
.
2
8
)
1
7
/
6
7
3
9
/
6
9
6
2
/
6
9
A
B
T
-
5
9
4
3
0
0
l
g
B
I
D
2
(
2
.
1
8
)
5
0
/
6
7
6
1
/
6
7
S
a
t
o
h
e
t
a
l
.
8
7
P
l
a
c
e
b
o
3
1
4
P
a
r
a
l
l
e
l
,
1
3
w
e
e
k
s
3
0
/
1
3
5
4
9
/
1
3
5
6
1
.
4
7
5
.
5
%
P
r
e
g
a
b
a
l
i
n
3
0
0
m
g
3
9
/
1
3
4
7
6
/
1
3
4
P
r
e
g
a
b
a
l
i
n
6
0
0
m
g
1
6
/
4
5
3
6
/
4
5
S
c
h
e
f
e
r
e
t
a
l
.
8
8
P
l
a
c
e
b
o
5
4
P
a
r
a
l
l
e
l
,
8
w
e
e
k
s
1
2
(
3
5
.
2
)
2
/
2
6
6
0
.
6
3
5
.
2
%
C
a
p
s
a
i
c
i
n
(
t
o
p
i
c
a
l
0
.
0
7
5
%
)
3
7
.
7
(
3
4
.
2
)
9
/
2
8
S
c
h
w
a
r
t
z
e
t
a
l
.
8
9
P
l
a
c
e
b
o
3
8
9
P
a
r
a
l
l
e
l
,
1
2
w
e
e
k
s
1
.
4
8
1
/
1
9
2
5
3
/
1
9
2
6
2
/
1
9
3
1
0
0
/
1
9
3
6
0
.
2
6
0
.
4
%
T
a
p
e
n
t
a
d
o
l
E
R
0
1
0
5
/
1
9
6
7
4
/
1
9
6
6
3
/
1
9
6
1
3
9
/
1
9
6
S
e
l
v
a
r
a
j
a
h
e
t
a
l
.
9
0
P
l
a
c
e
b
o
3
0
P
a
r
a
l
l
e
l
,
1
2
w
e
e
k
s
3
.
1
9
/
1
4
5
6
.
4
6
2
.
1
%
S
a
t
i
v
e
x
2
.
5
8
/
1
5
S
h
a
i
b
a
n
i
e
t
a
l
.
9
1
P
l
a
c
e
b
o
4
6
8
P
a
r
a
l
l
e
l
,
1
8
w
e
e
k
s
1
.
6
7
3
0
/
6
6
1
8
/
6
6
2
1
/
6
5
5
5
/
6
5
5
9
.
8
5
6
.
5
%
L
a
c
o
s
a
m
i
d
e
2
0
0
m
g
2
.
0
1
7
6
/
1
4
1
3
8
/
1
4
1
4
6
/
1
4
1
1
1
3
/
1
4
1
L
a
c
o
s
a
m
i
d
e
4
0
0
m
g
2
.
2
9
7
3
/
1
2
5
5
5
/
1
2
5
5
4
/
1
2
5
9
9
/
1
2
5
L
a
c
o
s
a
m
i
d
e
6
0
0
m
g
2
.
2
3
7
9
/
1
3
7
4
1
/
1
3
7
9
1
/
1
3
7
1
1
9
/
1
3
7
S
i
m
p
s
o
n
p
a
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t
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9
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2
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1
174 SNEDECOR ET AL.
T
a
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1
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(
C
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)
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1
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9
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9
5
4
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%
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9
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.
Therapies for painful diabetic peripheral neuropathy 175
Of the 71 studies, 17 were crossover in design. Ten
head-to-head trials were identied, and one study
examined gabapentin + placebo vs. gabapentin + oxy-
codone. Studies included patients similar in age, ranging
from a mean of 50 to 71 years. Most studies required a
minimum pain duration from 3 to 6 months, stable
glycemic control, and minimum pain severity at entry
equivalent to 4 on an 11-point scale.
A B
C D
NRS pain reducon
-3.29
-2.20
-1.45
-1.40
-1.30
-1.13
-1.08
-1.08
-1.06
-0.96
-0.83
-0.53
-0.52
-0.41
-0.39
0.05
0.20
0.34
0.60
-4.5 -3.0 -1.5 0.0 1.5
Mean NRS reducon over placebo (95%CrI)
Sodium valporate (1)
Venlafaxine (1)
Oxycodone (2)
Tapentadol (1)
Gabapenn (3)
Tramadol (2)
Lidocaine 5% plaster (1)
Pregabalin 300mg (10)
Duloxene 40mg (8)
Zonisamide (1)
ABT-594 (3)
Lamotrigine (7)
Lacosamide (9)
Pregabalin 150mg (3)
Duloxene 20mg (2)
Pentoxifylline (1)
Amitriptyline (1)
Lanepitant (3)
Savex (1)
Favors Placebo Favors Treatment
VAS pain reducon
-21.88
-18.84
-15.53
-13.39
-13.38
-12.56
-10.72
-9.43
-6.92
-5.93
-3.09
-30.0 -20.0 -10.0 0.0
Mean VAS reducon over placebo (95% CrI)
Pregabalin 300mg (1)
Mexilene (1)
Amitriptyline (1)
Tramadol (1)
Gabapenn (1)
Capsaicin (topical 0.075%) (3)
Zonisamide (1)
Venlafaxine (2)
Lacosamide (3)
Oxcarbazepine (5)
Topiramate (8)
Favors Placebo Favors Treatment
50% pain reducon (solid)
30% pain reducon (open)
Zonisamide (1)
Alpha-Lipoic Acid (3)
Lidocaine 5% plaster (1/1)
Venlafaxine (1)
ABT-594 (2)
Oxcarbazepine (1/1)
Pregabalin 300mg (11/3)
Duloxene 40mg (8/6)
Tramadol (1/1)
Topiramate (1/1)
Venlafaxine XR (2)
Tapentadol ER (1/1)
Oxycodone (1)
Pregabalin 150mg (2)
Lacosamide (5/7)
Lamotrigine (8/6)
Savex (1)
Amitriptyline (2)
0.98
1.14
1.23
1.29
1.31
1.40
1.54
1.65
1.69
1.76
1.79
1.80
1.90
1.93
2.25
3.11
0.78
1.02
1.30
1.24
1.29
1.41
1.49
1.54
1.59
1.78
1.45
1.67
1.84
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50
RR (95%CrI)
Favors Placebo Favors Treatment
Oxycodone (1)
% disconnuaon (solid)
% AEs (open)
Imipramine (1)
Zonisamide (1/1)
Alpha-Lipoic Acid (3)
Lanepitant (3)
ABT-594 (3/3)
Oxcarbazepine (5)
Capsaicin (topical 0.075%) (3)
Lacosamide (9/7)
Topiramate (4/1)
Venlafaxine XR (1)
Amitriptyline (4/4)
Duloxene 40mg (10/6)
Lamotrigine (8/6)
Pregabalin 300mg (9/4)
Duloxene 20mg (2/1)
Tapentadol (1/1)
Desipramine (2)
Gabapenn (4/4)
Pregabalin 150mg (3)
Oxycodone (2/1)
Tramadol (2/1)
Fluoxene (1)
Clonidine transdermal patch(1)
Mexilene (1)
Sodium valproate (2)
3.96
3.44
2.70
2.52
2.48
1.79
1.64
1.50
1.49
1.45
1.37
1.26
1.17
1.12
1.01
1.01
0.94
0.90
0.77
0.71
0.70
0.69
0.33
1.21
1.38
1.06
1.18
1.28
1.23
1.14
1.32
1.18
1.26
1.17
1.02
1.55
1.02
0.94
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0
RR (95%CrI)
Favors Placebo Favors Treatment
Figure 3. Meta-analysis results for (A) numeric rating scale outcomesmean reduction in pain; (B) visual analogue scale outcome
mean reduction; (C) proportion of responders achieving 30% reduction in pain; (D) proportion of responders achieving 50% reduction
in pain. Numbers in parentheses indicate the number of available data points for the specied drug and outcome. All outcomes are
shown compared with placebo with 95% credible intervals.
176 SNEDECOR ET AL.
Thirteen studies were excluded from the meta-anal-
ysis: 7 had no relevant outcomes for extraction,
2026
one
was a nonrandomized subgroup of an RCT,
27
one DPN
and one PHN patients were combined,
28
one had no
specic reference to painful DPN,
29
one reported only
median efcacy data,
30
one was missing number of
patients in each treatment arm,
31
and one had out-of-
network comparisons of combination treatments.
32
One
study
33
reported 2 distinct patient populations compar-
ing lamotrigine to placebo and was considered as 2
separate studies in the meta-analysis. Two studies
reporting the same trial population were combined.
34,35
Data from the 58 remaining studies comprised 29
interventions: 11,883 patients were included in the
meta-analysis (Figure 2). Table 1 displays all included
studies and study characteristics. Because not all studies
reported all outcomes, some treatments could not be
included in every outcome analysis. Heterogeneity in
efcacy was identied only for pregabalin 300 mg,
resulting in part from variation in study durations,
where longer durations were associated with lower
treatment efcacy. Heterogeneity in discontinuations
was observed among lacosamide, pregabalin
150 mg, topiramate, capsaicin, and oxcarbazepine.
Discontinuation data were identied from no more than
3 studies per intervention, precluding identication of
any study-specic trends suggesting the source of hetero-
geneity.
Modeled Efcacy Outcomes
Mixed treatment comparisons estimating the mean
reduction in pain over that of placebo on the 11-point
NRS showed sodium valproate as most effective (3.29;
95% CrI: [4.22, 2.36]) and Sativex as least (+0.61;
[0.47, 1.68]) (Figure 3A). The treatments with
the most available comparisons were pregabalin
( 300 mg/day) (n = 10 comparisons from 8 studies),
lacosamide (n = 9 from 4 studies), duloxetine
( 40 mg/day) (n = 8 from 4 studies), and lamotrigine
(n = 7 from 3 studies), which had net reductions of
1.12 (1.30, 0.94), 0.52 (0.31, 0.72), 1.06
(1.22, 0.89), and 0.53 (0.28, 0.77), respec-
tively.
Most estimates clustered within the middle of the
efcacy range between 0 and 1.5 reduction in mean
NRS score. These treatments also tended to be associ-
ated with a larger number of data points and had smaller
CrIs. Data for the treatments estimated to be least
(Sativex, lanepitant, amitriptyline, and pentoxifylline),
and most (venlafaxine and sodium valproate) effective
were extracted from studies enrolling fewer patients
(and thus had larger CrIs). For example, estimates of the
4 least effective treatments were derived from studies
ranging from 25 to 93 total patients, and the 2
treatments estimated to be most effective were derived
from studies of 43 and 60 patients. In contrast,
interventions such as duloxetine, pregabalin, lamotri-
gine, and lacosamide were highly studied, with com-
parisons derived from 16 studies with sample sizes
ranging from 119 to 468 patients across 2 to 4 treatment
arms per study.
Although treatments on the extreme ends of the
efcacy scale were associated with larger CrIs, an
examination of the difference between the best predicted
treatment (sodium valproate) and the worst predicted
treatment (Sativex) showed an expected difference in
reduction of NRS score of 4.9 (95% CrI: [5.3,
2.5]), indicating a signicant difference in efcacy
among the 2 extreme treatments in the modeled
outcome. Figure 4A displays additional evidence of
treatment differentiation including probabilities of each
treatment being the best, second best, and so on
compared with placebo.
Pregabalin ( 300 mg/day) was the most effective in
reducing pain reported on VAS (21.88, [27.06,
16.68]); topiramate (25 to 400 mg), which had the
most available data points (8 from 2 studies
36,37
), was
the least effective (3.09, [3.99, 2.18]) (Figure 3B).
Amitriptyline, gabapentin, zonisamide, and tramadol all
demonstrated similar efcacy in the NRS and VAS
analyses. Pregabalin 300 mg showed greater efcacy
in the VAS analysis than in the NRS. As the number of
available data points increased and uncertainty
decreased, the VAS efcacy estimates trended toward
0, where treatments demonstrated no additional efcacy
over that of placebo (Figure 3B). The probabilities of
each treatments rank on the VAS from best to worst are
presented Figure 4B.
The mean probabilities of 30% reduction in pain
were not statistically different than placebo for Sativex
(RR of pain reduction = 0.78, [0.19, 1.66]), lamotrigine
(1.02, [0.80, 1.25]), and duloxetine 20 mg/day
(1.24, [0.89, 1.60]) (Figure 3C). Compared with pla-
cebo, lidocaine had the highest probability of 30%
reduction (1.84, [1.39, 2.21]). Relative risks of 50%
pain reduction ranged from 0.98 (0.56, 1.52) (amitrip-
tyline) to 2.25 (1.51, 3.00) (alpha-lipoic acid 600 to
1,800 mg) (Figure 3C). Analysis of the relative efcacies
of the least and most effective treatments showed that
Therapies for painful diabetic peripheral neuropathy 177
the probability of achieving 30% reduction in pain with
lidocaine 5% plaster relative to Sativex was higher with
marginal signicance (RR 3.27, 95% CrI [1.07, 9.81]).
However, the probabilities of achieving 50% reduction
in pain were not statistically different for the best
(zonisamide) and worst treatments (amitriptyline) (3.39
[0.88, 3.34]), indicating that although differentiation
among treatments was demonstrated with the NRS and
VAS, these differences did not translate the dichotomous
responder outcomes.
Comparisons of the mean increase in EQ-5D utility
were available for 3 interventions from 2 active agents.
Duloxetine 40 mg (60 mg QD or 60 mg BID) had
the highest mean increase in health state utility (0.05,
A
B
0
.
0
0
.
4
0
.
8
Rank of sodium valproate
P
r
o
b
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
0
.
0
0
.
4
0
.
8
0
.
0
0
.
4
0
.
8
Rank of venlafaxine
0
.
0
0
.
4
0
.
8
Rank of oxycodone
0
.
0
0
.
4
0
.
8
Rank of tapentadol
0
.
0
0
.
4
0
.
8
Rank of gabapentin
P
r
o
b
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
0
.
0
0
.
4
0
.
8
0
.
0
0
.
4
0
.
8
Rank of tramadol
0
.
0
0
.
4
0
.
8
Rank of pregabalin >=300mg
0
.
0
0
.
4
0
.
8
Rank of lidocaine 5% plaster
0
.
0
0
.
4
0
.
8
Rank of duloxetine >=40mg
P
r
o
b
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
0
.
0
0
.
8
0
.
0
0
.
4
0
.
8
Rank of zonisamide
0
.
0
0
.
4
0
.
8
Rank of ABT-594
0
.
0
0
.
4
0
.
8
Rank of lamotrigine
0
.
0
0
.
4
0
.
8
Rank of lacosamide
P
r
o
b
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
0
.
0
0
.
4
0
.
8
0
.
0
0
.
4
0
.
8
Rank of pregabalin <=150mg
0
.
0
0
.
4
0
.
8
Rank of duloxetine <=20mg
0
.
0
0
.
4
0
.
8
Rank of pentoxifylline
0
.
0
0
.
4
0
.
8
Rank of amitriptyline
P
r
o
b
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
0
.
0
0
.
4
0
.
8
0
.
0
0
.
4
0
.
8
Rank of lanepitant
0
.
0
0
.
4
0
.
8
Rank of sativex
0
.
0
0
.
4
0
.
8
Rank of placebo
NRS
VAS
0
.
0
0
.
2
0
.
4
0
.
6
0
.
8
1
.
0
Rank of pregabalin >=300mg
P
r
o
b
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
0
.
0
0
.
4
0
.
8
0
.
0
0
.
2
0
.
4
0
.
6
0
.
8
1
.
0
Rank of mexiletine
0
.
0
0
.
2
0
.
4
0
.
6
0
.
8
1
.
0
Rank of amitriptyline
0
.
0
0
.
2
0
.
4
0
.
6
0
.
8
1
.
0
Rank of tramadol
0
.
0
0
.
2
0
.
4
0
.
6
0
.
8
1
.
0
Rank of gabapentin
P
r
o
b
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
0
.
0
0
.
2
0
.
4
0
.
6
0
.
8
1
.
0
0
.
0
0
.
2
0
.
4
0
.
6
0
.
8
1
.
0
Rank of capsaicin
0
.
0
0
.
2
0
.
4
0
.
6
0
.
8
1
.
0
Rank of zonisamide
0
.
0
0
.
2
0
.
4
0
.
6
0
.
8
1
.
0
Rank of venlafaxine
0
.
0
0
.
2
0
.
4
0
.
6
0
.
8
1
.
0
Rank of lacosamide
P
r
o
b
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
0
.
0
0
.
2
0
.
4
0
.
6
0
.
8
1
.
0
0
.
0
0
.
2
0
.
4
0
.
6
0
.
8
1
.
0
Rank of oxcarbazepine
0
.
0
0
.
2
0
.
4
0
.
6
0
.
8
1
.
0
Rank of topiramate
Figure 4. Rankings for (A) NRS and (B) VAS treatment efcacy. Each plot represents the probability of being best, 2nd best, 3rd best,
and so on among all of the interventions included in the respective outcomes.
178 SNEDECOR ET AL.
[0.011, 0.13]) over 12 weeks compared with placebo
but was not statistically signicant. Duloxetine
20 mg showed a modest increase in mean health
state utility (0.02, [0.05, 0.10]), and Sativex showed
the least improvement (0.03, [0.36, 0.29]).
Harms Outcomes
Most studies reported total numbers of AEs and
discontinuations. Among the 24 interventions for which
discontinuation data were available, 14 were not esti-
mated to be statistically higher than placebo. Imipra-
mine had the highest RR of discontinuation (3.96, [3.06,
4.28]) (Figure 3D), and tramadol had a RR of discon-
tinuation statistically lower than placebo (0.71, [0.49,
0.98]). Most of discontinuation RRs clustered around
0.8 to 1.5, with estimates on the extreme having greater
uncertainty.
Oxycodone, ABT-594, pregabalin 300 mg, ami-
triptyline, duloxetine 40 mg had RRs of AEs statis-
tically higher than placebo with a lower bound of the
95% CrI greater than 1.12. Amitriptyline, lamotrigine,
and topiramate were marginally statistically higher than
placebo with 95% CrI lower bounds of 1.02, 1.01, and
1.00, respectively (Figure 3D). No study had AE risks
statistically lower than placebo.
Model Validation
To validate the models consistency with head-to-head
comparisons, we compared the treatment efcacies from
the reported studies with those from the MTC analysis
(Table 2). Two direct comparisons were available for
the NRS outcome, one each for the VAS and 30% pain
reduction, and 3 for the 50% pain reduction. The
consistency measures represent the difference between
the relative efcacies calculated from the study data and
from the MTC model. The continuous and dichotomous
consistency measures were centered around 0 (NRS and
VAS difference) and 1 (RR ratio), indicating the models
integration of the indirect evidence (ie, placebo-con-
trolled data) within the MTC analysis was consistent
with the directly observed head-to-head data.
Two doses of venlafaxine were consolidated in the
base-case analysis, although one study reported differ-
ential efcacy between high-dose and low-dose admin-
istrations of this treatment. However, this is the only
study to include this treatment. Thus, creating 2 separate
arms for each of the doses resulted in estimates
mimicking the reported data, rather than the average
of the 2 data points generated in the base-case analyses
(data available on request).
To test the impact of the lack of inclusion of
intercorrelations among multiarm trials, we created a
model estimating the NRS outcomes including only
those interventions with the most data points available.
We analyzed the random-effects model with and with-
out adjusting for multiarm trials and compared both
outcomes with those observed with the xed-effect
model. The mean reduction in VAS score was virtually
unchanged in all 3 modeling scenarios (data available
upon request). Furthermore, adjusting for multiarm
trials resulted in very little change in model estimates
relative to the nonadjusted model.
DISCUSSION
This study presents a comprehensive systematic review
and Bayesian meta-analysis of efcacy and/or harms
outcomes for 29 treatments for the management of
pDPN with data collected from 58 studies enrolling
11,883 subjects. To our knowledge, this is the most
comprehensive comparative effectiveness analysis con-
ducted to date for this pain indication.
The results obtained in this study are comparable
to those of previous meta-analyses assessing fewer
Table 2. Consistency Analysis Results for Efcacy Outcomes. Mean Consistency Measure is the Difference (for
Continuous NRS and VAS Outcomes) or the Relative Risk Ratio (for 30 and 50% Response Outcomes) between the
Treatment Effects Estimated Directly from the Data or Indirectly from the Mixed Treatment Comparison Results
Outcome Comparison Mean Consistency Measure 95% CrI
NRS Amitriptyline vs. gabapentin Difference = 0.007 (5.06, 5.04)
NRS Pregabalin 300 mg vs. lidocaine 5% plaster Difference = 0.007 (5.238, 5.235)
VAS Amitriptyline vs. capsaicin Difference = 2.763 (86.94, 81.44)
30% response Pregabalin 300 mg vs. lidocaine 5% plaster RR ratio = 1.03 (0.88, 1.24)
50% response Pregabalin 300 mg vs. lidocaine 5% plaster RR ratio = 1.03 (0.77, 1.42)
50% response Amitriptyline vs. lamotrigine RR ratio = 0.84 (0.52, 1.36)
50% response Amitriptyline vs. pregabalin 300 mg RR ratio = 1.15 (0.70, 1.86)
NRS, numeric rating scale; VAS, visual analogue scale; CrI, credible interval; RR, relative risk.
Therapies for painful diabetic peripheral neuropathy 179
studies.
38,39
Quilici et al.
39
analyzed data from9 clinical
trials and 2 published studies of duloxetine 60 mg,
pregabalin, and gabapentin for the treatment of pDPN.
The 2 published studies are included in our analysis.
40,41
The clinical trial data are presented by trial name, but
most were able to be reconciled with our analysis by
treatment arms and study duration.
28,4247
Direct and
indirect comparisons yielded identical results in their
study. For indirect comparisons vs. placebo, mean
reduction in 24-hour pain intensity was 1.44, 1.13,
and 0.90 for gabapentin, duloxetine, and pregabalin
(all dosages combined), respectively. Our respective
results are 1.06, 1.30, and 1.12 and 0.43 (for
pregabalin 300 mg and 150 mg). The authors
also presented the log odds ratio of achieving 50%
reduction in pain for duloxetine and pregabalin: 0.856
and 0.840, respectively, compared with 0.854 and
0.884/0.347 for pregabalin 300/ 150 mg in this
study.
The other indirect meta-analysis conducted by Chou
et al.
38
evaluated gabapentin to TCAs including desi-
pramine, imipramine, and amitriptyline for the treat-
ment of pDPN and PHN. The study outcome was 50%
reduction in pain score or at least moderate or good
improvement in pain or global efcacy on a categorical
scale. Ten studies of the pDPNpopulation were included
into the Chou meta-analysis. Of these, 8 studies were
included due to the use of moderate or good improve-
ment in pain as an inclusion criterion, but were excluded
from the 50% response outcome in our analysis. The
remaining 2 studies were excluded for consideration
from our analysis due to trial duration of < 4 weeks.
From their analysis, the authors concluded the outcomes
with gabapentin were not statically different than TCAs
including amitriptyline in their adjusted indirect analy-
ses. These results are comparable to the NRS and VAS
outcomes generated in our analysis, which demon-
strated statistical equivalence to amitriptyline and
gabapentin.
The present results are consistent with a study
showing comparability of lidocaine to amitriptyline,
capsaicin, gabapentin, and pregabalin in pain reduc-
tion
48
and a study conducting a standard meta-analysis
of the 50% response rate of anticonvulsants, TCAs,
duloxetine, mexiletine, and opioids compared with
placebo.
49
Similar results were also seen in two
12-week RCTs published after our literature review
was conducted. One study compared duloxetine, gaba-
pentin, and pregabalin and found no signicant differ-
ence among treatment groups,
50
and the other found that
duloxetine (60 mg/day) was noninferior to pregabalin
(300 mg/day).
51
Dose-dependent effects for duloxetine
and pregabalin were also observed in our study, consis-
tent with a Cochrane review suggesting that duloxetine
may be effective at 60 and 120 mg daily dose but not at
20 mg daily dose.
52
The results of this study should be interpreted in light
of its limitations. Treatments associated with higher
numbers of studies or studies including more patients
were estimated to fall within the median range of
efcacy for the NRS and harms outcomes. These
treatments were also associated with smaller CrIs,
indicating greater reliability of the outcomes supported
by more data. It follows that the comparative efcacy
among treatments whose individual estimates are less
certain and those that are more certain should also be
viewed with caution.
Heterogeneity was demonstrated in the efcacy
estimates for the pregabalin 300 mg intervention,
suggesting differential treatment effects as a function of
study duration. Given the low power of statistical
homogeneity tests, other treatments may have unex-
plored variation due to differential study durations.
Additionally, studies differed in year of publication,
which has been attributed to one of the drivers of
discordant results observed between direct meta-
analyses and adjusted indirect comparisons.
38
More-
over, a drugs effectiveness against placebo was used to
calculate its effectiveness against other active drugs
within the MTC, so differences in placebo responses as a
function of study year, duration, age, baseline pain
scores, etc. could affect the meta-analysis outcomes.
53
In
the present analysis, included studies were published
from1984 through 2011, and no formal adjustment was
made for differences in placebo effect or outcome
measurements as a function of publication year. These
factors could be explored across all observed studies, but
could not be explored on the drug level within the MTC
due to too few observations for many treatments.
In this analysis, all dosages of each treatment were
considered to be independent observations of the same
intervention, with the exception of 2 levels of stratica-
tion for pregabalin and duloxetine. The conclusions of
the studies themselves support this assumption, but we
cannot rule out the possibility that different dosages
introduced more heterogeneity into the data than
otherwise would have been observed if the studies had
all included identical interventions.
Another data limitation is the quality and complete-
ness of reporting. Although there is substantial evidence
180 SNEDECOR ET AL.
analyzing pharmacological treatments for pDPN with
therapies, the outcomes used to measure treatment
efcacy varied widely. Pain outcomes analyzed here
included the 11-pt NRS and 100 mm VAS, which was
dened to be 24-hr average pain or daily pain. However,
several studies presented outcomes using a variety of
other pain measures, limiting comparisons across the
different studies and therapies. Consistent reporting of
variability for continuous outcomes would assist in
generating more accurate estimates of relative efcacy.
Differentiation among the effects of some of the
interventions was identied for the NRS and VAS
outcomes, but these differences were not maintained in
the dichotomous 30% and 50% pain reduction out-
comes. Furthermore, it was observed that several treat-
ments had similar efcacy (or harm), and those with
highest and lowest efcacy were associated with the
least number of studies and data points. This under-
scores the need for studies with comparable sample sizes
and reported outcomes to ensure more accurate indirect
analysis estimates.
This study compiled all available data for pharma-
cologic treatments for pDPN into one comprehensive
framework to generate more compatible efcacy esti-
mates than could be made by simply examining
individual studies side-by-side. This analysis, which
used Bayesian MTC methodology, provided consistent
results for the subset of treatments that had been
previously analyzed using standard meta-analytical
and adjusted indirect comparison techniques, thereby
supporting the results produced herein for all treat-
ments.
Consolidated comparison of several treatments and
several studies demonstrated that many interventions
were similar, with few treatments showing lower and
higher efcacy and harm along with larger variation.
Heterogeneity analyses also revealed the need for
examination of the effects of study duration and other
factors on treatment effects to more accurately compare
study results. Overall, the results of this meta-analysis
can provide guidance to clinicians for treatment selec-
tion in the management of pDPN.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The authors gratefully acknowledge Pooja Desai, Yash
Jalundhwala, Ewan Cobran, and Yi-Ting Tsai of
Pharmerit International for identication and extraction
of study data and Bruce Parsons of Pzer Inc for his
clinical perspective on the article. This study was funded
by Pzer Inc. Lavanya Sudharshan, Sonya J. Snedecor,
Sonam Mehta, and Marc Botteman are employees of
Pharmerit International and were paid consultants to
Pzer in the development and execution of this study
and article. Joseph C. Cappelleri and Alesia Sadosky are
employees and shareholders of Pzer Inc, the sponsor of
this study. L.S. and M.B. contributed to study identi-
cation. S.S., L.S, and S.M, contributed to extraction of
study data. S.S. and L.S. analyzed the data and wrote
the article. A.S., J.C., and M.B. contributed to the
data analyses. All authors reviewed and edited the
article.
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