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ПРИМЕНА НА СТАТИСТИЧКИ МЕТОДИ ВО ОДЛУЧУВАЊЕТО ПРИ ПРОЦЕСОТ НА УПРАВУВАЊЕ СО КВАЛИТЕТ - ЕВИЦА ДИМИ
ПРИМЕНА НА СТАТИСТИЧКИ МЕТОДИ ВО ОДЛУЧУВАЊЕТО ПРИ ПРОЦЕСОТ НА УПРАВУВАЊЕ СО КВАЛИТЕТ - ЕВИЦА ДИМИ
EVICA DIMITRIEVA
MASTER'S THESIS
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................................................................................................................... 14
1.
........................................................................................................ 20
1.1.
............................................... 20
1.2.
........................................ 21
1.3.
.......................................................... 22
1.3.1.
1.3.2.
1.3.3.
1.3.4.
QualityManagement,QM- ............ 26
............ 27
1.5.
ISO , .......................................... 30
1.6.
......................................................................................................... 33
1.7.
..... 35
1.7.1.
.......................................................................................................... 35
2. ,
................... 39
2.1.
..................................................... 39
2.2.
....................................... 40
2.3.
...................................................................................................... 41
2.4.
....................................................... 43
11
2.5.
............................................................................................................. 44
2.5.1.
............................... 44
2.5.2.
............................................................................................................ 47
2.6.
.......................................................... 49
2.6.1.
............................................................... 52
2.6.1.1.
2.7.
................................................ 52
................. 55
3. /
( ) ..................................... 65
3.1.
......................................................... 65
3.2.
........................................... 70
3.3.
................................................................... 72
3.3.1.
() ....... 73
3.3.2.
............................... 77
3.4.
....................................................... 80
3.5.
........................................................................................................... 82
3.6.
.................................................................................... 84
3.6.1.
....... 84
3.6.2.
3.6.3.
..................................................... 92
...... 89
3.6.4.
....................................................................................... 95
3.6.4.1. ,
.................................................................................................... 97
12
4.
( ) ........................................................ 106
4.1.
....... 107
4.2.
................................................................ 116
, .................................................... 147
............................................................................................................ 150
.1 ...................................................................................................... 150
............................................................................... 156
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80-90%
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22
(BUSINESS EXCELLENCE
-BE)
(TOTAL QUALITY MENAGEMENT- TQM)
(QUALITY MENAGEMENT- QM)
(QUALITY ASSURANCE - QA)
(QUALITY CONTROL-QC)
(QUALITY INSPECTION-QI)
QM, QA / QC
, QC
1994
2000
ISO 9000
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1.
Figure 1. Evolution of quality
(QI, QC, QA, QM, TQM) 1.
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1.3.4. QualityManagement,QM-
, 1990-
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, (JUSE - Japanese Union of Scientists and Engineers
Feigenbaum) .
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TQC-Total
Quality Control,
Control.
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(QFD, FMEA, SPC) . QM
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, .
1.3.5. - Total
Quality Management,Q
QM ( QMS) TQM,
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1.4.
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2. [29].
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(Check sheet)
(Flowchart)
Brainstorming
Brainwriting
(Histogram)
(Interrelationship
diagram)
SWOT
(Scatter diagram)
(Tree diagram)
GANT
(Pareto diagram)
PDPC
(Cause and effect
diagram)
FMEA
(Control chart)
QFD M
Benchmarking
(Re-ingineering)
Taguchi
2.
Figure 2. Classification of methods and tools
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1.5. ISO ,
1959 .
(US Military
Procurement)
MIL-Q-9858.
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ISO 9000 1987
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Table 1. Types of Standards
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ISO,
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CENELEC ( ),
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ETSI ( ),
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CEN CENELEC. CEN
CENELEC ETSI ,
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AECMA (
ECISS ( ,
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ISO ( ),
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32
1.6.
EFQM
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9000 ( ISO 14000) TQM
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EFQM (MBNQA)
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MBNQA ,
1988 , (
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1988 .
33
Baldrige ,
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EFQM
- Total Quality Management (TQM).
ISO 9000
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1.7.
1.7.1.
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Figure 3. The process of continuous improvement
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Figure 4. Internal and external users of statistical data
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2.5.1.
44
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[7])
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(histogram);
(pareto diagram);
(Ishikawa diagram / Cause and effect
diagram);
(scatter diagram)
(control charts).
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(eng. process capability).
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Figure 6. Normal distribution
=0
x-.
x = x0 0.
x = x0 30 x y y=0,0044.
1, ..
F = 1.
:
x0 0 0,6826
(68,26%)
x0 20 0,9544
(95,44%)
x0 30 0,9973
(99,73%)
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Figure 7. The area under the Gaussian- curve Lesser
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8. SPSS Statistics.
Figure 8. Some of the available methods in SPSS Statistics.
56
9. ( ) SPSS
Statistics.
Figure 9. Viewing an statistical method (control charts) in SPSS Statistics.
57
10. ( )
SPSS Statistics.
Figure 10. Entering a data into the selected tool (control charts) in SPSS Statistics.
58
11. ( )
SPSS Statistics.
Figure 11. Review and draw the selected tool (control charts) in SPSS Statistics.
59
60
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: EpiInfo, SPSS,
EDUSTAT, S-PLUS, R, Statistica .
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(Data Analysis).
Figure 13. Some of the available methods in Excel (Data Analysis).
61
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(Open source).
: SPSS
Base for Windows, Minitab, Statistica, SYSTAT, SAS / STAT
.
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. : IRISTAT 4.4 ,
(IRI - International
Rice Research Institute, http://www.iri.org). ViSta - Forrest
W. Young (http://forrest.psych.unc.edu/research/),
(Dumouchel & Lane 1995; Pregibon, 1995),
OpenStat - Bill Mille
(http://www.statpages.org/miller/openstat/).
: Open Source Initiative (OSI)
(http://www.opensource.org/) GNU Project (http://www.gnu.org/)
Linux
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, Unix.
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Malter .Shewhart "Ben Telephone
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- DKG (eng.LCL Lower Control Limit)
(eng. CL -center line).
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67
k, .
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Central line
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Figure 15. Chart of basic control chart for processes
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1. ( ),
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68
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X bar
X bar control chart
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Figure 16. Chart of the process who is in a "condition of statistical control''
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69
- Unit
X bar
X bar control chart
- Measurements
17.
Figure 17. Chart of the process who is "out of statistical control"
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Figure 18. Division of the control charts
72
() :
( , eng. x - bar chart, average chart);
R ( , eng. R - chart, range chart)
s ( , eng. s chart, standard deviation
chart).
,
:
p ( , eng. p chart, proportion chart);
np (eng. number of affected units chart);
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Table 2. Factors for calculating the control limits [30]
N
A21
D32
D43
1,88
0,00
3,267
1,023
0,00
2,575
0,729
0,00
2,282
0,577
0,00
2,115
0,483
0,00
2,004
0,419
0,076
1,924
0,373
0,136
1,864
0,337
0,184
1,816
10
0,308
0,223
1,777
A2
D3 LCL R
D4 UCL R .
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Figure 19. A general model of control chart
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3.6.
3.6.1.
,
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(k=20), 50 .,
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(n=5).
20.
Figure 20. Sprayer with a capacity of ten meters
21.
Figure 21. Device for controlling the accuracy of the work in the sprayer
84
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
3. (/)
Table 3. Results of measurement of water flow (l / min)
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,8
1,0
3 )
( 2).
85
(CL) =
(UCL) =
2 *
(LCL) =
2 *
:
(CL)
0,30037,
0,09510 n = 5.
UCL = 0,30037 + 0,577 * 0,09510= 0,355243
LCL = 0,30037 - 0,577 * 0,09510= 0,245497
x -
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Figure 22. Control the quality of the spray nozzle with x control chart
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4. e
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Table 4. Results of weighing the filled packages with a coffee in grams.
I
II
III
IV
V
1.
199,7
202,8
200,7
201,2
199,2
200,7
3,6
2.
197,2
203,5
199,3
202,5
201,2
200,7
6,3
3.
196,8
200,7
201,2
192,8
200,7
198,4
8,4
4.
200,3
203,8
197,9
189,9
201,8
198,7
13,9
5.
196,2
202,4
196,9
200,6
204,2
200,1
8,0
6.
199,8
198,5
201,2
195,8
195,4
198,1
5,8
7.
201,2
202,1
200,9
198,2
197,9
200,1
4,2
8.
203,2
203,9
198,6
200,5
199,9
201,2
5,3
9.
204,1
200,9
195,1
197,8
198,2
199,2
9,0
10.
198,5
197,9
196,8
202,2
196,5
198,4
5,7
11.
191,2
200,8
202,8
197,1
200,8
198,5
11,6
12.
204,2
196,7
195,9
201,4
201,5
199,9
8,3
13.
199,2
197,2
200,8
198,7
203,2
199,8
6,0
14.
201,5
199,4
197,7
200,5
204,5
200,7
6,8
15.
204,4
204,0
201,7
199,5
201,7
202,3
4,9
16.
197,3
202,8
198,6
197,8
196,7
198,6
6,1
17.
198,8
200,2
200,2
201,6
198,8
199,9
2,8
18.
196,8
196,7
202,5
202,2
199,4
199,5
5,8
19.
199,2
187,9
201,7
201,5
198,8
197,8
13,8
20.
199,1
200,9
200,4
200,9
196,5
199,6
4,4
21.
198,5
204,8
204,1
204,5
199,2
202,2
6,3
22.
202,2
197,2
196,8
198,4
201,3
199,2
5,4
23.
201,8
199,7
199,7
201,7
202,3
201,0
2,6
24.
198,4
204,7
201,9
203,1
200,8
201,8
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Microsoft Excel, :
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+ A2
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24. x
Figure 24. Quality control of dosing with coffee using x, R and s control chart
o
91
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Figure 25. X control chart for measuring the weight packages with coffee in grams
25
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Figure 26. Chart of value of the points outside the control limits
2.
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Figure 27. Chart of the trend in the standard of the sample
o
93
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28.
Figure 28. Chart of too many points on the same side of the center line
,
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2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
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5.
Table 5. Data analysis of the process of making wine using a control charts
220
220
220
220
220
220
220
220
220
220
220
220
220
220
220
220
220
220
220
220
30
19
27
28
18
21
28
29
16
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29
33
35
26
36
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27
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31
27
1,03
0,96
0,92
0,94
1,05
1,07
1,09
0,95
1,06
0,87
1,03
1,07
0,92
1,04
0,90
1,03
1,07
0,87
0,86
0,90
0,80
0,94
0,95
0,89
0,83
1,05
1,05
1,02
0,90
0,92
0,86
0,95
0,99
1,04
0,98
0,80
0,84
0,85
0,85
0,85
1,06
1,01
1,00
1,02
0,85
1,06
0,86
1,04
0,95
1,07
0,88
0,90
1,04
0,86
1,01
1,05
1,09
0,90
0,95
0,82
0,94
0,85
0,94
0,82
0,97
1,02
0,86
0,92
1,10
0,96
0,85
0,82
0,91
0,88
0,84
1,05
0,85
1,08
1,03
0,88
0,94
1,04
0,92
0,85
1,08
0,85
1,02
0,88
0,85
0,88
0,85
1,10
0,82
1,10
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0,92
0,82
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1,10
220
220
220
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27
20
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29. P-
Figure 29. P-control chart of defective empty glass bottles
p- ,
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s-bar = 0,093507941;
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100
30. x R s
Figure 30. Quality control of dosing using x, R and s control charts
x R s ,
, .
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( )
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101
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31
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Figure 31. Control the quality of work by closing the np control chart
13 14
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32. c
Figure 32. Quality control of the work of putting labels using c control chart
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,
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108
x2 - 2
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109
6.
Table 6. General characteristics of companies
2
3
2
10
3
,
5
3
4
40
8%
10%
20%
5%
13%
25%
7%
7%
5%
33.
Figure 33. Graphical representation of the general characteristics of companies
33. 25%
5%
.
110
: , ,
:
( 7 8).
7.
Table 7. Demographic characteristics of managers in the sample
12
28
20 30 .
8
30 40 .
22
40 50 .
6
50 60 .
4
4
36
5 .
16
5 . 10 .
14
10 .
10
,
30 - 40 .
, ,
. 5
o , 5-10
, 10 .
111
30%
70%
34.
Figure 34. Graphical representation of the demographic characteristics of managers
in companies by gender
34. 70%
30% .
112
10%
20%
15%
20 30 .
30 40 .
40 50 .
55%
50 60 .
35.
Figure 35. Graphical representation of the demographic characteristics of managers
in companies by ge
35. 55%
30-40 10%
50-60 .
113
10%
90%
36.
Figure 36. Graphical representation of the demographic characteristics of managers
in companies by ducation
36. 90%
10%
.
114
25%
40%
5
5 10 .
35%
10
37.
Figure 37. Graphical representation of the demographic characteristics of managers
in companies by work experience
37. 40%
5 25%
10 .
115
4.2.
,
8.
8.
,
Table 8. Using statistical methods in companies by managers relating to the sector,
workplace and number of years t current managing position
1
1 . 2 .
2 . 5 .
5 . 10 .
10
12
4
2
2
5
5
10
5
15
10
18
8
6
8
40
116
.
,
-
.
,
1 ,
2 5 .
(38),
,
, , .
117
13%
12%
10%
25%
30%
5%
5%
38.
Figure 38.Graphical representation for the section where are mostly used statistical
methods
38. :
30%
;
25%
;
13%
;
12%
;
5%
5%
.
118
, ,
. ( 39),
, .
.
25%
25%
12%
38%
39.
Figure 39. Graphical representation for the work places where are mostly used some
of the statistical methods
39. :
38% ,
;
25% ,
;
25% ,
12% ,
.
119
20%
45%
15%
1 .
1 2 .
2 5 .
5 10 .
20%
40.
Figure 40. Graphical representation for number of years at current managing position
40. :
45%
;
20% 1-2
;
20% 5-10
15% 2-5
.
120
,
,
( 9).
9.
Table 9. Application and use of statistical methods
18
8
14
40
35%
45%
20%
41.
Figure 41. Graphical representation for application and use of statistical methods in
the companies
41 :
45% ;
20%
35% .
o
121
,
45% ( 10.)
. 30%
,
.
10. a
40
42.
25%
30%
45%
42. a
122
Figure 42. Graphical representation for statistical thinking of managers for further
statistical education
42. :
45% ;
30%
25%
.
( 11. 43.) ( 12. 44).
- , ,
. , ,
.
11.
Table 11. Knowledge on some of the statistical methods
35
25
22
18
7
10
6
9
123
8%
4%
7%
26%
5%
14%
17%
19%
43.
124
12.
Table 12. Using on some of the statistical methods
25
15
11
9
8
5
5
6
6%
6%
7%
30%
9%
11%
18%
13%
44.
Figure 44. Graphical representation for using on some of the statistical methods in
companies
125
44. :
30% ;
18% ;
13% ;
11% ;
9% ;
7% ;
6%
6% .
:
: , ,
, ,
: , ,
, .
126
13.
23
8
9
23%
20%
57%
45.
Figure 45. Graphical representation for using of basic and advanced statistical
methods in companies
( 13. 45.)
57%
, 20% ,
23% .
,
, 14. 46.
127
14.
able 14. Statistical thinking of managers about the degree of significance of
statistical methods and techniques for decision making in the company
()
5
12
()
13
( )
10
40
()
25%
12%
30%
33%
()
(
)
46.
Figure 46. Graphical representation about the degree of significance of statistical
methods and techniques for decision making in the company
( 14. 46.)
33%
, 30% , 25%
12% .
o
128
H 0 :
.
H 1 : ()
15. 47.
,
.
15.
Table 15. Using of statistical methods in relation to the activities of the company
15
8
6
1
25
15
2
8
23
40
15.
.
,
.
,
.
.
129
47:
60%
60%
53%
50%
40%
40%
32%
30%
20%
8%
10%
7%
0%
47.
Figure 47. Graphical representation for using of statistical methods in relation to the
activities of the company
47. 53%
, 40%
7% .
60% , 32% 8%
.
130
x2:
16. x2
Table 16. Calculating of x2 value using statistical methods in relation to the activities
of the company
f1
8
f0
9
f1-f0
-1
(f1-f0)2
0
(f1-f0)2/ f0
0,045
15
14
0,027
3,000
-1
1,800
-3
1,671
1,003
x2= 7,55
x20,05 = 5,991
x2= 7,55
x2 > x20,05
X2 7,55
5.991, 2 p=0,05.
0
.
,
131
H 0 : / /
.
H 1 : / /
H 0 : /
.
H 1 : /
17.
132
17.
Table 17. Using statistical methods in terms of characteristics of managers
15
10
28
10
25
1
11
1
4
12
20-40 .
40-60 .
10
15
30
10
18
16
40
18
11
36
19
10
11
40
16
15
24
2
8
7
8
24
10
10
26
11
14
21
13
40
5
5
2
2-10
40
40
133
48.
84%
90%
80%
70%
60%
53%
50%
36%
40%
30%
20%
8%
11%
8%
10%
0%
48.
Figure 48. Graphical representation for using statistical methods in terms of the half
of managers
48. 53%
, 36%
11%
. ,
84%, 8%
8% .
134
x2 :
18. x2
Table 18. Calculating of x2 value using statistical methods in relation to the half of
managers
f1
15
f0
18
f1-f0
-3
(f1-f0)2
6
(f1-f0)2/ f0
0,357
10
0,833
10
0,687
-2
1,603
0,014
0,033
x2= 3,53
x20,05 = 5,991
x2= 3,53
x2 < x20,05
C = 0,28
()
2
. X =3,53
p-=0,05,
5%
, .. 0 .
, 0,28
.
o
135
49.
80%
80%
70%
60%
50%
50%
40%
20-40 .
33%
40-60 .
30%
17%
20%
10%
10%
10%
0%
49.
Figure 49. Graphical representation for using statistical methods in terms of the age
of managers
49. 50% 20 40
, 33%
17%
. 40 60 ,
80%, 10%
10% .
136
19. x2
Table 19. Calculating of x2 value using statistical methods in relation to the ages of
managers
f1
10
f0
14
f1-f0
-4
(f1-f0)2
13
(f1-f0)2/ f0
0,976
11
13
1,813
10
0,284
-2
0,528
1,131
-2
2,100
x2= 6,83
x20,05 = 5,991
x2= 6,83
x2 > x20,05
X =5,991
0
()
.
137
50.
75%
80%
70%
60%
50%
50%
40%
30%
30%
25%
20%
20%
10%
0%
0%
50.
Figure 50. Graphical representation for using statistical methods in terms of degree
of education of managers
50. 75%
, 25%
(0%). ,
50%, 20%
30% .
138
20. x2
Table 20. Calculating of x2 value using statistical methods in relation to the degree
of education of managers
f1
1
f0
2
f1-f0
-1
(f1-f0)2
1
(f1-f0)2/ f0
0,426
18
17
0,047
4,000
-2
0,444
-1
1,100
11
10
0,122
x2 = 6,14
x20,05 = 5,991
x2= 6,14
x2 > x20,05
2
X =6,14
p-=0,05
5%
.
2
X 5,991,
, ..)
.
139
51.
70%
60%
63%
56%
50%
38%
40%
29%
5
5
30%
20%
8%
10%
6%
0%
51.
Figure 51. Graphical representation for using statistical methods in terms of work
experience of managers
51. 56% 5
, 38%
6%
. 5 ,
63%, 29%
8% .
140
21. x2
Table 21. Calculating of x2 value using statistical methods in relation to work
experience of managers
f1
9
f0
10
f1-f0
-1
(f1-f0)2
0
(f1-f0)2/ f0
0,038
15
14
0,025
2,450
-3
1,633
-2
1,513
1,008
x2= 6,67
x20,05 = 5,991
x2= 6,67
x2 > x20,05
X2 =6,67
X2, p-=0,05 (
5%). ,
.
/
, .
141
52.
79%
80%
70%
60%
50%
38%
38%
40%
2-10
30%
24%
21%
20%
10%
0%
0%
52.
.
Figure 52. Graphical representation for using statistical methods in terms of degree
of work experience at current managing position of managers
52. 38%
2
, 38%
24% .
210 ,
79%, 21%
(0%).
142
22. x2
Table 22. Calculating of x2 value using statistical methods in relation to the currently
managing the site managers
f1
10
f0
14
f1-f0
-4
(f1-f0)2
13
(f1-f0)2/ f0
0,976
11
13
1,813
10
0,284
-2
0,528
1,131
-2
2,100
x2= 6,83
x20,05 = 5,991
x2= 6,83
x2 > x20,05
,
.
2 , ,
2
. 5%, p-=0,05
X2 6,83
.
143
,
.
.
,
Excel.
, SAS, SPSS, Statistika Mintab ,
.
( 23) 60%
. 45%
, 55%
.
,
.
.
144
23.
Table 23. Statistical thinking of managers in terms of the benefits of implementing
60%
45%
55%
() ()
,
.
.
,
( ).
, .
,
.
,
.
,
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Excel .
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146
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