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Almost all Vietnamese consumers shop at least five or six times a week or
everyday or more. We formulated a basic model of the optimal level of
shopping frequency. Hanoi consumer survey data has been analysed using
the binary choice Probit model to measure factors that influence the major
characteristics related to the high-shopping frequency patterns of
Vietnamese consumers. The results consolidate the validity of the basic
model and show that freshness, convenience (distance), gender and the
presence of children in the household had a significant effect on the
frequency of shopping. In contrast, factors such as owning a refrigerator
as well as income did not have a significant effect in shaping consumer
shopping behaviour.
I. Introduction
Perceiving fresh food as being better in taste, most
Vietnamese consumers do their shopping at a high
frequency (almost everyday) in traditional bazaars in
the morning and/or the late afternoon in time to
prepare meals for that day. They usually do not buy
fresh food in bulk and the demand for frozen
products is limited. Despite the economic interest,
to the best of our knowledge, there are only a few
academic studies published relating to the consumer
behaviour (Venard, 1996; Speece and Huong, 2002;
Cadilhon et al., 2006; Maruyama and Trung,
2007a, b). The number of academic studies relating
to the typical characteristic of the high-shopping
frequency of consumers in Vietnam is very limited.
The major purpose of this study is, therefore, to
provide a basic model to analyse characteristics
and provide a measurement approach based on
quantitative consumer survey data from Hanoi,
Vietnam using the binary choice Probit model for
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explanation posited by Salop and Stiglitz (1982) using
data from a sample of 1000 households of the US
population. Their empirical result shows that consumers with higher storage costs shop more often
and purchase smaller quantities per visit. However,
our article formulates and derives the optimal of
shopping frequency based on the minimization of
shopping cost and then investigates the validity of the
model using Hanoi consumer survey data. This is an
important difference in our analysis compared to
previous studies. The rest of this article is organized
as follows: Section II describes the shopping environment in Vietnam. Section III presents a theoretical
model. Section IV details the methodology for the
study. Section V summarizes the empirical results.
We conclude our study in Section VI.
cq fq
2x 2x
413
intensively over 1 month from 1 March 2006 to
1 April 2006. We sent out questionnaires to 2000
Hanoi consumers. A total of 570 questionnaires were
returned and after eliminating incompleted questionnaires, the remaining 413 questionnaires were used
for the sample. The sample survey is biased towards
females, who are most often responsible for shopping
activity in their families. With respect to fresh food
purchasing behaviour, the data shows that over 65%
of the respondents in our sample indicated that they
often shop for fresh food in the early morning (68
am, 53%) or in the afternoon (57 pm, 12.1%, the
time that fresh food is often replenished), the time the
freshness is highest as evaluated by the respondents.
With respect to the number of times per week
shoppers go to buy fresh food, the finding is that, a
majority of the respondents (60.2%) indicated that
they shop at least five or six times a week or everyday
or more. About 22% of the respondents indicated
that they shop three to four times per week. Only
7.5% of respondents indicated that they shop twice a
week and 10.4% of respondents indicated that they
shop less than twice.
In order to investigate the validity of the basic
model presented in Section III, we divided the
respondents into two sub-groups as mentioned
above: hard shoppers or high-frequency shoppers
buying fresh food at least five times a week and
soft shoppers or low-frequency shoppers buying
less than five times a week.1 The Probit model for
binary choice (high frequency, low frequency) was
selected for the empirical analysis that follows.
Binary choice for shopping frequency (number of
shopping occasions per week) for each consumer was
treated as an individual observation, Yi taking the
value 1 if a consumer was a hard shopper and 0 if a
consumer was a soft shopper. Explanatory variables
and the sample statistics included in the Probit
model are presented in Table 1. We estimated the
contribution of each of explanatory variables to
overall goodness of the binomial Probit model. Thus,
y is modelled directly as the dependent variable in a
model incorporating the function specification of the
form:
PYi 1 Gx
where G is the standard normal cumulative distribution function, x is the full set of explanatory variables
that are expected to influence each choice and is set
of parameters to be estimated by maximum likelihood estimation (Maddala, 1997).
We classified these consumers into two groups on the basis of discussions with some experienced Vietnamese consumers.
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Table 1. Variable definition and sample statistics
Variable
FRESH
DISTANCE
REFRI
SEX
CHILD
AGE
INCOME
FAMILY
Definition
a
Mean
SD
4.29
1.04
1.98
0.90
0.92
0.26
0.15
0.40
0.36
0.49
1.74
0.80
1.73
0.75
3.89
0.75
Note: aNot important at all 1, not really important 2, important 3, quite important 4, very important 5.
Coefficient
FRESH
DISTANCE
REFRI
SEX
CHILD
AGE
INCOME
FAMILY
CONSTANT
Log likelihood
Number of observations
LR 2 (7)
Prob > 2
Pseudo R2
Percent correctly predicted
0.18***
0.30***
0.28
0.74***
0.39***
0.18**
0.07
0.05
0.13
244.11
413
66.7
0.0000
0.12
83.94
Marginal
probability
0.07
0.11
0.10
0.29
0.15
0.07
0.03
0.02
V. Empirical Results
The coefficients of the Probit model were estimated
using Stata (V9.0) and the results are reported in
Table 2. The Chi-square test statistic, pseudo R2 and
percent correctly predicted showed the model is
significant.
Positive and significant coefficients for FRESH
imply that it is highly probable that consumer
shopping frequency will be higher if he/she rates
freshness at a high level of importance. CHILD was
significantly positive, with relatively large marginal
2
effect (equal to 15.75%) suggesting that the respondents who have children under 6-years-old in their
family would likely go to buy fresh food more
frequently. This is intuitively true since respondents
who have children less than 6-years-old in their
family tend to be more interested in freshness,
perceiving more freshness as being more delicious
and nutritious and safer for the growth of their
children so that they would go shopping more
frequently. AGE had a significantly positive effect,
suggesting that older respondents would likely go
more frequently. A negative and significant coefficient for DISTANCE implies that lower the distance
(more convenience), higher the shopping frequency
for fresh food. It is interesting to note that the
marginal effect of DISTANCE (equal to 11%) is
much larger than that of FRESH (equal to 7%),
suggesting that DISTANCE is likely to play a more
important role in shaping consumer daily shopping
habits than FRESH. Negative and significant coefficient for SEX implies that female consumers would
be more likely to shop more often than male
consumers. Impressively, REFRI, INCOME and
FAMILY did not have a significant effect in shaping
consumer shopping frequency. Intuitively, Hanoi
consumers in our study did not consider refrigerated
fresh produce (such as meat, fish, or vegetables)
with freshness. On the contrary, they reasoned that if
the product was cold when they touch it, this meant
that the food had been in a refrigerator and thus
it had been stored for some period of time.
Accordingly, products stored in refrigerators were
not considered fresh by Hanoi consumers.2
This intuitive explanation was derived from the interviews with Vietnamese consumers.
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