<!

-- Presenter Notes
<slide class="" id="slide-3" style="background:;">
<hgroup>
<h2>Radio (Two Column)</h2>
</hgroup>
<article data-timings="">
<div class='row-fluid'>
<div class='span6'>
<p><img src=https://oli.cmu.edu/repository/webcontent/470835bf80020ca60018d5
a6c359d34c/_u2_summarizing_data/_m2_examining_relationships/webcontent/linear1.g
if></p>
</div>
<div class='span6'>
<div class="quiz quiz-single well new">
<p>Which of these two scatterplots have a higher correlation?</p>
<ol>
<li>A</li>
<li>B</li>
</ol>
<button
<button
<button
<button

class="quiz-submit btn btn-primary">Submit</button>

class="quiz-toggle-hint btn btn-info">Show Hint</button>
class="quiz-show-answer btn btn-success">Show Answer</button>
class="quiz-clear btn btn-danger">Clear</button>

<div class="quiz-explanation">
<p>Both have the same correlation.</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</article> -->
<!-- Presenter Notes
<aside class="note" id="">
<section>
<pre><code>--- &amp;radio2
## Radio (Two Column)
Which of these two scatterplots have a higher correlation?
1. A
2. B
*** =image
&lt;img src=https://oli.cmu.edu/repository/webcontent/470835bf80020ca60018d5a6c3
59d34c/_u2_summarizing_data/_m2_examining_relationships/webcontent/linear1.gif&g
t;
*** .explanation
Both have the same correlation.</code></pre>
</section>
</aside>
</slide>

<slide class="" id="slide-4" style="background:;">

<hgroup>
<h2>Checkbox</h2>
</hgroup>
<article data-timings="">
<div class="quiz quiz-multiple well" data-individual>
<p>Linda is 31 years old, single, outspoken, and very bright. She majored in p
hilosophy. As a student, she was deeply concerned with issues of discrimination
and social justice, and also participated in anti-nuclear demonstrations.</p>
<p>Which is more probable?</p>
<ol>
<li><em>Linda is a bank teller.</em></li>
<li>Linda is a bank teller and is active in the feminist movement.</li>
</ol>
<button
<button
<button
<button

class="quiz-submit btn btn-primary">Submit</button>

class="quiz-toggle-hint btn btn-info">Show Hint</button>
class="quiz-show-answer btn btn-success">Show Answer</button>
class="quiz-clear btn btn-danger">Clear</button>

<div class="quiz-hint">
<p>Think about the probabilities of each event, and that of both of them toget
her.</p>
</div>
<div class="quiz-explanation">
<p>If you chose (2), stop back and think. Suppose we denote the event of Linda
being a teller by A and the event she is active in the feminist movement by B,
then probabilities in question can be written as.</p>
<ul>
<li>P(A)</li>
<li>\(P(A \cap B)\)</li>
</ul>
<p>This is called the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conjunction_fallacy"
>conjugacy fallacy</a> that occurs when it is assumed that specific conditions a
re more probable than a single general one.</p>
</div>
</div>
</article>
<aside class="note" id="">
<section>
<pre><code>--- &amp;checkbox
## Checkbox
Linda is 31 years old, single, outspoken, and very bright. She majored in philos
ophy. As a student, she was deeply concerned with issues of discrimination and s
ocial justice, and also participated in anti-nuclear demonstrations.
Which is more probable?
1. _Linda is a bank teller._
2. Linda is a bank teller and is active in the feminist movement.

*** .hint
Think about the probabilities of each event, and that of both of them together.
*** .explanation
If you chose (2), stop back and think. Suppose we denote the event of Linda bein
g a teller by A and the event she is active in the feminist movement by B, then
probabilities in question can be written as.
- P(A)
- $P(A \cap B)$
This is called the [conjugacy fallacy](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conjunction_
fallacy) that occurs when it is assumed that specific conditions are more probab
le than a single general one.</code></pre>
</section>
</aside>
</slide>
<slide class="" id="slide-5" style="background:;">
<hgroup>
<h2>Multi Text</h2>
</hgroup>
<article data-timings="">
<div class="quiz-text quiz-multitext well">
<p>The length of human pregnancies from conception to birth varies according t
o a distribution that is approximately Normal with mean 266 days and standard de
viation 16 days.</p>
<ol>
<li>What percent of pregnancies last fewer than 240 days?</li>
<li>What percent of pregnancies last between 240 and 270 days?</li>
<li>How long do the longest 25% pregnancies last?</li>
</ol>
<button
<button
<button
<button

class="quiz-submit btn btn-primary">Submit</button>

class="quiz-toggle-hint btn btn-info">Show Hint</button>
class="quiz-show-answer btn btn-success">Show Answer</button>
class="quiz-clear btn btn-danger">Clear</button>

<div class="quiz-explanation">
<ol>
<li><span class='answer'>5.2081</span></li>
<li><span class='answer'>54.6625</span></li>
<li><span class='answer'>276.7918</span></li>
</ol>
</div>
<div class="quiz-hint">
<p>This is a hint</p>
</div>
</div>
</article>
<aside class="note" id="">
<section>
<pre><code>--- &amp;multitext

## Multi Text
The length of human pregnancies from conception to birth varies according to a d
istribution that is approximately Normal with mean 266 days and standard deviati
on 16 days.
1. What percent of pregnancies last fewer than 240 days?
2. What percent of pregnancies last between 240 and 270 days?
3. How long do the longest 25% pregnancies last?
*** .explanation
1. &lt;span class='answer'&gt;`r pnorm(240, 266, 16)*100`&lt;/span&gt;
2. &lt;span class='answer'&gt;`r (pnorm(270, 266, 16) - pnorm(240, 266, 16))*100
`&lt;/span&gt;
3. &lt;span class='answer'&gt;`r qnorm(0.25, 266, 16, lower.tail = F)`&lt;/span&
gt;
*** .hint
This is a hint</code></pre>
</section>
</aside>
</slide>
<slide class="" id="slide-6" style="background:;">
<hgroup>
<h2>Submit and Compare</h2>
</hgroup>
<article data-timings="">
<p>What is the sample space for this experiment?</p>
<textarea rows="" style="width:95%" class='submitCompare'
placeholder='Type your answer (at least 140 characters)'>
</textarea>
<a class='btn btn-success submitCompare'>
Submit and Compare
</a>
<a class='btn btn-danger clearSubmitCompare'>Clear</a>
<div class='explanation' style='display: none;'>
<p>The sample space for this experiment is</p>
<p>{HH, HT, TH, HH}</p>
</div>
</article>
<aside class="note" id="">
<section>
<pre><code>--- &amp;submitcompare1
## Submit and Compare
What is the sample space for this experiment?
*** .explanation
The sample space for this experiment is

{HH, HT, TH, HH}</code></pre>

</section>
</aside>
</slide>
<slide class="" id="slide-7" style="background:;">
<hgroup>
<h2>Submit and Compare (2 Column)</h2>
</hgroup>
<article data-timings="">
<div class='row-fluid'>
<div class='span6'>
<p>The solid curve represents the distribution of heights of all males in th
e US. The dotted curve represents the distribution of heights reported by males
on OkCupid, an online dating website.</p>
<p><img class=center
src=http://cdn.okcimg.com/blog/lies/MaleHeightDistribution.png width=400px></p
>
</div>
<div class='span6'>
<p>What is happening here?</p>
<textarea rows="5" style="width:95%" class='submitCompare'
placeholder='Type your answer (at least 140 characters)'>
</textarea>
<a class='btn btn-success submitCompare' data-title=''>
Submit and Compare
</a>
<a class='btn btn-danger clearSubmitCompare'>Clear</a>
<div class="explanation" style="display:none;">
<p>It is easier to interpret things if we overlay a fitted normal distribu
tion for the heights reported by males on OkCupid. Looking at the graph carefull
y, we can observe two things.</p>
<p><img class=center
src=http://cdn.okcimg.com/blog/lies/MaleHeightDistributionYoink.png width=400p
x></p>
<ol>
<li>Males on OkCupid probably tend to inflate their heights!</li>
<li>You can also see a more subtle vanity at work: starting at roughly 5&#39; 8&
quot;, the top of the dotted curve tilts even further rightward. This means that
guys as they get closer to six feet round up a bit more than usual, stretching
for that coveted psychological benchmark.</li>
</ol>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</article>
<aside class="note" id="">
<section>
<pre><code>--- &amp;submitcompare2 rows:5
## Submit and Compare (2 Column)

The solid curve represents the distribution of heights of all males in the US. T
he dotted curve represents the distribution of heights reported by males on OkCu
pid, an online dating website.
&lt;img class=center
src=http://cdn.okcimg.com/blog/lies/MaleHeightDistribution.png width=400px&gt;
*** =question
What is happening here?
*** .explanation
It is easier to interpret things if we overlay a fitted normal distribution for
the heights reported by males on OkCupid. Looking at the graph carefully, we can
observe two things.
&lt;img class=center
src=http://cdn.okcimg.com/blog/lies/MaleHeightDistributionYoink.png width=400p
x&gt;
1. Males on OkCupid probably tend to inflate their heights!
2. You can also see a more subtle vanity at work: starting at roughly 5' 8&quot;
, the top of the dotted curve tilts even further rightward. This means that guys
as they get closer to six feet round up a bit more than usual, stretching for t
hat coveted psychological benchmark.
</code></pre>
</section>
</aside>
</slide>-->