Name of the company

DISTRIBUTION LOGISTICS LDSP

Main business area
STORAGE AND DISTRIBUTION
Seven steps to make a forecasting system
Uses
INDUSTRIAL
Items
NAPKINS, TOILET, DIAPERS, SOAP ETC.
Time horizon
12 MONTHS
Model
SEVERAL
Data gathering
ONE YEAR HISTORICAL DATA
Making
ARTICLES FOR HYGIENE
Validation and Implementation
THROUGH THE ENTERPRISE

Forecast projection of demand for the product or service with an average phone for 6 months, i
storage demand forecast for January of next year
6
MONTHS
AVERAGE MOBILE TIME
STORED UNDS

JANUARY
5000
FEBRUARY
8000
MARCH
8000
APRIL
10000
MAY
9000
JUNE
12000
JULY
11000
AUGUST
11000
SEPTEMBER
12000
OCTOBER
10000
NOVEMBER
10000
DECEMBER
12000
January 2016 PEAR projection

TOTAL UNITS STORED 2014 11800

YEAR 2014

MOBILE TIME
8000
8500
8000
12000
9800
14500
8667
9667
10167
10833
10833
11000
11000

UNITS STORED
FROM JANUARY
TO JUNE 60800,
PROJECTION OF
DEMAND FROM
JULY TO
DECEMBER 61167
UNITS

We see as signs of July average to December 2015

It has a tendency to with respect to 2014, but we can notice how the
Average of 2016 January screening can increase by 100%
On January 2014 and 20% to the year 2015, and noticed as the projected average
Held on the last 3 months.
This projection is only taking into account a single ally.

AVERAGE MOBIL TIME

NOVEMBER
10000
OCTOBER
10000

SEPTEMBER

MARCH
8000

JANUARY
5000
DECEMBER
12000

FEBRUARY
8000
MAY
9000

APRIL
10000

NOVEMBER
10000
OCTOBER
10000

MARCH
8000

JANUARY
5000
DECEMBER
12000

APRIL
10000

FEBRUARY
8000
MAY
9000

SEPTEMBER
12000
AUGUST
11000

JUNE
12000

JULY
11000

MONTHS

DEMAND

SIMPLE MOVING
AVERAGE

ERROR

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
TOTAL

5000
8000
8000
10000
9000
12000
11000
11000
12000
10000
10000
12000
118000

8000
8500
8000
12000
9800
14500
8667
9667
10167
10833
10833
11000
121966.6667

3000
500
0
2000
800
2500
-2333.3333
-1333.3333
-1833.3333
833.333333
833.333333
-1000
3966.66667

DEMAND
20000
MONTHS
15000

Exponential
(MONTHS)

10000

DEMAND
SIMPLE MOVING
AVERAGE

5000
0
-5000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
MONTHS

SHORT-TERM TRENDS
MONTHS
DEMAND
1
8000

ERROR

2
3
4

1
2
3

8500
8000
12000

MEDIUM-TERM
MONTHS
5
6
7
8

DEMAND
9800
14500
8667
9667

LONG TERM
MONTHS
9
10
11
12
Jan-16

DEMAND
10167
10833
10833
11000
11000

ge phone for 6 months, including a

xt year