Pulse Asia said Aquino’s approval rating dipped from 70 percent in March to 56 percent in June, or a 14-percentage point decline. His trust rating, on the other hand, slipped from 69 percent in March to just 53 percent in June, or a 16 percentage point decline.
Aquino suffered the biggest cut in his approval ratings in Mindanao (down 19 percentage points from 90 percent in March to 61 percent in June), and among Classes D and E (down 15 percentage points and 12 percentage points, respectively).
Original Title
Pulse Asia Research’s June 2014 Nationwide Survey on Presidential Performance and Trust Ratings
Pulse Asia said Aquino’s approval rating dipped from 70 percent in March to 56 percent in June, or a 14-percentage point decline. His trust rating, on the other hand, slipped from 69 percent in March to just 53 percent in June, or a 16 percentage point decline.
Aquino suffered the biggest cut in his approval ratings in Mindanao (down 19 percentage points from 90 percent in March to 61 percent in June), and among Classes D and E (down 15 percentage points and 12 percentage points, respectively).
Pulse Asia said Aquino’s approval rating dipped from 70 percent in March to 56 percent in June, or a 14-percentage point decline. His trust rating, on the other hand, slipped from 69 percent in March to just 53 percent in June, or a 16 percentage point decline.
Aquino suffered the biggest cut in his approval ratings in Mindanao (down 19 percentage points from 90 percent in March to 61 percent in June), and among Classes D and E (down 15 percentage points and 12 percentage points, respectively).
FROM: Prof. Ronald D. Holmes President Pulse Asia Research, Inc.
RE: Pulse Asia Researchs June 2014 Nationwide Survey on Presidential Performance and Trust Ratings
Pulse Asia Research, Inc. is pleased to share with you some findings on Presidential Performance and Trust Ratings from the June 2014 Ulat ng Bayan national survey. We request you to assist us in inf7orming the public by disseminating this information.
The survey fieldwork was conducted from June 24 July 2, 2014 using face-to- face interviews. Various issues preoccupied Filipinos immediately prior to and during the conduct of the field interviews for this survey, among which are the following: (1) The filing of charges of plunder and violation of the Anti-Graft and Corrupt Practices Act before the Sandiganbayan against Senators Juan Ponce Enrile, Jinggoy Estrada, and Ramon Revilla, Jr. on 06 June 2014; the indictment for plunder of Ms. Janet Lim Napoles as well as key members of the respective legislative staffs of Senators Enrile, Estrada and Revilla; the eventual surrender of Senators Revilla and Estrada following the issuance of warrants of arrest for them; and the "not guilty" plea entered by the Sandiganbayan on behalf of Senators Revilla and Estrada; (2) The Office of the Ombudsman's denial of the petition for immunity of Ms. Napoles, former Technology Resource Center (TRC) Chairperson Dennis Cunanan, and two officers of the National Agri-Business Corporation;
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(3) The petition of the Office of the Ombudsman filed before the Supreme Court (SC) for the creation of two special courts to handle cases related to the pork barrel scam, Malacanang's support for the proposal, and the opposition to the petition expressed by the Sandiganbayan and the lawmakers indicted for plunder; (4) The decision issued by the Supreme Court (SC) declaring several acts under the Disbursement Acceleration Program (DAP) as unconstitutional for violating the doctrine of separation of powers and the constitutional provision which prohibits the inter-branch transfer of appropriations; (5) The statement of support for President Benigno S. Aquino III made House Speaker Feliciano B. Belmonte, Jr. and other pro-administration legislators in response to calls for the President's impeachment and the resignation of Department of Budget and Management (DMB) Secretary Florencio Abad coming from some opposition lawmakers and militant groups following the SC's ruling on the DAP; (6) The creation by the Office of the Ombudsman of a panel that will investigate the realignments in the national budget made by the national administration under the DAP; (7) The Sandiganbayan's order to suspend former President and incumbent Pampanga Representative Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo for 90 days in connection with her reported involvement in the anomalous NBN-ZTE deal; (8) The continued tension between the Philippines and China over disputed territories in the West Philippine Sea with, among other things, the United Nations (UN) Permanent Court of Arbitration directing China to submit by 15 December 2014 its response to the Philippine memorandum concerning the nullification of China's claims to several territories in the area and the United States (US) encouraging China to participate in the arbitration process to defend the legal basis of its territorial claims; (9) The President's call for the Philippine National Police (PNP) to swiftly resolve crime incidents after the recent series of killings involving several high-profile individuals; (10) The confirmation of the appointments of Department of Justice (DOJ) Secretary Leila M. de Lima, Department of Social Welfare and Development (DSWD) Secretary Corazon J. Soliman, and Department of Environment and Natural Resources (DENR) Secretary Ramon J.P. Paje after being in office for four years; (11) The celebration of the 116th Philippine independence day on 12 June 2014 with President Aquino leading rites in Naga City; (12) The controversial decision of President Aquino to reject the nomination of Ms. Nora Aunor as National Artist for Film; and
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(13) On the economic front, the continued failure of the Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) and Bureau of Customs (BOC) to meet their target collections for the month of May 2014 ; the decline in power rates charged by the Manila Electric Company (Meralco) in June 2014; the increase in oil prices due to the continued crisis in Iraq and the hike in the price of rice, garlic and sugar reportedly due to lower supply levels; and the DBM's budget proposal totalling P 2.606 trillion for the year 2015 - 15% higher than the 2014 national budget.
As in our previous surveys, this nationwide survey is based on a sample of 1,200 representative adults 18 years old and above. It has a 3% error margin at the 95% confidence level. Subnational estimates for each of the geographic areas covered in the survey (i.e., Metro Manila, the rest of Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao) have a 6% error margin, also at 95% confidence level. Those interested in further technical details concerning the survey's questionnaire and sampling design may request Pulse Asia Research in writing for fuller details, including copies of the pre-tested questions actually used.
Pulse Asia Researchs pool of academic fellows takes full responsibility for the design and conduct of the survey, as well as for analyses it makes based on the survey data. In keeping with our academic nature, no religious, political, economic, or partisan group influenced any of these processes. Pulse Asia Research undertakes Ulat ng Bayan surveys on its own without any party singularly commissioning the research effort.
For any clarification or questions, kindly contact Dr. Ana Maria Tabunda, Research Director of Pulse Asia Research at 09189436816 or Prof. Ronald D. Holmes, Pulse Asia Research President at 09189335497 or via email (ronald.holmes@gmail.com).
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Pulse Asia Researchs June 2014 Ulat ng Bayan Survey: Media Release on Presidential Performance and Trust Ratings 14 July 2014
Although President Benigno S. Aquino III continues to enjoy majority overall approval and trust ratings in June 2014, he suffers a large decline in his national ratings during the period March to June 2014
While most Filipinos remain appreciative of President Aquinos work (56%) and continue to express trust in him (53%), they grant him much lower national approval and trust ratings in June 2014 compared to three months ago (70% and 69%, respectively). Across geographic areas, majority approval and trust ratings are scored by President Aquino in the rest of Luzon (54% and 51%, respectively), Visayas (62% and 61%, respectively), and Mindanao (both at 61%) but less than half of Metro Manilans have positive views as regards presidential performance and trustworthiness (46% and 40%, respectively). In the various socio-economic classes, most of those belonging to Classes D and E approve of President Aquinos quarterly performance (57% and 58%, respectively) and express trust in him (54% and 55%, respectively). However, non-majority approval and trust ratings are recorded in Class ABC (48% and 42%, respectively). (Please refer to Tables 1 to 4.)
Table 1 PRESIDENT BENIGNO S. AQUINO III June 24 - July 2, 2014 / Philippines (In Percent) Performance Ratings Approve Undecided Disapprove Total Philippines 56 30 14 Location NCR 46 37 17 Balance Luzon 54 27 18 Visayas 62 30 8 Mindanao 61 31 7 Socio-economic Class Class ABC 48 30 22 TOTAL D 57 31 12 E 58 27 15 No t es : ( 1) % A ppr o v e = % Tr ul y A ppr o v e pl us % A ppr o v e; % Di s appr o v e = % Tr ul y Di s appr o v e pl us % Di s appr o v e ( 2) Fi gur es may no t add up t o 100% due t o r o undi ng o f f o r t o Do n' t Kno w and Ref us e r es po ns es . PERFORMANCE RATINGS OF
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Table 2 PRESIDENT BENIGNO S. AQUINO III June 24 - July 2, 2014 / Philippines (In Percent) Big Small / Trust Ratings Trust Undecided No trust Total Philippines 53 33 14 Location NCR 40 43 17 Balance Luzon 51 32 17 Visayas 61 29 10 Mindanao 61 30 9 Socio-economic Class Class ABC 42 34 24 TOTAL D 54 33 13 E 55 32 12 No t es : ( 1) % B i g Tr us t = % Ver y B i g Tr us t pl us % B i g Tr us t ; % Smal l Tr us t = % Smal l Tr us t pl us Ver y Smal l Tr us t ( 2) Fi gur es may no t add up t o 100% due t o r o undi ng o f f o r t o Do n' t Kno w and Ref us e r es po ns es . TRUST RATINGS OF Table 3 COMPARATIVE PERFORMANCE RATINGS OF PRESIDENT BENIGNO S. AQUINO III March and June 2014 / Philippines (In Percent) Approve Change* Undecided Change* Disapprove Change* Mar Jun Jun14 - Mar Jun Jun14 - Mar Jun Jun14 - 14 14 Mar14 14 14 Mar14 14 14 Mar14 (A) (B) (B - A) (C) (D) (D - C) (E) (F) (F - E) Total Philippines 70 56 - 14 22 30 + 8 8 14 + 6 NCR 57 46 - 11 25 37 +12 18 17 - 1 Balance Luzon 68 54 - 14 25 27 + 2 7 18 +11 Visayas 72 62 - 10 20 30 +10 7 8 + 1 Mindanao 80 61 - 19 15 31 +16 5 7 + 2 Class ABC 62 48 - 14 26 30 + 4 11 22 +11 TOTAL D 72 57 - 15 21 31 +10 7 12 + 5 E 70 58 - 12 21 27 + 6 10 15 + 5 *Change = Figures of June 2014 minus Figures of March 2014. Demographic variables
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Amidst the various controversies hounding his administration, President Aquino experiences a significant drop in his approval ratings between March and June 2014 in the rest of Luzon (-14 percentage points), Mindanao (-19 percentage points), and Classes D and E (-15 and -12 percentage points, respectively). As for presidential trust scores, they decrease markedly in Mindanao (-15 percentage points), Metro Manila (-17 percentage points), the rest of Luzon (-19 percentage points), and all socio-economic groupings (-14 to -20 percentage points). (Please refer to Tables 3 to 4.)
In June 2014, indecision concerning presidential performance and trust worthiness is a sentiment shared by 30% and 33% of Filipinos, respectively. Both figures are higher than those obtained by President Aquino in March 2014 (both at 22%). Presently, levels of ambivalence toward the Presidents work range from 27% to 37% across geographic areas and from 27% to 31% in the different socio-economic classes. On the matter of trusting or distrusting the President, indecision figures vary from 29% to 43% across geographic locations and from 32% to 34% across socio-economic classes. (Please refer to Tables 1 to 2.)
Aside from the significant increase in President Aquinos indecision figures in relation to his performance and trustworthiness during the period March to June 2014 (+8 and +11 percentage points, respectively), there are also notable movements in the level of ambivalence toward President Aquinos work among Mindanaoans (+16 percentage points) and those in Class D (+10 percentage points). In addition, levels of indecision regarding presidential trustworthiness go Table 4 COMPARATIVE TRUST RATINGS OF PRESIDENT BENIGNO S. AQUINO III March and June 2014 / Philippines (In Percent) Trust Change* Undecided Change* Distrust Change* Mar Jun Jun14 - Mar Jun Jun14 - Mar Jun Jun14 - 14 14 Mar14 14 14 Mar14 14 14 Mar14 (A) (B) (B - A) (C) (D) (D - C) (E) (F) (F - E) Total Philippines 69 53 - 16 22 33 +11 9 14 + 5 NCR 57 40 - 17 22 43 +21 21 17 - 4 Balance Luzon 70 51 - 19 23 32 + 9 8 17 + 9 Visayas 69 61 - 8 24 29 + 5 7 10 + 3 Mindanao 76 61 - 15 20 30 +10 4 9 + 5 Class ABC 62 42 - 20 24 34 +10 14 24 +10 TOTAL D 71 54 - 17 21 33 +12 8 13 + 5 E 69 55 - 14 23 32 + 9 9 12 + 3 *Change = Figures of June 2014 minus Figures of March 2014. Demographic variables
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up among Metro Manilans (+21 percentage points) and those belonging to Class D (+12 percentage points). (Please refer to Tables 3 to 4.)
A little over one in 10 Filipinos (14%) expresses disapproval for the work done by the President in the past three months as well as distrust in him. Presidential disapproval scores range from 7% to 18% in the different geographic locations and from 12% to 22% across socio-economic groupings. In terms of distrust figures, they vary from 9% to 17% across geographic areas and from 12% to 24% across socio-economic classes. Residents of Metro Manila and the rest of Luzon as well as those in Class ABC are most critical of President Aquino (17% to 22%) and most inclined to distrust him (17% to 24%). These figures do not differ in any significant way from those posted by President Aquino in March 2014 at the national level as well as across geographic areas and socio-economic classes. (Please refer to Tables 1 to 4.)