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Lecture Notes:
Evaluating Portfolio Performance
Slope =
R pA R f
pA
Rp R f
>
= Sharpe Ratio
Rp R f
pB
The Sharpe measure looks at the decision from the point of view of an
investor choosing a mutual fund to represent the majority of his/her
investment.
An investor choosing a mutual fund to represent a large part of his/her
wealth would likely be concerned with the full risk of the fund, and
standard deviation is a measure of that risk.
If the investor desired a risk different from that offered by the fund,
he/she would modify the risk by lending and/or borrowing.
CML:
Rm R f
Ri = R f +
m
For a given A
Rm R f
R A = R f +
m
Differential Return = R A R A
With this measure, funds are ranked by their differential return with the
best performing fund the one with the highest differential return.
Both Sharpe and Differential Return Performance Measures will list the
same mutual funds as performing better or worse than the market index.
(R
R A ) > (RB RB )
Yet,
RA R f
<
RB R f
CAPM:
R p = R f + p (Rm R f
Rp R f
Treynor Measure =
Rm R f
Rp R f
m = 1.0
R p = R f + (Rm R f ) p
(R
R f ) = (Rm R f ) p
(R
If
p > 0
p < 0
R f ) = p + (Rm R f ) p
where, p = R p R f p Rm R f
Treynor and Jensens Alpha rank the same funds that beat the market, and
conversely those that result in an inferior performance to the market.
Since, p = R p R f p Rm R f
R R f Rm R f
p
= p
p
p
m
m = 1
When,
Rp R f
>
Rm R f
p
>0
p
If p > 0
p > 0
Empirical Line rather than the Theoretical Line would result in portfolios
with p < 1 having a smaller p (for positive p ) and for portfolios
with p > 1 having larger p .
Since most mutual funds have p < 1 , calculating p from the
Empirical Line would result in mutual funds being judged as having
inferior performance.
Also, using the Empirical CAPM might result in p < 0 even though
they were positive if the Theoretical Line is used.
(R
Rf
If the portfolio is not fuly diversified the underlying risk exceeds p , say
*
p =
p m pm
m2
Let
Ip =
p
m
p
, which is an index of total portfolio risk
m
*
( I p p in diagram)
p
p
D = p = (1 pm )
m
m
If
If
pm = 1
pm 1
D>0
Performance =
p
D
= GPp
GPM =
[R
GPp
Rf m
[R
GPp
Rf
m = 1
*
Note, the distance p p represents lack of diversification risk D . This
is divided into CD (i.e., Jensens Alpha) to yield the GPp measure. If the
diversification risk, D , were compensated in line with market risk
premia it would yield a return CE.
Measuring Timing
(R
it
ci > 0
ci < 0
ci = 0
Recent Methodology
Fama, E. and K.R French (1993). Common risk factors in the returns on
stocks and bonds, Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 33, pp. 3-56.
Carhart, M.M. (1997). On persistence in mutual fund performance,
Journal of Finance, Vol. 52, pp. 57-82.
Henriksson, R.D. (1984). Market Timing and Mutual Fund Performance:
An Empirical Investigation, Journal of Business, Vol. 57, pp. 73-96.