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By chi-square test.
1 of 25 patients without MVI (4%) has developed recurrent
HCC (p = 0.001).
Patients without the presence of MVI (n = 25) had a cal-
culated 91% 3-year recurrence-free survival, compared to
28% in those with MVI (n = 17; p < 0.001).
Advanced tumor stage, tumors beyond the Milan cri-
teria, poor tumor grade and pretransplant PET + sta-
tus were univariately associated with the presence of
MVI (Table 5). In multivariate analysis, only preoperative
PET + status was identied as an independent predictor
of MVI (Table 6). The positive and negative predictive values
of positive PET imaging for MVI were 87.5% and 88.5%,
respectively.
18
F-FDG-PET ndings and TACE
Overall 3-year recurrence-free survival posttransplantation
was not different between patients with (n =21, 70%) and
without (n = 19.74%) pre-LT TACE.
In the PET population, 3-year recurrence-free survival af-
ter LT was comparable in patients with (n =12, 100%) and
patients without pretreatment (n = 13.89%), since there
was only one case of HCC recurrence in the nontreated
group.
American Journal of Transplantation 2009; 9: 592600 595
Kornberg et al.
Table 4: Univariate analysis of clinical, morphological and
histopathological variables inuencing risk of HCC recurrence
Variable p-Value
Age recipients (> versus 60 years) 0.658
Age donors (> versus 50 years) 0.914
AFP-level (> versus 100 IU/mL) 0.326
Child classication (A versus B or C) 0.914
Transplant procedure (DDT versus LDLT) 0.496
Cold ischemia time (> versus 300 min.) 0.622
Warm ischemia time (> versus 50 min.) 0.208
Immunosuppression (CsA versus Tac) 0.326
Size of largest tumor nodule (> versus 5 cm) 0.005
Number of tumor nodules (> versus 3) 0.072
Total diameter (> versus 10 cm) 0.043
of tumor nodules
Tumor stage (3/4 versus 1/2) 0.005
Milan status (Milan Out versus 0.013
Milan In)
Tumor grade (Poor versus
moderate/well) <0.001
Microvascular invasion (Yes versus no) 0.001
PET (Pos. versus neg.) 0.001
TACE (No versus yes) 0.734
Lymphatic invasion (Yes versus no) 0.281
In the PET + population, posttransplant 3-year recurrence-
free survival after preoperative TACE (n = 9.33%) was not
superior to that of recipients without neoadjuvant therapy
(n = 6.40%).
In none of the recipients undergoing pre-LT TACE com-
plete tumor necrosis was conrmed at explant pathology.
Recurrence-free survival
PET + patients versus PET - recipients
Months post-LT
0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 66
C
a
l
c
u
l
a
t
e
d
s
u
r
v
i
v
a
l
(
%
)
0,1
0,2
0,3
0,4
0,5
0,6
0,7
0,8
0,9
1,0
PET + status
PET - status
Log rank < 0,001
Figure 2: Liver recipients with negative preoperative PET nd-
ings had a signicantly better 3-year recurrence-free survival
than patients with positive pretransplant PET scans.
Risk-stratified recurrence-free survival
Milan In versus Milan Out/PET - versus Milan Out/PET+
Months post-LT
0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 66
C
a
l
c
u
l
a
t
e
d
s
u
r
v
i
v
a
l
(
%
)
0,0
0,1
0,2
0,3
0,4
0,5
0,6
0,7
0,8
0,9
1,0
Milan In (n=20)
Milan Out (PET -, n=9)
Milan Out (PET +, n=13)
Log rank < 0,001
Figure 3: Patients with HCC beyond the Milan criteria and
negative PET ndings demonstrated a 3-year recurrence-free
survival that was comparable to Milan In patients and sig-
nicantly better than for Milan Out recipients with positive
pre-LT PET scans.
Partial tumor necrosis, however, was achieved in all of them
(50% necrosis n = 15; <50% necrosis n = 6).
Discussion
The results of our trial indicate that pretransplant
18
F-FDG
uptake on PET in liver transplant candidates with HCC is
a useful additional parameter for the evaluation of tumor
biology. This study shows that positive preoperative PET
scans are signicantly associated with an increased risk
of posttransplant HCC recurrence and inferior outcome,
which seems to be triggered by a high correlation of a
PET + status and the presence of MVI in explant tumor
pathology.
Table 5: Univariate analysis of predictive factors for microvascular
tumor invasion
Variable p-Value
Size of largest (> versus 5 cm) 0.063
tumor nodule
Number of (> versus 3) 0.063
tumor nodules
Total diameter (> versus 10 cm) 0.136
of tumor nodules
AFP-level (> versus 100 IU/mL) 0.622
Tumor stage (3/4 versus 1/2) 0.001
Milan status (Milan In versus Milan Out) 0.01
Tumor grade (Poor versus well / moderate) 0.001
PET (Pos. versus neg.) <0.001
TACE (No versus yes) 0.182
Lymphatic invasion (Yes versus no) 0.343
596 American Journal of Transplantation 2009; 9: 592600
18
F-FDG-Uptake of Hepatocellular Carcinoma
Table 6: Multivariate analysis of independent predictive factors
for microvascular tumor invasion
Hazard
ratio CI (95%) p-Value
PET (pos. versus neg.) 13.4 0.0030.126 0.001
The outcome after LT in patients with HCC has markedly
improved over the last two decades (16). This is a result of
implementing strict morphological selection criteria, such
as the Milan criteria by Mazzafero et al. (5) Five-year sur-
vival rates above 70% have since been reported, which
are comparable to survival rates after LT in patients with-
out HCC (5,6).
These promising results encouraged several transplant
groups to carefully expand the selection criteria (711).
Roayaie et al. reported about an overall survival rate of
55% after LT for patients with advanced HCC, when being
enrolled in a multimodal preoperative chemotherapy con-
cept (7). Yao et al. have extended the criteria to a single
tumor 6.5 cm, or 3 tumors with the largest 4.5 cmand
a total tumor burden 8 cm (UCSF criteria) and reported
about a 75%5-year survival rate, when using a neoadjuvant
treatment protocol (13). In addition, the implementation of
living donor liver transplantation was reported to further ex-
tend the selection criteria in HCCpatients (37,38). Although
some of the reported results were quite promising, the tu-
mor recurrence rate per se has been signicantly higher
when the selection criteria were expanded beyond the
Milan criteria (39,40). Moreover, extending number and
size of the tumors was shown to increase the risk of pa-
tients drop out from the transplant waiting list, due to
clinically relevant tumor progression (40). These facts illus-
trate the limitations of using tumor size and number as
ultimate variables for selecting appropriate liver transplant
candidates and point out the need for augmenting current
selection criteria with biological parameters of tumor ag-
gressiveness.
Posttransplant tumor recurrence is thought to result from
cancer cells spread into the systemic circulation at the
time of total hepatectomy (41,42). In fact, vascular inva-
sion has been identied as the strongest predictor of poor
outcome after LT for HCC (1,12,14,15), which is conrmed
by our own experience (43). In contrast to gross vascular
tumor invasion, which can be very frequently diagnosed
prior to transplantation by complementary imaging tech-
niques, MVI is a histopathological diagnosis that cannot
be made prior to native hepatectomy (14,35,44,45). There-
fore, other pretransplant available clinical surrogate mark-
ers for MVI have to be identied. Esnaola et al. and Pawlik
et al. demonstrated that, apart from poor tumor grade, it
is advanced tumor size that correlates strongly with pres-
ence of MVI at explant pathology (14,19). The unrestricted
exclusion of patients with large and multiple HCC, how-
ever, may withhold a subset of liver transplant candidates
frompotentially curative LT. Vauthey et al. showed that size
and number of tumor nodules have no signicant impact
on survival in the absence of MVI (35). These data are con-
rmed by our own experience, since posttransplant 3-year
recurrence-free survival was not signicantly different be-
tween Milan In recipients (94%) and patients with tumors
beyond Milan criteria but without presence of MVI (75%,
p = 0.64).
The value of pretransplant HCC grading by tumor biopsy
for selecting adequate liver transplant candidates with ad-
vanced tumors is being discussed controversially (4,18).
Pawlik et al. reported about poor diagnostic accuracy of
pretransplant ne needle tumor biopsy to predict tumor
grade in the explant pathology, due to a HCC-related
heterogeneous pattern of differentiation (4). Furthermore,
there seems to be a substantial risk of tumor seeding af-
ter HCC biopsy, which may be particularly relevant for im-
munocompromised liver transplant recipients (46).
Preoperative
18
F-FDG tumor uptake on PET was identi-
ed as the only independent predictor of MVI in our trial
(Table 6). Moreover, positive PET scans together with pa-
rameters of the Milan criteria and biological tumor aggres-
siveness were signicantly associated with posttransplant
tumor recurrence in a univariate analysis (Table 4). This is a
very important result of our trial, since
18
F-FDG-PET might,
therefore, be proposed as an additional noninvasive tool
for assessing biological tumor behavior in liver transplant
candidates with HCC, without altering the tumor itself, as
it may happen in preoperative tumor biopsy (46,47).
Several investigators have reported about a limited sen-
sitivity of
18
F-FDG-PET in the detection of HCC, when
compared to other liver neoplasms (48,49). The difference
in the accumulation of
18
F-FDG in HCC and metastatic
liver tumors is due to different activities of glucose-6-
phosphatase, which is responsible for the conversion of
FDG-6-phosphate to FDG. It is high in normal liver tis-
sue and almost zero in metastatic liver tumors (48,49). In
HCC, however, there is a wide variety of enzyme activities
due to cell differentiation. It has been shown that well-
differentiated HCC cells exhibit an
18
F-FDG metabolism
similar to that of normal liver tissue, whereas poorly differ-
entiated tumor cells do not. Therefore, well-differentiated
HCC regions tend to accumulate an amount of FDG that is
comparable to normal surrounding liver tissue, which may
propose PET for describing tumor aggressiveness rather
than detection of HCC (4851). In a clinical approach, Seo
et al. demonstrated a signicant correlation of high stan-
dardized uptake values (SUV) with high-grade tumor differ-
entiation and poor outcome after liver resection for HCC
(29). Based on the close relationship between MVI and
poor tumor grade (12,1416,28,29,5153), we, therefore,
hypothesized that PET scan patterns may have a clinically
relevant correlation with the presence of MVI.
The results of our trial implicate that PET ndings may
optimize the selection process for LT in patients with HCC.
American Journal of Transplantation 2009; 9: 592600 597
Kornberg et al.
This might be particularly relevant for patients with tumors
beyond the Milan criteria, who are rejected for LT in many
centers. In our series, patients with advanced HCC and
negative preoperative PET scans demonstrated a 3-year
recurrence-free survival (80%) that was comparable with
Milan In recipients (94%), and signicantly better than for
Milan Out patients with PET + status (35%, Figure 3).
This result indicates that a subset of patients with ad-
vanced HCC may benet from LT, due to the biological
low-aggression behavior of the tumor, and PET imaging
may help with identifying these eligible liver transplant can-
didates. The future clinical follow-up of this special sub-
population of our series, however, has yet to be analyzed
thoroughly.
The value of the Milan criteria for selecting appropriate
liver transplant candidates is clearly conrmed by our trial,
since recurrence-free survival rates for Milan In recipi-
ents were signicantly higher than for Milan Out patients.
Nevertheless, there are several problems associated with
their implementation for patient selection, where pretrans-
plant PET assessment may be helpful in the future.
First, using the same criteria for both, inclusion and ex-
clusion, may result in a high drop-out rate, especially for
patients, who are initially approaching to the upper criteria
limits (54). This might exclude a signicant number of pa-
tients with HCC exceeding the Milan criteria from curative
LT, as proposed by our data and by other trials (711). Simi-
lar to other transplant groups with excellent survival results
(e.g. Barcelona group), we, therefore, followed a policy of
patients exclusion based on major events (macrovascu-
lar tumor invasion, lymph node metastases, tumor-related
symptoms, extrahepatic tumor spread) rather than on the
Milan criteria alone (6). Apart from that, tumor understag-
ing by preoperative radiographic imaging is a well-known
phenomenon in this context, resulting in a large fraction
of patients with advanced tumors at explant pathology
(6,39,55). In 17 patients of our series (40.5%), nal pre-
transplant screening underestimated pathological tumor
staging. Against this background, PET evaluation may be
useful for further rening the decision making about drop-
out of liver transplant candidates with tumor progression
during the waiting period for transplantation. This, how-
ever, has yet to be analyzed by a prospective study.
Apart from being a retrospective analysis, there are some
further limitations of our trial.
First, we did not use a quantitative uptake measurement
in our study, since SUV levels were not available in all pa-
tients. Moreover, we did not perform repeat PET imaging
by protocol during waiting time for transplantation. How-
ever, performing follow-up PET scans might be of special in-
terest for evaluating the impact of interventional therapies
on biological tumor viability. Torizuka et al. demonstrated
that an increased or similar
18
F-FDG uptake postchemoem-
bolization suggested residual viable tumor tissue, whereas
decreased or absent
18
F-FDG uptake indicated more than
90% necrosis (56). These data seem to indicate that ac-
curacy of a single pretransplant PET nding for predicting
biological tumor characteristics in the explant specimen
could be affected by additional TACE achieving complete
tumor obliteration.
In our study population, however, there was no case of
complete tumor necrosis following TACE. MVI was evident
in the remaining viable tumor regions in 7 of 9 PET + pa-
tients undergoing pretransplant TACE (77.8%), and in 6 of
6 nontreated PET + recipients (100%). This result seems
to explain the high accuracy of a single positive PET nding
for predicting MVI in our trial, even though 21 patients un-
derwent TACE pretransplantation. Nevertheless, the value
of repeat PET evaluation for detecting changes in biological
tumor aggressiveness during the waiting time for LT and,
thereby, possibly altered patient prognosis post-LT should
be assessed in a prospective framework.
In conclusion, our data suggest that preoperative
18
F-FDG
uptake on PET is a reliable predictor of MVI and tumor re-
currence after LT for HCC. Patients with tumors beyond
the Milan criteria and negative preoperative PET scans
may achieve a posttransplant 3-year recurrence-free sur-
vival that is comparable to that of patients with tumors
meeting the Milan criteria. In the context of neoadjuvant
therapies, repeat PET evaluations by protocol might be use-
ful for unfolding the full potential of PET to predict MVI.
Thereby,
18
F-FDG-PET imaging could emerge as a useful
diagnostic tool for improved decision making about listing
or exclusion of liver transplant candidates with HCC.
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