Gold is currently being'remonetized' Major clearing houses now accept Gold as collateral in lieu of 'cash' up until now, Gold could only be used as a reserve asset at 50% of market value. Central banks are busy buying Gold, to help keep prices from reflecting the ongoing debasement of paper 'Fiat' currencies.
Gold is currently being'remonetized' Major clearing houses now accept Gold as collateral in lieu of 'cash' up until now, Gold could only be used as a reserve asset at 50% of market value. Central banks are busy buying Gold, to help keep prices from reflecting the ongoing debasement of paper 'Fiat' currencies.
Gold is currently being'remonetized' Major clearing houses now accept Gold as collateral in lieu of 'cash' up until now, Gold could only be used as a reserve asset at 50% of market value. Central banks are busy buying Gold, to help keep prices from reflecting the ongoing debasement of paper 'Fiat' currencies.
The Gold Standard The journal of The Gold Standard Institute
Editor Philip Barton Regular contributors Louis Boulanger Rudy Fritsch Keith Weiner Occasional contributors Thomas Allen Publius Opheus Peter van Copponolle
The Gold Standard Institute
The purpose of the Institute is to promote an unadulterated Gold Standard
www.goldstandardinstitute.net
President Philip Barton President Europe Thomas Bachheimer President USA Keith Weiner Editor-in-Chief Rudy Fritsch Webmaster Jason Keys
Membership Levels
Annual Member US$100 per year Lifetime Member US$3,500 Gold Member US$15,000 Gold Knight US$350,000 Annual Corporate Member US$2,000 Contents Editorial ........................................................................... 1 News ................................................................................. 2 The American Corner: Republican Platform May Include Commission to Study Return to a Gold Standard ......................................................................... 2 Differences Between Real Money and Fiat Money .. 3 Gold, Natural Law and India........................................ 4 Judging a Rumor: Is China Buying Germanys Gold? ........................................................................................... 6 Ceci n'est pas une pipe .................................................. 7 The Slippery Slope ......................................................... 9 Greece in Focus: A self-inflicted drama ................... 11
Editorial The Golden Rule If you pay attention to the many Gold oriented sites on the Internet, you are aware that Gold is currently being remonetized. Major clearing houses now accept Gold as collateral in lieu of cash. The BIS, the Bank of International Settlement, the central bankers central bank, is working to have Gold revalued as a 100% risk free asset aka Basil III whereas up to now, Gold could only be used as a reserve asset at 50% of market value. Furthermore, central banks are busy buying Gold while for the last several decades, at least since Bretton Woods, they were busy selling Gold, to help keep Gold prices from reflecting the ongoing debasement of paper Fiat currencies debasement of paper vs. real money, vs. Gold. Of course, remonetizing Gold is a false statement; like saying that wet sidewalks cause rain. The reality is that the world economy and financial system is going back on Gold after being off Gold since at least 1971 when President Nixon closed the Gold window. Throughout history, countries have gone off Gold to allow profligate governments and their banking bedfellows to inflate like mad then, when the economy started to collapse, they went back on Gold. The key difference is that this time around, not one country but the whole World has gone off Gold and thus the consequences are much more severe. Previously, the country that had gone off was generally rescued by others that stayed on this time there is no cavalry riding to the rescue. Another big problem with this so called re- monetization is that Gold is once again being concentrated in the hands of bankers and governments the very entities responsible for the economic crisis; responsible for going off Gold in the first place. Gold belongs in the pockets of the World citizenry. As the ultimate extinguisher of debt, as real money, Gold represents power and concentrated power is dangerous and destructive of freedom and of prosperity. The Gold Standard Institute is working The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #21 15 September 2012 2 hard to get this point across that the World needs a Gold Coin standard, with circulating Gold coins unadulterated by fiduciary or promise backed bank notes. Under the classical Gold standard (which was NOT unadulterated but had a significant fiduciary component) the Bank of England held about 150- 200 Tons of Gold in its vault while tens of thousands of tons of Gold were in circulation. Today, central banks hold thousands of tons of Gold in their vaults, while there is 0 tons of Gold in circulation. Guess where power is concentrated? Never forget the Golden Rule; He who has the Gold makes the rules. Rudy J. Fritsch News Boerse Stuttgart: Thomas Bachheimer interviewed in Europe (German language).
Benzinga: Americans support gold standard.
Reuters: Compro Oro I Buy Gold.
Gold Core: More on golds remonetisation.
Voice of Russia: Russian central bank increases its gold deposits.
Mining Weekly: Central banks European investors buying more gold.
Forbes: Steve Forbes - The Gold Standard Is Coming
The American Corner: Republican Platform May Include Commission to Study Return to a Gold Standard The Republican Party is considering setting up a commission to examine the pros and cons of going back to the gold standard according to CNN Money. At this point, I think it is premature to hope that the Republicans will commit to repealing the Federal Reserve Act, the legal tender laws, the capital gains tax on gold and silver, the laws nullifying gold clauses in contracts, or the laws that force taxpayers to keep their books using the dollar as the numeraire. I am sure they dont mean to eliminate the lender of last resort, monetary policy, deposit insurance moral hazard, lending programs for housing and education, or give up the exorbitant privilege of issuing the worlds reserve currency. Lets not hold our breath. But this is not the point, nor why I think this is not only exciting but it is a sea change just like allowing banks to hold gold as a zero risk-weighted asset. For the first time since President Reagans ill- conceived gold commission, the Republicans are talking about gold and money in the same sentence. This is because the idea of gold is out of the bottle and into the economic and political dialog in a way that it has not been since the monetary instability of the 1970s. This news article hardly takes a favorable position towards gold. Others, for example this one from Reuters, are worse. I use the term sea change for this because it illustrates that the Grand Ol Party today is not the same party of Bush Sr., Bush Jr., Bob Dole, or John McCain. This is a party who chose Paul Ryan for Vice President. Though Ryan contains a number of contradictions, he has spoken openly of Ayn Rand and her ideas on sound money. The ideas in the culture are shifting. While many remain apathetic, or worse yet vote for entitlement programs at every opportunity, it is no longer safe to declare, deficits dont matter as Vice President Cheney did. Most people do not yet understand the The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #21 15 September 2012 3 antidote to chronic, exponentially rising deficits. Even among the Tea Party, many support certain entitlements especially the two elephants in the room: Social Security and Medicare. And yet, it is to secure the votes of these people that the Republican Party felt forced to say we will look at gold again. The job of The Gold Standard Institute is to drive awareness that only gold will work. Our work is cut out for us, but we have a more receptive culture than existed for many decades! Keith Weiner President of the Gold Standard Institute USA Differences Between Real Money and Fiat Money Attributes generally ascribed to monetary material are that it is portable (relatively high value per unit of weight), homogeneous or uniform, durable, divisible, recognizable, highly marketable (highly liquid, universally acceptable), and stable in value. These attributes are true for real money, such as full weighted gold and silver coins. For the most part, they are true for todays paper fiat money, such as the US dollar, euro, and British pound. However, real money has characteristics that are lacking in fiat paper money. Real money has quantity, measurement, and substance. Fiat paper money has only quantity. An early illustration of these three attributes in real money is recorded in Genesis 23:16. Abraham bought a burial plot. He paid 400 (quantity) shekels (measurement of weight) of silver (substance). In pre-1933 money, if a person bought something with a $20 gold coin, he paid with money that had quantity (20), measurement (dollar, a unit of weight equal to 23.22 grains), and substance (gold). Fiat paper money lacks two of these three characteristics. For example a $20 federal reserve note has quantity: 20. The dollar appears to be its measurement. However, it is not. It is an abstraction. It measures nothing of substance. A unit of measurement has to be something concrete and definable like the meter, ounce, minute, or horsepower so that things can be compared to it. It has to be something that instruments can determine. Also, it lacks substance as its monetary value exceeds the value of the material of which it is made and it does not promise to deliver anything concrete. With pre-1933 gold money, a $20 gold coin weighed twice as much as $10 gold coin. Even if the disk had no inscription on it, a disk containing 464.4 grains of gold had twice the purchasing power of a disk containing 232.2 grains of gold. It was twice as large and weighed twice as much. Federal reserve notes, which are fiat paper money, cannot be measured. If all the inscriptions are removed from them, a $20 federal reserve note would look like a $10 federal reserve note. They would both have the same value: nothing. Another important distinction between real money and fiat paper money is that real money can transport value through space and time, which makes it an excellent store of value, medium of exchange, and standard of value (unit of accounts). Fiat paper money cannot, which makes it a poor store of value, medium of exchange, and standard of value. Real money retains its value when it moves from one place to another and from one time to another. Fiat paper money does not. In the United States since 1933, when President Roosevelt stole the peoples gold, the dollar had lost 94 percent of its purchasing power by 2010. Since its complete divorce from gold in 1971, it had lost 81 percent of its purchasing power by 2010. On the other hand, gold has retained its value through the millennia. The ancient Babylonian and Hebrew gold shekel contained about 252 grains of gold or about as much gold as an American $10 gold coin. 1 Those 252 grains of gold are still worth 252 grains today.
1 Madeleine Miller and J. Lane Miller, Harpers Bible Dictionary, pp. 454-455 The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #21 15 September 2012 4 If a time traveler carried a $10 gold coin back two thousand years, he would have the buying power equivalent to about 58 days of wages of a common laborer. A common laborers wage at that time was about 17 per day 2 (this estimate was made in the late 1930s when the federal reserve dollar was worth almost as much as a gold dollar). Moreover, because a $20 gold coin contains twice the gold of $10 gold coin, it would have twice the buying power. If he carried a $100 and a $1 federal reserve note with him, he would get only what he could trade his notes for as a curiosity. He might find the $1 note worth more than the $100 note if the person with whom he was trading likes Washingtons picture more than Franklins. Possibly, the person with whom he was trading found that the occult symbols on the back of a $1 note had great value whereas a picture of Independence Hall on the back a $100 note had none. Unlike real money, fiat paper money fails to maintain its value through time. Also, unlike real money, most fiat paper money has little value beyond the borders of the issuing country. Fiat paper money that does retain value beyond its borders does so because it is considered a reserve currency or the fiat money of a country is losing value so quickly that it makes other fiat money desirable. This limited ability of fiat paper money to transport value, albeit decreasing value, through space is short-lived. Thus, real money can transport value through space and time. Fiat paper money can only transport value for short distances and for a highly limited time. Real money is vastly superior to fiat paper money as a medium of exchange because of its superiority at transporting value through space. It is vastly superior as a standard of value and store of value because of its superiority at transporting value through time. As shown above, real money has quantity, measurement, and substance. Fiat paper money has only quantity. Real money can transport value over vast space and time. Fiat money cannot. Thomas Allen
2 John D. Davis, The Westminster Dictionary of the Bible, p. 630. Gold, Natural Law and India One of the laws of nature is the true expression of what lies within for nothing in nature is concealed. This is known as the law of cause and effect. Conscious application of this law of nature is to speak the truth, but the major part of conscious energy is being spent in not disclosing the truth. The result is that everyone is trying to convince others of the truth of their inflated needs by minimising the natural needs of others. All this is being done by proposing new economic theories with total disregard to the laws of nature. One must understand the laws of nature first and then put them into practice on oneself before offering to others. ~ Shri Shantananda Saraswati, answering a question from the leader of the School of Economic Science in 1982
I was in India last month, at the invitation of the Indian Association of Investment Professionals (IAIP), to speak in four of the major cities there (Mumbai, Hyderabad, Kolkata and Delhi) about the monetary disorder in the world and the role of gold. India was the 13 th country where investment professionals and in particular CFA charter holders had invited me over the past three years to speak on this subject. Later this month, it will be the turn of The Netherlands and then Jordan. It is said that people in India know what gold is. It is certainly a well-known fact indeed that India has had an insatiable appetite for the yellow metal for a very long time and so, it is widely believed that the biggest above ground hoard of gold bullion held in private hands is in that country. Also, the expectation or generally held assumption is that it is still the case today that peoples demand for gold in India is very high. Now, that may well be the case, but to my surprise I found that even in this incredible country the investment professionals were almost just as clueless about the true role of gold in the financial system as their peers continue to be in other countries around the globe. How could this be, I asked myself? The answer came from a participant at one of my lectures. He explained that in India, like everywhere else, they no longer teach what sound or honest The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #21 15 September 2012 5 money is or what the natural role of gold is in economics. The unfortunate result of this highly organised global education system is that, while it is still in the Indian peoples nature to acquire gold jewellery, the industry professionals who act as fiduciaries of other peoples investments and savings either as advisors or managers of portfolios seem to be suffering from the same ignorance when it comes to gold as other professionals elsewhere in the world. Its as if the whole world of fiduciaries is suffering from some sort of collective amnesia! The total disregard to the laws of nature, as eloquently expressed by Shri Shantananda Saraswati in the above quote, is the essence of the problem. Academia has been hard at work for decades now in deliberately choosing to ignore the truth of the matter and, to use the words of Shri Shantananda Saraswati, devote the major part of their energy in convincing others of the truth of their inflated needs by minimising the natural needs of others. India, it seems, has not been able to escape from this sad state of affairs in todays world of false economic theories. The result is there for all to see. Never mind that every single day I was in India, there was always an article in the daily newspaper about gold. Sometimes it was about its price, which had reached an all-time high the day I arrived and kept going up day after day (the rupee or INR has lost much of its purchasing power over recent times). But articles were also written about the supply and demand of the yellow metal, the new gold funds including ETFs that were now available, the rising interest of the younger generation when it comes to gold, a new jewellery brand about to be launched in India by the World Gold Council, etc. Most noticeably for me though, were articles that referred to the rising level of gold smuggling. Apparently, the government there is trying to curb gold imports to improve the countrys trade deficit and hopefully also the purchasing power of the rupee. The result, of course, is a resurgence of smuggling, as there is no way of stopping Indians to buy gold. It is just one more example of a central governments attempt at influencing human action with total disregard to natural law: it does not work! Even the Reserve Bank of India is playing its part. It began a campaign recently attempting to discourage people from purchasing and hoarding gold, insisting that the country has to change its culture of buying gold because gold must be imported into the country and India has a current account deficit problem. It argues that Indias cultural interest in gold is attributable to a time when India was rich, but that today India is a poor country and so its people should stop buying gold I simply could not find a better contemporary manifestation of what Shri Shantananda Saraswati refers to in the above quote as a total disregard to the laws of nature. How sad that not only the world as a whole but even India, where so much wisdom once originated from, has come to succumb to this level of ignorance and be victimized by such untruth spoken with misplaced and misguided authority by the very people in who the citizenry has put their trust and faith to manage their economy. Louis Boulanger Louis holds a B.Sc. from Laval University in Canada; is a Fellow of the Canadian Institute of Actuaries and the New Zealand Society of Actuaries; and is a Chartered Financial Analyst. Prior to coming to New Zealand in 1986, Louis worked for nine years with a global consulting firm based in Montreal, Canada. In New Zealand, Louis worked for another global consulting firm for 18 years, including as Chief Executive of New Zealand operations for five years. In 2006, he launched his private practice. Louis is also Founder & Director of LB Now Ltd, which provides independent investment advice to private and institutional clients, facilitates the purchase of bullion for private and institutional clients as an authorized dealer for BMG BullionBars and also helps firms comply with GIPS. For more information of LB Now's services or to subscribed to Louis' e-letter Prosper! see the contact details below.
P.O. Box 25 676, St Heliers, Auckland 1740, New Zealand Ph: +64 9 528 3586 Mob: +64 275 665 095 Email: louis@lbnow.co.nz www.lbnow.co.nz The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #21 15 September 2012 6 Judging a Rumor: Is China Buying Germanys Gold? Given the general lack of publicly available summary information on the trade in physical gold, it is no surprise that speculation and rumor flow so freely. Those rare outsiders who are able to assemble the puzzle pieces into a coherent prediction also have a strong incentive to speculate financially on their insights. Therefore, such people can hardly be expected to share their conclusions freely. Nor would the average citizen, or even the typical amateur gold enthusiast, necessarily be able to properly understand and interpret such research were he to obtain it. When trying to make sense of what is happening with the bullion markets, we are often reduced to choosing which rumors to believe. The rule I apply is to look for something that suggests an insight into the longer-term or end-game situation. Admittedly, just like nuclear war, the end-game could arrive at any time. But I find rumors not containing tradable information more believable, because no one benefits immediately if people do believe them. By that, I mean asking, If the information is false, does the other side of the trade stand to gain by luring less sophisticated investors into short-term leveraged positions? As some readers will know, in this scenario when the professionals then shake the amateurs out at lower prices, the pros short positions can be closed out at a profit. Many gold owners, especially those holding the mining stocks, are too impatient (desperate?) for any good news about an imminent dollar-denominated payoff from their positions. These people are highly vulnerable. The never-ending parade of rumors over the last 20 years about an imminent surge in metals prices always finds a new crop of believers. The arguments certainly make good sense on the surface, and so these buyers part with, and are then permanently parted from, their money. By contrast, someone sharing non-tradable information has less motivation to lie. For example, take a young bond trader from London I met recently. He did not profess to know much about the gold markets, and the nature of his questions to me on gold supported his self-declared ignorance. It is true that before we talked, he already knew of my pro-gold stance. But he could best be described as neutral or skeptical, and certainly not as part of the formal anti-gold establishment. When our conversation turned to gold, he mentioned he knew a gold trader in Hong Kong. Mr. Hong Kong had told Mr. London about some large gold transactions handled recently for the Chinese government. Mr. Hong Kong described how gold bars from the German government were being bought by China and melted down into small 20 gram wafers. These were then being stamped with the Beijing governments insignia and sold to the Chinese population at a 20% mark-up to spot price. Mr. Hong Kong had marveled at the handy profit being made by Beijing. Here I interrupted Mr. London, wanting to clarify the story. Did Mr. Hong Kong mean the gold came from Germanys official governments holdings or merely from German private banks? Yes, Mr. London confirmed, Mr. Hong Kong had said it was from the German government itself. Now, it is difficult for someone who is not trained in intelligence gathering to properly and realistically process such data. This limitation applies to both me and Mr. London. Nevertheless, the nature of this article demands I attempt it. Mr. London and I had never met previously. The circumstances of our meeting and the independent credibility of one of the other people present suggested Mr. London was being honest. He personally had little or nothing to gain by flattering me with something that I might find interesting or corroborative of my worldview. What might this piece of intelligence, if true, suggest or confirm in respect of the big picture? China continues to arm itself for the coming gold wars? Some governments, regardless of their view of individual rights, understand the critical importance of having widespread ownership of gold by their populations? Germany (and Europe) is in a much tighter financial bind than the markets suspect? The gold end-game event is closer than we might think? The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #21 15 September 2012 7 Does it make sense for China to seek to purchase gold from any and all governments willing to sell it? Yes. This allows Beijing to accumulate material amounts of metal quickly without disturbing golds dollar price. Germanys official reserves are in excess of 3,000 tons. Some proportion of that, likely a majority, is stored on US soil. It is doubtful the US would want or allow sizable amounts of gold to leave its shores bound for any foreign government reserve, let alone Chinas. But whatever the amount of its gold of which Germany has direct possession, these bars could be sold to anyone. What might China be offering? Cash? Market support, both for the Euro in general and for efforts to rescue particular weak PIIGS? Access to Chinese markets for German firms? Guarantees of military support if Russia threatens Germany? These and other possibilities come quickly to mind. It is logical to expect Europe is being, or will be, parted from its gold if the fiat system is able to endure a few years longer. The process is as inexorable as water finding its lowest available resting point. What does it mean for those of us working to re- establish a proper monetary role for gold? That China (and India, with its existing massive, widespread popular ownership of gold) may indeed become a new global superpower just not for the reasons some mainstream commentators think. And this may not be the kind of triumph for gold we were seeking. Publius Ceci n'est pas une pipe Protagonists: a royal counsellor, an opportunist, a mint assayer and one Prince (Franois d'Anjou). Place: France and England Date: 1568-1572 Isn't it amazing that wild birds keep going about their daily routine even while Wall Street comes crashing down and ordinary folk are trying to get briefed on what is left of their pension dreams? Nature has its order and man-made constructions have theirs. Yet for as long as people have been spontaneously forming structured communities, 3
people had to respond to challenges and adversities. And not all of them are natural disasters like hurricanes. One such challenge in economic theory seems to be the issue of inflation. The level of scientific knowledge about inflation today is abominable. 4
Even on the definition there is no consensus. And it is an old sore. One of the most striking texts ever produced about inflation is from the hand of Jean Cherruyt de Malestroit, counsellor for the Prince d'Anjou. 5 Against a backdrop of religious strife between Catholics and Hugenots, the Prince had ordered an inquiry into the causes and solutions for France's financial crisis. De Malestroit pointed out that prices in France had in reality not gone up, if calculated in silver by weight and fineness. It was the unit of account, the imaginary livre tournois, that had been changed by royal decree so that ratios to actual coins (also debased) were altered, he said. De Malestroit was shrewd enough not to blame the French elites, debtors by all accounts, trying to pay back creditors with devalued specie. In fact, he cleverly pointed out that everyone in the kingdom suffered. After all, there was a religious war going on with brigands torching the countryside. To which a contemporary lawyer named Jean Bodin, respectfully submitted that it must be the abundance of new precious metal that has entered France in the past three hundred years, that was the principle cause of the increased cost of living. 6 He pointed the finger to monopolists and greedy traders just as well. Both
3 R.L. Carneiro, A Theory of the Origin of State, Science, vol 169, 1970, pp 733-738. There is a remarkeable resemblence between this theory and Carl Mengers' view on State formation: see also Y. Ikeda, 2008. 4 e.g. M.M.G. Faze & C.K. Folkertsma, Measuring Inflation: An attempt to operationalise Carl Menger's Concept of the Inner Value of Money, 1997, De Nederlandse Bank, issue nr. 8. The paper is sabotaged from the beginning, as the authors start with a monetary approach, which Menger specifically did not subscribe! 5 J.C. de Malestroit, Les Paradoxes di Seigneur de Malestroit, Coinseiller du Roy, Paris, 1568 6 Bodin probably copied the idea from the first monetarist known: Martin de Azpilcueta, a Spanish Canon Law professor (1491-1586) and co-founder of the School of Salamanca. The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #21 15 September 2012 8 answers got the Prince of the hook. That must have pleased him. Nevertheless, the French Prince did bring about a monetary reform, such as de Malestroit suggested and abandonned the livre tournois in favour of the cu, a new unit of account as well as banning most foreign coins. Bodin later wrote an immensely popular political theory defending the Sovereignty of the State, which contained a sentence to the effect that the Sovereign Prince is only accountable to God. 7
Naturally, it got him almost universal recognition from princes and kings all over Europe at that time. 8
However, a third person, this time an English mint assayer, by the name of Gerard de Malynes, asked Bodin, the new Quantity Theorist, respectfully but in a Socratic way nevertheless whether he believed that taking away the excess money would make prices come down? To the best of my knowledge, Gerard de Malynes was the first person to question the Quantity Theory of Money regarding inflation. He referred correctly to the changed terms of trade after debasement as the culprit. 9 As an aside, what all parties seemingly forgot, was that fresh money does not necessarily have to be spent. It may just as well be saved. Or invested. There is not enough evidence that too much money is chasing too few goods or that too much money or credit is created over and above demand for money. The accomplishments of Jean Bodin are nothing short of amazing: he got the French King of the hook for debasing the currency and devised a 'scientific theory' of the State making the King only
7 Jean Bodin, Les Six Livres de la Rpublique, 1576 translated from Latin to English by Richard Knolles (The Six Bookes of a Commonweale) 1606. 8 Later, in the Treaties of Westphalia of 1648 ending the Eighty years war between Spain and The Netherlands and the Thirty years war that had ravished the Holy Roman Empire, this principle was solemly ratified. However, to put things in the correct perspective, the Treaties of Westphalia determined sovereignty through treaties and can be correctly referred to as the beginnings of international law and the end of Mediaeval Sovereignty as described by Marsilius of Padua and Bartolus of Saxoferrato. The Westphalian Treaties, in its turn were greatly undermined themselves by United Nations Resolution A/RES/63/308 and 1674 S/RES/1674 (2006) where the Responsibility to Protect is discussed, making it possible for other states to protect citizens from alledged atrocities across their borders. 9 Gerard de Malynes, Canker of England's Commonwealth, (1601) and England's View in the Unmasking of Two Paradoxes (1603) accountable to God which made him so well accepted in Europe that his achievement is akin today to receiving a Nobel Prize of some sorts. His ideas made it into the Treaties of Westphalen (1648) where they stood for nearly 400 years until the United Nations managed to water down his ideas about Sovereignty of the State. 10 He even managed to bedazzle serious scientists such as Mises, five centuries later. Menger never fell for this postulate of the Quantity Theory. 11 It is therefore even more surreal to find self-proclaimed enlightened economists like the American Austrians paying homage to this unscientific relic. The Quantity "Theory", despite being proven a post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy untold times 12 is hardly a theory. It is merely a linear approximation tool applicable in specific situations only, but not in a highly non-linear outcome-based human-action- world. Yet it is still doggedly invoked in situations where it is inapplicable, but well received by debtors and their paid stooges. It is comparable to the story of the farmer who maintained he had the most powerful rooster in the world, simply because every time the rooster crowed, the sun came up It is incomprehensible to find today's scholars still defending the indefensible, 13 preserving the stubborn idea that inflation has a monetary base. If it were true, then one has to answer this: why is the most prolific currency in the world, the US Dollar, not the least valuable? Find out in the sequel. Moral of the story: Power looks after itself. Hurray for the Quantity "Theory". Inflation is not what it looks like. Ceci n'est pas une pipe. 14
Peter van Coppenolle
10 See footnote 15. 11 C. Menger, Gesammelte Werke, Vol. 4, Chapter X and XI 12 This is not the place to repeat all of them. A good read is Benjamin Anderson, The Value of Money, 1917. 13 For an indefensible defense of the Quantity Theory, see John H. Munro, The Monetary Origins of the "Price Revolutions" 2003 14 Painting by Ren Margritte, surrealist, 1898-1967. The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #21 15 September 2012 9 The Slippery Slope With about 1.6 Billion US dollars of customers money disappearing in the MF global bankruptcy, you may be wondering what is going on and exactly where is the world heading. These are good questions, but to answer then we need more than a sound bite we need to examine a particular bit of world history the history of the destruction of the Classical Gold Standard. The Classical Gold Standard as practiced during the nineteenth century, while less than perfect, was a thousand times better than the system of fraud and theft that we are seemingly stuck with. The Classical Gold Standard helped to propel the world economy to unimagined heights, bringing unprecedented prosperity to millions, and helped to make the nineteenth century the most peaceful century mankind has ever experienced. It has taken the best part of a century to destroy this Gold Standard. The most devastating blow but not the first was delivered on the eve of WWI the Great War. As war clouds gathered, the future combatants called their loans, to fill their vaults with Gold but even vaults bulging with Gold would not be enough to fund a protracted war. Indeed, pundits of the day were predicting that any possible war could not last more than a few months at worst, as the combatants would run out of money. All governments knew this and their choices were limited; raise funds through war taxes, borrow by issuing war bonds, or what? At the time, Gold was money, and bank notes were clearly recognized as just that; notes, that is IOUs redeemable into Gold money. They came up with a truly insidious plan. New legal tender laws were passed, decreeing that henceforth the IOUs themselves were money, legal for all payments. Think about this for a minute. Gold is a present good, just like an apple, or sugar, or oil, or any other real, physical commodity with the only difference being that Gold is a monetary commodity, not a commodity that is directly consumed. Imagine passing a law that decrees that an IOU for an apple, an IOU for sugar, or an IOU for oil is now the apple itself, or the sugar itself, or the oil itself. Is this insane or what? Insane or not, the laws were passed, first in France then quickly thereafter in England and Germany. To help mislead people of this grand larceny, Gold remained in circulation along with the new Bank Notes, the so called Legal Tender paper but not for long. To top this off, Real Bill circulation was shut down. There is no space here to give justice to the vital importance to the circulation of Real Bills to the viability of a Gold Standard, but appreciate that multilateral trade underpinned by Real Bills circulation is so efficient and productive that total volume of world trade before WWI was not surpassed until the nineteen seventies, nearly sixty five years later, three human generations; this in spite of enormous growth in the world economy. Simply, Real Bills are the commercial clearing system of the Gold Standard, and no Gold Standard can possible survive without a fully developed Bills market. This double whammy was to prove to be fatal to the Classical Gold Standard. After the Great War ended, Britain tried to get back on Gold but without resuscitating the Real Bills market. Furthermore, the attempt at going back on Gold was made without devaluing the Pound to account for the enormous number of Pound notes printed to finance the war. Returning to the pre-war ratio was considered highly deflationary. This is more of a red herring than anything else, designed to draw attention away from the real cause; the failure to allow Real ill circulation to resume. The effort was doomed to failure, and indeed it did fail. Great Britain went Off Gold. Soon the Us followed and to rub salt into the wound, President Roosevelt confiscated all the Gold held by US citizens, then a few months later devalued the Dollar from $22 per once to $35 per ounce. This was the death knell of the Gold Coin Standard, the Classical Gold standard of the nineteenth century. The world retreated to the so called Gold Bullion standard, where only large entities were entitled to hold or trade Gold. No ordinary citizen was allowed to do so. The power of Gold was concentrated into the hands of an elite minority, while the large majority had to be content with irredeemable paper IOU nothing bank notes. The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #21 15 September 2012 10 After WWII, the carnage continued. The Bretton Woods system was brought into play, whereby only the US Treasury was entitled to hold Gold, supposedly to back the US Dollar and the US Dollar was used as a reserve to back local currencies, such as the British Pound and the French Franck. Gold was still in the system, but farther and farther away from the people. The concentration of Gold, and of monetary power, continued unchecked. The last nail in the coffin of the Classical Gold Standard was delivered in nineteen seventy three, by President Nixon. By closing the Gold window, or more accurately by reneging on the international Gold obligations of the US just as Roosevelt had defaulted on the national Gold obligations of the US government, the last official link to Gold was cut. The whole world was now officially off Gold and on Fiat. Mind you, WWI was not the first attack on the Gold Standard by any means. The demonetization of Silver, the change from a bimetallic standard to a Gold only standard was such an attack although at first glance this seems contradictory. After all, should not removing competition to Gold not make Gold supreme? The answer is not by any means. Demonetizing Silver meant that about half the money in circulation was suddenly removed. This blow to the monetary system was far more devastating than the attempt by Britain to return to Gold at pre-war Pound parity yet the system survived, although not without unnecessary stress. The only reason it survived is that Real Bills circulation was not destroyed when Silver was demonetized. Real Bills continued to function unimpaired, fulfilling their role as the clearing system of the Gold Standard and after a brief deflationary episode, the Gold standard continued to soldier on. But this crime of 1873 the year that Silver was demonetized was by no means the very first blow to the Gold Standard, the very first blow delivered against honest money. The first blow came early, before the Gold Standard was even fully established. The first blow was a legally sanctioned violation of money ownership; a violation of property rights. Judgments were made in British jurisprudence, and legal precedents set, that money deposited in a bank account was no longer the property of the depositor, but somehow became the property of the bank. This is another incredible farce of law; it is as if the furniture you take to a warehouse for safe keeping is deemed to suddenly become the property of the warehouse! Of course, once the bank acquires ownership of the money, IT decides what to do with it like using demand deposits to buy high yielding long term bonds the notorious practice of borrowing short to lend long. As if the warehouse owner decides to lend out your furniture for his own profit, or trade it for some other stuff. This is where the very first cracks appeared, the vulnerable spot where the shenanigans begin. The customer is disempowered, and the power over his money, and the power inherent in his Gold, is transferred to the banking system. The so called business cycle, in reality a credit cycle, is put into motion by the fraudulent credit thus made possible. If the depositor decides to withdraw his money, the money is simply not there having been used to buy a high yielding long term bond and the run on the bank begins. So where are we today? The cancer of property rights invasion that first disturbed the inherent stability of an unadulterated Gold standard, a Gold standard where property rights and contract law are sacrosanct, is metastizing. First came the perversion of declaring that the Bank owns and has rights to dispose of deposits as it sees fit, not as the rightful owner wishes. Next, the abomination of decreeing that an IOU for something is the thing itself followed by outlawing citizens from even holding Gold. and then, taking Gold completely out of the system. Today, the speed of slippage down the slippery slope towards Hades is increasing rapidly. Mf global, the large international futures clearing house recently went bankrupt, and about 1.6 Billion dollars of customer property accounts in the form of futures contracts from segregated customer accounts simply disappeared. The furniture you took to the warehouse for safekeeping was not returned to you when the warehouse went bankrupt but given to creditors, along with the warehouse itself. The The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #21 15 September 2012 11 creditor in this atrocity was, surprise, a too big to fail bank, namely J.P Morgan. Moreover, a US federal judge ruled that yes, the value disappeared, but there was no criminal intent, just chaos and so Mr. Cozine, the CEO of JP Morgan, is innocent. Right. In a world of computerized audit trails, where every penny transaction is tracked with Argus eyes, $1,600,000,000 simply disappears between the cracks! If you believe that the honorable judge made a fair and honest judgment, then I suggest you go out and make a fair and honest offer to buy the Brooklyn Bridge. So what is next? Could it be that the rumors of the upcoming demise of Morgan Stanley are more than just rumors? Could Morgan Stanley be the next Mf Global? Is it be possible that after the violation of property rights to money, after the violation of property rights to futures contracts the violation of property rights to equities is next? Would anyone be shocked if this rumor comes true? Bah. Before any honest money system becomes possible, the invasion of property rights must be reversed. The very first property rights invasion that started the slide towards Hades must be reversed. Only then will it become possible to resolve the Global Financial (Money) Crisis, instead of constantly making it worse. Rudy J. Fritsch Editor in Chief Greece in Focus: A self-inflicted drama Lets forget for a moment that we are all living under a global Quasimodian monetary system of fiat money, destined to self-destruct. Lets also assume that this global system is the result of ingenious economists research and therein countries compete with each other in a sort of Olympic Games for the best economic performance thus achieving elevated living standards for its people. Some countries fare better than others, but on what basis? According to the World Banks ranking of Doing Business on August 15, 2012, Greece sports a ranking of 100, positioning itself right after Yemen (99) and before Papua New Guinea (101)!! 100 is an enviable round number sought after by a university student maybe but not from a country in desperate need for investment capital. Both of Greeces neighbors on the list are geographically apart thousands of miles, yet the three neighbors share a common feature: they are capital repugnant. If you, dear reader, were the decision maker of allocating serious capital to a country, would you consider the 100 th candidate
or one out of the first 30 say? In todays international environment, with relatively free capital flows and intense competition between nations to attract serious investment projects there is little hope for Greece to lure serious investments based on such ranking. As a testimony to this conclusion I quote the remarks of Arabian investors recently invited to consider Greece as a destination for part of their oil generated earnings: Despite our friendly emotions towards your country, we cannot proceed with any investments unless we are assured of a steady tax environment. We are most skeptical of the fact that your tax-related laws occupy more than eighty thousand pages, with numerous contradictions, and it has been modified more than fifteen times during the last two years. On another listing, that of Transparency International which measures the corruption levels of all countries, in the segment concerning EU and Western Europe countries, Greece is at the bottom of the pit right above Bulgaria. Both of the above mentioned, nothing-to-write- home-about rankings, are in total symbiotic agreement between them like hand-and-glove explaining the dismal financial situation of the country. Back to reality forget the aforementioned assumptions. There is no doubt that the fiat money Quasimodo is responsible for much of the imbalances, misery and all sorts of plagues inflicted upon our technologically superior societies. Yet, it would be immoderate to impeach Quasimodo for all The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #21 15 September 2012 12 and every mischief. Why is Singapore the Gold Medal winner in the doing business list? They are equally with the rest of the world under a fiat money regime. They even print their own version of the paper stuff. Yet, they have managed to establish the best country money can buy. For the recently formed Greek government, the listing of the country at more favorable levels in the above mentioned lists should become top priority, even if that means being unpleasant to its own political audience and upsetting a Soviet type privileged officialdom of moochers and looters. But this is easier said than done. The noble German Samurai Philipp Rsler has been accused of hostile comments against Greece only because he is demanding the obvious: further financial aid will be offered to Greece provided that the agreed agenda of structural reforms will be implemented. So, we go ask our EU partners for money, we agree on the terms the money will be provided and when we completely fail to implement the terms of the deal we accuse the donors or lenders for lack of solidarity! Have the cake and eat it as well. During the last two years Philipp Rsler has been asking politely, begging, screaming, appealing, soliciting: - Please, Please, PLIIIIZZZZ, Greek brothers, simplify your extremely complex legislature framework regarding investments in alternative energy sources. Make it investor friendlier and less cumbersome. Many German firms are eager to harvest the benefits that the sun is handsomely gifting your country, for mutual benefit. - No sir. If we do that how can we safeguard the interests of a long line of experts, regulators, stamp pushers, all sorts of bureaucrats etc, etc. To hell with the unemployed that might work for those bloodthirsty German capitalists. Let them rot in their misery or even better crawl on their knees in front of us begging for a paltry civil job. The noble German Samurai has recently admitted that his patience is almost exhausted. He is addressing deaf ears. He is about to draw his sharp Katana and swiftly cut the line of credit which keeps in artificially supported life the terminally ill patient. I dont blame him. Do you? An article frequently comes to my mind that was written by a prominent financial journalist more than 30 years ago. He explicitly analyzed the reasons behind a great American investment withdrawal from Greece at the time. The American company was the one running the Disneyland amusement parks. When they first decided to expand to Europe, their country target of choice was Greece. The perfect all year round climate and beautiful landscape were decisive criteria to first approach Greece in Europe. The discussions/negotiations between company executives and the local officialdom started in earnest. After a long period of deliberations it was obvious that the case was dragging on far too long. Suddenly, the Americans left Greece and in short order it was announced that the European Disneyland would be materialized in France, at an area near Paris. According to the article, there were rumors of the Americans being outraged by a) the number of state employees designated as responsible for the project and b) irrational demands of all sorts by all. Au contraire, the French offered every imaginable motive of scandalous proportions to attract the project. And they did. The benefits for France were, are and will be enormous. Even worse than the loss of serious investments is the fact that the few and far between Greeks of the Atlas top league as per Ayn Rands classification, have already started migrating to friendlier, much closer to the top of the Doing Business list dominions. Greeks are divided in two camps, the Prometheuss and the vultures. The latter have been ruling the country for the past decades under the pretence of establishing a fair society. In the course, they have been living an orgy devouring the nation and the former. It only takes a golden Katana to exterminate the vultures and eradicate the hideous fiat money Quasimodo. Antal Feketes work has provided the precious weapon. A political Samurai is urgently wanted to unleash it. Sorry Ayn. The Greek Atlas did not shrug. He opted to migrate. Orpheus