Professional Documents
Culture Documents
If the demand for the dollar in India is more than its supply, the dollar appreciates and the rupee depreciates. Demand for
dollars may be created by importers requiring more dollars to pay for their imports or by Foreign Insitutional Investors (FIIs)
withdrawing their investments and taking the dollars outside India, thus creating a shortage of dollar supply, which, in turn, can
also
increase
the
demand
for
the
dollar.
Similarly, when the supply of dollars in India increases with respect to its demand, the value of the dollar decreases in terms of
rupees. Supply can be created by exporters bringing in more dollars from their revenues or FIIs bringing more dollars in India to
spur their investments.
Price of crude
The price of crude puts tremendous stress on the Indian Rupee. India has to import a bulk of her oil requirements to satisfy local
demand, which is rising year-on-year. Globally, the price of oil is quoted in dollars. Therefore, as the domestic demand for oil
increases or the price of oil increases in the international market, the demand for dollars also increases to pay our suppliers from
whom we import oil. This increase in demand for the dollar (see earlier point) weakens the rupee further.
The central banks of Eurozone and Japan are printing excessive money due to which their currency is devalued. On the other
hand, the US Federal Reserve has shown signs to end their stimulus making the dollar stronger against the other currencies
including the Indian rupee, at least in the short term.
Our equity market has been volatile for some time now. So, the FIIs are in a dilemma whether to invest in India or not. Even
though they have brought in record inflows to the country in this year, if they pull out, it will result in a decrease of inflow of
dollars into the country. Therefore, the decrease in supply and increase in demand of dollars results in the weakening of the
rupee against the dollar.
Business Today reported today that overseas investors pulled out a record Rs 44,162 crore (over $7.5 billion) from the Indian
capital market in June 2013. The widening current account deficit and the depreciating rupee are definitely cause for concern. A
weaker rupee further erodes the returns earned by the foreign investors in the Indian market. FIIs have turned net sellers of
debt securities here for the first time in 13 months. Again, the June sell-off is attributed to the weakness in the Indian currency
as the rising cost of hedging a volatile rupee hurts the yield differential that FIIs work with.
Mahesh Patil, Co-CIO, Birla Sun Life Mutual Fund, in a recent interview with Economic Times stated that the main reason for
the decline of the rupee is the appreciation in the dollar. The latter has been rising since fear of the Federal Reserve tapering its
quantitative easing (QE) has hit all asset classes. The currencies of all emerging markets, such as Indonesia, Thailand, Brazil and
India have depreciated. Similarly, as in other countries, the Indian bond market has also seen withdrawals by FIIs. With a risk-off
environment setting in globally, there have been redemptions from global exchange-traded funds (ETFs). This has led to selling
by FIIs in the Indian equity market, compounding the rupee's woes.
There are several factors. But the recent bout of weakness is fuelled by the prospect of the unwinding of the bond purchase programme of the US
Federal Reserve. The US Fed had been printing money to bolster its economy . Now that there are signs of some strength in the US economy, it may
2
start winding down the programme of adding more money into the system.
A possible winding down of the asset purchase programme of the US Fed and improvement in the health of the US economy will strengthen the US
dollar. Investors will withdraw investments from emerging markets such as India in the short term and chase assets in the US, since assets in a
strengthening US economy are seen as attractive. The outflow of money from emerging markets may lead to currency weakness. Concerns over the
pace of economic reforms , the health of the domestic economy and a yawning trade deficit are also impacting the rupee.
Balance of Payment
2.
3
o
3.
4.
5.
1. Balance of Trade
3.Cash Transfers
Part #1: Balance of trade
Since we are talking about Indias Current account, whatever money is incoming we take it as positive (+) and whatever money is outgoing, we take
it as Negative (-). For 2010-11
Export
+299284
Import
-381061
Total
-81777
We got a negative number, therefore India has a trade DEFICIT of 81777 million US$ for year 2010-11. Call this figure (1)
If we had got a positive number, we could say India had trade SURPLUS
Unfortunately, we can never have Surplus because every-year weve to import crude oil and gold worth billions of dollar and that
disturbs the wholebalance.
Rajiv Gandhi Equity saving scheme was an initiative of Pranab, to make Indians reduce gold-purchase and use that money to invest in
capital market. But so far it seems to be heading for #EPICFAIL. Reason: Target audience doesnt have PAN cards and Demat accounts.
Note: For the sake of simplicity, Ive added + and in front of incoming and outgoing money and did the total. But technically it is called
net difference between exports and imports.
Part #2: Earning on Investment
Foreigners invest their money in India (both FDI and FII), similarly Indians invest their money abroad.
But the amount of income or interest earned on ^above investment, is put under Current account
For example, An FII invests $100 on 8% Bond, therefore earns $8 in interest after one year. The $100 are classified in Capital account
and $8 are classified in Current Account.
Take the difference of incoming and outgoing Earning on Investment for 2010-11 it was -17309 Million US$..call this figure (2)
Question: why was it negative? Because more Foreigners invest in India compared to Indians investing abroad. (we do invest abroad but
in Swiss bank accounts only :P). Besides even if an Indian had invested in American or European market, hed not have recieved much
income from the investment because of the global financial crisis during that period.
Part #3: Cash Transfer
The money transferred without exchanging any goods or services. For example an Indian worker sending money from Dubai to his family
in Kerala(Remittances)
Some American nuclear powerplant company using a charity foundation to send donations to Jholachhap NGOs of India, to help them
finance the protests, dharnaa pradarshan against Russian nuclear powerplants in India = that is also one type of service offered by
Indian NGOs but still Donations fall under Cash transfers and not under the Goods and services
Again take difference of incoming and outgoing money: thankfully this number was positive for 2010-11: it was +53140 Million US$.call
this figure (3)
Why was it positive? Because so many Indian people work abroad and send money to their families, that remittance is soooo high, that it
skews to balance in positive direction
Besides there are very few foreigners working in Indian and remitting money back home. One of them was that Italian tourist-agent in
Orrisa but he was kidnapped by naxalites and went back to Italy so that is one less foreigner remitting money from India to abroad = next
year the cash-transfer of India will look even more positive!
Current Account Deficit
2010-11
Worth US Million $
Balance of Trade
-81777
Earning on Investment
-17309
Cash Transfer
53140
Total
-45946
Since we got a negative number, we call this Current Account Deficit (CAD): worth
45946 million US dollars.
1 billion = 100 million
10 lakh = 1 million
1 billion = 100 crores = 100 x 100 lakhs = 1000 x 10 lakh = 1000 million
1 billion = 1000 million
Hence, 1 Million = 1/1000 Billion
45946 million
= 45946 x (1/1000) billion
=45.9 billion $
Note: youll get different number on different website and sources based on their data-sources. But 2010-11s CAD was somewhere between 45-55
billion $.
Although absolute number by itself is not important for exams. Economy is not about absolute numbers but context of those numbers.
The Invisibles
6
Theoretically, the CAD is calculated using above three figures: BoT + EI + CT
But in real life, many countries, including India uses a slightly modified method of CAD calculation.
Under the Current Account subheads, they classify money according to visibility of products.
Visible = import and exports of Goods (gems, petroleum, textiles etc)
Invisible involves
Import and export of services (softwares, call centre, tourism, softwares, insurance etc.)
^These three are classified under invisible because you dont see any physical goods/products moving around during the transaction.
So, take the balance (net difference) of visible
and take the balance (net difference) of invisibles.
Add them up and you get CAD.
Implications of Current Account Deficit
As long as India continues to import to crude oil and gold, we cannot have Current account Surplus
That means we are doomed to have current account deficit for the years to come. So Think about following questions:
Ofcourse one solution is: ask the Naxalites to kidnap more and more foreign workers to decrease the outbound remittances! Thatd also
reduce the foreign investment coming into those naxal-affected regions = less outgoing money in Earning from Investment = Current
Account Deficit reduced! But is it good for the overall Indian economy? Think about it!
[Economy] Fiscal Consolidation, Fiscal Deficit : Meaning, Implications, Explained Why Vijay Kelkar Committee was formed?
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Creates inflation
2.
Black Money
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
Interest Payment
9.
7
6.
7.
Mock Questions
Kelka
r
Sir, the expert reports suggest that fiscal deficit will be around 6 percent for 2012-13. This is very dangerous; you
need do fiscal consolidation immediately!
Moha
n
Kelka
r
What? youre an economist and yet you dont know what is fiscal deficit?
Moha
n
Well I was an economist. But I didnt maintain notes and I did not revise the standard reference books either, so Im
unable to recall the concepts right now, just like a no0b player of UPSC.
Kelka
r
Well fiscal deficit (FD) = Budgetary Deficit + Market borrowing + other liabilities of Government
Moha
n
Kelka
r
Ok then let us start from the beginning.Every year, the Government puts out a plan for its income
and expenditure for the coming year. This is, called annual Union Budget and you need to get it approved by the
parliament.
Moha
n
Kelka
r
Moha
n
Incoming money
Outgoing Money
8
Incoming money is divided into two parts. Tax and Non Tax
And outgoing money is divided into Plan and Non plan Expenditure.
Incoming
Tax
Outgoing
Non Tax
Plan
Non Plan
Kelkar: We can further refine this classification into Revenue/capital receipts and Expenditure.
But let us not complicate the matter for the time being.
Mohan: Now What is this incoming money from tax and non tax sources?
Kelkar: see the table yourself for the examples.
Incoming money
Outgoing
Tax Revenue
Pla
n
1.
income tax
2.
Corporate tax;
3.
Wealth tax
4.
Non
Plan
Indirect Tax
1.
custom duty,
2.
excise duty,
3.
service tax.
4.
VAT
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Incoming
Tax Revenue
Outgoing
Plan Expenditure
Non Plan
9
Direct Tax
Indirect Tax
1.
2.
1.
income tax
2.
Corporate tax;
3.
Wealth tax
4.
Capital gain
tax (Vodafone
case)
1.
2.
3.
4.
custom
duty,
excise
duty,
3.
service
tax.
4.
VAT
5.
Fees
Collected
(Driving
license, RTI,
Passport)
Fines and
Penalties
(Traffic
violation etc)
Income from
PSU (e.g.
profit from
Airindia (lolz)
Gifts.
(discussed in
2ndARC
article)
1.
MNGREA
2.
Janani
Suraksha
Yojana
3.
JNNURM
4.
Indira Awas
Yojana
1.
Salary of judges,
bureaucrats and
armymen
2.
3.
Subsidies: Petrol,
Kerosene etc.
4.
Light bills of
Government
offices.
5.
Grants
(Foreign Aid
from UN,
Japan etc)
When
It is called a
deficit budget.
surplus budget.
balanced budget.
10
This pothole cannot be filled with cement, asphalt or dirt. It can only be filled with cash.
In the 1980s, Sukhmoy Chrokroborthy Committee came up with the fiscal deficit formula
Fiscal deficit=
1.
2.
3.
11
Bigger the pothole, more cash you need to fill it up.
Here is some food for thought. Incoming Outgoing Breakup for USA budget 2011. Click on Image to Enlarge.
Moha
n
then simply borrow money and fill up the pothole! What is the problem?
Kelka
r
problem is Paisaa Ped pe toh nahi lagtaa (Money doesnt grow on trees). When you borrow money, youve to pay
interest () to the party, every year.To pay this interest in the future, youve three options.first option =Increase the current taxes or create
new taxes.
Moha
n
Kelka
r
alright, Second option =Create policies to help stimulate economic growth so that tax collection automatically
increases with it, like FDI in aviation, power sector, retail, insurance and so on.
Moha
n
Kelka
r
Then Third option : Print more currency and use it to fill up the pothole. This is called debt monetization.
Moha
n
Kelka
r
Actually thats the stupidest of all three solutions. Let me explain with the usual example.
12
Suppose, Government orders RBI to print lots of cash to solve poverty.
Then Government launches Rajiv Gandhi Suitcase yojana (RGSY) under which every BPL family is given a suitcase containing Rs.10 lakh.
What will happen then?
Theyll all go and buy lots of onion,milk,mobile, cars, houses everything.
=Demand of product will increase, but the supply will remain almost the same as earlier.
So, there will be one customer offering Rs.400 per kilo of onion, then another guy would offer Rs.500 per kilo of onion=inflation =not good.
On the other hand, Suppose your boss pays you 10 lakh per year, but that means he definitely extracts work worth more than 10 lakhs from you
and sells some goods/services to a third client. Thats why giving you 10 lakhs doesnt increase inflation. (because some other client is buying the
services you had produced).
but giving 10 lakh to a poor without making him economically productive = increases inflation.
Hence printing money to solve problems= not good idea.
Here is another example: Suppose that there is only one commodity that everyone needs to buy in order to live a good life say
wheat.
Also, assume that our country produces 10,000 quintals of wheat every year.
There are a total of 25,000 people in the country who spend Rs. 400 each per year to buy wheat.
Since this Rs. 1 crore is spent to purchase ten thousand quintals of wheat, the cost of wheat is Rs. 1,000 per quintal.
Now suppose that to repay some of its debt, the Government decides to print some new currency notes. Say the Government prints
new notes worth Rs. 10 lacs.
This means the amount of money available to spend increases from Rs. 1 crore to Rs. 1.1 crores.
Since the amount of wheat produced hasnt increased, each tonne of wheat now costs Rs. 1,100, a 10% increase! (1.1 crores
paid for ten thousand quintals = Rs. 1,100 per quintal).
Inflation acts like an invisible tax on all the people of a country. (recall the first option increasing tax was not a good option.)
13
When fiscal deficit = NOT BAD?
If the money that the Government had borrowed was used to increase the amount of wheat production, then the inflation could have
been avoided. (for example borrowing money to create new canal or irrigation project)
If Such irrigation project led to an increase in wheat production from 10,000 quintals to 11,000 quintals.
In that case, even with an increase of money to 1.1 crores, the cost of wheat would remain steady at Rs. 1,000 per quintal.
Clearly then, it was a good thing that the Government borrowed money to implement this program.
It can mean that the Government is spending money on unproductive programmes which do not increase economic productivity. (For
example MNREGA, most of the money is eaten midway by the Sarpanch and Local officers.) =Bad
Now these rich Sarpanch and Local officers buy more gold, land and cars= demand increased but other normal people dont have that
much money = inflation. (demand pull type).
Black Money
Fiscal deficit= crudely speaking when incoming money is less and outgoing money is more. So, incoming money is less = tax collection
machinery is not effective = perhaps lot of people are evading the taxes = black money =inflation (demand pull type) = Very bad.
In extreme conditions, inflation can give way to hyperinflation that can completely destroy a country. =very bad.
Bond Yield increased
From Eurozone Greece Exit article, You already know what is bond yield. If notclick me
When Government keeps borrowing and borrowing to fill up the fiscal deficit pothole, then bond yield will increase = not good because more and
more of taxpayers money (i.e. Government s incoming money) will go in repaying that bond interest rate rather than going into education or
healthcare.
Crowding out investment
We already saw that, Fiscal deficit pothole can only be filled with cash. This cash has to be borrowed from RBI, other banks, FII etc. who buy the
Government bonds.
So, that much money (Credit/loan) is not available for other needy businessman.
thus fiscal deficit Crowds outinvestment from private sector. Now that needy businessman will have to borrow money at higher interest from
another party (this is how fiscal deficit increases interest rates)= input cost of product increased = he will increase the MRP of his product or
service to maintain the same profit margin = inflation. (cost-push type)
14
This hypothesis says that as the fiscal deficit of the country goes up its trade deficit (i.e. the difference between exports and imports) also
goes up.
Hence, when a government of a country spends more than what it earns, the country also ends up importing more than exporting.
In India, the trade deficit story is basically about oil and gold two commodities that the country does not produce much but imports a hell
of a lot.
Current Account Deficit (CAD)
When India imports more than it exports = leads to Current Account Deficit. (we already discussed it earlier, click ME)
CAD is another pothole but it can be filled only with foreign currency (mostly dollars!)
This increases the demand of dollars in Forex Market = rupee weakens against dollar= price of petrol will increase= again inflation= bad.
Subsidy Burden = fiscal deficit increased
the government of India does not pass on a major part of the increase in the price of oil to the end consumer and thus subsidises diesel,
LPG and kerosene .
So oil companies sell at a loss, and the government compensates these companies for the loss (by giving them bonds).
This increases government expenditure, which, in turn, increases the fiscal deficit.
Interest Payment
In this financial year alone (2012-13), the government will pay more than 4 lakh crore just as interest payment on debt taken earlier! = more
imbalance between incoming and outgoing money.
The vicious circle: Trade to Fiscal deficit
Thus, in Indias case, a greater trade deficit also leads to a greater fiscal deficit. So the causality in Indias case is both ways.
15
And this, in turn, also leads to a weaker rupee, which, in turn, pushes up the cost of oil in rupee terms leading to a higher fiscal deficit.
Now in the opening lines, Kelkar said Fiscal deficit would be around 6%. What does that mean?
There are two ways to express Fiscal Deficit.
1.
2.
In newspapers and economic discussions, the Fiscal is usually expressed in second form (percentage).
Well, to understand the gravity of the situation, youve to compare the percentage with other percentages.
1.
2.
3.
Greeces Fiscal deficit was more than 10% of its GDP and look how much trouble it is facing. (recall Eurozone Article)
Therefore, we must not only pay attention to the fiscal deficit, we must also try and understand the different areas of Government
spending.
Is the Government borrowing money to spend on programmes that lead to increased economic productivity or is it spending on
unproductive programs?
Remember, even directly giving money (or amenities) to BPL, without making them more economically productive = dangerous because
of the various reasons seen above.
Fiscal Consolidation: What is it?
ok so far I understood
Moha
n
1.
2.
Kelka
r
Fiscal consolidation means doing everything to fix the fiscal deficit problem in its root and preventing heavy fiscal
deficits situation from occurring in future.
Moha
n
Kelka
r
Just try to reduce the outgoing money and increase the incoming money. (Look at that plan-non plan table again.)That
means
1.
2.
16
3.
4.
5.
Recover blackmoney
Moha
n
hmm that itself sounds like a problem. I think I should make another Committee (so that I dont have to implement its
6. stop ministers from using Business class airtickets and other wasteful Government expenditures. (= take
recommendations). Let me check my phonebook for retired judges.
Kelka
r
Sir this is the matter of economy not railway accidents. It requires an expert on economy.
Moha
n
Kelka
r
but Media wont like his recommendations. (Everyone who earns more than Rs.20 is not a BPL and he should pay 10%
income tax.)
Moha
n
Kelka
r
But Madam-ji wouldnt like his recommendations. (hand over Finance Ministry to Fidel Castro)
Moha
n
Kelka
r
Moha
n
Alright, tomorrow morning you goto the finance Minister along with your class 10,12,college marksheets, extracurricular activity certificates and job experience certificates (if any) and get the appointment letter from him.
What???
Kelka
r
and now youre asking the Vijay Kelkar to submit his class 10-12 marksheets and extra curricular activity certificates?
Moha
n
Chillx. I was joking. You may go now. If I need any more help, Ill give you a miss call.
Kelka
r
17
Moha
n
No, Im serious! Miss call= Government expenditure on phone bills reduced= fiscal consolidation.
Kelka
r
Then Vijay Kelkar set out for a journey to prepare a roadmap for fiscal consolidation.
In September 2012, He submitted his report to the Government.
Well see the recommendations of Kelkar Committee in future article. (To Be continued.)
Mock Questions
Which of the following statements are correct?
1.
2.
3.
4.
Kelkar Committee was created to suggest the roadmap for implementation of Direct Tax Code.
5.
High and persistent Fiscal Deficit is a sign of healthy and growing economy.
6.
7.
Fiscal consolidation means the steps taken by Government to increase its shareholding in PSUs.
8.
1.
2.
Observations of Kelkar
2.
3.
4.
Data Mining
18
What is Externality?
Negative externality
Positive externality
E-Governance in CBEC
Reduce Subsidies
Fiscal deficit =When outgoing money is more than incoming money, a pothole is created. This pothole is known as Fiscal deficit and it is
not good for the economy.
2.
Fiscal consolidation = steps to be taken for preventing (or reducing) fiscal deficit pothole.
heighten inflation.
2.
reduce room for monetary policy stimulus (=steps taken by RBI to direct economy)
3.
4.
millions of young, both skilled and unskilled, enter the labour force each year, hence inflation and unemployment can be
politically destabilizing for the Government.
If Government takes no step, then with a do-nothing approach, the fiscal deficit will be more than 6 per cent of GDP in the current year
2012-13, and such situation could lead the country to a 1991-like crisis.
So obviously, for fiscal consolidation, well need to increase the incoming money and reduce the outgoing money. Now, let us check some of the
important recommendations of this Kelkar Committee.
19
Recall that fiscal deficit = Governments incoming money is less than its outgoing money.
There are two types of taxes: Direct and Indirect. Kelkar has given recommendations to increase the collection of both Direct and indirect taxes, in
following manner.
How to increase collection of Direct Taxes?
Review DTC bill
If Direct Taxes Code Bill, 2010 is implemented in its present form then there will be considerable tax losses to the Income Tax department.
20
Data Mining
Since 2004, the Income Tax Department has been electronically obtaining a large volume of information from third-parties through the Tax
Information Network (TIN).
(but) there is a growing perception that the Income Tax Department is unable to harness this large volume of information, because it lacks
data mining skills.
(Therefore) Taxpayers have found new methods and avenues for parking their undisclosed income to escape detection by Income Tax
dept.
Thats why Income tax department should provide training in data-mining for all directly recruited inspectors and Assistant
Commissioners, with the help of Big IT companies.
PAN/UID Card Mandatory
What is PAN, why is It used- all discussed in earlier articles. But still here is the brief recap:
PAN card is issued by the Income Tax Department. It does not change with changes in address or place.
This an example but dont be surprized, anyone can get PAN card. (=You dont have to be Indian Citizen)
UID (Aadhar) is also similar- a unique 12 digit number, issued by Unique Identification Authority of India (UIDAI) to all the residents of
India. Please note: there is difference between resident and citizen. Some people oppose Aadhar on this ground. (That illegal
Bangladesis might also get it, if theyve the proof of residence).
Please check this chart uploaded on official UID site. Extremely important for MCQs.
21
It also doesnot change with address or place. So if you got your PAN/UID while you were in college of Delhi but then shifted to Banglore,
your PAN/UID numbers wouldnot change. This helps in tracking down tax evaders.
Kelkar says amend the laws so that Irrespective of amount of money transected, PAN / UID number must be quoted in bank accounts,
fixed deposits with banks, all salary payments and sale of immoveable property.
This will also help detecting tax frauds and reduce black money.
Create fake Orkut profiles
Income Tax dept should create a 360 degree orkut profile of all taxpayers.
Online verification of PAN could be made mandatory for all high value transactions, in order to reduce black money transactions.
Thus, if Government takes above steps then direct tax collection would increase.
Charge interest rate on tax defaulters
22
Hasan Ali is Indias largest tax defaulter with dues allegedly over Rs 50,000 crore (Rs 500 billion)
If a company or individual doesnt pay his taxes on time, then Government should charge 22-24% interest rate on his pending tax
payments.
Kelkar says Mohan should reform Union Excise Duties (UED) and Service Tax (ST) so that they can be smoothly intergrated into
upcoming Goods and Services Tax.
Increase the coverage of service tax
At present, many activities are outside the service tax regime, for example Department of Post, renting houses, Funeral services
etc.etc.etc.
Negative list= It is a list prepared by Government. It contains the names of services, which are exempted from Service tax. You can
download the entire list by clicking me
Kelkar says, this Negative list should be pruned (=trimmed, cut-down, shortened, condensed). That means, give exemption to very few
activities.
For example:
Government had given exemption to the Railways from service tax payment for transportation of goods and passengers (of higher class)
upto 30.09.2012
Kelkar says, the Railways should no longer be exempted from service tax after that date.
Implement Goods and Services Tax (GST)
Kelkar agrees that it is difficult to implement GST from from 1st April, 2013 (because many states are opposed to it)
But Government should atleast try to pass the Constitutional Amendment relating to introduction of GST, in the Winter Session of the
Parliament.
This would send out very strong signal to trade and industry about Governments serious intent to move forward on this issue.
Once the GST is implemented, it will automatically increase the industrial output, exports and (thus) the tax revenues.
23
6% Excise duty on Merit goods only
Excise duty is collected by Union Government, on the goods manufactured or produced in India.
Whats the difference between Custom and Excise duty?
Customs duty= charged on goods imported into India as well as on goods exported from India.
Please note: Excise on alcoholic liquors, opium and narcotics falls under the domain of State Government. Why? Because Seventh
Schedule of the Constitution says so.
Anyways back to business. We were talking about Kelkars recommendations on Excise duties.
Government of India charges excise duties on various goods produced in India.
For example
Kelkar says review the list of goods under 6% excise duty. Only Merit Goods should have Union Excise Duty of 6%. And for the other items, collect
8% excise duty.
24
What are merit goods?
Merit goods are products, such as education, library, museum, vaccination which consumers may undervalue but which the government
believes are good for consumers as they exhibit positive externalities.
ok now what is Positive externalities? I think we discussed that in earlier articles, but again
What is Externality?
Externality = When two party do some business, externality is experienced by the unrelated third parties that are not involved in that
business.
Negative externality
I take admission in some pharmacy college. (ME and college are buyer and seller of education). But the college is bogus and doesnt
teach anything meaningful. Then third party (Pharma industry) also suffers negatively, because the drug-company that gives me job in
future will run less efficiently because Im not very skilled pharmacist! (this is an example of Negative Externality)
Positive externality
IF all kids are given policy vaccine by Government, then then Indias future workforce will be healthier and fitter =third party (Industries)
will also benefit.
E-Governance in CBEC
Kelkar observed that under the Kerala VAT regime, the dealer must electronically provide invoice-wise details of all sales to, and
purchases from, registered dealers.
Central Board of Excise and Customs (CBEC) should also develop a similar computerized system for comprehensive cross-verifications.
These are (not all but) main recommendations of Kelkar on how to increase collection of direct and indirect taxes = incoming money will increase.
He also suggested some more ways to increase incoming money.
Disinvest from PSUs
You already know about Debt vs Equity, Shares vs Bonds If not click me
Disinvestment (in crude terms) = when Government sells its shares from a PSU.
The Budget 2012 wants Government to collect Rs.30,000 crores via Disinvestment. (This money would go in National Investment Fund
under Ministry of Finace. And later on this money would be used to finance bogus Government schemes and to revise other PSUs, if
theyre capable of making profits)
Kelkar says, Government should sell minority stakes in entities such as SUUTI , Hindustan Zinc and Balco etc. This way, it can easily
get the required 30k crores.
But Kelkar has different views about what to do with this money! He says, The money thus collected, through the disinvestment process
should be deployed in infrastructure= growth and employment.
Using this money, Government could move into the sectors where private players would be hesitant to play a role. These include areas
such as garbage clearing, public health, cleaning of rivers, recharging of groundwater, urban mobility and so on.
Dividend from PSUs
You already know about shares and dividend. If not, then go through the same debt vs equity article.
25
1.
2.
3.
To reduce fiscal deficit, we need to increase incoming money and decrease outgoing money.
4.
We saw how to increase the incoming money (direct+indirect tax, PSU dividend and sell land)
Kelkar says increase the prices of diesel, petrol, keroscene, LPG and Urea etc. (Actually he says Government should reduce the
subsidies on each of them, in phased manner = price will increase automatically!)
Kelkar also clarifies that he doesnt want complete elimination of subsidies. He says we shouldnt eliminate subsidies. Food subsidy is
defensible. For undernourished children or lactating mothers food subsidy is not only defensible, it is ethically right and morally correct
Subsidy must be continued for kerosene as long as it is affordable (for the government)
For example, LPG subsidies do not go to our people who fall in the low income bracket, therefore LPG subsidies should be removed.
With a drastic cut in subsidies, a bigger part of the resultant savings should be channelized towards programmes that lead to creating
new job opportunities.
Kelkar agrees that Yes, reduction in (petrol, diesel, kerosene, urea) subsidies could lead to some short-term pain (=inflation ) but the
government should spend more on employment generation, which would lead to higher growth and benefit everyone.
If Kelkar report is implemented then Diesel price will increase by around Rs.6/lit and LPG price by Rs 87 per cylinder.
Change focus of Government schemes
Kelkar suggess that all Government schemes/Programmes for the poor should be centred around employment generation.(rather than populist
schemes aimed at free electricity, TV Fridge etc.)
These are the major recommendations of Kelkar Committee. This is what Kelkar said
Now let us check what Government said on his report?
Chindu: Im going to hold consolations with various stockholders and then decide the future course of action (about whether should we implement
his report or throw it in dustbin). And In a developing country where a significant proportion of the population is poor, a certain level of subsidies is
necessary.
Mock questions for CSE, RBI etc.
MCQs
Which of the following, is/are not recommend by Kelkar Committee on fiscal consolidation
1.
Government should sell unused land owned by various ministries, if it is not generating any Revenue.
2.
3.
4.
Government should exempt railways and non-profit organizations from service tax.
26
5.
Government should not implement Direct Tax Code in its present form.
6.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
2.
3.
1.
2.
3.
The presidential debate between Obama and Mitt Romney revolved around healthcare cuts, tax cuts and fiscal deficits. How are they
related with each other?
Economy] Fiscal Cliff: Meaning, Reasons, Implications on US and Indian Economy explained
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
27
Fiscal Cliff= new kid in the town. Before getting his introduction, lets meet his mom and dad.
Youve already met his dad, Fiscal Deficit. If not click me.
Now meet his mom, Subprime Crisis.
What was Subprime crisis?
Subprime crisis is also mother of all problems: LIBOR, Eurozone etc. (atleast partially).
1.
Youre running a bank/Non-Banking Financial company that gives loans, and Im basically a loser who doesnt have the aukaat (capacity)
to repay any loans.
2.
Yet, You (American Bank) give me loan of $20,000, And I give you paper saying if I dont pay back, you can take away my house. This is
mortgage.
3.
Wait a minute, if I dont have the capacity to repay the loan, then why the hell are you giving me a loan in the first place? Well, Two
reasons
i.
Banks decide Loan interest rate based on a persons creditworthiness. So in my case you can demand higher interest rate=good for you.
ii.
Youre also speculating that in future the real-estate prices will increase, so even if I cant repay the loan, you can attach my house and
sell it off to recover your loan.
Thus, its a win-win situation for you whether I pay back the loan or not, youre going to make good profit.
Like this, you gave $20,000 loans each to 5 unworthy people= your investment is 1 lakh dollars.
Now repack those mortgage papers (security) in a new file and make a new security paper anyone who gives me $1,50,000, Ill give him
mortgage papers of 5 houses = this is derivative product. (Because it derives its value from some other thing)
28
1
See? You are making profit of $50,000 and you dont even have to bother about EMI payments, interest rates anymore.
Suppose 3rd guy bought such derivative papers and after few months, he repacks them- makes another derivative product and sell it to
4th guy.
Such papers are one sort of asset (because you can get money by selling it to someone.)
but as you can see, in above cases, people are not creating any new asset, they just keep repacking and reselling same stuff over and
over to different people. So youre blowing an asset-bubble.
After few months, I, the bottom guy in food chain, refuse to pay loan-installments (EMIs), and I tell the 4th guy to take away my house
(mortgage).
Fourth guy takes away my home, but since banks gave loan to so many unworthy people, there is over-saturation or over-availability of
houses for sale in the real estate sector. So no one is ready to pay you even $5000 for that house. = This is toxic asset your asset
bubble is burst.
The banks, pension and insurance fund managers of Europe had also invested in this game. They also lost. So in that way, Subprime
crisis played a role in future Eurozone crisis. Click ME
A bank of London named Barclay also lost money in this game, that led to LIBOR crisis. Click ME
^This is just a crude explanation of what happened in sub-prime crisis. Otherwise the actual crisis was result of many layers of refined
and sophisticated loan and investment products interlinked with each other.
Anyways, the Sub Prime crisis had negative effect on every sector.
Stock market crashed, Companies started dismissing local staff (especially those banks and mortgage companies).
If parents were working in some private company, lost jobs or their salary was reduced= theyd not hire maids or babysitters anymore,
theyll buy less clothes and toys for their kids, theyll not goto some holiday resort during vacations. So indirectly many sectors get
affected.
More unemployment= less product demanded by those unemployed families=even more factories close down=even more
unemployment. Cycle goes on.
But why is it called Sub-prime crisis?
If a person has full capacity to repay loan, we call him prime. Therefore Im subprime because I did not have full capacity to repay the loan, my
credit rating was bad. Yet you gave me loan and ran into trouble= sub-prime crisis.
What was US-Governments response to Sub-prime crisis?
1.
US Government has things like Social Security, unemployment allowance, food stamps etc. to take care of those jobless families.
2.
President Obama started some federal construction projects (roads, bridges etc.) to create employment.
3.
4.
The Feds (RBI of USA), decreased its lending rates so other banks could borrow at almost 0% interest rate from the Central Bank and
then give cheap loans to needy people and businessmen.
5.
Gave income tax cuts to workers. So they can save at least $1000 from their salary or profit.
6.
Same way tax-benefits to private companies, If they invest money in research-development etc.
^President Obama took these steps to increase money in the hands of American people, so they can go out for shopping = demand of more
products and services= more employment could be created.
But of course, money doesnt fall from sky.
1.
Giving tax-cuts to workers and companies= incoming money reduced for the Government.
2.
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3.
+daily huge expenses for keeping army in Iraq and Afghanistan= outgoing money already high.
You already know when outgoing money is higher than incoming money = fiscal deficit.
Fiscal deficit is a big pothole in the road to countrys prosperity. This pothole can be filled with cash only. If this pothole keeps increasing in size then
itll lead to very bad effects on economy.
So, President Obama had planned some things in advance to increase incoming money and decrease outgoing money for the Government. These
plans are:
Most of the tax-cuts, tax-benefits given to people will be removed from 1stJanuary 2013.
For example, earlier the people were given tax-cuts if they adopted a child, invested money in childrens college education plans, or
businesshouses invested in research and Development etc. All that will expire from 1st January 2013, thus theyll have to pay higher
taxes.
Many of Government sponsored programs in space research, military research, lengthy unemployment allowances etc. will be either
paused, reduced or shut down from 2013. (More than 900 billion dollars saved at the end of 2013)
If things go in ^this way, US Government will earn 4 trillion dollars in next 10 years. Thatll cover up most of its huge fiscal deficits and past
mistakes. (i.e. buying toxic assets, money wasted on Iraq-Afghanistan and most importantly Pakistan).
Ok sounds well and good, but
What is fiscal Cliff?
American economy was going through bad phase due to sub-prime crisis.
So President Obama had to give stimulus to boost this economy (tax-cuts to companies, buying toxic assets from banks= examples of
fiscal-stimulus.)
Fiscal-Stimulus are similar to Steroids. If an athlete takes steroids, it will temporary improve his performance and take him towards the
peak performance.
But once you stop giving him steroids, his performance will suddenly decline. It will feel like falling off a cliff. Observe this graph:
30
Technically speaking
What is Fiscal Deficit?
1.
Fiscal cliff term refers to more than $500 billion in tax increases and across-the-board spending cuts scheduled to take effect after
1st January 2013.
2.
Many economists say these new taxes and spending cuts would be too much deficit reduction, too suddenly, for a weak economy. Itll
lead to an economic recession.
Why is Fiscal cliff bad for US Economy?
When people have to pay more taxes= less money in their hands = less money to spend on cinema and Christmas vacations= less
demand of products= not good for economy.
When Government reduces research in space, military programs = many people affected directly or indirectly. E.g. less funds for space
research = less demand for electronic instruments, metals, pen-pencil-rubber required in those programs.
Again, If parents were working in some Government-research program/ private company, lost jobs or their salary was reduced, theyd not
hire maids or babysitters anymore, theyll buy less clothes and toys for their kids, theyll not goto some holiday resort during vacations. So
indirectly many sectors get affected.
Middle class families of USA, will have to pay average $2000 more in taxes every year. And $2000 is a big amount given that many
people in USA dont earn more than $40,000 a year. So imagine the reduction in their purchasing power.
2.
Overall, American public will have to pay $500 billion more in taxes.
3.
^These numbers vary from site to site, if its a pro-Republican party newspaper or expert- theyd say 20 lakh American will become jobless, but
some other Pro-democratic party newspaper or analyst would say only 7 lakh will be jobless.
Anyways, The point is, American Households and businessmen are accustomed (used) to a certain way of spending and saving habits in
past four years and Obama plan will break that status quo = not good for economy, at least for the short term. Itll lead to a decline in
GDP.
31
If American consumers have less money = they buy less= not good for Indian exporters (especially polished diamonds).
2.
Many American companies outsource their research and development work to India, particularly pharmaceuticals (clinical trials of drugs),
software, engineering. If Obama removes the tax-benefits given to them (+consumer demand already down)= theyll either delay
payments, cancel or renegotiate the contracts given to the Indian companies.
3.
If American Corporate have to pay huge taxes @home, and consumer demand is already low, theyll try to concentrate more on India and
other emerging economies to get new customers (Retail, Aviation, Pension-insurance) = MoreFDI may come to India.
4.
Americans already burned their hands in share-market and real-estate, if this fiscal cliff leads to recession, theyll park their money
in GOLD = demand of gold increased= gold becomes even more expensive = bigger Current Account deficit for India (because we too
love gold) = Rupee weakens against dollar, because when we import gold, weve to pay in dollars= weve to pay more rupees to buy
same amount of crude oil = petrol price increase = inflation.
For the entire Archive of all my articles on [Economy], visit this page:Mrunal.org/economy
Ref
Googling here and there but especially thankful to Mr. Ken Wilson for his fiscal cliff graphs.
Economy Q] GDP at Factor cost and Market price (GDPFC & GDPMP), NNPFC,NNPMP
Continuing the previous article, GDP at Factor cost means, money value of everything produced in India, without counting Governments role in it.
i.e. indirect tax and subsidies.
Example#1: Subsidy
1 kg. Urea fertilizers original-price is 500 Rs.
When it reaches the local supplier, Government is giving 10% subsidy. So farmer purchases it @ (500-50)=Rs. 450
1.
2.
32
Box of 10 Blank DVDs =Rs.100 +10% VAT so final M.R.P.=Rs.110
1.
2.
How will you calculate GDPMP if GDPFC is given, & vice versa?
GDP@Market price=GDP@ Factor price+Government involvement
Now, Government involvement=+Indirect taxes-subsidies
So finally,
GDP@Market price=GDP@Factor cost+Indirect tax-subsidies
Or doing the reverse,
GDP@Factor cost=GDP@market price-Indirect tax+subsidies
Still doubt (like I always had about everything in college)? Following table should clarify it.
GDP @ Factor Cost and Market Price for same Urea and Blank DVDs
33
To be continued.. GDP @ Current Price and Constant Price, GDP deflator
[Economy Q] GDP DEFLATOR, REAL AND NOMINAL GDP
GDP mean money value of everything* produced inside India.
(*Everything means goods and services.)
100 kg. of onion produced in 2009, market price = 20 Rs/kg.
100 kg of onion produced in 2010, market price =70 Rs/kg (courtesy: Sharad Pawar)
So, Indias GDP has increased at the rate of 250% in a year! But the World bank and leading economists say we can hardly reach 9% GDP
increase rate per year. So what is this 250%??
Its nothing but inflation. Just because onion prices rose thanks to Governments faulty food policy or black marketers, doesnt mean that real-GDP
has increased and that our contry has prospered.
So how do we find real GDP for 2010, when prices of everything have increased due to inflation?
We need to compare 2010s production to some base year.
Lets pick 2003-04 as base year. So whatever price Onion had in that year, will be our base price.
IN 2003-04, average price of 1 kg onion was 30 Rs. A kilo.
2010s GDP= 1 kg onion price of base year (2003-04) *multiply* total onions produced in 2010
=30 x 100
=Rs. 3,000 is our real-GDP for 2010.
So Formula: Real GDP= Price of xyz item in base year x Quantity produced in current year.
GDP Deflator
Image: Formula
In our onion case
Nominal GDP in 2010= 70 Rs/kg x 100 kg=Rs. 7000
Real GDP as we calculated=3000.
So, GDP deflator= [7000/3000]x100= 233
What does it mean?
Here, GDP deflator is >greater than 100. That means there is inflation. (very very heavy inflation)
IF it was near to 100, thatd mean, there is no difference in real and nominal GDP hence there is no inflation in India.
Weve WPI and CPI to measure inflation, but they dont include each and every product and service available in India, while with GDP deflator, we
can get an inflation-picture of them too.
btw, DONOT CONFUSE ABSOLUTE GDP NUMBER WITH PERCENTAGE RISE.
Newspaper: Montek Singh said weve got 8% GDP in 2010
That doesnt mean Indias GDP is 8%. It only means whatever was our GDP in 2009, weve increased it by 8%.
IF India produced goods and services worth 100 billion $ in 2009, then in 2010 weve produced goods n services worth 108 billion $. Thats why
GDP rose by 8%.
Now back in our onion example,
2009s real GDP=3000
2010s real GDP=3000
So real-GDP has rose by 0% in two years.
[Economy] Inflation: Demand Pull Theory- Meaning, Causes
Republishing an old article, after it got deleted in a technical glitch.
1.
2.
3.
Im republishing two old artices on inflation, because they went missing after I upgraded the website.
Inflation is as we all know, is the general rise in the price of goods and services. But why does inflation happen?
There are two major causes / theories behind Inflation
34
Crux: When people have truckload of cash in their hand. But there are not truckloads of goods in the market.
Government of India initiates a (bogus) scheme called MNREGA, total 40,000 crore rupees are sent from Delhi every year and we all
know that most of the money is eaten by the Ministers and government officials before it reaches to the poor people. Now this minister
has truckload of blackmoney in his hands and worried about how to invest it somewhere?
What is black money?
I run a medical store very honestly, earning 10 lakhs a year but on paper show only 2 lakhs of profit, to save myself higher income tax
payment. So this 10 minus 2 = 8 lakh rupees on which income tax is not paid = black money.
You purchase a home for 10 lakhs from a builder, but to save the stamp-duty payment, you give 2 lakhs as cheque, rest payment in cash
without any bills. That 10 minus 2= 8 lakh rupees on which stamp-duty is not paid =black money.
35
What should the minister do with his black money?
Deposit in his bank account? No, he cannot, because he'll get caught because income tax department keeps an eye on this. He will be
booked for disproportionate assets case just like Mulayam, Mayawati and Jaya Lalitha.
Should he Invest in the share market? No, he can't do this either, because he has to give his PAN card number for every purchase and
sale of shares, and the income tax department keeps a close eye on this activity.
Deposit in the Swiss bank account but he is feeling insecure about it, given the current activism by media, civil society and judiciary.
or Purchase land, shopping-mall, farmhouse or other real estate: under Benami Transection
what is Benami Transection?
In crude terms, when you purchase the land, property, car with your money but it is purchased in the name of your relative, friend,
daughter-in-law, driver, peon any even a person that isnt born yet or died a long time ago.
So our beloved Minister purchases quite a few buildings, with the speculation that in future the price of these buildings will increase. (After
all, there is no end to greed, he already made the cash, but still he would want to make more money out of his money.)
Now we know that the land, or gold or the number of buildings that can be constructed on a land are in finite amount.
So when normal people like you or me go to purchase an apartment, the builder will demand more money because there is same supply
of apartments in the market but more people waiting in the line to purchase a home. What happened? Supply same, but demand
increased = price rise.
Same way, the minister would also invest part of his black money in gold and silver, thus increasing their prices also.
Moneylenders
Minister will also invest some of his money with the moneylenders who circulate it as loan @36% interest rate to the needy people.
#1: the urban middle-class men who suddenly loose lot of money in cricket betting thanks to Sachin or sharemarket speculation thanks to
Anil Ambanis IPO and then have to borrow immediately to settle payments. They cant goto banks because banks take weeks and
months to process personal loans.
#2: the farmers in rural areas. They need money for two reasons:
2. Dowry for daughters marriage and other expenses related to social ceremonies associated with child-birth, marriage, death etc.
Irrespective of their India-Bharat divide, the fate of these two categories of needy people is same: they remain in-debt forever or commit
suicide, while minister continues to enjoy hefty 36% interest rate on his money from them. (Banks only pay about 7% on your savings
account, consider the difference!)
36
Part of that goes in the compulsory payment of electricity, telephone, Internet, newspaper, milk and vegetables.
Part of the salary deposit in the savings account of your bank and then
Whatever is money left in your hand for cinema, restaurant, spa, caller-tunes, branded clothes etc. non-essential, discretionary spending
is called disposable income.
Example. The sixth pay commission increased the salary of government employees, almost everybody suddenly got say Rs.50,000 per
month, compared to 20,000 earlier.
So even after the regular payments of EMI, Telephone bill etc. they will have more disposable income in their hands compared to earlier,
what will they do?
They will start visiting restaurants or cinema every Sunday instead of visiting them every month.
Many of them may even plan holiday trip. What is the implication?
1000 families chasing total 500 seats of restaurant / multiplexes in their city
We know that supply of seats or hotel room is same as earlier, but demand has increased, the hotel owners would start charging more =
inflation.
Dearness Allowence paid by Government
Giving relief to its employees and pensioners from inflation, the central government on Friday announced a seven percentage point increase in
dearness allowance (DA) which will cost the exchequer an additional Rs 7,500 crore. The new DA rate of 65 per cent of basic pay against 58 per
cent earlier will be applicable retrospectively from January 1, 2012.
What does it mean? Government keeps an eye on the inflation, and gives more salary to compensate the employee for the increased
prices and cost of living.
So, Government employee need not worry much about increased price of milk or vegetables.
BUT private companies are not so generous about D.A. so people working in private companies (Atleast at the lower level) dont have
that much disposable income.
Again money supply increased (Rs.7500 crores)= demand by Government employees increased= inflation is felt by the people working in
private companies.
RBIs monetary policy
RBI Governor: behold my infinite wisdom and limitless awesomeness. Repo rate is the interest rate at which we lend the money to
banks. Im omnipotent and omniscient so I say- decrease the repo-rate from 5% to 4%! Those Aam-Aadmis (common men) are unable to
purchase homes thanks to that minister. If I reduce the interest rates, itll bring some relief to the common men.
SBI manager: good. Lets borrow as much money as we can, from SBI, and then we lend it to juntaa.
SBI manager: damn it ICICI manager competition with me, but Im gonna show whos the real player here. (To his probationary officer)
gang up as many annoying telemarking callers as you can, dial every number in the phone directory, sell our loans and schemes, If you
dont meet the sales-target of 500 policies a month, Ill rip you apart and then make negative remarks in your performance report.
SBI Probationary Officer (To his manager): Sir it is not working. People are not interested in taking our loans or policies, ICICI is offering
unlimited SMS, free caller-tunes, with each loan. Indian Juntaa loves mobile phones more than toilets. And they have rallied up Big B to
do the advertisements.
37
SBI Manager: damn it, I should have thought about it. Anyhow, Im going to talk with MD.
SBI MD: Reduce our interest rates. Then we see whos the real-player here.
Juntaa shifts to SBI loans because of lower interest rate. ICICI also follows the suit and decreases their interest rate.
No0b loser pathetic college kid to his restaurant owner daddy: I want a Pulsar bike to impress my friends in college.
Daddy: but I already increased your pocket money last month for Axe-perfume, Shahrukh Khans Fair and lovely skin whitening cream
and John Abrahams sunscreen lotion!!
Bike Salesman in his makeshift outlet just outside their home: come on sir, we get you easy loan from SBI.
This way, people get easy loans in their hands and they go out to purchase homes, cars, bikes.
Businessmen also take loans, purchase trucks, machinery, hire more people in their company: these people also get more salary
(compared to their earlier state of being unemployed)
and hence people have more money, they demand more products = price rise = inflation.
So what is the problem here?
What if RBI increased repo rate, thus increasing the home-loan interest rates?
They would instead deposit the money in savings account, or fixed deposit account or mutual funds.
This will decrease the cash in the hands of people, thus decreasing the demand= inflation reduced.
Now this is what RBI has been doing throughout last year, RBI Governor kept increasing the repo rate thinking that this will work.
But it did not work, we did not see any decrease in inflation despite RBIs monetary measures, Why this tightening of monetary policy wasnt
effective? Because of two reasons,
1. The minister/bureaucrat with black money wont decrease his spending. He will not put his money in banks, he will not delay his
decision of buying a new SUV car, gold-jewelry or farm-house. RBIs repo rates dont have much direct effect on him.
2. Supply-side problems.
o
Crude oil is expensive (Plastic pouches, printing inks, lubricants for machinery: All derived directly or indirecty from
crude oil.)
38
What could Government do?
They could introduce a national savings certificate or kisan vikas patra etc with scheme deposit your money in this, get your money
doubled in 15 years, and no income-tax will be levied on it this will make Government employees deposit their extra disposable income
in savings. Thus reducing the moneysupply.
Income tax Department could increase the raids on builders and businessmen.
CBI could increase the investigation speed in NHRM and Mining scams involving politicians.
Government could relax the Environmental go and No-go areas of coal mining= more coal= cheaper electricity
And so many other steps that could have been taken but werent taken.
This ends the first theory of inflation: demand pull. Second Theory : Cost Push Inflation in the next article.
[Economy] Inflation: Cost Push Meaning, Reasons, Solutions and CSAT Mock Questions
Republishing two old articles on Inflation, after they got deleted due to a technical upgrade of the website. In the previous article, we saw
about demand-pull theory of Inflation.
Now time for the second one.
1.
2.
3.
Increased wages
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
Misc GK Stuff
9.
Mock Questions
39
it means the cost of production has increased hence the price of products have increased.
What are the factors responsible?
Increased wages
Maruti is producing 1000 cars per month, but the union workers of Maruti go on a strike and demand higher salary.
Ultimately, Maruti agrees to the union demand, every worker will now get more salary. But of course the company never pays out of its
own pocket and wants to keep the profit margin same so, the increased cost of car-production is always transferred to the customers. So
the car that used to sell for two lakh rupees, will now sell for 2.17.
Increase in the tax
Finance Minister reads the newspaper headline Indians have more mobile phones than toilets. So he thinks, why not increase the
excise duty on the mobile phones and use that Revenue to give more funds under total sanitation campaign (TSC). Thatll help in
building more toilets on the villages.
But of course, the CEOs of Nokia, Samsung or Motorola are not going to pay the money out of their pockets to finance the toilet building
in Indian villages, they'll pass the increased cost to the customers. MRP of Nokia Lumia is increased.
The cash in your hands is same as earlier, but the MRP has been increased by the suppliers side.
Reduced availability of raw material
the blackmarketeers are intentionally stocking up or hoarding onions for better prices in future.
Government declared attractive MSP (minimum support price) for Pulses (daal, Moong) so, farmers have shifted to producing those
pulses instead of onions.
UAE businessman is paying higher prices for Indian onions, because of bad weather conditions there. So our middlemen, find it lucrative
to export onions to UAE rather than to local vegetable market in city.
In all four cases, because the supply of onions is reduced, the restaurant owner will
B. Keep the per plate price same as usual but reduce the quantity of onion given, so that youve to pay extra for the extra supply of onion
salad.
What happened? Supply of onion reduced, so restaurant owners input cost increase and he had to push the menu prices higher.
To get Higher profit margin
The Supply of rice is same, the disposable income in your wallet is same, but the restaurant owner wants higher profit margin, so he
decreases the size of every Idli , but your hunger remains the same, so youll order more idlies and end up paying higher bill.= Inflation.
The restaurant owner may not be the real-culprit here. Perhaps he is that daddy from the demand pull pulsar bike case: He had to
increase the pocketmoney of his kid for that axe-perfume, SRKs skin whitening cream and John Abrahams sun-screen lotion.
Thats why he has to increase his profit margin to pay for those unnecessary products.
Or perhaps but real-estate market has gone up thanks to that Ministers in Demand pull inflation case. And so, restaurant owner has to
increase his profit margin to pay for the house-loan.
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As you can see in ^this case, there is never a totally demand pull inflation or totally cost-push inflation. The final inflation that we feel in
our real life, is resulted because of both of them. (Minister increased demand pull hence Restaurant owner had to increase the costpush.) So this brings us to the third theory
Theory 3: Mixed Demand Pull Cost Push inflation
Self-explanatory.
Misc GK Stuff
Name
Meaning
Creeping
inflation
Mild inflation
Walking or
trotting
Galloping
inflation
Hyperinflation
Final stage, inflation is totally out of control, when it is outside the aukaat of RBI or Government to
control this inflation.
Stagflation
Mock Questions
Time for some Mock Demo CSAT questions for General Studies paper 1.
Question number one
Inflation in theory occurs
B. When money supply grows at a higher rate than GDP in real terms.
41
Among the supply-side measures to contain inflation is.
Reducing prices.
Increasing prices.
Out of the items given below, which can cause demand pull inflation?
Increasing investment.
inflation results from an excessive demand over the availability of supply, is known as
C.Either a or B.
D.None of these.
Question number seven
inflation is the result of increasing the cost of production. This kind of inflation is known as
C.Either a or B.
D.None of these.
Previous years questions
42
A rise in general level of prices may be caused by
Only one
all of them
3. Fall in the price without decline in existing level of employment, output and
income.
A. Hyperinflation.
B. dis-inflation
C. Stagflation.
D. Reflation
E. Inflation
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A spiraling inflation
[Economy] IIP: Index of Industrial Production: Meaning, implication, impact on Rupee-strength
1.
Introduction
2.
3.
4.
As a job seeker
2.
As a stock investor
3.
As a shopper
4.
As a borrower
5.
As a producer/exporter:
5.
6.
7.
FII
Introduction
When we say economy is booming or industry is facing a slump: how do we know? Mere by perception? But Government or Banks or investors
cannot make their policies and decisions on perception, they need some quantifiable data to work on. Hence they need IIP (index of Industrial
production). It is a number, that gives you idea on how industries are performing.
<without getting technically so correct or in minute details>
Suppose industrial output of India, in the year 2004-05 was 100 crore rupees.
In 2010-11 it is 105 crore rupees.
So simple percentage calculation: 5% increase in the industrial output over the base year.
Newspaper headline: IIP shows growth of 5%.
For this industrial output value, weve to measure the output in three sectors (MEM)
1.
Mining
44
2.
Electricity
3.
Manufacturing
Then we take out the weighted arithmetic mean and that is our industrial output value. Then do all the index calculation of current year and
baseyear.
IIP contains 682 items clubbed in 399 groups: 1 in Mining, 1 in Electricity and 397 in Manufacturing.
Weightage given to each sector
~14% to mining
~75% to manufacturing
~10% to electricity
Meaning
It is a single representative figure to measure the general level of industrial activity in the economy.
Central Statistical Organisation (CSO) under the Ministry of statistics and program Implementation.
When do they calculate this IIP?
Every month.
Why do they calculate it every month?
Because if they calculate every year, itll be too late for the Government or RBI to make necessary amendments in the policy ! Theyve to keep a
constant eye on this number.For example
1.
Automobile sector is facing very negative growth, Government may give them tax-holidays or allow them to import foreign machinery
without paying import tax. [Fiscal Policy]
2.
Negative IIP may mean People dont have money in their hands, so theyre not purchasing products (less demand) hence industry had to
reduce the production or Businessman are having hard time borrowing because of high interest rates. = Change the repo, reverse repo
CRR etc to increase money supply in peoples hands. [Monetary Policy]
What are other Indexes?
1.
2.
a.
b.
c.
d.
Lower demand will force businesses to invest less and scale back expansion plans. That means lower hiring.
2.
So, if youre looking for a job in the manufacturing/industrial sector, expect the going to get a little bit tougher.
45
As a stock investor
1
Lower industrial output means lower revenues and profits (which are also getting hit by higher borrowing costs). That lowers earnings per
share for investors
continuation of the poor IIP trend could lead to more earnings downgrades and lower stock valuations. Means FIIs start pulling their
money out of India and invest it in different country = leads to weakening of rupee.(more below)
As a shopper
manufacturers to offers discounts and freebies, to attract shoppers to stores. (haha like the Flipkart ads shown below!)
Of course, shoppers will only be inclined to spend if they still have jobs or enough disposable income.
As a borrower
RBI may lower the rates, to increase the money supply in the market and make borrowing easier.
As a producer/exporter:
businesses using locally-priced inputs, there might be a silver lining in terms of costs, which could come down.
if the prices of those inputs are based on international prices, they might not be so lucky because a falling rupee will increase prices in
local terms.
Now some real life examples: End of rephrasing, now writing further on my own.
IIP for October11 : Rupee weakens
FIIs started pulling out money from our stock-market, theyd sell their stock-get rupees, get them converted into dollars and invest it
elsewhere in different country.
You get the picture: Demand of dollar$ increase and demand of rupee decrease hence the rupee made a new lifetime low of 52.** against
the dollar
IIP for December 2011
in crude terms, it is the foreign investors who invest money in Indian stock-market.
46
I would like to coach the Indian Cricket team but I dont have the level 1, 2, 3 certificates that people want sometimes.
Economy] Land Acquisition bill 2011 : Salient Features, Pro Con analysis
Land acquisition topic is very important for almost all competitive exams of India starting from UPSC, State PSC, CPF, APFC, Bank and MBA Group
Discussion / Interviews.
1.
2.
3.
Land is a state subject then how can the parliament pass a law?
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
Introduction
Excluded
Consent
Compensation
Dispute resolution
47
Land acquisition is the process by which the government forcibly acquires private property for public purpose without the consent of the
land-owner.
It is thus different from a land purchase, in which the sale is made by a willing seller.
How is this process governed?
Land Acquisition is governed by the Land Acquisition Act, 1894. The government has to follow a process of declaring the land to be
acquired, notify the interested persons, and acquire the land after paying due compensation.
Various state legislatures have also passed Acts that detail various aspects of the acquisition process.
Land is a state subject then how can the parliament pass a law?
Though land is a state subject, acquisition and requisitioning of property is in the concurrent list. Both Parliament and state legislatures can make
laws on this subject.
What is the problem with land acquisition act of 1894?
draconian
anticorruption movement
The government had introduced a Bill to amend this Act in 2007. That Bill lapsed in 2009 at the time of the general elections. The government
enacted a new bill in 2011.
What are the major changes being proposed?
In 2011, the (bogus UPA) Government made changes in 2007 Bill with regard to
48
Land Acquisition, Rehabilitation and Resettlement Bill, 2011 was introduced by the Minister of Rural Development.
The Bill proposes a unified legislation for acquisition of land and adequate rehabilitation mechanisms for all affected persons
provisions of this Bill shall not apply to 16 existing legislations that provide for land acquisition. These include
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
provisions of the Bill shall be applicable in cases when the appropriate government acquires land,
a.
b.
to transfer it for the use of private companies for public purpose, and
c.
on the request of private companies for immediate use for public purpose
Applicable even to private companies
private companies shall provide for rehabilitation and resettlement if they purchase or acquire land, through private negotiations, equal to
or more than 100 acres in rural areas and 50 acres in urban areas.
Anti-argument
It is not clear whether Parliament has jurisdiction to impose rehabilitation and resettlement requirements on private purchase of
agricultural land.
While private companies are included, but PSUs are excluded from the responsibility of rehabilitation.
Government can acquire land for these Public Purposes
1.
2.
roads, railways, highways, and ports, built by government and public sector enterprises
3.
4.
5.
Public purpose includes other government projects which benefit the public as well as provision of public goods and services by private companies
or public-private partnerships.
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Consent
Land acquisition will require the consent of 80 per cent of project affected people
Affected families include those whose livelihood may be affected due to the acquisition, and includes landless labourers and artisans.
Anti-argument
Projects involving land acquisition and undertaken by private companies or public private partnerships require the consent of 80 per cent
of the people affected. However, no such consent is required in case of PSUs.
Limits on land acquisition
maximum of five per cent of irrigated multi-cropped land may be acquired in a district, with certain conditions.
Every acquisition requires a Social Impact Assessment (SIA) by an independent body followed by a preliminary notification and a final
award by the District Collector.
In the case of urgency, the Bill proposes that the appropriate government shall acquire the land after 30 days from the date of the issue of
the notification (without SIA).
This clause may be used only for defence, national security, and conditions arising out of a national calamity.
Compensation
The value of the assets (trees, plants, buildings etc) attached to the land being acquired will be added to this amount.
mandated the job for one person in each affected family or Rs. Two lakhs
1.
The market value is based on recent reported transactions. This value is doubled in rural areas to arrive at the compensation amount.
This method may not lead to an accurate adjustment because people sell land to each other at underreported price to save stamp duty.
2.
The government can temporarily acquire land for a maximum period of three years. There is no provision for rehabilitation and
resettlement in such cases.
Dispute resolution
1.
Administrator;
2.
3.
Rehabilitation and Resettlement Committee (for acquisition of 100 acres or more of land);
4.
National Monitoring Committee for Rehabilitation and Resettlement; and Land Acquisition, Rehabilitation and Resettlement Authority
(which shall adjudicate all disputes, with appeal to the High Court).
What if the acquired land is not used?
If an acquired land which is transferred to a person for a consideration, is left unutilised for a period of 10 years from the date it was
acquired, it shall be returned to the Land Bank or the appropriate government.
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in cases where the ownership of an acquired land is sold to any person, without any development made, 20 per cent of the profit made
shall be shared among all the persons from whom the land was acquired.
Download Summery and Pro Con analysis
The pro con analysis is quite important for interview and Group discussion (MBA).These PDFs are created by PRS Institute, New Delhi
Land Acqusition Bill summery by PRS (click me to download)
Land Acqusition Bill Pro Cons by PRS (click me to download)
Economy] Banking Amendment Bill: Issues, Features, Problems, Reforms meaning explained
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
2.
It is governs all public sector banks (SBI, PNB etc.) and private sector banks.(ICICI, HDFC etc.) in India.
Set : Finance Ministers Office
Chindu
Yaar many new players want to open banks in India. But they cant, because youre not giving new licenses, So
what is your problem?
RBI
governor
Well, Im given powers to regulate public and private sector banks, under Banking Regulation Act 1949.But those
powers are not enough.
So, Im not going to give new bank-licenses to anybody, unless and until you get me more powers, by updating
that Banking Regulation Act.
Chindu
Ok, Ill move a Banking laws (Amendment) bill, to amend the necessary things.But first tell me what new powers
do you need?
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RBI Power #1: Can remove entire Board of a Bank
RBI
At present, if a Bank doesnt play by my rules, I can remove its CEO or one or two directors. But that is not enough.
What if the whole board of directors is involved in some mischief.
So, I want powers to remove the entire board of directors.
I also want you to increase the rates of existing monetary penalties that I can impose on a bank if it disobeys my rules,
directives or gives me false information.
Chin
du
Ok agreed.Ill get you the powers to supersede boards of the banks if any irregularities.And Ill increase the penalty
rates as well.Anything else?
RBI
Chin
du
What is that?
He opens Pawn-Fisher bank, people deposit their hard earned cash in it.
Ideally, bank should lend this money to the home, car, education and business-loan seekers, who then pay interest and thus bank makes
profit.
Bank must make good profit, so It can pay 1) good interest rate to its bank account holders. 2) good dividends to its share holders.
And this airlines company is making losses. Mr.Paraajay gives loans from Pawn-Fisher bank to Pawn-Fisher airlines @very low interest
rate, to fix the mess.
And or, this Pawn-Fisher airlines gets the bank loan @market rates from the Pawn-Fisher Bank but it doesnt pay EMIs regularly, yet the
bank doesnt take any action.
Similarly, Mr.Paraajay also opens Pawn-Fisher Mutual funds, but it also makes losses, and money is transferred from bank deposits to
mutual funds, to cover up those losses.
These type of activities = Not good, because in long term, bank will collapse and depositors money will be stuck.
RBI
So, I must be given powers to check the records and account-books of those mutual funds, insurance and other
companies associated with a bank.
Chind
u
Agreed.
youll get the power to inspect those other business arms of a bank.
Anything else?
RBI
If Mr.X has not used his bank account for more than 10 years, it is called unclaimed bank account.
There are crores of rupees in such unclaimed bank accounts, it increases the Administrative burden on bank employees (=need to
maintain files etc)
52
Plus there is also an opportunity to commit a fraud. for example some bank employee knows that Mr.Xs bank account is never checked,
then hell forge checkbooks signature or some other trick to withdraw money from Mr.Xs account.
If a bank account is not operated for more than 10 years, bank will have to transfer its money in the
Depositor Education and Awareness Fund
And Ill appoint a Committee to use money from this fund to create awareness.
Although if Mr.X returns, he can claim his money and that bank will have to pay him interest also.
RBI
Chin
du
RBI
1.
If any person wants to buy more than 5% shares of any bank, hell have to take permission from me. And
before giving him approval, I can put conditions on him, For example give me deposit worth Rs.xyz, so if you
play some mischief, Ill take away your deposit.
2.
If primary cooperative societies want to continue their banking business, theyll have to get a license from me.
3.
I can conduct special audits of cooperative banks because theyre more liable to collapse and frauds.
4.
If a bank fails to maintain the prescribed minimum amount of Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) on any day, I can
demand penalty interest from that bank.
Chin
du
RBI
Chin
du
Ok then please leave my cabin and send the SBI chairman in. He too had an appointment with me.
SBI
chief
Good morning Mr. Finance Minister. As youre aware, SBI is the largest public sector bank in India, weve more than
11,000 branches. Yet if you make a list of top 5 biggest banks of the world, our name doesnt figure.
Chind
u
Why is it so?
SBI
This is because too many small public banks exist in India. So, the incoming-money (from people to bank accounts)
gets fragmented in so many bank branches. Finally, we dont have enough cash, to expand in a big way.
Chind
u
SBI
There is need for consolidation in the banking sector so India can have two to three large public banks that
can compete globally.
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Chind
u
For this, I need you to simplify Banking Companies Acquisition and Transfer of Undertakings Act.
And to exclude bank mergers from the scrutiny of Competition Commission of India (CCI).
Agreed.
SBI
Right now the Public Sector banks cannot issue shares worth more than Rs.3000 crores. I want you to relax this,
because We need lot of investment.
Chin
du
Ok agreed. You can issue more shares, including bonus shares and rights issue etc. (already explained click me)But
youll have to take permission from Central Government + RBI if you want to do it.
SBI
Agreed.
SBI
Before moving on, I must thank you for allowing us to issue bonus shares etc. But that alone will not bring investment
in public or private sector banks.
Chin
du
Why?
Because in shareholders meetings, voting is done on many issues (for example election of board of directors,
changing name of company etc.).
A shareholder should have voting rights proportional to the number of shares held by him.
But in case of public banks, the shareholders have only 1% voting right irrespective of number of shares held.
So they cannot heavily influence any Decision.
I need you relax these voting rights. Only then foreign investors will be attracted to invest in Indian banks.
SBI
Chin
du
Bank
Example
Before
After
Private sector
HDFC, ICICI
10
26
Public sector
SBI , PNB
10
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Chindu
Anything else.
SBI
Chindu
Then you may leave. But please send the chairman of Citibank in, he too had taken appointment and is waiting
outside.
Chind
u
Citiba
nk
When I transfer my branches from the main company to the subsidiary company, I dont want to pay stamp duty. This
should help me expand my business in India.
Chind
u
Citiba
nk
Citiba
nk
Chind
u
Right now, the Banks can trade in shares, bonds and currencies speculation but the Banking Regulation Act
forbids them from trading in commodities.
But we (foreign banks) see huge profit making opportunity in that sector.
So we need you to amend Banking regulation Act, to allow the banks to invest in Commodities market.
Agreed.
After a bill is introduced in parliament, it goes to the Standing Committee of Parliament for particular subject.
They inspect the bill clause by clause, put forward their recommendations. And then voting is done.
In case of Banking regulation bill, after the parliamentary Standing Committee on Finance put its report, Chindu added some new
provisions in it.
so opposition parties got angry this wasnt part of the original bill, if you want to add new provisions, then this bill must be sent back to
the Standing Committee for re-consideration.
Set: parliament
55
Parliament fight #1: Commodity speculation
Chin
du
Oppn
.
The share-market and mutual funds = regulated by SEBI.Similarly Commodity market= regulated by Forward Market
Commission (FMC)
Chin
du
So?
Oppn
.
Chin
du
So, if banks invest in commodity futures, it would lead to high-risk speculative trading, especially with those
Foreign banks.
The Forward Markets Commission (FMC) doesnt have enough powers to safeguard them. because
Parliament is yet to pass Forward Contract Regulation Act (FCRA) Amendment Bill, which aims to empower
FMC.
And more importantly, you added the this Commodity provision in banking bill, after it was reviewed by
Standing Committee. So this bill must be sent back to standing Committee for review.
No, no, no. if bill goes back to standing Committee, itll take lot of time.Ok I back off, I remove this provision, so there is
no need to send this bill back to standing Committee.
Chindu
Friends, I also propose that only RBIs permission should be necessary for Bank mergers and acquisitions.
Competition Commission of India should not play any role in it.
Oppositi
on
Not acceptable. Again this is new provision added after Standing Committee gave its report. So, send the bill back
to Standing Committee.
Chindu
No, no, no. if bill goes back to standing Committee, then itll delay the implementation.Ok I back off, I remove this
provision.CCI will have the power to investigate and clear mergers and acquisitions in the banking sector.
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Anti-Bill arguments
In December, employees of public banks went on strike. (although SBI employees did not join the strike.)
The Bank unions give following Anti-Bill arguments:
Government claims more banks = more branches = more poor people get banking facilities = financial inclusion. But it is mere lip
service. Because new corporate banks/foreign banks wont have any interest in serving poor people.
If mergers are allowed then rural branches will close down and/or rural banking operations will be outsourced via contractual business
route.
This type of privatization will negatively affect our job security and interests of those poor people.
Statistics indicate that only 50 percent of people in India have bank accounts.
The Centre should focus on educating rural people and cultivating banking habit among them instead of taking steps to merge banks or
diluting voting rights.
Merger of banks will de-stablise public sector banks, then corporate firms will start their own banks and gobble up public savings. And that
money will be misused for the benefit of few corporate honchos and not for the general public.
Although Chindu counters them saying these banking reforms= new banks will be opened= more employment. (he expects 6,000 new bank
branches and recruitment of 84,000 people next year.)
Critiques also argue that
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It seems the whole exercise is not a comprehensive banking reform but just firefighting because 1) Foreign banks and domestic players
put pressure on FM to help them get bank licenses. 2) RBI blackmails FM to get more powers. 3) FM comes with banking regulation bill.
Prime objective of this bill seems to help private players get new banking licenses.
Government should further relax the voting rights otherwise, Government will keep abusing its majority shareholding to further its own
political goals and election agendas.
e.g. in 2008, public sector banks were asked to forgo farmers loans (Debt Waiver scheme). Although Government promised to refund the
loan-money to banks on behalf of farmers but it is not a good business practice.
Summary
The Banking regulation bill, 2011 was passed in the Winter session of parliament in Dec.2012.
The salient features of the Banking regulation bill are (list not exhaustive)
1.
2.
3.
4.
Cooperative societies cannot carryout banking activities without license from RBI.
5.
A Depositor Education and Awareness Fund to receive money from deposit accounts not operated for more than 10 years.
6.
Increased the penalties and fines for violating Banking Regulation Act.
7.
Public Banks can obtain more capital via bonus shares and rights issue.
8.
Increases the voting rights of shareholders in Public and Private sector banks.
9.
Prior approval of RBI necessary if a person wants to purchase more than 5% shares of a bank.
10. Banking Mergers and acquisition will fall under purview of CCI.
11. Bank will have to pay penalty interest rate, if it doesnt maintain CRR on daily basis.
12. Foreign banks exempted from stampduty payment for certain cases.
[Economy] Bonds vs Shares, Debt vs Equity, IPO, Underwriter, Venture Capital, Angel Investor, Junk Bonds, Bearer Bonds, Gilt Edged securities:
Meaning, Explained
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Bearer Bonds
What is IPO?
58
o
7.
Who is Underwriter?
8.
9.
Upcoming articles
Land
To build a factory.
Labor
Capital
Entrepreneurship
But it requires truckload of cash to arrange for the other three items: Land, Labour and Capital.
How To get the cash to start my company?
Or I can just start my own IIT Bombay, sell its application forms for 5,000 rupees and then declare cut off 99.99% and thus earning
truckload of cash without actually wasting a single rupee in arranging the admission interviews.
Cant rob a rob a bank because this too requires Labour (gangsters) and guns, masks, vehicles and Entrepreneurship (to take the risk of
going to jail).
Cant start my own IIT Bombay would again require those four factors of production (Land, Labour, Capital, Entrepreneurship)
+Permissions from UGC/AICTE.
Cant join politics because Only ministers can make huge money, MPs/MLAs dont. And Unfortunately Im not a son or daughter of some
big politician so I cant become minister @ young age (Agatha Sangma, Sachin Pilot, Naveen Jindal et al) So even If I join politics right
now, Ill have to do bootlicking of Party high command until I get 60 years old, only then I can become minister and break the records set
by A.Raja and Madhu Koda.
Now, There are two ways to (legally) arrange money for starting a company or to expand a company. First is Debt and Second Equity. See this chart
59
The word debt is self-explanatory. You borrow money from someone: It can be a bank, it can be a friend, it can be a stranger.
I write on a piece of paper: To whoever pays me Rs.1000, Ill pay annual 10% interest rate (Rs.100). And after 5 years, Ill also repay the
principle amount Rs.1000. No ifs and buts.
IF you hold my bonds, Im liable to pay you money no matter what happens. Whether my ice-cream company actually makes profit or
goes Kingfisher. I have to keep paying fixed money to you, every year.
Junk Bonds vs Gilt Edged Security
In above case I offered you 10% interest rate. But in real life, there are credit rating companies like CRISIL, S&P, Moodys etc. Theyll give
credit ratings to a bond. (i.e. Am I capable enough to actually pay you?).
Based on that, they give ratings example AA,A, BBB, BB,C,D etc.
I had talked about them in my previous article. Go through the Archive on www.mrunal.org/economy
Junk Bonds
If my Bond gets C or D rating, it means Im not creditworthy, I may default on this loan, I may run away. So my bond is as junk as
Ra.One movie. A wise man will not invest in it.
So, how can I seduce you into purchasing my bonds? How can I convenience you to take the higher risk, in buying my junk bond?
How about Free caller Tunes or a scratch-card that offers you a chance to dine with Sachin or Katrina?
Or How about Higher Interest rates: If you give me Rs.1000, Ill give you 25% interest rate per year!
This is also known as High Yield Bond, because youre getting higher profit.
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Gilt Edged Securities
Like an ice cream company, Government also needs finance- at times when tax collection is low and they need some temporary funds.
They issues treasury bonds. RBI sells these treasury bonds on Governments behalf.
But Governments generally have the aukaat to repay the principle and interest rates. Hence Government bonds have higher credit
ratings (AA). So, they dont need to seduce you, theyll offer very low rate, say 4%.
Similarly, well known companies with high credit ratings (AA) also issue bonds but pay low rates.
If you dont like to take risks, youll invest in such bonds. These are called gilt-edged securities.
Bearer Bonds (and Bad Guys)
In Bollywood movies, Kidnapper demands ransom of Rs.10 lakhs but he wants the money in the denomination of Rs.5/10/50 Rupee
notes. Why? Because it is easy to circulate these notes and harder for police or banks to keep track of this money.
Same way, in Hollywood Spy-thriller movies, the Villain will ask you to pay 10 million dollars in Bearer bonds.
Bearer bonds are same as regular bonds, but they dont have Holders Name on them. These bearer bonds have coupons attached with
them. So, if you dont want to withdraw the whole money, you can cut a few coupons and sell them to a broker to withdraw partial amount.
E.g. Rs.100 interest is to be paid on 1st April 2012, But even on December-2011 you can sell the coupon to a Broker. Although hell not
give you Rs.100 but something like Rs.95 or 90. (Why so? Think about it!)
Anyways, the point is, Noone can keep a track of who withdrew the money, whos buying, whos selling Because there are no names,
addresses or records. Bad guys like it, because this ensures anonymity.
See the following example photograph of a Bearer bond of Government of Palestine. Notice that it doesnt have space for Owners names
and there are three coupons attached at the bottom.
Question: Why would Government issue bearer bonds? Because when theyre in dire need of money, there is emergency, there is war
going on, they cannot waste time in checking the lengthy registration forms. So, Better just sell the bonds to any swinging dude that
comes, without asking his name, address, mobile number or email id.
Although, in real life, it is hard to find Bearer bonds. Because most of the bonds now, exist in Electronic (DEMAT) format and youve to
give your pan card number (or other similar personal information in foreign countries) to buy or sell bonds/shares or any similar security
papers. So, now bad guys want payment in gold, diamond or other precious metals instead of bearer bonds.
#2: Equity: IPOs and Shares
So far, we saw that first option is to borrow money and pay regular interest rate. (Debt ->Bonds). Now continuing this not so technically
correct article,
Second option is, I take money from you and in return I offer you partnership. This is called Equity.
Assuming that I need 1 crore rupees to start my company and Ive 30 lakhs in my savings. So, I write on a piece of paper: Ill give
0.0001% ownership of my company to whoever gives me Rs.1000.
This is again a type of security-paper. But since Im sharing a part of ownership with you, in crude terms, well call it Share.
Then I print 10,000 such papers. Whats the value of these papers?
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10,000 Papers multiplied with Rs.1000 each =1 crore. Voila thats total money I need.
And since I already have Rs.30 lakhs, I can purchase 3000 shares. (because 3000 papers x Rs. 1000 each = 30 lakhs)
So out of the Total 10,000 shares that I printed, I will own 3,000 shares, so percentage wise I own 30% of this companys equity.
Since Im issuing the shares (Equities), under the Company law, Ive to Constitute a board of directors and hold annual general
meeting of the shareholders.
For important policy decision, Ill have to take votes of the shareholders, the Board of Directors will supervise over my activities.
In short I cannot run the company as I please, Ive to give answers to those people.
On the first year, I make profit of Rs.25 lakhs. The board of directors will meet and decide
distribute Rs. 10 lakhs as Dividend among the shareholders. Now about the remaining 15 lakhs, invest them back in the company to expand our
production-capacity , buy bigger machines and install new factories in Pakistan and Somalia.
Here is the cool part, I can become CEO of my own company and say Ill take salary of Rs.1 only! And still, I will earn Rs.3 lakhs.
How? Because I own 30% of shares in this company, so when that Rs.10 lakh Dividend is shared among the shareholders, I get 30% of it
= 3 lakhs, apart from my Rs.1 salary as an employee of this company.
The owner Mr. George own 200 shares of this company. And in the small fonts, it is mentioned that total 30,00,000 shares of $1 each. Meaning Mr.
George owns (200/30 lakh) x100 =0.0067 % stocks of this Creek Mining Company.
But in real life, nowadays, when you purchase shares , you dont get such cool looking colorful paper certificates. You get the shares in electronic
dematerialized format. They get transferred in your demat account. (already discussed in QFI vs FII article.)
What is IPO?
Mithun Chokrobarthys Son Mimoh Chakrabarthy was launched in the first film Jimmy. That year he got Best Newcomer award. Movie
was flop, then Mimoh decided that changing his name, would bring him some luck.
So he became Mahaakshay Chkarbarty and yet gave a few more flop films.
Now people dont call him Newcomer, they call him flop hero.
Moral of the story: When you act in your first film, youre called a newcomer. Then in your subsequent movies, youre called a flop
actor, although youre the same human being from your daddys eyes.
Same way, When I sell my share papers for the first time, to the public, it is called IPO (initial public offer)
Then you (the buyers of these IPOs), sell these papers to each other, the same paper is called Share or Equities.
From Daddys point of view (Mine), its the same. If someone has one paper, he gets 0.0001% from the dividends.
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Primary vs Secondary Market
Secondary Market= this is the place where IPOs are re-sold as shares.
Physically both things are done in the same place e.g. BSE (Bombay Stock Exchange) but this virtual classification helps in keeping track
of things, making statistical analysis etc.
Venture Capitalist and Angel Investors
Venture Capital is a company that gives you money, to start your company or to expand your company but in return they demand part of
ownership.
They deal with only big things, big projects, big investments. They wont help me to open an ice-cream parlour in Gujarat University
despite the fact that its monthly revenue will be higher than SBI General Managers salary.
We invest in technology based businesses in sectors such as Mobile technology, Telecom, Software.
Ofcourse money doesnt fall from sky, these Venture Capitalist companies themselves borrow money from other companies like mutual
funds, pension funds or they may be issuing their own bonds to get money.
How do they operate?
Theyve their own team of Management experts, corporate lawyers, chartered accountant, and business consultants. They study your
business plan, approve the money.
Theyll demand seats in your companys board of directors to Influence the Decision Making in your company, according to their
requirement and so on
Who is Angel Investor?
These are rich gentlemen. They finance startup companies for getting partial ownership and or assured returns on investment, after few
years.They can give debt (i.e. just like moneylenders and banks) or Equity (i.e. partial ownership). But mostly they play in the equity field.
What is the need of Angel Investors?
You can get money from Banks / Bonds (Debt) or IPO/Venture Capitalist (Equity), if your business project is likely to bear success based
on previous experiance.
For example: Pharmaceuticals, Dairy, Engineering instruments, Mining, Telecom, Textiles, Oil Refinery etc.
But they may not get interested in you, if you talk about untried and untested business plans / product or fields.
Imagine Steve Jobs requesting SBI Bank Manager to give him business loan in 1970s to start Apple Computers,
or Same Steve Jobs launching IPO of Apple in NewYork Stock exchange during that time!
But there was an angel investor Mike Markkula, who actually believed in his plan and gave him some money and got 1/3rd ownership in
the company in 1977.
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Angel investor doesnt mind taking huge risk by helping even small timers with totally unique and untested idea, if he think that itll grow
up huge success in future.
Similarly, Amazon online shopping website and Starbucks coffee chain also started with Angel Investors.
Why is it so?
Because most of the company dont directly start with IPO / Shares. First the entrepreneur starts a small company using money from his
own savings, borrowing from friends, relatives and banks or from an Angel Investor.
Once the business starts booming, hell launch an IPO to get extra funds from public, to expand his business.
So, He already has some building, machinery, vehicles etc assets in his small company before launching his IPO.
Take a really crude example
I have Rs.30 in savings, I borrow Rs.20 (Debt) and thus start a company for Rs.50
After few years, I need another Rs.50 to expand business, so I launch an IPO: Total 50 share papers worth Rs. 1 each (Equity)
You buy 10 shares for 10 rupees. Means you own 10/50th =20% of my shares/stocks/equity/ IPO whatever you want to call it.
But the total assets of my company are= From Rs. 50 I had already + Rs. 50 from IPO = Total Rs.100
So, You dont own 20% assets of my company, because youve given me only Rs.10! and my total assets are financed from
both Debt + Equity.
Same way, if you purchase 10% shares of Jet Airways, doesnt mean you own 10% of their airplanes and buildings.
Who is Underwriter?
To arrange money I can either borrow (debt, Bond) or I can give shares (equity, IPOs/shares).
Here is the problem: I cannot print those security papers on my own Home PCs cheap-printer.
First, A lengthy legal and accounting paper-work has to be done, itll require chartered accountants, Corporate Lawyers experts in these
matters.
So, I goto an underwriter, he charges Commission but he promises to cover all the technically things, paperwork, SEBI regulations,
selling, accepting money for IPO/Bonds sale etc.etc.etc.
Same underwriter also offers a kinda insurance, that hell buy the IPO/Bonds if others dont buy it.
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In real life, companies dont rely on single source to finance their adventure. Theyll arrange part of the cash from Debt (Borrowing) and
part of the cash by issuing IPOs (Equity).
Debt (Bond)
Equity (IPO/Shares)
Equity (IPO/Shares)
So, itd be better if I finance a part from debt and a part from equity. That leads us to the discussion about Debt to Equity Ratio. (to be
continued)
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[Economy] General Anti-Avodiance Rules (GAAR): Meaning, Pros, Cons, Implications, Explained
Before reading further, make sure you have read the previous article on Vodafone-Hutch Capital Gains tax case.
1.
2.
3.
Rules of GAAR
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4.
Burden of Proof
5.
6.
7.
Assumption of Guilt
Conflict of Interest
8.
Summery
9.
Pranab
Ok, This year we need to collect 8 lakh crores to finance our bogus schemes and other Royal Expenditures
such as luxury foreign vacation trips of Pratibha + business-class Air-tickets for Sharad et al.. Ive told the
custom and excise Department to collect 3 lakh crores in indirect taxes, and you get me the remaining 5 lakh
crores from direct taxes. Else I wont promote you. Understood?
IT
Commissio
ner
But sir your target is implausible just like reading entire Mishra-Puri and Dutt Sundaram for economy!
Pranab
Well, the Diamond traders in Surat and Builders in Mumbai got plenty of black money. You raid their offices every
month, starting from tonight.
IT
Commissio
ner
We are already doing that. Yes, we recovered truckload of cash but still your target is just way too high.
Pranab
Then catch those big fishes that use Cayman island and other tax havens for making business deals!
IT
Commissio
ner
Matter is outside my jurisdiction. And even if I try to do something about it, theyll go to court and win the case.
So, First, youve to update the Income tax act of 1961.
Pranab
Betaa I dont have to update the IT Act. Its your job to write the bill, give paper to me; I present it in
parliament, and if parliament approves and President signs, the bill becomes the Act and I take all the credit.
IT Commissioner calls up other senior and experienced officers from his department and starts updating the Income Tax Act.
Drafting of the DTC Bill
66
IT
Commission
er
Alright. Im done writing the major provision about Income Tax in Direct Tax Code. (click me if you havent read
them already.)
Only one part remains: Our Department must have the power to take action against these folks who use taxhavens for making business deals.
Retired IT
officer
Yes, We should make the necessary rules and call it GAAR: General Anti-Avoidance Rules.
IT
Commission
er
Wow that name GAAR sounds really unique and awesome, as if the *Singham* is roaring grrrrI wish I could
get selected in IPS :-(
Retired IT
officer
IT
Commission
er
Both gentlemen watch Tarak Mehta kaa Ooltaa Chashma on SAB-TV and write the GAAR rules for India in between the advertisement breaks.
IT Commissioner (To Pranab):Sir, Ive finished drafting the DTC and included GAAR In it. Let me tell you the specific rules under this GAAR,
which are as following
Rules of GAAR
Under these rules, I can take action against those people involved in tax avoidance.
I, the Income Tax Commissioner, will have full power to decide whether a business deal is genuine or some sham to avoid tax payment. It
doesnt matter whether the business deal was done in India or outside India or
It doesnt matter whether the deal is between any Indian citizens / NRIs / Foreigners.
It doesnt matter whether the deal is protected by some bi-lateral tax treaty between India and the given country.
GAAR provisions shall override the terms of any Double Taxation Avoidance Agreement (Tax Treaty) that India may have entered into.
No ifs and not buts; I'll have full jurisdiction to question any business deal.
After hearing their side, if Im not satisfied, I shall order my Assessing offer (AO) within 12 months, to take necessary action against them
and recover the taxes.
If the party is unhappy with my order, it can appeal in Dispute resolution Panel (DRP), which will consist of three IT Commissioners like
me.
If the party is still unhappy with DRP verdict, it can file appear before the Income Tax Appellate Tribunal (ITAT)
If party is unhappy even after ITAT verdict, it can approach High court and Supreme Court.
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Burden of Proof
In the regular criminal cases, suspect is presumed innocent until proven guilty. The burden of proof rested on the prosecution, i.e.
Sarkaari Vakil (and Police) has to convenience the court that Raja is guilty.
However, in case of GAAR, the burden of proof rests with the party, Raja has to prove that he is innocent.
This is similar to TADA and POTA: Burden of Proof rested on the suspect. The Suspect was presumed guilty, and he had to prove that he
had no criminal intent.
Pranab: Very good. Just the way I wanted it. Now Ill table this bill in parliament.
Parliament of India (August 2009)
Pranab tables the Direct Tax Code-2010 bill in parliament. As usual Opposition MPs start shouting slogans against him.
Lok Sabha TV-viewer: Yaar, ek toh Pranabs Bengali English accent is so hard to decipher in the first place and all this shouting is making it
impossible to understand what he is saying!
Government should have introduced GAAR as a separate act. But Pranab has mischievously packed this GAAR with Direct Tax code
(DTC).
Target audience of DTC = corporates+ middle-class tax payers but target audience of GAAR is mostly big corporates such as myself.
And the dimwit media of India doesnt really understand what is the issue and confuses the junta as if we the corporates are against the
entire DTC.
No, we are not against DTC; we are concerned about GAAR. But yet we are unnecessarily getting vilified just like anyone who dares to
speak against Team-Anna is automatically labelled as Congi-agent.
Assumption of Guilt
Mr.Vodafone: Adding insult to the injury, the GAAR rule says, It shall be presumed that tax-avoidance is the main purpose of a business
deal, unless otherwise proved by the taxpayer. What the hell man?? This is same like POTA and TADA were it was presumed that a person is
guilty, and the burden of proof rested on the suspect.
Why treating us as terrorists, especially when you dont have the guts to say, Maoists=terrorists in UN assembly?
Kalmadi can walk out on bail despite stealing crores from Indian-taxpayers and we are not even allowed to do proper tax planning.
Even Supreme Court said in the Vodafone case that.
All tax plannings cannot be said to be illegal / illegitimate or impermissible. Genuine strategic tax planning is permissible.
Conflict of Interest
68
Mr.Vodafone: In the GAAR, IT Commissioner alone will decide whether a business deal is genuine or a tax avoidance sham? But Why give him this
discriminatory power?
We all know that IT Commissioners are given revenue collection targets from above.
So when an IT Commissioner is under pressure to meet the target, he may issue a notice to us even where there is no case of tax
avoidance, and the deal is totally legit.
Ultimately well have to treat him as maai-baap, give him gifts and bribes every Holi-Diwali, thus GAAR will bring back the Inspector Raj.
And IT Commissioner is given so much power. He'll be Police, Judge, Jury and the Executioner. On one hand, you are against the
Jan-Lokpal giving same argument and yet allow it in GAAR.
In most of the countries, IT Commissioners dont have so much discretionary powers, the GAAR matter is generally handled by a
panel/Committee system and not by individual Commissioners.
Pranab: but there are safeguards. You can appeal to the DRT, ITAT, High court and Supreme court, if youre not happy with IT Commissioners
order!
Mr.Vodafone: But well have to waste so much of our money in hiring tax-lawyers! Do you have any idea how much time and money did it cost me
to prove my innocence in Vodafone-Hutch deal? This GAAR will only generate more income for the top 10-12 tax lawyers of India.
Tax Evasion
Tax
Avoidance
An arrangement of a tax payers affairs that is intended to reduce his liability and that although the arrangement
could be strictly legal.
The key distinction being that in tax avoidance the key facts and financial details are not hidden by the tax
payer but are on audit-record.
So there is no black-money because all the money is reported to the tax-authorities.
Tax
Planning
Arrangement of a persons business and /or private affairs in order to minimize tax liability.
GAAR is not an antidote for tax evasion; it can only solve tax avoidance.
The GAAR cannot deal with tax evasion since it cannot deal with what is not reported.
Youve shown enthusiasm against Tax evasion but you dont flex your muscles in same manner when it comes to Hasan Ali and other tax
evaders!
So instead of clubbing GAAR with DTC, make a separate law for that incorporates not only GAAR (tax evasion) but also provisions for
black money.
GAAR is only a piecemeal approach. The situation requires a holistic approach to handle both Tax Avoidance + Tax evasion.
Piecemeal vs Holistic Approach
Pranab: But my friend, something is better than nothing. As youre well aware, I dont enjoy majority in Rajya-Sabha. It is very tough for me to pass
any bill be it womens reservation bill or pension and insurance reforms.
According to the Constitution, Income tax legislation falls under the domain of Union Government. Therefore I can proceed easily with
DTC without consulting State Governments. Besides DTC target audience=middle class+corporates= The vote-bank is large enough so
no party dares to oppose DTC beyond a level. I can easily pass DTC (+ GAAR) in Rajya Sabha too.
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But when we talk about Holistic approach of dealing with Black Money, that involves both direct and indirect taxes. So, Ive to take
state governments in confidence before passing any legislation or framework, just like the FDI in retail or GST (Goods and services
tax.)
Youve already seen all Non-Congressi chief ministers opposing NCTC. Even if I want to do something good, How am I supposed to
proceed with a holistic approach / legislation to deal with both Tax Avoidance + Tax evasion?
No respect for bilateral Tax treaties=Uncertainty
Mr.Vodafone: The GAAR even says that its provisions shall override the provisions of any Double Taxation Avoidance Agreement (Tax Treaty) that
India may have entered into with other nations. This means total disrespect for bilateral tax treaties!
Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties that that a treaty should be interpreted and must be performed by parties to it in good faith.
Pranab (intervenes): haha dude we have neither signed nor ratified that Vienna Convention!
Mr.Vodafone: But then how am I supposed to do business? There is no certainty whether youre going to respect the International tax treaties or
not. It will all depend on the whims and fancies of your IT Commissioner.
How am I going to make business deals with other companies abroad? Economy cannot prosper in places having any type of uncertainty. Take the
case of Naxal affected regions.
Besides Supreme Court has said in my case
Tax policy certainty is crucial for taxpayers (including foreign investors) to make rational economic choices in the most efficient manner.
Pranab: ya ya I know it very well what Supreme Court said in your case. And the main reason for doing GAAR is to make sure that you cant win in
Supreme court next time.
Mr.Vodafone: Then Ill make sure you that get a downgrade in Standard and Poor (S&P)s rating. Just one stroke and the FIIs will pull out crores
from your market in a week=Rupee weakens =crude oil becomes expensive= inflation. Fir GAAR ki poongi bajaate rahenaa.
Summery
Pranab, His party, Jholaachhap NGOs and Leftwing columnists of The Hindu et al
Big companies sell their products in Indian and make huge cash. Yet they do business deals in Mauratius, Caymens island etc to avoid
paying taxes to Indian Government.
With GAAR, we can recover taxes from them and use it for poverty-removal (!)
Anti GAAR-lobby
IT Commissioners are vested with so much discretionary powers, and theyll abuse it to meet the Revenue collection targets.
Burden of proof rests with suspect and not with the prosecution. GAAR puts the onus on the taxpayer to prove that his business-deal is
not for tax-avoidance. This will create a lot of uncertainty and could potentially lead to a dangerous trend of the IT Commissioner
questioning almost every transaction that results in tax saving.
GAAR doesnt respect bilateral tax-treaties= uncertainty=not good for making business decisions.
End of article. Die hard fans of Sachin, Nupur Talwaar and anyone else not as bored and fed up as Im, can leave now. No need to read further.
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Epilogue #1: Mr.Vodafone
Some newspaper columnist: GAAR is blah blah blah blah GAAR is blah blah blah..
Mr.Vodafone: what is this yaar? GAAR should have been a news issue since August 2009 when Pranab introduced the DTC bill in parliament.
But Only in 2012, after Vodafone judgment and Budget 2012, you fellas start writing about GAAR and that too only for namesake. And nobody is
gonna read your newspaper columns except those UPSC and MBA aspirants. This GAAR issue requires proper public-debate because it has direct
implications on Foreign investment, IIP, GDP, employment, inflation everything. Why no news channel is taking up this GAAR-matter?
Newchannel Anchor: sorry man but my news schedule is totally jampacked with Sachins Rajya-sabha nomination and Nupur Talwars bail case.
Ive to cover these two breaking news tirelessly for next 15 days 24/7.
Mr.Vodafone: Thousands of girls get raped and killed across India on daily basis. What about them? Theyre not important? Dont they too deserve
to get justice and media activism? Posh victims of Delhi-Noida region deserve quicker justice than some poor victims in Chhattisgarh or Rajasthan?
Zee News, Aaj Tak, NDTV, Star News, TimesNow and CNN_IBN, no matter which channel I switch to, there is only Nupur Talwaar, Nupur Talwaar
and Nupur Talwaar. Youre giving minute by minute live coverage of her: Nupur wore her own clothes to jail, she borrowed a jail library book, she
was given a blanket, a mug, and she dined on brinjal-potatoes, dal and rotis. Hell, even Nathuram Godse, Lee Harvey Oswald and Nalini Sriharan
didnot get this much attention!
Newchannel Anchor: How can you be so cruel and insensitive about the Arushi murder case? If she wasnt murdered she could have become the
next female President, Speaker or Prime Minister of India.
Mr.Vodafone: oh yesright .now I get it. And since Sachin is becoming a Rajya Sabha MP. Rivers of milk and honey will flow, Naxalites will
stop kidnapping good Collectors, Drunkards will stop beating their wives, Lokpaal bill will be passed., Black money will be brought from
Switzerland, Kashmir issue will be solved, Bhopal Gas victims will get proper compensation and all the MBA colleges of India will stop looting
aspirants in fee refunds, by declaring their results simultaneously on same date, right?
Newchannel Anchor: Haahaahaa really man, please stop talking like Justice Katju!
Mr.Vodafone: But I didnt mention Farmer suicides or Sunny Leone
Epilogue #2: Pranab
Pranab
Damn it!! This GAAR thing is still stuck in the parliamentary Committee. How am I supposed to get more
Revenue in the mean time? How will Rahulbaba say in Gujarat assembly election rallies ki hum Delhi se paisa
bhejte hai lekin Haathi Modi paisa khaa jaataa hai!
.
IT
Commissione
r
Boss, Tell him not to repeat the speeches of UP rallies in Gujarat, else UP result fiasco will also get repeated in
Gujarat. Anyways, Ive got an idea about increasing Revenue collection.
Pranab
IT
Commissione
r
How about 80% tax on skin-whitening creams and also on the brand-ambassadors of those skin-whitening
creams: SRK, John Abraham et al.
Pranab
But heavy direct-taxation leads to more tax evasion and heavy indirect-taxation leads to
smuggling as it happened inOnce Upon A Time In Mumbaai because India Junta has obsessed with white skin.
Ok another idea Sir-ji.
You become brand ambassador of Sandhi Sudha Tel (oil).
In front of camera, you just have to say :
IT
Commissione
r
I did not need a knee replacement surgery thanks to Sandhi Sudha Tel.
Iss tel ke istemaal se Mujhe Jodo ke dard mein bahot raahat mili hai.
.
That company pays damn good money for brand-promotion: ask Govinda, Jackie Shroff and Alok Nath, if you dont believe me.
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Pranab
Govinda
(intervenes)
Not a good idea Sir-ji. Why taking away my bread n butter? I have to send my son to Kota for AIEEE coaching!
[Economy Q] Effect of Coal prices on WPI (Whole sale price index)
Q. How does increase in price of coal by Coal India affected the WPI?
Ans. When coal becomes expensive, the electricity by thermal power stations becomes expensive. And freight railway charges also increase.
That has snowballing effect on everything because
1.
Now factory owners have to pay more electricity-bill while producing same amount of stuff,
2.
Theyve to pay more money to trains while getting same amount of items transported.
3.
Steel, aluminum, cement, glass etc industries also require coal during manufacturing process.
4.
So, theyve to increase their product-price to keep the profit margin same.
And coal price itself is counted in WPI, with about 1.7% weightage.
Thus Whole sale price (WPI) increases when coal becomes expensive.
[Economy Q] Difference between Tax and Cess
Q. explain the difference between Tax & Cess
Tax is self-explanatory, youve to pay a portion of money to the Government on the income /profit you make or the products you purchase etc.
Cess means Tax on that tax.
For example if there is 10% income Tax and 3% Educational-Cess on it.
Your income is 1 lakh Rupees, so you have to pay 10% income tax on it =Rs. 10000.
And Cess = tax on the tax. So 3% cess on Rs.10000 income Tax = Rs.300
Generally Cess is temporary in nature. e.g. Education cess on income tax is taken, and after Government get sufficient money to open new
schools, then cess is removed.
Food for thought
The tax itself is taken in pretext of running the administration and doing the Development work so If Cess (tax on tax) is demanded that means
something is not right in the system.
[Economy Q] Base year and Current year price? How to calculate WPI and CPI?
Question . Ive come across these terms numerous times, but couldnt make anything out.
Whats all these about Base year prices and Current year prices while calculating economical statistics?
Tell me what is inflation?
Its the increase in the price of a product.
How can you say there is inflation?
Because, earlier in the year 2001, we could buy a litre of petrol for Rs.50, but now its Rs.70/- per litre. So there is price-rise and hence there is
inflation.
Means you need to compare the current price, with some old price to say that the price has increased (or decreased), right ?
Hence, to calculate the inflation (CPI,WPI) well need to compare the price of some item for two different years.
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Suppose Price of a lifebouy soap was Rs.10 in 2001. And now it has increased to Rs.12 per bar. So what is the % increase?
[(12-10)/10]*100=20% incrase in the price of a soap.
What did we do, in above formula?
We took 2001 is the base year and 2011 is the current year. Then we divided the change in price, with the price of base year and multiplied it with
100 to get the percentage.
If price of a soap was Rs.1 in 1950s (dont get excited because in those days, monthly income of most middle-class people was around 100-300
Rs, so one rupee was a big amount.)
So with 1950 as base year, whatll be the % price increase?
[(12-1)/1]*100=1100% increase in the price of a soap!
But does it make any sense to calculate inflation with such an old base year? Ofcourse not, because lot things have changed after 1950, including
the salaries of the middle class people. So you wont get the real picture.
Inflation is a hurt-meter. You cannot fathom how much it hurts now, if you didnot feel less pain earlier. Those who lived in 1950s are all either dead
or retired. And the current-working population never actually bought a soap for 1 rupee. So how much is the soap price hurting the currentpopulation, to know that answer, you need to set the hurt-meter to compare the prices of recent memory: oh yeah back in 2004 it was only 10
rupees and now its 12 so yes I can feel it hurting me.
Morale of the story: We need to have the base-year at some near-past level like 2004-05 to get the real picture of inflation. (Earlier this base year
was about 1993-94)
Now lets get a lil technically correct, above post was written to clear the basic concept of base year and current year only, the CPI and WPI are not
calculated so straight-forward.
How to calculate the WPI or CPI?
Price of a bike was 30,000 in 2004 and now its close to 55,000/-.
Price of one litre milk was 25 Rs. in 2004 and now it is almost 60/- (After Sharad Pawar advised all the dairies to buy an alarm, which rings at paheli
taarikh every month to remind them to increase the price without fail)
So, What hurts to you more, or what hurts the people at large: bike price or milk price? ofcourse the milk price inflation because you need to buy it
every day.
So when calculating the inflation, you need to weight the products according to their usage.
The weightage given in WPI
It is something like this
1. Primary Articles (food,fruits etc):22%
2. Fuel, Power, Light & Lubricants :14%
3. Manufactured Products (biscuit,toothpaste):63%
Now survey the prices of all items in the base year and in the current year. Then you plug them in the Lesperes Formula for weighted arithmetic
mean. (Formula is not important, but what is important for you to know is, that it is not a simple average but a weighted average)
And you get a number, we call it the WPI index number for the given year or given week or given month.
Suppose after calculation you get a number 110 on 1st August 2011.
For base year we assume that WPI is 100.
So there is 10% inflation.
i.e. [110-100/100]*100
Now on 1st September 2011, you calculate again with new price data and the number is 112. What does that mean? The inflation has increased by
12% compared to compared to base year AND inflation has increased by 1.8% compared to last month. i.e. (112-110)/110*100
[Economy Q] If dollar weakens, oil price appreciates How? Relation between dollar and oil prices
Question. Plz explain The Relationship Between Oil Prices & Dollar If dollar weakens , the oil price appreciates How??
Answer. Lets say today 1$=50 Rs and price of one barrel of oil is 100$.
Means, if you sell 1 barrel of oil, you get 100$ (or 5000 Rs.)
so by selling 1 barrel, you can buy stuff worth 5000 Rs. from Indian market.
But next week, dollar weakens and it stands at 1$=40Rs.
If you still sell your one barrel @100$ then you can buy stuff worth
Rs.4000 only. So what should you do to keep your profit margin same?Obviously
increase the price of 1 barrel of oil to 125$. (because $125*40=5000 Rs.)
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In short, dollar has weakened, means its purchasing power has declined in the international market. Now you can buy less stuff from Chinese,
European or Indian market using that 1 dollar compared to earlier times, when Dollar was stronger.
Since youre selling your barrel in the dollar currency, you must increase the price of your oil-barrel to maintain your profit margin and standard of
living the same. (else youll have to cut down on your expenses like the chauffeur for your limo or the number of workers in your oil-well.)
[Economy Q] Difference between Subprime Crisis and Eurozone Crisis
Question via email
Difference between Eurozone crisis and Subprime Crisis?
Ans. Im writing for explanation purpose only. Technical details, intentionally skipped.
Subprime Crisis
First you need to understand Mortgage, derivatives and Asset bubble.
Mortage
You give me $10,000 loan and I sign on a paper that if I cant pay back the amount before 2045, you can take over my house. So my house is
mortgaged.
Subprime dude
He is the borrower who is less likely to repay a loan. Because his income is low or irregular.
Why would bank want to give loans to sub-prime dudes in the first place?
Because bank can demand more interest rates from such people because of their bad credit history.
Subprime is also in the car-loans, credit card etc. Besides when the general manager gives impossible targets to his probationary officer, So what
can a man do? Just give loan to every swinging dude around.
Derivative
Youre a big bank, youve given such loans or credit cards to lot of sub-prime dudes and you know it well that theyre less likely to pay. So after a
while, you decide to cash in your investment before these dudes start defaulting, so you repack those mortgage papers (security) and make a new
security paper anyone who gives me $50,000, Ill give him mortgage papers of 5 houses = this is derivative product, because this security paper
derives its value from those mortgage papers.
Asset bubble
So now you sold such a derivate product to second guy, he then re-packs it with other things and makes a new derivative product sells it to third
guychain continues. Here, no new asset (property or something that can generate $$) is created, basically you all are playing games with the
same five houses mortgaged, blowing the ballon with new derivates. Thus the asset bubble is created.
A point comes when people who took loans or did big shoppings with credit cards : they refuse to pay back and say
take our houses, we dont have the money.
But you cant sell the house, real-estate has collapsed, noone is ready to pay even $5000 for that house, on which you had given $10000 loan. Your
asset bubble is burst, and what youve in your hand: that piece of trash paper is a toxic asset or anon-performing asset (NPA).
This is sub-prime crisis. And technically it contained, after American treasury bought all such NPAs worth $1 trillion (somewhere in 2009), but the
aftershocks are still felt: American economy is not back on track yet, because that $1 trillion bailout money didnot fall from sky, nor does the dollars
spend on military expenditure in Iraq or Afghanistan fall from sky.
Eurozone Crisis
Also known as Sovereign debt crisis.
What happened here is the Governments of PIGS (Portugal, Ireland, Greece, Spain)were spending way too much money on subsidies, NREGA
stuff and bank bailouts etc. They used to finance their spending by borrowing from the market. These nations earn most of their money from export
to America and tourism income from American travelers. But the sub-prime crisis and the recession in 2008-09 meant Americans stopped going on
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vacations. So the airlines,tourism and export business declined, while the expenditure remained the same. Hence in a way, Eurozone crisis is an
aftershock of the Sub-prime earthquake.
Little concept: debt to GDP :
Suppose Debt to GDP is 96% (meaning if the country produced goods and services worth $100 in a year, they already had outstanding loanrepayment worth $96)
High Debt to GDP means investors loose confidence in your country.
These PIGS had high Debt to GDP than other nations, hence they are in the crisis.
But why only PIGS: why they ran out of money? (along with Debt to GDP %)
Portugal:93%
Over-spending by Government, inefficient PSUs with too much manpower (just like our Air-India).
Ireland:96%
Their banks were running the same asset bubble game like the Americans. When it collapsed, Government had to bailem out.
Greece:143%
Overspending on Social schemes, overinflated staff in PSUs. Misreported its official economic statistics, to fool the investors in buying the
Government bonds. Caught.
Spain:60%
Socialist Government, so lot subsidy and NREGA stuff
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regional agreement in which members of the PTA impose a preferential tariff or lower customs duty on the products originating from the member
countries.
FTA is a special case of PTA where all tariff and non-tariff barriers are abolished and free access is allowed to the products of member countries. In
both PTA and FTA, each member is free to maintain different most-favoured-nation (MFN) barriers on non-members. Rules of Origin between the
members of FTA is agreed to ensure that genuine products of the FTA partners alone are given duty-free access (World Bank 2005).
A Customs Union moves beyond a free trade area by establishing a common external tariff on all trade between, members and non-members.
Customs Unions typically contain mechanisms to redistribute tariff revenue among members.
A Common Market deepens a customs union by providing free flow of factors of production such as labour and capital in addition to the flow of
outputs.
In an Economic and Monetary Union, members share a common currency and macro-economic policies (Example European Union).
There is only a very shallow integration between PTAs, FTAs and Custom Union whereas a deep integration exists between Common Markets and
Economic Unions
Over a period of time there has been an explosive growth in regional and preferential trading system in the form of Regional Trade Agreements and
Preferential/ Free Trade Agreements (PTA / FTA).
India is also involved in a number of RTAs andFTAs.India is currently involved in 19 free trade negotiations.
[Economy 4 Newbies] Backwash and Spread Effect in Economic Development by Puneeth
All credit to Puneetg of IOforum for this article.
Q. What is Backwash effect?
Ans. It is an economic development effect suggested by Swedish economist Gunnar Myrdal. It basically means that
if one particular area in a country starts growing or developing, it causes people, human capital as well as physical capital (infrastructure, finance,
machines etc.) from other parts of the country to gravitate towards this growing centre.
This essentially leaves the other areas worse off than before because their best brains and capital leave them to go to the growing centre. It means
that growth in one area adversely affects the growth in the other.
For instance, in India, lets say
Delhi is the developing centre with all the companies being set up there.
Then people from all over Haryana, Punjab, UP, Bihar etc. have a tendency to move to Delhi because all companies are located there
and better employment opportunities exist.
So Delhi will grow but the remaining areas will be worse off. This is Backwash effect.
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development in one place, spreads to its suburbs and all the adjoining areas.
Again taking the example of Delhi, we could argue that suburbs like Faridabad, Gurgaon, Ghaziabad etc. have benefited from Delhis
growth due to the Spread Effect caused by Delhis growth.
[Economy 4 Newbie] Securities, Derivatives, Financial Market
If you give me 100 Rs. And take that paper- then that paper becomes the security
Keep in mind that The 100 Rs you give to me or the 120 Rs. Ill give to you after 6 months- that is NOT Security. That Piece of
paper is the security.
Technical definition
Security means a formal declaration that documents a fact of relevance to finance and investment gives the
holder a right to receive interest or dividends.
Shares, debentures.
Theyre also securities of one type. You must be knowing about them already so just in brief
1. If for your 100 rs, I give you a limited ownership in my company and promise to give you the share from my profit =
this is share
2.
But if I say that, Ill give you 15 Rs. Every year no matter I get any profit / not = this is debenture.
you gave me 100 Rs and I gave you a paper saying Ill payback 120 Rs. (=Mrunalssecurity paper)
there is another guy named Mitul who, same way borrowed 100 Rs. And gave you another paper saying hell pay
you 120 Rs after 6 months. (Mituls security paper.)
Now you need money before 6 months, so you write on a new paper, anyone who gives me 220 Rs, Ill give him
240 Rs. Worth Security papers of Mrunal and Mitul.
that new paper you crated is again a security but it doesnt have direct-money attached with it instead, it
derives its value from the security papers for Mrunal andMitul. So your new paper is called Derivatives
lets now deviate from our articles topic for a while to learn a few things related to recession from above talk.
Mortgage, Asset bubble & derivatives
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You give me 100 Rs. And I give you paper saying if I dont pay back, you can take away my house
this is mortgage. But again this is also one kind of security paper
Now youre a big bank, so youve plenty of such mortgage papers because you give loans to lot of people. (even to
those who cant afford to pay back the loan)
Then you repack those mortgage papers (security ) and make a new security paper anyone who gives me 500 Rs.
Ill give him mortgage papers of 5 houses = this is derivative product.
Suppose 3rd guy bought such derivative papers and after few months, he repacks them- makes another derivative
product and sell it to 4th guy.
Such papers are one sort of asset (because you can get money from someone using it.)
but as you can see, you did not create any new asset youre just keep reselling same stuff over and over to
different people. So youre blowing a bubble
After few months, I refuse to pay money, and tell the 4th guy to take away my home. But the prices in reality
sector are low so even if you sell my home you cant recover your 100 Rs. = this is toxic asset / NPA = non-performing
asset and your asset bubble is burst
Financial Market
If I had promised to pay back money in less than 1 year (=short term loan) , this will be called Money Market
If I had promised to pay back money after long time like 10-20 years (=long term loan) , this will be called
a CAPITAL MARKET.
Players in Capital Market (diagram)
As said above, when I take long term loan = its capital market.
When initially I took money from you and give you piece of paper = this isPRIMARY market. *
But after sometime, you need the money while Im going to pay back after 10 years.
So you borrow 100 Rs from another guy and give that piece of paper (=security) to that guy. And tell him to recover
the money from Mrunal = you traded my security. This is SECONDARY MARKET (Sharemarket / BSE/NSE etc)
(*this primary market will be discussed in another article) our current article deals only with capital market.)
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Its the job of SEBI to control both Primary & Secondary Capital market in India. (detailed article about SEBI,BSE,&NSE is coming
soon.)
As you saw on above diagram that Govt. is also a player in capital market. So,
= Im in deficit (gap)
1.
But this will make people unhappy and theyll not vote for me in next election
2.
But this will create inflation= again unhappy people= less votes.
3.
But if I borrow too much, Ill have to play by their tunes regarding Kashmir, Copenhagen, WTO-Doha.
4.
So Ill issue securities. (When you issue for the first time = youre in primary market.)
keep in mind that Govt. does this for short term deficits. (its like I need money in October 2010 but youre going to
pay income tax in March 2011 so Ill use this trick to cover my money needs.)
When you give me your money and receive that piece of paper (security) = you can be certain that Im going to
pay back and wont run away like Ashok Jadeja. After all Im the Government. And I pay good profits.
As I decided to issue security in primary market, but that doesnt mean Ill send my peon/clerk/Secretary to the
primary market with bag full of papers (security) and sell it like vegetables.
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I give my piece of papers (security / treasury bills) to RBI- theyll give me the money and then RBIs men will sell it
in the primary market. = RBI is Govt.s debt manager.*
*Security Paper= Im going to pay money after some time. = Im in your debt. And RBI managers my security
papers so theyre my debt manager.
Ok so now you know that RBI is Govt.s debt manager. But consider this
RBIs main job = maintain liquidity (=money supply) in market via monetary policy (=CRR,Repo etc crap)
But, When RBI sells Govt. securities in primary market, and give the money to Govt. = money supply flow is
interrupted = liquidity is drying = harder to get loans
= conflict of interest.
Thats why many people are calling for separate Public debt Management office and relieve RBI from this duty.
Ok now ,final part in this article-As we saw, there are 2 types of capital market : Primary and secondary. but
Im going to return money to you after 10 years. So your hands are tied you cant recover it from me until next
10 years, so what if you needed money in emergency? Youve secondary market so youll sell my security to someone
else and recover the money. Otherwise,
In the absence of a secondary market, many of the investors would probably not agree to supply capital (money) in
the primary market because they would not have an exit route for their investment.
Gives Price information
By active trading by millions of investor, you get price information regarding the securities.
This price information is used to judge
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
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This is the first article regarding how and why SEBI
came to existence and how things were running in Stock markets in old times. The more about how they calculate SENSEX etc.
will be dealt in upcoming articles later on.
As usual, my articles are politically and technically not 100% correct.
What is SEBI?
It regulates both the primary and secondary markets. (explained in my previous article)
SEBI was established in 1988 but was given statutory powers in 1992, and started working effectively since 1993.
Why did the government create SEBI?
As you know that in India, the Government wont do any major reform or action unless the things get messed up really bad. The
same was the case why SEBI was given the power to control both primary and secondary market because they were in complete
mess. So lets first see, what was the problems in primary and secondary markets before SEBI came in picture.
primary market was extremely restrictive regulations on the issuers enforced by the Controller of Capital Issues
(CCI)
Now lets assume Im the big businessman.
I cant fix the prices of my shares, as I like, because ive to follow the rules made by CCI.
When I put my equity shares for the first time in Primary market = this is IPO (initial public offering)
but now as you know that I cant fix high prices for my IPO due to CCI dude.
so lots of people will send application to buy it because its cheap (= over subscription)
so ill have to give the IPO shares via lottery only to a few people.
but those who get my cheap IPO via lottery will immediately go to secondary market and sell it at higher price.
= I lost money (that I could have made if CCI dude allowed me to sell my IPO @higer price.)
and those lucky dudes who won the lottery made money without really doing anything.
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As you can see, all this is not good for industrial Development.
Secondary market = where you trade the securities that you purchased from primary market.
For general understanding- the stock markets = secondary market = where you sell/buy shares.
So lets see the
first organized stock exchange was established in 1875 in Bombay (now Mumbai)
but trading was concentrated in Bombay Stock Exchange and it enjoyed a monopoly
Users from outside Bombay found it extremely difficult to trade in BSE due to poor technology and high cost of
telecommunications. (they didnt have internet or cellphones with free incoming calls in 1992!)
BSE imposed a high entry barrier, so that competition among brokers was absent.
Thats why services provided by the brokers were, thus, extremely inefficient and costly. (its same like Indian
railways stinking toilets- you cant complain because railway dont have much competition.)
Specific problems in Share market before 1992
open outcry system
means trading used to take place in trading ring where non-brokers were not allowed in.
These traders will shout the prices like weve in vegetable markets.
There wasnt any mechanism to verify the prices at which trading actually took place.
So, brokers used to charge prices to the investors (buyers and sellers of securities) that were usually different from
the actual prices
=brokers used to report higher than actual prices for buy orders and lower than actual prices for sell orders).
If investors (buyers or sellers) demanded a more accurate price, orders often got cancelled (for example, the broker
could simply claim that such a favourable price was not obtained in the market).
The settlement system
payment of money and delivery of securities after trade by the brokers to both parties (buyer and seller of shares)
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means that trading done during a fortnight would be settled at the end of the fortnight.
system of badla =enabled the brokers to carry forward their liability (of money or securities) to next settlement.
so, brokers could postpone settlement almost indefinitely, if the prices were not favorable to them.
This led to a high degree of risks. Large-scale problems arising out of failure to make payment or deliver shares,
would lead to closure of BSE for days together,
this used to recur at the rate of almost once every other year.
Even after you buy the shares and get the paper in your hands- you had to send the shares to the registrar of the
company to register the ownership of that share in your name.
At this stage, the problem of bad delivery arose due to a number of problems
if the signature of the seller did not match with the one maintained with the registrar, the shares were sent back.
Reasons for inaccurate signature
The seller of the shares, who probably purchased the shares years back, might unwillingly sign in a different
manner.
Engineering bad deliveries by selling partys brokers or by the companies themselves to delay settlement in order
to support price manipulation.
The time lag between buying shares and getting it registered in the name of the buyer used to take anything
between 1-3 months if everything was alright.
The time lag normally went up to six months on an average in case of bad delivery.
Anyways so above were the problems with primary + secondary market so Govt. made a law to give powers to SEBI to control
them both. And so CCI was abolished.
NSE (National stock exchange) was established to end the monopoly of Bombay Stock Exchange.
NSE was a new exchange promoted and owned by public sector financial institutions (like IDBI, UTI, LIC, GIC, IFCI,
etc.) and banks.
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NSE is professionally-managed (as opposed to the other exchanges that are managed by brokers or members still
today)
First, physical, floor-based, brokers-dominated trading outside the eyes of the investors was replaced by
anonymous, computerized order matching system
wherein an order is executed according to the price parameters set by the investors.
The OTCEI, which was set up in 1992, was the first computerised exchange in India.
NSE started operations in 1994 with electronic trading, while all other exchanges introduced electronic trading
subsequently.
By March 31, 1999, all the 23 stock exchanges in the country had computerised on-line screen based trading.
Satellite communication
to spread the reach of the exchange to all over the country was attempted successfully, for the first time, by NSE.
This was in stark contrast to the other exchanges which till then had the reach limited to their cities of operation for
over a century.
Professional managers
the traditional exchanges were and still are managed by the member brokers.
This gave rise to many malpractices, a conflict of interest being the most important one. Since the brokers
themselves were in charge of enforcement of rules and regulations, they never took a decision in favour of the investors
that went against their interest.
This gave rise to a conflict of interest between the members as brokers and members as responsible for
enforcement of rules and regulations.
NSE avoided this problem right from beginning because it was set up as a limited liability company with brokers as
franchisees.
This led to a situation where brokers were not held responsible for enforcement of rules and regulations, and
those who were entrusted with enforcement (professional managers) were not brokers.
As a result, NSEs staff is free of pressures from brokers and is better able to perform regulatory and enforcement
functions.
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Weekly settlement
If you buy shares from me, youve to give me the money in 1 week and Ive to give you the shares in the same 1
week.
the traditional practice of fortnightly settlement cycle + system of badla that allowed extension of even this
fortnightly cycle was replaced by a strict weekly settlement cycle without badla.
Result-BSE Is busted
Within one year of operation, NSE surpassed the BSE in terms of turnover.
BSE was working since 1875, with monopoly now it had to face competition with N.S.E
So in March 1995, BSE also adopted similar innovation to keep up in the race.
Improved Transparency:
Investors can see with their own eyes the prices that are currently being quoted in the market, and choose to trade or not.
Anonymity= no cartels
gave rise to cartels (of brokers) and made price manipulation easy. NSE
was a break from this tradition as well and removed much of the scope for
price manipulation.
NSE throws open the business of stock broking to all and everyone (subject to fulfillment of certain criteria).
In contrast, BSE restricted new entry into the brokerage business until NSE came into picture.
Now More than a thousand brokers entered the market with the NSE leading to steep increase in competition and
the consequent fall in the brokerages* by a very substantial amount.
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Investors outside Mumbai can earn money
Investors from all over the country have got access to an exchange on same terms and conditions as investors
within Mumbai for the first time.
Earlier, Bombay stock exchange was the pre-dominant one in the country,
but investors outside the city found it extremely difficult and costly to do business in the exchange. (no cellphones
with free incoming!)
Thus, true to its name, NSE turned out to be the first national stock exchange.
This benefited the investors from outside Mumbai more than perhaps the investors within the city.
Its a subsidiary of N.S.E, to prevent the counter party risk. (established in August 1995)
counter-party risk means the risk that one of the two parties in a transaction may fail to honour their commitment
to pay cash [buyer] or stock [seller] on the scheduled settlement date
For every trade (buy or sell) done on the NSE, NSCCL becomes the counter-party.
means, the seller sells the securities to the NSCCL, and the buyer buys from the
NSCCL.
Even if a brokerage firm fails to make payment (or deliver securities), NSCCL makes the payment (or deliver
securities).
This has almost eliminated counter-party risk and contained the recurrence of payment crises
that characterised Indian stock markets for almost a century.
Demat account
You read above, how the bad delivery of shares was engineering by the brokers.+the menace of counterfeit
shares. And the fear of theft of shares.
To curb this problem, SEBI came up with the novel idea that is Dematerialization of share holding
when you buy shares, you dont get a piece of paper. That share gets automatically credited to
your demat account.
In November 1996, the National Securities Depository Ltd. (NSDL), the first depository in India, was
established For this purpose.
SEBI played an active role in gradual shifting from physical certificates todematerialised holding by introducing a
mandatory element in the process.
Currently almost cent percent trading and settlement are done in a dematerialisedenvironment.
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But things are not that safe and sweet, thanks to IPO scam-Demat Queen RoopalPanchal
[Economy 4 Newbie] Infrastructure Roads, Railways, Seaports etc
Infrastructure is one of the most important topics for UPSC, because in mains-essay-interview it helps you frame better answer in
almost all questions regarding Indias problems (ranging from Maoist to insurgency to poverty) this article is just to give
basic highlights about infrastructureconcepts, the minute fact-data you can find from any magazine.
What is infrastructure?
In simple terms, things like roads, dams, power-plants,schools, etc. help you in your life and business = this is
infrastructure.
Broadly, infrastructure includes all public services from law and order through education and public health to
transportation, communications, power and water supply, as well as irrigation and drainage systems.
Classification
When Govt. opens more polytechnique, IITs,IIMs youll get better trained people to work in factories and
business.thus,
Quality of labour is enhanced by human capital improvements via Social infrastructure
Suppose youre running a cybercafe. So, the shop, the computers and internet connection is your capital
(=something that generates money.) But what if there is no electricity in 3 days per week?/ slow internet connection? =
your business will be ruined.
So, When Govt. opens more powerhouses, lays more telephone cables, sends more Satellites = your cybercafe will
earn more money.
Thus,
productivity of physical capital is improved by power and transportation etc economic infrastructures.
If youre a truck driver. If the roads are bad then? Trucks tyres,engine will need more servicing.
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If the roads are good then? youll be able to drive your truck faster and make more trips.
Thus,
Infrastructure lowers the cost of producing a given level of output or, alternatively, can increase the amount of
output produced by all other inputs for a given cost.
Infrastructure enables markets to work better. Transactions are made less costly and this increases the benefits of trade. For
example, advances in transport and communications have considerably lowered storage costs by permitting producers to
respond rapidly to changing consumer demands
even in international trade. (this is referred to as modern logistics management).
If youre running a factory, and there is no electricity 3 days per week, then youll waste lot of your money buying & running
diesel generators & then youll sell your products at higher cost, to recover that money you wasted in diesel.
Thus,
Unit costs tend to rise due to unreliable or inaccessible public infrastructure.
Both small and big firms spend a significant portion of their expenditure on buying infrastructure services and suffer when these
are not available.
National highways,
2.
State highways,
3.
4.
5.
village roads
Central Govt. is responsible for maintaining the National Highways, other 4 types of roads are maintained by State
Govt.
Before LPG in 1991, only Govt. could invest in making roads. but after LPG, National Highways Act was amended in
1995 to allow private sector participation.
NHAI (National Highways Authority of India) was created to build and upgrade national highways.
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Funds have been made available to the NHAI for its capital base through a tax on motor spirit and cess on diesel.
but yet
NHAI isnt working @ its full potential because
1.
2. Environment ministry clearance (you want to chop down trees to make roads then you need permission from Forest
Dept.)
3.
Land Aquisition
In old times (60s to 90s) when the land was cheap, Govt. didnot acquire it,
so now it has to buy the land and pay very high prices per square meter + other compensation. (+ the pseudoenvironmentalists)
Railways
i.e. you want to send tonnes of wheat/coal from one state to another, itll consume more dieasel if you do it via
trucks.
railway services are intermediate inputs to production; any reduction in these input costs raises the profitability of
production.
CROSS SUBSIDISATION
=railways should not be denied to even those who are unable to pay fully.
(=poor people should also be allowed to enjoy railways= Garib Rath / Student concession pass etc.)
But it doesnt fall from sky, if someone is enjoy something then somebody has to pay money for it, right ?
so, freight charges* and upper class passengers ticket prices are set high, to cover that cost.
Railways earning
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<*when you send physical items like wheat / coal = this is Freight>
road sector the four-laning of the Golden quadrilateral and tnew expressway stretches.
use of pipelines for the transportation of petroleum products
coal and cement have started moving via coastal shipping.
+ Cheaper airplane tickets so those previously moving via 1st class AC Railways, switch to Airlines when prices are low.
But above 4 are also infrastructure (roads, pipelines,shipping ports, airports!) so any
Development of one infrastructure may degrade the Development of other infrastructure
But, ultimately the common people benefit from it.+ Compitition lowers the prices
Gauge conversion,
electrification projects,
Seaports
12 major ports (managed by Central Govt.| account for over 75 % of total cargo)
185 minor ports (managed by State Govt. |25% Cargo transported via them)
After LPG, Private companies are allowed to participate in Development of these ports.
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If you want to export Wheat to S.Africa, then itll be expensive if you do it using aeroplanes.
But first of all youve to transport the wheat grown in Punjab / UP/Haryana to Mumbais port via Railway/Trucks.
Thus,
Thats why, Government is investing in improving the road connectivity to major ports through the NHDP.
REGULATION of sea-ports
as you know, there is TRAI (Telephone regulatory Authority of India) as judge for telephone related matters.
(otherwise BSNL will act as monopoly and pvt players like Vodaphone, Airtel wont get level playing field in spectrum
allocation etc.)
same way, for level playing field in sea-port operations Tariff Authority for Major Ports (TAMP) has been set up.
landlord ports
when cargo handling is done by private players, such ports are called landlord ports. (just like airport Management
given to pvt players.)
but in India all major ports are run by Port Trust made by central Govt.
but A wholly private owned port of Pipavav is setup in Gujarat = this is Landlord Port.
port of Sika ( Gujarat) accounts for the largest cargo handling among all ports in the country. (its connected to
Reliance Refinery @ Jamnagar.)
Airports
Private investments are to be drafted for the upgradation of the four major airports (Delhi Mumbai Kolkata and
Chennai).
and Hyderabad.
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new airport promoted by Kerala State Government has come up in Kochi with private investor participation.
Problems
Energy
Factories have to pay higher bills per unit of electricity so that Govt. can give free/cheaper electricity to farmers.
(again cross subsidisation)
High transmission and distribution losses (T&D losses) because of bad equipements.
Electricty theft.
communication
its aim is to provide connectivity to all rural, hill villages & remote parts.
Many rural / hill areas dont get adequate telephone/mobile connectivity because theyre high cost service areas
=mobile companies dont earn enough revenues (income) to cover costs of operating in that area.
Thus it falls on Govts shoulders to do that work. (thats why Govt. PSU BSNL exists.) > this is one of the arguments
in favor of public sector undertakings
= to serve the people where pvt players are not interested to work in. anyways, back to the topic:-
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Universal Service Obligations: (USO)
in short Govt. says itll try to give phone connectivity to rural areas.
for this they created a fund called USO fund. so when pvt players do something in rural areas, theyll get money
from it.
Niche Operators
It is assessed by TRAI that despite the USO support, existing big service
providers would not be interested to serve about 50 per cent of the villages. To
address this issue, TRAI in its Unified Licensing recommendations envisaged
that the Short Distance Charging Areas with teledensity less than 1 per cent be
notified as telecom-wise-backward areas. In these areas, niche operators,
defined as the telecom service providers whose services are restricted to these
backward areas only will be inducted. These operators are entitled for
concessions of zero entry fees, lower license fees and funds. The scheme is aimed to promote local entrepreneurs who have the
technical competence to provide communication solutions but cannot compete on equal footing with large operators.
Banking Infrastructure
What does the Bank do?
it saves your money, give you interest on it and itll give that money as loan to someone else to buy home/start business.thus,
Banks transfers the savings into productive investment.
But its not just the banks- but share market as well that transfers savings into investment.
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(well have to go to Development administration, polity ,centre state relations, history etc things to understand this inter-state
difference in infrastrucutre.) so not writing much on that here.
Health
Human Develpoement index has 3 components
Income
Knowledge
Health.
Some Facts
10th Plan talked about effectively using traditional Indian medicine system consisting of ayurveda, yoga, unani
and siddha.
These combined with homeopathy is named as AYUSH (was asked in mains 2009.)
Generally Govt. funds are mostly spent on preventing the of communicable diseases.(AIDS, Cholera,Polio etc) +
family planning schemes.
But in 10th plan they talked about National Mental Health Programme (for mentally challanged)
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Education
In todays speech, Obama said
the best poverty removal program is world class education
You can find the data regarding Sarva-Siksha Abhiyaan + Mid day meal from yearbook or similar books/magazines. So Im not
writing much on it here.
Govt. made a huge bridge on sea in Mumbai called Warli-Bandra sea link.
Now every car passing from it has to pay about 25-50 Rs.
But Govt. spent crores of rupees making the bridge + theyve to maintain staff to collect those fees from cars , and
pay that staff the salary.
So itll take almost 100 Years to recover the money Govt. invested it.
Second case
We get water from Narmada dam, every morning for 2 hours. For that weve to pay about 450 Rs. A year. Again- as
the same reason given above So itll take almost 100 Years to recover the money Govt. invested it making the dam.
But we cannot deny the fact the bridges and dams are important.
But private players wont be interested in making them because it takes long time to recover the money invested =
long gestation time.
Thats why the physical infrastructure like heavy industries, dams, roads, bridges etc. is considered to be
responsibility of the Govt.
Problem when Govt. starts doing something = red tape, inefficiency, corruption. + nowadays Govt. doesnt have lot
money to make new project.
Then weve BOT= build operate transfer type of project. Ill talk about this two (PPP/BOT) in detail in another article.
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[Economy 4 Newbie] Money market, Repo Rate & Call Money
Mrunal update October-18-2012: This is Old and outdated article. dont pay much attention, Ill refine and rewrite it later.
What is money market
In simple terms, if I borrow money from you for less than 1 year = the place where we do this deal is Money market
Technical definition
market refers to the market for short-term funds, i.e., up to one-year maturity.
money market is the place where lending and borrowing is done through instruments having an original maturity of up to one year.
Use of money market
money market provides a mechanism to balance the demand for and supply of short-term funds.
the opportunity for players to invest their short-term surplus funds and to borrow short-term funds in case of deficit.
Its interlinked with Foreign Exchange market (read my article on currency devaluation for more on this)
Call/ Notice/Term Money Market
It is the market for borrowing and lending for short-term periods (usually upto 14 days, but at times more than that)
It is a telephonic market, i.e., deals are struck over telephone and reported to RBI.(thats why its call market)
Commercial banks often face temporary shortages of funds (e.g., to meet CRR and SLR requirements, or sudden outgo of funds) or temporary
surpluses.
When a bank is in shortage of funds, it telephones & borrows from another bank which is in surplus.
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3 types of deals in Call Market
Call Money
If borrowing (or lending) is made for one day (overnight), it is known as Call Money.
If the maturity of borrowing (or lending) is more than 1 day but up to 14 days, then it is known as Notice Money.
Term Money
Term Money refers to money borrowed (or lent) for more than 14 days but less than one year. In
Indian money market, most of the transactions are of call money and notice money.
commercial banks and primary dealers can both borrow and lend,
LIC, UTI, GIC, IDBI, NABARD, ICICI & Mutual Fund managers can lend money in this market (but theyre not allowed to borrow from this
market)
RBI, as regulator, routinely participates in the market to inject liquidity (lend) or to mop up liquidity (borrow).
Repos/Reverse Repos
Suppose I write on a piece of paper anyone who gives me 100 Rs. Ill give him 120 Rs. After 1 year
Now I give that paper to you and collect 100 Rs. And tell you that Ill buy(repurchase) that paper after 6 months and give you 110 Rs.
Example
Now remember the mirror in the mirror my left hand will show as my right hand.
Same is for Reverse Repo Rate
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When you buy a security and sign contract that youll sell it after 6 months = this is reverse repo contract.
one party borrows funds for a specific period (known as repo period) against the collateral of specific securities at pre-determined rate (known as
repo rate)
for buyer its reverse repo rate (RRR) and for seller its repo rate.(RR)
And whether the transection is RRR or RR is classified by who initiated the deal?
If the buyer initiated the deal then its RRR
If the seller initiated the deal then its RR
To prevent the topic getting confusing and complicated. Lets take an example
When I give you security (paper) & take money from you this is Repo.
When I buy the security (paper) from you and give you money- this is reverse Repo.
When I give you security (paper) & take money from you & promise you that Ill buy the same paper back from you after few months this is
Repo.
When I buy the security (paper) from you and give you money & you promise methat youll buy back that paper from me after few months- this
is reverse Repo.
RBI, Scheduled banks & Primary dealers can borrow and lend
Non-Bank participants (Finacial institutions) + companies listed in stock market can only lend , they cant borrow.
Lets rewind the liquidity tape
1.
Liquidity = How much money in the market? = if money is plenty= easy to get loans @ cheaper interest rate = this is
called cheap / easy money.
2.
When there is less liquidity =hard to get loans and the interest rate will be higher = this is Dear money.
3.
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4.
When there is too less money= bad to business as you cant get loans easily to run your works.
5.
So RBIs work is to fine tune the liquidity (money supply.) = tuning the dear money / easy money policy based on the
situation.
absorption of short-term liquidity, RBI carries out overnight (one day) repo auction at a fixed rate.
Currently, fixed-rate repo and reverse repo auctions are conducted by the RBI on a daily basis (excluding Saturdays, Sundays and other public
holidays) for 1 day (overnight) tenor.
This means, RBI is ready to sell as much securities as is demanded by the participants at the fixed rate.
This rate is fixed in the sense that it does not change on a daily basis depending upon the supply-demand condition of short-term liquidity
Changes in the fixed repo rate are usually made in the Annual Monetary and Credit Policy or in the Mid-Term Review of the Monetary and Credit
Policy.
RBI & Reverse Repo
In order to inject liquidity into the system, RBI conducts fixed rate auctions of reverse repo at a rate higher than the repo rate.
The reverse repo rate is linked to the repo rate in the sense that it is set at specific percentage point above the repo rate.
Definition difference from international market.
Keep in mind, the terms repo and reverse repo have been defined above, is just opposite to the international practice.
That is, what is repo in Indian terminology is reverse repo in international parlance, and what is reverse repo in India is internationally known as
repo.
Consequently, RBI has changed the definitions of repo and reverse repo to bring them in line with international practice with effect from 27th
October 2004.
However, in this article, we have throughout followed the older (Indian) definition.
Money market topic doesnt stop here, there are other remaining items like Commercial papers, Treasury bills, Certificate of Deposits etc which will be dealt in
some other article.
[Economy 4 Newbie] Kerosene Subsidy & Parikh Report
Introduction
As usual nothing 100% technically or politically correct. and
As usual media is not playing its role right. Since yesterday theyre all crying in loud and angry tone that they all are
coveringKirit Parikh Committees Report only highlighting LPG rates will be hiked by Rs 100 per cylinder and kerosene by Rs 6 per
litre. And their tone is like Mr. Parikh is the enemy #1 of India by suggesting price rise in petro-products. But none of them is
actually explaining why exactly Parikh is recommending for price rise?
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So here see the other side of the mirrorPDS= public distribution system (Raashan ki dukaan.)
PDS Kerosene price has remained at around Rs.9 per litre at Delhi since 2002.
Govt.s intention for selling cheap Kerosene
If kerosene is expensive then Poor Girls will be forced to collect firewood all day= cant go to school
indoor pollution
These are Govt.s good intentions for selling cheap kerosene but lets look @ the ground realities.
Kerosene Smuggling!
price of PDS kerosene in India is very low in comparison with that inneighbouring countries -Bangladesh and Nepal.
The price of kerosene in Bangladesh and Nepal is Rs. 29.28/litre and Rs.
36.29/litre respectively as in January 2010, more than 3 to 4 times the price in India.
Related to the fuel tourism, previously our currency coins were thick in size esp Rs. 2 & 5 but these people would smuggle it to
Bangladesh and melt it and make shaving razor-blades from it.
For e.g.out of 2 Rs.s thick coin theyll make 10 blades and sell it for 5 Rs. and cutting their production cost- theyll still make good
profit.
that is one of the reason why Govt. changed our coins- now youve thin-size zero coins for 1/2/5/10.
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In 2004-05, 62% of the rural households got kerosene only from PDS and
But, less than 1% used it for cooking but 60% used it for lighting.
Means theyre using firewood and dung for cooking even when we give them cheap kerosene.
(so it kills the purpose of saving poor women from indoor pollution / firewood gathering by giving cheap kerosene.)
In the absence of electricity, kerosene has, for long, been the only source of lighting (apart from more expensive vegetable oilbased lamps).
However, with the development of LED lights, LED lanterns using ordinary dry cells provide an alternative
which, at comparable cost to what household spend on subsidized kerosene, provides better light and involves no subsidy.
As manufacturers make these lanterns available across the country, the need for kerosene for lighting will reduce.
But, these alternatives pose the problem of safe disposal of used-up cellsbut its not really challenging task.
Solar lighting systems can also provide an alternative albeit at a much higher initial cost.
Kerosene & Electricity :- Double subsidy!
For BPL people, there is Rajiv Gandhi Gramin Vidyutikaran Yojna (RGGVY),for getting electricity supply but yet theyre using
kerosene for lights.
Since kerosene subsidy is going largely for lighting, the allocations should be reduced as more and more BPL households are
connected to the electricity grid.
Such connections under the RGGVY are subsidized and continuing kerosene supply to such households amounts to double
subsidy.
Large price difference between PDS kerosene and diesel is an incentive to divert
Estimates suggest 35% or more of PDS kerosene is diverted for unauthorized purposes including adulteration.
A consequence of this diversion is that the more than Rs.20000 crore of investment in producing Euro III and Euro IV diesel would
be negated to large extent if diesel continues to get adulterated by kerosene.
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Govt. adds some dye in kerosene so PDF kerosene becomes blue color, but that doesnt solve anything. (if you put sand
+charcoal+ some chemical power then blue colored kerosene will become white again)
Diagram
first important step in kerosene pricing should be to have one price in the market
Kerosene price should be close to the price of diesel so as to eliminate any incentive to mix it with diesel!
This can be achieved if PDS kerosene is provided to BPL households through a system of smart
This will reduce PDS kerosene need by one third, as diversion would cease.
Direct cash transfer instead of subsidy?
When we say kerosenes price should be closer to diesels price so it becomes unprofitable to mix kero with diesel.
But then you full proof distribution of subsidy kerosene and OR give direct cash to poors so they buy kerosene from market instead
of PDS shop.
But then suppose a poor man given 100 Rs. To buy monthly kerosene for his family , he may not buy it and instead buy liquor and
beat up his wife to collect firewood from jungle for cooking.
Thus, The argument for providing subsidy in kind rather than in cash rests on the problem of intra-household distribution of
expenditure where a womansneeds may get a lower priority.
This intra-household distribution problem can be addressed to some extent by transferring cash to the account of woman of the
household
so Parikh Committee recommended that allocation across states should be rationalized to bring down all-India allocation by at least
20% and
price of PDS kerosene be increased to at least Rs.15/litre so as to keep subsidies under reasonable level
Thereafter, price of PDS kerosene be raised every year in step with the growth in per capital agricultural GDP at nominal
price.
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Developed States & PDS Kerosene
Over the years, distribution of PDS kerosene has developed an inverse relationship
For instance, the average per capita kerosene allocation in high income States in 2007-08 was 14.1 litre
which was 41% higher than that of the low income States.
economic development and improvement in power supply, the percentage of households using kerosene in different States has
declined. (so where is all this Kerosene going ?)
Most of the households use only 3.5 litres per month. State-wise
allocation should be based on the number of BPL households without electricity in rural areas
and urban households using kerosene for cooking. Since electricity supply may be erratic, a
smaller allocation say 2 litres per month may be made for electrified BPL households.
availabilities is expected to reflect much larger reductions in Kero use in coming years.
Poorest Rural BPL spends around 2 per cent of its monthly expenditure on kerosene.
While they spend 13 %per cent of , what one might call, its discretionary expenditure on
1.
entertainment,
2.
personal effects,
3.
toilet articles,
4.
sundry articles,
5.
consumer services
6.
conveyance.
There is therefore, some scope for increasing price for PDS kerosene.
if we take the growth rate of per capita
GDP in agriculture, that should give a good measure of the ability of the rural poor to pay.
PDS Kerosene prices have not been raised from around Rs.9 per litre since March 2002.
During 2002-03 to 2008-09, the per capita agriculture GDP at current prices has increased by around 60% (at an annual compound
growth rate of 6%).
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A 66% increase in kerosene price would keep the share of expenditure onkerosene at the same level as in 2002-03.
Thus, the price of PDS kerosene could be raised by 66% to reach a level of around Rs. 15/litre without putting undue burden on the
poor.
[Economy 4 Newbie] Govt. Price control on Petroleum Products- Why
Background
Crude Barrel price increased from US$ 36 / barrel in May 2004 to US$132.5 / barrel in July 2008,
government did not permit Public Sector Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs) to pass the full cost of imports on to domestic consumers of
major oil products, i.e., petrol, diesel, domestic LPG & Kerosene.
So what we are getting is subsidized product and this is how Govt. controls the prices of petroleum products
Bad Consequences of Governments Price control on petro-products
If Petrol producer cant sell the petrol @ high price, he has no interest in expanding / upgrading his factory. so
Artificially low prices can widen long term supply-demand imbalances by discouraging refiners and marketers to expand capacity and, on
the other hand, encouraging demand growth.
every Tom, Dick and Harry around is going to fill his bikes tank full and loiter around the city & colleges with out doing any productive
work.
People are going to use vehicles even for short distance travel which they could cover on foot/bicycle or public Bus/Railway
So Fuel shortages are nearly universal when prices are kept low.
Since petrol is cheap, people dont use extreme parsimony /care in its use.
Subsidizing domestic consumers also doesnot incentivize them to economize on use of petroleum products.
Market malpractices like hoarding, black marketing, and adulteration thrive when prices are controlled arbitrarily. Especially for Kerosene,
I see long lines of Rickshaw drivers in front of those Kerosene vendors every evening why do they come there?
Major oil exporters that subsidize petroleum product prices can actually become product importers for lack of investment in the
downstream sector. Iran, Iraq, Nigeria and Mexico are prime examples.
Cross-border price difference trend to widen when prices are kept low; it encourages fuel tourism/ Smuggling especially for Kerosene.
Whats the consequence of Oil Subsidy?
Lot of Govt.s money goes into subsidizing these things which could have been used for other projects.
Oil cos have to sell their product @ the price determined by Govt. thus, they dont have big cash surplus to invest in finding new oil wells
in country or buying oil fields abroad.
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Govt. doesnt issue oil bonds to Oil cos on time, they created cash flow problems for OMCs who had to borrow from the market,
only the OMCs were provided financial support, the private sector companies withdrew from oil marketing.
This not only made infructuous the large investments they had made in setting up retail outlets,
In last 10 years, Petrol prices are almost constant, around Rs. 40-50 bracket.
so, the demand for petroleum products such as petrol and diesel recorded double digit growth -higher than the GDP growth.
Continuation of the present policies is not viable, particularly once oil prices rise again
Since Govt. pays money to keep petrol cheap, it puts money shortage for Govt.
(which is under lot money burden already thanks to pakis weve to maintain huge army, make test new missles every week)+ naxals +
insurgency in N.East = lot money going into Revenue Expenditure instead of capital Expenditure.
Why Should the government intervene at all in the market and set prices?
because poor people need cheap kerosene to cook food, else theyll chop down the trees. = climate change they also use kerosene
lamps, because they have no electricity.
Poor Girls will be forced to collect firewood all day= cant go to school
Villagers using Cattle-dung but Cattle dung has better use a manure.
If you use wood / dung for cooking then?
indoor pollution
truck owners will demand higher fees for transporting veggies + milk. = inflation !
But Parikh Committee reports it is not entirely true. (petro-diesel control will be in next article)
Cycle of Inflation even if petro prices go down
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suppose today World Oil Barrel price is say 10,000 Rs./ barrel.
but even after few weeks when world price goes down to 5000 Rs/barrel
the middleman wont let the price of milk/veggies go down.(even if truckers reduce their fees.)
thus,
complete pass-through of increase in world oil prices may cause inflation which may persist even when oil price comes down.
Ultimately even Cheap Petro is bad for everyone!
Petro doesnt fall from sky, somebody has to pay for it.
in this case, Oil cos sell petro cheap and Govt. pay for it.
But, Govt. cant print more money just to give it to Oil cos. (thatll create inflation)
MRP of products increase due to higher VAT on other things so on one hand you get cheap petro on the other you get costly
soap/toothpaste.
Fiscal deficit= (its consequences are discussed in my old article on public debt.)
Suppose they chop down Govt. Expenditure on girl education to release some subsidy money for cheap petro= society suffers in long
term.
kills the innovation
price calculations involve rigid specifications of items to be considered and their costs.
today most people get gas via cylinders have to wait after booking the cylinders.
but if they laid the pipelines in every town and city , gas connection to every home-
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Govt. doesnt let the LPG sold @ higher prices, Oil cos have no money for it and
Govt. pays for petro-subsidy, instead of using that money to lay down gas-pipelines- to settle the problem atleast in major cities.
Other impacts
if diesel is cheap, it may encourage freight movement by trucks rather than by train. When the price
difference between petrol and diesel is high, diesel driven vehicles may be preferred. If there is a large difference between the prices of
diesel and kerosene, kerosene may be used to adulterate diesel.
In 2008, we have even seen diesel being used in place of furnace oil.
Thus, Price control, subsidies and taxes can introduce distortions which may not be desirable.
What happens if Govt. stops regulating?
In order to shield the Indian economy and consumers from the adverse impact of a volatile international oil market, the government
decided to fix the consumer prices of four sensitive petroleum products, viz. petrol, diesel, domestic LPG, PDS kerosene.
As the prices of these products were below their cost, government devised a compensation mechanism for the public sector oil marketing
companies (OMCs).
This mechanism essentially involved financial support to OMCs from other public sector upstream companies, viz. ONGC, OIL and GAIL
by way of price discounts and from the government through issue of bonds.
Parikh Committee suggests that at current levels of prices of petrol, diesel, PDS kerosene and domestic LPG, the financial burdens on
the companies as well as on the government will be unsustainable.
Therefore, there is a need to change the existing policy which can strike a balance between the capacity of the consumer to bear higher
prices and fiscal stability of the government.
Explicit formula-based pricing mechanism of petroleum products is not conducive to establishing a long-term viable and globally
competitive oil industry in the country.
As more than 3/4th of the current domestic crude oil requirements is met by imports and is expected to go upto further in the future, the
domestic consumer prices of petroleum products should be increasingly aligned with movements in international oil markets.
Any ad hoc system of price fixation by the government may provide a semblance of domestic price stability in the immediate-to-short
term, but give rise to serious long-term instabilities in the demand-supply conditions in the country, competitive functioning of oil
companies, and fiscal soundness of the government.
A viable and sustainable pricing system for petroleum products is a key requirement of stable, long-term growth of the economy.
Similarly, a financially strong and globally competitive oil industry provides an enduring platform to strengthen energy security of the
country. It is therefore important that oil companies should have the freedom to set prices based on competitive market conditions.
The government needs to extend subsidy to the targeted consumers in such a manner which does not impinge on the freedom of oil
companies to set prices in the market place.
[Economy 4 Newbie] Petrol-Diesel-LPG Subsidy- The Parikh Solution
Petrol
1.
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2.
3.
Because goods and veggies are transported via trucks which use diesel.
One Example
A two-wheeler consumes, on an average, 86 litres of petrol per year, for which the owner spends Rs. 320 per month (Rs. 510 in Delhi).
The fuel expenditure of car owners is much larger at Rs. 2210 per month (Rs. 4140 in Delhi).
Motorized vehicle owners are largely well-off persons belonging to the upper two/three deciles of the population.
Full price pass-through at US $ 80/bbl will increase the retail price of petrol by around
Rs.7/litre. The additional expenditure of a two-wheeler owner would be only Rs. 50 per month (all-India average).
If higher petrol prices lead to less driving, more fuel efficient vehicles and an efficiency
Parikh Committee believes that the cost increases can be borne by motorized vehicle owners and recommends that petrol
prices should be market-determined both at the refinery gate and retail levels.
Diesel
Out of total Diesel consumption in India
see this pie-chart to know who uses how much of it-
tractors,
thrashers,
tillers,
harvesters,
pump -sets
Government can compensate via fixing higher Minimum Support Price (MSP) for major crops.
Therefore, any increase in the cost of diesel will be reflected in the price and will not adversely affect farmers
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Higher diesel price will induce them to use less diesel which may reduce over-use of ground water prevalent in many parts of the
country (via pump-sets)
Govt. instead of giving cheap diesel- uses that subsidy money to build more canals, then farmers wont have to use lot pump-sets
anyways.
higher diesel price = higher MSP will increase subsidy for PDS, (since food become expensive, Govt. has to give more money to
supply same quantity of PDS wheat/rice.)
With industrial revival and higher economic growth, the truck owners generally raise their rentals in consonance with growth.
Therefore, long distance charge for a round trip between Delhi and Mumbai for a
9-tonne truck is more than Rs. 40000 today whereas its diesel consumption works out to around Rs. 22000.
Higher diesel price would encourage fuel use efficiency as well as greater use of railways for freight movement.
Railways consume around 1/4th as much diesel per net tonne kilometer as trucks.
Even assuming that the truckers, power generators, industrial users etc.(other than the
passenger car owners) are able to pass on fully the additional cost of diesel, an increase of Rs. 4 per litre would mean an increase of around Rs.
20,000 crore in their cost of diesel which would be around 0.4 % of GDP in 2008-09. This should be compared with the inflationary impact of
subsidies, which would be similar.
Car owners who drive diesel vehicles, including Sports Utility Vehicles (SUVs), should
be able to bear the additional cost. There is no economic or social reason to subsidize them
so Parikh Committee recommends that the price of diesel should also be market determined both at the refinery gate and retail levels.
LPG consumption is growing and global price is also expected to increase, the subsidy burden will keep growing. This is not a
sustainable situation.
Normally, a subsidized product ought to be given in limited amounts. However, domestic LPG is both heavily subsidized and
available in unlimited quantity.
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The burden of subsidy can be reduced by either raising the price or reducing the quantity or both.
2.
3.
4.
57% of urban households but only 8.6% of rural households used LPG.
5. Rajiv Gandhi Gramin LPG Vitrak Yojana launched in 2009 aims to cover 75% of the population by 2015 which will substantially
increase access of rural households to subsidized LPG.
LPG-consuming households in the top 3 decile in urban areas, comprising some 22 million households, use nearly 40 per cent of
LPG and spend less than 5 per cent of their total expenditure.
These households get a large part of the subsidy even when they have the capacity to pay the market price for LPG and will use
LPG even when the price is raised.
Since providing universal subsidy through price below the cost misdirects the subsidy to the relatively affluent, a strong case can be
made for subsidizing LPG as a clean cooking fuel for the poor.
If the poor are to be subsidized, we need an effective mechanism to provide the subsidy.
smart card system or transfer on entitlement based on the UID platform can be used which entitles a household a fixed quantity of
LPG at subsidized price beyond which the market price would be charged.
yet this can happenpoor getting cheap LPG cylinder- selling it to middle class family @ a little higher price and then burning
firewood & dung to cook in his own home. So not just smart-cards you need a more full proof system like gas pipeline or something.
Best solution is just simply giving direct cash- and then every one including poor men buy LPG @ market prices!
Direct cash transfer instead of subsidy?
Instead of subsidy, direct cash transfer to poors may be provided and everyone is charged the market price.
But then suppose a poor man given 100 Rs. To buy LPG , he may not buy it and instead buy liquor and beat up his wife to collect
firewood from jungle for cooking.
Thus, The argument for providing subsidy in kind rather than in cash rests on the problem of intra-household distribution of
expenditure where a womans needs may get a lower priority, and on the merit good nature of LPG use. The intra-household distribution
problem can be addressed to some extent by
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The UID /Smart cardsystem,
which is currently under progress, or the Smart Card system piloted by Petro ministry with biometric identification could provide a
transparent, targeted subsidy delivery mechanism which can eliminate diversion of LPG cylinders for unintended uses.
However, since rolling out of the Smart Card mechanism on the UID platform may take at least 2 yearan interim arrangement has to
be devised to contain the ballooning LPG subsidy. In
this regard, we have only two options: either ration the quantity or raise the price.
As we so ago- even with smart card- you give cheap LPG theyll go in wrong hands so youve to give direct cash transfer to poor
not cheap LPG.
Ration / Subsidy systems problem
Any scheme of rationing or limiting the number of cylinders at subsidized price without Smart Cards will involve a complex
monitoring and inspection system more likely to promote Inspector Raj rather than effectively reduce subsidy.
In the interim, therefore, there is no choice, but to raise the price of domestic LPG if the subsidy burden is to be reduced. As
the NSSO survey data have shown, households have flexibility in absorbing certain additional costs on LPG by adjusting expenditure on
discretionary items.
Accordingly, LPG price can be increased at least to the extent their income has increased so that the proportion of income that they
spend on LPG remains the same.
How to calculate new price for LPG?
The logic of adopting changes in GDP as a yardstick for increasing prices of PDS
kerosene has already been explained in previous article. A similar dispensation can be devised for domestic LPG also. Since LPG is
used largely in urban areas its price should be determined on the basis of growth of total GDP (in contrast to agricultural GDP considered
for kerosene).
The per capita urban GDP during 2004-05 to 2009-10 has increased by 84% (say 85%).
Accordingly, the fair price of domestic LPG cylinder from the base price of Rs. 262/cylinder in
2003-04 is estimated to be Rs. 485/cylinder in 2009-10. Another way of assessing the level of price of LPG cylinder in 2009-10 is to
maintain the percentage of LPG subsidy in the price of 2003-04.
A long term viable system of pricing of domestic LPG and effective targeting of subsidy can be ensured through a transparent
distribution system based on the UID/Smart Card framework. Under this framework,
a single price of LPG for all consumption purposes can prevail in the market, which will eliminate the scope for diversion to
unintended uses.
Subsidies to the targeted group such as the BPL rural households can be delivered as entitlements or through direct cash transfers
to be given to the woman of the household.
Since the above mechanism is yet to be made operational, an interim measure needs to be put in place.
While companies would weed out multiple connections and create a scientific data base for effective monitoring, there is a strong
case to increase the price of 14.2 kg LPG cylinder by at least Rs. 100 per cylinder.
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Thereafter, the price of domestic LPG should be periodically revised based on increase in paying capacity as reflected in the per
capita income.
The subsidy on domestic should be discontinued for all others except the BPL households once an effective targeting system is in
place.
As a clean cooking fuel, LPG is a merit good and subsidy to poor households may be needed and justified.
[Economy Q] RBI prints more money when and its implication on gold and forex reserves
Tanvir Khan asked What are the situations at which rbi print notes?
Answer: RBI prints new notes to replace the old torn-out notes and to meet the money demands of a rising economy.
As you know, if people have x amount of money but there are not sufficient items in market to purchase, then there will be inflation (price-rise).
So RBIs job is to maintain the money supply (liquidity) in the market, to prevent inflation.
If there is shortage of money in the market, RBI generally alters its SLR,CRR,Repo,Reverse-repo to increase the money supply.
Lets imagine,
We need to buy new F16 fighter-plane from America, they ask for 1 billion dollar$.
So Prime minister Manmohan Singh asks the RBI to print new notes of 50 billion rupees and pack them in a big suitcase. Then he takes it to Forex
market, gets the Rupee converted into dollars and buys the fighter-jet. But the same broker at Forex market, will use those 50 billion rupees to buy
all the tea,Basmati rice, onion, potato and everything in India and then export it to other countries!! So shortage of items for Indian consumers =
price rise=inflation.
So RBI cannot print notes indiscriminately.
However an expanding economy like us, requires more money so people can take loans and start business etc. Even after altering
SLR,CRR,Repo,Reverse repo, there will be still demand for money So RBI must be printing more money after looking at the indicators like IIP, GDP
etc. Besides printing money also costs money. So I think there will be some complex formula, but Im not aware about it.
2.)Sufficient gold or forex reserves is necessary to print notes by the rbi but please explain me what happens to the forex or gold reserve as soon as
the indian notes are printed. i.e., if the rbi has 4000 u.s. dollars as forex reserve and a situation occur to print 100000 rupee notes (2000 us
dollars=100000)(so after printing the notes, will the forex reserve of india become as 2000 us dollars or will it remain at 4000 us dollars itself.
Please explain..
Nothing happens to forex or gold reserve. It remains as it is.
Prior to World war-II era, nations used to print only as much currency as the gold-reserve they had. Nowadays currencies are not linked with gold.
However, RBI uses special printing-machines, papers and inks imported from Switzerland etc. to print the new currency notes. so obviously RBI has
to pay in dollar$$ while buying the raw material. So in that sense some of its forex re$erve will deplete.
RBI can never link the money-printing to gold or forex reserve because thatll sevearly limit its capacity to meet the money-demands of a rising
economy.
Sidenote:
you can get brand-new fresh notes and coins from RBI branch, but before you have to wait in long queue while the RBI staff sells it to the agents
from the backdoor (Rs.10 Commission on Coins worth Rs.500). And those agents sell it to merchents, but merchants never use it and insist on you
to buy toffees worth Rs.1,2,3 instead of returning the change. (as seen on sting-operation by E-TV) So, in that sense, artificially created shortage of
change also boosts economy!
[Economy Q] Deregulation of Petrol prices : Pros, Cons, consequences
Pros
1.
As petrol becomes expensive, the college kids waste less of it, loitering around on their bikes.
2.
Middle-class people start using public transport systems instead of their private vehicles = less air & noise pollution and traffic congestion
during peak hours.
3.
Less subsidy burden on tax-payers, who are not using petro-vehicles otherwise.(theoretically)
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4.
1.
As petrol becomes expensive, rickshaw fares increase. So you end up wasting lot of time waiting for the bus or wasting more money on
rickshaw.
2.
3.
Erratic public transport system (buses and railways) creates problem in reaching at office / school /college on time = negative-effect on
nation's productivity.
4.
Deregulation of petrol doesn't directly mean that Government will reduce taxes, they'll simply start diverting that subsidy-money to
something else like NREGA where again their cronies loot it via ghost muster rolls and fake ration cards. So better you and me misuse
the subsidized petrol then let them enjoy the subsidy money!
5.
If petrol becomes expensive People start preferring to buy diesel vehicles. So recession in petro-vehicle sector and boom in diesel vehicle
sector.
6.
People start buying electricity-based cars and scooters but where does that electricity come from?? if from coal based thermal power
plant, then again it'll lead to more pollution.
7.
Petrolpump owners will start adulterating more kerosene in petrol, to increase their profit margin, while vehicle-engine efficiency
decreases.
8.
The theoretical assumption that as petrol becomes expensive, businessmen will start investing in clean energy: doesn't hold much water
in India, as the required infrastructure and Government support for research in clean energy technology is bare minimum, compared to
USA etc.
Compare potato chips business between some poor self-help group vs. giant companies like Lays, Kurkure etc. SHG can never match
in the supply-line, package quality, advertizement and retail distribution agents like them. Same about soap giants like Lifebouy or Nirma.
So ultimately only a few SHG survive the competition and make some money [Generally those with traditional-handicraft stuff exporting to
America]. Rest of them get disbanded after initial enthusiasm and so cannot pay back the loans. Although NABARD generally doesnt go
on tough loan recovery like those moneylenders or banks do (because thatd cost votes in elections)
2.
Whatever alleged 2 week-business-training theyre given by Government is all those namesake powerpoint dudes stuff. While you
know that to compete your product against some big company like Lays, Kurkure, Nirma or Lifebouy you need lot more exhaustive
and rigorous training, exposure and a mentor.
3.
Sometimes before elections, big Loan-melas are held on the instance of local politicians, so every villager ends up getting some loan of
small amount, but most cannot payback.
4.
There are some good for nothing crony NGOs, who create ghost SHGs, get the loans sanctioned, give a share to the officers and
everybody enjoys life.
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5.
Microfinance gives only a small amount of loan, while for starting a business you need a little big. For example, they give 20000/- for
your one project, while you need 1 lakh rupees, so either you put 4 new flimsy-projects under different categories to make up the money
or go to moneylender to get the rest amount on higher interest rate.
6.
the lack of entrepreneurial culture at rural level means whatever little money they make is wasted in wedding ceremony or repaying
previous loans to money-lenders, instead of investing it back in their business. So money made, doesnt bring more money.
7.
In Andhra pradesh there are more than 10,000 SHGs (highest in the country), it accounts for about 40 per cent of MFI lending across the
country of about Rs 30,000 crore, and is currently facing a crisis due to bad loans and MFIs using coercion to recover loans, even leading
to suicides.
a)- Do we use our Forex Assets , a very stupid option as we have around 270 Billion USD and that will get exhaust very soon.
Answer:
When we say we are importing more and exporting less That is not same as we are spending more and earning less So
forex doesnt get depleted. Because RBI is not importing, its the businessmen who import. And when theyve to import, they get
their rupee converted into Dollars in the forex market or go through a barter system (like give me 1 iphone and ill send you 30
kilo Basmati rice).
RBI has 270 bn USD that doesnt mean whole India has only 270 bn USD, youve to see the amount of money the Indian
businessman have (which they can get converted into dollars at forex market, whenever theyve to import something).RBI has
270 billion dollar$ that doesnt mean whole India has only 270 bn USD or that whole Indias capacity to import is only 270 bn USD, youve
to see the amount of money (in Rs,$,Yen,Pound) the Indian businessman have.Ofcourse RBI does print new currency regularly, but its not to meet
the trade-deficit, if RBI does so, thatll lead to huge inflation.
[Economy Q] Non-Banking Financial Company (NBFC)
Mukesh asked, Please help me to understand NBFC
Answer
So NBFC cannot accept or give demand deposits, fixed deposit, demand drafts, credit cards, ATM cards or cheques like a
normal bank.
Its more like a sophisticated moneylender for example Mannapuram gold loans, it gives you loan when you
deposit your gold with them.
Ankit Agarwal asked, I want to know about Europe crisis in 2010 and its effect??
Ans.
Greece Government was giving pension benefits, social security and welfare schemes (NREGA Mid-Day meal like stuff), mega PSUs to
give jobs for wooing the voters, without realizing that money doesnt flow from sky.
Ultimately, the Expenditure became way tooooo higher than Governments income. (Deficit).
Adding insult to the injury, 2008s American recession had snowballing effect on Greece : fall in exports, tourists stop coming and more. So
Governments tax collection falls down.
In this scenario, a seasoned player would not like to buy such Government bonds.
So Government of Greece was misreporting its official economic statistics as well as its borrowing status to make the countrys economic foundation
appear strong on paper.
But later that was found out, and lead to a speculation that Greece is on a verge of bankruptcy and will default on all its loans and borrowed money.
(=Sovereign default)
Such speculation makes share-market collapse, foreign players pulling out their money from Greece.
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This is Greece Crisis.
It is originating from the fact that Government was spending way to more than its income (=Deficit) until they came on the verge of bankruptcy.
Similarly Portugal, Spain, Ireland, Italy & UK also have huge deficits compared to their GDP.
Together it makes the Europe crisis of 2010 also known as Sovereign Debt crisis.
European Unions response to Greece
EU had two options:
1. kick Greece out of their team. or
2. Give it the money to recover.
Since #1 was not easily workable so EU had to do #2.
But unlike the Bollywood movies, EU cannot simply print suitcase full of Euros and give it to Greece to solve its debt problems. (recall my earlier
example: PM asking RBI to print more money to buy fight-jets, will lead to heavy-inflation when broker buys stuff from that extra-printed money.)
So when EU gives financial relief to Greece, it actually goes from other team-members wallets. (Germany, France.) So theyre not happy, especially
Germany.
Effect of crisis on the nation itself
Monetary help from EU, IMF etc. comes with riders attached, like Greece would have to stop its welfare schemes, reduce salary of Government
employees, close down their inefficient PSUs etc. that again leads to more strikes and anti-Government riots in Greece = further deterioration in
tourism and trade.
Looking at such a grim picture of Greece, foreign players prefer to invest their money in some other nations and the vicious cycle continues.
Effect of crisis on the world (From Indian Point of view)
1.
Big players start pulling out their money from these troubled nations, and look for opportunities to invest that money somewhere else with
better returns. Since American market is also still recovering, they narrow down theirinvestment-choice to emerging economies such
as India.
2.
European Union Is Indias largest trading partner, accounting for 20% of India trade. So Downturn in EU means Indian exporters dealing
in chemicals, textiles etc. get low orders from those EU nations [Portugal,Spain,Greece etc.] + Non-EU nations of Europe (UK). Means
European crisis is not good for Indian export industry.
[Economy Q] Badlaa system or Carry forward transaction
There is a lottery ticket costing Rs.50, first price is 1 crore rupees. You dont have a single penny to buy it, so you talk to your friend and
he buys it for you on your behalf.
If you win, you dont have to pay that friend any share from the 1 crore you won.
You only have to give him Rs. 50 after winners are declared and in the meantime interest on that 50 rupees as long as the result doesnt
come.
Suppose you purchase 10 shares of Reliance Power for Rs. 3000, and at the end of the day, the stock closes at Rs.3300.
You speculate that this Reliance power share price will go even further up and you can make a handsome profit out of this. But you dont
have the money to pay to the broker and take delivery of these shares!
To solve this problem, you enter into a badlaa transaction, so your broker will carry out the money payment on your behalf. Youve to keep
paying him the interest rate for it (as long as you hold these shares and donot sell them to someone else).
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The interest rate on Badlaa transaction is determined by market forces of supply and demand.
i.e. if lot people entering into Badlaa contract that means money is in high demand = Interest rate on Badlaa increases. If broker believes
that xyz share prices will go really high then hell demand more interest for financing it because the customer will be making big profit.
And so on
In English this is called Carry forward transaction because youre carrying forward the payment date for those shares youve purchased.
PROBLEMS
As you can see, any no0b without sufficient money can enter in this speculating game as long as he has some money to pay interest
rates on Badlaa transactions. And if luck favors him, he can walk away with a decent profit.
but it may happen that share prices dont work out as they had speculated and then they refuse to pay money or go bankrupt or suicide =
not good for economy.
After 92s Harsha Mehta scam, badla system was banned in the county for a while.
As such Baldaa is not bad because it allows you to arrange money. And it also allows the brokers-financiers to lend you money and earn
interest on it.
Pitfalls in Badlaa system are same as in overspending with credit card or buying way too much stuff on loans to an extend where 70% of
your monthly salary goes in EMI payments!
HOW IS BADLAA SYSTEM DIFFERENT FROM OPTION CONTRACT OR WAAYDAA BAZAAR
In Badlaa youve to regularly keep paying interest-rate to the broker as long as you hold the shares. So your hands are tied
In options (or Vaada/Waayda) contract, there is only one time premium to be paid. So your hands are not tied in interest payment.
[Economy Q] How Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) would influence the Economy
Question: Tell me how FDI would influence the Economy in a simple language as I am new to Economics Please.
Suppose Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is allowed in multi-brand retail sector then Wall mart can come to India and start a big mall in every city.
So lot of laborers, contractors, cement suppliers, masons, electricians etc get work for mall-construction.
After mall starts running: people get jobs as salesmen, accountant, manager, security guard and sweeper in it.
Since competition increases, consumers get more choices and attractive price offers by competing malls & small vendors.
All these people who got job because of this mall, now theyve money in their hands so they go take home and bike loans, so it increases
the demand and thus people in those automobile-real estate sectors also get more orders.
new houses are built so more laborers get jobs and that goes on and on
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For railways, Operating ratio for passenger trains used to be about Rs.75 earlier but now it is almost Rs.125. That means Railway is not making
profit in passenger trains.
Because of this increase in Operating Ratio, Railway increases Freight charges (money charged on transport of goods such as coal, cement etc), to
cover up the losses. This is called Cross-subsidization and it increases the inflation indirectly.
[Economy Q] Minimum Alternative Tax (MAT) its provisions in DTC
Question from via email: Explain Minimum Alternate Tax (MAT) and its provisions under the new Direct tax code (DTC)
Ans First we need to understand why Government takes MAT?
Zero Tax companies
Example, A companys book-profit is 10 lakh Rupees.
Then they use some creative accounting methods like depreciation, donations etc. to claim deductions and finally their taxable income is reduced
to almost zero.
e.g. in 2009 during the recession time, Government of India launched a scheme to give 50% depreciation to commercial vehicles. (with assumption
that itll boost the vehicle demand and help the automobile industry to come out of the recession.)
So the company buys a truck, for 20 lakh rupees on loan.
Their deduction on first year= 50% of 20 lakh rupees= 10 lakh rupees.
Their taxable income = book profit minus deductions =10 minus 10=0.
So they dont have to pay any tax on their profit at all!
Other tricks involve donating 5,000 rupees to some religious institution run by con-man and getting donation-receipt of 5 lakh rupees. And claiming
deduction! and so on..
These companies, making profit but having zero taxable income, are known as Zero tax companies
Minimum Alternative Tax (MAT)
Around 1997, Indian Government realized above large-scale problem of creative accounting and tax-deduction. So it came up with MAT (Minimum
alternative tax).
So if companys taxable income is less than 30% of its book profit, then itll have to pay MAT, which is around 15% of the book profit.
Therefore, now even if above zero-tax company escapes the regular taxes, it still has to pay 1.5 lakh rupees in MAT.
MAT under new Direct Tax Code (DTC)
The new Direct Tax Code (DTC) initially proposed that MAT should be calculated on assets rather than book profit. i.e. 2% MAT on assets.
But the industry oppsed it saying, some companies have long gestation period (like real-estate, steel,cement etc) before they start seeing big
profits, but these companies have to buy high-value assets since the beginning (land,machinery) to start and run their operations. so if MAT is
calculated on their asset value, itll not be good for industrial growth. similarly if a company is making losses, itll still have to pay MAT for its assets.
Thatll be like an insult to the injury!
Taking note of this objection, Government revised the DTC and said the MAT will be calculated on book-profits only.
[Economy] 3 Methods of calculating GDP
Got this question from mail,
what are these income,production and expenditure methods in calulating GDP?how do terms like NNP, NDP, GNP,GDP,NNPFC,NNPMP DIFFER
FROM EACH OTHER. what is difference between gdp at constant prices and current prices. its very confusing
Ill deal with each question in one post. First, lets refresh the concepts again.
GDP (Gross Domestic Product) means,
Money value of everything you produce within your country.
(Domestic=within country).
Everything means products and services.
GNP (Gross National Product) means,
The Money value of everything you produce within your country PLUS your income from abroad. Anil Kapoor goes to America, get 5 million dollar$
to play baddie in Mission Impossible 4, but sends that money to India = counted in Indias GNP.
But with same logic, Cricket Coach Gary Kirsten gets 50 lakh rupees from BCCI, and sends it to his family in S.Africa, youve to deduct it from
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Indias GNP. (South Africans will count it in their GNP)
Similarly, Americans will subtract the dollar value of Anil Kapoors remittance to India while counting their GNP.
So, whatll be the (stupid) formula?
Gross National production=Money value of everything produced within India+Incoming money from outside-Outgoing money to abroad.
Or you can simply say
GNP = GDP + incoming money from abroad Outgoing money to abroad.
How GDP calculated and what is are these income, production and expenditure methods.
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When you had bought that bike for Rs.30000, 10 years ago, we had counted that money in that years GDP. So second hand-product sale money
cannot be counted in this years GDP.
Now, I buy your second-hand bike from an auto dealer, (who gets Rs.1000 Commission) should we include it in the (C)? Hell Yes, because he sold
his service to me uniquely. Every time he sells a second hand product, although no new product is created but new service is delivered by him.
WHAT IF SAME 1000 RUPEE NOTE IS CHANGING HANDS?
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Each service or product has separate value even if same currency note is used to purchase it
I gave a note of Rs.1000 to that dealer as part of his brokerage (dalaali) and he gives the same Rs.1000 note to the electricity company for his
monthly bill.
Same Rs.1000 note is changing hands so is our GDP =Rs.1000? Nope. GDP is the money value of everything produced within India. So brokerage
service is Rs.1000 separately and the electricity produced is also worth Rs.1000 separately. Therefore, Even as same 1000 rupee note is given to
both parties.
Total GDP=1000 brokeage+1000 electricity bill=Rs.2000
If electri.co gives that 1000 rupee note to its peon as salary, then again it has to be counted. Because peon sold his unique service separately to the
company. So in that case
Total GDP =Brokerge+Electric bill+peon^ salary=Rs.3000
#2: Investment [I]
People investing in sharemarket, putting money in banks etc.
#3: Government spending [G]
Like buying (overpriced) sports equipment from Kalmaadis associates during Common wealth games. Government paying salary to staff, buying
new tanks and missiles..everything.
#4, 5 :Export & Import [X & M]
Money we get from export is added.
You remember that GDP means Money value of everything we produce within India. So if we import something, it has to be subtracted, because it
is not produced within India.
So formula (for ease In remembering)
GDP = Consumer+Investor+Governer + (eXporter iMporter)
Technically correct formula:
GDP(Expenditure)=C+I+G+(X-M)
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#C: Production method of counting gdp
Total money value of everything produced (value added at each stage)
1.
Farmer produced Wheat and sold 100 kg of it @ 2000 Rs. (Original value)
2.
Flour mill, purchased it, grinded it and sold the flour to baker @ 2500 Rs. (+500 value added to previous purchase)
3.
Baker made breads, cookies and biscuits and sold the total production @3500 Rs to its final customers. (+1000 value added to
previous purchase)
B.
C.
D.
Ans:
SEBI controls both primary and secondary market. Means SEBI controls the entire capital market.
MoF (Ministry of Finance) decides how much Government security is to be issued, but it for filling the Governments money requirement.
It doesnt regulate the capital market, it merely participates in it to get money.
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[Economy Q] Contradiction in GDP (Expenditure) formula?
Followup question on my previous article Three methods for calculating GDP
in the start of definition of gdp..u r nt counting income of
anil kapoor or garry kirsten..but in the topic.expenditure
method of calculating gdp.u have used exports-imports..is this
nt contradictory..kindly plz.xplain?
Answer: Anil kapoor-Garry Kirsten example was for GNP. [GNP= domestic product+income from abroad]
For GDP (expenditure), weve to calculate
consumption (C), Governments expenditure (G), investment(I) and eXport (X).
But what if government imports 5000 special mobile devices to print biometric UID smartcards? That is also counted in Governments expenditure
accounts (G).
So, weve to deduct all the iMports (M) to prevent them from being counted into nations GDP.
Thats why
GDP (Expenditure)= C+I+G+(X-M)
Now, GNP (national product)= Domestic product + Income from abroad.
But since foreigners will be sending remittances to their families back home. So if every nation adds(+) foreigners income (who is residing in their
country) into their GNP, then itll lead to double counting. So weve to deduct(-) the remittances.
Hence
GNP= GDP + Income from abroad income earned by foreigners.
[Economy Q] Fiscal stimulus package : meaning and example
Myra asked, what is a fiscal stimulus package ?
Stimulus:
A weak athlete takes some steroids and runs faster than his built-in ability, so Steroid is stimulus.
Similarly when Government comes up with some plan to increase the performance of (depressed) economy, it is fiscal stimulus.
During recession, the demand is depressed (i.e. noone is buying stuff) so Government has to come up with something to increase the demand, to
make the consumers buy something.
In 2009, Government of India gave tax benefits on purchase of commercial vehicle to increase automobile demand.
It also chopped down excise duty by 4%, asked RBI to release more money to EXIM bank to provide it as cheap-loans to exporters and so on.
this is a fiscal stimulation package which costed Government about 4 billion $.
Similarly 2008, President Bush released 700 billion $ bailout package to buy the toxic loans and to save American economy from the sub-prime
crisis. That is also a fiscal stimulus.
How is fiscal stimulus different from fiscal policy
1.
Fiscal stimulus is given in extraordinary circumstances, it is temporary in nature because When Government feels that the economy is
back on track, itll remove/stop giving the stimulus.
2.
We also know that money doesnt fall from sky, so If Government is giving stimulus that means it is either borrowing from someone else
to supply that money into the depressed economy or it is cutting down its own tax-rates (income) to stimulate the consumer-demand.
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Q. What is no frill account?
In simple words it :If a company makes its service/product cheaper by removing the extra features, that is no frill.
eg. Mobile phone postpaid package without unlimited ringtones or free night talk.
Dish TV package without 100 sports channels.
For our discussion purpose :
No frill account is a type of bank account, with low / Zero balance requirement with extra-features removed.
RBI came up with this No-frill concept, because poor people cannot open regular bank accounting having requirements like Rs.5000/- minimum
balance etc.
So there are no frill accounts for them. So that poor people can open bank accounts and take loans, thatll save them from the 36% interest rate
charged by the evil money lenders.
For example
Allahabad banks no frill account
1.
- Account can be opened with a minimum initial deposits of Rs.5/- and maintained at the minimum balance of Rs 5, no penalty charges
will be deducted in case the minimum balance reaches zero.
2.
- The Account holders will not be eligible for Cheque Book and ATM card facilities
3.
4.
- Duplicate passbook may be issued to the account holder with a charge of Rs.10/-
As you can see above, it doesnt have the extra-features like Cheque book and ATM etc. So it is no-frill (because extra-features removed).
Advantages
Apart from the features mentioned above,
1.
Rural women can put their hard earned money in it, less chances of theft or husband spending it on Desi liquor.
2.
3.
Some banks even offer free of charge DD (demand drafts) like 2 per month.
4.
No frill account holder can convert his/her account to regular saving account later.
5.
6.
Less chances of that good-for-nothing ***** bank forcefully sending you credit card behind your back along with hidden insurance and
service charges and then refusing to take it back.
Disadvantages
None. Although it has limited withdrawals, no chequebook/ATM but think about the targeted poor people. They dont need it much, they
just need a place to safely park their money.
Its same like buying a no-sports channel DTH package, doesnt put you on disadvantage because you never really wanted to see those
channels in the first place!
[Economy Q] Monetary and Fiscal Policy Difference and dependence
Distinguish between Monetary and Fiscal Policy. To what extent is monetary policy independent of fiscal policy in India
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Monetary Policy
Who makes it? Ans.RBI.
What is their intention?
Ans.To control the money supply in the banking system and thus control the inflation.
What tools do they use?
Repo,reverse repo, bank rate, SLR etc.
What happens?
Suppose there is too much inflation (price rise) in the market because people have more ca$h in hand and only few products in market.
So RBI changes those numbers in a way that banks have less money to give as loans to people. Obviously the banks will charge higher interest
rates on their loans, this is called tightening of the moneytary policy / Dear money policy.
Reverse of it, is Cheap money policy i.e. when RBI feels that people should get loans @cheap rate so that there is boost in demand.
Fiscal Policy
Who makes it?=Government.
What tools do they use?
1. Taxation
2. Public Expenditure.
What is their intention?
Re-distribution of income,allround Development.
e.g. Government puts 30% corporate tax (taxation), then uses that money to fund NREGA [100 days wage to poors] (public Expenditure).
So part of rich peoples income gets redistributed to poor -people.
To what extent is monetary policy independent of fiscal policy in India
As we saw Monetary= RBI, fiscal =Government.
Many times, Government doesnt have enough money to fund its projects*. So they release bonds. RBI sells those bonds on Governments behalf
to the banks. Now banks may or may not be interested in purchasing them. So, RBI has a tool calledSLR* (Statutary liquidity ratio), which means
banks have to compulsory keep x amount of their money in form of Government bonds even if they like it or not.
* See?
Government project= fiscal policys public Expenditure tool
SLR=Monetary policys tool (by RBI)
Thus, SLR (part of monetary policy) is not totally independent from fiscal policy.
There is conflict of interest: RBIs role as money supply controller vs RBIs role as Governments debt manager.
Same way, Government wants that farmers should get loans @cheaper rate.
So, RBI makes special consessions to regional rural banks in CRR/Repo etc.
[Economy Q] IMF Vs World Bank Difference in functions
Function of IMF and World Bank in the context of the world economy.
International monetary Fund
IMF gives short-term loans to its members, and helps in recovering from BoP crisis (balance of payment crisis)
In simplest terms, BoP crisis means you dont have enough money/ foreign currency to pay for your imports. So in that case you run to IMF.
When IMF gives loans, theyll ask you to change your policies accordingly. eg. theyll ask you to
1.
2.
reduce the jobs or shutting down the loss making Public sector units etc.
3.
and so on
IMF gives loans, it expects you to pay full amount back + interest rate.
In IMF there is a thing called Quota i.e.
Every member has to give some money to IMF, (IMF will give it to loan as other members). The rich nations with bigger Quota has more voting
rights (USA).
So rich nations can effectively decide how IMF should function.
World Bank
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In short, They give soft loans to poor nations for Development purpose and various health-education,poverty removal programs.
Soft loan= minimal interest rates, the EMIs have longer time brackets in between, and they dont expect your to pay back the principle.
They facilitate private players to setup business in poor nations. (via insurance and loans)
Their loan-terms are not as stringent as IMF.
Rest you can google and wiki.
[Economy Q] Financial innovation : Meaning advantages and criticism
What is Financial innovation ?
financial innovation=when you come up with complex financial instruments (bonds, securities etc).
e.g in 1980s there was simple thing :just one LIC life insurance policy. you pay installments, you die your family gets money. Now there are complex
ULIPs (Unit linked insurance planning), child education plans, pension fund, travel insurance, health insurance this and that. =financial innovation.
Other examples of financial innovations (wiki)
credit and
1.
Makes life easy, e.g. Paypal, credit card, travel insurance etc.
2.
Helps you hedge the risk. Hedge= a fence or compound wall built to protect your property. Hedging = a method of preventing risk.
Example, Oil Hedging
Two main Criticisms
fools paradise
There is no neutral evidence that financial innovation has led to economic growth.
example The money gone into bonds and policy should lead to real asset/physical product creation (like you buy insurance policy from me, and I
lend that money to a businessman who makes a factory or launches a new physical product like cola or breads or a service like Hospital/ Hotel
chain and so on ) Then we can say yes this financial innovation is leading to economic growth.
But instead Some of the money goes into two directions
#1: further speculation business like mutual funds, commodity market or share market
(click me to first understand the Derivatives)
Like you buy some insurance policy/mutual fund/complex security bond from me, I invest that money in speculation, whether xyz share/commoditys
price will go up or not. (via options and futures contract) So Ive a virtual portfolio : today 5 lakh, tomorrow 1 lakh third day not even worth 10,000,
fourth day jumping to 10 lakh rupees. Im betting and speculating, like those kids playing and trading WWF wrestlers cards. No real asset creation
or economic growth. In the meantime, you claim your policy, If my portfolio is 10 lakh, I would pay away otherwise I would borrow from third party to
pay you and give that third party a futures bonds, he sells it to forth guy as a derivative who again invests it into some speculation game. This game
goes on, without any real economic growth. Just more papers and bonds.
#2: The Complex financial products=Chor bank robbing you in daylight
Similarly you open a bank account in that Chor party bank (Chor=thief, you know which bank Im talking about), they trick you into getting a credit
card and deduct insurance premium behind your back saying that credit card comes with a free health-insurance policy. And adding insult to the
injury, when you get heart-attack, they dont pay you, saying sorry heart attack is not covered, this health insurance covers minor injuries in roadaccidents only* (*provided that you were wearing helmet/seatbelt, driver had licence and was driving under speed limit)! And whatever money the
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Chor party bank earns from this unethical game, they reinvest it into putting more feel-good advertizements on TV to trick more people like you,
while the already fooled customers get redirected like footballs from this call centre to that call centre. = No economic growth.
So, end product of this kind of financial innovation is a new even complex financial product not a physical product or service that you can
see/touch/feel or consume.
Led to recession
This innovation led to complex Derivatives that led to *asset bubble and ultimately we got recession.
*Explanation of Asset-bubble click me
[Economy Q] Investment banking Meaning and functions
sanchit asked: investment banking samjha do plz
Ans. Suppose you want to start a new factory, dont have enough money. Banks are not giving you loans or their loan-conditions are very tough. So
you want to Issue an IPO/security in the primary market to get the required funds.
*security =a piece of paper. When someone buys that piece of paper from you, they give you money like 100. And youre supposed to pay them
back after a period or share your profits with them (Shares).
But what if nobody buys your IPO? And how to go and launch your IPO in the first place? You dont know the technical nitty gritty or paper-work
involved in it, or have the competent staff to do that? Easy, just walk in to an investment bank, theyll launch the IPO on your behalf. Theyll sell you
on your behalf and if no-one buys it, the investment banker will buy it and pay you the money. This is called underwriting.
Investment bankss primary job =offering underwriting.
For example, on following link see the big underwritings made by Kotak Investment bank and the list of their big clients
Kotak Investment Banking: Leaders in the Equity Capital Markets
Other functions of an investment banker
1.
If youre a big corporate co., currently under heavy-debts, theyll help you re-structure your debts. e.g. longer EMIs, selling or renting your
non-core assets to squeeze some money and so on.
2.
help you make deals,big investments, joint ventures, Mergers and acquisitions with other companies. They provide you with Research
data like how much risk is there, whatll be your return on investment, is there any technical or legal hurdle, if yes then how to bypass it.
3.
Settle your family disputes. (like big corporate dad died and now people fighting for property, they help you come at an amicable
compromise, without getting involved in lengthy court process.
4.
They also help you convert your money from one currency to another.
So investment banker is not just a banker but combo of many things: lawyer, financial adviser, money-lender, insurer, Real estate agent and so on.
But Investment banks dont do anything on small scale. Like you cant walk in to get bike/car/house loan or get your 100$ converted into rupees.
Their customer base= big MNCs and corporates.
Their scale of operation= in millions and billions of Rs./dollars.
[Economy Q] Liquidity and monetary policy
Question from a Reader: Here is a paragraph one which went over my head. Read this excerpt from monetary policy:
After remaining in surplus for 18 months, liquidity conditions transited to a deficit mode towards end-May 2010. This was the consequence of a
large build-up in government cash balances as a result of higher than expected proceeds from spectrum auctions. Beginning October 2010, liquidity
conditions became even tighter. Both frictional factors such as the above-normal build up in government cash balances and structural factors such
as high currency demand growth and credit growth outpacing deposit growth contributed to tight liquidity conditions.
My question is if credit growth has outpaced deposit growth (more ppl r takin loans rather than depositin them) then how can that contribute to tight
liquidity !!! There will be more money wid ppl due to loans taken. Pls xplain
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AnsHere liquidity is a relative term. If the banking-system has more money to offer as loan today, compared to last month, well say liquidity has
increased. If banks have less money to offer as loans today, compared to last week/last month/last year, then well say liquidity is tight.
Now there are 3 factors.
#Spectrum auction
In the spectrum auction, the big telecom companies withdrew their deposited money from the banks and also took loans.The telecom companies
had to pay around Rs 68,000 crore within 10 days of the auction. So as you can see, that much money went from banking system to the
Government and hence was unavailable for loans.
#above-normal build up in government cash balances
If above money from spectrum auction, was deposited in Governments bank account, then itd be again available for loans again, immediately. But
it was deposited in the consolidated fund of India.From this consolidated fund of India, Government gives salary to judges, its whole staff, finances
various projects like NREGA, JNNURM, and so on.
Hence, this 68k cr. is no longer available for loan.
=less liquidity compared to earlier.
#credit growth outpacing deposit growth
if credit growth has outpaced deposit growth (more ppl r takin loans rather than depositin them) it means less money available for loans. So we say
tight liquidity.
Implications of liquidity
When liquidity is tight (or low), that means less money available for loans hence interest rates on loans increases.
1.
Too high liquidity =easy loans=less interest rates= people have more ca$h than products in market= inflation.
2.
Too low liquidity=hard loans=high interest rates=businessman find it hard to finance new projects, demands for automobie/cars etc.
decrease and so on.
Economy Q] Zero Interest Rates in Japan and America
Question from a reader: RBI increases interest rates slowly and higher interest rates encourage more FDI inflows. I got the reason wich u
mentioned that y RBI duznt increase the rates suddenly.
Question wich arises here is wrt Japan. Japan has been keeping near zero interest rates for a while now. Why so? Higher interest rates as usual
wud mean more FDI in Japan wich will bolster its growth. So wat r the reasons for keepin low interest rates?
Ans. Youre right, if Japan or any nation increases the interest rates, then more FDI will come. But Japans concern at the moment is not FDI but
consumer-demand. FDI matters for third world and newly emerging economies because you need big money for infrastructure,factories,machinary,
R&D for launching new product etc. but Japan,America are already far ahead in those things hence some-what saturated for FDI. So their mainpriority = consumer demand @Home and Abroad.
Interest rates in Japan are kept low, to encourage people to
1. take loans and spend it (=boost in auto-real estate demands etc.at home)
2. take loans and do some production (if loan-interest is low, the final product will be cheaper and can compete with Chinese export-items abroad)
Same is the case, why America too has near zero-interest rates.
Theyve so much money available as loan but people are not interested in taking it for spending or production =>so decrease the rates even
further.*
India is reverse: so much inflation, so you need to swallow some money out of the sytem. =>so increase the rates higher.
*While Japs and American authorities believe that zero-interest rates will help boosting the demand, there are thinkers with opposite view.
Copy pasting from TIME
American consumers, too, are trying to reduce household debt, so borrowing more money for a new car or to remodel the kitchen is not a high
priority. And without greater consumer spending, most companies have little need for new loans to expand operations. Interest rate cuts dont
matter in this environment, says Kirby Daley, senior strategist at financial-services firm Newedge Group in Hong Kong. It doesnt get at the heart of
the issue.
[Economy Q] CASA (Current and Savings Account) Ratio: meaning, implications, danger
Siddhant asked: WHAT IS THE CASA ?
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Ans: CASA =Current and Savings Account.
Lets refresh a few concepts before diving into CASA.
In a bank, there is incoming money and outgoing money.
Incoming Money in the bank
Bank will pay you interest, when you deposit money in savings account, as Fixed Deposit (FD),
Bank will borrow from RBI. (and will pay RBI interest)
Outgoing Money from the bank
Bank will give you loans for bike/car/home/business and charge higher interest rate on that.
So in simple terms,
Banks profit = Interest charged on loans -(minus) Interest paid on deposits.
Now, CASA= Current and savings account
Casa ratio =is the share of current and savings account deposits to the total deposits of the bank.
To keep it simple, lets just say banks incoming money comes only from two types of deposits: 1) CASA deposits and 2) FD (Fixed Deposit)
#1: CASA (Current and savings account) deposits
Here whatever money you deposit, you can withdraw it any time. banks do not pay any interest on current account,and interest paid on
savings account it (pathetically) low as 4%.
And then bank will circulate your money in form of house loan to others, and will charge 9.5% interest rate on it! So, that is a decent profit
margin.
Also known as Term Deposits, like double your money in 10 years or deposit 20,000 today and get 50,000 after 10 years etc.etc. Here
bank will pay you interest rate of around 7-9% per year.
But downside:you cannot withdraw your money before the term completes, else bank will charge penalty and you wont get the total
double your amount thing.
As you can see, If bank would circulate this FD money in loan, there is not a big profit margin, as in case of CASA.
Implication of High CASA Ratio
For SBI, CASA ratio is around 47%. (That is 47% of their total incoming money in form of deposits, comes from CASA). So SBI can earn lot of profit
by circulating this money as loan.
If Bank X has CASA ratio =barely 10%, obviously, not so good position like SBI.
Higher CASA is good only for banks?
Not only banks but loan-taker people also benifit from higher CASA ratio. Because bank with higher CASA, will keep its loan base rates
low.
Confused? Let me rephrase: If Bank X has barely 10% of CASA, means lot of their money comes from FD. And in FD theyve to pay
higher interest rate on deposit, hence theyll keep their loan-interest rates higher to maintain the profit margin.
ex. SBI= loan base rate is about 7%, but for Bank of Baroda its about 8%, because BoB has got lower CASA than SBI.
In India, interest rates paid on current and savings account deposits is administered by banking regulator the Reserve Bank of India.
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Danger with high Casa ratio?
From CASA account, you can withdraw your money any time. So, while bank is circulating this money as loan, then have to be careful.
They do a statistical analysis, like 10000 people deposited total 1 crore rupees in CASA accounts. And on any day, not more than 10 lakh
rupees are withdrawn in terms of cheques, demand draft etc.
Thats 10% outgoing money from CASA? So lets keep 15% of CASA money in terms of cash in the bank and give away remaining CASA
money as loans
BUT, what if suddenly account holders withdraw a lot of money? Example, back in 2008 during sub-prime crisis, some one spread a
rumour in Ahmedabad that ICICI has gone bankrupt! So people panicked and lined up in front of ICICI branches and ATMs to withdraw all
their account money. On daily basis more than Rs. 5 crores were withdrawn Ahmedabads branches and they had to order truck load of
cash from other cities and even run the branches on holidays to meet the situation.
Take a reverse case, what if thousands of people take home loans and then show inability to pay back [=bad loans / toxic assets / N.P.A. as it
happened in America]? And at the same time CASA depositers come and demand to withdraw lo lot of their money? So with this kind of situation,
the statistical calculations may go wrong. and if Bank has given lot of its CASA money to long term loans (house loans for example) then itll be a
real panic-situation.
The FD money is safer in this way. because banks know, once you make an FD, youre not going to withdraw it for next 5-10-20 years (in most
cases) so they can safely circulate this money as loans.
Curious case of SBI
1.
2.
but then again SBI has highest N.P.A. (Non-performing assets / bad loans/toxic assets) amongst all the banks in India!
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Again minute details like 12 years and 13 years are not important, what is important : Government is giving extra benefit to agro-machines under
EPCG to make Agro-GDP grow by 4% a year for their 11th Five year plan target.
Can you see how its all linked?
11 FYP> Exim Policy > EPCG tool.
Economy Q] Duty Entitlement Pass Book (DEPB)
Another question via email
What is Duty Entitlement Pass Book (DEPB)
Youre an exporters, you get this passbook from Government.When you export something : gems, chemicals anything; they will write it down in
your passbook.
Mr. XYZ has exported 1 kilo paperclips and U-pins worth 4000 rupees. So he is entitle to Rs.4 credit. (Theyve specific rates for each export
product, Im only giving a fictional example)
You can use this Rs. 4 credit in two ways.
1.
When you import something, youve to pay customs Duty. Now you can just show your passbook, and ask them to deduct the credit from
it.
2.
Or if youre not planning to import anything, you can ask them to pay that Rs.4 in cash.
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Retail means when product is sold to the ultimate consumer (common man)
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1. Retail sector in India is the second largest employer after agriculture. Almost 33 million people involved here.
2. Now the problem part: Disguised unemployment. Father and two Sons running a farm, producing 200 kgs of wheat. You take out any two
members,
the production still remains 200 kgs. Same problem goes with family owned-operated retail stores, the intermediaries and middle agents.
3. What should be done? Obviously one of the two sons ought to get himself in other sector (service, construction, manufacturing, industry, etc) But
there is lack of opportunities, the manufacturing sector is not growing at the pace. So the argument=: Displaced retail-operators will not be
absorbed
in other sectors. This FDI will lead to unemployment.
Although this unemployment argument is flawed because
1. Walmart cannot open malls in every nook and corner of India. Their electricity, staff and security costs will surpass their profit margins.
2. Customers cant goto Walmart on daily basis for attractive discounts because the petrol cost (and time wasted in traffic) will negate the discount
on small purchase. So theyll be using local small-retailer for daily requirements of bread, milk, newspaper etc.
3. Did STD booth-operators become unemployed after advent of mobile phones with zero roaming charges and free incoming? Nope, they
diversified and
started running Xerox and cybercafs.
4. Did local Udipi owner ran out of business because of McDonald / KFC? Ofcourse not.
Anti #2: Predatory pricing
Walmart or any other MNC retail mall, for the first 3-4 years theyll give heavy discounts and seductive offers, even if they make loss in the deal.
Result : all the customers in a particular city are hooked to walmart only.
The smalltime retail players cannot run business giving such heavy discounts, they close down. Once all competition is eliminated with this
predatory pricing Walmart will slowly stop giving discounts and recover their losses by increasing the MRP.
Since these big MNCs have deep pockets, they can affort this sort of loss. But in the long term, they recover everything.
Same way Once the small time retailers are out of business, Wal-Mart will start exploiting farmers, paying them extremely low money for their
produce, because
now Wal-Mart is the sole retailer in the city.
counter arguments: Predatory pricing
1. Customer thinks of Traffic, time and petrol cost involved before visiting Walmart everynow and then. Not like someone would go 10 kilometers,
just
because the mall is giving Rs.3 discount on apple juice.
2. There is a Competition Commission of India to look into this matter. (earlier MRTP, Monopoly and restrictive trade practices act)
(sidenote) Another example of Predatory pricing is our airline industry. One of the prime reasons why theyre making losses.
Anti#3: India will become dumping ground for Chinese products
Dumping means, suppose a ballpen is sold for Rs.10 in China but they intentionally export it to India at the price of Rs.5, in order to ruin the
business
of local Indian pen-producers and to capture the Indian stationary market.
China is notorious for this dumping tactic, earlier we had to impose Anti-dumping duty on their rubber products and tires.
Some believe that entry of Foreign retailers will facilitate the Chinese scheme of dumping our market with their cheap products.
Arguments in favor of FDI in retail
Pro#1: No more wastage of agro-produce
India is the second largest producer of fruits and vegetables,
If we are the 2nd biggest producers of fruits and vegetables, why are we not a big name / exporter in world market? And more
importantly, if we are second largest producer, then why is so much inflation in food items?
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Because Post-harvest more than Rs. 1 trillion worth farm produce, especially of fruits, vegetables and other perishables, is wasted due of lack of
storage and transport facilities.
More than 50% of this can be saved, if weve proper cold-storage facilities.
Government is not doing much about this (duh they are unable to save even the wheat in PDS, let alone cold-storage) and the private Indian
players
donot have much money to invest in this cold-storage chain or those expensive big transport-trucks of America that we see in Discovery channel.
So if FDI in retail is allowed, the MNCs would invest in cold-storage chains and those big transport trucks. Means lower wasted of produce. More
supply of fruits and vegetables. According to supply-demand rule the prices will go down.
Right now, 100% FDI Is allowed in Cold-storage chain, but foreign players are not coming there because theyre not allowed to sell it in retail
malls. There is not much profit margin in operating a cold-storage alone. Itd take years to recover the investment. Only if MNCs are allowed to sell
the produce as well in their retail malls, theyll feel interested in investing in this cold-storage game.
Similarly FDI in Wholesale trading was allowed upto 100% since 1997.
Pro#2: Farmer gets more money for his produce
Indian Farmer doesnt have cold-storage or transport facility, if he grew 200 kilos of carrots, he has no option but to sell it as soon as possible
before it get spoiled. The middle agent buy this produce for as low as 2-4 rupees per kilo, but by the time it reaches market, the price jumps to 2530
rupees per kilo. WHY?
Indian Truck Transport: Overloading and Bribes
There is no organized truck- transport service, the truck operators are running in extremely competitive environment so theyve to overload their
trucks. Once this overloaded truck goes through checkpoint, policeman will demand bribe for flouting the road permit provisions.
Since the truck is overloaded, engine efficiency is reduced. He has to get his truck repaired frequently.
The road quality and traffic Management is bad, more diesel is consumed.
Trucker will add all these costs (bribe, repair, extra diesel) in his service charge.
Truck reaches the city, your local vegetable-vendor pays to offload the carrots but he gotta maintain his own profit-margin as well, (+ the bribe he
has to pay to local policeman, municipality inspector etc) so the carrots that were lifted for 2 rupees, ultimately get sold for 25 rupees a kilo
after
cutting everyones Commission.
When an organized MNC retailer gets in picture, he has his own extremely efficient and streamlined transport service. So there is no overloading of
trucks, there is very systematic packing of goods. His truck maintenance cost is thus very low and there is low wastage during transport.
Second, He doesnt have to pay so many bribes at every level, because
1. There is no overloading of trucks, papers are in order. Less chances for policemen etc to blackmail him into paying bribe.
2. He got deep pockets, he gives big annual donations for election funds to the ruling party and Diwali gifts to the concerned district officers.
Thats why small time petty officials such as police, municipality, food n sanitation inspector cant dare to bother him every now and then, as they do
to small time retailers.
So MNC retailers cost price is quite low compared to small-time retailers. Hence he can afford to give attractive discounts to customers as well.
Same reason why many political parties dislike MNCs in Retail, you can extract more election-funds from 1000 small time players compared to from
one
big player. Big player is less susceptible to arm-twisting compared to a small player.
No more intermediaries / Middle men in the chain= Lesser levels of Commissions
Right now Intermediaries [middle agents] dominate the value chain. They often their pricing lacks transparency. They often run secret cartels, so
even in open auctions, farmers dont get good price for their produce.
Wholesale regulated markets, governed by State APMC Acts, have developed a monopolistic and non-transparent character.
These elected cooperative marketing societies and Mandis are more or less same BJP vs Congress fight for domination in university elections,
there is
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hardly anything positive reform done for the students.
According to some reports, Indian farmers realize only 1/3rd of the total price paid by the final consumer, as against 2/3rd by
farmers in nations with a higher share of organized retail.
A study commissioned by the World Bank : Why India doesnt earn much money from exporting its Fruits and vegetable (even though were
second largest
producer) = Same reason, Non-competitiveness. Bad supply lines.
A price that the farmer receives for a typical horticulture product is only 1215 per cent of the price the consumer pays at a retail outlet.
Small and Medium scale industries
Example small time cushions, toys, shoes, plastic wares maker. They dont see much business because they dont have the avenues to sell their
products. Big mall with big floor space, provides them opportunity to market their products and get customers attention.
Assured quality, no adulteration
Tune into Aaj Tak newschannel during afternoon, it is always somewhere in Uttar Pradesh, they caught adulterated Milk, Milk products or soft
drinks
produced using banned chemicals.
More than 40% of the medicines sold in rural and semi-urban areas of India are of fake brands.
For an MNC retailer you can atleast feel confident that it wont be the case.
More competition = Better prices and products
Remember once upon a time, Mobile calls used to cost 7 Rupees per minute and incoming wasnt free. Why? Because there was low level of
competition.
Barely 2-3 players in the market. FDI can be a powerful catalyst to spur competition.
Trickle down Theory
To open a big mall, walmart has to purchase land and construct a big building= lot of laborers, masons, plumbers, electricians employed.
Same way farmers are getting more money so all these people have more money in their hands and they use it to purchase bikes, mobiles etc. so
more
demand and more employment.
This is trickle down theory. Marxist and Vinod Dua (NDTV) disputes this theory.
Fear exaggerated
Fears of large adverse effects on existing retailers are grossly exaggerated especially since modern domestic retailing has begun in any case via
desi retailers such as Big Bazzar and Reliance. (10th plan document)
Suggestions for safeguards
1. Entry of foreign players must be gradual with social safeguards so that the effects of labour dislocation can be analysed and policy fine tuned.
2. Foreign players should initially be allowed only in metros cities only.
3. Gradual opening of the retail sector over a period of 3-5 years to give domestic industry enough time to adjust to the changes.
4. More stringent Compulsory corporate social responsibility requirement (e.g. Ask them to open 1 school and 1 clinic in every city where theyre
operating etc.)
5. Regular monitoring of mall-inventories to see that India is not used as dumping ground for Chinese products.
Some reports for mythbusting
***Ok now this is copy paste job***
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ICRIER STUDIES ON: (i) FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN RETAIL SECTOR-INDIA (2005) and (ii) IMPACT OF ORGANIZED RETAILING
ON THE UNORGANIZED SECTOR-2008
Based on their study
#1 : Not as much job loss as feared
1. Unorganized retailers in the vicinity of organized retailers experienced a decline in their volume of business and profit in the initial years after
the entry of large organized retailers.
2. The adverse impact on sales and profit, however, weakens over time. There was no evidence of a decline in overall employment in the
unorganized
sector as a result of the entry of organized retailers.
3. The rate of closure of unorganized retail shops in gross terms was found to be 4.2 per cent per annum, which is much lower than the international
rate of closure of small businesses. The rate of closure on account of competition from organized retail was found to still lower, at 1.7 per cent per
annum.
4. There was competitive response from traditional retailers through improved business practices and technology upgradation.
#2 good for consumers
While customers from all income groups saved through organized retail purchases, the lower income consumers saved more. Thus, organized retail
is
relatively more beneficial to the less well-off consumers.
#3 Intermediate players
There was no evidence of an adverse impact by organized retail on intermediaries. There is, however, some adverse impact on turnover and profit
of
intermediaries dealing in products such as, fruit, vegetables, and apparel. Over two-thirds of the intermediaries planned to expand their businesses,
in response to increased business opportunities opened by the expansion of retail.
#4 More money to farmers
Farmers were found to benefit significantly from the option of direct sales to organized retailers. The average price realization for cauliflower
farmers selling directly to organized retail was about 25 per cent higher than their proceeds from sale to regulated government mandis. The
profit realization for farmers selling directly to organized retailers was about 60 per cent higher than that received from selling in the mandis. The
difference was even larger when the amount charged by the commission agent (usually 10 per cent of sale price) in the mandi
is taken into account.
Scenario in other third world countries
FDI is permitted in the retail sector in Brazil, Argentina, Singapore, Indonesia, China and Thailand without limits on equity participation (that is
100% FDI allowed)
Thailand: Since 1997, 100% FDI. Positive result: Thailand has now become an important shopping and tourist destination.
Economy] A story of Forex, currency conversion, rupee depreciation, inflation, subsidies etc.
Again in the fond memories of Dev Anand.
Im writing this story so that the newcomers can get some idea about Forex, currency conversion, rupee depreciation, inflation, subsidies etc.
(caution : full of technically not-so-correct examples, just to give you a broad idea of what ails Indian economy) Ok here it goes..
Investor: Faith won and lost
Enter an American Mr.James. Thanks to American recession, he decides to invest outside USA, and comes to India with a bag full of green dollars,
after he was assured by RBI and Commerce Secretary that environment in India is very conductive for business. Please come, give us your dollars,
we convert it into rupees.
He (full of confidence) converts his dollars, at the rate of 1$=Rs.40
Now James searches for land to open office or factory somewhere near a big city in India. But price of land is so high thanks to the black money, it
doesnt make any sense buying a property.
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He says ok, let me just rent some readymade building and Ill starting a small-scale i-phone production company.
But the electricity shuts down at random, for hours and days.
James: ok, Ill buy a diesel generator like every other industrialist in this area.
Again price of Diesel also increasing, Profit margin shrinking.
Adding insult to the injury, his workers have gone on strike. Workers are demanding pay-rise because of the ever increasing prices of milk and
petrol and James unable to settle the dispute so a lengthy (and expensive) legal battle is drawn. Meanwhile the factory remains closed for weeks
and months together.
James: let me start a coffee house to pay lawyers fees.
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RBI Chief: what in the gods name is happening? 52 rupees for a dollar? How are we supposed to import crude-oil at this expensive rate?
Finance Minister (FM): hey look at the bright side, although our imports become costlier but now our exports will earn more money. It is Good for
call-centres and textile exporters. And then they use that money for buying items in Indian market = it will create more demand= more jobs=boost in
economy!!! Trickle down theory!!!
RBI: Wait a minute! Nobody is going to buy nothing under this high-inflation. So Whatever extra-profit the call centre owner makes thanks to this
rupee devaluation, hell lock it in banks fixed deposit or pension funds and hell wait and watch for the prices to go down before making any big
purchase. This trickle down theory isnt that linear and straight forward as youre thinking. Back to the point, We need dollars to finance the crude oil
import..
Finance Minister: No problem. Youve got more than 200 billion dollars Forex-reserve in your custody. Release them in the market.
RBI Chief: Never. Im saving it for the rainy day. God forbid if situation gets even worse, wed have our pockets totally empty. What if a war breaks
out with Pakistan or China, how will we purchase extra-oil for our fighter-jets and combat-tanks during that crisis, if our Forex reserve is wasted like
this?
Finance Minister: Damn it, if prices of petrol and diesel are increased because of this rupee depreciation, the truck-transportation cost will increase
and so will the prices of milk,eggs,fruits and vegetables. Spider-mans Uncle Ben before his untimely death, had said With great power comes
great responsibilities and for great Pawar comes great slappings Please man, do something, we need green dollars to finance the oil bills.
Ive UP election to win.
RBI Chief: how about you stop MNREGA? That will stop a lot of corruption, black money generation and the resultant inflation and price rise.
FM: Youre kidding, right? How am I supposed to win UP elections without MNREGA? Centrally sponsored welfare scheme is the only Brand-USP
of our party!
RBI: Ok how about disinvestment? Sell a part of your shares from SAIL, Coal India and other public sector undertakings.
FM: Yes we can do that but wait Madam-ji and NAC (National advisory council) said the disinvestment money is to go in National Investment
fund from which itll be spent for more schemes like MNREGA.
RBI: ok lets recover the 2G and CWG corruption money from Raja and Kalmadi then use it to finance the oil-bill.
FM: lolz, come on man, be serious. Hey wait. how about you print 10 suitcases of rupees in your printing press. Then I goto Forex market and get
them converted into dollars.
RBI: Yes that could work. Only problem is that the guy how buys these suitcases from you in exchange of dollars. He might come back, buy all
the onions and potatos from our market using same printed rupees and takes them to his home-country. That would lead to even further inflation for
there will be lesser produce left in our market.
FM: no no UP electionno more inflation.
RBI: Look I understand your constrains but I cant release dollars from my reserve. But How about you arrange for dollars ..you know something
like via FDI? How about 51% FDI in retail, that ought to attract a lot foreign players with bags full of dollars, theyll get desperate to convert it into
rupees.
Finance Minister: hmminteresting.
[Economy Q] Story of Forex Part II
Continuing the Technically-not-so-correct story of Forex and currency conversion
Kashyap asked,
First Question
Why king of Saudi does not accept payment in rupees?
If he accepts rupees, his hands are tied, meaning he can only use that cash to buy stuff from India.
But even If he wishes to import Indian mangoes or oranges, the Indian exporters would gladly accept American dollars, so why bother
with rupees?
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But everytime he converts one currency to another, there will be taxes and Commission charges applied @ the forex market. So why
waste money in it? Just get the dollars- its universally accepted-Can buy anything from anywhere.
You buy something from my medical store and pay but instead of returning change ( ), I give you plastic coin or coupon with 2rupees written on it. It can be used to purchase items from my store only. So, will you accept that plastic coin currency or will you
demand an actual Indian currency coin? Which one has more benefits?
Second Question
In the initial years after independence, we didnot have the excellent manufacturing technology,
There were droughts so food shortage. We were dependent on the west for food supplies.
There was heavy inflation because of wars with China and Pakistan.
We emphasized on Swadeshi, we were using Import substitution strategy. We prevented the entry of foreign companies, hence our
Swadeshi automobiles, cameras, etc were not of export-quality. If the third guy (British) wanted to buy a car, hed convert his pounds to
dollars and buy a ford from America and wont come to India to buy the khataraa Ambassador.
In those years, America was quickly advancing, they had color TV, missiles, tanks, weapons, sports cars for sale and export in their showroom.
As we saw a paragraph ago: why we exchange currency? so that we can buy something from their local market. So how do you
motivate an American to exchange his one dollar to your rupees?
1$=1Rupee? ofcourse not. Why should he give you his one dollar for just one rupee?
What is so precious in your Indian show-room that he feels tempted to exchange his dollars for your rupees?
1 gallon is approx 4 litres. He can buy 4 litres of petrol, in about 16$ on American gas-station while youll need Rs. 280 to buy 4 liters in
Indian petrol pump.
He can buy a computer mouse in 7 dollars in America, while here it costs no less than Rs.150 in India. ( I mean to say, if he exchanges 1
dollar for 1 Rupee and imports things from India, he is at loss.)
Besides, we are have desperate need of dollars to purchase his weapons, his machinery, or to pay $$ for crude oil.
So you would need to motivate him by offering more rupees for each dollar so that he can purchase more from India.
Thats why 1 Dollar did-not equal to 1 Rupee. You had to offer him more than 1 Rupee.
PS issues of officially Fixed exchange rate, devaluation etc intentionally skipped to keep the explanation plain and simple. You can read more about
that by clicking me
Third Question
3. why did Allen exchanged dollars with rupees?
Because India would have appeared a good investment-destination 3-4 years ago when Allen came, and America was struggling with
recession.
But then thanks to Jairam Rameshs Environmental activism, Niyamgiri-POSCO agitations, Cairn-Vedanta deal obstacles, mining scams
and energy crisis etc. the scenario right now, may not appear attractive to new investors.
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Economy Q] SENSEX calculation
Before venturing into SENSEX calculation, lets refresh basic concepts of Index calculation, that we saw in WPI calculation
Suppose Price of a Lifebouy soap was Rs.10 in 2001.
And now it has increased to Rs.12 per bar.
We take 2001 as our base year.
We take Rs. 10 as our base price.
Then our index for 2001,
= Price of soap in 2001 divided by price of soap in 2001
=(10/10) x 100= 100%
Our index for 2011
=Price of soap in 2011 divided by price of soap in 2001
=(12/10) x 100=120%
The formula is essentially, new price divided by old price
Now for SENSEX
Base year : 1978-79 [to be specific, the price on 1st April 1979]
First the concept ofFree Float market Capitalization
1.
2.
Kingfisher: suppose has total 1 lakh shares: 30,000 held by Malya and rest 70 thousand held by general public.
Value of each share in Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) on 11 January 2012 is Rs. 150.
Now we first calculate a thing called Free float Market capitalization for Kingfisher, which is nothing but
= Number of shares held by general public multiplied with Value of Each share on the given date in Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE)
= 70 thousand x 150
= 105 lakh rupees
So Kingfishers Free float Market cap (FFMC) for 11 January 2012= 105 lakh rupees.
Like this kingfisher, you pick up total 30 companies, calculate their FFMCs, add them together.This number becomes our Price of lifebuoy, say it
is 15 crore rupees. (NEW PRICE)
And total Free floating market cap of 30 companies, on that 1st april 1979 was say 10 lakh rupees. (OLD PRICE)
So as we saw earlier, INDEX= new price divided by old price (% value)
Now SENSEX = Total Free float market cap (FFMC) of 30 companies today divided by Total (FFMC) of 30 companies on 1st April 1979
=(15 crores / 10 lakh) x 100
=15000
This 15,000 my friends, is the todays SENSEX.
P.S. Actual formula not this linear.
Some points
The 30 companies, in that list keeps changing. So 30 companies in todays SENSEX not necessarily included in 1979s list. But we take
their values.
Actual SENSEX calculation involves minute technical-items such as free float factor for each company but its beyond the scope of
routine competitive exams. However curious souls can access it by clicking followinghttp://www.ehow.com/how_5184590_calculatesensex.html
Different companies have different weights in the Index. So calculation wont be directly new price by old price but weighted average,
similar to how in WPI we assigned weights to different commodities.
Total market capitalization =total number of shares of a company (i.e. Malya+General public) multiplied with price of each share on
given date.
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SENSEX from 1986 to 2003, was calculated on this Total market capitalization. In 2003, they switched to Free Float Market Cap.
An electronics store owner, Jethalal Champaklal Ghada, requests 20 LCD TVs from Sony wholesaler.
Hed keep paying it either in installments or entire sum before next-Diwali or next month or only when those LCDs are sold to a newly
opening hotel. (i.e. deals made on credit)
Another example of traditional wholesale:sometimes you see a guy with a notebook, making rounds at your local kiranastore or dairy parlor. Hed note down the order from that store owner
and after some time, hed come back in loading-rickshaw full of biscuit, softdrink and wafer packs. And the money is settled on monthly basis.
Cash and Carry wholesale trade
It is different from the traditional wholesale deals in following manner:
Here Jethalal himself goes to that Wholesalers warehouse (or sends his henchmen Nattu kaka or Bagheshwar).
He arranges for the truck-transport by himself and takes it back to his shop.(Carry)
Cash n Carry wholesale in India
In many big cities there are Best Price Modern Wholesale stores by Walmart Bharti venture, as 100% FDI is already allowed in
wholesale.
They stock about 6,000 items, including a wide range of fresh, frozen and chilled foods, fruits and vegetables, dry groceries, personal and
home care, hotel and restaurant supplies, clothing, office supplies and other general merchandise items.
These items are available at competitive wholesale prices, allowing retailers and business owners to lower their cost of operations.
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Over 90% of these goods and services are sourced locally, thereby helping keep costs to a minimum, adding to the growth of the local
economy and creating job opportunities.
Economy] On What basis 49-51% are calculated in FDI?
Basheer asked,
what is this 51% and 100%on what basis those percentages are allowed for fdi.i mean if 51% in multibrand is allowed thn how can they
maintain tht 51 %.
Situation #1
Anil Kapoor is running a mall in Mumbai (or a big retail-mall chain, having presence in all big cities) and his total investment is 49 crores.
Then Tom Cruise cannot invest more than 51 crores in this mall.
Situation #2
Tom Cruise dreams to open a retail mall chain in India, he calculates itd require total investment of 100 crores.
Even if he has 5000 crores, he can only put 51 crores from his side and hell have to find one or more Indian players to invest the
remaining 49 crores, else his dream will become a Mission impossible (Ghost protocol)
Situation #3
Anil Kapoor has a public listed company doing the retail business (i.e. theyve shares in sharemarket)
In this case Anil might issue extra shares on preferential basis to Mr.Cruise upto the limit of 51% in total investment
On these shares, the dividend cannot be more than the limits given by Finance ministry.
Percentage Calculation
49-51 sharing percentage is calculated on total investment, which can be anything.
Tanvir asked: Whats the difference between current account deficit and trade deficit?
Current account
First the meaning of Balance of Payment= keeping track of incoming and outgoing money from a country.
In Balance of Payment, weve two components :
1.
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2.
Capital Account.
2.
Factor Income (interest and dividends from international loans and investments.)
3.
When we say Current account deficit, means incoming money is less than outgoing money.
Trade deficit
First, the meaning of Balance of Trade = difference between value of import and export.
When we are importing more than our exports: weve Trade Deficit.
It doesnt consider foreign aid and interest payments but only the trade part.
Do you see the hierarchy ??
Balance of Payment >> Current Account >> Balance of Trade >> Trade Deficit
By the way, how to calculate current account deficit, has been explained here: Click ME!
[Economy] Link between Credit Rating & Interest Rates
Another Question from email: DOWNGRADED rating could lead to hiked interest rates and borrowing costs: What does this mean?
first of all,
What is a credit rating agency?
A credit rating agency is like the Box office review columns in Saturdays newspapers: 2 star out of 5, means waste of money.
(Ra.One, Don 2 for example).
Similarly Credit rating agency (CRA) assigns credit ratings to issuers of bonds and securities : companies, Governments etc.
From their rating, you can know issuers credit worthiness (i.e., its ability to pay back a loan)
From your side (Lender) what do you see?= hike in interest rate.
From my side (Borrower) what do I see?=increased cost of borrowing, because I have to offer higher interest rate.
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Credit Rating for individuals
Credit Information Bureau of India (CIBIL) is a central agency that prepares a report of all loan borrowers who have defaulted on their
payment to their banks.
In short, CIBIL knows if you are a good borrower or a bad one. Banks seek these reports, called as credit reports, from CIBIL before they
sanction you a loan amount.
If your credit history is not good, your loan request may be rejected, or you may be required to pay higher interest rate.
Non-related question,
What is Angel fund?
A wealthy individual who provides financing to a start-up compny.
Start up company means a company in its earliest stage of development, usually before its IPO.
Feeling bored and confused? Well refresh the concept of security, derivatives, primary and secondary market by going through old articles
onMrunal.org/economy
Means that Japan will accept rupees and give dollars to RBI up to a stipulated limit, and similarly RBI will take yen and send dollars to
Japan if speculators seek to thrash down the respective currencies.
Currency swap would take place between the Reserve Bank of India and its counterpart in Tokyo, the Bank of Japan.
The two central banks would give each other dollars to stabilize their currencies, in case of need.
A dollar swap arrangement can help emerging economies as it promises a supply of dollars in an emergency.
The previous currency swap deal between the two nations, signed in 2008, has expired.
How is India benefited?
Oil Companies sell these bonds to LIC, Banks etc to recover the money.
To prevent the downfall of Rupee, RBI can open a Forex-window, where Oil
cos line up and exchange their oil-bonds in lieu of dollars from RBI.
For this activity: RBI can exchange its rupees to Japanese bank and get
dollars and then RBI gives that dollars to Oil cos. in lieu of
Government bonds.
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(2 marker for GS-Mains)
1997: East Asian countries had a big financial crisis due to speculative forex investors.
Under Chiang Mai Initiative in 2010, ASEAN countries + Japan + China + S.Korea have a currency swap agreements.
Some GK
1$= 6 Yuan
1 Yuan= 7 Rupees
Ref:
http://www.hindustantimes.com/StoryPage/Print/787093.aspx
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-16336798
[Economy] How does RBI know about money supply in the market?
Question from Kritika
How govt assume more money with public which causes inflation?
If am right,persistent rice in price level is inflation which is assumed to happen whenthere is more money with public, as a result demand
increases , which causes price rise.
So to curb the flow of money with public ,RBI taking measures to increase repo rates.
But what my doubt is , how can govt come to conclusion that there is more money with the public?
Answer
Government and RBI are two different entities.
Both are involved in managing the economy in their own capacity.
1.
2.
What RBI does (repo, reverse repo, CRR, SLR etc) is called Monetary policy.
if an investor has a stake of 10 per cent or less in a company, it will be treated as FII and,
Later Chindu formed a panel under Arvind Mayaram for giving clear definitions to FDI and FII.
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Whats the difference? Which one is better?
FII players pull out their money from stock-market even for slightest good/bad rumors and invest in in different country.
Thats why its called Hot money -was responsible for 1997 Asian financial crisis {2 marker in GS Mains Paper-I, 2007}
In 2007, the 2 marker appeared because that year SEBI made some regulation in FII investment via participatory notes to control the hotmoney.
Also, there were allegations that Pakistan might use it for financial-terrorism using FII via Participatory notes.
Although there are tools such as Tobin Tax, to control the flight of hot-money. But still, For development, Governments want and prefer
FDI and not FII. Because Its hard to pull out FDI once invested.
[Economy] Budget related current affairs making you nervous?
2.
tax slabs
3.
4.
5.
+ The burning issues: GST, DTC, what did the FM said in this budget speech about them?
[Economy] Direct Tax Code (DTC): Meaning, Explanation, Basics
Mansoor asked
I have read about DTC in other articles but finding it difficult to comprehend it. please explain.
First the Basics
Direct Tax vs Indirect Tax
Direct Tax
You pay it on your income and property.
1.
Income Tax
2.
Corporate Tax
3.
Wealth Tax
^ Direct Tax Code (DTC) seeks to consolidate them all in one book.
Indirect Tax
You pay it on the goods and services purchased.
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1.
Sales Tax
2.
VAT
3.
Customs duty
4.
Excise Duty
5.
^ Goods and services Tax (GST) seeks to combine them all in one book.
Redistribution of wealth
in short it means:
Tax the rich and use the money for the welfare of poors.
You tax middle-class and rich-class, use that money to provide subsidized wheat for poor people = wealth is redistributed.
Why do we need Direct Tax Code?
Right now weve different Codes for different taxes for ex.
Under DTC, all the direct taxes will be brought under a single Code
Simplify the language for aam-aadmi
So that even non-experts can interpretate the rules on their own, and no need to consult a tax-lawyer or Chartered Accountant every now
and then.
Provide stability in direct tax rates
At present, the income tax slabs and rate are changed in every budget, thus keep keeping people on their toes.
Therefore, People have to keep making rounds here and there to tax-consultants and insurance agents to save themselves from highertax slabs, every year.
DTC will provide stable brackets and rates for a longer time, (ofcourse they can be amended from time to time.)
Increase Tax to GDP ratio.
It means the ratio of tax collection against the national gross domestic product (GDP).
Right Governments tax collection is not optimum, because people get so many tax-exemptions.
Under DTC, Men and women are treated same. Women would cease to enjoy income-tax exemptions
Only senior citizens will get extra relief with tax exemption
DTC removes most of the categories of exempted income. Unit Linked Insurance Plans (ULIPs), Equity Mutual Funds (ELSS), Term
deposits, NSC (National Savings certificates), House Loan principal repayment etc.
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Thus, Governments tax collection would increase, because there are less exemptions available.
Plus, Government needs truckload of money for their inefficient schemes such as MNREGA and Food security bill, otherwise problem of
fiscal deficit. In that sense too, DTC is very important for them.
Rates under DTC:
Before DTC, if you own more than one property, there was provision for taxing notional rent even if the second house was not put to rent.
But, under the Direct Tax Code 2010, such a concept has been abolished.
Wealthtax cutoff increased
Right now youve to pay additional tax if you own farmhouses, shopping malls, jewellery, vehicles etc wealth above Rs.30 lakh.
Under DTC, youve to pay wealth tax only if you own assets worth to Rs 50 core or above.
Corporate tax rate 30% (no surcharge or cess)
Combine this with Stability point explained above, and Foreign players would feel attracted to invest in India.
MAT (Minimum Alternative Tax)
I already talked about that a year ago. Click me If you missed the MAT article
If approved, the DTC shall come into force on the April 1, 2012, and shall be applicable for income earned during the financial year 2012-13.
[Economy Q] Headline vs Core Inflation Difference
Headline inflation
1.
2.
3.
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The food and fuel prices keep changing based on season and external factors. Hence, headline inflation gives a very volatile number.
The policymakers (RBI and Fin.Min.), cannot use this number to make future predictions or long-term policies, so they also keep a
separate watch on Core-Inflation number.
How do we measure inflation in India?
Compiled by Office of Economic Adviser ->Ministry of Commerce and Industry calculates WPI.
Central Statistical Organisation (CSO) under the Ministry of statistics and program implementation calculates, CPI.
The same org. also responsible for compiling Index of industrial production (IIP)
Related to this
Phillips curve
If the unemployment rate is LOW, Inflation rate will be HIGH.
Stagflation
Both unemployment and inflation rates are high and growth rate is low.
[Economy Q] Basel III Norms: Tier 1 and Tier 2 Capital meaning use
Keep in mind friends, for a regular Government job recruitment exam [UPSC, State PSC] or MBA admission GDPI, you need to have only
a basic idea about BASEL. No need to dwell into extreme details such as exact numbers of Tier 1 and Tier 2, credit valuation adjustment
or Net Stable Funding Ratio.
What is BASEL?
It is a city in Switzerland.
Why Do we Need BASEL norms?
Consider these cases
ICICI bank collapse hoax
Back in 2003, Someone started a rumor in Ahmedabad that ICICI bank is going to collapse. Suddenly thousands of panicked account holders lined
up at the nearest ICICI branch to take out their money and hence there was such a money-shortage in ICICIs Ahmedabad branches, they had to
actually call up trucks loaded with cash from their Mumbai branches.
Things settled out after a while and it was confined only to a few cities of Gujarat, but if it was an entire-countrywide hoax, just imagine
the fallout!
SBI: Imaginary case
SBI takes deposits from you and me, pays us 7% interest rate, and gives same money as loan to car-home seekers, businessmen etc at
12% interest rate, thus earning 5% in profit.
SBI gave loan of Rs.4500 crores to Telecom players for 2G auction and now the licenses are cancelled.
What if those telecom players run away without paying back the loan and Kingfisher goes broke?
Adding insult to the injuries, someone starts a systematic campaign on facebook and twitter to spread rumors that SBI itself is going to
collapse.
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Lakhs of middleclass account holders will run to the nearest SBI branch to take out their deposited money (as it happened in ICICI,
Ahmedabad in 2003 in real-life).
Overnight entire banking sector will collapse and You already know about the sub-prime crisis etc: the aftershocks were felt everywhere in
every sector.
The BASEL Norm is kinda safeguards / backup plan for Banking sector.
It provides internationally accepted detailed guidelines about how much money should a bank keep aside, to deal with such financial
crisis.
Even if loan-takers run away without paying, Bank should have money to give back to deposit holders.
More risk the bank takes, more money it has to keep aside in reserve to counter the risk.
What is Tier 1 and Tier 2 Capital?
Tier 1 and 2 capital is way too technical and detailed, to be asked in a routine Government recruitment exam for Generalist posts, so not
much point in getting to that depth and numbers. But still for the sake of discussion:
As we saw earlier, banks need to keep some money aside to deal with crisis. It meant the word capital.
If bank keeps aside capital, in form of real-estate investment (say buying 5 farm houses) then during the crisis, it wont be easy to sell
away farm-houses and get money within a day or two. So this Capital is not liquid.
Tier 2
Not easily Liquid, for example the building or land owned by the bank.
If a Bank loans 1 crore rupee to a company with B Credit Rating, it must keep capital worth 20 lakhs aside for crisis.
2.
And out of that 20 lakhs, Rs. 15 lakhs must in form of Tier 1 Capital and 5 lakhs can be in form of Tier 2.
3.
If the Company has credit rating of AAA then Capital worth Rs.xyz and so on..
Governor of RBI signs on this BASEL agreement, comes back home and forces all the Indian banks to follow these norms. Same thing will be done
by French, Chinese, Americans etc. and thus banks in every country will function prudently thus preventing another Global financial crisis.
Latest is BASEL III accord, came in 2010. It has stringent provisions keeping in mind the sub-prime crisis.
Criticism of BASEL
1.
2.
Just because American Banks were so imprudent in their functioning and ran into trouble, doesnt mean WE the Indian banks need be so
overcautious and keep so much of money aside for safety, it could be used for giving loans to needy people.
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3.
Already existing complex Monetary policies of Central Banks in each country (example RBIs CRR, SLR, Repo etc.) make it difficult to
uniformly implement BASEL norms.
[Economy] Greenex : New BSE Stock index for Energy efficient companies
Before moving further, I suggest you read How do they calculate SENSEX (click Me)
What is Greenex?
It measures the share-trading activity of 20 top energy efficient companies of India in Bombay Stock Exchange.
What type of companies listed in Greenex?
Just like SENSEX this is a weighted index, but comprising of energy efficient companies or green companies.
Included : ICICI Bank, State Bank of India, HDFC, Sun Pharma and BHEL.
Timeline
Basevalue: 1000
Numbers are not important, but you must understand the meaning: If the value of all stocks traded in BSE, was Rs.1000 in 2008 then
right now it is Rs.1488.
if value of all stocks traded in BSE in 1979 was Rs.100 right now it is 15000 (or whatever it is).
Company makes profit and gives us dividend on those shares. If company gets higher profit, we get higher dividend.
(assumption) In long term, energy efficient companies will get better profits than other companies.
So if there is a separate index to measure performance of Energy efficient companies in stock-market, the investors can make a better
and informed decision about where should they put their money. Thats why separate Greenex despite having a SENSEX.
[Economy] National Investment Fund (NIF): Meaning Use and Demo CSAT question
What is National Investment Fund (NIF)?
1.
Government has shareholding in PSUs (Public sector undertakings: ONGC, SAIL, LIC etc).
2.
Government sells part of its shares in the market, and get ca$h. (it is calledDisinvestment)
3.
Government puts that cash in this NIF, instead of the consolidated fund of India.
4.
SBI, UTI etc will act as fund managers, use this money to invest in sharemarket etc, and generate profit. (just like Mutual funds)
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5.
75% of profit, will be used for MNREGA, Indira Awas Yojana and other schemes of Union Government.
6.
25% of the profit will be invested in profitable PSUs. (lolz e.g. Air India)
7.
NIF was given approval in 2005 but in reality it started working in 2007.
What is Consolidated fund of India? (CFI)
For the moment, just a brief idea: all the money earned by Union Government should go in this fund, and all the expenses of Union
Government will be made from this fund.
According to Constitution, The Union Government (Executive) cannot spend money out of this Consolidated fund of India without
parliaments permission.
Ideally the disinvestment money should go in CFI, but UPA in its infinite wisdom has decided to put disinvestment money in NIF.
Official reason: better Money Management, more profit, can be used to social schemes.
Unofficial reason: No more parliamentary control over how Government spends the money out of this fund: for their (Bogus) pet-schemes
and on the kinds of AIR-India.
Demo Question for CSAT 2012
Which of the following statements is/are correct about National Investment Fund?
1.
2.
3.
NIF money is spent on advertizements to attract foreign investment in India, and to create investor friendly infrastructure such a rail, road,
and electricity.
4.
Answer
a) Only 1, 2 and 3
b) Only 1 and 4
c) All of them
d) None of them
[Economy] Cairn Vedanta Deal: Whats the problem?
First whore the players?
Cairn Energy
Oil and Gas exploration company of UK. Its Indian arm Cairn India owns big oil-drilling blocks in Rajasthan etc.
Vedanta Resources ltd
Vedanta acquired majority ownership in the Cairns Indian arm for about 8 billion dollars.
The deal was done in 2010 but got stuck due to ONGC and Government of India.
So whats the problem?
#1: ONGC delying No Objection Certificate (NoC)
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ONGC and Cairn India had started oil drilling operation in Rajasthan under a Joint Venture.
So Cairn had sought an NOC (No objection certificate) from ONGC for this deal with Vedanta.
When a company digs or drills somewhere, theyve to pay Mining Royalty to the Government. Currently ONGC is paying the entire
Royalty amount; they want Vedanta (or any future owner) to share this cost in future.
Government launched New Exploration Licensing Policy (NELP), and auctioned various oil-blocks to private players
for oil drilling operations.
FDI in Oil exploration is permitted upto 100% but with Government approvals.
Now Cairn is selling its Indian operations to third company, Government had to deliberate on the matter because ..
Rajasthan oil block is THE LARGEST onshore (i.e. on land) oil block of India so Home Ministry had to give security
clearance, when a foreign company was acquiring majority stakes in it.
ONGC secretly wished that Cairn sold the ownership to them but it was beyond ONGCs Aukaat (????) to outrun
Vedanta in the bidding process.
Itd have required almost 10 billion dollars. Hence theyre playing kabab mein huddi. (?????) by delaying the NoC.
August 2010: Cairn announces its plan to sell Indian operations to Vedanta.
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Such lethargy on part of Indian Government discourages foreign players from investing in India.
Economy] Ad-Valorem Tax, Unit Tax, Dumping Duty
1.
Introduction
2.
3.
Ad Valorem Tax
4.
5.
6.
To Sum up
Introduction
Before moving into Ad-Valorem, Consider The taxes levied on per litre of Petrol :
(Data may be outdated but just for concept clarity)
[ Important: 'Central Government' is a wrong word to use. The official and correct word is 'Union Government' so be very careful your choice of
words, in Mains/ Essay and Interview. Some examiners (and interview panelists) get really irritated on such minute mistakes. Now back to the
topic ]
Sales Tax
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What is Dumping?
China exports its products to India at a price lower than its normal price in domestic Chinese market.
Meaning theyre dumping their products in India @lower price to capture the Indian market and destroy competition from local Indian
players.
India has imposed an anti-dumping duty of Rs 1,50,000 per 1 lakh unit on import of sewing machine needles to protect domestic players
from cheap Chinese shipments.
India has imposed anti-dumping duty of up to $0.538 per kg on imports of a plastic-film used by the advertisement industry to protect
domestic players from cheap Chinese shipments.
India imposed dumping duty of up to $99.05 per set of bus and truck radial tires (including tubeless) from China and Thailand,
Notice the words: per 1 lakh units, per kg, per set
This is example of per unit tax. Indian Government is putting tax on quantity of Chinese products, not the value of those product (because theyre
cheap anyways).
To sum up
Unit Tax/ Specific Duty is levied on per Quantity of a product. (kg-weight, meter, litres, unit etc.)
[Economy] Carbon Tax: Meaning, implications
Carbon tax is important topic under the Environment and Biodiversity portion of CSAT GS Paper-I, also forinterviews because it is in recent news.
Table of Contents
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
But the residents living near this Power-plant have to breath very polluted air- get various lung disease have to bear the medical
expenses.
The soot from the plants chimney settles down on their homes, compounds, clothes, cars and theyve to dust and clean it every day.
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Externality means : Two parties enter in a deal, and benefit from the deal.
but a third party who is not involved in this deal also gets affected involuntary. (Without consent).
Externality can be positive also. e.g I run a perfume-shop and local-residents get to enjoy the lovely fragrances for free.
What is Pigovian tax?
Suppose Government puts tax on the coal purchased by this Power-plant and uses this tax-money to provide cheap medical care to the
residents of that area for respiratory diseases and gives them subsidy for buying special type of windows that filter the incoming polluted
air in the house.
Such tax is called the Pigovian tax, because a British economist Arthur Pigou argued about negative externalities and imposing taxes on
companies involved in creating negative externalities.
The polluter will have to pay this tax on per tonne of carbon dioxide emitted in the atmosphere.
We know that companies pay the tax, but ultimately the consumer has to bear the burden.
Consider this chain: There are two companies A and B.
In the beginning, both are emitting same amount of carbon and hence have to pay same amount of carbon tax.
So, They will include this Carbon tax costs in their products MRP. (Maximum retail price).
But later company A invests in new production technology so that their carbon emission is reduced, now they have to pay less carbon tax
and thus their MRP will decrease = good for consumers and bad for second company B, because their product will remain expensive =
less selling.
So either company B will run out of business (like Kingfisher), or they will also invest in clean technology to reduce the production-cost.
and Government can use the money collected using carbon tax for various schemes of environment protection.
Why is it the news?
EU -Airlines
European Union imposed a carbon tax on all airlines from January 2012: about 6 Euros per ton of CO2 emitted.
China, Russia, India and United States, have opposed the EU move. (Because their international flights will also help to pay this tax while
flying over the skies of European union.)
Australias move
Australian government also planning to implement carbon tax: about $23 per ton of carbon dioxide emitted by a company.
Indian businessmen are concerned with this news because our steel companies import lot of coal from Australia.
(a tit for tat case) Indian government had proposed Mines and Minerals (Development and Regulation) bill that a mining company should
share 26% of its profits with local tribals. So Austrialian businessmen are also concerned!
Mock Questions for Mains and Interview
CSAT Prelims
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Which of the following statements are correct?
1. India introduced the carbon tax (a.k.a. Clean energy cess ) in the Union budget 2010.
3. Companies have to pay this tax on Locally mined coal but not on the coal imported from other nations.
4. The money collected via this tax, is deposited in the National Clean Energy Fund.
Mains, Essay and Interview
Is India justified in its move of opposing carbon taxes imposed by Australia and EU? (Interview)
Anyways, All this tax money goes in the Consolidated fund of India.
When government wants to pay salaries to bureaucrats, create new (bogus) schemes like MNREGA etc., wants to purchase new missiles
and fighter planes, it will take out money from this Consolidated fund of India.
But here is the second problem:
Constitution of India says, The government cannot take out even a single penny from this fund without authorization from the Parliament..
(Problem #2)
So, What do we conclude from Problem #1 & #2?
Government will need the permission of Parliament for to earn money and to spend money.
Hence each year, the Finance Minister prepares two files: they have the details of
He puts these files in a leather suitcase. French word for this bag /Purse: bougette. Thats how we got the word Budget.
You must have seen the Finance Minister holding a brown colored leather bag and getting photographs outside the Parliament on the day
of budget.
The Two files
The first file (how government wants to earn money by taxing us)
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We call them Bills because they are only proposed by government and not yet passed by the Parliament. (Just like Lokpal Bill)
When they passed by the Parliament, and President of India signs on these files, they become Acts.
Choice of Words
The Finance Minister does not lay down a budget in the Parliament.
He lays down the Annual financial statement. (There is no word Budget in the whole Constitution of India: Article 112)
Same way, Parliament does not pass the budget. It passes the Appropriation bill and the Finance Bill.
Million Dollar Question
Still remains: why do we need budget? Why did Constitution of India impose these problems on the government?
To ensure the financial accountability of executive (Government) towards the legislature (parliament) and by extension towards the
people of India.
[Economy] Currency Devaluation alone will not bring more FDI
Question: as 1$ = 7 yuan and 1$ = 48 rupees it implies that our currency is devaluated thus should attract more FDI . I have read that china keeps
its currency devaluated to gain more FDI but above data seems to be paradox to me. Please clear my confusion
Ans:
Return on investment.
For example, today Foreign investor Mr.X comes to India and Environment Minister demands
five suitcases to clear his files, and it seems that current Government might collapse after a few months, and new Governments new
minister would ask for another five suitcases Mr.X is unlikely to invest in such volatile situation.
In this context, Political stability in China is rock solid, judicial intervention in Administrative decision= minimal, unlike India. So they get
more FDI.
Chinese President Hu Jintao was ranked #1 in Forbes worlds most powerful person list. The Magazine said
Unlike Western counterparts, Hu can divert rivers, build cities, jail dissidents and censor Internet without meddling from pesky
bureaucrats, or courts.
You dont hear about Niyamgiri, Jaitapur, POSCO or Kundankulam in China. Their Administrative machinary takes action quickly. Either
Yes or NO.
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In India Decision Making is slow. Mohan wont say yes and he wont say no either. Files remain pending under consideration in GoM
(Group of Ministers) for months. As it happened in Cairn Vedanta Deal
You dont invest your money somewhere only because that countrys currency is devalued. You look at all such factors. Thats Currency
Devaluation alone doesnt bring more FDI.
Economy] QFI (Qualified Foreign Investor) vs FII, Need, Implication, Currency Depreciation, Demat Account and more (Story of Forex continues)
The Technically incorrect Story of Forex continues with new topics : FII, QFI (Qualified Foreign Investors), Demat, PAN card and more
What is FII, Why did Rupee weaken against Dollar. Why did QFI come?
1.
2.
3.
Demat account?
What is Depository?
PAN card
4.
5.
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Peon: Our Saaheb is gone for tea-break so wait for 145 minutes.
(after 145 minutes)
Tom Cruise: (to the SEBI clerk) ya I wanna open a FII sub-account.
SEBI Clerk: oh Really? Every desi dude here wants to be an IAS,
IIM,
IIT and every firangi dude wants to be an FII ever since the sub-prime crisis. But are you a wealthy foreign individual or firm with a minimum net
worth of $50 million (about Rs. 260 crore)? Only then we give the license, and not to any random swinging dude that walks into our office!
Tom Cruise You dont know me? Im the Tom Cruise.
SEBI Clerk Whos that?
Maxwell Manager He is a famous Hollywood hero, got billions of dollars.
SEBI Clerk hmm never heard of you. I only watch the movies of Indias Finest Actor, Fighter, Dancer and Bollywood Superstar Mimoh Chakraborty.
Anyways here is the application form for $1000. Fill it up, Attach photocopies of your id and address proof, 10th,12th, Graduation marksheets,
Work-Ex and Extra curricular activity certificates: Everything in triplicate, and attested by a Gazetted Officer and your three passport sized
photographs with white background, no smile, and sign on your photo with black pen only.
Tom Cruise: Man this is so hopeless, it sounds like a perfect plot for Mission Impossible #5. Anil Kapoor can get the 2 minutes role of Gazetted
Officer, while I fool the Indian audience for the second time spreading rumors that he is given a big role just like in MI-4!
Tom gets the sub account opened.
Maxwell Manager: congrats. Now we can invest your money in Indian Stock market on your behalf, so which company do you want to put your
money in?
Tom Cruise: hmm, Ive been doing some market research myself, recently saw Abhishek Bacchans Idea 3G ad in Divya-Bhaskar (Gujarati
Edition), I think that company and its 3G service is going to be huge hit. Buy some Idea-shares for me so I can earn huge dividends later on. Also
buy a few of Vedanta cause they acquired some oilfields from Cairn India, they will also make huge profits and pay good dividends to their
shareholders.
Maxwell Manager Whaat an Idea sir-ji!
Cut to : Supreme Court cancels 2G licenses of all Telecom companies.
Tom Cruise Man this is hopeless. I think investing in Idea was a bad Idea. Company is gonna make any decent money now, my return on
investment will be ridiculous. Vedanta-Cairn deal is also stuck in the Cabinet, means no quick and huge profit there either.
Tom Cruise (phonecall to Maxwell Manager) hi, sell all my shares of Idea and Vedanta.
Maxwell Manager Sure. But Where should I invest the money then?
Tom Cruise: I have no idea sir-ji, what do you suggest?
Maxwell Manager I have been looking at the IIP (index of industrial production), the numbers are going in negative range. RBI is also hellbent on
tightening the monetary policy, thus increasing the loan-rates and decreasing the demand of products to contain inflation. Indian industries are
facing a slump, there is electricity problem, there is problem of getting environment clearances. Even blue chip software, chemical or automobile
companies are not doing good thanks to slowdown in America and Europe. No hope in Airline companies either..
I dont think it is worth it to play in Indian market any more. Besides youve one million dollars, meaning If Indian market gives you 5% return on
Investment and Singapores gives you just 6%, still you should run away because 1% of one million dollar= easy $10,000, huge cash! So, I
suggest we pull out your money completely from India and get it invested somewhere else, Singapore, Australia, perhaps?
Tom Cruise: Just Do It. Anything is better than the stalemate and Policy paralysis in India.
Serious Note on FII (copied from Newspapers)
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At present, a foreign individual seeking to invest in Indian stocks has to be registered as a sub-account of an FII,
which in turn has to apply to Sebi on the behalf of the sub-account holder.
India allows only wealthy foreign individuals or high networth individuals (HNIs) who have a minimum net worth of
$50 million (about R260 crore) and registered as a sub-account of a foreign institutional investor (FII) to invest
directly in local equities
FIIs pulled out money on account of growth falling below 7% and widely-publicised difficulties in obtainingregulatory
clearances. Net outflows exceeded $450 million last year
For many FIIs, economic woes in their home markets, especially due to the European debt crisis and a perceived
policy paralysis in India following a string of scams, exacerbated their pull-out.
Euro zone crisis has led to investors pulling money out of Indian equities. For India, the problem has been
compounded by a slump in investor confidence because of policy inaction leading to a sharp fall in new projects.
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) estimate says that a 10 percent fluctuation in FII investment results in a 35 percent
variation in stock prices.
FIIs pulled out money on account of GDP falling below 7% and widely-publicised difficulties in obtaining regulatory
clearances. Net FII outflows exceeded $450 million last year.
Brad Pitt: haha my turn now, Im gonna purchase some shares from Indian Market!
HDFC Manager: hey Wait, you cant just walk in like that. First youve to open a Demat account and a Trade account with a DP (Depositary
Participant) like us!
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Brad Pitt: wait wait wait, so many words in a sentence, Im getting confused, lets talk this one at a time:
Brad Pitt: ok so If I get it correctly: First I purchase shares using my trade account, then transfer them in my demat account. I can do this all without
needing a third party agent (FII or Share-Broker), just like how an Indian citizen can play in share-market and Government took this step to increase
money inflow and reduce volatility in the market, which was created by FIIs. This is the crux of QFI. Sounds good. Im desperate to become a QFI,
Open my Trading account right NOW!
HDFC Manager:But for that you need a Demat account.
Brad Pitt:Ok open my demat account.
HDFC Manager:but you need a PAN card for that.
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Brad Pitt:Ok open my PAN card account.
HDFC Manager:Youve to get PAN card from Income Tax department.
Brad Pitt:Man this is hopeless. No wonder why India ranks low in Doing Business Index.Now What is this PAN card?HDFC Manager:Permanent
Account Number (PAN) refers to a ten-digit alphanumeric number, issued in the form of a laminated card, by the Income Tax Department in India.
It is now compulsory to quote PAN in share-trading and financial transactions. Although Dividends from companies and mutual funds are not taxable
in India, PAN card is required to fulfill the KYC (know your customer) norms for us a critical requirement in the age of laundering and transferring
terrorist money!
Brad Pitt:But Im a Foreigner! Do I need PAN card too?
HDFC Manager:Yes you do mister. and youll have to get it from IT office.
Cut to- Income Tax Office.
Peon (To Brad Pitt) Saaheb is gone for a tea-break. Wait for 145 x 109 minutes.
Brad Pitt (Facebook-twitter status update): #missionimpossible6On a serious note, QFI from Newspapers
2011: QFI were allowed to invest in pension and mutual funds only and not in the Indian Sharemarket as such.
Until now Foreign Institutional Investors/sub-accounts and Non-Resident Indians are allowed to directly invest in the Indian equity (Share)
market.
QFI is an individual, group or association resident in a foreign country that adheres to anti-money laundering and anti-terrorist financing
guidelines as defined by the financial action task force (FATF), a multi-lateral body.
QFIs can own up to 5% of Indian companies while their cumulative investments are capped at 10%. These limits are over and above the
FII and NRI investment ceilings prescribed under the portfolio investment route for foreign investment in India
The QFIs shall be allowed to invest through the SEBI-registered Qualified Depository Participant (DP), with the QFI required to open only
one demat account and a trading account with any of the qualified DP and make purchase and sale of equities (shares) through that DP
only.
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4.
5.
6.
War of Words
New Exploration Licensing Policy (NELP)
Under this policy, government auctioned potential oil and gas field areas to private players such as Reliance, Cairn etc.
These companies would take all risk of discovering the oil/gas, drilling it out and sell to to make profit.
Conventional Mining and Royalty
if you are involved in Iron-ore mining, the Indian Bureau of Mines ( IBM) will determine its present market value and you have to pay 10%
royalty of that, to the Government.
For example you digged 1 kilo (!) iron ore, its present market-value is Rs.100, youve to give Rs.10 as royalty
It does not matter how much profit you make out of this, youve to pay 10% right from the day one of your mining activity.
But here in case of gas, first youve to do Exploration. It may happen that you drill in a potential area but still donot find any gas, and yet
youve to purchase expensive drilling instruments, vehicles, hire engineers and monthly salary to staff etc.
So there is a gestation period involved, before you actually discover the gas, start selling it, recover your costs and then see the profits.
If there is a direct royalty sharing formulas like conventional iron-ore mining, then private players will not be interested in taking the risk
in this gas exploration activity.
Hence government came up with a concept called Production Sharing Contract (PSC)
Under this scheme, the company will have to share royalty, according to the profit made.
Initially company makes low profit, government gets extremely low share, later company discovers more and more gas fields, its
production increases and costs go down, then it has to share more profit to the government.
This is not the standard royalty model as seen in mining systems, where revenue is shared regardless of profitability. This PSC model
allows the operator (RIL) to substantially recover his costs before the sharing of revenue.
However, once these costs are recovered, the sharing with the government is often large.
But As you can understand Private contractors (RIL) have virtually no incentive to minimise capital expenditure and a substantial incentive
to increase capital expenditure (theyll buy more and more vehicles, machines etc) to keep their operation-cost high, which would result in
low/lowest share of profit for the government of India
The crux of Reliance KG Basin controversy
It is alleged that Reliance used false accounting-methods to show huge-costs and operating expenses to keep the profit low so that they
have to pay less money to the Government.
CAG found this out after auditing, media started reporting, right now matter in PAC (Public accounts committee) of parliament.
Also, RIL had to take permission of government before raising the sale price of Gas.
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So citing the heavy cost and low-profit, Reliance also increased the sale price of gas with Governments permission.
And then this (expensive) gas was sold ot fertiliser companies, power plants and thus snow-balling effect: price of fertilisers, electricity
also increased =inflation.
Director-general of hydrocarbons (DGH) was responsible for looking after this exploration-activity, how much gas is generated, what is the
operating cost, is there any real loss etc. (but as the common sense suggests) he might have taken suitcases to turn a blind eye to all
this.
Dateline of Reliance KG Basin Controversy
2000 Reliance got the licence to explore gas in Krishna Godavari Basin
2002 Reliance Industries discovered huge reserves of natural gas and some small reserves of crude oil in a block called D6.
2011 CAG submits audit report and media starts reporting this controversy.
War of Words
CAG
Oil Ministry and its technical arm, the Directorate General of Hydrocarbons, did not pay adequate attention to protecting the governments financial
interest.
Reliance Industrys response
CAG has not found any false inflation of the cost or any dishonesty in developing the nations largest gas fields.
Corporate rivalry motivated a few people with vested interests to indulge in a vicious smear campaign against us
CAG neither had any expertise in hydrocarbon exploration
Ashok Chawla Committee on Pricing of Natural Resources
Production Sharing Contracts like the one Reliance Industries signed for the gas-rich KG-D6 are designed to benefit private players at the
governments expense.
Tapan Sen, a Rajya Sabha MP
if your production is increasing, then your expenditure per unit must come down. But, here, production cost almost quadrupled.
even if you take into account the trial and error method of digging here and there, even if you take into account your wasted efforts of
searching gas and exploring,
Reliance cant charge the country like this. Its a clear case of gold-plating the cost.
It would incur the government a big loss because only after recovering the cost of production would the government start getting a return
on the national asset.
inflated cost of Reliance has national ramifications. If the cost of gas exploration is too high, then it will affect the prices.
Then Reliance hiked the price from $2.34 mmBtu to $4.2 mmBtu. So, fertilisers companies, power plants and common consumers are
paying more to Reliance. This collective loss by the nation and to 1.2 billion people should be calculated.
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The government should have quantified the loss to the exchequer. The government should have calculated when would Reliance recover
its cost and when would the government start sharing profits.
The same Reliance sold 30 per cent stake to British Petroleum for $7.2 billion. It was approved by the government.
Director General of Hydrocarbons should be prosecuted. The production-sharing contract should be re-written and price level should be
revised.
It will make electricity cheaper, fertilisers cheaper and industries would benefit.
I dont blame Reliance. If I get the opportunity to steal, am I going to leave it? It is the duty of the government to see that nobody takes
people for a ride.
[Economy] Regional Rural Banks vs Cooperative Banks
1.
2.
3.
4.
What is NABARD?
o
What is ordinance?
Upcoming article:
What is NABARD?
It takes money from RBI, World Bank and other international funding institutes.
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It loans this money to Regional Rural banks and to NBFC (Non-Banking Finance Companies) working in Microfinance sector.
Recall that Muthoot Finance is also an NBFC, but It cannot get money from NABARD. (although they may be giving gold-loans to
villagers!)
Where is the office?
Now two more types of Banks: Regional Rural Banks (RRB) and Cooperative Banks.
Regional Rural Banks
Where do they operate?
As the name suggests, they are located in rural / semi-urban areas.
What do they do?
They give loans, mostly to small and marginal farmers, agricultural laborers and rural artisans.
How were they born?
When parliament is not in session, President can make an act on advice of the cabinet.
Such law is called ordinance.
Who owns RRB?
RRBs are jointly owned by
Govt. of India,
Sponsor Banks
Out of political compulsions, they hold Loan-melas to give mass-loans to farmers (during Election-years) but later cannot recover the
money.
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Makes sense huh? Government owns 99% in NABARD >> NABARD Gives money to RRBs, I hope you get the picture.
K. C. Chakrabarty Committee on RRB, 2009
RRBs are not functioning properly; they need new capital infusion of Rs 2,200 crore by 2011-12.
Performance of RRBs should be monitored by state level committees headed by finance secretaries of state governments with officers
from the NABARD, etc.
Theyre small-sized units organized in the co-operative sector (mostly Rich-businessmen and relatives of politicians gather-up and open
such banks in a city/ small town)
These banks, until 1996, could only lend for non-agricultural purposes.
Cooperative Banks in India are registered under the Co-operative Societies Act.
These banks provide most services such as savings and current accounts, safe deposit lockers, loan or mortgages to private and
business customers.
Co-operative banks function on the basis of no-profit no-loss. Co-operative banks, as a principle, do not pursue the goal of profit
maximization.
Therefore, these banks do not focus on offering more than the basic banking services.
Loans and Co-operative Banks
The criteria for getting a loan from a UCB are less stringent than for a loan from a commercial bank. For instance, when taking an
education loan, it does not matter whether the course you are going for is recognized or not!
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Step 1: Gang up a few heavy weight politically connected people, and Open a cooperative bank.
Step 2: take deposits from common-men, borrow some money from RBI, but give loans only to your friends and relatives and dont ask
them to pay EMI.
Step 4: Now pay bribe to police and run away to any foreign country.
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Pranab
7.
Anand Mahindra
8.
9.
Expressbuzz
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You already know about the meaning and implications of IIP (If not, click me)
But what you and I didnot know so far: IIP index for January 2012, as bogus as Ra.One movie.
Consider this: Initially CSO said
January IIP is 6.8%
Now theyve revised the number and Chief Statistician of CSO, is saying
Sorry, Galti se mistake ho gaya!! January IIP is only 1.1%
Why revision in IIP?
Because actual sugar production was 58 lakh tonnes but they entered 134 lakhtones in the Excel datasheet. (MS Office Version 1997, Windows
95 Operating system)
Why sugar data impacts IIP?
Because Sugar data is used in the IIP index, under the Manufacturing >> Consumer (Non-Durable) Goods.
But sugar has just 1.5 per cent weight in the IIP index, how can it lead to such huge fluctuation? Obviously some other commodities
production is also mis-reported apart from Sugar.
But why was sugar data incorrect?
Because Directorate of Sugar in the Ministry of Consumer Affairs-Food & Public Distribution, had given wrong sugar data to CSO.
(May be he was in hurry to watch cricket matches with you-know-who runs the agro-ministry.)
How?
Because Government also uses IIP index to make policies. For example a low IIP because of low steel production= Government may
ban
the iron-ore export, to make more raw material available to local steel producers. So mining mafias dont like low IIP.
Similarly, low IIP because of low sugar production= Government may temporary ban sugar export, to prevent shortage in local market.
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But sugar-industrialists enjoy exporting sugar, as it fetches them higher price compared to local market. So they may not want low IIP
index.
Pranab
I can understand if there is an error in calculating 0.1% of 0.2 %, but a revision from 6.8% to 1.1% is totally baffling
We shall have to ensure that government data integrity should not be challenged
I have asked concerned authorities to look into it that why it has taken place and they should be much more careful in the future (lolz man
why always lock the stables after horses run away?)
Anand Mahindra
We used to claim our economic data was more reliable than China's. Looks like we're catching up with them at least in one area!
Rahul Khullar, commerce secretary
This is not the first time! We had $9.4 billion correction in the exports data for April-October 2011 due to a computer crash and data entry errors.
Expressbuzz
Government is not only incapable of estimating figures for the future but also of capturing past data accurately to make sound decisions.
Is the country being fed wrong information through government agencies because they are backed by corporate interests and foreign
institutional investors?
Is the rise of crony capitalism driving data collection agencies to feed wrong information to benefit vested interests?
The government must realise that sanctity of underlying data lies at the core of sound policy formulation.
No doubt, gathering socio-economic data in a country as complex as India, which is not monetised and computerised, cannot be
expected to be 100 per cent accurate. But it should not be so skewed as to twist our perspective.
It is time the government took data collection and collation more seriously and got it scrutinised by some independent agencies before
releasing it.
Economic Times
Industrial growth in February 2012, we are now told, was 4.1%. But do we know for sure? Or will we have to wait till next month? Or the month
after?
[Economy] Different Types of Companies: Pvt.Ltd, Public Ltd., Public Corporation, Departmental Undertaking, PSUs
1.
Paid up Capital
2.
Private company
3.
Public company
4.
5.
Departmental undertakings
6.
Government Company
7.
Public corporation
8.
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Paid up Capital
This word is going to keep reappearing in next few articles, so better understand it in advance.
You already saw that there are two ways to finance a company: Debt + Equity.
Paid up Capital means the amount of money contributed via Equity (shareholders)
Private company
It needs minimum two members and maximum 50 members (i.e. The persons who hold its equity)
This company is to use the word Private Limited at the end of its name.
For example Balaji Telefilms private ltd= Ektaa Kapoors company, involved in making those boring Saas Bahu serials.
Another example: Neela telefilms private ltd. = Asit Modis company, they produce the comedy serial Tarak Mehta Kaa oolta Chashmaa.
Flipkart.com : the online shopping website is also a private company, started by Sachin and Binni Bansal.
Public company
For example, Infosys started as a private ltd company in 1981, but in 1992, it re-registered itself as a Public Ltd company and launched
the IPO in 1993.
Example: Coal India is a holding company. Bharat Coking ltd, Mahanadi CoalFields ltd are its subsidiary companies.
Similarly, Konkan Railway is a subsidiary company of Indian Railways. Although Indian Railways is not a Holding Company, it is a
Departmental undertaking.
Departmental undertakings
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They are involved in some commercial activity such as engineering, manufacturing etc. But
Theyre directly controlled by the government, just like any other department
They are wholly financed by the government (and not through Debt+Equity like a normal company)
They cannot use their profit to meet their expenditure, or to expand their business activities without the
permission of Government (by extension parliament. I.e. Railway budget for Railways and General Union
budget in case of postal Department)
Government Company
It is a company in which government holds not less than 51% of paid-up share capital.
Here, The Government means the union government or the State government(s) on both.
For example, in Company A, 30% shares are held by union government, 10% by Gujarat government, 11% by
Madhya Pradesh government, still Company A is a Government company (30+10+11=51%)
Board of Directors are appointed by the shareholders. But since government owns majority of the shares, majority
of directors are chosen by the government.
They can borrow extra money from public via IPOs and bonds.
This company does not need Parliaments approval on how to use the profit, But it will need approval of Board of
directors on how to spend the profit.
Theyre not directly audited by CAG, but CAG appoints the private firms (Chartered accountants) as auditors.
Public corporation
They are established by a special act of Parliament or state legislature (Vidhan Sabha)
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The act defines how this organization will run. For example: LIC, Air India, IDBI, UTI
They are wholly financed by the government, but still they can also borrow from general public via Bonds and
shares.
They can use their profit as per their requirements without Parliaments approval
Directly audited by CAG, although in some cases CAG outsources the work to private firms.
When we use the word PSU: it means Public corporations + Government companies.
1. The Civil wing looks after the auditing of Ministries + Departmental undertakings.
2. The Commercial wing looks after the auditing of Government companies +Public Corporations.
[Economy] Shares vs Stocks, Rights Issue of Shares, Bonus Shares, RSU
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6.
Bonus shares
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8.
Suppose the company has issued 1000 shares, worth Rs.10 each
You purchased 50 shares of this company. So you have to pay 50 shares x 10 Rs. Each = Rs.500
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In short, when we talk about shares we refer to the number of papers held by you.
When we talk about stocks, we refer to the money value of those papers held by you.
But ultimately, both shares and stocks suggest the same thing: Equity. You already know what equity means, if not click me
Different types of shares
Normal shares
It comes with voting rights. This is what you get from routine IPO>>Share thing
Preferential shares
You launch IPO, get funds from the public, and start a company. (Equity)
After some years you want some more money to expand the company, so you want to issue additional shares. But under the companies
act, you can issue additional shares to the existing shareholders only. This is called rights issue of shares
Here, you give notice to the existing shareholders, offer them to buy your new-shares, you cannot offer any other outsider to purchase
the shares.
If you do not want rights issue of shares, you have to hold a general meeting of shareholders and pass a resolution that company does
not need to offer new shares to the existing shareholders, and these new shares are available for anybody to purchase
So, whats the point in doing rights issue?
Well the direct utility of rights issue= obviously to gather more money to expand your company.
From the Debt VS Equity article: There are credit rating agencies S&P, CRISIL etc. they give rating to your companys bonds. AAA,BBB
etc.
Lower the rating = higher the interest rate youve to offer, to seduce the people into buying your bonds. (Recall the Junk Bonds.)
But before giving rating to your bonds, the credit rating agency will look into your companys performance, assets, liability everything. And
one of the thing theyre interested in, is Debt to Equity Ratio
The company with high debt to equity ratio = it has more debt = compulsory interest payment = trouble = lower rating.
If such company issues more bonds to gather money, itll have trouble; its new bonds will receive even lower credit rating. So, what can
they do?
Another case: Youre kingfisher. Youre not doing good, nobody is helping you. So you want some foreign investor to come and help you.
But hell also look into debt:equity ratio before finalizing the terms of deal. What can you do to appear good in front of him?
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Simple: offer new equity (shares) to existing shareholders @ a discounted rate. (=Rights issues of shares). Youve offer it at a discounted
rate, else no one would buy it. Youre doing this whole exercise, because youre in trouble in the first place.
For example: Here is my offer of Rights issue:
Meaning, if you already have 10 shares of my company, you can buy 10 more shares from me (1:1), Each of these shares will have
Worth Rs.100 printed on it but Ill give it to you for Rs.50 only.
What good does it do to me? Well in the legal record, for the calculation of Debt Vs Equity =theyll calculate using Rs.100 face value.
Thus my Debt:Equity ratio will go down, and Ill look good when credit rating agency / FDI investor starts evaluating me.
Bonus shares
In the debt versus equity article, you saw that a company can collect money from people by issuing shares (IPO/Equity/Stock whatever
you want to call it), but every year, company reports the profit to the board of directors. The board of directors will decide how much profit
is to be re-invested in the company and how much profit is to be shared with the shareholders.
The profit, thus shared with the shareholders is called dividend. Generally dividend is sent to the shareholders via cheques.
It means company paid the money to purchase shares on your behalf and gives it to you. So you got free shares and next year when
company distributes the dividends (cash), you will get more dividend, because now you are holding more shares. Alternatively, you can
sell away these bonus shares to someone else and take out the money.
Well, as a shareholder, you get shares for free under bonus shares.
But youll have to pay money for buying new shares under rights issue
Employee stock option scheme
This is done to make the employees committed to the success of company because if the company makes more profit, they can walk
away with higher dividends.
Such shares have minimum lock in period: for example if your boss gives it today, you cannot sell it for one or two years.
Restricted stock unit (RSU)
This is also a form of Employee Stock Option but here the company promises to deliver shares to its employee in future date.
For example, Apples new CEO Tim Cook: hell get $900,000 of cash salary and a $377 million in RSU.
Apple will deliver him 500,000 shares of Apple stock in 2016, and 500,000 more shares in 2021 as long as he stays employed at the
company.
Economy] QFIs to enter in Bond Market: Reasons and Implications
1.
Pranab+SEBI+RBI
2.
3.
4.
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From my previous articles, you know
What is the difference between QFI and FII (if not click Me)
What is the difference between Bonds and Equity (if not Click Me)
Continuing further
Pranab+SEBI+RBI
On Jan 1, 2012, Pranab had allowed QFIs to invest in equity (share) market.
But right now (May 2012) Pranab is discussing with SEBI and RBI chief about allowing QFIs to invest in Bonds (debt) market as well.
Currently, FII can invest maximum $15 billion in government bonds and $20 billion in corporate bonds.
Rumors suggest that max limit for QFI in bond market will be $5 Billion.
But why did Pranab suddenly came up with this idea of allowing QFIs in Bond market?
Reasons are following
RBIs monetary policy has been very tight last year. Loan interest rates are quite high, big corproates are finding it hard to borrow at such
high interest rate.
So when QFIs come up with their cash = more money supply in Indian market.
And thus, Indian businessmen will be able to borrow @ a lower interest rate and then use the money to manufacture more goods and
services = better IIP = better GDP.
S&P Downgrade=FII exit
Recall the breaking news of S&P credit downgrade for India. After that news, FIIs panicked and within days they took out almost 700+
crores of their investment from Indian market.
In such scenario, Pranab is trying to stabilize and deepen the market by allowing QFIs to come and invest in Bond market as well.
Ok so, Just allow QFIs to invest in Bond market and every problem is solved. Does it mean ke bhaiyaa all is well? Nope. Because
No AAA Rating=No QFI investment
In the Debt + Equity article, you read about Junk Bonds that carry high risk vs Gilt-edged securities that carry low risk.
Therefore Junk bonds offer you higher rate of return to seduce you into purchasing them.
But If you want to play in Junk bonds, you need to have lot of money in your pocket so even if they default on your payments, you can still
pay your grocery and telephone bill.
The FIIs have got huge cash in their pockets, so theyve the guts and aukaatto invest in junk bonds. They dont mind taking the risk, if
the returns are attractive.
But QFIs dont have that much money, so they like to play safe and generally prefer to invest in bonds with AAA ratings (i.e. Gilt edged
securities)
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Here is the problem: Not even five per cent of the Indian Companies have the premier AAA rating from S&P/ Moodys.
So even if QFIs are allowed in Bond market, doesnt mean immediately the problems of low-IIP + low-GDP, will be solved.
[Economy] FCNR Rate Hike to Prevent Rupee Downfall: Meaning, Implications, Explained
1.
What is FCNR?
2.
3.
4.
5.
Foreign Currency Non-Resident (FCNR) scheme was launched by RBI in the early 1990s.
It allows NRIs to make fixed Deposits (FD) in Indian Banks, in Pound Sterling, US Dollar, Japanese Yen, Euro etc.
They dont need to convert their foreign currency into rupees, just directly deposit foreign currency in Indian Banks.
They dont need to pay income tax on the interest earned in such account.
RBI decides the upper ceiling on interest rate to be paid on such deposits.
Example SBI FCNR. You can read its terms, conditions and features byclicking Me
What does SBI do with foreign currency deposits?
SBI gives these dollars as loans to Indian Importers, who have to make payments in dollars for the importing raw material, machinery and
goods from foreign countries.
SBI also gives these dollars as loan as pre-shipment credit to Indian Exporters. Because theyve too may need to import some raw
material from third country, also for paying the transport cost to ships etc.
In short, SBI (or any Indian Bank), takes dollars from NRIs in FCNR account and gives it as loans to Indian businessmen for
import/export.
Same thing for Yen, Pound, Euro etc. (Because NRI can deposit those currencies as well and those Indian businessmen may also need
Euro/Yen for making special purchases from particular country.)
Why is FCNR in News?
RBI had to do something immediately to stop the further downfall of Rupee against Dollar, so RBI chief increased the upper ceiling of
FCNR interest rate. Now Indian banks can offer even higher interest rate on FCNR deposits.
Implication of FCNR interest Rate hike
Currently Citibank USA offers only 0.05% interest rate on savings account! (does it sound ridiculously low? Well, these rates are given on
the official page of Citibank USA!
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Compared to that, Bank of Barodas FCNR interest rate on dollar deposits isaround 3 to 4%. Now theyll increase the interest rate even
higher, after RBI increased the ceiling.
So, the NRIs will find it even more attractive to park their dollar-savings in Indian banks rather than in American banks.
They can loan these dollars at to Indian importers. (more money supply =more liquidity = loan-interest rates go down).
Thus Demand of Dollars decrease @Forex market, because now you can borrow dollars from SBI @ a lower cost compared to what
SBI used to charge earlier. So no need to run to Forex agents.
Imaginary example:
Year 2001
interest given to NRI on savings deposit: 3%
loan interest charged from businessmen: 6%
Year 2002
interest given to NRI on savings deposit: 4%
loan interest charged from businessmen: 5.5%
It seems the profit margin declined in second case, isnt it? But the volume of incoming money has increase and so will the volume of business.
Besides, it takes only one troubled bank to reduced its loan interest rate, and the other banks will be forced to reduce their loan-interest rate as well,
to stay competitive.
Then why didnot the said troubled bank reduce its loan interest rate earlier? because earlier its incoming NRI-deposits were low due to FCNR limit
so they didnot have enough raw-material to reduce the sales price and yet run operation smooth.
Demand of dollar decreases from open Forex market= rupee strengthens.
So instead of going down to $1=54 Rs, now rupee will trade @$1=52Rs or lower
Although its not that linear and immediate, takes some time for the laws of supply and demand to show effects and then rupee will start
strengthening again.
[Economy] FCCB: Foreign Currency Convertible Bonds and FCCB Refinancing
1.
2.
3.
4.
FCCB Refinancing
5.
Why in News?
6.
Debt ( Bonds)
2.
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Example of a Bond:
Rs.1000, 8%, 2023.
It means, You give me Rs.1000, I give you that Bond-paper
Until 2023, each year I shall pay you Rs.80 as interest and on maturity (2023), Ill pay you the principal (Rs.1000).
This is a bond in Indian currency, with both principal and interest is paid in Rupees.
But what if any Indian company wants to sell bonds to Americans?
$100, 8%, 2023.
Here both principal and interest will be paid in American currency.
This is an example of Foreign Currency Bond.
It is a bond issued by an Indian company expressed in foreign currency, the principal and interest of which is payable in foreign currency.
What is Convertible Bond?
Again two ways to finance a company : Debt + Equity.
Consider this bond
Rs.1000, 8%, 2023. Convertible to 100 shares after 5 years.
It means, for the first five years, you continue to receive interest payment of Rs.80, each year.
But on the fifth year or after that, you can give this bond back to the company and receive 100 shares (equity) in lieu of your bond.
Think of the pros and cons
From Investors point of view:
If the shares are selling @higher price. I can exchange my bond for those shares and sell them in market. In that situation, I should get
my bond converted into shares.
If the bond is converted into share, I dont have to make regular interest rate payment, nor Ive to give back the Principal Rs.1000.
Less bonds = less debt. This is good for reducing Debt : Equity Ratio. (more explained in previous Rights issue of Shares article)
Issue the bond in foreign currency; promise to pay the interest and principal in foreign currency.
Promise the investor to convert the bond into equity after a fixed date.
When you issue a bond having both of above features, it is called FCCB (Foreign currency convertible Bond). FCCB started in 1993.
FCCB Refinancing
In crude terms, it means you take a new loan, to repay previous loan!
During the IT-boom period, Many Indian companies took funds from Foreigners using FCCB bonds. At that time the picture was rosy good and the
Indian businessmen had thought, theyll be able to repay the interest and in most cases, the foreign investor will get the bond converted into equity
so we wont have to pay back the principal!
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Problem: Foreign investors did not convert their bonds into equity, may be because of the dismal economy-scenario both in India and abroad.
For example:
Ive following FCCB of Company xyz
$1000, 8%, 2025, 100 shares after 5 years.
Let us do some aptitude
In 5 years, I earn 8% x 1000 x 5 years =$400 in interest payment.
Now this Indian company offers to convert the bonds into equity of 100 shares.
But the shares of this company are trading @ Rs.150 per share. That is roughly $3.
Means I get $3 per sharex 100 shares = $300 worth of shares.
Even if I sell it in market, I can recover only $300.
How much I make ?
$400 already earned in interest + $300 via shares = $700.
But my initial investment is $1000.
Besides, this stupid company pays very low dividends and my financial advisors tell me that in future also, its share price of dividend is not going to
increase much.
In this scenario, Im not in a mood to convert my FCCB bond into that Indian companys shares.
Because as long as Ive the FCCB in bond form, I continue to receive interest and claim the principal.
Think it this way, from investors point of view
If the time is uncertain, where will you invest money: in Debt or in Equity?
Ofcourse in debt because you get assured return on investment.
Why in News?
The current RBI-norms mandate if a company wants to pre-pay FCCBs via fresh foreign loans or bonds, the new paper must be of longer maturity
and carry a lower interest rate than the existing.
For example,
Youve to repay FCCB of 1000,8%,2025, but you dont have enough money so you want to issue another bond to get money and payback this loan.
But You can issue new bond of lower interest rate and longer maturity only, for example
Rs.1000,7%,2030 only.
But unless a higher interest rate is offered, the new investors may not be willing to put in money. (Recall the junk bond example.)
Therefore Indian corporates are asking RBI to reduce limits on pricing and maturity.
Consider following crisis of Suzlon.
Wind-turbine orders from Europe and American clients have declined and
2.
one of the biggest clinet Edison Mission, is not paying the dues in previous orders.)
So, currently, it is outside Suzlons aukaat to pay back more than Rs.2250 crores.
Therefore 3000-2250=Rs.750 crore have to be arranged.
Weakening of Rupee currency only adds insult to the injury.
Because in FCCB, both principal and interest have to be paid in foreign currency.
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So if 1$=50 Rs., that was well and good but right now 1$= around 54 Rs. Means company has to get even more Rupees to repay these FCCB
bonds.
So, Suzlon is in talks with bondholders e.g.
1.
(offering to Bondholder) : Bhaiyaa instead of 100 shares, I offer you 200 shares. But please convert your FCCB into equity.
If the bondholder agrees, it is well and good but problem: Tulsi Tantis shareholding will decline from 53% to 50%. As you can understand,
shareholding less than 50%= Not a good idea Sir-ji. Just like running a coalition Government with Mamatha Benerjee.
1
Again problem: SE forge will not sell for more than 300 Crores, While Suzlon needs Rs.750 crores.
1
1.
What is EEFC?
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
Indian People who earn in foreign currency (Exporters, big companies etc), can open the Exchange Earner's Foreign Currency (EEFC)
Account in a Bank and deposit their foreign currency in it.
Where can I open EEFC?
ICICI, Bank of Baroda and other banks.
Difference between FCNR vs EEFC
Recall the FCNR = NRIs can deposit foreign currency in Indian bank.
EEFC= Indian Exporters can deposit foreign currency in Indian bank.
Why is EEFC called current Account?
EEFC = Current Bank account in Foreign Currency.
Just like a normal Current Account, Banks donot give interest on EEFC deposits.
EEFC= No interest paid by Bank!
Yep, The million dollar question is: If Bank doesnt give any interest on your EEFC deposit, then whats the purpose of opening such account?
You import steel from china, assemble bicycle in India and export it to France.
From France you receive Euro and to China, youve to pay in Yuan.
Suppse youve only a normal bank account, you can only deposit money in Rupees. So first youve to convert those Euros into Rupees, (Forex
181
agent will charge Commission), deposit Rupee money in your savings account. But just after 10 days, youve to pay to Chinese exporters in Yuan.
So again take out Rupee money, convert it in Yuan (Forex agent again charges Commission.) + so much paper-work.
The only guy benefitting here is the Forex dealer because youre not earning enough interest and paying more to him in Commission.
The EEFC account comes handy. You can deposit whatever amount of Euros you received from France (100% amount) into this EEFC account.
And later as and when you need, you take out the Euros and convert them into desired currency.
Q. In EEFC Account, can somebody hold multiple currency like Dollar, Pound, sterling, Yuan or he is allowed only for a single foreign currency.
(by Pradeep)
Ans: One is required to have multiple EEFC accts for multiple currencies. So, if some exporter has transaction in EUROs and Yuans, he has to
have two EEFC accts i.e EEFC (EURO) and EEFC (Yuan) (By Nitesh Macwan)
Why EEFC in News? RBIs new guidelines
Same reason why FCNR was in news! =The declining value of Rupee.
This week, 1$= 53.82 Rs.
RBI wanted to stop the downfall of rupee any further so, Governor issued notification.
It made two new rules.
Rule #1: use your own forex damnit!
Exporters are permitted to buy foreign exchange only when they have completely utilized the foreign currency in their EEFC accounts.
But why?
Ans. To reduce currency speculation.
For example, my finance expert tells me that I should hold on to my dollars in my EEFC for a month, because afterwards, dollar is likely to
strengthen. (example 1$=50 to 1$=55)
Therefore, at the moment Im not interested in using any dollars from my EEFC account, I just kept the stash aside. And I buy new dollars from
forex market using rupee currency, to make payments for my business (instead of utilizing my own dollars already stored in my own EEFC.)
This unnecessarily decreases the supply of dollars. (because people dont use their dollars, they just keep buying new from others) = demand of
dollars even increase = rupee weakens even more.
Therefore New RBI rule: Exporters are permitted to buy foreign exchange only when they have completely utilized the foreign currency in their
EEFC accounts.
Rule 2: Sell 50% Forex from your account.
Another rule made by RBI: whatever foreign currency Ive in my EEFC account, 50% of it, will be automatically sold and converted into rupee and
saved back in my EEFC account.
Ive to compulsorily surrender 50 per cent my foreign currency from my EEFC, for conversion to rupee balances.
Result: Since Im forced to sell my foreign currency from my EEFC account= the supply of dollar / pound and other foreign currencies will increase
in the market.
Their price go down (example from 1$=55 Rs. To 1$=50 rs.) = Rupee strengthens.
Economy] Vodafone Essar Case: Capital Gains Tax Meaning, Reasons, Timeline, Implications, explained
Before venturing into Vodafone Essar Court Case, Lets start with the basics
Some information may be technically incorrect / outdated. This article is for illustration and understanding purpose only and not for writing the actual
answers in your exam.
1.
2.
3.
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4.
5.
Timeline of Events
6.
7.
8.
9.
Capital is something that generates income for you. It can be a building, it can be a rickshaw, it can be a truck, it can be printing press
machinery.
When you sell these capital assets, and IF you make profit (gain), then you have to pay tax. This tax is known as capital gains tax.
There are two types of capital gains tax.
Short-term capital gains tax, if you owned that asset for less than 36 months, before selling it.
Long-term capital gains tax, if you owned that asset for more than 36 months before selling it.
Do Shares of a company also come under Capital Gains tax?
Yes Shares of a company also come under Capital Gains Tax. And there is different time-frame for them.
Short-term capital gains tax, if you owned those shares for less than 12 months, before selling it.
Long-term capital gains tax, if you owned those shares for more than 12 months before selling it.
Who pays the Capital Gains Tax?
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I sell it to you for Rs.2 crores, and thus I made the profit (Gains) of Rs. 1 crore and I have to pay Rs.10 lakh to the government as capital
gains tax. Now the convention is that I (the seller) dont actually pay Rs.10 lakh by myself
Instead of that, you just give me only Rs.1 crore 90 lakhs. And keep aside 10 lakh rupees.
Then, you (the buyer) will pay the 10 lakh rupee to the Government on my behalf. (Thus you purchased the mall for Rs.2 crore).
So in the case of Vodafone: indeed Hutchison was the seller so he has to pay the Capital gains tax but he doesnt actually pay it. It is for the
Vodafone (buyer) to deduct that tax money from his payment and give the tax to Indian Government.Thats why IT Department harasses
Vodafone and not the Hutch.
Now coming to the Vodafone Essar case
Players in the Vodafone Case
Vodafone
Hutch
Cayman Island based company, has 67% stakes in Hutch-Essar India. CGP itself is owned by
Hutch, Hong Kong.
Innocent Bystanders
You and I, because weve to prepare such topics for competitive exams.
Timeline of Events
December 2006: Hong Kong
Hutchison Telecommunication International Ltd (HTIL) Boss: My Indian arm Hutchison Essar Limited (HEL) is not making good money. I want
to quit from India.
(To his Secretary ) as you know, I own CGP Investments Holdings Ltd, located in Cayman. And CGP holds 67% in HEL (India). So, just make an
announcement that I want to sell CGP and start talking with prospective buyers.
Secretary: but why all this complex procedure?
HTIL boss: oh come on man, dont you know that Cayman Island is a Tax Haven. They dont have Capital Gains Tax! Better we sell via Cayman
route and well save a truckload of ca$h in tax.
February 2007, London
Vodafone (UK) Boss: (To his Netherland subsidiary manager) Take these suitcase full of 11 billion US Dollars, go to Cayman Island, buy that CGP
holdings Ltd. From HTIL (Hong Kong) and give me miss call when the deal is finished.
March 2007, Mumbai
Income Tax Commissioners Office.
Minister (on Phone): Mast bakraa haath mein aayaa hai ( !). Send a notice to Vodaphone, ask them to pay Rs. 12000
crores under capital gains tax because they purchased an Indian Company HEL (Hutch Essar Ltd) for 11 billion dollars!
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IT Commissioner: Sir, may I humbly point it out that It is a common practice among multinational companies (MNCs) to establish such SPV
(Special purpose vehicles/ flimsy companies) in Tax havens of Mauritius / Cayman Island.
And then those flimsy companies (SPV) such as CEG Ltd., buy shares of an Indian company (HEL).
When the MNC wishes to sell or acquire an Indian company, they dont directly come and buy in India, they simply purchase or sell the shares of
these flimsy companies in Caymans Island because the transfer of shares of an SPV outside India, is not taxable in India. And Cayman Island itself
has very negligible tax rates. It is a win win situation for them.
And This is not the first case, there have been truckload of merger and acquisitions like this, in past and weve never sent any notice to any such
company because this matter is outside my Jurisdiction, sir.
Minister: Betaa, dont give me this GYAN (), get me some CASH ! Ive to give Rs.71,000 crores in debt-waiver scheme to farmers in 2008 to
win the General elections.
We are already giving billions of rupees in subsidies on diesel, LPG, Kerosene, Fertilizers.
Weve to pay crores of rupees to Government employees under 6th Pay Commission.
Were running Development schemes like MNREGA (Rs.40,000 crores a year), and in future we are thinking of starting Food security Act
(2 lakh crores a year). Where is the money to pay for all this?
All these things requires huge huge huge cash, man. Money doesnt fall from sky. We cannot tax the aam-aadmi beyond a level and
We couldnt get decent money from sale of 2G spectrum, or coal mines auction
Dont you understand? Weve to find new sources of income. Vodafone is a good bakraa. Lets rip him apart.
Then we use it to create bogus Developmental schemes, siphon off the money and use it to fight election. This shall help us get absolute
majority in Bihar and Uttar Pradesh because Public of UP and Bihar is so Gullible they will vote for anyone who tells them ki hum aap ke
liye Delhi se paisa bhejte hai!( !)
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Mr.Vodafone: Get your facts right Commissioner Gordon. Please see this diagram again.
Long thing cut short, I purchased a Cayman Island company from Hutch Hongkong. Now this Cayman Island company happens to have 67%
shares of Hutch Essar ltd (HEL, India), and thus I only have Shares of HEL. I did not purchase any assets like trucks, buildings or mobile towers
from the HEL (India) itself. So where is the capital and where are the gains?
IT commissioner: No that is incorrect. Capital Gains tax applies!! Because You gained Assets of an Indian company.
Gurmeet (from court viewers): This is utter nonsense. If today you buy 10% of the shares of a particular company, let us say Jet Airways, does
this mean that you automatically own 10% of all of Jet Airways assets? Does this mean that 10% of the entire fleet of aircraft now belongs to you?
By buying out a company that holds 67% of HEL, it doesnt mean that Vodafone now owns 67% of the assets of HEL. Those assets continue to
belong to HEL, which is a separate legal entity based in India. Read the Company law, Damnit. Because there has been no transfer of assets, there
has been no capital gain.
Judge: order, order.
Mr. Vodafone: Yes your honor, there is a difference between the sale of shares in a company and the sale of assets of that company. It is an
elementary principle of company law that ownership of shares in a company does not mean ownership of the assets of the company. Thus, an
individual who owns 45 per cent share capital does not own 45 of that companys assets. The assets belong to that company which is a separate
legal entity. So I have not received any capital asset from the Indian company. I cannot be taxed for capital gains!
IT commissioner: ya But still, you purchased the shares of a company. According to Indian law, capital gains tax applies to sell of shares!
Mr.Vodafone: Agreed that a person has to pay Capital gains tax on the sell of shares according to Indian Income tax act. But This share-purchase
took place in Caymans island, between two Non-Indian companies. They dont have any capital gains tax there. So how come you hold me
responsible for paying Capital Gains Tax in India? You dont have any jurisdiction over this matter! And If this is your logic, why didnt you arrest
Sunny Leone when she came to participate in Big Boss season #5? She is a porn actress, and watching porn is illegal in India (except for
Karnataka MLAs). But you cannot arrest Sunny Leone in India, because you dont have jurisdiction over her activities in America. It is completely
legal to shoot porn in California State of USA. So why this Kolaveri Di with me?
T.V. SIVAKUMARAN (from Court audience): Let me give another simpler illustration. ICICI Bank shares are listed in the US Stock exchange. As a
US citizen, I own some shares. If I sell them and make a profit, should I be made liable to pay Capital Gains Tax in India, U.K. and other countries,
where ICICI Bank holds Assets?
Judge: order, order.
IT Commissioner: ummwell.ahhh oh yes, you and Hutchison International, have intentionally conspired to make this deal in Caymans
Island. Because it is a tax haven. Because Cayman island doesnt have capital gains tax. You guys are very smart, you intentionally create such
flimsy companies in Tax havens, and then make merger and acquisitions to avoid as much tax as possible. Youre not the only culprit; plenty of
Indian companies are doing the same thing. [But since youre a big bakraa worth Rs.12000 crores weve special interest in you]
Mr. Vodafone: of course. Why not? It is a completely legal activity to save tax through legal means. Whats wrong in that? Blame it to your outdated
laws and tax-treaties. If a drunk rich brat kills 15 people in drunk driving, he still gets out of jail on bail, thanks to your outdated laws So who is to
blame? The drunkard or the Government?
Yes we save taxes by running the show through tax havens in Mauritius and Caymand island, but you cannot ignore the enormous employment
generated because of me. See how many people got jobs in Vodafone outlets and the substantial increase in excise duty, sales tax and other
duties. Not to mention all those people who got jobs, they also pay income tax, they go out purchase homes, automobiles, perfumes and skin
whitening creams and what about that indirect employment generated in those industries?
You cry about the puny 12000 crores in capital gains, what about the million dollar happiness in the lives of all those people benefitted directly or
indirectly because ofmy entrepreneurship?.
January 2012
Landmark Judgment of Supreme court
Saare sabuto aur gawaaho ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ye adalat iss natije par pahuchi hai ki ( ,
)
Certainly and stability form the basic foundation of any fiscal system. Tax policy certainty is crucial for taxpayers (including foreign
investors) to make rational economic choices in the most efficient manner
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This offshore transaction evidences participative investment in India and not a sham.
The demand of nearly 12,000 crore by way of capital gains tax, in my view, would amount to imposing capital punishment for capital
investment since it lacks authority of law and therefore stands squashed.
Location: Finance ministers Office, Delhi
There is pindrop silence in the office. Babus are not even playing that Solitaire/Hearts card-game in their Windows 98 computers.
Some of them are busy in toilet, actually leaking information about possible future-moves of their minister to their journalist friends in TimesNow,
via SMS from theirAntique Nokia-1100 mobile phones.
Minister (entering the Office) : Itnaa Sannaataa kyo hai bhai? ( ?)
IT Commissioner: Because We have suffered a humiliating defeat in Supreme court, in that Vodafone case.
Minister: You mean as humiliating as Team Indias defeat in Austrialian test-matches?
IT Commissioner: Well, not *that* humiliating, but still very humiliating.
Minister: I cannot let this matter go. Rs. 12000 crores is not a small amount! Ive Gujarat Assembly elections ahead, I need the ca$h! Gang up the
best tax-lawyers, study the judgement and File a review petition in Supreme Court again!
March 2012
Supreme court rejects the review petition.
Those Best Tax-lawyers demand lakhs of rupees as consultation fees from Government of India.
IT Commissioner (to self): Khaayaa piyaa kucchh nahi, glass fodaa. ( , ..)
Budget 2012
Minister (announcing in Parliament): I propose an amendments in the Income Tax Act with retrospective effect from 1962 so that all persons,
whether residents or non-residents, having business connection in India, will have to deduct tax at source and pay it to the government
even if the deal is executed on a foreign soil!
With this move, Im trying to get around the courts decision which said that
the government cannot tax a deal between two foreign entities, even if the transaction includes an Indian asset.
Our party has history of trying to outsmart judiciary, whether it was Shah Bano case or 42nd Constitutional amendment or.
Random MP: (putting his i-pad aside) What does this retrospective effect mean?
Peon: Retrospective effect means if Government passes such law in 2012, still the past deals between companies made in 2007 can be taxed.
Only Civil laws can be made with retrospective effect. But criminal laws cannot be made with retrospective effect.
Random MP: Elaborate
Peon: Criminal law cannot be made with retrospective effect, meaning if in 2012, Government passes a law that mobile phone thieves will get life
time imprisonment, then only those thieves whore caught in 2012, after the commencement of that law, will be jailed for lifetime.
But, If a thief stole the mobile phone in 2007, he cannot be given lifetime imprisonment, he has to be tried under the punishment provision that were
in effect during that time. On same logic, people are still languishing in jail under TADA and POTA cases, even though those acts are scrapped now.
Random MP:That means I must hurry and do as much corruption as I can, before that Lokpal thing comes in effect, Whaat an idea Sir-ji.
Outside Parliament
Salman to Media: Right now we only know that it is a unanimous judgement that has gone against the revenue authorities We have to examine.
We obviously need revenue for the governments important programmes.
Epigue
Anand: Just like the Govt insists on tax revenue, even when the supreme court dismissed their case,
we citizens need to insist that the revenue is spent wisely by the Govt on the welfare of its citizens.
The extra tax revenue that the govt would have got from Vodafone would not benefit any citizen.
Instead 90% of the money would find their way into the pockets of our politicians,
while the rest is frittered away as salaries for a burgeoning bureaucracy.
Demo Question for CSAT
Which of the following statements are true?
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There are three types of Capital Gains tax in India: Short term, Medium term and Long term.
Direct Tax Code 2010, has no provisions about Capital Gains Tax.
[Economy] Calculating Income Tax, Tax Exemption vs Tax Deduction, Rajiv Gandhi Equity Saving Scheme
1.
2.
3.
3% educational cess
4.
5.
6.
7.
Who is Tax-Consultant?
Tax
0 to 2,00,000
No tax
2,00,001 to 5,00,000
10%
5,00,001 to 10,00,000
20%
Above 10,00,000
30%
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(We are skipping senior citizen provisions)
Time for a very simple question:
if your income is Rs.15 lakhs, how much income tax do you have to pay?
15 lakhs is above Rs.10 lakhs, so you fall in 30% income tax slab.
30% of 15 lakhs equals to 4.5 lakhs income tax.
Sorry 4.5 lakhs is Incorrect Answer. Infact youre income tax will be quite less than Rs.4.5 lakhs.
Why?
Because income tax is not calculated like that.
Then how to calculate income tax?
Suitcase approach
Imagine there are four suitcases labeled one, two, three, four.
You have to fill up each suitcase with your cash.
But there are some conditions
First suitcase can contain maximum two lakh rupees only. Once it is fully packed, you move to the next suitcase.
Now start distributing your 15 lakh rupees into these four suitcases
suitcase number
Money packed
One
2,00,000
Two
3,00,000
Three
5,00,000
Four
5,00,000
Total
15 lakhs
Step #2: Make a new column and apply those four tax slabs
suitcase number
Money packed
Tax slab
One
2,00,000
0%
Two
3,00,000
10%
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Three
5,00,000
20%
Four
5,00,000
30%
Total
15 lakhs
Step #3: Calculate the income tax to be paid for each suitcase
suitcase number
Money packed
Tax slab
Tax to be paid
One
2,00,000
0%
Zero
Two
3,00,000
10%
30,000
Three
5,00,000
20%
1,00,000
Four
5,00,000
30%
1,50,000
Total
15 lakhs
2,80,000
The total sum of income tax on all four suitcases =2,80,000 lakhs
So, if your income is 15 lakhs, you have to pay 2.8 lakhs as income tax.
But we forgot some important things: educational cess, tax exemption, tax deduction.
3% educational cess
Cess means tax on the tax.
Union budget 2012, has provision of 3% educational cess.
Meaning 3% of 2.8 lakhs, equal to Rs.8400
Hence the total income-tax that you to pay = 2.8 lakhs +8400= Rs.2,88,400
Now time for two most important parts in the income tax calculation.
What is the difference between Tax exemption and tax deduction?
#1: Tax exemption
Income tax= the tax on your income, but you dont have to pay income tax on certain type of income. For example
Policemen and Army jawans get uniform maintenance allowance: Suppose Rs.1000 to wash and iron their uniforms and to polish their boots every
month.
Rs.1000 every month multiplied with 12 months equals to Rs.12,000 every year, apart from the regular salary.
But Budget-2012 says this Uniform Allowance income is exempted from taxation.
So, If an army jawan earns Rs. 2,12,000, then his taxable income is
2 lakhs minus Rs. 12000 exempted= Rs. 2,00,000.
Now calculate his income tax on Rs. 200,000 based on our suitcase approach. (ans. Zero tax, because Cash finished at first suitcase.)
Crux: Tax exemption is given on INCOME.
#2: tax deduction
If you spend your income on certain activities, you wont have to pay income tax on that much amount of your income.
E.g.50% deduction, if you invest in Rajiv Gandhi Equity Savings Scheme. (RGESS)
Suppose you earn nine lakh rupees a year and invest Rs.20,000 in RGESS,
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Thus , your taxable income
= nine lakh rupees minus 50% of Rs.20,000 (invested in RGESS)
= 9 lakhs-10,000
= Rs. 8,90,000
Now calculate the income tax on Rs.8,90,000 using our suitcase approach.
Crux: Tax Deduction is given on SPENDING
Medical Allowance
Agricultural income
What is Tax-Planning?
It means use of Tax-Exemption and Tax-Deduction provisions in such a way that you can save maximum amount of tax.
Who is Tax-Adviser / Tax-Consultant?
These are extremely knowledgeable and experienced Chartered Accountants, MBA and Tax Lawyers.
Big players in Tax Consulting = Ernst & Young, KPMG, Price waterhouse Coopers (PwC).
191
Recall that Vodafone Essar deal: Saving Capital Gains tax in Caymens Island. These Big Players help in such huge tax-saving deals.
Black Money and Agro-Income
In above table, you can see that Agriculture income is exempted from income-tax.
Lot of film stars forge documents and show they own farm-lands and theyre farmers.
Game is simple. They take 5 crores from film producers or 50 lakhs to dance in Dubai.
But on paper they show only few lakhs as legit payment received and pay income tax on that part only.
Remaining money is shown as income from that agricultural land and thus totally exempted from income-tax.
You already know the main provisions of Rajiv Gandhi Equity saving scheme
Only first-time investors, with annual income less than Rs.10 lakh can invest in the scheme.
Ya but still how is Rs.5000/- saved? Youve to compare two cases to find that out.
Case #1: dont invest in RGESS
Your income is Rs.9 lakhs, and you dont invest in RGESS and dont get any other tax deduction or tax exemptions.
The total taxable income is Rs. 9 lakhs.
suitcase number
Money packed
Tax slab
Tax to be paid
One
2,00,000
0%
Zero
Two
3,00,000
10%
30,000
Three
4,00,000
20%
80,000
Four
30%
Total
9 lakhs
1,10,000
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Your income is Rs.9 lakhs, and you invest to the maximum limit (Rs.50,000/-).
Thus, the taxable income is
= Rs. 9 lakhs minus 50% of Rs.50,000 ;because RGESS gives 50% Deduction.
=9 lakhs 25,000
=Rs. 8,75,000
Now calculate income tax for Rs.8,75,000 using same suitcase approach
suitcase number
Money packed
Tax slab
Tax to be paid
One
200000
Two
300000
10
30000
Three
375000
20
75000
Four
30
Total
875000
105000
Why did Pranab come up with Rajiv Gandhi Equity saving scheme?
Why are only first-time investors allowed to save money in the scheme?
Why is Pranab not allowing people with annual income of Rs.10 lakh or above, to invest in this scheme?
Why did Pranab say this move will improve the depth of domestic capital market?
What is No-Frills demat account and why is Pranab talking about it?
193
If you were in place of Pranab, How will you design the Tax Exemptions and Tax Deductions for the Aam-Aadmi and how will you help the
Indian Economy?
[Economy] Bretton Woods: Fixed Exchange Rate system: Meaning Implications Explained
1.
2.
Why is important?
3.
4.
5.
6.
Agenda of conference
7.
8.
Roosevelt Vs Mohan:
9.
In 1944, President Roosevelt hosted a conference here, to rebuild the world economy, after Second World War.
Delegates of 44 allied nations ( ) had came to participate in this conference.
Officially it is known as United Nations Monetary and Financial Conference, commonly known as Bretton Woods because of the place
where it was held.
1. IMF
o
They give short-term loans to help nations settle the balance of payment crisis.
Theyve a system called SDR :Special Drawing rights. (requires another article)
2. World Bank
o
Officially known as IBRD :International bank for reconstruction and Development, that time
They give long term soft loans to rebuild the third world.
Soft loans= interest rate is very low. Sometimes you dont have to pay back the principle.
194
Absent from the meeting: Mohan, Montek, Pranab, Chindu and Subba (good grief else theyd have messed up International Economy,
just like they did to Indian Economy.)
India was represented by Sir C.D. Deshmukh, he was the first Indian Governor of RBI, This gentleman had cracked IAS exam in Britishraj ,known as ICS exam in those days. And No, he is not the grandfather of Ritesh Deshmukh.
There is large scale bombing and destruction in the world. Production has declined, there is huge inflation.
Help rebuilt the World Economy. Provide money, loan, finance to needy nations. (World Bank)
After WW2, lot of colonies will get independence (India, Sri Lanka), theyll introduce their own national currencies without control of big
superpowers (Britain) and theyll enter in international trade in their own capacity.(Exchange rates, IMF)
Hence, Some order had to be created to facilitate smooth international trade. (GATT)
Fixed Exchange Rate system.
What is Fixed Exchange Rate System?
Under this system, if RBI says $1=30 rupees, and youve 30 rupees and want to convert it in dollars but the Foreigners are willing to give
1 dollar to youdont worry.
RBI will accept your 30 rupees and give your one dollar out of its own reserve and vice versa.
Cons are obvious : When India is not exporting enough and not attractive enough foreign investment (in dollars) and still RBI keeps
paying people in dollars, one day the bank lockers will be empty, there will be no dollars to pay. System will collapse.
195
But it has Pros (advantages) in the times of uncertainty- When youre writing on a clean slate, after WW2, if every nation decides to have
a fixed exchange rate system- it leads to stability and predictability in Exchange rates = good for foreign trade.
Roosevelt Vs Mohan: Pegging the Currencies
As you can see, the fixed exchange rate system, is good for stable international trade environment, atleast on paper.
But this system can run smoothly only as long as USA has the aukaat to pay gold to every swinging dude that walks with dollars into their
office.
Problem started with Cold War. Both USA and USSR (not Russia), are busy in an arms race, building new tanks, missiles and submarines
every week.
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Theyre also giving huge donations and help to poor nations, in order to win their support and dominate the region. This is a nonproductive activity, theyre basically wasting money.
Now, USA gets involved in a very lengthy and expensive Vietnam War from 1959 to 1975.
Inflation and Gold Prices
US still kept fixed value of 35 dollars = 1 ounce of gold. But thanks to this inflation, Gold is trading at higher price in open market 40
dollars per ounce.
So there is an opportunity to make quick money, just tell the RBI manager to take suitcase full of dollars from RBIs locker to US Federal
Reserve, take their gold in return, and sell it to the local jeweler at higher market price and use this profit to fix indias problems- poverty,
education etc. (may be by starting another welfare scheme named after Nehru-Gandhi family.)
For a while, US Presidents had enough clout over international politics so that they could force other nations RBI managers not to indulge
in such cheap profiteering. But Vietnam war is fast deteriorating Americas clout and now RBIs of various countries have started lining up
with their suitcases full of dollars and they want gold in return.
1971, President Nixon decides that if we continue giving gold for dollars, we will go bankrupt. There will be no gold left in our lockers. So I
give up. Im not going to let anyone exchange their dollars for my gold.
What is Floating Exchange rate? Governments / Central Banks dont fix exchange rates here. It is left to the Forex markets, private
players and laws of supply and demand. Just like in the Story of Forex. Government /RBI will only intervene if there is huge fluctuation in
the exchange rates.
Do we need Bretton Woods?
With respect to, Eurozone crisis, lots of columnists write We need another Bretton Woods.
They dont actually mean that we need to move back to the same old Fixed Rate exchange system, in which every currency was pegged
to Dollar and Dollar was pegged to Gold. Because that fixed rate thing is impractical in real life scenario, as we saw in above paragraph.
Just imagine, if tomorrow World starts running according to Bretton Woods system, what will happen?
We know that China already has more than 1000 billion dollars in its Forex Reserves. So Peoples Bank of China will send its
Probationary officer with suitcases full of dollars and take away all the gold from Fort Knox. They dont even need to fight a war, USA will
come down to its knees financially.
[Fort Knox is a place in Kentucky State, US Government keeps the gold reserves in this place.]
In real life, not that China will actually do so, but the mere threat and possibility will keep USA on its toes. Hence US will not agree to
Fixed Exchange rate in the first place.
There is no chance any other country will agree to become the big brother and let their currency become the reserved currency and peg
it to gold.
Especially India, because if we peg our 10,000 Rupees to one ounce of Gold and declare that we are the new international reserve
currency, just like dollar before 1970s, What will be the Result? Pegged currency means Government cant do extravagant spending in
MNREGA. Theyll have to stop subsidy on diesel, kerosene, LPG and fertilizers, because they can doll out only as much rupees as the
amount of gold held in RBIs locker.
As You can understand, no political party has the guts to do that, hence no nation will want to become the big brother (or Bali kaa Bakraa)
for another Bretton Woods.
197
So, The sentence We need another Bretton Woods is just a metaphor, to say that all the Presidents, Prime ministers and Economists of
the world should meet up once again, drink some Desi Daaru ( ), watch some Item-song, brainstorm for new ideas and start
something from scratch, totally new, Just like the Gentlemen at Bretton Woods did, in 1944.
Then what to do?
China could agree that well not dump our products in foreign market, we will not keep our yuan devalued,
Russia and China could agree that Well stop supporting Assad and force him to give up, thus integrating Syria into world economy.
US could agree that well bring back our troop from Afghanistan and cut down on our Defense Expenditure and its inflationary effect on
world economy. We will also stop supporting Pakistan. Thus reducing defense Expenditure of India in the arms race.
Iran could agree that well stop our irrelevant obsession with nuke weapons and give up, So that UN removes the sanctions and our
trades can make more money, thus improving the standard of living for Iranian aam-aadmis.
EU could agree that well kick out Greece, because its just way too messed up.
And India could agree that well bring all the black money from Switzerland and use it to finance our bogus Government schemes and
subsidies instead of looting aam-aadmi in petrol tax, to finance those things.
And finally you and I could agree that every IPL cricket match is fixed, so a serious UPSC/CAT/CMAT/IBPS/State PSC aspirant must not
waste his time watching it and concentrate on his studies instead.
[Economy] Excise Duty on Gold in Budget 2012: Reasons and Implications, Why Jewelers are protesting?
In the union budget 2012, government increased the tax on gold jewelry, and the Jewelers all over India have gone on strike.
Theyre agitating and protesting and demanding for the withdrawal of these taxes.
1.
Budget provision
2.
TDS@Source
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
Profit Margin
9.
Gold Smuggling
10. Epilogue
Budget provision
Pranab: (announcing budget in parliament)
Jewelers will have to pay 4% import duty on gold, earlier they had to pay only 2%.
Aam-Aadmi will have to pay 1 percent excise duty on non-branded gold jewelry
If Aam-Aadmi purchases jewelry worth more than 2 lakh rupees, the Jeweler will have to collect 1% tax from him in TDS (tax deduction
@Source=Just like in Vodafone case.)
198
TDS@Source
Jeweler: but TDS form requires PAN card number. In a population of 120 crores, barely 12 crore people got PAN cards! How
am I supposed to proceed with the paperwork?Pranab: cant you see? it is a move to make people get PAN cards. If
everyone has PAN cards then it is easy to track the tax evasion and black money. So If a person is genuine and has the
aukaat () to purchase gold worth 2 lakhs, then he shouldnt fear and get himself a PAN cardJeweler: agreed but whats so magical
about the lower limit of 2 lakh? Why not 1 lakh why not 1.5 lakh but 2 lakhs only?
Pranab: because Most of the black money is routed through gold bars. A normal bar weighs 100 gram or more, and costs more than 2.5 lakhs. So, if
customer has to pay tax and quote his PAN card number, the badman with blackmoney will think twice before making a purchase.
Hawalaa operator: but which fool is going to buy gold worth 2 lakh rupees in one go from one shop? Hell just buy the smaller gold bars of 1 lakh rupees
each, from 2 different jewelry shops. Yes, Necessity is the mother of all inventions!
Too bad you Stephenian and JNU-walla ministers and bureaucrats always underestimate the wisdom, might and finesse of a highschool dropout Hawalaa
operatorwhile making your economic policies.
Pranab: Ya agree but itll create some inconvenience and reduce the gold purchase by a small percentage.
And Our end goal is to have compulsory PAN card and TDS for gold purchase of any price: whether it is 2 thousand
rupees or 2 lakh rupees. Only then black money can be stopped from going into gold purchase.
But as you know, majority of junta doesnt have PAN cards so if I announce TDS on gold purchase of 2,000 rupees
right now, itll be totally impractical and create uproar in the country.
Thats why, well do it in a phased manner: 2 lakh this year, 1 lakh next year, 50 thousands in third year and so on.
By that time majority of people will get PAN card as Ill order the Income tax dept. to launch major drive to register
everyone for PAN cards.
Jeweler: Do one thing at a time yaar. Either you ask everyone to get a UID card or PAN card. Why this overlapping and double labour, it is wastage of tax
payers money, isnt it?
Pranab: umm.
Jeweler: anyways Im still not getting the logic. If black money is the problem, why dont you fix the root of the problem- corruption itself, rather than
doing firefighting by this gold-buy-pan-card thing? What about the Lokpal, Whitepaper on blackmoney and Swiss money reports and
Pranab: well ummmammmhmmmm
Mohan (intervenes): Indian juntaa is the largest consumer of Gold in the world. In 2011 we imported almost 1000 tonnes
of gold worth almost 50 billion dollars.
Dubai/South Africas dealer doesnt Export gold bars for rupees, he demands payment in dollars.
Dont you get it? Whenever you purchase gold, our rupee weakens in the forex market! When rupees value
declines, weve to pay more money to import crude oil= petrol/dieasel expensive= milk and vegetables delivered
via trucks and rickshaws also become expensive! Your gold obsession is increasing the inflation.
Jeweler: but why is Indian juntaa consuming so much gold in the first place? More people are getting married or what?
Mohan: Because bad people prefer to convert their blackmoney into gold bars. Other reasons for gold-consumption are following
199
Because good people in rural and Naxal affected areas, dont have access to banks. So where can they put with
their savings? ofcourse we could improve the law and order situation and public amnesties (water, electricity and
roads) atleast upto Tehsil level so atleast some of the doctors, bank officers and teachers go and serve in those
backward areas, but why bother.
Besides these lower middle-class and poor peolpe dont have PAN cards so they cannot invest in mutual funds or
sharemarket. And even if they were forcibly given PAN cards, they dont know the technical knowledge required to
invest in sharemarket. So where can they invest money except buying gold or land?
Gold is a liquid asset, meaning it can be sold quite quickly and easily. Hence poor people like it. Besides, given the rise of NBFC Gold
Loan Companies like Muthoot Finance (Akshay Kumar)- they give quick loans in lieu of gold and their target customer base is poor and
lower middle class people.
So those people definitely think it is wiser to save in gold to get loans in emergency.
#3:Better return on investment
Banks gives you about 7% interest rate on your savings account while inflation rate is about 8%. What does it mean? Your bank account
is not earning enough money to counter the effect of inflation. In fact youre paying invisible 1% inflation tax by depositing your money in
banks.
Ofcourse SBI could pay your higher interest rate had they not been wasting their money on Vijay Mallya or 2G telecom players. But thats
a different story altogather. The point is: banks are not giving you enough cash to fight inflation.
So even urban people think it is better to save now in gold, and sell it later to earn some profit, especially in the times of global financial
crisis, when share market isnt giving attractive return on investment.
When people buy gold, theyre showing disrespect to my fiscal policy and RBIs monetary policy.
When people buy gold- theyre suggesting that weve failed in curbing the inflation. So gold is my enemy #1.
I must stop the consumption of gold, instead of stopping the cause behind the consumption of gold i.e. inflation and blackmoney.
Profit Margin
Mohan: btw, enough talking about me, lets now talk about you. Why are you bothered with this taxation, we all know that the company or merchant
doesnt pay out of his pocket. The taxes are ultimately Bourne by the final consumer!Jeweler: ya but the gold prices have increased so high,
demand is already decreased. Weve to hire so many film-actresses in advertisement.
Im afraid if I pass the taxes to final consumer, by increasing MRP of gold, itll further reduce the demand of gold-jeweler.
Hence, for a while Ill have to bear a part of this taxation burden, by reducing my profit margin and keeping the MRP almost the same as
usual, else Ill lose customers, and thats why Im agitating and demanding the withdrawal of this tax.
200
Mohan: but thatd means Ill succeed in my goal of reducing the gold demand in India!
Gold Smuggling
Hawala operator: Not so fast mister! Consider this:
For every kg of gold imported, the jeweler will have to Rs 1.10 lakh as duties as per the current prices.
but if he smuggles the gold from Dubai, and even if the return ticket costs Rs.20,000, he will easily save 90,000 in tax!
(90k+20k=1.10lakh)
In the same way, on purchasing 5 kg gold, people will save upto Rs 5 lakh.
In short, your stupid tax policy on gold, will only increase smuggling.
Dawood: Hey I started my career doing the same thing! Smuggling of silver bars and gold watches in the 80s :P Who knows History may repeat
itself and youd see another Dawood Jr!
ISI: Whaat an Idea Sir-ji!
Epiloge
Mohans son is preparing for CSAT, IBPS, State PSC or Group discussion /Personal interview of MBA admission
Mohans Son (loudly reading the same sentence repeatedly from a note)
India, the worlds largest consumer of gold, imported 967 tonnes of the precious metal in 2011.
India, the worlds largest consumer of gold, imported 967 tonnes of the precious metal in 2011.
India, the worlds largest consumer of gold, imported 967 tonnes of the precious metal in 2011.
India, the worlds largest consumer of gold, imported 967 tonnes of the precious metal in 2011.
What Is QFI
2.
What is FATF?
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
Interview Question
8.
CSAT-2013
9.
201
QFI (qualified foreign investor) is an individual, group or association, residing in a foreign country.
This does not include the FII/subaccounts (For explanation click me)
in January 2012, the government had allowed the QFIs to invest in the Indian market but with condition that their home countries must be
part of FATF*.
What is FATF?
FATF (financial action task force) is an international body, monitoring money laundering and terrorist financing.
Why QFIs of Gulf nations cannot participate in Indian Market?
The QFIs from Baherin, Oman, Kuwait, UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar, cannot invest in India because their countries have not signed the
FATF.
Therefore, now Indian government, is amending the FATF-rules to allow QFIs from these Gulf nations. As long as these countries are part
of IOSCO MMOU, their QFIs can enter in Indian market.
What is IOSCO MMOU?
It is a global information sharing arrangement, among the security regulators (i.e. SEBI of each country).
It sets the international benchmark for cross-border cooperation for combating the violations of securities and derivatives laws.
Why India changing the rule?
So far, The response of QFIs from EU and USA, has been lukewarm due to the not so positive economic conditions in their home
countries and in India.
Combine it with Rupee depreciation, right now Rupee trades at about 1$ =Rs.55+
Therefore, in order to attract the investors from Gulf nations, government of India is amending these QFI related rules.
Mock Questions for GS Mains
1.
2.
Discuss Indias relations with **** (whatever countries Pratibha and Mohan visited during last one year using tax payers money. I suggest
better keep a note, containing the major outcomes / treaties because of such visits.)
2 or 5 markers
What is IOSCO
Interview Question
1.
Do you think it is a good idea to allow QFIs from Non-FATF participant countries to enter in India? Should the issue of national security /
blackmoney be compromised for merely stabilize the downfall of rupee?
CSAT-2013
1.
202
What steps should RBI and Government take, to prevent further Downfall of Rupee?
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
In May 2012, reserve bank of India took following steps to stop the downfall of rupee against dollar.
Reducing the speculative trading
1.
RBI changed the rules related to EEFC Bank Account. (For Explanation click me)
Reforms in FCNR Accounts
RBI relaxed the interest-rate ceiling FCNR Bank-Accounts and allowed the Banks to use FCNR deposits to provide loans to local
residents. (Forexplanation click me)
Selling part of Forex Reseve
in past couple of weeks, RBI itself sold about $200 million from its foreign exchange reserves, to increase the supply of dollars in the
market.
Future course of action for RBI and Government
Because people have to pay in dollars, while they import crude oil and gold.
2.
Because FIIs are exiting Indian Market due to policy paralysis and rumors related to GAAR. (For explanation click me)
3.
Current account deficit is merely the outcome of about two problems. (forExplanation click me)
4.
When people say, rupee is falling because of large current account deficit , it means that supply of dollars is low (from FII/FDI/Exporter
etc.) side compared to the demand of dollars (from Gold and Oil sellers abroad/FII exiting from India etc.).
So what can government and RBI do, to tackle this downfall of rupee?
Policy reforms
Government could initiate policy reforms to boost foreign direct investment (FDI) in India. Such as FDI in retail-marketing and aviation
sector.
Reduce Gold import
Recall my previous article on how to calculate current account deficit, we've seen that we can never have surplus in balance of trade
because we import crude oil and gold worth billions of dollars, but our exports are not that much.
The crude oil is a necessary evil, without which our industries or life cannot function properly. We export textiles and chemicals, but even
for their production, crude oil is necessary. No matter how climate friendly it sounds, there is a limit below which, we cannot reduce our
oil consumption.
However, gold is a luxury item, people will not die if they do not buy or purchase gold. The government could increase the customs and
excise duty on gold, that way MRP of gold jewellery will increase and consequently, its demand will decrease. (except by those
Politicians, Bureaucrats and Real Estate mafias whove truckload of cash, and want to invest it in gold.)
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Recall the Gold Excise duty article, although Pranab did have noble intentions of implementing above things, but then he fell back due to
public pressure.
Dollar window for oil firms
We know that RBI has forex reserve worth around 290 billion dollars. The RBI could open a special window, allowing the oil companies to
sell rupees and by dollars from the RBI itself, rather than from other forex sellers. Thus, saving some money in the commission payment
and preventing excessive speculation in the forex market.
Sovereign backed NRI bonds
Recall my article on debt versus equity. In that, I discussed about junk bonds versus gilt-edged securities.
India Sovereign backed Bonds
So far, government of India has issued such bonds only three times (with help of SBI)
1.
in 1991, Indian government had issued India development bonds, to borrow $1.6 million from abroad.
2.
In 1998, Indian government had issued resurgent India Bonds, to borrow $4.2 billion from abroad.
3.
Generally, these sovereign backed Bonds have maturity period of five years (i.e. you get principal back after 5 yeas) . They are issued in
dollar or pound form
The interest and principal are paid in the foreign currency itself, therefore, the investor does not need to worry about fluctuating currency
exchange rates
The Indian government could issue such Gilt-Edged bonds via SBI one more time, offering attractive interest rates to the NRIs.
Implication: NRIs give their dollars to purchase these bonds, and the dollars, thus collected can be used for lending to Indian oil
companies and or Indian Importers/Exporters*.
*ya exporters also need foreign currency! Because sometimes they have to import raw material/services from a third country for producing their own
goods and services. Example: import electronic chips from Taiwan, steel from Russia, plastic from China, and assemble laptops in India and
export it to South Africa.
* why NRIs? (Because other FIIs/ foreign investors may not be so interested in investing in India at the moment given the policy paralysis and
GAAR etc issues)
Allow banks to borrow from abroad
RBI could take a policy initiative, allowing the Indian banks and nonbanking financial companies (NBFC) borrow dollars from abroad and lend it in
the local Indian market (i.e. Indian oil companies and Indian businessmen.)
finally
Allow QFIs from Non FATF Nations to invest in India
For Explanation Click Me
[Economy] Wayda Bazaar or Futures market Meaning
Question: what is wayda bazaar?
Answer
waydaa / Wadaa = promise to buy something in future.
Waydaa bazaar= future (and options) market.
When you make an agreement with someone that youll buy gold/potato or anything in x quantity at y price on z date in future. This is future
contract.
Waydaa Bazaar is the place where brokers hang out to make and trade such future and options* contracts.
*Options means, with such agreement, youve the right to buy that 1000 kg potato at the pre-determined price Rs.150,000 in future, but not the
obligation to buy it.
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Means you can refuse to buy it later on, if youre not in mood or find someone who is selling the same thing at lower prices! But in that case you
loose the premium money paid on that options contract.
[Economy] Oil Hedging meaning and its impact on Government Subsidies
Rahul asked,
what Oil Hedging means and how is it related to the subsidies given by the govt. on oil products??
Answer
Oil prices go up and down very rapidly due to unpredictable and unforeseeable events, such as political unrest in Egypt and Libya.
So buyers enter in futures and options contracts with the producers to prevent themselves from such unpredictable price rises.
For example,
Indian Oil Co. makes an options contract with Libyan supplier in October 2010, that on Feb 2011 Libyan supplier will send 5000 barrels @ 70$
each.
Now due to unrest in Libya in February, the oil prices have escalated to 90$/barrel but still that Libyan supplier is bound by contract to sell 5000
barrels @ 70$ each to the Indian company.
So Indian company prevented the risk of having to pay higher prices.
This is oil hedging.
But suppose there was no riots in Libya and in fact they had discovered a new big oil well, and thanks to the extra oil supply, Barrel prices went
down to 20$ per barrel! In that case Indian oil company would cancel to options contract and would loose the premium money paid on the contract.
how is Oil Hedging related to the subsidies given by the govt. on oil products?
Sorry I dont have exact idea, but i think if Oil headgeing prevents Indian Oil Companies from big price rise, then Government has to pay less
subsidy on oil products.
[Economy Q] Infy at 3000 premium 100 what does that mean?
Rudranil Ghose asked,
what exactly does it mean when we say that in the stock market, a company is at (say) 3000, premium (say 100) ..For eg: Infy at 3000
premium 100
Answer
Infy at 3000 premium 100.
It means this is a call-options contract: Buy infy shares at 3000 Rs. on x date.
Right now you dont have to pay Rs.3000, but only that premium Rs.100 to that broker.
Suppose on that x date, price of infy share has gone down to 2000 Rs. you can cancel the contract, and loose only Rs.100/- (and may
purchase those shares from another broker at 2000 Rs.)
But suppose on x date, the price of infy shares went upto 4000 Rs. then youll exercise your option to buy it from that broker at 3000 Rs. and sell
back to someone else at 4000 Rs. thus earning a profit of [4000-3000-100]=900 Rs.
[Economy Q] How to calculate GDP (PPP) and GDP nominal?
Abhi asked,
How is PPP measured? Suppose Indias GDP is Rs 100. Convert this to dollars as GDP(nominal) and GDP(PPP)
Answer:
Take a basket of commodities (like 1 kg sugar,wheat,veggies and cloths etc).
Now find out how much money do you need to buy everything from that basket?
For India suppose the bill is 1700 Rs.
Go to America and buy same items from their local market, the bill is 100$
So 100$=1700 Rs. => 1$=17 Rs.
So, PPP exchange rate is 17 Rs. per 1 $
To calculate GDP (PPP)
GDP (in Rupees) / PPP exchange rate for Rupees
=100/17
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=5 $
Indias GDP (PPP)= 5$
To calculate nominal GDP in $.
Just convert the Rupee into dollar at official exchange rate.1$=50 Rs.
Indias GDP (in Rupees)/official exchange rate
=100/50
=2$
So Indias GDP (nominal) is 2$.
Economy Q] Why use GDP (nominal) instead of GDP (PPP) when comparing two nations?
After the previous question regarding GDP (at purchasing power parity) between Japan and China, Tarun asked,
i have a query why GDP (ppp) is not used often to measure worth of countries as it give real picture than using GDP (Nominal terms)
Answer
For example:
In India majority of people are poor, and receive subsidized grains (like 1 kilo rice for 3 Rs, kerosene etc. from PDS shops.
In America poor people are supported by Government by food stamps and social security cheques.
Now comparing two nations, GDP (PPP) wise,
Obviously majority of Indians are poor, and majority of them get cheap- subsidized stuff, the purchasing power parity of India may look better than
Americans.
But does it really mean India is financially more powerful than America just because Indians can buy more stuff in local market compared to
Americans?
No, because financial activity is not limited to local market.
Weve to import crude oil from Middle east and buy jet-planes, missiles from Russia,France and Israel.
Weve buy pulses and onions from Africa and Pakistan(!), Those people are not going to sell us stuff with subsidy in Rupees, like we get in our local
market.
Theyll ask hard dollars (or gold or diamonds) as payment. So there, in international market, America can purchase more crude oil, fighter-jets,
missiles and onions compared to India, even though its GDP-PPP wise it may not be powerful as India.
Even China can buy more stuff internationally than we can, because our forex reserve is only 270 billion, while Chinese got 1400 billion $!
GDP at PPP gives us only picture of how much stuff we can buy within our country.
GDP at nominal rate ($) gives us bigger-picture of how much stuff we can buy internationally.
Using GDP (nominal), it becomes easier to compare two nations financial strength, by comparing their ability to purchase in international market in
same currency (dollars). The one who has more $$, can purchase more stuff internationally.
So bigger the GDP (Nominal), powerful a country is financially. While in case of GDP(PPP) we cannot say with confidence that bigger the GDP
(PPP) is, powerful a country is financially, because they may be heavily-subsidizing it.
[Economy Q] Purchasing power parity: The case of China and Japan GDP
nforninad asked,
I Came across this article from the HINDU. I could not understand some of the economic terms in them. Can anyone please help out?
For many years before that China had been ahead of Japan only when GDP was measured in purchasing power parity terms. PPP is an indicator
that takes into account relative prices and therefore the command over goods that a dollar of income provides. Since with lower wages and prices,
a dollar in China when converted to RMB delivers more purchasing power, Chinese GDP measured in PPP dollars is significantly higher than at
official exchange rates. Hence, becoming the worlds second largest economy at official exchange rates does mark an important transition.
Answer:
First the Purchasing Power Parity part:
Suppose youre earning 25,000 Rs. per month in India and Im earning 1000$ in USA. How can we measure whos getting better salary? who is
happy?
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Weve to see how much stuff can you buy from the given income?
Suppose, Price of one burger in USA is 10$, I can only buy 100 burgers a month.
While its Rs.25 in India, you can buy 1000 burgers a month!
In this way youre in better position than Im, because you can buy more food!
Same way weve to calculate not just burger but overall monthly food bill, house rent, electricity, telephone, petrol etc. to measure who can buy
more stuff in the given salary.
This is purchasing power parity.
Tech-definition
PPP is an economic technique used to determine the relative values of two currencies by comparing costs of the identical products and services in
different countries.
It is useful because often the amount of goods a currency can purchase within two nations varies drastically.
If we only use official exchange rate of 1$=40 Rs.
then my salary in USA is Rs. 40,000, while yours in India is only 25,000.
In that way my position is better than you according to official exchange rate.
In case of China and Japan, as you know China is a communist Government, so food-petrol etc. prices will be strictly controlled by the Government
along with lots of subsidies and benefits. While Japan is a liberal democratic country so market forces of supply and demand decide the prices of
everything from food, petrol to fertilizers and movie tickets.
So obviously food, petrol and stuff will be cheaper in China compared to Japan.
So for the given salary a Chinese man can buy more stuff in China, compared to the stuff a Japanese can buy with his salary, just like the same way
you can buy more burgers in India than I can in America.
Thats why China had been ahead of Japan only when GDP was measured in purchasing power parity terms.
When GDP is measured in absolute official exchange rate (in simple terms how much money the country has irrespective of the amount of stuff it
can buy using all that money)
This is GDP @ official exchange rate.
Earlier Japan was ahead of China in this race. But now Now China is ahead of Japan even in this race, means it has got more $$ than Japan=
China is exporting more and Chinese economy is booming more than Japans.
Main reason:
China keeps its yuan undervalued, hence its exports are cheaper than Japan or Indias.
Economy] ADR and GDR Meaning and Use
Question from a reader: What is ADR and GDR?
Answer:
American Depositary Receipt (ADR)
ADR is method of trading non-U.S. stocks on U.S. exchanges
Suppose, Indian Co. wants to raise money from America, by issuing shares in American stock exchange.
But then Indian co. will have to maintain accounts according to American standards.
To prevent this problem, Indian company gives its shares to American bank.
American bank gives that Indian company receipts (called ADR) in return of those shares. Then Indian Co. can trade those ADR receipts in
American share market, to raise money.
Global Depository Receipts (GDR)
Serve as same function like GDR, but on Global scale, it helps the countries from third world, to raise money from the stock exchanges in
developed countries.
Several international banks issue GDRs, such as JPMorgan, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, Bank of New York.
Normally 1 GDR = 10 Shares, but not always.
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[Economy] CDS : Credit Default Swaps Meaning Explained
CDS = Credit default Swaps. In simplest form Its buying insurance against a default. For example:
Im a banker, gave car-loans to dude, but Im afraid he might not pay back the full money.
So Ill goto some other Bank X who sells Credit default Swaps (CDS).
Ive to pay regular premium Bank X,
but if someday that dudes default on his car-payment, Bank X will pay me the money.
In a CDS transaction, the protection buyer does not suffer a loss when reference entity defaults.
These CDS bonds, once issues, can be sold and bought like any other bond or security.
i.e. Bank X sells my CDS to Bank Y. So now Bank Y gets my premium but in case of default by that Dude, Bank Y is supposed to pay me.
In Jan 2013, RBI updated the CDS guidelines. As per the revised guidelines-now, CDS will be permitted also on
1.
securities with original maturity up to one year like Commercial Papers, Certificates of Deposit and non-convertible debentures
2.
3.
1.
CDS, as a risk management product, offers the participants the opportunity to hive off credit risk.
2.
such products would increase investors confidence in corporate bonds (because they can transfer risk)
3.
Yield spread is the difference between profit you can make in two different types of investment.
Why do we need to calculate Yield spread?
Before coming to the purpose of calculating yield spread, lets go in a different direction.
When you buy a Government bond, you can be certain that youll be paid in full, after the maturity and theyll not run away. So in this case risk is
very low, hence they sell like hot-cakes. Thats why theyre called Gilt edged securities
When risk is low, it doesnt carry much profit.
But some junk company is issuing bonds, no one has ever heard of them.
So their bonds carry high-risk of default, hence people wont be interested in buying it as such.So,The company will offer extra-high return (profit) on
their bonds, to attract people.
In short : Higher return is offered when Risk is HIGH.
Scene 1: Year 2010
For every 100 rs. Invested in Government bond, you get Rs.5 return after 1 year.
For every 100 Rs. Invested in the junk bond, youre offered Rs.13 return after 1 year.
So yield spread = (13% minus 5%) = 8%
Scene 2: Year 2011
Government bonds return remains the same but now that junk bond company is offering you 20% return.
So Yield spread = (20% minus 5%)=15%
In one year, the yield spread has widened from 8% to 15%.
As we saw above, Higher the risk, higher return is offered.
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So, market is forecasting a greater risk of default which implies a slowing economy.
A narrowing of spreads (between bonds of different risk ratings) implies that the market is factoring in less risk (due to an expanding economy).
Economy] M1,M2,M3,M4 : Money Stock Measure Meaning
What is all this M1,M2,M3,M4?
As we saw earlier, RBI controls the money supply by changing its CRR, Repo etc rates. (thus controls inflation) thats called Monetary
Policy
But for that, RBI needs to measure how much money is there in the market (=liquidity) ? they know it via these M1-M4.
Side note Govt. controls economy via changing Tax rates- thats called Fiscal Policy
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Now see this chart
PS: sorry for the watermark, although my current id is not mrunalpatel.co.nr but mrunal.org.
Who calculates M1-M4?
RBI since 1970-71
What are the other names of this?
1.
2.
Yes there was YB Reddy Group 1997-98 and on their recommendations- following steps were taken.
Financial Sector Survey every 3 Months
4 New measures :M0-M3
3 Types Liquidity
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What is all Hot money, soft money, hard currency etc?
Thats Types of Currencies -See this chart
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Examples of credit crunch
1. In America, banks were giving housing loans to any swinging dude, without checking his credit-worthiness (like can he really pay back the loan or
not?). This lead to mass-defaults after few years. Now bank managers are very cautious and before processing your loan application, theyll check it
17 times! this is also a sort of credit crunch because you cant get loans that easily, like you used to get, before the recession.
2. In 3G auction spectrum, telecom companies took 70,000 cr. from Indian Banks to bid in the auction. = lot of money flew out of the system. So for
a time being, banks have less money to give as loans to other customers = Credit crunch. (although that didnot happen) but suppose Mukesh
Ambani had called up a bank asking for 50000 cr. loan for acquiring a foreign company next morning, Bank manager might have said Sir, sorry we
dont have no money!
Implications of Credit Crunch
Credit crunch is not good for economy, because
1.
A businessman wants to start new factory, but cannot get loans easily = slowdown in economy.
2.
A couple wants to buy home, but cant get home-loan easily = slowdown in real-estate sector.
3.
A college kids wants a new bike, but his dad cant get loan easily = slowdown in automobile sector, but also good from climate-change
angle. as people will be forced to use public transport system ;-)
If such credit crunch continues for a long time, itll lead to job-losses, factories shutting down and finally recession.
But sometimes credit crunch is a necessary evil, when there is too much liquidity (money) in the market.
Too much liquidity = too much money = easy to get loans = people have more money in their hands compared to the items available for purchase =
hyper-inflation.
From the previous post about CRR & SLR, we can also say that an (Excessive) increase in CRR and SLR will lead to Credit crunch.
[Economy] What is Insider Trading?
Question: Recently got a news Reliance is accused of insider trading!! Can U tell me what is insider trading??
Answer:
Insiders (employees and board members) have advance knowledge of Companys accounts, secrets, financial statements, future plans of merger &
acquistions etc. They can benefit from this Inside information to trade and make profit in the share-market.
if the CEO of Company A learned (prior to a public announcement) that Company A will be taken over, and bought shares in Company A knowing
that the share price would likely rise. In this case he made profit, only because he knew the inside information.
Insider trading is an offence punishable under the SEBI Act of 1992.
The penalty Insider trading is Rs 25 crore or three times the gain whichever is higher.
Reliance Petroleum (RPL) was set up to build a refinery in Jamnagar, no longer exists and has been merged with RIL.
In Nov.2007, RIL sold about 4% of Reliance Petroleums equity for Rs 4,023 crore.
According to SEBI findings, the sellers had same registered address and phone numbers as RIL in Mumbai and Jamnagar; had opened their
accounts with the brokers on the same day; share a common email address; and had received margin financing from two other companies
promoted by Ambani Navi Mumbai SEZ Pvt. Ltd and Mumbai SEZ Pvt. Ltd.
Sebis alleges that the company which controlled the agents dealing on its behalf knew that it intended to sell shares in the cash segment
when it transacted in the futures segment so This amounted to insider trading.
RIL made 500 cr. Rupees profit from these transection. So the possible penalty (if proven) will be 500 x 3 = 1500 cr.
Economy] Currency Devaluation, Dollar to Rupee Exchange Rate Meaning Implications Explained
Introduction
First read the Balance of Payment (BoP) article, to understand this concept better.
Consider this example.
1$ = 50 Rs.
Price of one diamond = 50 Rs.= you can buy only 1 diamond in 1$
Now Suppose, RBI and Govt. of India declares that from now on 1$ will be equal to 100 Rs.
Then ??
1$= 100 Rs= 50+50 = you can buy 2 diamonds in 1$!
So as an American youll import lot more, if the Rupee is devalued.
Devaluation means
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-
Since 1950, India ran continued trade deficits because of the Quota-Licence-inspector raj. (Already explained in LPG article, click me to read.)
Government of India had a budget deficit problem and could not borrow money from abroad or from the private corporate sector.
As a result, the government issued bonds to the RBI, which increased the money supply, leading to inflation.
In 1966, America stopped foreign aid to India (because Americans were friendly to Pakis) and we were fighting Indo-Pak war of 1965. During
this war, Govt.s 25% expenditure was spent in fighting pakis.
All this lead to problems, youve high inflation, you dont have enough money to buy crude oil. And you cant print more money to buy crude oil
(click me to know why) ,
so what will you do? Youve to boost your exports to earn from $$. And for that youve to reduce the value of your Rs.
1$= 50 Rs. =this is exchange rate, but who exactly determines this?
In 1991, India still had a fixed exchange rate system, where the rupee was pegged to the value of a basket of currencies of major trading
partners. (= Central Govt. + RBI deciding 1$ = will be equal to how many rupees?)
But then they had to liberalize and Nowadays, its the market forces of Supply and demand who will decide the Exchange rate. = its the
players @ Foreign Exchange market.
What is foreign exchange market (forex, FX, or currency market)
The foreign exchange market allows businesses to convert one currency to another.
For example, youve a factory in Noida to make bikes, you sell these bikes in India = you earn in Rupees. But the engines of those bikes are
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imported from America, so youve to pay in Dollars to that American supplier. So how will you get dollars? Simple, go to the Forex Market, give you
rupees and buy the dollars. Here the supply and demand rules will decide the value of 1$= How many rupees.
Its almost same like vegetable market, today it can be 10 Rs. Per kg potato, tomorrow it might go 20 Rs. /kg, depending on demand and supply.
Consider this talk @ Forex Market
Rupeeguy: hey man! take this 50 Rs. And give me 1 dollar.
$ guy: dude, weve only few dollars, and I know youve plenty of Liquidity In India, your economy is booming and you people are earning lot of
money. so give me 100 Rs. Otherwise Ill not sell. (=$ supply is low)
Rs.Guy: damn it, anyways I need to pay $$ do my American supplier so here take this 100 Rs. And give me 1$. (=$ demand is high)
=Rs. Is devalued
Let see another deal.
Suppose American banks pay 18% interest rate on your deposit. And Indian Banks are giving only 7% interest per year on your deposit. Then? If
youre a big player, you want to put your money in American banks. but theyll accept only dollars. So what will you do? You go to the Forex Market
to get your Rupees converted into Dollars. But After a few days, there will be huge rush to buy Dollars. So value of Rs. Will decrease.
Rs.guy = hey man take this 50 Rs. Give me 1 $
$ Guy= I know you want to put that dollar in American bank to earn high interest! Ive plenty of people offering me more than 100 Rs. To get 1 Dollar,
so you better give me 100 Rs. Or get lost from here.
Rs. Guy= Ok I agree.
(= rupee is devalued)
3rd deal
There is economic boom in India. If you start a mobile phone factory in Noida, then you can make a mobile only for 500 Rs and sell it for 1000 Rs. =
100% profit.
Now youre a Rich American, and American banks are giving you only 18% interest rate for your deposits. = youre earning only 18% profit, so You
want to invest your money in setting up Mobile phone factory in India. (= Foreign direct investment/FDI) but for that youve to buy land, cement,
labors and theyll accept payments in only Rupees. So youll go to Forex market, to get your Dollars converted into Rupees.
$ Guy= take this 1$ and gimme 100 Rs.
Rs.Guy= I know youre going to invest it in India and get 100% profit, plenty of Americans like you are offering me Dollars. So give me 2$ and Ill
give you 100 Rs. Otherwise get lost from here.
$ Guy= well that still better than parking my $$ in American banks and earn only 18% interest. so ok, I accept, here are 2$, give me 100 Rs. [1$=50
Rs.]
(=Rs. Is revalued)
However things are not this straightforward in real life deals.
Many factors including rumors, Govt. policies, Tax rates, speculative purchase etc. will shift the trends in currency trading, just like your
sharemarket.
RBI and Central Govt. will not intervene in minor fluctuations. Theyll let the market forces of supply and demand decide the exchange rates and
play their games. But if there is major problem, then RBI & Central Govt. will intervene to stop the heavy fluctuations.
Weapons of RBI to control Exchange Rate
Monetary policy
For example,
IF there is plenty of liquidity in Indian market. (= lot of Rs. In circulation) thus, within India youll not get good interest rates from bank and not high
profit from your investment so you want to park your Rs. Abroad. = supply is more= Value of Rs. Will go down. Hence 1$ =100 Rs.
So RBI will step in and change the CRR,Repo,Reverse Repo, Bank rates etc. to suck up the extra liquidity in market. And value of Rs. Will go up.
Thus 1$ becomes 50 Rs.
FERA & FEMA
If there is too much dollars in Indian Market or if there is too less Rupees in Indian market, then Exchange Rates will change. (based on supplyDemand principles).
If there are fluctuations like today 1$= 49 Rs. And after 15 days, 1$=47 Rs. This is normal healthy fluctuation but if there is sudden drastic change
like in 15 days, 1$=100 Rs. that means bad guys are not playing by the rules. So to prevent such things, weve certain Laws.
Foreign Exchange Regulation Act of 1973 (FERA) (repealed in 2000.)
Foreign Exchange Management Act (FEMA),1999
By these acts, RBI is empowered to oversee and control the forex markets within india.
And the Enforcement Directorate (ED) get the power to investigate and prevent leakage of foreign exchange which generally occurs through the
following malpractices :
Remittances of Indians abroad otherwise than through normal banking channels, i.e. through compensatory payments. (eg Many Indian living
abroad send money to their wives and relatievs via Hawala)
Acquisition of foreign currency illegally by person in India. (for example, Ashwarya Rai faced inquiry from the Customs department, which has
stumbled upon a mysterious postal parcel addressed to her containing 65,000 euros (Rs.3.7 million) in cash. In another case The ED found
evidence of alleged 50 Lakh hawala payments by a Dubai event manager to Ash, and others. (refer CNN-IBN)
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Under-invoicing of exports and over-invoicing of imports and any other type of invoice manipulation.
In the period 20002007, the Rupee stopped declining and stabilized ranging between 1 $ = 4448 Rs..
In 2007, it was 1$ = 39 Rs. , on sustained foreign investment flows into the country .
This posed problems for major exporters and BPO firms located in the country.
The trend has reversed lately with the 2008 financial crisis.
Table: Value of 1 Dollar to Rs.
(just to reference, you dont have to remember every value in it.)
1970= 7.576
1975= 8.409
1980= 7.887
1985= 12.369
1990= 17.504
1995= 32.427
2000= 45.000
2006= 48.336
So ultimately, youll have to import huge quantity of crude oil to run a war, and your foreign exchange reserve (whatever dollars or gold youve
in RBI) = will be reduced.
And you cant print more money to buy oil from middle east. (read my BoP article to know why?) + if the United Nations intervenes, then theyll
place trade and arms embargo on us (= quantitative restrictions on your oil imports)
As you know weve only 270 Billion $, while China got 1400 Billion $ in their forex, so ultimately our pockets will get empty before their pockets
go empty,
And there will be no diesel in our tanks and fighter planes and theyll win the war.
Same is the reason why well win against Pakis in a traditional war.
China-America War
Lets assume China and America go to war against each other. (again assuming nobody intervenes, and nobody uses nuke missles.)
Both have got plenty of money so buying Oil is not a problem for them.
But China has 1400 Billion Dollars in their Forex reseve.
Suppose it sends all those dollars in American market, then?
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Suppose China buys plenty of cars, food, etc from American market using the same American Dollars?
Too much liquidity in America= everyone has more $$ in pocket than the physical products available in the market. = heavy inflation =1 potato
will sell in 1000 $
So American economy will collapse. And ultimately theyll have to declare a ceasefire.
Infact China doesnt even have to go on a traditional war, all they need to do is just flood American market with Dollars without firing a bullet and let
the economy of America collapse. Americans will automatically accept their defeat. Same case, for China vs. France / Russia / Britain/ Canada or
any other 1st world nation.
Thus, having a big Foreign Exchange reserve makes China a nation, feared and respected by the Western World compared to India.
Low Forex Reserves, is one of the many reasons why India is not getting a permanent seat in UN Security council.
Role of Forex Reserve in Foreign Policy
When youve plenty of Forex, you can give loans or Donations to poor nations in Africa, and then theyll support your every resolution and
policy in United Nations General Assembly! Theyll even support your permanent seat in security council (UNSC)
China is buying lot agriculture land in poor African nations & in that land, theyre growing Maize and other crops to produce bio-dieasel. =
again China doesnt have to worry about Crude oil like India. (=getting powerful for war)
You can buy latest fighter jets, missiles, bombs, machine guns from France and America. (=again getting powerful for war)
And finally, you can use that Forex reserve to import pulses, sugar, wheat etc. to control food prices with in your domestic market.
For latest on this issue, click me to see the archive of all economy articles written by me so far
Economy] WTO Doha Made Easy for UPSC and MBA Group Discussion Interviews
1.
Tariff barriers
2.
Non-Tariff barriers
3.
4.
Why agreements?
5.
Annex
6.
#1 Annex : GATT
7.
8.
#3 : TRIPS
9.
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21. items for new negotiations in Doha
22. What was Indias Problem in Doha?
23. Criticism of WTO
24. Timeline Evolution of WTO
Tariff barriers
When Indian Govt. puts heavy import duty / custom duty on Foreign Products either that import item becomes very costly so people will
buy desi* items. (and there will be smuggling of foreign items! Like Gold watches/ perfumes etc in the 80s.) *Desi= domestic / indian
This protects domestic players. (= industrialists/ businessmen.) from competition from foreign players.
Non-Tariff barriers
When Desi players are given subsidies / preference over the foreign players by Govt. of India.
For example,
when Govt. is buying some phones/ Xerox Machines, in the tender itll mention that only Domestic companies can fill the
tender.
making polices in such a way that its hard for foreign player to start factory / introduce his product in India
Intentionally setting the Quality standards so high that certain players cant sell their products here.
Here no tariff (=tax/money) is involved but still there is a barrier for foreign players. Thats why its called Non-Tariff barrier.
what was happening before WTO?
Nations would put heavy custom duties on foriegn items. (to protect the domestic / Swadeshi industries)- this is called protectionism /
Tarrif Barriers
When there is less competition products will be expansive & customer wont have much choice. for Example.. compare-
features of current mobiles with 1999 (was there any MP3, radio,Camera, Color Screen etc features, if yes- how expensive was it!)
talk-time plans (in 1999 it was about 7 Rs./minute + incoming wasnt free, now its around 50 Paisa / minute + Free incoming/)
Today we have this fun, because of globalization + import of foreign products & Govt. doesnt put high custom / import tax on it. (no high tarrif
barriers)
So, The Primary objective of WTO is to remove the tarrif barriers / Custom duties. = integrate all nations in international economy.
For this, WTO will consult with all member-nations, and will make legally binding agreements.
Why agreements?
there are total 19 Agreements in WTO, but most imp. are 3. (ill explain it later in this article.)
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these agreements talk about what is compulsory & what is non-compulsory for each nation.
And what will be the penalties if a nation doesnt follow these agreements.
Every Agreement has an Annex- in that youll find the detailed provisions & items included in the agreements.
The Secretariat of WTO keeps an eye on every nation seeing whether agreements are followed or not.
But there will be some bad-nations who wont play by the rules & try to cheat such agreements. So second objective of WTO is Dispute
Resolution
thats like an international civil court.
Now see the 3 most imp agreements of WTO. See this chart
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Now another mimp annex of GATT is, SCM = subsidies & counter veiling measures (=the Red, Green & Amber list) see this chart-
Apart from this, shipment inspection and anti-dumping are also included in GATT annex.
#2 : Annex of GATS (services)
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#3 : TRIPS
like I said ago, TRIPS doesnt have any annex!
But TRIPS is very imp agreement in todays world full of technologies-so lets see whats it about t.
TRIPS =Trade related intellectual property rights
Its one of the agreement between WTO member nations.
TRIPS doesnt have any annexes.
What is TRIPS all about?
In short, under TRIPS agreement, every member-nation has to make laws and tough punishments for anyone who breaks / copies other
peoples copyright / patent etc.
Why TRIPS is imp?
otherwise, there will be wide spread piracy & then Inventors of 1st world wont invest / come in 3rd world market.
there are certain items whose actual price cant be counted based on physical material used in it (e.g. Books are not sold based on
number of pages/ cost of paper but content & fame of author.) so we cant apply GATT (which is for physical goods ) and Book is not a
service either (so cant apply GATS)
but retail price of one tablet of that drug would be about 5 Rs.
here, if the patent / copyright wasnt protected, then inventors will not invest in R&D.& then world will be deprived of better products.
like Darjiling tea- only the tea made in Darjiling can be sold as Darjiling tea
otherwise, Britishers would also sell their tea claiming it to be Darjiling variety and then our tea makers will face unfair compitition.
Indias Problem with GI
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it came in force from 1st January 1995. and according to its provision
developing nations (like India) have to make such laws within 5 years.
Least Developing countries (like Zimbabway/ Somalia) were given time limit upto 11 years (=2006) , but now the time is extended upto
2016 for pharmaceutical patent laws.
Apart from above 3 agreements (GATT, GATS, TRIPS) other 3 imp agreements are-(see this diagram)
What is the Use of these agreements? / What are the trading principles in WTO?
Without Discrimination
a.
b.
c.
So, if India grants a special favor to one nation India will have to give that special favor to all member-nations of WTO.
d.
India will have to treat locals & foreign players equally. (e.g. you cant have a system like Local businessmans file will be cleared first or
local man will be given preference in contract / tenders/ 3G frequency allocation.)
2.
3.
A nation can impose high import duty/ prevent entry of goods from a nation thats doing unfair trade practices (like dumping* / Products
dangerous to health**)
4.
But there are strict conditions in WTO, before you can do above things.
a.
*Dumping =China intentionally sends extremely cheap toys in india, so Indian toy makers collapse and toy market in India is
captured by China.
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b.
** Products dangerous to health like Chinas milk powder which had melamine.
Freer Trade (bringing down barriers in international trade)
custom duties
Quota
subsidies
red tape
like China intentionally keeps the value of Yuan low, so Americans will find it cheap to buy from China compared to other
nations.)
Predictability
When there are legally binding agreements between member nations of WTO- it means, even after change in Govt. (BJP / Congress /
whatever) the Indian policy of international trades wont alter very much.
Equal treatment to Local players & foreign players. (=open access to markets)
binding commitments (WTO keeps an eye on each nation so Govt. cant cheat. And if you cheat- youll have to pay fines.)
Everything in GATT used to work in a manner thatd suit the rich nations.
so WTO is better than GATT?
WTO dispute resolution is quicker than GATT (disputes have to be solved within 18 months)
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but in WTO, bad nation has to pay high penalties for not following the rules.
GATT talked only about goods (physical products) . WTO talks about services (phone lines, BPO) & Intellectual property rights, along with
those goods.
In WTO, every nation has one vote only. Unlike IMF where rich nations have more voting powers.
India & WTO
first lets see what positive things happened then we talk of Doha Rounds and finally about Whats Indias problem in Doha rounds.
What did India Gain from WTO?
1.
India got boom in exports because WTO gradually lowered Barriers internationally.
2.
3.
right now Indias exports are worth more than $100 billion
4.
India won multilateral dispute settlement against such powerful economies as USA
5.
because of TRIPS, India had to adopt international standards in Intellectual property rights.=
technology.
6.
(because Foreigners established research labs/ manufacturing units in India & started selling their products here.)
7.
Textiles boom (because MFA = Multilateral Fiber Agreement was scrapped under WTOs ATC=Agreement on Texttile clothings.)
otherwise previously UK and other nation had put quantitative limits on Indian Cottons Entry in their market.
DOHA
what is DOHA?
Doha is capital city of a small nation called Qatar.
4th Ministerial conference of WTO was held in that city in Nov.2001.
and they (member nations) started talking about some new agreements & issues- and the talks continued.. so this entire package is called Doha
round of talks. aka DDA = Doha Development agenda.
Fifth Ministerial Conference was held in Cancun, Mexico in September 2003.
What were they talking in Doha?
Developing nations were complaining that theyre facing difficulties in implementing WTO agreements.
so concessions were given to them.
1.
2.
SPS annex added under GATT (hope you saw the previous diagram of GATT annex)
i.
a.
ii.
b.
iii.
c.
now it was relaxed- and agreement changed saying that Laws should be made which supports existing medicines and public
health interest at large.
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items for new negotiations in Doha
1.
2.
3.
Fisheries subsidies =they harm environment, by encouraging too many fishermen to chase insufficient fish
the Doha conference failed because it ended with out any consensus.
First world blames India to be the main villain for failure of Doha talks.
What was Indias Problem in Doha?
SSM=special safeguard mechanism
its a measure designed to protect poor farmers by allowing countries to impose a special tariff on certain agricultural goods in the event of
an import surge or price fall
For example, if USA sends so much cheap corn to India, that price of Corn become 50 paisa per kg. then India can put tariff barrier (=
increase import duty on American Corn) so that prices become high again.
otherwise, no one would by Indian Corn, and our farmers will starve.
United States arguing that the threshold had been set too low.
(e.g. if it was decided that if price fall to 5 Rs. / kg corn, then India could do this. but US wants that India shouldnt be allowed to act,
unless price of corn falls very low, something like 50 paisa / kg.!)
Apart from this, India has insisted on a large number of special products that would not be exposed to wider market opening
Like I said ago, more mobile companies are good. Because it increases employment. (you can be a representative of some mobile co. or if youve
retail store, you can sell pre-paid cards etc. or you can start your own mobile repair shop and so on)
But same is not true about agriculture sector, since 70% of Indias population depends on one way or another with the agriculture sector. So if
cheap foreign items are allowed, then itll create huge problem for their employment. Its easy for each American farmer to produce tonnes of grain
(and sell his produce cheap), because every farmer has huge farms, latest machinery, fertilizers & great seeds+ continuous water supply + subsidy.
But same is not true in India.
However the problem of food-price inflation should also be taken into account. (= read editorials, youll face such topics in mains / essay.)
More trouble for India
NAMA= Non-agricultural market access negotiations
European Union has threatened to approach the World Trade Organisation (WTO) again if India does not remove the inter-state tariff disparities.
We want India to get rid of its taxes on wines and spirits in different states to allow easier access to European wines, failing which we will approach
the WTO again,
Criticism of WTO
Mostly comes from environment activities.
1.
2.
But these MNCs sometimes are involved in bad things. Eg. They pay huge bribes to Burmas military regime for operating the
gas lines, nickel mines etc. and employ forced laborers in it.
The infrastructure boom because of WTO (more foreign companies making factories in India) leads to habitat / bio-diversity loss &
pollution etc.
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3.
Its hard to put barriers on imported items, thus the domestic industries face tough competition which sometimes ruins them. (e.g. its not
possible for Indian Toy maker to compete with Chinese toys in retail price.) and yet not much the Indian Govt. can do. If they put some
ban on it, then China will go to WTO, and WTO will impose heavy fines on India.
4.
3rd world has to open its market for first world product without much benefit in the reverse process. (=3rd worlds products lag in race in
1st worlds market.)
5.
e.g. as you know in colonial era, when India was under British Rule, if we exported our Indian Textiles to Britain, theyd put huge import
tax on it. Thus our cloths would become very expensive in their market. So Britishers would only buy locally made cloths from
Manchester. This sort of protectionism in old times (almost upto 1995) = their companies made lot of profit during that era & had lot profit
invested in Research and technology, so currently their products will be technically and in quality far superior than ours. So even if there
is no barrier today, British people will buy their product and not ours. This argument runs on the same line like of climate change. America
allowed its factories to pollute the atmosphere and thus became a developed nation but now, it wants the developing nations to stop
polluting the world & cut their emissions!
Timeline Evolution of WTO
1944
2.
3.
4.
Pulses Cultivation
5.
6.
7.
Conclusion
8.
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See this chart
We grow plenty of rice and wheat. (Cereals). Their supply or price is not the main reason for food-inflation.
But the problem is with supply of fruits, veggies, pulses (Daal) and milk. These are called Non-cereals and theyre mainly responsible for
food inflation.
Now the million dollar question:
If the fruits, veggies, pulses (=non-cereals) are expensive than rice or wheat (cererals), then why arent the farmers growing more of these fruits,
veggies and pulses to earn more money?
Reasons for Low Non-cereal output
Pulses Cultivation
1.
Pulses are fundamentally different from cereals since they need nutrients and energy for synthesising both proteins and carbohydrates
unlike cereals that need to synthesise only carbohydrates.
2.
This makes them more vulnerable to the vagaries of weather than either rice or wheat and thus riskier to cultivate. This risk would have
been mitigated if farmers had better marketing and price support. But unlike cereals where there is a procurement price system run by the
government that offers a minimum support price and private trade that has developed alongside, this is not true of pulses.
3.
Although Government is running lots of schemes to enhance the pulses and oilseed production, but its not showing enough result.
4.
Though the government declares a minimum support price for most pulses, procurement operations are far less effective than those for
cereals. Thus farmers could see a complete collapse in prices if the crop is good. The lack of a robust marketing network also implies that
in periods of deficit, when retail prices actually pick up, farm gate prices remain subdued.
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Present Situation: Pulses
In the major pulses-producing states (MP, Rajasthan, Maharashtra and UP), cultivation has been pushed to marginal, non-irrigated land.
Farmers have also been reluctant to invest in fertilisers and other nutrients or experiment with high-yielding but more expensive varieties
of pulses. As a consequence, yields have stagnated. From about 590 kg/hectare in the 1990s, the average yield for pulses (averaged
across major categories) has risen to barely 600 kg/hectare in the 2000s.
The average annual growth rate in the output of pulses is less than 1 per cent. This is alarming since pulses are the major source of
proteins for Indians and the population growth is about 2 per cent.
Solution: Pulses
Marketing apparatus for items such as pulses and vegetables has to be revamped so that producers are assured
both of a minimum return on production and a share in higher revenues when prices move up.
We need to work on developing varieties with shorter cropping cycles so that they can be grown on the same land
as wheat or rice without affecting their cropping cycles. This kind of multi-cropping could reduce farmers risks
substantially, while simultaneously boosting the output of pulses. There has been limited success with this in the
case of chana and mung.
Agricultural Price Commission Chairman Ashok Gulati has suggested the possibility of entering into long-term
production contracts for pulses with countries like Tanzania, which have fallow land and weather and soil conditions
conducive to cultivating pulses. This will enable us to bridge the domestic supply gap but with some certainty about
import prices.
Absence of a cold chain and an inadequate food processing industry. Given these risks, farmers are reluctant to follow price signals and
commit more land to these items instead of cereals.
Post-harvest waste of fruits and vegetables is as high as 50 per cent, and higher output simply translates into higher levels of wastage
and a collapse in farm-gate prices.
Solution
A thriving food-processing industry could have provided producers an assured market and relative price stability. But that, alas, is not the
case since food processing is confined to only about 2-3 per cent of fruit and vegetable output.
we need huge investments both in food processing and in supply chain for perishables itesm (i.e. the food items that cannot be stored
forever, unlike gold).
Whether this investment could come through higher foreign investment or greater domestic resources is for our policymakers to figure
out.
For fruits, vegetables and milk we need large corporate participation in the post-harvest supply chain. This would break the current
monopoly of private traders, reduce the tiers of intermediation and ultimately ensure a better farm gate price for the cultivator.
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India is the largest milk producer in the world with an annual output of 9.6 million tonnes.
The per capita consumption is higher than the minimum consumption norms prescribed by the WHO.
However, these aggregates are shored up by the success of the cooperative movement in Gujarat (NDDB or Amul),
which began in the 1970s, and a handful of cooperatives in other states.
A number of states are severely deficit in milk. The result again is sustained high prices of milk and its impact on
food inflation.
Solution : Milk
We need an Amul in every state, providing procurement and marketing support to millions of milk-producers who are now outside any
safety net.
Conclusion
We need to de-risk the cultivation of critical items that are in short supply. This would ensure that the farmers are willing and able to use better
inputs. The problem of food inflation will vanish by itself.
Mock Questions for UPSC GS (Mains)
1.
Discuss the reasons behind Food inflation in India and suggest remedies
2.
List the steps taken by Government, to promote the cultivation of Pulses and Oilseeds.
3.
Government has foodgrain stocks about 80 million tonnes, large part of this is rotting because of the lack of storage facilities. We are literally sitting
on a mountain of grain that we can export and then use it to fund imports of deficit items (example crude oil)
Ref
1.
2.
Past few weeks, media is talking about Greeces possible exit from Eurozone and its impact on India.
Before going into Greeces possible Exit from EU, lets once again start from the beginning.
1.
228
2.
3.
TimeLine of Events
o
January 2010
4.
5.
Meltdown
Businesshouses go Bankrupt
Recession in Europe
6.
7.
Obviously by putting direct and indirect taxes on your and me. But even after taxing us, there is not enough money to run any bogus
Government schemes, then what can they do? Thatll give the answer for
What is Sovereign Debt?
Sovereign debt is the money a government borrows from its own citizens or from investors around the world.
Then what is Sovereign Debt Crisis?
When Government doesnt have the aukaat to pay back the Sovereign Debt, it called Sovereign Debt Crisis.
What is a government bond?
In return for the investor's cash, the government promises to pay a fixed rate of interest over a specific period say 4% every year for 10
years.
At the end of the period, the investor is repaid the cash they originally paid, cancelling that particular bit of government debt.
Government bonds have traditionally been seen as ultra-safe long-term investments (aka Gilt Edged Securities) and are held by
insurance companies and banks, as well as private investors. They are a vital way for countries to raise funds.
What is a bond market?
229
Once a bond has been issued and the government has the cash the investor can hold the bond and collect the interest every year
until it is repaid. But investors can also buy and sell bonds that have already been issued on the financial markets just like buying and
selling shares on the stock market.
The price of the bond will rise and fall according to speculation and analysis by experts.
For example, you bought a Government of India bond. It says Rs.100 / 4% / 2014.
That is, you paid the MRP Rs.100 to Indian Government, and every year theyll pay you 4% of the Rs.100 until 2014. And on 2014, theyll also
repay you the entire Principal of Rs.100
Suppose things go nice and smooth until 2012. But Then
a.
There is heavy inflation, you cant buy even peppermint for Rs.4 and or
b.
There is a rumor that Government will default and its payment and wont repay you any money.
In either case, you want to Exit from game before its too late. You want to sell the bond to another person and recover whatever money possible
and reinvest that money in something even safer and more profitable, for example starting your own Saas-bahu serial. It doesnt require lot of brain
or money (*if you ask the actresses to bring their own makeup, expensive sarees and jewellary), and still you get to earn plenty of ad-revenue from
anti-aging and skin whitening creams.
So, you come to sell this bond to me. But I also read the newspapers (except The Hindu), so I know things are not good with Indian Government or
economy, so I wont pay you Rs.100 but only Rs.90 for your bond. Youre not in a position to negotiate, youre panicked, you just want to exit from
this game and you fear that if you continue to hold this bond, 15 days from now, people wont even pay you Rs.50 for it.
Thus I buy the Bond worth Oringally MRP of Rs.100, for Rs.90 from you.
Question.
why would I do that? Why would I buy a not so good-looking bond from you?
Two reasons
1.
My profit is more than yours! How? Because, You invested Rs.100 and get Rs.4 every year, so your profit (technically known as Bondyield) is (4/100) x 100 = 4%.
1.
2.
While I invested Rs.90 and get Rs.4 every year, so my profit (Yield) is (4/90) x 100 =4.44% which is better than your 4%
yield.
I may be speculating that after a month or two, the situation with Indian economy / Inflation / Government will improve and then I would be
able to buy a peppermint for Rs.4
Why do bond markets matter?
1.
2.
When a government wants to raise new money, it issues new bonds, and has to pay an interest rate on those bonds that is acceptable to
the market.
3.
The yield (profit) at which the market is buying and selling a government's existing bonds gives a good indication of how much interest the
government would have to pay if it wanted to issue new bonds.
4.
So, for example, Spanish 10-year bond yields have risen above 6% in recent years. That means that if the Spanish government wants to
borrow new money from the bond market for 10 years, it would have to pay an interest rate on the new bond of more than 6% to seduce
the buyers.
Borrowing beyond the Aukaat
Governments can just go on print Bonds on their HP printers and sell it to junta, because money doesnt fall from sky. Someone someday will have
to pay for it. If they dont, then the Bond Yield will increase and a point will come when you (Government) have to offer 36% interest rate on fresh
bonds to seduce new investors. Therefore, Governments, put limit on their own borrowing. In India weve a thing called FRBM (Fiscal responsibility
and budget Management).
For Europen Union, back in 1997 when they were forming the gang, they had decided that each gang-member (country) will not borrow beyond 3%
of its GDP per year.
But Government of Greece manipulated** its account-books to appear as if they were staying within the 3% limit, but actually they had been
borrowing much above their Aukaat almost 13% of their GDP.
**(might have taken coaching from Ramalinga Raju!)
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Why is Greece such a messed up Economy?
Ill copy paste the answer from Amol Agrawals article.
around 1,2 million people are employed by the Greece Government this includes clerks, teachers, doctors, and priestswhich amounts
to almost 27 percent of the total working population of the country (France24 2010). Thus one out of four working Greeks is employed
wholly or partly in the public sector. More than 80 percent of public expenditure goes to the wages, salaries and pensions of the civil
servants.
Getting a civil service job in Greece is widely perceived as being granted a sinecure and not as a contractual obligation to work. The
resulting inefficiency of the civil service reinforced a system of promotions based on seniority and not on merit or talent. One can only
move up the ladder more quickly if one has good connections with politicians and trade unionists.
This huge bureaucracy just keeps making laws. From 1974 onwards, 100,000 laws were passed around 2857 per year!
Then there are rules limiting competition. You pay a fees to lawyers for everything. You need a degree licence for doing anything in
Greece
In Greece one can find a whole set of laws mandating opening and closing hours of various enterprises, or defining the geographical
proximity where two similar establishments can operate, setting minimal prices for various professional services, issuing licenses and
preventing or limiting competition.
Similar restrictions apply to the operation of drugstores. You are only allowed to own and operate a drugstore in Greece if you hold a
degree in pharmacology. The same applies to opticians. You can only own a shop selling spectacles if you hold a degree in optics!
If you have a business and you want to advertise your brand or product you have to pay an amount equal to 20 percent of the
advertising expenses to the pension funds of the journalists.
Each time you buy a ticket on a boat, 10 percent goes to the pension fund of the harbor workers. A part of the ticket price that covers the
insurance of passengers goes to the sailors social security fund.
If you sell supplies to the Army, you will have to pay 4 percent of the money to the pension funds of the military officers. When you buy
a ticket at a soccer game, 25 percent of the amount goes to the pension funds of the police.
It is estimated that there are more than 1,000 such levies whose total cost amounts, according to some calculations, to over 30 percent
of the countrys GDP
Greece is a society dominated by rent seeking rather than wealth producing activities. The fact that two thirds of the electorate is living
partly or wholly on government hand-outs significantly affects the ideological narratives that are popular in the country.
Concern starts to build about all the heavily indebted countries in Europe Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain (PIGS).
A.Raja could give the loans to save these countries but stupid Indian media gets him arrested, while Mohan continues to loop his repeated tape on
every 15th August speech that Naxalites are the biggest thread to India, while Pranab continues to loop his tape that everything bad with Indian
economy is because of Global Situation.Anyways Fast forward to
February 2012: The Austerity Bill
EU To Greece: Ok well give you the money to pay off your debts, and we call this money Bailout money but youll have to shut down your Air
Indias and MNREGAs and we call it Austerity Measures.
PM of Greece: Whaat an idea sir-ji.
Greece Government introduces the austerity bill in parliament which included following measures
231
1.
2.
liberalisation of labour laws (businessmen can easily hire and fire employees)
3.
Lowering the minimum wage by 20% from 751 euros per month to 600 euros.
So they plan to hold election again on June 2012, and a judge has been appointed to head an interim government in the mean time.
Whats the EU Exit Rumor?
The right wing party: they say we continue in Eurozone, agree to their demand, cut more jobs and public spending for receiving more
bailout money.
2.
The Left Wing Party: they want to renegotiate the loan-terms with EU and IMF and donot want to implement any austerity measures.
Theyd take a hostile stand against EU, although in media they say We want to continue in Eurozone but their agenda and gesture
speaks otherwise.
See this same like Paki PM comes to India and speaks in one tone but when hes back in an election rally in Lahore hed be speaking an a totally
different tone about Kashmir. And there hell say India is not cooperating with us and India is the bad guy.
Experts feared that public of Greece will elect anti-bailout parties that reject the spending cuts (austerity measures) suggested by EU and IMF. So
this newly elected party will try to renegotiate the bailout terms with EU / IMF to such a ridiculous level, that negotiations will break off and then
Greece will exit from EU.
Thankfully for the time being, crisis has been averted as the right wing pro-EU / bailout party has gained the majority.
Whatre the consequences IF Greece Exits Eurozone?
232
Starting Copy paste of BBC Article
Ordinary Greeks may queue up to empty their bank accounts before they get frozen and converted into drachmas that lose half or more
of their value. Depositors in other eurozone countries seen as being at risk of leaving the euro Spain, Italy may also move their money
to the safety of a German bank account, sparking a banking crisis in southern Europe.
Loan Default by Greece
Unable to borrow from anyone (not even other European governments), the Greek government simply runs out of euros. It has to pay
social benefits and civil servants' wages until the new drachma currency can be introduced.
The government stops all repayments on its debts, which include 240bn euros of bailout loans it has already received from the IMF and
EU.
The Greek banks who are big lenders to the government would go bust.
233
Meanwhile, the Greek central bank may be unable to repay the 100bn euros or more it has borrowed from the European Central Bank to
help prop up the Greek banks.
Meltdown
Greece's banks would be facing collapse. People's savings would be frozen. Many businesses would go bankrupt. The cost of imports
which in Greece includes a lot of its food and medicine could double, triple or even quadruple as the new drachma currency is
introduced.
With their banks bust, Greeks would find it impossible to borrow, making it impossible for a while to finance the import of some goods at
all.
One of Greece's biggest industries, tourism, could be disrupted by political and social turmoil (and rioting).
In the longer run, Greece's economy should benefit from having a much more competitive exchange rate. But its underlying problems,
including the government's chronic overspending, may not go away.
Businesshouses go Bankrupt
Greek companies who still owe big debts in euros to foreign lenders, but whose main sources of income are converted to devalued
drachmas, will be unable to repay their debts. Many businesses will be left insolvent their debts worth more than the value of everything
they own and will be facing bankruptcy. Foreign lenders and business partners of Greek companies will be looking at big losses.
Some contracts governed by Greek law are converted into drachmas (=old currency of Greece before Euro), while other foreign law
contracts remain in euros. Many contracts could end up in litigation over whether they should be converted or not.
Sovereign Debt Crisis for Weak Eurozone Nations
If Greece leaves the eurozone, that will send negative impression among the investors all over the world, that Eurozone countries are not
trustworthy, hence theyll not lend to other countries such as Spain or Italy and if they lend, theyll charge heavy interest rate.
This could leave the governments of Spain and Italy short of money and in need of a bailout. These two huge countries together account
for 28% of the eurozone's total economy, but the EU's bailout fund currently doesn't have enough money to help them out.
And as explained earlier, they (Spain and Italy) will have to offer more interest rate on new bonds, because of the Bond Yield problem.
Good for US and Japan
Nervous investors and lenders around the world may start selling off risky investments (i.e. Bonds and Equities coming from Greece and
similar nations) and move their money into safe havens. Theyll instead prefer to park their money in the gilt-edged securities (i.e. the
Government treasury bonds of US, Japan, Germany etc.)
Thus on one hand, the Greece, Spain and Italy will have to pay high interest rate to borrow from market, while US, Japan and Germany
can borrow more cheaply.
Problem for India: Creding Rating agencies are not very happy with Indias performance, theyre unlikely to increase our rating. Meaning,
if Mr.X pulls out his money from Greece or other EU nation, hell most likely put it in US, Japan and Germany but not in India. Because
India is getting negative rantings from Standard and Poors, Moodys etc.
Political Turmoil in Europe
As eurozone governments and the European Central Bank (ECB) face enormous losses on the loans they gave to Greece, public opinion
in Germany may turn against providing the even larger bailouts probably now needed by big countries like Italy and Spain.
The ECB's role of quietly providing rescue loans to these countries in recent months would be exposed and could become politically
explosive, making it harder for the ECB to continue to help these troubled nations.
However, the threat of a meltdown might push Europe's or the eurozone's governments to agree a comprehensive solution either
dissolution of the single currency, or more integration, perhaps through a democratically-elected European presidency tasked with
overseeing a massive round of bank rescues, government guarantees and growth.
Recession in Europe
234
Faced bad news in the press, ordinary people may cut back their own spending. = less demand= could push the eurozone into a deep
recession.
The euro would lose value in the currency markets, providing some relief for the eurozone by making its exports more competitive in
international trade. But the flipside is that the rest of the world will become less competitive especially the US, UK and Japan
undermining their own weak economies.
Even China, whose economy is already slowing sharply, could be pushed into a recession. (Because people in Europe will cut down their
spending = less demand for Chinese goods)
When investors take out their money from Greece, theyll most likely convert it into Dollars and invest it US. Means less supply Dollar in
the international forex market = dollar becomes more expensive, youve to offer more rupees to buy same amount of dollar. 1$ might
become 57Rs. = crude oil expensive = everything becomes more expensive.
Some of above investors may also invest in gold, (After loosing faith in bond market). Again same supply-demand situation. Gold
becomes more expensive.
Investors will become more and more cautious about credit-ratings, they wont dare to invest in places with negative ratings. In a way,
right now India is no better than Greece when it comes to inefficient bureaucracy, PSU and policy paralysis. Thus Indian Companies and
PSUs will have to offer more interest rates under bond yield problem (why? Because RBI is not cutting down the Repo rate) = so profit
margins falls= less production = fall in IIP Index = job cuts= demand falls = fall in GDP. Finally, when GDP growth is negative for two
consecutive quarters or more = the Recession.
Seeing the situation of Greece people (Pension and job cuts), the citizens of other European nations will try to save more and more
money for the possible bad times ahead = less spending on luxery items = less demand for indian textiles, polished dimanonds and
automobiles.
Indian businessmen who exported goods and services to Greece earlier, will have trouble collecting their money. Because Greek
businessman might simply give up saying either you accept my Drachma or file a court case on me. I dont care. I dont have money.
When Indian businessman cannot collect the payment = job cuts, reduced production= low IIP. (Impact of low IIP already explained in an
old article)
Food for thought
You might wonder- why is Greece against the austerity measures, when the whole world wants them to do it?
Their logic: if we stop welfare programs and reduce salaries and pensions, then people will have less money to spend = demand
supressed = slowdown.
So instead of cutting the Government expenditure, we should do the reverse, just like what Lord Keynes suggested, To combat
recession, Government should start spending on public works, thus creating jobs and demand in the market.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
What is Bundestag?
7.
235
Make sure youve read my earlier article on Eurozone crisis, before proceeding further.
What is the difference between Eurozone and EU?
Eurozone= Those EU countries, which use Euro as their official currency. There are 17 such nations.
Eurozone
1.
Austria
2.
Belgium
3.
Cyprus
4.
Estonia
5.
Finland
6.
France
7.
Germany
8.
Greece
Ireland
Italy
Luxembourg
Malta
Netherlands
Portugal
Slovakia
Slovenia
Spain
Note: There are some non-EU countries also using Euro as their official currency, for example San Marino, Kosovo and Montenegro. But since
theyre not members of European Union (EU), they dont fall under the definition of Eurozone.
What is EU Fiscal Treaty?
A pact between the EU member-nations that theyll not run Air Indias and MNREGAs.
1.
Member-nations will try to get a balanced or surplus budget. i.e. Government will not spend more money than its income.
a.
But still, if they end up with a deficit budget (when Government spends more than it earns) and thus to fill up that deficit, if the
Government has to sell bonds, then itll have to notify the Committee.
2.
European Court of Justice will check whether nations implement budget rule properly it will fine them up to 0.1% of national output
(GDP) if they fail to do so. For example, next time Greece fudges its account books to borrow more than the limit, then itll be in deep
trouble.
3.
Eurozone has 17 nations, and this treaty will come into effect, if and only if at least 12 Eurozone nations ratify it (in their parliament or via
referendum.) Once this is done, the treaty will come into effect from from 1 January next year (2013).
4.
Even after these measures, if there is another Sovereign debt crisis, then they will use money from European Stability Mechanism (ESM)
fund to fix it.
5.
If a Eurozone Member-state doesnot pass EU treaty and later on, runs into trouble like Greece, then it will not get money from ESM fund.
What is European Stability Mechanism (ESM)?
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Eurozone member-nations will pool their money in this fund and during any financial crisis, the money will be used.
There will be 500 billion Euro in this fund. (Equals to about $620 billion USD)
What is European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF)?
It was the original Eurozone bailout fund, set up in May 2010. Now it will be replaced by the ESM.
What is the problem?
PIGS countries (Portugal, Italy, Greece, Spain) each will have to give $100 billion in the ESM fund, but its beyond their Aukaat at the
moment.
So, the big players France and Germany will have to bear the burden and give most of the money.
In fact Germany will give 27% of contributions to the ESM, paying out about 20bn euros in cash and providing guarantees worth about
170bn euros.
The Left-wing Opposition parties of Germany are unhappy with this Development, they feel why should we bear the burden for the
problems caused by Greece?
German Chancellor Angela Merkel will need 2/3rd majority in Parliament, to first get this EU treaty approved.
She has made deal with other opposition parties SP and BSP and promised to pause CBI inquiry against their leaders so theyll vote in
favor of the treaty, in Bundestag.
What is Bundestag?
Afghanistan = Jirga
USAs parliament = Congress. USAS Rajyasabha= Senate, but with truckload of powers compared to ours.
1.
2.
3.
4.
Hindi
5.
6.
7.
????
8.
????
9.
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It is a statutory body that monitors anti-competitive agreements, abuse of dominant position by enterprises and regulates combinations
(acquisition, acquiring of control and M&A), which causes or likely to cause an adverse effect on competition within India.
Commission comprises a Chairperson and six members. Ashok Chawla is the current Chairperson of the CCI
Case of Cement Companies
CCI investigation found that the cement companies had intentionally not utilised the available capacity so that there are reduced cement
supplies in the market and they can raise prices in times of higher demand.
The cement manufactures were instrumental in limiting and controlling supplies in the markets and determining prices through an anticompetitive agreements.
The commission stressed that such anti-competitive agreements are detrimental not only to consumers but also to the entire economy as
cement is very crucial input in construction and infrastructure industry, vital for economic development.
Guilty
ACC, Ambuja Cements, UltraTech Cement and JK Cement, Lafarge India, India Cements, Madras Cements, Century Cements, Binani
Cement and Jaiprakash Associates.
Punishment
Competition Commission of India (CCI) has slapped a penalty of over Rs 6,300 crore on 10 cement companies
The companies have been asked to deposit the penalty within 90 days.
Case of Oil Companies
Competition Commission of India (CCI) is looking into Public Sector Oil Companies, for controlling the petrol prices even after prices in
international markets fell.
PSU oil firms, which generally revise the petrol rates on 1st and 16th of every month have skipped changing rates recently. The oil
companies have not reduced the petrol prices citing the excuse that imports are getting costlier due to the falling rupee.
1.
2.
History
3.
4.
What is NPS?
5.
Mock Question
Pension Fund Regulatory and Development Authority Bill, 2011
has been pending for several years, seeks to open the pension sector to private sector and foreign investment.
If it was passed by cabinet in June 2012, it could be tabled in parliament in the Monsoon Session starting in July 2012.
But Trinamool Congress, a key ally of UPA opposed it and hence the bill has been put on backburner yet again.
Trinamools official reason: this PFRDA bill is against the intersest of common man.
Unofficial reason (if one believes the IndianExpress frontpage 08 June 2012), is that West Bengal Government wants debt relief of
Rs.25,000 crores from the Union Government and unless and until it is given, theyll continue to stall all the bills and policy issues like FDI
in Multi-brand retail, Pension Reform bill etc.
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History
PFRDA, set up as a regulatory body for pension sector, is yet to get statutory powers as the Bill pertaining to that effect lapsed in
Parliament with the expiry of last Lok Sabha in 2009.
It was introduced in the Lok Sabha on March 24, 2011 was referred to the Standing Committee headed by senior BJP leader and former
Finance Minister Yashwant Sinha for scrutiny.
Committee wanted the government to specify the FDI cap in the legislation itself, besides providing for minimum guaranteed return to
pension subscribers.
Salient Features of PFRDA Bill 2011
It proivdes for 26% Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in the pension sector, just like it is in the insurance industry.
Bill will provide greater flexibility to subscribers to withdraw funds from their accounts, and Assured returns to
pension fund subscribers.
It also alters the name of the New Pension System to National Pension System (NPS).
What is NPS?
NPS is a defined contribution scheme for all central government employees who joined after January 2004. It is
implemented through a combination of retailers, pension fund managers, and a record keeper.
Under the NPS, every subscriber will have an individual pension account, which will be portable across job
changes. The subscribers will choose fund managers and schemes to manage their pension wealth. They will also
have the option of switching schemes and fund managers.
The NPS was extended to all general citizens through central government notification in 2009.
[Economy] Rupee & GDP Downfall : Steps taken by Government, What is Policy Paralysis? Meaning Implications
In an earlier article, we saw about the steps taken by the reserve bank of India to prevent the downfall of the downfall of rupee.
In this article, we see the steps taken by government of India, to prevent the downfall of rupee, to boost the GDP, confidence of Investors and Credit
rating agencies (S&P, Moodys etc).
1.
2.
FDI issues
Oil Price
Gold Import
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o
Aviation Fuel
Telecom
Infrastructure review meeting by the Prime Minister, he says we need investment of Rs.1 lakh crore in the infrastrcture. (hahaha, in
another meeting or seminar he had said we need Rs.2 lakh crore investment, As if money falls from the sky!)
2.
Investment tracking system to monitor the status of project of Rs.1000 crore and above.
3.
Manufacturing industry promotion board (MIPB) headed by the commerce and industry Minister, has been set up.
4.
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5.
Cabinet has cleared the National Telecom policy 2012, and a move to introduce unified licensing regime.
6.
Empowered group of Ministry on spectrum pricing, has endorsed Telecom commission suggestion that a 10 MHz spectrum per circle be
put up for auctions.
7.
A nine-member ministerial panel has been formed to hasten the draft coal regulator bill.
8.
Finance Ministry set up a meeting with pharmaceutical industry, to work out a mechanism for fast clearance of FDI proposals
9.
b.
c.
d.
Although Planning Commission has been kept out of these auterity measures, and allowed to build toilet worth Rs.35 lakhs.
10. Government agreed to amend the pension bill and incorporate the suggestions of the standing committee of Finance, including a 26%
FDI and a mechanism for minimum assured returns. (update this was put on backburner after Mamatha blocked it.)
11. Individual Qualified institutional investors (QFI) are allowed to bring up to one billion dollar in the Debt Market. (i.e. the Bonds market, for
explaination read my Debt Vs Equity, Bond vs Shares article.) Apart from that, rules have been relaxed to allow entry of QFIs from gulf
countries. More on that given in previous article (click me)
12. New sops for the exporters in foreign trade policy 2009-14.
Policy paralysis: What are the problem areas?
FDI issues
Proposal for the foreign direct investment in the key sectors such as multibrand retail, aviation, banking and insurance are either stuck at various
level or simply put in cold storage because of coalition politics
coal
1.
2.
There is a huge gap in demand and supply of the coal, and it is negatively affecting the IIP and WPI Index, and electricity supply.
a.
b.
Gas output has declined, directly affecting the CNG and Fertilizer prices.
Oil Price
Higher petrol / diesel price has snowballing effect on entire economy. It increases the cost of production and transport of various goods
(milk, vegetables ) = Supply side inflation. What is Supply side inflation? Click me to understand.
On one hand Oil companies say we are making losses so well hike the prices, one the other hand Government (At union and state level)
keep high taxes on fuels to finance their bogus Development schemes. So you and I are crushed from both the sides paying Rs. 80 per
litre of petrol.
Gold Import
Already explained in the previous article, how Gold import increases our Current Account Deficit, thus increasing the demand of dollar = rupee
downfall. Hence there should be a heavy excise duty on gold, to prevent its consumption.
Aviation Fuel
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State taxes upto 33% tax on ATF, thus airlines are not generating decent profit. Some are exiting, some are cutting down the staff.
Slow pace of highway projects, because of the land acquisition issues and environmental clearance. Strong road-infrastrucutre is a
prerequisite for boosting the economy.
Passenger fares are not hiked due to vote bank politics. And to cover up the losses, they keep the freight costs high (i.e. the
price youve to pay to get goods delivered from one place to another.) this is called cross-subsidization.
Higher freight charges = lower profit margin = higher MRP = Supply side inflation
Because of the Naxal blowing railway tracks, the Indian Railways doesnt run many trains through the red-corridor during night
hours and the pilots are instrucuted to drive the train at 30-40 kmph speed only, while going through the naxal regions = slow
transport of men and material = bad for economy.
Most of India's major ports are short on capacity and grossly insufficient in terms of tonnes of cargo handled and turn-around time for
vessels, when compared to Singapore or Japan. (Example: If you come up with a cargo-ship containing 500MT of goods from US to
India, itll take 2 days to unload the ship in India while itll take merely a few hours in Singapore, due to the unskilled manpower, lack of
latest machinary and lots of paperwork and bureaucratic procedures.)
Telecom
Telecom and internet are essential to generate more business and employment.
But the foreign investors are exiting because of the flawed implementation and court orders.
Because of the policy uncertainty in the telecom sector, there is very low investment thefore prices of mobile connection and broadband
internet are extremely high compared to Japan or USA. It directly affects the profit margin of cybercafe / call centre and other similar
businesses.
Credit
Prepaid cards work on the theme very similar to prepaid mobile phone cards. All you have to do is buy a card, load it with the desired
amount and the card is ready to be used. You do not require any bank account to use these cards.
Theyre issued mainly by banks and Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) on payment of specified amount and are used for
purchasing goods and services from limited outlets.
These pre-paid cards which are technically known as semi-closed pre-paid instrument
These instruments do not permit cash withdrawal or redemption by the holder. (i.e. you buy a card, youve to use it.)
The maximum value of any prepaid payment instrument shall not exceed Rs 50,000/-.
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Why is it in news?
With passing of Payment and Settlement systems, Act 2007, all non-bank entities (NBFCs) currently issuing prepaid payment
instruments and those proposing to issue such payment instruments would have to approach Reserve Bank for authorization.
In 2009, RBI had allowed Pre-Paid card holders to purchase travel tickets, insurance and pay water, electricity and telephone bills.
Now in June 2012, Reserve Bank has allowed holders of pre-paid payment cards, to deposits school and college fees and pay taxes in
addition to buying rail and air tickets within the prescribed limit of Rs 10,000. (Banks and Companies are allowed to issue such pre-paid
cards without fullfilling the KYC : Know your customer requirement.)
[Economy] Multi-level TDS on Softwares Removed: Yet another Reform to boost GDP
Under the current structure, TDS of 10 per cent is levied at every level of software distribution chain from master distributor to retailer and
to the final consumer.
Problems= Lot of paper work + Low profit margins for the software makers.
Now, Finance ministry will do away with the complex multi-level system of Tax Deduction at Source (TDS) for the IT sector from July
1,2012.
Pranab said, No deduction of tax shall be made on payment by a person (transferee) for acquisition of software from another person
(transferor), being a resident (of India).
The TDS exemption would be available only when the software is acquired in subsequent transfer, without any modification.
This could mean that the benefit of TDS exemption will not be available for unbranded software or customised software.
Economy] Rupee Downfall: RBI directive to Oil Cos- buy 50% dollars from SBIs
In the earlier articles, I had talked about the Steps taken by RBI to prevent Downfall of Rupee (click me if you didnot read it)
Here is one more step taken by RBI : It ordered the Public Sector Oil marketing companies (OMCs) to buy 50% of their dollar requirements from
single public sector bank.
1.
How do Oil Companies buy the Dollars for Crude Oil import?
2.
3.
4.
The Oil Companies would seek dollar quotes from multiple banks.Eg. they send email asking for estimate to every Bank- I need $1
million, how much money will you take?
The banks respond with individual rates, (counting their profit margin) and then the Oil company will make dollar purchase deal to the
cheapest among them all.
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Indian Oil Corp (IOC), Bharat Petroleum and Hindustan Petroleum are the biggest buyers of dollars in the domestic market with nearly $7
billion of monthly purchase.
What is the problem?
The oil company sends same I need $1 million email to every bank and that gives an exaggerated impression of an OMCs demand,
sending a wrong signal to the market that there is a huge unmet need of dollars.
From now on, OMCs have to buy half their daily foreign exchange needs from a public sector bank like SBI (without bidding)
and the rest half through competitive bids by a panel of banks public and private to fund their import of crude oil and petroleum
products.
Because Dollar purchase from a single bank would lead to dependence on a singe bank for a large volume which might not be in their
best interest. (+lack of transparency / another scam incoming.)
Economy] Definition of 100+ (A-Z) Terms of Economics from BBC
This is compiled from BBC articles. Click on the Word to know its Meaning.
A.
B.
Bailout Bankruptcy Base rate Basel accords Basis point BBA Bear market Bill BIS Bond BRIC Bull market
C.
Capital Capital adequacy ratio Capitulation Carry trade Chapter 11 Collateralised debt obligations
(CDOs) Commercial paper Commodities Core inflation Correction (market) CPI Credit crunch Credit default
swap (CDS) Credit rating Currency peg
D.
Dead cat bounce Debt restructuring Default Deficit Deflation Deleveraging Derivative Dividends DoddFrank Double-dip recession
E.
EBA Ebitda EBRD ECB EIB ESM EFSF EFSM Equity Eurobond Eurozone
F.
Federal Reserve Financial Policy Committee Financial transaction tax Fiscal policy Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae FTSE
100 Fundamentals Futures
G.
H.
I.
IIF IMF Impairment charge Independent Commission on Banking Inflation Insolvency Investment bank
J.
Junk bond
K.
Keynesian economics
L.
Lehman Brothers Leverage Liability Libor Limited liability Liquidation Liquidity Liquidity crisis Liquidity
trap Loans-to-deposit ratio
M.
Mark-to-market (MTM) Monetary policy Money markets Monoline insurance Mortgage-backed securities
(MBS) MPC
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N.
O.
OECD Options
P.
Ponzi scheme Preference shares Prime rate Private equity fund PPI Profit warning
Q.
Quantitative easing
R.
Rating Rating agency Recapitalisation Recession Repo Reserve currency Reserves Retained earnings Rights
issue Ring-fence
S.
Securities lending Securitisation Security Shadow banking Short selling Spread (yield) SPV Stability
pact Stagflation Sticky prices Stimulus Sub-prime mortgages Swap
T.
U.
Underwriters Unwind
V.
W.
X.
Yield
AAA-rating
The best credit rating that can be given to a borrowers debts, indicating that the risk of a borrower defaulting is minuscule.
AGM
An annual general meeting, which companies hold each year for shareholders to vote on important issues such as dividend payments and
appointments to the companys board of directors. If an emergency decision is needed for example in the case of a takeover a company may
also call an exceptional general meeting of shareholders or EGM.
Assets
Things that provide income or some other value to their owner.
Fixed assets (also known as long-term assets) are things that have a useful life of more than one year, for example buildings and
machinery; there are also intangible fixed assets, like the good reputation of a company or brand.
Current assets are the things that can easily be turned into cash and are expected to be sold or used up in the near future.
Austerity
Economic policy aimed at reducing a governments deficit (or borrowing). Austerity can be achieved through increases in government revenues
primarily via tax rises and/or a reduction in government spending or future spending commitments.
Bailout
The financial rescue of a struggling borrower. A bailout can be achieved in various ways:
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Bankruptcy
A legal process in which the assets of a borrower who cannot repay its debts which can be an individual, a company or a bank are valued, and
possibly sold off (liquidated), in order to repay debts.
Where the borrowers assets are insufficient to repay its debts, the debts have to be written off. This means the lenders must accept that some of
their loans will never be repaid, and the borrower is freed of its debts. Bankruptcy varies greatly from one country to another, some countries have
laws that are very friendly to borrowers, while others are much more friendly to lenders.
Base rate
The key interest rate set by the Bank of England. It is the overnight interest rate that it charges to banks for lending to them. The base rate and
expectations about how the base rate will change in the future directly affect the interest rates at which banks are willing to lend money in sterling.
Basel accords
The Basel Accords refer to a set of agreements by the Basel Committee on Bank Supervision (BCBS), which provide recommendations on banking
regulations. The purpose of the accords is to ensure that financial institutions have enough capital to meet obligations and absorb unexpected
losses.
Basis point
One hundred basis points make up a percentage point, so an interest rate cut of 25 basis points might take the rate, for example, from 3% to
2.75%.
BBA
The British Bankers Association is an organisation representing the major banks in the UK including foreign banks with a major presence in
London. It is responsible for the daily Liborinterest rate which determines the rate at which banks lend to each other.
Bear market
In a bear market, prices are falling and investors, fearing losses, tend to sell. This can create a self-sustaining downward spiral.
Bill
A debt security- or more simply an IOU. It is very similar to a bond, but has a maturity of less than one year when first issued.
BIS
The Bank for International Settlements is an international association of central banks based in Basel, Switzerland. Crucially, it agrees international
standards for the capital adequacyof banks that is, the minimum buffer banks must have to withstand any losses. In response to the financial
crisis, the BIS has agreed a much stricter set of rules. As these are the third such set of regulations, they are known as Basel III.
Bond
A debt security, or more simply, an IOU. The bond states when a loan must be repaid and what interest the borrower (issuer) must pay to the holder.
They can be issued by companies, banks or governments to raise money. Banks and investors buy and trade bonds.
BRIC
An acronym used to describe the fast-growing economies of Brazil, Russia, India and China.
Bull market
A bull market is one in which prices are generally rising and investor confidence is high.
Capital
For investors, it refers to their stock of wealth, which can be put to work in order to earn income. For companies, it typically refers to sources of
financing such as newly issued shares.
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For banks, it refers to their ability to absorb losses in their accounts. Banks normally obtain capital either by issuing new shares, or by keeping hold
of profits instead of paying them out as dividends. If a bank writes off a loss on one of its assets for example, if it makes a loan that is not repaid
then the bank must also write off a corresponding amount of its capital. If a bank runs out of capital, then it is insolvent, meaning it does not have
enough assets to repay its debts.
Capital adequacy ratio
A measure of a banks ability to absorb losses. It is defined as the value of its capital divided by the value of risk-weighted assets (ie taking into
account how risky they are). A low capital adequacy ratio suggests that a bank has a limited ability to absorb losses, given the amount and the
riskiness of the loans it has made.
A banking regulator typically the central bank sets a minimum capital adequacy ratio for the banks in each country, and an international
minimum standard is set by the BIS. A bank that fails to meet this minimum standard must be recapitalised, for example by issuing new shares.
Capitulation
(market)
. The point when a flurry of panic selling induces a final collapse and ultimately a bottoming out of prices.
Carry trade
Typically, the borrowing of currency with a low interest rate, converting it into currency with a high interest rate and then lending it. The most
common carry trade currency used to be the yen, with traders seeking to benefit from Japans low interest rates. Now the dollar, euro and pound
can also serve the same purpose. The element of risk is in the fluctuations in the currency market.
Chapter 11
The term for bankruptcy protection in the US. It postpones a companys obligations to its creditors, giving it time to reorganise its debts or sell parts
of the business, for example.
Collateralised debt obligations (CDOs)
A financial structure that groups individual loans, bonds or other assets in a portfolio, which can then be traded. In theory, CDOs attract a stronger
credit rating than individual assets due to the risk being more diversified. But as the performance of many assets fell during the financial crisis, the
value of many CDOs was also reduced.
Commercial paper
Unsecured, short-term loans taken out by companies. The funds are typically used for working capital, rather than fixed assets such as a new
building. The loans take the form of IOUs that can be bought and traded by banks and investors, similar to bonds.
Commodities
Commodities are products that, in their basic form, are all the same so it makes little difference from whom you buy them. That means that they can
have a common market price. You would be unlikely to pay more for iron ore just because it came from a particular mine, for example.
Contracts to buy and sell commodities usually specify minimum common standards, such as the form and purity of the product, and where and
when it must be delivered.
The commodities markets range from soft commodities such as sugar, cotton and pork bellies to industrial metals such as iron and zinc.
Core inflation
A measure of CPI inflation that strips out more volatile items (typically food and energy prices). The core inflation rate is watched closely by central
bankers, as it tends to give a clearer indication of long-term inflation trends.
Correction (market)
A short-term drop in stock market prices. The term comes from the notion that, when this happens, overpriced or underpriced stocks are returning to
their correct values.
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CPI
The Consumer Prices Index is a measure of the price of a bundle of goods and services from across the economy. It is the most common measure
used to identify inflation in a country. CPI is used as the target measure of inflation by the Bank of England and the ECB.
Credit crunch
A situation where banks and other lenders all cut back their lending at the same time, because of widespread fears about the ability of borrowers to
repay.
If heavily-indebted borrowers are cut off from new lending, they may find it impossible to repay existing debts. Reduced lending also slows down
economic growth, which also makes it harder for all businesses to repay their debts.
Credit default swap (CDS)
A financial contract that provides insurance-like protection against the risk of a third-party borrower defaulting on its debts. For example, a bank that
has made a loan to Greece may choose to hedge the loan by buying CDS protection on Greece. The bank makes periodic payments to the CDS
seller. If Greece defaultson its debts, the CDS seller must buy the loans from the bank at their full face value. CDSs are not just used for hedging
they are used by investors to speculate on whether a borrower such as Greece will default.
Credit rating
The assessment given to debts and borrowers by a ratings agency according to their safety from an investment standpoint based on their
creditworthiness, or the ability of the company or government that is borrowing to repay. Ratings range from AAA, the safest, down to D, a company
that has already defaulted. Ratings of BBB- or higher are considered investment grade. Below that level, they are considered speculative grade
or more colloquially as junk.
Currency peg
A commitment by a government to maintain its currency at a fixed value in relation to another currency. Sometimes pegs are used to keep a
currency strong, in order to help reduce inflation. In this case, a central bank may have to sell its reserves of foreign currency and buy up domestic
currency in order to defend the peg. If the central bank runs out of foreign currency reserves, then the peg will collapse.
Pegs can also be used to help keep a currency weak in order to gain a competitive advantage in trade and boost exports. China has been accused
of doing this. The Peoples Bank of China has accumulated trillions of dollars in US government bonds, because of its policy of selling yuan and
buying dollars a policy that has the effect of keeping the yuan weak.
Dead cat bounce
A phrase long used on trading floors to describe the small rebound in market prices typically seen following a sharp fall.
Debt restructuring
A situation in which a borrower renegotiates the terms of its debts, usually in order to reduce short-term debt repayments and to increase the
amount of time it has to repay them. If lenders do not agree to the change in repayment terms, or if the restructuring results in an obvious loss to
lenders, then it is generally considered a default by the borrower. However, restructurings can also occur through a debt swap a voluntary
agreement by lenders to switch existing debts for new debts with easier easier repayment terms in which case it can be very hard to determine
whether the restructuring counts as a default.
Default
Strictly speaking, a default occurs when a borrower has broken the terms of a loan or other debt, for example if a borrower misses a payment. The
term is also loosely used to mean any situation that makes clear that a borrower can no longer repay its debts in full, such as bankruptcy or a debt
restructuring.
A default can have a number of important implications. If a borrower is in default on any one debt, then all of its lenders may be able to demand that
the borrower immediately repay them. Lenders may also be required to write off their losses on the loans they have made.
Deficit
The amount by which spending exceeds income over the course of a year.
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In the case of trade, it refers to exports minus imports. In the case of the government budget, it equals the amount the government needs to borrow
during the year to fund its spending. The governments primary deficit means the amount it needs to borrow to cover general government
expenditure, excluding interest payments on debts. The primary deficit therefore indicates whether a government will run out of cash if it is no longer
able to borrow and decides to stop repaying its debts.
Deflation
Negative inflation that is, when the prices of goods and services across the whole economy are falling on average.
Deleveraging
A process whereby borrowers reduce their debtloads. Primarily this occurs by repaying debts. It can also occur by bankruptcies and debt defaults,
or by the borrowers increasing their incomes, meaning that their existing debtloads become more manageable. Western economies are
experiencing widespread deleveraging, a process associated with weak economic growth that is expected to last years. Households are
deleveraging by repaying mortgage and credit card debts. Banks are deleveraging by cutting back on lending. Governments are also beginning to
deleverage via austerity programmes cutting spending and increasing taxation.
Derivative
A financial contract which provides a way of investing in a particular product without having to own it directly. For example, a stock market futures
contract allows investors to make bets on the value of a stock market index such as the FTSE 100 without having to buy or sell any shares. The
value of a derivative can depend on anything from the price of coffee to interest rates or what the weather is like. Credit derivatives such as credit
default swaps depend on the ability of a borrower to repay its debts. Derivatives allow investors and banks to hedge their risks, or to speculate on
markets. Futures, forwards, swaps and options are all types of derivatives.
Dividends
An income payment by a company to its shareholders, usually linked to its profits.
Dodd-Frank
Legislation enacted by the US in 2011 to regulate the banks and other financial services. It includes:
a new agency responsible for protecting consumers against predatory lending and other unfair practices
a leading role for the central bank, the Federal Reserve, in overseeing regulation
new powers for regulators to seize and wind up large banks that get into trouble
Double-dip recession
A recession that experiences a limited recovery then dips back into recession. The exact definition is unclear, as the definition of what counts as a
recession varies between countries. A widely-accepted definition is one where the initial recovery fails to take total economic output back up to the
peak seen before the recession began.
EBA
The European Banking Authority is a pan-European regulator responsible created in 2010 to oversee all banks within the European Union. Its
powers are limited, and it depends on national bank regulators such as the UKs Financial Services Authority to implement its recommendations. It
has already been active in laying down new rules on bank bonuses and arranging the European bank stress tests.
Ebitda
Earnings (or profit) before interest payments, tax, depreciation and amortisation. It is a measure of the cashflow at a company available to repay its
debts, and is much more important indicator for lenders than the borrowers profits.
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EBRD
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development is a similar institution to the World Bank, set up by the US and European countries after
the fall of the Berlin Wall to assist in economic transition in Eastern Europe. Recently the EBRDs remit has been extended to help the Arab
countries that emerged from dictatorship in 2011.
ECB
The European Central Bank is the central bank responsible for monetary policy in the eurozone. It is headquartered in Frankfurt and has a mandate
to ensure price stability which is interpreted as an inflation rate of no more than 2% per year.
EIB
The European Investment Bank is the European Unions development bank. It is owned by the EUs member governments, and provides loans to
support pan-European infrastructure, economic development in the EUs poorer regions and environmental objectives, among other things.
ESM
The European Stability Mechanism is a 500bn-euro rescue fund that will replace the EFSF and the EFSM from June 2013. Unlike the EFSF, the
ESM is a permanent bail-out arrangement for the eurozone. Unlike the EFSM, the ESM will only be backed by members of the eurozone, and not
by other European Union members such as the UK.
EFSF
The European Financial Stability Facility is currently a temporary fund worth up to 440bn euros set up by the eurozone in May 2010. Following a
previous bail-out of Greece, the EFSF was originally intended to help other struggling eurozone governments, and has since provided rescue loans
to the Irish Republic and Portugal. More recently, the eurozone agreed to broaden the EFSFs mandate, for example by allowing it to support banks.
EFSM
The European Financial Stability Mechanism is 60bn euros of money pledged by the member governments of the European Union, including 7.5bn
euros pledged by the UK. The EFSM has been used to loan money to the Irish Republic and Portugal. It will be replaced by the ESM from 2013.
Equity
The value of a business or investment after subtracting any debts owed by it. The equity in a company is the value of all its shares. In a house, your
equity is the amount your house is worth minus the amount of mortgage debt that is outstanding on it.
Eurobond
A term increasingly used for the idea of a common, jointly-guaranteed bond of the eurozone governments. It has been mooted as a solution to the
eurozone debt crisis, as it would prevent markets from differentiating between the creditworthiness of different government borrowers.
Confusingly and quite seperately, Eurobond also refers to a bond issued in any currency in the international markets.
Eurozone
The 17 countries that share the euro.
Federal Reserve
The US central bank.
Financial Policy Committee
A new committee at the Bank of England set up in 2010-11 in response to the financial crisis. It has overall responsibility for ensuring major risks do
not build up within the UK financial system.
Financial transaction tax
See Tobin tax.
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Fiscal policy
The governments borrowing, spending and taxation decisions. If a government is worried that it is borrowing too much, it can engage in austerity;
raising taxes and/or cutting spending. Alternatively, if a government is afraid that the economy is going into recession it can engage in fiscal
stimulus, which can include cutting taxes, raising spending and/or raising borrowing.
Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae
Nicknames for the Federal Home Loans Mortgage Corporation and the Federal National Mortgage Association respectively. They dont lend
mortgages directly to homebuyers, but they are responsible for obtaining a large part of the money that gets lent out as mortgages in the US from
the international financial markets. Although privately-owned, the two operate as agents of the US federal government. After almost going bust in
the financial crisis, the government put them into conservatorship guaranteeing to provide them with any new capital needed to ensure they do
not go bust.
FTSE 100
An index of the 100 companies listed on the London Stock Exchange with the biggest market value. The index is revised every three months.
Fundamentals
Fundamentals determine a company, currency or securitys value in the long-term. A companys fundamentals include its assets, debt, revenue,
earnings and growth.
Futures
A futures contract is an agreement to buy or sell a commodity at a predetermined date and price. It could be used to hedge or to speculate on the
price of the commodity. Futures contracts are a type of derivative, and are traded on an exchange.
G7
The group of seven major industrialised economies, comprising the US, UK, France, Germany, Italy, Canada and Japan.
G8
The G7 plus Russia.
G20
The G8 plus developing countries that play an important role in the global economy, such as China, India, Brazil and Saudi Arabia. It gained in
significance after leaders agreed how to tackle the 2008-09 financial crisis and recession at G20 gatherings.
GDP
Gross domestic product. A measure of economic activity in a country, namely of all the services and goods produced in a year. There are three main
ways of calculating GDP - through output, through income and through expenditure.
Glass-Steagall
A US law dating from the 1930s Great Depression that separated ordinary commercial banking from investment banking. Like the UKs planned
ring-fence, the law was intended to protect banks which lend to consumers and businesses deemed vital to the US economy from the risky
speculation of investment banks. The law was repealed in 1999, largely to enable the creation of the banking giant Citigroup a move that many
commentators say was a contributing factor to the 2008 financial crisis.
Haircut
A reduction in the value of a troubled borrowers debts, imposed on, or agreed with, its lenders as part of a debt restructuring.
Hedge fund
A private investment fund which uses a range of sophisticated strategies to maximise returns including hedging, leveraging and derivatives trading.
Authorities around the world are working on ways to regulate them.
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Hedging
Making an investment to reduce the risk of price fluctuations to the value of an asset. Airlines often hedge against rising oil prices by agreeing in
advance to to buy their fuel at a set price. In this case, a rise in price would not harm them but nor would they benefit from any falls.
IIF
The Institute of International Finance is a global trade association of the major banks.
IMF
The International Monetary Fund is an organisation set up after World War II to provide financial assistance to governments. Since the 1980s, the
IMF has been most active in providing rescue loans to the governments of developing countries that run into debt problems. Since the financial
crisis, the IMF has also provided rescue loans, alongside the European Union governments and the ECB, to Greece, the Irish Republic and
Portugal. The IMF is traditionally and of late controversially headed by a European.
Impairment charge
The amount written off by a company when it realises that it has valued an asset more highly than it is actually worth.
Independent Commission on Banking
A commission chaired by economist Sir John Vickers set up in 2010 by the UK government in order to make recommendations on how to reform the
banking system. The commission reported back in September 2011, and called for:
a ring-fence, to separate and safeguard the activities of banks that were deemed essential to the UK economy
measures to increase the transparency of bank accounts and competition among banks, including the creation of a new major High Street
bank
much higher capital requirements for the big banks so that they can better absorb future losses
Inflation
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Leverage
Leverage, or gearing, means using debt to supplement investment. The more you borrow on top of the funds (or equity) you already have, the more
highly leveraged you are. Leverage can increase both gains and losses. Deleveraging means reducing the amount you are borrowing.
Liability
A debt or other form of payment obligation, listed in a companys accounts.
Libor
London Inter Bank Offered Rate. The rate at which banks in London lend money to each other for the short-term in a particular currency. A new
Libor rate is calculated every morning by financial data firm Thomson Reuters based on interest rates provided by members of the British Bankers
Association.
Limited liability
Confines an investors loss in a business to the amount of capital they invested. If a person invests 100,000 in a company and it goes under, they
will lose only their investment and not more.
Liquidation
A process in which assets are sold off for cash. Liquidation is often the outcome for a company deemed irretrievably loss-making. In that case, its
assets are sold off individually, and the cash proceeds are used to repay its lenders. In liquidation, a companys lenders and other claimants are
given an order of priority. Usually the tax authorities are the first to be paid, while the companys shareholders are the last, typically receiving
nothing.
Liquidity
How easy something is to convert into cash. Your current account, for example, is more liquid than your house. If you needed to sell your house
quickly to pay bills you would have to drop the price substantially to get a sale.
Liquidity crisis
A situation in which it suddenly becomes much more difficult for banks to obtain cash due to a general loss of confidence in the financial system.
Investors (and, in the case of a bank run, even ordinary depositors) may withdraw their cash from banks, while banks may stop lending to each
other, if they fear that some banks could go bust. Because most of a banks money is tied up in loans, even a healthy bank can run out of cash and
collapse in a liquidity crisis. Central banks usually respond to a liquidity crisis by acting as lender of last resort and providing emergency cash
loans to the banks.
Liquidity trap
A situation described by economist John Maynard Keynesin which nervousness about the economy leads everybody to cut back on their spending
and to hold cash, even if the cash earns no interest. The widespread fall in spending undermines the economy, which in turn makes households,
banks and companies even more nervous about spending and investing their money. The problem becomes particularly intractable when as in
Japan over the last 20 years the weak spending leads to falling prices, which creates a stronger incentive for people to hold onto their cash, and
also makes debts more difficult to repay. In a liquidity trap, monetary policy can become useless, and Keynes said that the onus is on governments
to increase their spending.
Loans-to-deposit ratio
For financial institutions, the sum of their loans divided by the sum of their deposits. It is used as a way of measuring a banks vulnerability to the
loss of confidence in a liquidity crisis. Deposits are typically guaranteed by the banks government and are therefore considered a safer source of
funding for the bank. Before the 2008 financial crisis, many banks became reliant on other sources of funding meaning they had very high loan-todeposit ratios. When these other sources of funding suddenly evaporated, the banks were left critically short of cash.
Mark-to-market (MTM)
Recording the value of an asseton a daily basis according to current market prices. So for a Greek governmentbond, the MTM is how much it could
be sold for today. Banks are not required to mark to market investments that they intend to hold indefinitely (in what is called the banking book in
accounting jargon). Instead, these investments are valued at the price at which they were originally purchased, minus any impairment charges
which might arise following a defaultby the borrower.
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Monetary policy
The policies of the central bank. A central bank has an unlimited ability to create new money. This allows it to control the short-term interest rate, as
well as to engage in unorthodox policies such as quantitative easing printing money to buy up government debts and other assets. Monetary
policy can be used to control inflation and to support economic growth.
Money markets
Global markets dealing in borrowing and lending on a short-term basis.
Monoline insurance
Monolines were set up in the 1970s to insure against the risk that a bondwill default. Companies and public institutions issue bonds to raise money.
If they pay a fee to a monoline to insure their debt, the guarantee helps to raise the credit rating of the bond, which in turn means the borrower can
raise the money more cheaply.
Mortgage-backed securities (MBS)
Banks repackage debts from a number of mortgages into MBS, which can be bought and traded by investors. By selling off their mortgages in the
form of MBS, it frees the banks up to lend to more homeowners.
MPC
The Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England is responsible for setting short-term interest rates and other monetary policy in the UK,
such as quantitative easing.
Naked short selling
A version of short selling, illegal or restricted in some jurisdictions, where the trader does not first establish that he is able to borrow the relevant
asset before selling it on. The aim with short selling is to buy back the asset at a lower price than you sold it for, pocketing the difference.
Nationalisation
The act of bringing an industry or assetssuch as land and property under state control.
Negative equity
Refers to a situation in which the value of your house is less than the amount of the mortgage that still has to be paid off.
OECD
The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development is an association of industrialised economies, originally set up to administer the
Marshall Plan after World War II. The OECD provides economic research and statistics, as well as policy recommendations, for its members.
Options
A type of derivativethat gives an investor the right to buy (or to sell) something anything from a share to a barrel of oil at an agreed price and at
an agreed time in the future. Options become much more valuable when markets are volatile, as they can be an insurance against price swings.
Ponzi scheme
Similar to a pyramid scheme, an enterprise where funds from new investors instead of genuine profits are used to pay high returns to current
investors. Named after the Italian fraudster Charles Ponzi, such schemes are destined to collapse as soon as new investment tails off or significant
numbers of investors simultaneously wish to withdraw funds.
Preference shares
A class of shares that usually do not offer voting rights, but do offer a superior type of dividend, paid ahead of dividends to ordinary shareholders.
Preference shareholders often also have somewhat better protection when a company is liquidated.
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Prime rate
A term used primarily in North America to describe the standard lending rate of banks to most customers. The prime rate is usually the same across
all banks, and higher rates are often described as x percentage points above prime.
Private equity fund
An investment fund that specialises in buying up troubled or undervalued companies, reorganising them, and then selling them off at a profit.
PPI
The Producer Prices Index, a measure of the wholesale prices at which factories and other producers are able to sell goods in an economy.
Profit warning
When a company issues a statement indicating that its profits will not be as high as it had expected. Also profits warning.
Quantitative easing
Central banks increase the supply of money by printing more. In practice, this may mean purchasing government bonds or other categories of
assets, using the new money. Rather than physically printing more notes, the new money is typically issued in the form of a deposit at the central
bank. The idea is to add more money into the system, which depresses the value of the currency, and to push up the value of the assets being
bought and to lower longer-term interest rates, which encourages more borrowing and investment. Some economists fear that quantitative easing
can lead to very high inflation in the long term.
Rating
The assessment given to debts and borrowers by a ratings agency according to their safety from an investment standpoint based on their
creditworthiness, or the ability of the company or government that is borrowing to repay. Ratings range from AAA, the safest, down to D, a company
that has already defaulted. Ratings of BBB- or higher are considered investment grade. Below that level, they are considered speculative grade
or more colloquially as junk.
Rating agency
A company responsible for issuing credit ratings. The major three rating agencies are Moodys, Standard & Poors and Fitch.
Recapitalisation
To inject fresh equityinto a firm or a bank, which can be used to absorb future losses and reduce the risk of insolvency. Typically this will happen via
the firm issuing new shares. The cash raised can also be used to repay debts. In the case of a government recapitalising a bank, it results in the
government owning a stake in the bank. In an extreme case, such as Royal Bank of Scotland, it can lead to nationalisation, where the government
owns a majority of the bank.
Recession
A period of negative economic growth. In most parts of the world a recession is technically defined as two consecutive quarters of negative growth
when economic output falls. In the United States, a larger number of factors are taken into account, such as job creation and manufacturing activity.
However, this means that a US recession can usually only be defined when it is already over.
Repo
A repurchase agreement a financial transaction in which someone sells something (for example a bond or a share) and at the same time agrees
to buy it back again at an agreed price at a later day. The seller is in effect receiving a loan. Repos were heavily used by investment banks such as
Lehman Brothers to borrow money prior to the financial crisis.
Repos are also used by speculators for short selling. The speculator can buy a share through a repo and then immediately sell it again. At a later
date the speculator hopes to buy the share back from the market at a cheaper price, before selling it back again at the pre-agreed price via the
repo.
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Reserve currency
A currency that is widely held by foreign central banks around the world in their reserves. The US dollar is the pre-eminent reserve currency, but the
euro, pound, yen and Swiss franc are also popular.
Reserves
Assets accumulated by a central bank, which typically comprise gold and foreign currency. Reserves are usually accumulated in order to help the
central bank defend the value of the currency, particularly when its value is pegged to another foreign currency or to gold.
Retained earnings
Profits not paid out by a company as dividends and held back to be reinvested.
Rights issue
When a public company issues new shares to raise cash. The company might do this for a number or reasons because it is running short of cash,
because it wants to make an expensive investment or because it needs to be recapitalised. By putting more shares on the market, a company
dilutes the value of its existing shares. It is called a rights issue, because existing shareholders have the first right to buy the new shares, thereby
avoiding dilution of their existing shares.
Ring-fence
A recommendation of the UKs Independent Commission on Banking. Services provided by the banks that are deemed essential to the UK
economy such as customer accounts, payment transfers, lending to small and medium businesses should be separated out from the banks
other, riskier activities. They would be placed in a separate subsidiary company in the bank, and provided with its own separate capital to absorb
any losses. The ring-fenced business would also be banned from lending to or in other ways exposing itself to the risks of the rest of the bank in
particular its investment banking activities.
Securities lending
When one broker or dealer lends a security (such as a bond or a share) to another for a fee. This is the process that allows short selling.
Securitisation
Turning something into a security. For example, taking the debt from a number of mortgages and combining them to make a financial product, which
can then be traded (see mortgage backed securities). Investors who buy these securities receive income when the original home-buyers make their
mortgage payments.
Security
A contract that can be assigned a value and traded. It could be a share, a bond or a mortgage-backed security.
Separately, the term security is also used to mean something that is pledged by a borrower when taking out a loan. For example, mortgages in the
UK are usually secured on the borrowers home. This means that if the borrower cannot repay, the lender can seize the security the home and
sell it in order to help repay the outstanding debt.
Shadow banking
A global financial system including investment banks, securitisation, SPVs, CDOs and monoline insurers that provides a similar borrowing-andlending function to banks, but is not regulated like banks. Prior to the financial crisis, the shadow banking system had grown to play as big a role as
the banks in providing loans. However, much of shadow banking system collapsed during the credit crunch that began in 2007, and in the 2008
financial crisis.
Short selling
A technique used by investors who think the price of an asset, such as shares or oil contracts, will fall. They borrow the asset from another investor
and then sell it in the relevant market. The aim is to buy back the asset at a lower price and return it to its owner, pocketing the difference. Also
known as shorting.
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Spread (yield)
The difference in the yield of two different bondsof approximately the same maturity, usually in the same currency. The spread is used as a measure
of the markets perception of the difference in creditworthiness of two borrowers.
SPV
A Special Purpose Vehicle (also Special Purpose Entity or Company) is a company created by a bank or investment bank solely for the purpose of
owning a particular set of loans or other investments, and distributing the risk to investors. Before the financial crisis, SPVs were regularly used by
banks to offload loans that they owned, freeing the banks up to lend more. SPVs were a major part of the shadow banking system, and were used
in securitisation and CDOs.
Stability pact
A set of rules demanded by Germany at the creation of the euro in the 1990s that were intended among other things to limit the borrowing of
governments inside the euro to 3% of their GDP, with fines to be imposed on miscreants. The original stability pact was abandoned after Germany
itself broke the rules with impunity in 2002-05. More recently, the German government has called for an even stricter system of rules and fines to be
introduced in response to the eurozone debt crisis.
Stagflation
The dreaded combination of inflation and stagnation an economy that is not growing while prices continue to rise. Most major western economies
experienced stagflation during the 1970s.
Sticky prices
A phenomenon observed by Depression-era economist John Maynard Keynes. Workers typically strongly resist falling wages, even if other prices
and therefore the cost of living is falling. This can mean that, particularly during deflation, wages can become uncompetitive, leading to higher
unemployment. The implication is that periods of deflation usually go hand-in-hand with very high unemployment. Many economists warn that this
may be the fate of Greece and other struggling economies within the eurozone.
Stimulus
Monetary policy or fiscal policy aimed at encouraging higher growth and/or inflation. This can include interest rate cuts, quantitative easing, tax cuts
and spending increases.
Sub-prime mortgages
These carry a higher risk to the lender (and therefore tend to be at higher interest rates) because they are offered to people who have had financial
problems or who have low or unpredictable incomes.
Swap
A derivativethat involves an exchange of cashflows between two parties. For example, a bank may swap out of a fixed long-term interest rate into a
variable short-term interest rate, or a company may swap a flow of income out of a foreign currency into their own currency.
TARP
The Troubled Asset Relief Program a $700bn rescue fund set up by the US government in response to the 2008 financial crisis. Originally the
TARP was intended to buy up or guarantee toxic debts owned by the US banks hence its name. But shortly after its creation, the US Treasury
took advantage of a loophole in the law to use it instead for a recapitalisation of the entire US banking system. Most of the TARP money has now
been repaid by the banks that received it.
Tier 1 capital
A calculation of the strength of a bank in terms of its capital, defined by the Basel Accords, typically comprising ordinary shares, disclosed reserves,
retained earnings and some preference shares.
Tobin tax
A tax on financial transactions, originally proposed by economist James Tobin as a levy on currency conversions. The tax is intended to discourage
market speculators by making their activities uneconomic, and in this way, to increase stability in financial markets. The idea was originally pushed
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by former UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown in response to the financial crisis. More recently it has been formally proposed by the European
Commission, with some suggesting the revenue could be used to tackle the financial crissi. It is now opposed by the current UK government, which
argues that to be effective, the tax would need to be applied globally not just in the EU as most financial activities could quite easily be relocated
to another country in order to avoid the tax.
Toxic debts
Debts that are very unlikely to be recovered from borrowers. Most lenders expect that some customers cannot repay; toxic debt describes a whole
package of loans that are unlikely to be repaid. During the financial crisis, toxic debts were very hard to value or to sell, as the markets for them
ceased to function. This greatly increased uncertainty about the financial health of the banks that owned much of these debts.
Troika
The term used to refer to the European Union, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund the three organisations charged
with monitoring Greeces progress in carrying out austerity measures as a condition of bailout loans provided to it by the IMF and by other European
governments. The bailout loans are being released in a number of tranches of cash, each of which must be approved bythe troikas inspectors.
Underwriters
The financial institution pledging to purchase a certain number of newly-issued securitiesif they are not all bought by investors. The underwriter is
typically aninvestment bank who arranges the new issue. The need for an underwriter can arise when a company makes a rights issue or a
bondissue.
Unwind
To unwind a deal is to reverse it to sell something that you have previously bought, or vice versa, or to cancel a derivative contract for an agreed
payment. When administratorsare called in to a bank, they must do the unwinding before creditors can get any money back.
Vickers Report
See Independent Commission on Banking
Volcker Rule
A proposal by former US Federal Reserve chairman Paul Volcker that US commercial banks be banned or severely limited from engaging in risky
activities, such as proprietary trading (taking speculative risks on the markets with their own, rather than clients money) or investing in hedge funds.
The Volcker Rule follows similar logic to the Glass-Steagall Act and the UK ring-fenceproposal, and a modified version of the rule was included in
the Dodd-Frankfinancial regulation law passed in the wake of the financial crisis.
Warrants
A document entitling the bearer to receive shares, usually at a stated price.
Working capital
A measure of a companys ability to make payments falling due in the next 12 months. It is calculated as the difference between the companys
current assets (unsold inventories plus any cash expected to be received over the coming year) minus its current liabilities (what the company owes
over the same period). A healthy company should have a positive working capital. A company with negative working capital can experience
cashflow problems.
World Bank
Set up after World War II along with the IMF, the World Bank is mainly involved in financing development projects aimed at reducing world poverty.
The World Bank is traditionally headed by an American, while the IMF is headed by a European. Like the IMF and OECD, the World Bank produces
economic data and research, and comments on global economic policy.
Write-down
Reducing the book value of an asset, either to reflect a fall in its market value (see mark-to-market) or due to an impairment charge.
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Yield
The return to an investor from buying a bond implied by the bonds current market price. It also indicates the current cost of borrowing in the market
for the bond issuer. As a bonds market price falls, its yield goes up, and vice versa. Yields can increase for a number of reasons. Yields for all
bonds in a particular currency will rise if markets think that the central bank in that currency will raise short-term interest rates due to stronger
growth or higher inflation. Yields for a particular borrowers bonds will rise if markets think there is a greater risk that the borrower will default.
Economy] Current affairs: E-filling income tax return + Yogendra Garg Committee
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2.
3.
Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) has notified that all individuals and Hindu undivided family will have to file income tax returns
electronically for assessment year 2012-13 if their income exceeds Rs 10 lakh.
Currently, business houses with receipts of Rs 60 lakh and professionals with income of Rs 15 lakh are mandatorily required to e-file their
return with digital signature.
electronically filed returns are processed at Centralised Processing Centre (CPC), Bangalore, and two new CPCs are coming up in
Manesar and Pune.
The department also provides some value-added services like tracking of refunds, viewing tax credit status, e-mail and SMS alerts
regarding status of processing and refunds to taxpayers who e-file their returns.
Yogendra Garg Committee
Central Board of Excise and Customs moniters the e-filling of income tax returns.
2.
3.
Yogendar Garg Committee is formed to look in the royality issue of coal mining.
4.
From 2012-13, only corporates houses will have to e-file their income tax return.
5.
GST is an indirect tax, that will replace the service tax and excise duty.
[Economy] Mutual Funds and Entry Load
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2.
3.
Sidenote: RGESS
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They accept money from common people and invest it in shares and bond marks.
And whatever profit / interest they make, they give back to the customer after cutting their profit Margin.
A mutual fund is a type of professionally-managed collective investment scheme that pools money from many investors to purchase
securities (Wikipedia)
A mutual fund is nothing more than a collection of stocks and/or bonds. You can think of a mutual fund as a company that brings together
a group of people and invests their money in stocks, bonds, and other securities. (investopedia)
What the Entry Load?
Mutual fund company pays Commission to the distributors (those agents / brokers etc), to market and sell their schemes.
Earlier Mutual funds used to charge 2.25% entry load from customers.
Meaning, if you give Rs.100 to the agent, the mutual fund company will only invest Rs.97.75 in various shares, bonds etc. while the
Rs.2.25 was paid to the agent who introduced you to the scheme and filled up your paperwork etc.
SEBI chairman believed that it is not good, these middlemen are not adding any value to the investment. hence he banned Entry load
thing from Aug09
Result: the agents started selling other products where Commissions are higher. Mutual funds started losing clients. After all this mutual
fund/ pension /insurance / childplans/ ULIP etc is a game of marketing (and fooling) people.
So in June 2012, the mutual fund-walla went to Finance minister and asked him to resume the Entry load mechanism.
FM has asked SEBI to look into the matter. So the matter is still being looked into.
SEBI chairman still says that entry loads are not good. At most we can allow MF to invest in Rajiv Gandhi equity saving scheme
(RGESS).
Sidenote: RGESS
recall that RGESS was launched to cut the middle men and lure middle-class investors into the capital market, otherwise they only invest
money in gold, real estate = problem of inflation, black money and current account deficit.
But after launching the RGESS, Pranab realized the mistake that most of his target audience (middle class junta) doesnt have PAN cards
and DEMAT account, which are prerequisite to play in shares and bonds investment. Then Government started talking about no frills
DEMAT Account.
[Economy] Shilabhadra Committee on Fake Currency : Recommendations for GS Mains
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2.
3.
To Increase the security features for currency notes (i.e. make it harder for Pakistanis to print fake Indian Currency)
To Prepare a roadmap for progressive indigenization of various inputs. (i.e. start printing currency using desi equipment and technology
instead of relying on foreign countries such as Switzerland etc. for the printing press, paper and ink).
What are the recommendation of Shilabhardra Committee?
1.
Create a Directorate of Currency under Finance Ministry to coordinate & oversee acquisition and R&D efforts of security features for
currency notes and other security products.
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2.
Under this Directorate of Currency, set up a National level research and Development unit for raw material, security features and currency
printing machinery.
3.
Government should try indigenisation of manufacture of bank note paper, security inks, security features, related equipments and coin
plating.
4.
Set up a Single national level coordinating agency for intelligence, law enforcement and investigation to tackle the menace of Fake Indian
Currency Notes (FICN).
5.
RBI should launch a big multimedia campaign for educating the public to distinguish genuine bank note from the fake notes.
Background : Fake Indian Currency Notes (FICN)
National Investigation Agency / NIA estimates that over Rs.16,000 crore worth Fake Indian Currency is in circulation.
Such notes, believed to have been routed from Pakistan, have been seized not only from India but also from Nepal, Bangladesh,
Afghanistan and Holland
Central Economic Intelligence Bureau (CEIB) says that The NIA, the CBI, the DRI and police have detected only 28 to 30 per cent of fake
currency actually circulating in the market
The quantum of fake currency floating around in the country is enough to keep the terrorist machinery well-oiled and running.
During the probe into the 26/11 attacks, the NIA found David Headley too had been provided with FICN by the ISI for his recce.
government has decided to classify offences involving high-value FICN as terror acts with an amendment to the Unlawful Activities
Prevention Act.
It can be concluded that the notes have been printed on highly sophisticated machines which a common man cannot acquire, since such
machines involve huge capital investment
There were other similarities between the FICN and Pakistans currency the same pH value for chemical nature, the same paper
density in g/sq m, and clear signs of having been printed on the same Simultan dry offset press. It proves that ISI and Pakistani state
players are involved in the fake currency game. (besides, Pakistan itself lives on the charity of USA, how can it finance its war against
India, except by printing fake Indian currency?)
Economy] Social Security: Meaning and Laws in India for APFC exam
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3.
4.
5.
Concurrent List
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7.
8.
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9.
any of the measures established by legislation to maintain individual or family income or to provide income when some or all sources of
income are disrupted or terminated or when exceptionally heavy expenditures have to be incurred (e.g., in bringing up children or paying
for health care)
social security may provide cash benefits to persons faced with sickness and disability, unemployment, crop failure, loss of the marital
partner, maternity, responsibility for the care of young children, or retirement from work
Social security benefits may be provided in cash or kind for medical need, rehabilitation, domestic help during illness at home, legal aid,
or funeral expenses
It acts as a facilitator it helps people to plan their own future through insurance and assistance.
History of Social security
Social security scheme was first introduced in Germany in 1883. Under the scheme, each member of a particular trade (blacksmiths,
painters, weavers etc) was required to contribute at regular intervals; such funds were originally used for hospital and funeral expenses
and for food and lodging for aged and disabled members.
In USA, Social Security Act came into existence in 1935. (years not important, this is only fodder material for Essay.)
Social Security in India
India has always had a Joint Family system that took care of the social security needs of all the members provided it had
access/ownership of material assets like land and gold.
However with increasing migration, urbanization and demographic changes there has been a decrease in large family units.
262
Concurrent List
Social Security and labour welfare falls under Concurrent list, it means both union and state Government can make laws regarding these topics.
Item No. 23
o
Item No. 24
provident funds,
employers liability,
workmens compensation,
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Article 41
State shall, within the limits of its economic capacity and development, make effective provision for securing the right to work, to
education and to public assistance in cases of unemployment, old age, sickness and disablement, and in other cases of undeserved
want.
Article 42
Provision for just and humane conditions of work and maternity relief
State shall make provision for securing just and humane conditions of work and for maternity relief.
Difference between Organized and Unorganized Sectors
Organized sector
includes primarily those establishments which are covered by the Factories Act, 1948, the Shops and Commercial Establishments Acts of
State Governments, the Industrial Employment Standing Orders Act, 1946 etc.
This sector already has a structure through which social security benefits are extended to workers covered under these legislations.
Examples: employees of union and state Government, army, navy, airforce, Multinational companies, Infosys, TCS and so on.
Unorganized sector
Examples
Rural Areas
Urban Areas
1.
2.
3.
share croppers
1.
street vendors
4.
persons engaged in
2.
hawkers
a.
animal husbandry
3.
b.
fishing
4.
cobblers
c.
horticulture
5.
tin smiths
d.
bee-keeping
6.
garment makers
e.
toddy tapping
7.
Construction workers
5.
forest workers
6.
rural artisans
Unorganized sector is characterized by the lack of labour law coverage, seasonal and temporary nature of occupations, high labour
mobility, dispersed functioning of operations, casualization of labour, lack of organizational support, low bargaining power, etc
SOCIAL SECURITY LAWS in India
264
covers factories and establishments with 10 or more employees and provides for comprehensive medical care to the employees and their
families as well as cash benefits during sickness and maternity, and monthly payments in case of death or disablement
Employees Provident Funds Act, 1952
applies to specific scheduled factories and establishments employing 20 or more employees and ensures terminal benefits to provident
fund, superannuation pension, and family pension in case of death during service.
Workmens Compensation Act, 1923 (WC Act)
Requires payment of compensation to the workman or his family in cases of employment related injuries resulting in death or disability.
Maternity Benefit Act, 1961 (M.B. Act)
provides for 12 weeks wages during maternity as well as paid leave in certain other related contingencies.
Payment of Gratuity Act, 1972 (P.G. Act)
provides 15 days wages for each year of service to employees who have worked for five years or more in establishments having a
minimum of 10 workers.
Social Security In India : Different From Developed Nations
today 1/8th of the worlds older people live in India. The overwhelming majority of these depend on transfers from their children.
Addressing social security concerns with particular reference to retirement income for worker
In India the coverage gap i.e. workers who do not have access to any formal scheme for old-age income provisioning constitute about
92% of the estimated workforce of 400 million people
Provident Fund
Here the employers to contribute to a provident scheme providing a lump-sum payment in the event of death or disability or on retirement.
Three disadvantages of Provident Fund
1.
2.
Provident funds are generally invested in government stock with a rate of interest fixed in money terms that may be below market rates.
3.
Real value of the accumulated savings may thus be substantially eroded by inflation by the time of retirement.
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But From the point of view of government, Provident Fund is attractive because it generates forced savings that can be used to finance national
development plans.
Mock Questions for APFC 2012 Exam
Q1 Which of the following statements are correct?
1.
2.
3.
Employees State insurance Act applies to any establishment with 5 or more workers.
4.
Workmans Compensation Act requires payment of compensation to the worker or his family in cases of
employment related death only.
Year
Payment of Gratuity
1961
Maternity Benefit
1972
Workmens compensation
1952
1923
2.
What is inflation?
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
Chinas official news agency Xinhua gives even more profound wisdom
What is the problem?
Among the major developing nations, Only Russia has higher inflation than us.
India has the second highest inflation with an average inflation of close to 7 per cent estimated during the seven years from 2005-12.
What is inflation?
266
Inflation rate refers to a general rise in prices measured against a standard level of purchasing power.
Why do we have inflation?
High inflation generally signifies that too much money is chasing too few goods, essentially implying that the demand for goods and
services is much higher than the supply, resulting in an increase in the prices of goods and services. (More on supply-side inflation,
explained in older articles. See the archive on www.mrunal.org/economy
What is the solution?
massive investments to ease the supply side problem [such as lack of 24/7 electricity and water supply to factories, cold storage for agroproducts, smooth road-connectivity between villages and cities and so on]
Government should cut down the subsidies (because theyre mostly misused for example cheap diesel for running generators that power
unnecessary Airconditioners in shopping malls)
Government should try to divert the public savings into infrastructure, agriculture, human resource development and so on. [at present
public savings go mostly in gold, real estate, share market speculation]
Private investments from India and abroad will have to be poured in large amounts.
What are the problems faced by Indian Businessmen?
1.
2.
3.
4.
1.
Common man will have to live with high prices for another two-three months as inflation is expected to come down only by September.
2.
Rupee is weakning against Dollar because when there is uncertainty in global market, investors look for safe havens (to invest) like the
US treasury bonds, German bonds and Gold. You find the entire worlds money is going to all three of these.
3.
In china, labour wages are on rise, so their manufacturing cost will increase.
b.
When rupee is weak (+ our labourers are cheaper than Chinese) then our exports can become cheaper and attractive in
international market.
4.
Foreign direct investments must be allowed in retail sector for it would be "highly beneficiary" for the farmers and be a major thrust to
Indian exports.
5.
And most importantly India needs governance reforms and corruption control.
Chinas official news agency Xinhua gives even more profound wisdom
weakness of the Indian government cannot be changed for a long timeThis means that after the 2014 elections, India could still have a
weak coalition government, which is definitely bad news for reformIndian political weakness will lead to a weak economy for many
years.
2.
In these two years, most politicians have to fight for votes and therefore, reforms will be set aside.
3.
4.
267
5.
Mohan has become conservative and is facing criticism for his complacency.
6.
7.
b.
c.
from bullet train, the economic growth has become express train
d.
8.
once illustrious Indian economy is suddenly faced with numerous questions and has become a loose brick among BRICS countries
9.
Incidentally, India played host to the BRICS summit in Delhi in March, which was attended by Chinese President Hu Jintao.
10. Giving the example of the stalled reform over allowing FDI in the retail sector, Xinhua says that Indias economy has not only lost direction
but even its growth has lost impetus.
And finally, the most profound wisdom on Indian Education and Career system
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
Technical stuff:
8.
9.
268
Primary when you buy fresh car (Bonds,IPO), secondary when you sell it to third party.
1.
Every businessman requires money to start or expand his business. There are only two legit ways to arrange money: Debt and Equity
(already saw in older articles). The place where (big) businessmen arrange money for long term investment, via Debt (Bonds) or Equity
(IPOs) is called Capital Market. Government also arranges for money by selling bonds here.
2.
3.
The first time (fresh) sale of Bonds or IPOs are done in a place called Primary market
4.
Suppose I buy that bond / IPO and then sell it to you, its called Secondary market. (used car sales). Anyways, These are only
theoretical classifications so the experts can evaluate how market or economy is performing. Otherwise all the buy and sell is done via
online.
Whats the problem with Capital market?
1.
More than 50% of the money invested in Capital Market belongs to FIIs. They tend to take away their money as and when they find better
investment opportunity in other countries. This makes the market quite volatile AND, weakens the rupee. The businessmen find it very
hard to arrange for the money.
2.
Most of the Indians donot invest in Capital market. They just put their money in gold, real estate pension plans, post office savings or
Fixed Deposit.
3.
The money is good for economy ONLY if it keeps circulating. For example, you buy gold and just store it in your locker- it is of no use to
economy. But if instead of buying gold, if you give the same amount of money as loan to xyz businessman (or start your own business),
that helps the economy- creates employment and gets you extra income.
4.
Besides, Gold purchase increases current account deficit. (we already saw this multiple times hence not elaborating again.)
Why do Indians not invest in sharemarket?
1.
Because most of them do not have Financial Education (or enough money).
What is financial Education?
It is the knowledge and understanding of key financial products you need throughout your adult life.
1.
bank accounts,
2.
insurance,
3.
269
4.
5.
6.
7.
2.
Mohan and Montek earlier wanted an investment of 1 trillion dollars in infrastructure (haha really!),
Now Montek says not possible because
1. Foreigners are not investing thanks to bogus reputation of Government.
2. We had made the 1 trillion figure when 1$=44 rupees! Right now the situation is totally different!
Mohan: koi baat nahi, if the outsiders are not coming then apno ko hi bottle mein utaar lete hai, by educating them about financial education!
Montek: but how does it relate with each other??
Answer
Infrastructure means highways, powerhouses, irrigation, damns, nuke plants etc.
To build such things, Government / private player will need truckload of money. Most of the big foreign players are not interested in this, after
seeing what happened to telecom companies and POSCO.
Mega Infrastructure projects are usually financed either by
1.
2.
3.
via Bonds.
Now you get the connection. Why would Mohan / Montek want indian junta to be educated about financial education? And why did not they think
about it 8 years ago?
Technical stuff:
National Strategy for Financial Education is being drafted by a sub-Committee of Financial Stability and Development Council (FSDC).
What is Financial Stability and Development Council (FSDC)?
A gang headed by Finance minister of India. The chiefs are RBI, SEBI, IRDA etc are the gangsters.
But RBI, SEBI and IRDA now says first take a survey that how much financial education and inclusion do the Indians have, so that we can arrange
for resources, booklets, advertizements, syllabus and MCQs accordingly!
Financial education already explained above.
What is financial inclusion?
It roughly means getting all the poor people in the banking and insurance net.
Because if they dont have a DEMAT account in the first place, how the hell are you going to make them invest in capital market?
Anyways this is just another scam coming
Mohan: ya according to our scheme, well give money to State Governments and theyll give money to district officials and Jholaachhap NGOs, to
270
educate the schoolchildren, College kids (if theyve time in between Indian Idol and sending more than 200 SMS per day), and common men.
For each person participating in such seminar and opening a bank / DEMAT account, well give Rs.200 to the concerned NGO, District office for the
Administrative expenses.
Epilogue:
District officials, jholachhap NGOs, wife-beater Panchayat members and bootlegger Municipal corporators (all in one voice): ya, now we
just have to create ghost muster-roll and eat up all the money meant for the beneficiaries, just like we do/did in IAY, PDS, TRYSEM, MNREGA,
SGSY and 50 dozen other schemes named after Nehru Gandhi family! Indeed Whaat an Idea Sir-ji!
,
[Economy] Bilateral Investment Treaty (BIT): Meaning, use, controversy, explained
1.
What is BIT?
2.
Why is it in news?
3.
4.
5.
6.
It provides for the terms and conditions for private investment by nationals and companies of one state in another state.
It gives the foreign investors the right to prosecute their claims against the host countrys actions, in a BIT investment tribunal.
i.e. If Vodafone (a Netherland based company), is unhappy with Indian Governments action, it can drag India to a separate tribunal
under BIT to settle the dispute.
When Supreme Court of India cancelled the 2G telecom licences- Sistema, a Russian corporation was also affected. It plans to sue
Indian Government in under the BIT, in an investment treaty tribunal.
271
Some folks in the Indian government think that we should simply renegotiate with those nations and delete the investor-state dispute
settlement clause from BIT so no company can sue us!
But they forget that it is a two way street. Deleting the investor-state dispute settlement provisions in BITs will negatively affect many
Indian companies who have invested majorly in Africa, Latin America and other countries like Nepal. Because our companies wont be
able to drag their Governments in tribunals if things go wrong.
#1: Judiciary is part of the state
Some people believe that Government of India (executive) did not cancel the 2G licences, it was done by Supreme court. Hence, the
matter is outside the jurisdiction of a BIT tribunal.
But a decision of any organ of the state, including the judiciary, can be challenged under a BIT.
In addition to the executive, sovereign actions of the judiciary and the legislature can also violate international law contained in a BIT, for
which India, as a country, will be liable in the BIT tribunal.
#2: More than just FDI treaty
Some people believe only foreign direct investment (FDI) falls under the ambit of BITs.
But the definition of investment in all Indian BITs covers investment, portfolio investment, intellectual property rights, rights to money or
to any performance under contract having a financial value or business concessions conferred under law or contract.
#3: BIT deals with taxation
The Inter-ministerial group formed in response to Vodafones notice to the Indian government under the India-Netherlands BIT reportedly
feels that taxation matters are outside the ambit of BITs.
But the fact is Taxation issues are also a part of the host states sovereign regulatory functions and hence fall within the ambit of BITs,
unless explicitly excluded.
Economy] Steps taken by Indian Government to enhance the Capital Market?
Before talking about the steps taken by Government to strengthen / improve the Capital Market, million dollar question is,
what is Capital market?
Ans- already explained in my earlier articles. Now here is the list of reforms initiated for Capital Market.
Anyways, to put this in crude words, Capital market is a place where companies and Governments borrow money from others via Debt (Bonds) or
Equity (IPO, Shares) for long term projects.
So why would Government want to strengthen this market or facilitate investment here? you can guess the answer!
Now whatre the reforms initiated in Capital Market of India?
First, the QFIs, are allowed to access Indian Equity Markets, corporate bonds and mutual fund debt schemes. (weve discussed this more than
once).
Secondly, External Commercial Borrowings (ECB) mechanism has been liberalized to finance Rupee debt of existing power projects.
3.
Financial Stability and Development Council (FSDC) has been setup. (already talked about this in the Why Mohan wants Indian Juntaa
to be financially educated?)
4.
5.
6.
7.
272
8.
Reduction in the rate of long-term capital gains tax in the case of other non-resident investors, including Private Equity from 20% to 10%
on the same lines as applicable to FIIs
9.
Providing the levy of Securities Transaction Tax (STT) at the rate of 0.2 per cent on sale of unlisted securities in the course of IPO .
Ill try to add articles on them, in future but cannot make a commitment like Wanted Salman Khan.
Ref
Factbook on Indian Economy released by Ministry of Finance sent to me by a good friend Syed Waseem Pasha.
The PDF version can be downloaded by this link
Clicking Me
Note: it has 11MB size, and most of the diagrams/ data given in it, are not useful from Exam point of view. But some gemstones scattered in
between.
[Economy] RBI doesnt want Ramalinga Raju in Banking sector + How Drought in USA brings Food inflation to world?
Not really an article, just tidbits on information.
1.
2.
3.
from Anil Ambani group, the Mahindras, L&T to Religare everyone wants to open a bank.
But the dreams of big industrial houses and non-banking finance companies (NBFCs) to set up commercial banks are unlikely to
materialise because RBI is against giving banking licence to any of them for the time being.
RBI will consider new licences only after Parliament approves the amendment to the Banking Regulation Act.
RBI had earlier said that promoters and promoter groups with diversified ownership, sound credentials and integrity that have
a successful track record for at least 10 years in running their businesses should be eligible to promote banks. (sorry Mr.Mallya)
Drought in US, Australia = Food inflation all over the world
273
Drought-like condition prevailing in both these countries and it has started to push up the price of soybean, corn, wheat and crude palm
oil in the global commodities market.
as much as 61 per cent of the United States agricultural land is facing deficient rains, and it is Referred as the worst drought in 25 years.
US exports more than half of all world corn shipments and also the top exporter of wheat and soy.
US drought is expected to hit global oilseed supplies as well. India is the biggest consumer of palm oil, accounting for around 17 per cent
of total world consumption.
India, the second biggest producer of rice, wheat and sugar, will review its export rules shortly as monsoon rains have been deficient by
22 per cent. But Sharad said, country wont ban exports of rice and wheat as food grains stocks with the government are in excess of 80
million tonne, which is far above the strategic reserve and buffer stocks norms.
Now the question:
How does drought in US bring Food inflation in India?
Even if we are not heavily dependent on US for our wheat or corn, the drought situation in US will create inflation in India. How? Because
If US is unable to supply the grains, the other countries will look for alternatives, so xyz trader of India, who has stockpiled truckload of
corn / wheat, he will find it more lucrative to export it abroad than sell it in the local market. So less supply in local market= food inflation.
It is for the same reason, every once in a while, Government has to make rules to ban the export of sugar, onion, rice etc. to control their
prices in local market. But then the traders lobby hard, and give suitcase full of money to the ministers, to lift the ban.
So, here comes another question : should India totally ban export of all food items, to control food inflation inside India? Think about it.
Economy] Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR): Meaning and implications
1.
What is SLR?
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
SLR Means Self Loading Rifle. The INSAS Rifle used by our Jawans, is one example of SLR. But for our purpose, SLR means
It is a tool used by RBI to control inflation and to boost growth. Anyways since last one year, RBI's primary aim is to control inflation.
If RBI sets SLR to 25%, that a Bank must keep 25% of its Total deposits, into non-cash forms prescribed by RBI: that is.
1.
In Gold
2.
3.
274
But most bank prefer to put all the money in Government securities (G-Sec), because they're more safe and convinient than the other
two.
What happens if SLR is decreased?
Earlier SLR was 24%, but on last day of July, RBI changed it to 23%.
That means, if earlier SBI had total Rs.100 Deposited in all its 11,000+ branches, then SBI would have to park Rs.24 in G-sec but with
new RBI rule, SBI will have to park only Rs.23.
Meaning SBI can take away Rs.1 from its G-sec investment and use it for giving as loan to regular customers. So, SBI will sell G-sec
worth Rs.1 from its suitcase and use that 1 Rupee for lending as House, Car, Business loans to the customers.
SBI has one more rupee to lend to the customers, it'll reduce the interest rate (to seduce more customers). Thus Interest Rates go down
when SLR is decreased.
In real life, 1% decrease in SLR, means SBI alone will have additional Rs.10,000 crores for lending
And all the banks (SBI, ICICI, Bank of Baroda etc combined), will have more than 68,000 crores for lending.
Now the reverse: If SLR is increased, then banks have less money to lend = they'll charge more interest rates on loans to keep the profit
margin same.
But why would SBI sell G-sec?
Earlier I said, Banks prefer to park the SLR money into G-Sec, because it is safe and convenient. But when something is safe the rate of
return (profit) is not high.
In case of G-sec, the rate of return on G-sec is 7.5%, while if SBI lends the same money to customers- it can earn more than 10%
(because car and home loans have more than 10% interest rate, usually.)
SBI takes initiative
Just because RBI decreased SLR, doesn't mean all banks will immediately reduce the loan interest rates (Thank god they don't behave
like Oil Companies- who have formed up sort of cartel, and then rarely reduce oil prices even if crude oil price decreases in global
market.)
Anyways, whenever RBI decreases rates, usually SBI takes the initiative and decreases interest rates to attract new customers. [Because
SBI is a big player with deep pockets, it can suffer temporary losses to get new customers- just like Wallmart etc. do by offering huge
discounts].
Other banks such as ICICI, will then have to reluctantly follow the suit, to keep up with the competition of SBI.
SBI reduced its Car loan interest rate from 11.25 to 10.75% and
So now if ICICI wants to keep in business, it'll have to reduce its rates. [can't just rely on Bacchan's advertisement power.]
Why is it called "Statutory" Liquidity Ratio?
It is called Statutory because it is provided by the Law/Statute(The Reserve Bank of India Act).
This Act says SLR cannot be more than 40% and less than 25%. [hahaha, if SLR was 40% then who would open a bank in the first
place?!]
But in 2007, Government amended the act and removed the lower limit of 25%, so thus RBI went to 24 and 23% SLR.
How does SLR reduction impact Bond Yield?
275
You already know what is Bond yield. If not, then go through the Eurozone Article. (Click Me)
The Newpapers are reporting that Bond Yields increased after RBI cut down the SLR. So why or how did that happen? Think about it!
SLR decrease unusual
Usually, RBI would try to manipulate the money supply in the market (and thus control inflation) by changing the repo rate, and SLR is
kept unchanged, but this time, RBI kept the Repo rate unchanged and instead decreased SLR, why? Again, Think about it.
[Economy] Urban Financial Inclusion : New Directive of the Government to cut Subsidy leakage
2.
3.
1. open at least one bank account for every family in urban areas living below poverty line in urban areas.
The responsibility of enrolling families would lie on the bank branch in every ward or circle of a municipal corporation.
In case there is no bank branch in a particular ward or circle, the responsibility would be given to the neighbouring bank branch.
Rural Financial Inclusion
Earlier, the same department had directed banks to open at least one bank account for every family living in financial inclusion villages.
Why? = To directly transfer MNREGA wages, Widow Pension etc. into the bank account.
Why does Government want Bank accounts for Poors?
Government wants to cut down leakage of subsidies and limit the total subsidy burden at 2 per cent of the GDP. (because if lot of crooks
are eating away MNREGA / Pensions etc. in half way, then subsidy bill will be high. So to prevent the crooks, money must be directly sent
to bank accounts of Poor People.)
Therefore in last few months, Finance ministry has undertaken pilot studies for direct transfer of fertiliser, kerosene and LPG subsidies.
In the Union Budget 2012-13, Pranab had also announced that the Aadhar platformwould be used to support the payments made under
o
MGNREGA,
1.
276
2.
3.
India has rice and wheat stocks exceeding 80 million tonnes. It is 125 per cent higher than the buffer stock norms.
But the impact of the drought will be felt in pulses especially tur dal (pigeon pea), coarse cereals, oilseeds and rainy season
vegetables.
And the Increase in fodder prices will eventually lead to a rise in the prices of milk, meat and poultry.
Drought situation in India
The average annual rainfall in India is 1,160 millimetre, although this is erratic in four out of ten years.
It has an irrigation potential of 140 million hectares 76 mha from surface water and 64 mha from groundwater
but despite all the technology and Administrative machinary, every year 16 per cent of the countrys total area and about 50 million
people in the country are exposed to drought like situation, due to poor management and low water utilisation efficiency.
What are the solutions?
Irrigation
Drip and sprinkler irrigation systems in scarcity areas will also help save water, upto 85%.
Using such systems instead of normal surface irrigation could boost yield by 10-50 per cent.
Farmers have problems due to cumbersome loan procedures and consequent delay in loan
disbursement.
Therefore loan availability needs to be made simpler, especially in drought hit areas.
These products cover for low or high rainfall, cloudbursts, sudden changes in temperature and
hailstorms.
Steps should be taken to link farmers to the remunerative markets directly through farm-to-fork
approach.
Strong farm-fork linkages will induce farmers to adopt new farming technologies, trigger investment
in logistics, save resources and protect farmers from the vagaries of the weather.
Loans
Insurance
Cut down
Middlemen
Economy] Electricity generation in India: Grid failure, privatization, problems, reasons, solutions and more
1.
277
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Components of a grid
7.
8.
9.
Private players
Coal India
Farmers
Per capita electricity consumption in China is about 3.5 times that of India. [ If a countrys electricity, cement or steel consumption is
higher than India, it means means theyre more advanced and Developed than we are].
Hydro and coal account for nearly 77 per cent of electricity generation in India.
Problem with hydro power
hydro power contributes to only about 20 per cent of electricity generation in India, while in China- the Three Gorges dam alone satisfies
10% of Chinas electricity consumption.
Only about one-fourth (25%) of the India hydro potential has been harnessed. Why?
Lack of vision,
slow decision-making
Weak law-enforcement. (the whole naxal belt- Government cannot start any projects there)
Weve huge potential of hydro power generation in Arunanchal Pradesh but most of the projects are stalled due to Border disputes with
China. (lack of political will.)
Coal Based Electricity Generation
278
country has the worlds fifth largest reserve of coal but its quality is poor because of very high ash content.
Compared to Chinas exponentially increasing output, Indian production has remained almost stationary during the past two years.
Existing mines have strict limits as to how much coal they can extract.
New mines are difficult to open because of the trouble in obtaining environmental and land clearances.
What was the reason behind grid failure?
The national electricity transmission network links up Indias five regional grids.
some states used more than their quota of power from this network.
Why? Because of the low monsoon, farmers were using more electricity to pump out more ground water.
So this extra demand of electricity overburdened the system, causing a cascade of failures.
To cut the burden, power plants were shut down, some automatically because of computer softwares.
grid is an interconnected network of transmission lines : on one hand it has Generating station and on the other hand it has load centres.
generating stations
They put together, supply the electricity demand through the transmission
lines;
For an electricity grid to function smoothly, it is essential that load and generation must be balanced at all times to prevent a failure.
The flow of electricity through the lines should ideally not exceed the rated capacity, otherwise the lines could trip due to an overload.
Components of a grid
power stations
produce electricity from fossil fuels (coal, gas) or non-combustible fuels (hydro, nuclear, wind, solar);
transmission lines
Transformers
reduce the voltage so that distribution lines carry power for final delivery.
279
First reason: equipment failure due to reasons such as fog and pollution
Second reason: when one or more constituents violate the grid code and overdraw in a big way from the grid, causing it to fail due to the
imbalance in the power injection
Northern states are repeat violators of the grid frequency norms, especially Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Punjab, Jammu and Kashmir.
Penalty for Grid violation
If a state draws more electricity than its quota, then it has to pay penalty known as Unscheduled Interchange or UI rate.
Uttar Pradesh is the repeat offender of grid violation, it has UI penalty bills of several hundred crores and delays the payments. The state
has also taken advantage of a High Court order under which it does not pay the full UI penal rate.
What is the network in India like?
At present the northern, western, eastern and northeastern regions are integrally connected through AC (alternating current) transmission
links to form what is called the NEW grid.
Players in the game
Private players
Few years back, (when there was no recession in US and call centres were booming), the private players thought that Indias middle
class will grow exponentially, and everyone will buy TVs, fridge, washing machine and computers. Thus demand of electricity will increase
and we could make heavy bucks. So many private players (like Anil Ambani), entered the game and opened their thermal power stations.
Problems faced by private players in power market
electricity-generating companies in the private sector do not get enough coal from Coal India, or get the Indian Railways to transport it in
time.
And They cannot import lot of coal from abroad (Australia) because it is expensive and Government controls the electricity prices, so
they cannot pass on the cost of import to the final consumers.
Thus industrialists have started reduced long-term investment in new plants. Some of them had taken loans from Banks and now showing
inability to repay the loan on time, so banks are also feeling the heat. And adding insult to the injury, Less electricity = expensive electricity
= low IIP, low GDP, high WPI and CPI.
Coal India
it is the Government controlled mining company that has monopoly over digging up coal through out India.
Coal India has $11 billion of unused cash, but reinvests only about 20 per cent of its gross cash flow into research and Development
(R&D).
So its coal processing capacity, machinery etc. are not up to the mark according to international standards.
Management is weak because of strong trade unions [just like Air India] and the system is rife with corruption. [just like MNREGA]
Local Electricity companies
Most local distribution firms are state-owned and all but bankrupt, as local politicians insist that tariffs stay low and that juntaa especially
farmers, get free power- especially during the election year. And given Indias polity, weve elections round the year- in this state or that
state. So there is no dry year, in which Government can take tough non-populist measures.
Lack of modernisation, poor operation and maintenance practices and pilferage (stealing of electricity) ensure that 30-40 per cent of
electricity generated is lost and do not produce any revenue.
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Farmers
Farmers get free power to pump groundwater for irrigation, but some of this free power is illegally diverted to factories.
Since electricity is free, farmers run their pumps whether or not crops require water. As a result, groundwater levels in many states are
declining by over 1 metre every year.
This means each year, farmers have to use more electricity to pump water from increasing depths,
Secondly, when ground water table decreases, the soil becomes more saline. And saline soil produces less crop. Combine this with
Deforestation and soil erosion= farmers are forced to use more and more fertilizers to produce same amount of crop.
So, in the end this becomes a vicious cycle of excessive electricity and fertilizer use.
install new electricity regulator with teeth. (just like SEBI is for capital markets.)
Install nuke power stations, disregarding the protests by jholaachhap NGOs and their foreign masters.
Sort out border disputes with China, so that Arunanchal Pradeshs hydro potential can be fully utilized.
You already know about No Frills Account, (if not, click me) With respect to that topic, Muhammed yunus has shared this update:
Introduction
RBI had introduced "no frills" account in 2005 to provide basic banking facilities to poor and promote financial inclusion.
But now, The RBI asked the banks to drop the no frills tag from the basic savings a/c as the this no frills had become a stigma.
Anyways,
SERVICES PROVIDED UNDER BASIC SAVINGS a/c.
1.
2.
3.
4.
No charge will be levied on non operation of account [important fact for MCQ]
5.
Recipe of money through electronic payment channels or by cheques issued by government agencies
6.
This would help those covered under the welfare schemes like MGNREA in receiving payments. [important fact for MCQ]
[Economy] LIBOR Scam : Meaning, Reasons, Consequences, Timeline, explained
What is Libor?
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2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
What is Barclays?
Suppose SBI and BoB (Bank of Baroda) are London based Banks.
If Bank of Baroda borrows money from State Bank of India, say 1 crore pounds for 1 month @12% interest rate.
In short, LIBOR= the interest rate at which banks borrow and lend from each other in London. (i.e. SBI is lending @12% and BoB is borrowing
@12% interest rate, but either way the interest rate is 12%.)
But this is a technically not so correct definition. Because there ought to be more than two banks in whole London and all of them cant be lending to
each other at the same interest rate, right? Well come to that problem very soon but first of all.
Why the hell do banks lend each other?
In every country, there is one RBI (Central Bank) and there are some SBIs,BoBs etc. (Commercial banks). Usually, the SBIs take
deposits from customers and some loans from RBI and lend this money as home/car/bike/business/personal loan to other customers. So
why do these banks need to borrow from each other?
Well, there are days when more customers have made withdrawals than deposits. (e.g. before Diwali / Christmas or IPL cricket betting)
so a Bank has to borrow from its rival banks to cover the shortage of cash. It is not necessary that a bank is running into losses and
hence borrowing from the other banks. Because a bank would have loaned the money to other customers for 5-10-20 years period so it
cant immediately recover all the cash in one day.
On the other side, banks with a cash surplus can make extra profits by lending its cash to a rival bank.
Thus, Banks lend to each other on a short-term basis to either to cover the shortage of cash or to make a profit.
How do banks borrow each other in London?
When you want to take car- loan, you visit various bank branches, take their brochures, if youre tech-savvy you might just visit the
website of all famous banks and compare their interest rates, loan terms etc. So, there is total transparency about interest rates,
But when one bank has to borrow from another bank, such transactions take place via phone-conversations between their executives,
there is lot of give and take, bartering etc. for exampleif your bank promises not to setup any ATM booths around Gujarat university for next five months and ill reduce the interest rate!
another case
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I know your 20,000 crores rupees are stuck in the loan given to that Mallya. So youre in no position to negotiate. Give me 18% interest
else I wont offer any loan.
In short, there are many variables and behind the curtain deals.
We can know the buying and selling price for shares of Infosys by glancing at the Nation Stock Exchange website/ screen/ CNBC or
similar business news channels.
For the last 26 years, the British Bankers Association (BBA) has computed Libor by asking dealers what they saw as prevailing market
conditions, deleting the high and low values of the reports, and taking the average of rest data.
Who calculates LIBOR?
Every day, 16 banks in London, will send SMS to the BBA Manager, giving the the interest rate that they are charged to borrow money.
The BBA manager will delete the four highest rates and the four lowest rates. And then hell take average [mean] of the remaining data.
If a bank is weak and unlikely to repay money on time then the rival banks will demand higher interest rate while lending money to that
weak bank.
Means, A bank has to pay a higher interest rate to borrow funds if other lending banks have less confidence in it.
So, The rate each bank has to pay is in part a reflection of their rivals perception of its financial strength, effectively how much it is
trusted.
This means that the Libor rate gives an indication of the health of the wider banking sector.
HIBOR=for Hongkong
Whatre the Implications of LIBOR
In UK, the Banks charge interest rate on home loans according to LIBOR. If LIBOR increases then home loan interest rate also increases.
Even in USA, majority of the home loans were linked to LIBOR rate (in 2008).
Many Futures and derivative contracts in forex, commodity and oil market are based on LIBOR rates.
In short, The prices of trillions of dollars worth of financial transactions around the world are set according to Libor.
Indirect implications are many (both positive and negative), for example, If a businessman in US or UK has to pay more interest rate for
getting loans,
1.
283
2.
3.
he may be outsource the work to India and Philippines to reduce the operational costs.
4.
he may scale down his operation, thus reducing the amount of raw material / input products imported from India. and so on
Why LIBOR scam?
Recall the earlier statement: A bank has to pay a higher interest rate to borrow funds if other lending banks have less confidence in it.
If youre Managing Director/CEO of a Bank, you wouldnt like to report the higher interest rate of borrowing. Because that means other
banks have less confidence in you. Imagine what consequences it can bring?
1.
The aam-juntaa would still keep coming to your bank as long as you hire celebrities to do the advertisements.
2.
But, The big corporate houses, have wise Chartered Accountants, who understand the meaning of such numbers and its long term
consequences. So, CA may advice his CEO to close the companys bank accounts and deposit money in other banks.
3.
Some big Companies may even stop taking loans from you.
4.
The price of your shares, go down in the sharemarket, because investors lose faith in your bank.
And with all this mess, the Board of Directors may remove you from your CEO job and hire a new CEO to fix the bank.
What is Barclays?
It is the fourth-largest of any bank worldwide (First three banks are: BNP Paribas, Deutsche Bank and HSBC)
On a side note, if we make list of Top 50 banks of the world according to the cash theyve, then there is no bank from India.
Recall the sub-prime crisis, Barclays, along with many other banks had given loans to plenty of unworthy customers in US, who didnot
have the aukaat to repay the loan. Barclays money was stuck in USA around 12 billion dollars worth of toxic assets. So Barclays
situation was bad, the other rival banks of London, knew it and they didnot have much confidence in this bank.
But even during this period, Barclay [and other 15 banks in London] had to send daily SMS to BBA Manager so that he could calculate
the LIBOR.
So, Barclays CEO Mr.Bob Diamond sent artificially low figures to BBA manager, in order to hide the fact that his bank was in a mess.
[recall the concept : if bank X has to pay more interest for borrowing from another banks compared to bank Y, that means Bank X is
weaker than Bank Y.]
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Its not that Bob Diamond himself sends fake SMS from his Nokia 1100, theyd have pretty sophisticted email or software system and
dedicated staff for doing all this, but the Barclay staff will not dare to send wrong data to BBA, without the secret consent and approval of
Main boss.
Because, During the global financial crisis (2007 and afterwards) the RBIs (Central Banks) in developed countries (like UK, France and
US) had started giving loans to their nations banks at very nominal or close to 0% interest rate in order to boost the economy.
So the various banks in London, also got cheap loans from RBI of UK (known as Bank of England).
Now their CEOs had incentive to to quote higher than usual rates of borrowing because if LIBOR went up, then their banks could earn
more interest on Libor-linked loans.
If LIBOR rate was manipulated even by 0.01%, then these banks could make a about a couple of million dollars more in the interest rate
charged on home / business loan customers.
So, Barclays is not the only villain this scam, just like A.Raja is not the only guy in 2G scam.
Side-Question: if the banks in London are getting cheap loans from their RBI, then Barclays should also have recieved some loans from
their RBI @0%, right? yep, but Barclays was in bigger trouble (12 billion dollars) than the amount of money their RBI could lend to fix the
mess.
It is also alleged that Barclay staff also coordinated with staff from other banks to jointly report the false data to BBA. [Because these
people had invested in various futures/derivative contracts whose payment depended on LIBOR rate.]
Wrong Data= Wrong Average
You already know that BBA manager will receive 16 SMS every morning, hell remove the top 4 and bottom 4 values and take average of
the remaining values and publish that number as LIBOR rate for that day.
If even a single SMS [value] is incorrect, then hell get a wrong average [LIBOR].
In our case, Barclay is reporting lower than usual, while some other banks are reporting higher than usual, so overall the Average
(LIBOR) increased.
So all these years, BBA manager was publishing wrong LIBOR, because he wasnt getting the right data from Barclays and other banks.
And because of the Wrong LIBOR rate, the UK and US citizens had to pay higher interest rates on home, student and business loans
[because their banks set the home/education/business loans interest rates according to LIBOR rate]. Similarly investors in Forex,
Commodity etc. market ended up paying more than necessary money for the contracts, because their contracts were linked to LIBOR.
Timeline of Events
2008
The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) published an article on this activity of sending wrong data.
20112012
Jun
2012
Barclays Bank was fined $160m by the United States Department of Justice, $200m by the Commodity Futures
Trading Commission, and 59.5m by the Financial Services Authority for attempted manipulation of the Libor and
Euribor rate.
July
2012
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August
2012
Innocent aspirants of UPSC, Bank and MBA are forced to learn one more topic for the exam.
What is ICVL?
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Mock Questions
What is ICVL?
Administrative control
Ministry of Steel
Ministry of Steel
Ministry of Steel
Ministry of Power
Ministry of Coal
It has a capital base of about Rs 10,000 crore and enjoys the powers of a navaratna company.
Why was ICVL formed?
To secure metallurgical coal and thermal coal mines abroad, preferably in Australia/ New Zealand, Indonesia, Canada/ USA, South
Africa/ Mozambique.
By the way India has sufficient coal in its own land, but it is either located in Naxal region or cannot be mined due to environmental
clearances/ Supereme Court order, hence the need to acquire more coal from abroad.
Type
Use
Metallurgical coal
Thermal coal
286
Whats ICVLs problem?
Ever since its formation, it has failed to acquire any overseas coal assets either through bids or through takeovers.
So on one hand you cant dig enough coal from India, on the other hand, you are not acquiring enough coal from abroad. What will
happen?
a.
b.
c.
d.
All of above.
Why no acquisition of coal mines abroad?
Mineral giant NMDC went ahead and secured mines in Australia and
These individual pursuits by the members are diluting the collective efforts made by them under ICVL.
Coal Indias problem
NTPC has already quit from this ICVL because of its non performance.
Of the remaining four members, three are under the administrative control of the steel ministry and are consumers of metallurgical coal to
be sourced through ICVL.
So, the business interest of CIL would be seriously compromised if it remains in this ICVL gang.
1.
2.
3.
1.
2.
Ministry of Coal
3.
Ministry of Power
4.
Ministry of Steel
What is CRR?
287
2.
3.
2.
4.
Repo Rate
5.
6.
Bank Rate
7.
8.
9.
2.
3.
Banks in India are required to hold a certain proportion of their total deposits with RBI in cash form.
Right now, CRR is about 4.75% that means if people deposit total Rs.100 in SBI, then SBI would have to deposit Rs.4.75 in RBI.
CRR rule doesnot apply to Regional Rural Banks, Non Banking Financial Companies (NBFC), Mutual funds or insurance companies.
What is Scheduled Commercial Bank?
Scheduled banks are those banks which have been included in the second schedule of the Reserve bank of India act of 1934.
The banks included in this schedule list should fulfill two conditions.
1.
The paid capital and collected funds of bank should not be less than Rs. 5 lakhs.
2.
Any activity of the bank will not adversely affect the interests of depositors [hahaha, does it mean Non-scheduled banks are allowed to
adversely affect the interests of depositors !?]
Examples of Scheduled Commercial Banks
288
Public Sector
Private Sector
Majority stakes are held by private players.
2.
1.
ICICI,
2.
HDFC,
3.
AXIS Bank
Total Deposit
Rs.100
CRR: 15%SBI has to park this much amount of total deposit in RBI, without getting any interest.
-15
SLR: 38%SBI has to park this much amount of total deposit, in Government securities / treasury bonds. SBI
earns around 7.5% interest rate on this investment.click me for more on SLR
-38
100-1538=Rs.47
Total Deposit
Rs.100
CRR: 4.75%SBI has to park this much amount of total deposit in RBI, without getting any interest.
-4.75
SLR: 23%SBI has to park this much amount of total deposit, in Government securities / treasury bonds. SBI
earns around 7.5% interest rate on this investment.
-23
100-4.7523=Rs.72.25
In either case, as long as youre running a bank, youll have some input costs such as
1.
Salary to Bank PO , Clerks, peons and security guards (With rusted guns)
2.
Office rent
3.
4.
Newspaper advertizements.
To pay above salary and bills, SBI would need to maintain certain amount of profit margin, no matter what RBI does with CRR,SLR or Repo Rate.
In Case#1, when SBI has only Rs.47 in the hands, what can it do to keep the profit margin same?
289
Obviously SBI will have to increase the interest rates on car,home,bike,business loans given to customers.
In case#2, when SBI has Rs.72, what can it do? Here the situation is not that bad.
So, SBI chief would decrease the interest rates on car,home,bike,business loans to seduce more customers. We already discussed this- SBI has
more money so it can cut down interest rates and suffer temporary reduction in profit, in order to seduce more customers (compared to ICICI) So
once SBI has reduced the interest rates, other banks will need to reduce their interest rates, to stay in the competition.
Repo Rate
Lets continue assuming the Case#2, that SBI has only Rs.72.25 left in its locker.
SBI chief comes to know that recently Samsung Company has launched Galaxy S3 mobile so
plenty of youngsters may want to buy it because of the advertisements that appear on TV
channels 24/7
Thus there will be demand for more personal loans (EMI) or credit card based shopping. But
SBI got only Rs.72.25.
So SBI chief would borrow some more money from RBI @8% interest rate and then re-lend
this money to customers as personal loan @16% (and thus making a killing profit of 168=8%)
or he can supply money to customers for Credit Card shopping, and in that case he can earn
interest rate anything between 16-37% or even more (depending on hidden terms and
conditions of credit card.)
This 8% : the rate @which RBI lends short term loans to clients, is called Repo Rate.
Reverse Repo Rate
So, if SBI chief feels there is not enough demand for loans and most of those 72.25 Rupees are sitting idle, hell deposit some of that
cash, in RBI.
Thus, Reverse repo rate is the interest rate which RBI pays its clients* for their short-term deposits.
Note: Reverse Repo Rate is automatically kept 1% less than Repo rate according to new RBI rules. [Since Nov.2010, Reverse Repo rate
is constantly 1% less than Repo].
Side Question
Bank rate is the interest rate which RBI charges from its clients* for theirLONG-term loans.
Recall that Repo Rate = RBI charge that much interest from its clients onSHORT term loans.
*Whore the clients of RBI?
1.
Union Government
290
2.
State Government
3.
NABARD (through that money goes to Microfinance companies and Regional Rural Banks)
4.
5.
Non Banking Financial Companies (NBFC) like Muthoot Finance and Mannapuram Gold Loans.
Bank Rate, Repo Rate and Reverse Repo Rate applies to all Clients of RBI.
2.
The CRR,SLR applies to Commercial Banks. (including Urban Cooperative banks but excluding Regional Rural Banks)
What is the need of all these CRR,SLR,Repo rates?
RBIs main job = control inflation by controlling money supply in the market.
Too much money in the market =easy to get loans= not good. Because Itll create inflation. [Demand Pull]
Too less money in the market= again not good, because businessmen find it hard to get loans, thus input cost of production increases=
not good for economy either and itll create inflation. [Cost push]
Therefore, RBI will increase/decrease these CRR, SLR and Repo Rates according to the situation in order to adjust the money supply in
market and thus control inflation. [Monetary policy]
Nowadays RBI doesnt touch Bank rate much and mostly relies on Repo rate to control the money supply.
CRR and SLR are also not changed as frequently as Repo rate.
And Reverse repo rate is automatically kept 1% less than Repo rate, so that makes Repo rate the most frequently used tool in RBIs
monetary policy, in last two years.
Apart from that, CRR,SLR and Repo Rate also help those competitive magazine wallas to fill up pages with ridiculously unimportant data
tables to make your life more miserable
What is the problem with CRR?
Acts like the library deposit, so if your bank goes broke / doesnt play by the rules then RBI can use its CRR deposit to
temporarily fix things.
But in 2007, Government amended the RBI act so now RBI doesnt have to pay any interest on the CRR deposits.
Obviously the SBI, ICICI etc wouldnt like it because their money is sitting idle in the lockers of RBI without earning any interest.
65 lakh crores
291
etc)
If SBI/ICICI etc. could lend these 3 lakh crores (CRR deposits) to customers@10%, they could easily earn Rs.30,000 crores in interest
payment.
UK, Canada, Sweden, Australia and New Zealand donot have CRR system in any form.
In USA, there is graded system i.e. small banks dont need to maintain any CRR with their central bank. While big banks would need to
maintain CRR Deposit according to their size.
Side Question: How big? Answer: no need to do Ph.D on that question trail.
By the way, USAs RBI (Central Bank) is known as Federal Reserve systemand commonly known as Feds. So sometimes while
randomly surfing through BBC/CNN you might come across lines like Market boomed /crashed after Feds cut down the rates theyre
talking about USAs RBI changing their repo, SLR etc. rates
Interestingly, USAs RBI (Feds) pays interest on the CRR deposits, while Indias RBI doesnt pay any interest on CRR deposits.
What does SBI want?
CRR does not help anyone and it is unfair to apply it only on banks.
Even if CRR is required why should it be on banks alone? There are a number of institutions that raise funds from the public insurance
companies, mutual funds and NBFCs so CRR should be applicable to all.
In India, Businessmen get loan @11 per cent while that for a Chinese equipment manufacturer gets loan in his country for only 4 per cent.
So CRR= less money in market= higher interest rate= increases the input cost of Indian products.
Deputy Governor of RBI
On SBI chief Pratip Chaudharis demand for removal of CRR, the Deputy Governor of RBI K C Chakrabarty, replied that
if the SBI Chairman is not able to do business as per our regulatory environment, he has to find some other place.
On this [rude] comment of Chakrabarthy, SBI chief Pratip Chaudhari replied,
(doesnt matter what anyone says) I wanted to start a debate on CRR in the public domain, so let that debate happen.
Timeline of Events
Early 90s
CRR used to be as high as 15% and SLR used to be as high as 38.5%, thus making life of businessmen and aam
juntaa difficult.
292
1992
1996
1999
Throughout the year, RBI keeps increasing Repo Rate to combat inflation.
SBI chief Pratip Chaudhari demands removal of CRR. [He has been doing it since a long time, even in
2011 seminars]
So, This CRR removal news topic would have faded away just like it did in 2011, had the RBI deputy
governor not replied on SBI chiefs statement.
But RBI Deputy governor did, so the media blows the news out of proportion that RBI snubs SBI
chairman.
And thus the Innocent aspirants of UPSC, bank and MBA exams, are forced to learn one more topic
i.e. CRR controversy.
2007
2010
2011
August
2012
Bank Rate=9%
2.
3.
CRR=4.75%
4.
SLR=23%
Mock Questions
293
b.
c.
d.
At present, Bank Rate > Repo Rate > Reverse Repo Rate.
Repo rate is the interest rate paid by RBI to banks on short term deposits.
b.
A decrease in repo rate will increase the home loan interest rates.
c.
d.
Q3. What were the steps taken by RBI in its monetary policy during 2011 to control inflation in India. Do you think RBI
achieved its objective? Give reasons to justify your stand. (Mains)
Q4. If you were the RBI Governor, what steps would to take regarding the CRR issue?(interview)
What is FCRA?
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Controversy
7.
Mock Questions
What is FCRA?
It regulates the foreign contribution (money donation) and foreign hospitality (e.g. free airplane tickets and hotel lodging during videshyaatra) given to various NGOs, institutes, judges, journalists, public servants etc.
What is the need of FCRA Act?
To check that foreigners are not affecting Indias electoral politics, public servants, judges, journalists, NGOs etc. for wrong purposes.
If someone violates the FCRA act, he can be sent to jail for up to 5 years.
Who can accept Foreign Contribution?
Organizations working for definite cultural, social, economic, educational or religious programs.
But first, theyve get permission from the Ministry of Home Affairs AND
Second, they have to maintain separate account book listing the donation received from foreigners and get it audited by a Chartered
Accountant and submit it to Home Ministry every year.
Who cannot accept Foreign Contribution?
294
1.
Election candidate.
2.
MP and MLAs.
3.
Newspaper-walla: Correspondent, columnist, cartoonist, editor, owner, printer or publishers of a registered Newspaper.
4.
Public Servents: Judge, government servant or employee of any Corporation or any other body controlled on owned by the Government.
Why is FCRN Act in news?
Earlier Mohan said that US based NGOs are financing the protests @KundanKullam Nuke Power Plant.
So Home ministry got in action, bank accounts of some NGOs were frozen after it was found that they were diverting money received
from their donors abroad into funding protests at the Koodankulam plant.
Now, Home ministry has cancelled some more registrations including top 8 national educational institutions such as -Jawaharlal Nehru
University, IIT-Kanpur and Jamia Milia Islamia saying that these institutes are not maintaining proper FCRA accounts.
so, Unless their registrations are restored, these institutions cannot receive contributions from abroad.
Controversy
The Home Ministry had earlier made a notification that if xyz organizations accounts are audited by CAG then it doesnot need to maintain
FCRA accounts.
Jamia Milia, JNU etc. = Central Universities = hence audited by CAG = They dont need to maintain FCRA accounts in the first place.
Mock Questions
Finance Ministry is responsible for implementing Foreign Contribution Regulation Act (FCRA)
2.
3.
A Lok Sabha election candidate can accept foreign donations for campaign after taking necessary approval from
Chief Election Commissioner.
Q2. Write a note on the Salient Features of Foreign Contribution Regulation Act (FCRA). 12 marks.
Economy] Petroleum, Chemical and Petrochemical Investment Region (PCPIR): Meaning, features
For UPSC GS (Mains) exam under [yearbook] or [economy] section.
1.
Introduction
2.
What is PCPIR?
3.
4.
5.
Organizational setup
6.
295
Petroleum, Chemicals and Petrochemical industry is very important for Indias economic growth.
Hence, to promote more investment in this sector and make the country an important hub for both domestic and international markets, the
government came up with the idea of Petrochemical Investment Regions (PCPIRs).
What is PCPIR?
Petroleum, Chemical and Petrochemical Investment Region (PCPIR) would be a specifically delineated investment region with an area of
around 250 square kilometers.
for the establishing manufacturing facilities for petroleum, chemicals & petrochemicals, alongwith the associated services and
infrastructure.
PCPIR would be a combination of production units, public utilities, logistics,environmental protection mechanisms, residential areas
and administrative services.
PCPIR may include one or more Special Economic Zones, Industrial Parks, Free Trade & Warehousing Zones, Export Oriented
Units.
All the benefits available under the relevant legislation or policy will continue to remain available to the said SEZ or Parks, that form part
of the PCPIR.
Role of Union Government
It will ensure the availability of external physical infrastructure linkages to the PCPIR
For example, Rail, Road (National Highways), Ports, Airports, and Telecom, in a time bound manner.
This infrastructure will be created/upgraded through Public Private Partnerships to the extent possible.
Role of STATE GOVERNMENT
would identify a suitable site, prepare the proposal and seek approval
Acquire/ assist in acquiring the land necessary for setting up of the infrastructure, processing and non-processing areas.
2.
3.
4.
Sewerage and effluent treatment linkages, from edge of PCPIR, to the final disposal sites;
5.
1.
State Government will locate a site and send application to union Government.
2.
High Powered Committee constituted by the Government of India will scrutinize applications for setting up the PCPIR.
296
3.
Department of Chemicals and Petrochemicals (DoC&PC) will be the nodal department of the Government of India for the PCPIRs.
4.
Once passed, the State Government will make necessary law to notify xyz site as PCPIR region.
5.
Then a Management Board will be constituted by the concerned state government for each PCPIR, under the relevant legislation
6.
This Management board will be responsible for the development and management of the given PCPIR.
Example of PCPIR regions
Gujarat PCPIR in Bharuch District of South Gujarat. Similar projects in Tamilnadu and Andhra Pradesh.
[Economy] BEE Labeling in India:
1.
What is BEE?
2.
3.
4.
5.
It was set up under the provisions of the Energy Conservation Act, 2001.
Why was it setup?
Research shows that to provide the final consumer 1 watt of energy, the power station has to produce 4 watts of electricity (4-1=3 watts
are lost in transmission and distribution).
Hence, if the final consumers (you and I) used energy efficient products then power stations would have to produce less energy = less
pollution, less input costs etc.
Functions taken by BEE?
minimum energy performance standards and labelling design for equipment and appliances
Create awareness and disseminate information on energy efficiency and conservation. For example BEE has launched a mobile
application AC Power Saver that will help consumers calculate their expected annual bills and the potential saving with a five-star AC as
against those with the lower stars.
297
BEE labeling is mandatory for air-conditioners, frost-free refrigerators, distribution transformers and tubular fluorescent lights etc. (more
products are added in the list every now and then)
If Product A has 5 stars and B has 3 stars that means, product A consumes less energy than product B yet delivers same (or better)
output. Hence Product A is more energy efficient.
(and consumers are more likely to buy Product A, thus indirectly helping in energy conservation)
BEE labeling for cars
Itll be mandatory for all passenger car makers to display special star labelling indicating fuel efficiency for their product cars, from April 1,
2013,
This star-rating (based on a five-star scale, with five being the most efficient and one the least) will help compare the fuel efficiency of
different car models within the same weight class.
BEE defines cars in five-star category are those which roughly consume up to 7 litres of fuel for 100 kms
[Economy] Arbitration Act: Foreign Investment disputes
1.
What is Arbitration?
2.
Arbitration Act
3.
Why in News?
4.
Implication of SC Judgment
What is Arbitration?
For smooth functioning of business and industry, Quick decision of any commercial dispute is necessary.
Internationally, it is accepted that normally commercial disputes should be solved through arbitration and not through normal judicial
system
An arbitrator is basically a private judge appointed with consent of both the parties.
Object of arbitration is settlement of dispute in an quick, convenient, inexpensive and private manner so that they do not become the
subject of future litigation between the parties.
Arbitration Act
Suppose American company and Indian company made some business deal and then had some dispute. Both of them went for
Arbitration in America and the American arbitrator gave an order Indian company is guilty and it should transfer its Ahmedabads factory
to that American company.
Now to implement or enforce this award, The American company has to send a copy of this judgement to the concerned Indian court in
Ahmedabad and that Indian court will pass an order that Indian Company shall transfer the ownership of Ahmedabads factory to that
America Company before xyz date.
One advantage of foreign award, according to foreign parties, is that Indian courts come into picture only at the time of implementation of
award.
And the Indian courts can refuse to implement the award only on limited grounds.
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Why in News?
10-years ago, Supreme Court had given a ruling that Indian companies can approach Indian courts against unfavorable awards by
foreign arbitration panels.
But in Sept.2012, Supreme Court said in a judgement that if an Indian investor chooses to go for arbitration with a foreign company
abroad, Indian courts would have no jurisdiction to interfere with the arbitration award unless provided under law.
Implication of SC Judgment
Foreign companies have so far found it extremely difficult to get foreign arbitration awards against their Indian partners enforced through
Indian courts because courts would stay the award saying they have the jurisdiction to do so.
But now Supreme court has said that Indian courts have no business to interfere with such foreign judgments, hence Itll create a
more investor-friendly atmosphere for foreign companies intending to set up shop in India.
Economy] Insurance Types, IRDA, Reforms, FDI in Insurance for AFPC, LIC AAO etc exams
1.
2.
IRDA
3.
4.
1.
2.
Insurance Ombudsman
1.
2.
Selection of Ombudsman
General Insurance
2.
Life Insurance
5.
6.
7.
2.
Pending Reform
8.
LIC
9.
GIC- Reinsurer
Insurance is a subject listed in the Union list in the Seventh Schedule to the Constitution of India.
That means only Union Government can make laws on insurance (a state Government cannot make law on this subject)
299
IRDA
IRDA has the power to frame regulations regarding Insurance market (just like SEBI for Capital market)
promotion of competition so as to enhance customer satisfaction through increased consumer choice and lower premiums. (for example
IRDA allowed Health Insurance Portability)
Organizational setup of IRDA
1 Chairman
5 whole-time members
4 part-time members
Receive and consider complaints in respect of insurance from any person who has any problem against an insurer.
Insurance companies are required to honour the awards passed by an Insurance Ombudsman within three months.
If the policy holder [customer] is not satisfied with the award of the Ombudsman he can approach other venues like Consumer Forums
and Courts of law for redressal of his grievances.
Selection of Ombudsman
Ombudsman are drawn from Insurance Industry, Civil Services and Judicial Services.
A committee comprising of Chairman, IRDA, Chairman, LIC, Chairman, GIC and a representative of the Central Government select the
Insurance Ombudsman.
There are twelve Ombudsman across the country allotting them different geographical areas as their areas of jurisdiction.
An insurance Ombudsman is appointed for a term of three years or till the incumbent attains the age of sixty five years, whichever is
earlier.
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What is premium?
To enjoy SAB TV, Zee TV, Star Movies, AXN, HBO etc. youve to make regular payment to Dish TV/Tata Sky etc., we call it subscription.
Similarly to get insurance protection, youve to make regular payment to the insurance company, we call it premium.
Insurance Policies: Types
Name
Sub categories
protection against natural and climatic disasters for agriculture and rural businesses
coverage for project, construction, contracts, fire, equipment loss, theft, etc.
Commercial Insurance
policies
protection against loss and damage of property during transportation, transactions, marine
insurance etc.
Endowment
You pay the premium till you retire or till the term of the policy.
Insurance company collect premium form the insured for the certain period of time like
15, 20, 25, 30 years.
If you die within that term, the company will pay huge money to your family.
If you dont die within that term, company will return the premium you paid + some
interest or bonus on it.
You keep paying premium for given period (5,10,20 etc. years)
If you die within that period, your family gets huge money.
But if you dont die within that period, you will not get a single penny from the company.
Term Plan
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Good part- Term Plans have cheaper premium than other plans.
Company invests it in Debt and Equity markets. [click Me to know more about Debt and
Equity Markets]
The profit generated by this investment, will be given to you no matter you die or not.
Thus you get the benefit of risk cover as well as the investment gains.
In 1972, Government of India passed of the General Insurance Business (Nationalisation) Act,
With this Act, Government took control of all the private insurance companies of India and created 4 companies
up to 26% is allowed.Update: 49% allowed after Mamta Left the UPA alliance.
For example Bajaj Allianz Life Insurance Company Limited is a joint venture between
The Indian Company Bajaj (that scooter maker, has 74% stakes in this company.)
The Foreign Company Allianz AG (German Company, has 26% stakes in this company)
Similar arrangement was present in Max New York Life Insurance Company But the New York Life sold its stakes and left the game
hence the new name of the company is Max Life Insurance Company. [You might have seen the ads on TV about its name change.]
Reform in Insurance sector
Already Done by IRDA
If an Insurance company has been in business for 10 years, it can launch IPO.
Mobility / Portability in Health Insurance= if youre unhappy with your Health (Medical) insurance company, you can change it.
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Pending Reform
Mohan: I want to increase the FDI limit from 26% to 49%. Then more foreign companies would come up = more products = lower premiums.
Mamatha: But Im opposed to FDI in Retail, Insurance and Aviation.
Mohan: Ok I drop the idea sir-ji.
LIC
Started in 1956
HQ: Mumbai
Motto: Yogakshemam Vahamyaham (taken from Gita, meaning I carry what you require.)
Suppose LIC sells 1000 life insurance policies, each with a 1 crore policy limit (e.g. I, the customer pay Rs.10,000 premium every year
and If I die my family should get 1 crore- that type of Policy).
Theoretically, the LIC could lose 1000 crores in a day, if every customer dies on the same day!
So to prevent itself from such a loss, LIC itself should take some insurance from a third insurance company (GIC).
for example I, the LIC Manager shall continue to pay the GIC 1 lakh every month, and in return GIC insures that if my company LIC has
to pay more than 100 crores in policy claims within 1 week, then GIC will cover the cost.
So, This third party, General Insurance Corporation of India (GIC) = Reinsurer.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10. Every Insurance Company has to appoint an Insurance Ombudsman in its head office.
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11. Currently, a foreign company can invest upto 49% in an Indian Insurance company.
12. IRDA has allowed portability in life insurance products from 2011.
Economy] Labour Laws and Industrial Relations in India for APFC / EPFO exam
This article keeping the upcoming APFC exam in mind:
1.
2.
3.
4.
1.
2.
Vishaka Case
3.
Factories Act
4.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Labour Courts
6.
Industrial Tribunals
7.
8.
9.
Retirement Benefits
UNORGANISED LABOUR
6.
7.
2.
3.
4.
Labour Bureau
5.
Welfare Commissioners
6.
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8.
7.
8.
Board of Arbitration
Industrial relation = interactions between employers (businessmen/bosses), employees (workers) and the government (which makes the
laws for them).
Labour laws=made by Government, they deal with a workers well being in the office: for example working hours, hiring and firing,
maternity leave, pension, union formation etc.
Constitution of India: workers provisions
Artic
le
Provision/how is it related?
15
16
19
The right to form union.But it does not carry with it the right to achieve every object. Thus the trade unions have no
fundamental to right strike. (it is only a legal right under the industrial dispute Act)
21
right to live is not merely confined to physical existence but it includes within its ambit the right to live with human
dignity.
23
24
Child labour
33
Those working in armed forces etc cannot enjoy all the fundamental rights.
39
41
42
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judgment also laid down the definition of sexual harassment, the preventive steps, the complaint mechanism, and the need for creating
awareness of the rights of women workers.
Factories Act
Employer must provide crches in factories where more than 25 women are employed
Equal Remuneration Act
for the payment of equal remuneration to men and women workers for same or similar nature of work
Labor Laws in India
Here is the list of all Labor laws in India, Click On this image.
gives immunity to the trade unions against certain forms of civil and criminal action.
right to register a trade union however does not mean that the employer must recognise the union there is in fact no law which provides
for recognition of trade unions and consequently no legal compulsion for employers, even in the organised sector, to enter into collective
bargaining.
Minimum Wages Act
This law governs the methods to fix minimum wages in scheduled industries (which may vary from state to state).
Strikes and lockouts
Workers have the right to strike, even without giving notice to their boss, unless it involves a public utility service.
Employers (bosses) have the right to lockout, subject to the same conditions as a strike.
If that fails, they can go to government appointed conciliation officer whose intervention may produce a settlement, which is then
registered in the labour department and becomes binding on all parties.
If that fails then parties can go for arbitration (private judge) or labour court.
Industrial Disputes Act (IDA)
A company with more than 100 workers must get Governments permission before mass layoffs or closing down business.
Employer cannot change the existing service conditions / salary of a worker unilaterally without giving a notice of 21 days to the workers
and the union.
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A permanent worker can be removed from service only for proven misconduct or for habitual absence due to ill health, alcoholism and
the like, or on attaining retirement age.
In other words the doctrine of hire and fire is not approved within the existing legal framework.
Industrial Disputes Act provides for setting up of Labour courts and Industrial tribunals.
Labour Courts
2.
wages,
2.
hours of work,
3.
leave, retrenchment,
4.
closure of a company
5.
A settlement arrived at in the course of labour court/ industrial tribunals is binding on all parties to an industrial dispute.
Workmans Compensation Act
covers all cases of accident arising out of and in the course of employment and the rate of compensation
The injured person, or in case of death the dependent, can claim the compensation.
This law applies to the unorganised sectors and to those in the organised sectors who are not covered by the Employees State Insurance
Scheme
Employees State Insurance Act
provides a scheme under which the employer and the employee must contribute a certain percentage of the monthly wage to the
Insurance Corporation and itll run hospitals for them.
Retirement Benefits
There are two main types of retirement benefit generally available to workers.
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Emigration Act
no agency can undertake the recruitment of Indian workers with foreign employers without possessing a registration certificate issued by
the Protector General of Emigrants.
UNORGANISED LABOUR
those who have not been able to organise themselves in pursuit of common objectives on account of constraints like casual nature of
employment, ignorance and illiteracy.
They donot enjoy sick leaves, maternity benefit, provident fund etc. facilities enjoyed by organized labourers.
But Government is making various schemes to help them out for example Aam Admi Bima Yojana, New Pension Scheme (N.P.S) etc.
2.
3.
fishermen
4.
5.
leather workers
6.
handloom workers
7.
weavers
8.
rural craftsmen
9.
salt workers
Established in 1919
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International Labour Organization has a tripartite governing structure, (usually with a ratio of 2:1:1)
1.
representing governments,
2.
employers
3.
workers
Ministry of Labour
Important OFFICES/institutes with Labour Ministry
1.
2.
3.
Welfare Commissioners
4.
Board of Arbitration
5.
6.
7.
V.V. Giri National Labour Institute, NOIDA [He was the 4th President of India and wrote books on labour related matters.]
[^This list not exhaustive, Im only listing the important ones for MCQ]
Work done by offices with labour ministry
[again list not exhaustive, just providing the facts important for MCQ]
Chief Labour Commissioner
Fixation and revision of minimum wages by notifications under the Minimum Wages Act, 1948
Labour Bureau
Compilation and publication of the Consumer Price Index Numbers for industrial and agricultural workers
Welfare Commissioners
Providing welfare facilities to the workers employed in the mica, limestone, dolomite, iron ore, manganese and chrome ore mines and in
the beedi and cinema industries.
Employees State Insurance Corporation (ESIC)
Implementation of Employees State Insurance Act, 1948, which provides for medical care and treatment to insured persons and their
families.
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Providing assistance in terms of benefits during sickness and maternity, compensation for employment injury, pensions for dependants on
the death of workers due to employment injury, etc. to employees covered under the ESIC Act.
Employees Provident Fund Organisation (EPFO)
Compulsory arbitration of disputes between the Government employees and the Government on pay and allowances, weekly hours of work and
leave.
MCQs for APFC/UPSC Exam
Which of the following statements are correct?
1.
Supreme court laid down the guidelines against Ragging in Vishaka Case.
2.
Humane conditions of work and Maternity Relief are fundamental rights enshrined in Indian Constitution.
3.
Workers have the legal right to strike, even without giving notice to their boss in any industry.
4.
Consumer Price Index Numbers for industrial and agricultural workers are published by NSSO
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
The office of Directorate General of Mines Safety falls under the Administrative jurisdiction of Coal Ministry.
10. EPFO and ESIC are autonomous institutions under Finance Ministry.
[Economy] 9% GDP and 4% Agriculture growth: Fodder material for Essay and Interviews
1.
2.
3.
4.
Time Factor
5.
Inflation
6.
Exports
7.
Policy environment
8.
Labour
9.
2.
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10. Railways: Cross subsidization
11. How to get 4% growth in Agriculture?
1.
Cold storage
2.
Supply lines
3.
Land Leasing
4.
Non-farm Employment
5.
12. MSME
13. Regional imbalance
14. Infrastructure Development
1.
2.
3.
2.
Electricity
3.
4.
Coal production
5.
6.
Nuke
7.
Solar
8.
Hydro
Water price
2.
Tubewells
3.
Urbanization
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21. Conclusion
This is not really an article, just compilation of some important fodder material for GS, essay, group discussion and interview.
Often we hear the newspaper columnists and TV-debatewallas talking
if India wants 9% growth then it should xyz
if India wants 4% growth in agriculture then it should do xyz
So, let us make a list on what should be done.
What is the theme of 12th Five Year plan?
Sustainble growth = you know what that means. If not, go through Kyoto and RIO+20 article
More inclusive growth= Women, SC,ST,BPL, Physically challenged and minorities should also benefit from 9% GDP growth. + The fruits
of Growth should be spread all over India and should not get concentrated in a few big states only.
What are the main targets of 12th FYP?
Every year GDP should grow the 9%. (this was the original target but in Oct 2012, Government concluded that it is beyond our aukaat to
grow at 9%, so the new target is 8.2% per year).
Higher agricultural growth would provide income benefits to the rural population and
At present, 30 per cent of the population is below poverty line. 12th FYP wants to bring down the poverty ratio by 10 per cent.
major flagship programmes in the Eleventh Plan, would continue in the Twelfth Plan. most notably the
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
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Nowadays much of the growth process is now driven by actors outside the direct control of government.
These actors are : farmers, entrepreneurs, corporate houses and market forces.
This, however, does not mean that government has no role to play in the development process.
1.
2.
3.
4.
Providing essential public services (police, fire, health education, drinking water, sanitation etc)
Time Factor
Development requires time and patience. For example, if Government takes step to improve education for the poor kids.
but the impact will only be reflected in actual income earning much later (When they grow up and start earning).
So, even when policies are moving in the right direction, the results may only be evident much later.
Inflation
but when inflation beyond this tolerable level usually put at 5 percent to 6 percent, then itll start damaging the overall growth and
inclusiveness (of poor people.)
Inflation has been well above this level in the past two years and while India is not the only emerging market country experiencing this
problem.
But inflation in India has been higher than in most other countries
High rates of inflation in food prices, especially vegetables, fruits, milk, eggs, reflected in double digit rates of inflation as measured by the
Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the past two years
1.
2.
3.
Monetary policy is the traditional instrument for dealing with overall inflation,
Last two years, RBI gradually tightened the monetary policy, but it can be effective only if it is supported by appropriate fiscal policy.(i.e.
steps by Government)
Exports
India has become a more open economy in the post-LPG Era. But It is still less dependent on export demand than other emerging market
countries
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Problem: How India can actually expect to grow faster in an environment in which export demand will be weaker. (because of slowdown
in US and EU).
Answer: even if export demand from industrialised countries is weaker, many emerging market countries are projected to grow more
rapidly. (Brazil, South East Asia etc.)
So, if we target these fast growing markets our export performance could be improved.
Traditionally, we have viewed current account deficits of around 2 percent of GDP as comfortable.
current account deficit in 2010-11 was already around 2.5 percent of GDP
Policy environment
India has only recently begun to attract global capital and given the size of the economy, and its perceived high growth potential,
If Indian Governments policy towards FDI is seen to be supportive, then India will remain an attractive investment destination for coming
years.
But there is also a situation when but investment does not take place even after allowing FDI, relaxing environment laws etc. simply
because entrepreneurs do not find investment opportunities attractive, i e, animal spirits are missing.
Therefore, Government needs to create an overall policy environment conductive for investment (not just FDI but also infrastructure,
labor laws etc.)
Labour
At the same in the industrialised countries, and also in China, it will be going down.
1.
sufficient investment is taking place to generate the GDP growth (and thus employment) to absorb this youth.
2.
Right now, over 90 percent of our labour force has received no formal training prior to employment and skills are typically acquired only
on the job.
Indias position today is roughly comparable to Chinas in the 1985, and starting from that position, China achieved an average growth of
GDP over 10 percent per annum for 30 years. There is no reason why India cannot do the same.
How to upgrade skills of labour force?
Eleventh Plan had set a target of having 500 million individuals in the labour force with some formal training by 2020.
There is National Skill Development Council under the chairmanship of the prime minister.
But Government must Involve the private sector in skill development, because it increases the likelihood that the skills imparted are
marketable.
Reducing the fiscal deficit
(we already discussed this in length, in the two kelkar articles) but still
314
most important initiative in this context is the Goods and Services Tax (GST)
Because implementation of the GST involves a constitutional amendment, a successful outcome may take time
2.
Government is not going to form any No new pay commission for some years.
Government provides lots of subsidies on food, fertilisers and on petroleum products, which together account for around 2 percent of
GDP.
But Food subsidies cannot be reduced much, because of upcoming National Food Security Act.
Railways: Cross subsidization
Cross subsidy in crude term means that Railways doesnt increase passange train ticket price and makes losses. So to cover these
losses, it increases the freight (goods, coal etc.) transport prices. And thus indirectly increases the inflation.
improve soil health: increase micro-nutrients and carbon content in the soil.
Provide soil health cards issued to farmers, with periodic soil testing. Then the farmer will be given tailormade advice on how type of
crops, seeds, fertilizer, irrigation method is suitable for his farm, according to his soil-health card.
Carbon content can be increased by shifting from the traditional practice of burning crop residue to leaving it in the field.
Reduce water consumption in agriculture
Use new practices such as land levelling, use of drip irrigation, zero till cultivation, raised seedbed planting
Most of the growth in agriculture in future will come not from foodgrains
but from sectors such as horticulture, dairying and fisheries, where the produce is perishable (Food that will decay rapidly if not
refrigerated)
So Government must pay greater attention transporting produce from the farm to the consumer, with minimum spoilage.
This requires active involvement of the private sector, cold storages, better quality roads etc.
Supply lines
The present Agricultural Produce Marketing Committee (APMC) Acts prevent the private sector buyers from dealing directly with
producers.
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When rural population increase, the farm holdings are subdivided and become uneconomic.
The very small and marginal farmers should lease out their tiny land to more viable farmers, and move into other sectors for better
employment.
But small farmers will do it only if they felt that they could lease out their land and get it back when they want.
Yet, leasing is not legal in some states. Where it is allowed, the law is biased towards the tenant (Someone who pays rent to use land).
In manufacturing sector, the corporates make huge profit even after giving salaries to the employees. And much of this profit is reinvested
for research and Development of new products. (e.g. Apples iphone 5) and in expansion (e.g. Tata making new automobile plant in some
state)
Therefore, manufacture and service sector continues to grow, because new products are created, new demand is generated, new
employment is generated.
But Productivity in agriculture is low and too many people are employed in it. So after paying for seeds, farm-labourers, even a big farmer
doesnt have enough extra-money/profit left, which he can use to drastically change his farming practice (like buying big farming
equipments from US, importing best hybrid quality seeds from top company etc.)
1.
land consolidation : small farmers should lease their land to big farmers/ cooperative farming.
2.
This is actually necessary to reduce the present underemployment/ disguised unemployment in agriculture and increase real wages in
this sector.
Agricultural development will itself give rise to new demands for non-agricultural services and generate employment in agriculture-related
sectors such as modernised marketing and agro-processing activity.
Change the focus
At present, Governments policy/ attitude is that if give the farmers huge subsidies in electricity, seeds, and loans, then agro-productivity
will automatically increase.
But Government should focus more on changing in farming practices, introducing new technology. So that farmers become less
dependent on subsidies in the long run.
MSME
If Government wants to move people out of agriculture, then Micro, small and medium enterprises (MSME), are generally more labour
absorbing,
So Government must provide policy environment to encourage the growth of these industries and this does not mean sops and subsidies.
But instead, give them
first class infrastructure which includes both reliable electricity supply at reasonable cost.
Regional imbalance
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Northern states are industrially backward at present, but have high labour supply.
So the respective Governments must improve the employment opportunites right within their states.
But those companies will come only if there is right atmosphere and environment in the state. That means
1.
No naxalite problem
2.
3.
4.
5.
Rationalise our labour laws to give employers more flexibility to shed labour when faced with a downturn.
Infrastructure Development
some sectors, e g, telecommunications, achieving higher levels of investment than projected, while others achieved significantly less.
For 9% growth, we need total investment of $1 trillion over the Twelfth Plan period.
And Government the first priority must be to spend money in education and health. Because those two sectors are crucial for
inclusiveness and are currently underfunded.
Both the central and state governments must therefore follow an infrastructure strategy which consists of a combination of public
investment and public-private partnership (PPP).
Public investment would have to be directed to areas where the private sector is unlikely to come. (e.g. backward regions, rural areas).
Quick Project implementation
Infrastructure projects are often delayed due to difficulties in land acquisition and environmental clearance.
the current processes are often not sufficiently transparent and predictable.
This sector involves: banks, non-bank finance companies, microfinance institutions, capital markets, mutual funds, insurance companies,
pension funds and venture capital fund etc.
reform are already in the pipeline
road map for new private sector banks and foreign investment in banks,
317
passage of the Company Laws Amendment which will modernise bankruptcy proceedings.
2.
very high fiscal deficit, crowds out corporate borrowing. (recall first Kelkar article)
LIC, EPFO, etc, are very conservative at present when it comes to investment. Whatever money they get from clients, they prefer to
invest it in G-sec instead of higher yielding corporate bonds.
Reason: if the private company defaults or goes bankrupt then it is very hard and time-consuming to recover the bond-money.
While banks, can easily recover loan money via SARFAESI, bond holders can only have recourse to liquidation and bankruptcy
procedures which are hopelessly time consuming.
Therefore Government must amend the Company laws etc. to fix this problem.
Energy Economy
global supply of crude oil = will remain tighter in the years ahead, and therefore crude oil price will also remain high
Therefore we must increase domestic supply of energy from both conventional and non-onventional resources.
Reducing Energy Intensity
LPG and Kerosene
LPG and kerosene prices remain under administrative control and are currently set well below global levels
Government doesnt want to raise kerosene and LPG prices because of the impact on vulnerable groups,
but it must be recognised that the subsidy implicit in the present low prices of kerosene and LPG is completely untargeted.
In the case of kerosene, it also leads to large-scale black marketing, adulteration and criminalisation.
Electricity prices are set by supposedly independent state regulators, but there is strong political pressure on regulators in many states
and it prevents them from increasing electricity price.
The system must be allowed to function properly so that electricity prices are not artificially depressed, especially as coal prices are
expected to rise. (otherwise subsidy burden= more fiscal deficit= inflation.)
Increasing Domestic Energy Supply
318
expand domestic production of petroleum, natural gas and also coal to avoid excessive import dependence
Coal production
Coal industry is nationalised, although private investment is allowed in captive coal mines (i e, coal mines linked to power plants or steel
and cement plants).
the policy for the coal industry should be liberalised allowing private investment.
Solar and Nuke Energy
We must also take steps to exploit the full potential of other energy sources notably nuclear, solar and wind power.
Both nuclear and solar power are more expensive than coal / gas power plants and
While increased reliance on solar/nuke sources will contribute to energy security, reduce climate change, but it does imply higher energy
costs.
But Costs can be expected to come down as technology develops further. (e.g. compare price of Desktop PC in 1998 vs 2012)
Nuke
Expansion of nuclear power is an important element of Indias long-term energy strategy and this has been facilitated by the recent
agreement with the Nuclear Suppliers Group which gives India access to imported uranium, and also opens windows for other
cooperation in this area.
Problem: Bogus NGOs and semi-naxalite intellectuals protesting against Nuke plants after receiving bribes from abroad.
Solar
Can make huge dams in Arunchal Pradesh and generate thosands of MW electricy.
Indias available supply of fresh water is the same as it was 5,000 years ago, and the population has grown.
excessive withdrawal of = water table gets low =land salinity increases = agriculture output decreases.
If things are left to business as usual, the situation will worsen steadily.
Solutions:
1.
2.
3.
groundwater recharge
4.
5.
About 80 percent of Indias water use is for agriculture and it is technically feasible with better agricultural practices, to reduce
water use in agriculture by 40 percent to 50 percent
319
6.
This leads to poor maintenance of the canal system due to low funds.
Tubewells
The present laws only provide for banning new tubewells in areas where the water table has fallen too far.
This only confers a monopoly on existing tubewell owners to pump as much water as they wish and sell it to other farmers.
Free electricity for agriculture provides a wholly unjustified incentive for such activity (of selling tubewell water).
So, state governments should consider imposing a cess (tax on tax), on electricity for agricultural use in all areas where the water level
has sunk too low.
Right now only 30% of the sewage generated in urban areas, is treated before getting discarged into rivers. Government should increase
this to 100%.
Urbanization
The urban percentage of the population is currently around 30 percent, and is expected to reach 40 percent by 2030.
Most of the revenue generated from economic activity in the country occurs in urban areas.
But most of this tax Revenue goes to Union and State Government and not to the city municipalities.
So, municipalities in India also have limited money to improve the water, sewerage and urban transport system.
Jawaharlal Nehru National Urban Renewal Mission (JNNURM) introduced in the Eleventh Plan fixing this problem. But much needs to be
done yet.
Environment Protection
We want high growth (9%) without inflicting much damage to the environment.
But these two objectives (9% growth vs protect environment) cannot be achieved simultaneously in many situations for example,
9% growth = need lots of power/electricity =need coal and hydropower= forest clearance.
But there are certain areas where we must not make any compromise, for example tiger reserves and very select biospheres.
Corruption
These things indirectly increase the input cost for the entrepreneurs and hence inflation also increases.
As a general rule, competitive bidding among qualified bidders provides the most transparent way of allocating scarce resources such as
mining rights or spectrum.
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Many countries have a public procurement law whereas in India government procurement is governed by rules.
Government schemes
In following schemes, the Complaints of leakages, inefficiency and corruption are widespread
1.
2.
National Social Assistance Programme (NSAP) which provides an old age pension
3.
MNREGA
4.
National Rural Drinking Water Programme: at covering villages which do not have an assured supply of potable water
5.
Rajiv Gandhi Grameen Vidyutikaran Yojana (RGGVY) : electricity to all uncovered villages and provides free connection to all BPL
families
6.
Indira Awas Yojana (IAY) which provides assistance to the rural poor to build pucca homes
Why problem?
central government only finances these programmes, and actual implementation is carried out by state government agencies
Many schemes involve cooperation between different departments of government, e g, of agriculture, irrigation and rural development or
the departments of health, education and women and child development.
Unfortunately, Government departments typically work in silos = interdepartmental cooperation very difficult = lot of leakage and wastage.
Secondly many schemes have separate id-cards and registers = cross verification difficult = corruption. So need to fully implement UID as
soon as possible.
The panchayati raj institutions (PRIs) donot have enough funds to carry out the Development activities.
Conclusion
We live in a world of rising and faltering economies. So, The future is what we make of it. Nothing is ordained or pre-determined. India
can rise, if the right steps at taken at right time.
Much of what needs to be done to accelerate GDP growth to 9% (or 8.2%) will be done by the private sector, but the governments too
have a crucial role to play in providing a policy environment that is seen
[Economy] Ethanol Blending in Petrol: Pros and Cons, + Mohan sets up GoM
1.
2.
Pro-argument
3.
Anti-argument
4.
5.
6.
Solution
What is Ethanol fuel / Gasohol?
1.
When Ethanol is mixed with petrol, such fuel is known as Ethanol Fuel / Gasohol (=Gasoline + Ethanol).
2.
It can be used with no modification to the vehicles engine. (if concentration of ethanol is upto 10%)
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3.
1.
2.
3.
Cleaner air means healthier people, especially those that suffer from respiratory diseases. Mortality rates will decrease, health care visits
will decrease in number and severity, health care costs will decrease, and productivity will improve as absenteeism and performance is
improved.
4.
Gasohol is typically cheaper than petrol as it is cheaper to manufacture. (just like adulterated milk minus negative effects on health!)
5.
India is the fourth largest producer of ethanol in the world. By blending petrol with 10 per cent ethanol, 80 million litres of petrol could be
saved annually in India.
6.
7.
Ethanol blended petrol cleans the car engine over time, by dissolving the harmful deposits and dirt from pipes and chambers.
Anti-arguments against Ethanol Blending
1.
Ethanol is derived from Sugarcane, corn, sorghum. Ethanol blending in petrol, increases the demand and ultimately the price of these
crops. + indirectly increase fertilizer, pesticide prices= Food security problem in India. (however not really a problem because Indian
Government has proposed only 5% blending, unlike Brazil where it is 25%. Besides, In India, ethanol is mainly derived by sugarcane
molasses, which is a by-product in the conversion of sugarcane to sugar. Therefore, ethanol does not compromise on the food security
front.)
2.
It is not really Eco-friendly! While growing corn, sugar or shorgum, those plants absorbs CO2 from the atmosphere and then release it
when consumed as ethanol (in petrol). So, you might think that ethanol is environmentally neutral. But a life-cycle analysis claim that
when you calculate the the CO2 emissions in plowing, planting, applying fertilizer, harvesting these crops and delivering it to the ethanol
plant, producing the ethanol, and distributing it the oil company = it doesnt remain environmentally neutral. i.e. more CO2 is produced in
making ethanol blend petrol, than the amount of CO2 emittion reduced by using such blended petrol.
Gasohol system in India and abroad
India is the second largest sugarcane and sugar producer in the world. (Brazil is 1st)
In Brazil, blending is mandatory up to 25 per cent of ethanol with petrol; and pure ethanol can also be used by flexi-fuel cars.
So, in 2007, Govt of India came up with the idea of making 5% ethanol blending in petrol.
Whats the problem?
At present, the government has made provision that Oil companies should buy ethanol @ the price not more than 27 per litre, and mix
this ethanol with petrol.
But, Sugar mills prefer to sell molasses to alcohol manufacturers because it gives them more profit. =less raw material available for
ethanol manufacturing.
So, if Government wants to implement compulsory 5% blending, then Oil cos would need to import atleast 200 crores of ethanol from
abroad, every year.
This would disturb the delicate balance of retail petrol pricing (if they cant import ethanol at reasonable price).
Solution
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In October 2012, Mohan setup a GoM (Group of Minister) to examine all matters relating to pricing of bioethanol, its blending with petrol.
Mohan has asked the concerned ministers (agri, finance, chemical, petroleum etc) to resolve their differences in the GoM and bring it
back with a recommendation to the Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA.)
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
CTS-2010
What is cheque clearing house?
Suppose a party from Delhi pays you via cheque of Citibank and you have account in SBI, Ahmedabad. You deposit this cheque in your
areas SBI branch.
Now the SBI branch manager would send his [overworked, underpaid] Bank PO to Citibanks office in Abad. Hed show the cheque,
collect the cash and return to deposit the money in your account.
But SBI would be getting thosands of cheques everyday- some from ICICI, some from Citibank, some from axis and so on. SBI cannot
send its staff to every other bank to get the cash, thatd be extremely time consuming.
Therefore To simplify this cheque transection process, each bank will send a representative to a central place and exchange cheques
drawn on each other.
In cities where RBIs office doesnot exist, usually SBI or other public sector bank acts as the clearing house.
What is MICR code?
By seeing the PIN code, a postman can know the destination of an envelope. Same way by using the MICR code, RBI (clearing house)
can know the name of a bank, location of its branch from where the cheque was issued= faster clearing of cheques.
At the bottom of every cheque, youd see some black colored numbers with weird looking fonts. That is the MICR code.
These numbers are printed with a special ink containing iron oxide, so that it can be automatically read by a special machine.
Ofcourse this sounds similar to bar codes, but there is a difference: unlike barcode, you can read the MICR code and decode it, without
the use of special machines.
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Under the old paper cheque based clearing, the SBI bank will send the paper cheque to the clearing house and get the money and then
transfer it to your account.
This is still time consuming. because SBI (or any bank) would need to physically move the cheques to a clearing house.
So RBI came up with a new idea known as Cheque Truncation System (CTS).
In this Cheque Truncation System (CTS), SBI branch will not send the paper cheque to the clearing house, but instead, itd merely scan
the cheque, and electronically send the image + MICR data, to the clearing house.
From the clearing house, the data would goto the paying bank (Citibank in our example), they will inspect the MICR data, signature on the
scanned image and release the money to SBI.
This process is faster and more safer than the conventional paper-cheque clearing method.
What are the benefits of Cheque Truncation?
It Eliminates the time, money and manpower wasted during physical movement of cheques (from banks to clearing house).
In the year 2010, RBI came up with the guidelines for Cheque Truncation system. (CTS 2010)
The banks would need to upgrade a few things to comply with CTS 2010 standards of RBI.
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For example, in their branch offices, they would need to buy scanners and install special software provided by RBI, to securely transfer
and receive the scanned image and data.
They may need to change the color-scheme of chequebooks so that signature and handwriting is visible in the scanned image. And so
on
Problem: some jholachhaap banks, are yet to comply with RBIs CTS 2010 guidelines.
upgrade your banking infrastructure according to CTS 2010 guidelines, before the end of
Sept. 2012 so that UPSC may ask a question on this topic.
Whenever we do something, our prime objective is not to improve the economy but to harass
the UPSC aspirants.
RBI Governor:
Branch manager of
Lena Bank:
Economy] Bretton Woods and Fixed Exchange Rate system : Meaning Explained
I had posted this article somewhere in April 2012 but because of a technical glitch this article (and many other articles on economy) got wiped out of
the server. So here Im re-posting the same article. If you had already read it, no need to read again because Content has not been changed.
1.
2.
Why is important?
3.
4.
5.
6.
Agenda of conference
7.
8.
Roosevelt Vs Mohan:
9.
In 1944, President Roosevelt hosted a conference here, to rebuild the world economy, after Second World War.
Delegates of 44 allied nations ( ) had came to participate in this conference.
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Officially it is known as United Nations Monetary and Financial Conference, commonly known as Bretton Woods because of the place
where it was held.
1. IMF
o
They give short-term loans to help nations settle the balance of payment crisis.
Theyve a system called SDR :Special Drawing rights. (requires another article)
2. World Bank
o
Officially known as IBRD :International bank for reconstruction and Development, that time
They give long term soft loans to rebuild the third world.
Soft loans= interest rate is very low. Sometimes you dont have to pay back the principle.
Absent from the meeting: Mohan, Montek, Pranab, and Chindu (good otherwise theyd have messed up International Economy, just like
they did to Indian Economy.)
India was represented by Sir C.D. Deshmukh, he was the first Indian Governor of RBI, This gentleman had cracked IAS exam in Britishraj ,known as ICS exam in those days. And No, he is not the grandfather of Ritesh Deshmukh.
There is large scale bombing and destruction in the world. Production has declined.
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Help rebuilt the World Economy. Provide money, loan, finance to needy nations. (World Bank)
After WW2, lot of colonies will get independence (India, Sri Lanka), theyll introduce their own national currencies without control of big
superpowers (Britain, France etc) and theyll enter in international trade in their own capacity.(Exchange rates, IMF)
Hence, Some rules/order had to be created to facilitate smooth international trade. (GATT)
Fixed Exchange Rate system.
What is Fixed Exchange Rate System?
Under this system, if RBI says $1=30 rupees, and youve 30 rupees and want to convert it in dollars but the Foreigners are willing to give
1 dollar to youdont worry.
RBI will accept your 30 rupees and give your one dollar out of its own reserve and vice versa.
Cons are obvious : When India is not exporting enough and not attractive enough foreign investment (in dollars) and still RBI keeps
paying people in dollars, one day the bank lockers will be empty, there will be no dollars to pay. System will collapse.
But it has Pros (advantages) in the times of uncertainty- When youre writing on a clean slate, after WW2, if every nation decides to have
a fixed exchange rate system- it leads to stability and predictability in Exchange rates = good for foreign trade.
Roosevelt Vs Mohan: Pegging the Currencies
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Even Britain is so financially bankrupt after Second World War, they dont have the guts to tell me set this exchange rate according to their Pounds.
Btw, I also got some nuke missiles in my limousine.
Mohan: no noI was just kidding man. Im well aware that youre the superpower both financially and militarywise.
President Roosevelt: Besides When weve a stable and fixed exchange system like this, itll ensure smooth and long term trade deals between
merchants of various countries. When you dont have fixed exchange rate system, it is bad for economy. For example, today your call-center boss
may give you free lunch and coffee because $1=60 rupees but next day when value of rupee declines and it is $1=50 rupees, same boss will even
stop running the water-cooler in your office. Third day when $1=40 rupees, He will just kick you out because outsourcing generate that much profit
for him. Such uncertainty, is not good for economy.
And since Gold is in limited supply, Dollar will be spent carefully, and so your currency will be in spent carefully. i.e. Since currencies are pegged,
you will not indulge in extravagant spending in subsidies, welfare schemes, tax-reliefs or debt-waivers to farmers. This ensures fiscal discipline =>
That ensures less Fiscal deficit= less inflation.
Mohan: Mr. President Sir, I think I got the point now. Ill tell my RBI Governor here to sign the Bretton Woods agreement papers, because fixed
exchange rate system sounds safe and good.
Fast forward to 1970s
As you can see, the fixed exchange rate system, is good for stable international trade environment, atleast on paper.
But this system can run smoothly only as long as USA has the aukaat to pay gold to every swinging dude that walks with dollars into their
RBI (US Treasury).
Problem started with Cold War. Both USA and USSR (not Russia), are busy in an arms race, building new tanks, missiles and submarines
every week.
Theyre also giving huge donations and help to poor nations, in order to win their support and dominate the region. This is a nonproductive activity, theyre basically wasting money.
Now, USA gets involved in a very lengthy and expensive Vietnam War from 1959 to 1975.
Inflation and Gold Prices
US still kept fixed value of 35 dollars = 1 ounce of gold. But thanks to this inflation, Gold is trading at higher price in open market 40
dollars per ounce.
So there is an opportunity to make quick money, just tell the RBI manager to take suitcase full of dollars from RBIs locker to US Federal
Reserve, take their gold in return, and sell it to the local jeweler at higher market price and use this profit to fix indias problems- poverty,
education etc. (may be by starting another welfare scheme named after Nehru-Gandhi family.)
For a while, US Presidents had enough clout over international politics so that they could force other nations RBI managers not to indulge
in such cheap profiteering. But Vietnam war is fast deteriorating Americas clout and now RBIs of various countries have started lining up
with their suitcases full of dollars and they want gold in return.
1971, President Nixon decides that if we continue giving gold for dollars, we will go bankrupt. There will be no gold left in our lockers. So I
give up. Im not going to let anyone exchange their dollars for my gold.
What is Floating Exchange rate? Governments / Central Banks dont fix exchange rates here. It is left to the Forex markets, private
players and laws of supply and demand.Government /RBI will only intervene if there is huge fluctuation in the exchange rates.
Do we need Bretton Woods?
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With respect to the Eurozone crisis (click ME), many columnists write We need another Bretton Woods.
They dont actually mean that we need to move back to the same old Fixed Rate exchange system, in which every currency was pegged
to Dollar and Dollar was pegged to Gold. Because that fixed rate thing is impractical in real life scenario, as we saw in above paragraphs.
Just imagine, if tomorrow World starts running according to Bretton Woods system, what will happen?
We know that China already has more than 1000 billion dollars in its Forex Reserves. So Peoples Bank of China will send its
Probationary officer with suitcases full of dollars and take away all the gold from Fort Knox*. They dont even need to fight a war, USA will
come down to its knees financially.
[*Fort Knox is a place in Kentucky State, US Government keeps the gold reserves in this place.]
In real life, not that China will actually do so, but the mere threat and possibility will keep USA on its toes. Hence US will not agree to
Fixed Exchange rate in the first place.
There is no chance any other country will agree to become the big brother and let their currency become the reserved currency and peg
it to gold.
Especially India, because if we peg our 10,000 Rupees to one ounce of Gold and declare that we are the new international reserve
currency, just like dollar before 1970s, What will be the Result? Pegged currency means Government cant do extravagant spending in
MNREGA. Theyll have to stop subsidy on diesel, kerosene, LPG and fertilizers, because they can dole out only as much rupees as
the amount of gold held in RBIs locker.
As You can understand, no political party has the guts to do that, hence no nation will want to become the big brother or Sacrificial goat
(Bali kaa Bakraa) for another Bretton Woods.
So, The sentence We need another Bretton Woods is just a metaphor, to say that all the Presidents, Prime ministers and Economists of
the world should meet up once again and hold conference in some gambling den, drink someDesi liquor ( ), watch some Itemsong, brainstorm for new ideas and start something from scratch, totally new, Just like the Gentlemen at Bretton Woods did, in 1944.
Then what to do?
China could agree that well not dump our products in foreign market, we will not keep our yuan under-valued,
US could agree that well bring back our troop from Afghanistan and cut down on our Defense Expenditure and its inflationary effect on
world economy. We will also stop supporting Pakistan. Thus reducing defense Expenditure of India in the arms race= that will also reduce
fiscal deficit of India= India could decrease taxes=boost for economy and world trade.
Iran could agree that well stop our irrelevant obsession with nuke weapons and give up, So that UN removes the sanctions and our
traders can make more money, thus improving the standard of living for Iranian aam-aadmis.
EU could agree that well kick out Greece, because its just way too messed up beyond fixing.
And India could agree that well bring all the black money from Switzerland and use it to finance our bogus Government schemes and
subsidies instead of looting the aam-aadmi via direct and indirect taxes, to finance those things.
And finally you and I could agree that facebook is a waste of time, so a serious Aspirant should concentrate on his studies instead of
uploading funny/motivational photos there.
Economy] High GDP and High Corruption: Cause or Consequence?
2.
3.
4.
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5.
6.
Mark Twain coined a term Americas Gilded Age. It has been used to describe, roughly, the last four decades of the 19th century. During that time
situation in America was as grim as Indias current political and economic situation.
1.
During that time, majority of American population was involved in agriculture and allied activities (just like Indian population right now)
2.
During that time, USAs GDP growth rate was 7% per year (similar case in India right now.)
3.
And during that time, USA too had high-level of political corruption and scandals. (Just like India)
4.
By the end of this Gilded Age, USA became an urban majority society And went on to become the superpower, supercop, judge, jury,
executioner, leader, financer and top innovator of the world.
So one can be optimistic that the situation in India today, is just normal and expected-sign of good things to come, just like the labor pain before a
child delivery.
Land Grabbing = Universal phenomenon
Today, India has four times as many people as the US, but only a third as much land.
Therefore, Indias politicians and businessmen end up buying land wherever they can, however they can and then bribe get the
government to convert its use from agricultural to commercial.
A roughly similar process of land-grabbing and political corruption is under way in a high-growth China.
But because of strict internet and media censorship, we dont see/hear about anti-corruption protests (dharnaa-pradarshan) in Beijing, like
we hear in Jantar Mantar of Delhi.
Similarly, during South Koreas rapid transformation in the 1970s and 80s it also faced the same situation like we are facing right now.
In short, the corruption problem is universal and not related with Indian morality or lack of it. Rather, high economic growth brings with it a set of
virtues and vices. But How?
High GDP => High corruption
If GDP of a country is growing at an average of 8% per year then some sectors are likely to grow at 15-18 per cent. (service sector,
telecom, mining, industries for example)
Rapid GDP growth makes overnight millionaires, even overnight billionaires, possible in those sectors.
So, if government regulations and permissions are required in such sectors, then a government-business nexus is very likely to emerge.
(as it did, in 2G and coal mining)
Does it means High GDP growth itself is responsible for corruption? No, not the GDP but the incentive structure.
The Incentive structure
If Government of India makes a new policy that every Government Primary school teachers salary will be directly proportional to number of
students passing from his class. Sounds good? Well think of the consequences.
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a.
Now the teacher has incentive to personally look after every student and see that he/she is learning every lesson.
b.
Now the teacher has incentive to setup very easy question paper so that every student passes in the exam.
c.
Now the teacher has incentive to evaluate the answersheets in very liberal manner so that every student passes in the exam.
d.
Hell, now the teacher has incentive to leak the damn question paper one week before the actual exam or simply dictate answers in the
examhall!
Yes, there will be some good teachers, opting for option (a) and there will be some good students who will study seriously, irrespective of the cheap
tricks used by their teacher to up the passing rate. But by and large, most teachers would opt for the option b, c or d.
Then Government makes excuse Our policy is good but implementation is bad, we send money from Delhi but State Governments are not doing
enough!
But can a policy be good if it has not taken precautions to prevent bad things @implementation level, in States and Districts?
Therefore job of the Government is to create laws and policies in such manner that good people have incentives to do good things and
bad people have incentives not to do bad things.
If Raja and Kalmadi can walk out jail and walk into parliament again- Then something is wrong with this incentive structure.
At the same time, Society too has a role to play in it. If we keep attending and admiring the lavish wedding reception parties held by
corrupt people -our neighbor and relatives, then we too are creating incentives for them to accept bribes to finance their expensive
wedding.
Mr. Vijay Kharadi (IAS, Gujarat cadre), recently got married. Ofcourse, wed expect this ought to be an expensive wedding ceremony.
But it wasnt. He married in a simple mass-wedding ceremony.
His words, Spending on extravagant weddings is a complete waste. I am a tribal, and I know my community lives on the fringes. We need to spend
on health and education, not weddings. I want to set an example by getting married in the simplest way.
In 2011, Erode (TN) District Collector Mr.R. Anandakumar admitted his daughter in Government primary school. His decision has
surprised many parents in the district, which has a number of well-known private schools.
Now The Collector will be making sure that Government schools are working nicely, they has sufficient funds, teachers and infrastructure.
It will encourage more parents to admit their children in government schools and feel safe about their future.
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Ofcourse the cynics can brush off both Vijay Kharadi and Anandakumar
thatyou cannot change the mindsets of thousands by doing such acts of
symbolism. But for them Andrew Jackson had said, One man with
courage makes a majority.
the Use of technology like Aadhaar-UID will reduce lower-level corruption, @district, tehsil, PDS ration shops, but what about the upperlevel, high level, white collar corruption?
Can we really clean up the businessmen-politician nexus without reforming how political parties are funded in India during election
campaigns?
Anyways upto this point, the argument was corruption follows High GDP .
Now how about the reverse Argument? High GDP follows corruption!
High corruption => High GDP!
The bribe money in India either goes to tax heavens abroad (Switzerland etc) or gets invested in gold and real-estate (buildings, farm
houses, properties)
So, if bribe money does not go into tax heavens abroad, it creates employment in India and improves our GDP!
Around 2 crore people are employed directly or indirectly in real estate & construction sector = employment = more demand (because
theyre employed so theyll buy more stuff)= more production =higher GDP!
If the corrupt person hosts a lavish wedding reception party = more employment for cooks and catering wallas.
if he decides to spend vacation in any tourist resort of India = again GDP boosted.
Is/Can/should GDP alone be the criteria to measure the Aukaat of a Country? And Can end-goal justify the means used to achieve it?
If yes, then
How about cut down all trees, make furniture and export it to USA?
How about kill all tigers, sell their hides and bones to China and Thailand?
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1.
2.
Why is it in news?
3.
4.
The company pools money from various investors and uses the money for a specific purpose. (for example buying gold or real-estate
property or raising pigs/ goats / trees).
To run Collective Investment scheme, you have to get permission from SEBI.
Why is it in news?
This company claimed to have large goat-rearing farms in North India and offered following type of investment opportunity.
1.
2.
Each goat would give birth to four babies per year, and the new goats would be sold to other investors, and you will be given profit.
3.
This way, you can double your money in very quick time!
This is one type of Collective Investment scheme scheme. But this firm (Beetal livestock) has not registered with SEBI, so it could be a
Typical pyramid/Multi-level marketing (MLM)/Ponzi scheme.
What is Multi-level marketing? Why is it bad?
First problem: There is no way to verify that particular company actually has 2 goats! i.e. It may have only a single goat, itll show that
goat to you at one time and show it to me at second time. Because company is not giving physical possession of goat to us, it merely
promises to raise the goat using our money!
Second problem: We will get profit, only if someone buy babies of that goat. Since we want to recover our money, well tell our friends to
join the game and invest in that scheme, then theyll tell their friends and relatives to invest in the same.
In such schemes, the company would pay money to people for a while, (to gain good will and marketing) and then one day, when they
have collected enough cash, theyll shut down the office and run away to Dubai or restart the same fraud with a new scheme get your
own Sandalwood tree!
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There are estimated to be more than 500 companies in the country that have undertaken CIS activities without complying with SEBI.
Generally, the operators of such schemes offer impressive returns in their initial days to lure unsuspecting investors and then suddenly
disappear after some time, leaving their investors in a lurch.
Then they restart similar business under a new name and scam some more investors, before they come under the SEBI scanner.
As per SEBI data, more than one lakh investor complaints are currently pending with it in connection with such schemes.
Most common CIS frauds are related to investments for real estate properties, plantation and agriculture industry (e.g. goat scheme), art
funds, time-sharing schemes and multi-level marketing (MLM) schemes, among others.
There is lack of clarity about roles of different agencies like MCA, SEBI, RBI, State Governments, Registered co-operative societies etc.
These fraudsters take advantage of it.
Therefore, SEBI has recently asked the government to come out with a separate set of norms and an independent regulator for collective
investment schemes(CIS).
[Economy] 2G scam, Spectrum refarming, Sistema controversy, Allocation of Natural Resources explained
1.
What is Spectrum?
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2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
Kanimozhi
9.
Neera Radia
Whenever you watch TV, receive phone call, send SMS, surf internet.data is being transferred from one place to another, say
Ahmedabad to Mumbai.
So, If data was a truck, how would you transport it from Abad to Mumbai (or vice versa)?
Cable TV
145-860MHz
2G
800-1900MHz
3G
2100MHz
2300MHz
(^numbers for illustration only. Different websites will give different numbers.)
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So, We first send the truck from Abad to a Satellite hovering in the sky, and from there, send the truck to Mumbai.
Solution: Government launches the satellite using ISRO. Thus the highway (spectrum), is created. Then Government will charge money
to whoever(cellphone company) uses this highway (spectrum).
Youre a businessman, you want to launch your own mobile service (like Vodafone, Airtel etc). Therefore youre interested in using this
2G highway, to transport your trucks (data). You can also use 3G or 4G, which provide faster data transfer, but theyre more expensive.
Solution
1.
Pay rent/toll for using this highway (spectrum). Just like you
pay for using Bandra-Worli sea-link or Yamuna Expressway.
Highways have fixed capacity. So Government cannot give license to 500000 truck-drivers else, itll create traffic jam. So, From Governments side
what should be the ideal solution?
1.
Check the application of driver: does he have previous experience of running telecom business? and more importantly his class 10,12
and college marksheets and school leaving certificate.
2.
After verifying his record, Sell the access to this highway (Spectrum).
Another problem: how should Government sell access to this Highway (Spectrum)?
Ans. Two methods, 1) first come first serve 2) Auction.
Both have their advantages and problems.
Method #1: First come First Serve basis
You already know how cinema tickets are sold. The person who is first in the line, gets the ticket. If You come late, you dont get the ticket.
This also leads to ticket black-marketeering, for example, I come early, buy all the tickets. You come late, all the tickets are sold, I
offer my tickets to you @higher price and make huge profit.
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This is not good for economy because Im making money without producing any new goods/services=inflation.
But according to a theory propounded by Mr.Sibbal, this is zero loss. Because Cinema hall did receive money for ticket sale. So its not
like Cinema-hall making losses!
2.
Buying ticket but not watching movie AND selling that ticket to third person @higher price=crime.
Method#2: Auctioning method
As the name suggest, Auction the tickets. If person A offers Rs.200 for a seat and Person B offers Rs. 500 for the same seat, then sell the
ticket to Person B.
From theatre owner (Govt)s point of view: this method may look good, because now we can earn more money per ticket sold and use
that money to finance whatever Development scheme weve in our mind.
Here is the problem: if Person B was a doctor, and he had to shell out Rs.500 for one movie ticket. Then he may charge more fees from
patients @his clinic to keep the profit margin same.
Drivers license
2.
2.
To get this license, youll have to apply before 1st October 2007 and pay money (Entry Fees) for license.
3.
And whoever gets the license, he will automatically get spectrum for free. So no need to pay separate money for accessing
highway(spectrum). This is known as Spectrum linked with License.
4.
If we give you the licence (+spectrum), then youll have to cover 10 per cent district headquarters within the first year of the allotment (i.e.
you start serving customers in that area). This is known as Roll out Obligation.
And then, what happened next, is a classic case of cinema ticket black-marketeering.
Swan Telecom(Shahid Balwa)
(officially) SWAN telecom paid about Rs.1,500 crores to Government, as 2G Spectrum License fees.
But this company did not open a single outlet/mobile tower. So it didnot meet the Roll out Obligation.
It simply sold 45% stakes to UAEs Etisalat for around 6000 crore rupees. Calculate the profit%.
Shahid Balwa was arrested in 2011, released on bail, thus proving that he is totally awesome.
His argument in the court, Since Mr Sibal and the PM have both said that there was no loss to the government from the allcoation of
licenses in 2008, so Im being wrongly accused of corruption and conspiracy.
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Unitech (Sanjay Chandra)
Yet, Applied for license, paid $365 million as licence fee to Government.
Then sold 60% stakes to Norways Talenor for $1.36 billion= huge profit without doing anything.
Recall: bought the ticket, did not watch the movie and sold the ticket to third party @higher price.
A.Raja (Telecom Ministry)
Behold my awesomeness.
Ignored the advice of PM, Finance Ministry, Law ministry, TRAI etc.
Licenses were sold in 2008 but the price (entry fees) were kept very low @2001s market rates.
Initially the last date to apply for licenses = 1st October 2007. But then Raja changed policy well give license to only those companies
who applied before 25th Sept. This way later-comers could not get license (and had to buy it from black market).
The companies who got license but did not start business (UNITECH and SWAN)Raja did not take action against them. He should
have cancelled their licenses or imposed heavy fines on them.
Companies paid him the bribes, he transferred money to bank accounts under his wifes name in Mauritius and Seychelles.
Arrested in 2011, got bail in 2012, came back in parliament, thus proving that he is totally (and that means totally) awesome.
Kanimozhi
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Shahid Balwa (SWAN) got benefit because of Raja. So he had to pay the bribe.
Arrested in 2011, got bail in 2012, came back in parliament, thus proving that she
too, is totally awesome.
Kanimozhi
Neera Radia
There are some phone-tapes, in which this lady is talking with Barkha
Dutt (NDTV fame).
To put this bluntly, Radia allegedly paid money to Congress party, to get
Raja appointed as telecom minister. Then Raja could use the office to
benefit particular companies in 2G auction (who had financed his
posting).
Only questioned, not arrested, and it is said that she wore a Kashmiri
shawl worth Rs.1 lakh during questioning by Enforcement Directorate, so
she too is totally awesome.
Now that shawl has become so recognisable that Kashmiri shawl sellers
have started referring to it as the Radia shawl and sales of it have shot
up= good for economy, GDP increased.
There are some other players too- RK Chandolia, Siddharth Behura et al, but you get the idea- they too are totally awesome.
CAG: 1.7 lakh crore loss
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The 122 2G licenses were given by Raja for over Rs 9,000 crore.
While 3G auctions for a smaller number of licenses had fetched the government a sum of Rs 69,000 crore.
Therefore Government has lost money (Besides, whatever money made by ticket black-marketeers, is loss to the cinema hall owner)
CAG says Government lost Rs.1.76 lakh crores, it has come to this figure, using extrapolations from
1.
2.
The money received from 3G auction vs the money recieved from 2G license.
3.
2G Spectrum was allotted for free. (recall Government only asked for entry-fees for licenses. Spectrum was linked with License). 2GSpectrum should have been auctioned.
4.
In Feb-2011, Parliament Constituted a Joint parliamentary Committee to probe the 2G scam. No real progress so far.
Supreme Court verdict
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Swami
Subramanian Swami, filled a petition in Supreme court, regarding the irregularities in 2G Auction.
The case went on, finally in Feb 2012, The Supreme Court cancelled 122 licenses issued in 2008, by A Raja when he was Telecom
Minister.
Supreme Court said, these licenses were granted in an arbitrary and unconstitutional manner.
SC asked the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI) to recommend a new process of allocation of licenses, along with guidelines
for an auction of spectrum.
Supreme Court has also ordered Government to finish the auctioning before Jan-2013.
Presidential reference on SC verdict
After above verdict of Supreme court, Government decided to get clarification, on whether should every natural resources (coal, gas,
petroleum, water etc) be allotted through auction only. (although technically Spectrum is not a natural resource, it is generated because
of man made satellites.)
But, Mohan cannot just call any SC judge and seek clarification. A procedure has to be followed.
Through Article 143 of the Indian constitution, the president can refer matters of public interest to the Supreme Court and seek their
opinion. This is known as Presidential Reference.
Here, first the Cabinet headed by Mohan approves a resolution that WE need to send presidential reference in this xyz matter.
Letter goes to President of India, then he/she sends a new letter to Supreme court asking what should be done in this XYZ matter?
Supreme court on Presidential Reference
Supreme court said auction cannot be the only method of allocating natural resources, it should be considered on a case-by-case basis.
Earning maximum revenue is secondary to serving the public good in allocating natural resources.
But if allocation of a particular resource is going to get sudden huge profit to a company, then such resource should be allotted through
auction only. (for example 2G spectrum).
In anycase, all decisions and actions of the government are open to being questioned by the court.
Apart from that, a committee on allocation of natural resources, headed by Ashok Chawla, also recommended the adoption of a transparent and
competitive process for the allocation of natural resources.
Impact of License Cancellation by Supreme Court
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Customers
Since the license are scrapped, and new auction will be held = input cost of mobile companies will increase.
So, Theyll increase the call-rates to keep the profit margin same.
Therefore final consumer (common men) become the innocent victim in this game.
Foreign Investors
Norways Talenor and UAEs Etisalat Company had paid heavy price to invest in the telecom sector of India.
But since the licenses are cancelled, in future, the foreign investors will be extremely cautious before investing in India, particularly in the
sectors related with allocation of spectrum, coal mines etc.
Government
The reputation of Government =already down. So in terms of reputation theyve got nothing to lose.
They make excuse that 1) 2G =Zero loss. 2) Since licenses were not auctioned = companies got them cheap = call rates were cheaper =
public benefited from this.
Congi Government also maintains that we merely followed the policy of NDA (BJP), i.e. spectrum was linked with license and first-comefirst serve basis. So, if our seniors did brutal ragging on us in the hostel, then we too will continue the glorious tradition by brutally ragging
our juniors.
Anyway nobody is a saint when it comes to allotment of land, coal reserves, spectrum etc be it congress, BJP, state Government, union
Government. because everybody needs truckload of cash to finance election campaigns.
Now Government will auction some 2G spectrum in Nov 2012 and expects to earn around Rs.40,000 crores.
And this money could be used to solve the fiscal deficit problem (click me) or to finance any new Government schemes for poor people.
Banks
SBI, PNB and other banks had landed to some of those telecom companies and now licenses are cancelled, so loan-money is stuck.
Anyways, nothing new for SBI- their loan-money is stuck with Vijay Mallya (Kingfisher) also.
Innocent aspirants of competitive exams
Theyve to prepare one more stupid topic for exams/group discussion /interview.
Anyways, nothing new for them either, theyre used to this irony of life.
Sistema Russia issue
Just like Telenor (Norway) and Etilsat (UAE), Sistema (Russia) is also a foreign telecom company.
Sistema had bought stakes in an India company (Shyam Telecom), but then Supreme court cancelled their license.
Now Sistema has appealed the Supreme court to restore its license, current matter is pending in court.
In the light of this event, Russian Government has warned India that
1.
If the issue of cancellation of 2G license to Sistema is not resolved in Indian courts, we will go for international arbitration. (because
Russian Government too holds about 17% in this Sistema-Shyam telecom company.)
2.
Row over Sistema will have great repercussion not only on Indo-Russian bilateral cooperation but also for foreign investments in India.
3.
We will not let Sistemas USD 3.1 billion investment in its Indian telecom venture go waste due to internal problems here.
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Spectrum Refarming
In 2001, some companies got License + free spectrum (900 Mhz). (recall that Spectrum was linked with the license.)
But now Government has changed policy. According to new policy, Spectrum is de-linked from License. So youve to apply for
license separately and you have to purchase spectrum separately (through auction).
Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (Trai) has suggested that existing mobile operators will have to surrender the spectrum in the 900
Mhz band at the time of license renewal in 2014.
Under this so called Spectrum-refarming process, if the companies manage to win in the auctions, they will be able to retain the
spectrum or, in lieu, they would be given the 1,800 MHz spectrum via another auction.
Their argument, weve already invested more than one lakh crore rupees in machinery, mobile tower, other infrastructure for 900Mhz
spectrum. If you take this away and give us new type of spectrum, well have to buy new machines=well increase call rate price to cover
the losses.
1.
Infrastructure Bottlenecks?
2.
3.
4.
Infrastructure= railways, roads, ports, thermal plants etc. that are essential for other economic activities.
Infrastructure projects worth over Rs 7 lakh crore are pending because environment ministry is not clearing the files.
Every time a coal miner wants to increase production, he has to get fresh clearance from environment ministry. It is time-consuming. This
has led to low coal-output= thermal power plants cannot produce much electricity =grid failure, as we discussed in earlier article CLICK
ME
Another example: If you want to open a thermal power plant, you need to get a file cleared from the Coal Ministry. But to get that file
cleared, you need to get environment and forest clearance from Environment Ministry. Even if environment clearance is given, forest
clearance may take longer or even ultimately be denied. Thus, some power projects are not executed for several years, even after
winning an auction.
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But sometimes even honest officials delay the files because of media-sensationalization, NGO-lobbies, CAG-activism, judicial activism,
R.T.I activismthey fear if some scam comes out and if their signature is on the approval file, then theyll get victimized or made
scapegoats. So they too avoid taking decisions.
There is huge infrastructure deficit (=not enough rails, roads, power stations, electricity output required to get 9% GDP growth).
2.
Delay in project= input cost increases= indirectly this leads to inflation (price rise)
3.
Because files are not cleared= production/construction doesnt start= Less employment opportunities, directly (in the coal mine itself) and
indirectly (in some xyz factory that will use that electricity).
4.
Government is unable to achieve the Five year plan targets. Check this table: Source: Department of Economic Affairs.
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This is the reason why a truly final decision does not emerge for many years, proposal files keep making merry go round from one
ministry to another ministry.
Therefore, the power to take the final decision should be vested in separate board.
Basically its a cabinet sub-Committee, chaired by the Prime Minister + FM, Law Minister as its members.
For granting/refusing FDI- approvals, there is already a Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB). And it has lead to fast clearing of
files and boosted investment.
NIB will provide the same benefits, especially in the infrastructure sector.
Prime minister has talked about a new phase of reforms unleashing animal spirits. Hunting is a prime example of the latter and its high
time we created a body that went out and energetically sought investment for India amidst an exciting global jungle.
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At first, NIB will focus on clearing investments project of Rs. 1,000 crore/more in roads, mining (especially coal), power, petroleum and
natural gas, ports and railway projects.
2.
A dedicated secretariat (staff) will support NIB to identify and monitor key projects and sectors.
3.
In the long run, NIB will serve as an arbitrator i.e. If a company feels that its applications for infrastructure projects has been delayed or
even rejected by some Ministry or Department without sound reasons, then it can approach NIB for clearance.
4.
NIB will be to take over the process of granting licences, permissions and approvals whenever the respective ministries fail to act in time.
5.
Once the final decision is taken by the National Investment Board (NIB), no other Ministry or Department or Authority will be able to
interfere with that decision or delay its implementation.
Anti-argument/Objections
1.
The main objective of NIB seems to shortcircuit or overtake Environment Ministry for granting project approvals. But NIB might end up
approving projects that are not good from long-term environmental view.
2.
Creation of such an entity might lead to lax environmental standards and social safeguards (i.e. problems of displaced families because
of a project).
3.
Government should worry about not just growth but green growth.
4.
NIB has no constitutional authority and its creation will decimate (wipeout) the role of the Environment ministry
5.
6.
Setting up NIB suggests that existing institutions are not functioning properly. But Creating more institutions to fix existing institutions, is
like firefighting. The real long-term solution = re-write the office-manuals/ standard-operating-procedures for each ministry to prevent filedelays and the tendency to evade responsibilities.
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7.
Many projects in the railways, coal, telecom, petroleum and power sectors are delayed due to law and order problem (=naxalites). NIB is
no panacea for this.
8.
Speedy project clearances and implementation would require solutions at the district administration and state Government levels, where
the NIB would not be of help as it will comprise representatives only from central ministries.
MCQ
Which of the following statements are correct, regarding the Proposed National Investment Board?
1.
2.
Itll deal with granting/refusing the FDI in retail, aviation and power-sector.
Answer choices:
a.
Only 1
b.
Only 2
c.
Both 1 and 2
d.
None
Economy] Infrastructure Debt Funds (IDF), Withholding Tax, EPFO Angle: Meaning, Concept, Explained
1.
What is Infrastructure?
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Attracting investors
7.
8.
First IDF
9.
Things that are essential for functioning of economy: roads, sea-ports, airports, railways, metro rail, electricity-generation etc.
Why is Infrastructure important?
GDP=Money value of all goods and services produced in a country within a year.
If there is shortage of electricity, factory owners cannot produce lot of mobilesets, TVs, refrigerators. = Production of goods decreases.
If there is shortage of electricity, hospitals cannot carryout X-ray, CAT-scan etc. = Production of services decreases.
Therefore, good quality Infrastructure is essential for achieving high GDP growth (9%).
What is the problem with Infrastructure?
Government estimates that one trillion dollars will be required in next 5 years to finance all the important infrastructure projects.
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But Government cannot finance all those projects by itself. Because theyre already spending lot of money on Food-Fertilizer subsidies,
MNREGA, Air-India etc.
Government cannot merely print more suitcases full of money to finance these infrastructure projects, else itll create inflation. click me to
know why
If Government borrows money from public, to finance these infrastructure projects, itll severe the problem of fiscal deficit.
So, Government wants 50% of that required money to come from private sector (banks, domestic and foreign investors.)
What is problem with Banks?
Such infrastructure projects require long-term funding for 20-25 years, but banks are already exposed to too much risk (loans given to
2G players, Vijay Mallya etc.) In the present situation, banks are unable to finance infrastructure projects for more than 5-7 years timeframe.
Hence, there is need to channel money from the hands of investors into infrastructure projects. (+ also need to reduce investment in
Gold, because it increases current-account-deficit.)
To achieve this, Government has come up with new idea = Infrastructure Debt Funds.
Mechanism of Infrastructure Debt Fund
You already know about Debt Vs Equity, Shares vs Bonds, if not click ME
In technically-not-so-correct term, Infrastructure Debt Fund (IDF) essentially means that
1.
2.
IDF company lends your money in some Infrastructure project company (as Debt).
3.
4.
IDF company gives that interest money to you. (after cutting its commission). Thus you make profit on your investment.
Tax Policy to Attracting investors
By merely allowing creation Infra Debt Funds, Government cannot bring in the investment in infrastructure projects.
Government also needed to give some benefit (carrots) to lure the investors.
Finance Minister has given two carrots
1.
2.
Money earned from IDF is exempt from income tax. (for desi investors)
What is withholding Tax?
Suppose a non-resident (foreigner), lends money to an Indian company and earns Rs.100 interest per year.
Earlier he was supposed to pay Rs.20 to the Government, but from now onwards only Rs.5
It is called withholding tax, because he (foreigner) doesnt need to pay the tax himself, but the company who borrowed money, is required
to withhold it and give money to Government.
Example you (foreigner) loaned me (Indian company) some money. On 1stDecember, Im supposed to pay you Rs.100 as interest, but Ill
give you only Rs.95, and put aside Rs.5 and send it to Government as withholding tax.
Since Government reduced withholding tax from 20% to 5%, that mean you (foreign investor) can earn more money, so this way
Government has tried to seduce the foreign investors, into investing in Infra-Debt Fund in India.
First Infra-Debt Fund of India
The first IDF-fund of India, was setup by a consortium (gang) of ICICI, BoB, Citi bank and LIC.
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This entity will work as a Non-Banking Finance Company (IDF-NBFC), and hence theyll come under the jurisdiction of RBI.
They could have set it up as a mutual fund company, but then theyd have come under the jurisdiction of SEBI.
Member
ICICI
31
Bank of Baroda
30
Citi Bank
29
LIC
10
Total
100%
Employees Provident Fund Organization (EPFO) takes money from people, invests it shares and bonds, earns money and pays it to the
EPFO subscribers. (After cutting its commission).
Central Board of Trustees= the decision making body of EPFO. It is headed by Labour minister.
Theyve made rule : EPFO must invest in Government-securities (G-sec) and companies AAA credit rating only.
Problem: Most companies dont have AAA-rating, so EPFO is forced to park majority of its money in Government-securities (G-sec).
Recall the concept of Gilt-edged securities (click me). Government/ treasury bonds are more reliable, hence, they pay less interest.
(because they dont need to seduce investors by offering higher interest rate, unlike some junk bond company with C or D credit
rating.)
So, ultimately problem for EPFO managers= G-sec doesnt pay much interest. (Around 8% only).
While New Pension Scheme (NPS) managers, invests in many other places, including risky bonds, and make around 12% profit.
If things go on as usual, then in long term, people might switch from EPFO to NPS and other various pension-provident-retirement
policies offered by private firms like Max Life insurance, Bajaj Alliance, Kotak Mahindra etc. to get better deals.
Solution
Therefore, EPFO wants to invest money in Infrastructure Debt Funds (IDF) to earn more profit to give better return-on-investment to its
subscriber. It is looking forward to invest about 5 lakh crores in IDF funds.
But newly formed Infrastructure Debt Funds (IDF) companies will not get AAA credit rating immediately. So EPFO needs approval from
Central Board of trustees to modify the investment rules. And since Central Board of Trustees, is headed by labour minister so essentially
EPFO needs approval of Labour Ministry.
Mock Questions
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1.
The first IDF fund was setup by State Bank of India (SBI)
2.
Only 1
b.
Only 2
c.
Both
d.
None
The apex decision making authority for EPFO rests with the Finance Minister of India.
2.
a.
Only 1
b.
Only 2
c.
Both
d.
None
Q3. Which of the following fund receives the proceeds from disinvestment?
1.
2.
3.
a.
Only 1
b.
Only 2 and 3
c.
Only 1 and 2
d.
Only 3
[Economy] GMR-Maldives Airport Controversy, IFC, AAI: Meaning, Reason, Implications, Explained
1.
What is GMR?
2.
3.
4.
What is GAGAN?
5.
6.
7.
8.
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9.
An Indian company dealing with infrastructure related business: airport Management, coal mining, highways etc.
Grandhi Mallikarjuna Rao founded this company, hence the name GMR.
Delhi Airport Management
But that company created by partnership between GMR + Airports Authority of India (AAI) etc.
What is Airports Authority of India (AAI)?
AAI also works as traffic police of Indian airspace. (Air Traffic Management).
AAI has undertaken GAGAN project with Indian Space and Research Organization (ISRO). So aircrafts are fitted with GPS, and AAIs
command centre will monitor them via satellites for efficient traffic Management.
What is GAGAN?
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GAGAN GPS devices help pilot to fly in difficult weather, fog, tough terrains.
They also help in efficient Air traffic Management= less fuel burned by aircrafts= less pollution.
2.
3.
4.
Second Question: why would Government of Maldives want to give away the airport Management to a private company?
Male=capital of Maldives.
About 1/5th (=20%), of that GDP comes from this Male Airport.
So far this Male Airport was managed by Maldives Airports Company Limited (MACL).
In 2009, Government decided to to handover Management and control this airport to a private company.
But Why?
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Well, for the same reason why experts recommend that Air India should be privatized. Because Government owned companies are mired
with inefficiency and loss-making.
Besides Maldives Government itself did not have enough money to develop or modernize the airport, they were looking for some foreign
private investment.
Therefore Government of Maldives (under President Nasheed) decided to invite Biddings/tenders for privatization of Male Airport:
Whichever foreign company agreed to share maximum profit with the Government, will get the contract to run the airport.
But the bureaucrats of Maldives= had no prior experience of how to evaluate the financial, legal and technical worthiness of foreign
bidders.
So, Government asked International Financial Corporation (IFC) to oversee the bidding process.
What is International Financial Corporation (IFC)?
1.
IMF
2.
GATT->WTO
3.
World Bank
1.
International Development
Association (IDA)
Role
Give loans @ZERO interest rate to poor countries. +knowledge sharing, health
education etc.
Anyways IFC was tasked to manage the bidding process for privatization of the Male airport to ensure fairness.
Big players such as GMR, Reliance and other companies from Switzerland etc. were in the competition.
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The whole bidding process, checking applications etc. went on for 10 months (which is roughly the same time itd take UPSC to declare
official answer key for any exam under R.T.I.)
Finally GMR of India, won the contract in 2010 (when Nasheed was the President of Maldives).
They got the right to run Male Airport for 25 years.
And the contract had provision: If there is any dispute in future, either party (Government or GMR) can approach the High Courts of London or
Singapore for settlement.
Coup, Feb 2012
Fast forward to Feb-2012, There was a coup in Maldives, Nasheed had to resign and Waheed became the new President. (We already
discussed this in previous article, click me)
During all this time, there was political debate over privatization of Male Airport.
Some politicians and experts projected that Government itself can run the airport (via that company MACL) and make 4 billion dollars till
2035.
But now weve handed over the operation to private company GMR, theyll barely give 1.5 billion dollars to Government, during this
period.
Second, after getting the contract to run Male Airport, GMR decided to charge each passenger: $25 as Airport Development Charge
(ADC) + $2 as insurance = total from each
But the local court of Maldives ruled that it is one sort of tax and tax cannot be levied on passengers without approval of parliament.
Therefore, GMR cannot collect such charges from Passengers.
However, GMR says This was all written in our contract agreement with previous Government.
President Waheed took the opportunity and started saying GMR contract is not in best interest of our country. They had got the contract by bribing
previous President Nasheed. So well take over the airport Management. Our Government company MACL will run this airport. He also ordered
criminal investigation against the company.
Singapore Court, Dec.2012
In December Supreme Court of Singapore ruled in favor of Waheed, that Government of Maldives has full right to terminate contract.
Now GMR has hired best lawyers and theyre studying the judgement. They plan to sue Government of Maldives for $800 million dollars
for the losses caused.
Indian Governments response
Initially Government made aggressive statements like this will affect foreign investment in Maldives, we are committed to protect the
interst of Indians abroad etc.etc.etc.
But after Singapore judgement did not come in favour of GMR, Salman Khurshid says this is all legal matter, we respect the judgement.
Should India stop giving ca$h to Maldives?
From earlier article, you also know that India gives truckload of financial and technical aid to Maldives (and also to other poor countries of
the region such as Bhutan, Bangladesh, Myanmaar).
Rich nation gives aid to poor nation, for three main reasons
1.
Whenever there is voting in UN general assembly or other forum, the poor nation will vote in favor of rich nation. (e.g. Kashmir or
Arunanchal pradesh border dispute, or WTO, Climate-change agreements).
2.
Poor nation will allow the rich nation to construct military, naval bases, radars, missile defense system etc. in its territory.
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3.
Poor nation will allow rich nations companies to get mines, mineral and other contracts.
Indian Government was planning to cancel financial aids to Maldivian Government, to force them into settling issue in favor of GMR. Experts are
against this move because
1.
If India stops giving money to Maldivian Government, then China (or US) will step in, start playing big-brother and giving cash to
Maldives.
2.
3.
Apart from GMR, Indian companies like Tata, Taj etc. invested in Maldives. So if Indian Government stops financial aid, then Waheed
could start harassing them also.
Should India be Assertive?
Some other experts say India has not been Assertive in its diplomacy, and that led to GMR fiasco.
Now what is this assertiveness?
Dictionary meaning: Aggressive self-assurance.
Practical meaning: Mohan should call up Waheed and threaten him that
1.
Ill stop or reduce financial and technical aids given to your country.
2.
Ill also start bullying and harassing your companies working in India via Income Tax dept./CBI.
3.
Ill start giving money, weapons and shelter to opposition parties, rebels of your country.
4.
5.
Ill hatch some conspiracy to get you out of office. (sting operation, buying coalition partners of Government.)
6.
Ill order my state media, psuedo-civil society organization etc to bad mouth you in India and abroad about Human rights violation,
corruption etc.
Traditionally US and Chinese Governments are very assertive almost aggressive when it comes to protecting their national and
commercial interests.
For example, In 2011, Myanmar Government suspended $4 billion Chinese project to build a large dam on the Irrawaddy River. This
happened despite Chinas strong support to Myanmar during its long years of international isolation and Western sanctions.
Chinas relationship with Myanmar is much stronger than that between Delhi and Male. Yet China had to display patience and hold
its tongue.
Therefore, it is not the assertiveness but preparedness that is necessary to tackle such issues. (We saw earlier, how India was caught
unguarded during the coup).
The real lesson is that India should be more prepared to protect the interests of its companies operating abroad.
Problem with Maldives Economy= heavy dependence of tourism. Hence their GDP is low, purchasing power is low and theyre suseptibe
to instability. (both economic and political).
India should see to it that they diversify (marine food processing etc.) and have strong import-export relationships with India. Once
established, economic tries are harder to breakoff than diplomatic ties.
Other necessary things for stable Maldives: Independent media, judiciary, penetration of internet, cable-TV, powerful civil society.
Conspiracy Theories:
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The Chinese angle
Behind the curtains, China had played role in it. First getting Nasheed replaced and then Getting Waheed to cancel the GMR deal. And
(perhaps) later, itll get the contract to manage the airport.
Maldives is of strategic interest for both China and India, because of its location in the Indian Ocean alongside major oil and shipping
lanes.
More than 80% of international trade to and from Asia passes through Maldivian territory.
Even USA has plans of building a military base in one of the islands of Maldives. China doesnt want this.
China has recently opened an embassy in Male= proves theyre interested in the Maldives.
China has been consistently expanding its own influence in island nations on Indias periphery the Maldives, Sri Lanka, Seychelles and
Mauritius by giving several millions of dollars in aid and infrastructure projects.
The Crony Capitalism Angle
GMR is a shoddy company. It was unknown before 2000s. Suddenly it started making billions after getting Delhi-Hyderbad airport
contracts and other plump highway, building and coal projects.
GMR is charging Airport development fees in Indian airports also. (according to CAG report, this wasnt part of original contract.) Now
even IT department has started raiding its offices.
Nasheed was already in debt of India Government (recall we purchased 100 million worth treasury bonds.)
So behind the curtains he was diplomatically coerced into giving final approval to this company.
This was either done because Indian Government wants to increase presence in Male or simply because GMR paid gave them a few
suitcases for lobbying.
The Rajnikanth angle
In his exam-oriented blockbuster movie Shivaji, The Boss, the Rajnikanth plays role of an NRI businessman. He wants to open free
Medical college in Tamilnadu. But he has to pay crores of rupees as bribe to bureaucrats and politicians for land allotment.
But then elections are held. New minister again demands bribes from theRajnikanth.
Similarly, after Waheed took charge, hed have asked GMR to pay another suitcase full of money, but GMR refused (or decided to delay
bribe because, elections are just upcoming in 2013 who knows if Nasheed again became President!)
So, Waheed cancelled the contract to teach a lesson to GMR (and other Indian companies in Maldives) ki suitcase delivery mein delay
nahi hona chaahiye.
The Funny Parts
Indian banks money stuck (AGAIN)
So far GMR had invested about 500 million dollars in Male Airport.
But all of that money didnot come from its own pocket.
GMR had taken loans from Axis Bank and Indian Overseas Bank (IOB) worth approx 160 million dollars.
Some experts believe that GMR will now refuse to pay interest rate on loan until matter is settled! (SBI must be feeling happy for not
being the only bank loosing money on airline related loans.)
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ADC charge in India
In India, Government had allowed the airport operators to charge airport development fee from passenger. So, the airport operators
charge anything between 100 to 1300 rupees per passanger.
CAG says, when DIAL (GMR and AAI owned company) got contract to run Delhi airport, this ADC charge was not mentioned in the
agreement.
Yet theyre collecting money from passengers. So far theyve made undue benefit of over Rs. 3,400 crore in the name of Airport
development fee! (meaning they gave suitcase full of bribe to previous minister to order the airport development fee approval.)
Now the new Aviation Minister ordered ban on ADC on Delhi and Mumbai airport from January 2013.
But GMR is non-committal about it (They are planning to go to Airports Economic Regulatory Authority (AERA) and court against this
move, in India also!)
So, neither Indian nor Maldivian Government likes the private company making money through Airport Development fee, yet Indian
Government is against Maldivian Governments move to scrap GMR contract the whole crisis has stemmed from ADC.
Tit for Tat/ Karma-Cycle
Indian Government (and media) say, GMR crisis will affect Foreign investment in Maldives.
Curiously, the same thing was said by Norway and Russia after their 2G licenses were cancelled.
Mock Questions
2.
a.
Only 1
b.
Only 2
c.
Both
d.
None
Weather forecasting
2.
3.
a.
Only 1 and 2
b.
Only 2 and 3
c.
Only 1 and 3
d.
All of them
357
(IBRD)
a.
Only 1
b.
Only 2
c.
Both
d.
None
General Studies Mains
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Applications of GAGAN
Interview
1.
2.
Apart from GMR, are you aware of any recent disputes involving Indian Businessmen vs Foreign Governments?
3.
4.
5.
1.
2.
3.
4.
Question from a reader: What is the difference between Capital Goods and Capital Gains?
What is Capital Goods?
Capital goods are the tools and machinaries used for producing consumer products.
358
Raw materials are also needed for producing consumer goods (Biscuits, bread etc) but they are not capital goods.
Heavy equipment (such as excavators, forklifts, generators, metal-forming or metal-working machines, vehicles).
Chemical factory
Ice-cream factory
In short, factory equipment are capital goods because theyre used to produce customer goods.
But the equipment used in an office= not capital goods for example stapler, paper shredder, pen-holder, water-cooler table, chair etc.
Similarly, specialized air-conditioners installed in drug/ ice-cream factories to maintain uniform temperature during production= capital
goods.
If Capital goods are expensive, then companies cannot buy them=low production= low GDP.
If they buy expensive capital goods, theyll keep final products MRP high to keep the profit margin same.
When you want to import Capital goods from a foreign country (e.g. USA ), youll need pay them in their own currency (dollars)?
So where to arrange for the dollars? Recall the FCNR account article Click ME
What is capital gains?
When you make profit by selling your capital assets, youve to pay tax to the Government on that profit. That is known as Capital Gains
Tax. (CGT)
1.
2.
Building Factory Plant and machinery. (except raw-material, or finished products) So when you sell capital goods discussed above, and
make profit, then youll have to pay capital gains tax (CGT).
3.
4.
jewelry, paintings, sculptures and other Archaeological collections. (from 2008 onward)
Capital gains tax are of two types: short term and long term. (depending on how long you kept the asset before selling it.)
Capital gains tax is a direct tax. (because direct tax=charged on your income and property).
359
For more on Capital Gains tax, check Vodafone Case article click me).
Mock Qs
2.
a.
Only 1
b.
Only 2
c.
Both
d.
none
2.
3.
a.
Only 2
b.
Only 1 and 2
c.
Only 1 and 3
d.
Only 2 and 3
[Economy] SARFAESI Act, Asset Reconstruction Company (ARC), Security Receipts (SR), QIB, DRT, Central Registry
1.
What is NPA?
2.
3.
4.
1.
Appeal structure
2.
What is ARC?
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
Misc.Amendments
360
8.
Summary
9.
Currently Indian banks have NPAs worth more than Rs. 1 lakh crores.
Debt Recovery tribunals?
Prior to 90s, banks had very hard time recovering bad loans.
Because often, borrowers (loan takers) would file frivolous cases in civil courts, then taarikh pe taarikh, taarikh pe
taarikh.. proceeding would go on for years.
So 1993, Government established Debt Recovery Tribunals to deal with NPA matters.
Now borrower cannot approach civil court, theyve to goto special Debt Recovery Tribunal (DRT).
This led to some relief, but then DRTs clogged down by truckload of cases. (Even now, more than 60,000 cases pending with DRTs)
Securitisation
and Reconstruction
of Financial Assets
Suppose, Mr.Paraajay has opened factory with Rs.100 crores. He financed this, via mixture of Debt + equity in following way. (make sure you
understand debt vs Equity, if not click me)
Holder
Rupees in Cr.
20
Juntaa (public)
30
40
Bonds
10
Equity (IPO->Shares)
361
Total
100
But then Mr.Paraajay doesnt revise his MBA books often, so he forgets the business concepts. His company starts making losses.
Once a loan is declared as non-performing asset, SBI can take actions under SARFAESI act, to recover the loan money.
Take possession of Mr.Paraajays assets without requiring court order. (Commericial or residential, fixed or moving assets.)
2.
3.
4.
If Mr.Paraajay had sold away the mortgaged asset to third party Mr.X, bank can order Mr.X to surrender that Asset.
5.
By the way SARFAESI applies only to those assets mortgaged/secured to get the loan.
E.g. if Mr.Paraajay had taken business-loan, SBI would have asked him to sign away his factory/machinary/vehicles/land etc. specific
items as mortgage.
But SBI cannot take away Paraajays personal home-furniture, expensive wrist-watch or his sons bicycle in the name of SARFAESI.
Get a stay order from Debt Recoverty tribunal (DRT) against the auction/sale of his properties. (He cannot file case in Civil courts.)
If unhappy with DRT verdict, he can appeal to Debt Recovery Appellate Tribunal (DRAT).
But before filing appeal with DRAT, hell have to deposit 50% of his pending loan money.
Bank: Power to Auction
362
Expert says those assets are worth Rs.50 crores according to present market value of land/ building/ machinary whatever.
Then SBI will give advertisement in newspapers we are auctioning xyz land/machinary/building. Minimum bidding amount is Rs.50
crores. Whoever wishes to bid, send us application along with Rs.50,000 as deposit, and their class 10, 12 mark-sheets and school
leaving certificates, duly attested by a Gazetted officer.
Problem: sometimes, bidders donot take interest in buying such properties, factories etc.
To fix this problem, Amendment bill of 2011, makes a new provision: if noone else comes to bid in the auction, Bank itself can buy that
property.
Here comes the new problem:
If the land was in good urban area, SBI could open a new branch office there (or housing for its employees).
But if plot/factory/house is in some remote area= useless for SBIs personal business.
Under the Banking regulation Act, a bank cannot keep such immovable property beyond 7 years, (max 12 years with RBIs permission).
So ultimately SBI will have to auction it to someone. What if they dont get better price? Critiques of the bill say, this is not clarified in the
bill.
What is ARC?
363
They buy NPA (Bad loans) from Banks and try to extract maximum money out of it=profit.
Examples:
1.
2.
ARC will buy the NPA file from SBI at a lower rate say 35 crores. (well, SBI is making loss, yes, but something is better than nothing.)
Besides, banks have hundreads of bad loan cases, they donot have time or manpower to pursue individual case, sometimes no bidders
are interested in auction. All the filework and donkey labour, In such cases, its better for bank to transfer NPA to ARC.
But that doesnt mean ARC will give 35 crores to the SBI from its own pocket!
Then how will the Asset reconstruction company (ARC) arrange for the money?= via Security Reciepts.
What are Security Reciepts (SR)?
In above example, ARC needs Rs.35 crores to buy a Non performing asset from SBI.
Only Qualified Institutional buyers (QIB) can buy these security reciepts (SR).
ARC will promise to pay money on SR, when it gets money the bad loan.
A.
Qualified institutional buyers (QIB) buy those security reciepts (SR). So Rs.35 cr cash goes from QIB -> ARC -> SBI.
B.
SBI itself recieves SR worth Rs.35 crores for free. (that means ARC will gradually pay the money to SBI).
C.
combination of both: QIBs buy SR worth 30 crores + SBI recieves free SR worth 5 crores.
What is Qualified Institutional Buyer (QIB)?
These people have the expertise and the financial muscle to evaluate and invest in the capital markets.
Examples: (click on each to read previous articles on them)
1.
2.
3.
Mutual Funds
4.
5.
Insurance Companies
6.
364
Foreign investment in ARC
ARC =arrange money from QIBs to buy bad loans from banks.
And bank themselves dont have enough expertize or manpower to dispose those NPAs quickly.
Previously Foreign investors could invest only upto 49% in ARC=minority shareholder=cannot influence company decisions.
Now, Government also increased foreign investment limit in ARCs. This would attract more investment in ARCs and help in quicker
purchase and disposal of NPAs.
Earlier
49%
Now (December-24-2012)
74%
SBI had NPA. First solution: auction the property. Did not work out.
2.
So, ARC purchased the NPA worth Rs.40 crores (at Rs.35 crores).
ARCs aim= extract maximum money out of this investment. But how?
1.
Auction the assets fully or partially. (sell the machinary now, rent the building and wait for land prices to go up for two years and then sell
it.)
2.
Sell the property in combination with other NPA properties of other defaulters. (similar to buy one large pizza and get 20% discount on
any medium sized pizzas).
3.
Restructure the EMIs of Mr.Paraajay. E.g. instead of 1 lakh per month, give us 75,000 per month.
4.
5.
^SARFAESI act empowers ARC to do such things. The amendment Bill adds a new power to the ARC.
ARC New Power: convert Debt into equity
Before reading further, Make sure you know the pros and cons of Debt Vs. Equity (already discussed in an old article click me)
The new Amendment in SARFAESI, empowers ARC to convert debt into equity.(fully or partially).
Share holding Before:
Shares
Rupees Cr.
365
Paraajay and his family
20
40%
Juntaa
30
60%
50
100%
Rupees Cr.
Approx. %
20
22%
Juntaa
30
33%
ARC
40*
44%
90
100%
*that is the paper value of original debt (NPA loan of SBI to Mr.Parajaay), Otherwise ARC purchased it @Rs.35 crores.
Anyways, This leads to two situations:
1.
If company starts making more profit in future, ARC will receive more sharefrom that profit. (because more profit=more dividend to
shareholders.)
2.
If price of companys shares go up in the sharemarket, ARC can sell those shares to third party and make decent profit.
Anti-arguments: Debt to Equity conversion
Critiques says this debt to equityprovision will be abused. This provision is made to help bad corporates. How so? Well consider following:
Banks loss
Then SBI sells this bad loan file to an ARC company @Rs.35 crores.
Hence, SBIs loss is 40-35=5 crores. (actually more than 5 crores, if we count the possible interest rate that he would have paid, if he had
not defaulted. And loss figure will be different if he had paid a few installments earlier. Anyways, lets keep the loss at 5 crore for the
moment.)
ARCs profit
Paraajay offers Rs.37 crores and ask ARC to sell the assets to his relative, friend or proxy.
And yet Mr.Parajaay successfully saved Rs.3 crores (because originally he had to pay Rs.40 crores to SBI, but he walked away by paying
just Rs.37 crores!)
Few years back, CVC had held a meeting with Bank chairmans and CBI officers. They alleged ^this type of mischief going on, in many
loan default cases.
366
Now under the new provision: if ARC converts its debt into equity (shares), then what will happen?
1.
It is very unlikely that Parajaays company will start making huge profits (otherwise it wouldnt be in bad loan problem in the first place!)
2.
It is very unlikely that share-price of Parajaays company will go up in sharemarket. (because it has negative publicity due to NPA).
Hence it is very unlikely that ARC will make huge profit out of this Equity.
Then Mr.Parajaay can simply offer them a way out : sell those shares to me, in my friend,relative,driver or peons name @Rs.37 crores.
And ARC would agree, because 37-35=Rs.2 crores profit!
Side question
How would Mr.Parajaay arrange those Rs.37 crores?
Ans. If Mr.Parajaay is totally awesome then he wouldnt give 37 crores from his own pocket. Hed just open another company, get new loan from
second bank, issue IPOs to get money from juntaa. Then Iski topi uske sar pe.
^This is (one of the many) reasons why Mr.Ratan Tata said following thing:
Overseas people go bankrupt or companies go bankrupt. Here they never dothey continue to be sick and still operate. Then they are
operating to kill you with destructive competition (using predatory pricing etc.)
I would hesitate to go into the (airline) sector today in the sense that the chances are that you would have a great deal of competition
which would be unhealthy competition.
Bank Employee unions are also against the Debt to Equity clause of SARFAESI amendment. (When they had gone on strike to oppose Banking
Amendment bill, they also cited this Debt-equity reason as well.)
Central Registry
Previously, borrowers used to forged property documents and get loans from multiple banks by giving them duplicate property documents
as security.
So when borrower refuses to pay up loan, many banks would make claim for the same property!
To fix this problem, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) setup Central Registry in 2011, under SARFAESI.
This central registry has details of all properties against which loans have been taken.
Any person or bank can inspect records of this registry to make sure the mortgaged property is genuine.
Official name: Central Registry of Securitisation Asset Reconstruction and Security Interest of India (CERSAI)
Misc.Amendments
1.
In public interest, Union Government can issue notification that xyz provision of SARFAESI act may not apply or may apply with
modifications to a class or classes of banks or financial institutions. Suppose many textile exporters have taken loans from banks but due
to global recession they are not receiving payments and hence unable to repay loans. In that case, Government can order notification
that SARFAESI will apply to all loans except those given for textile-export business.
2.
Earlier a borrower could approach Debt Recovery tribunal (DRT) to get stay order against bank/ARC. New amendment says DRT cannot
grant any stay order unless both parties (Borrower vs. lender bank) are heard. This will ensure the process of law is not misused by
unscrupulous borrowers to get stay orders just to delay money-recovery.
3.
Bill proposes to enable banks and financial institutions to enter into settlement or compromise with the borrower. It also seeks to empower
the Debts Recovery Tribunal to pass an order acknowledging any such settlement or compromise.
Summary
367
SARFAESI empowers banks and other financial institutions to attach secured assets of a loan defaulter and sale, auction or manage
them without requiring court intervention.
Parliament passed the amendment to SARFAESI Act and the debt recovery tribunal, in Winter session 2012.
Salient features of new amendment
1.
Bank
Borrower
Government
Apart from this amendment, Government has also increased foreign investment limit in ARCs from 49 to 74%.
Mock Questions
Q1. Which of the following are Qualified Institutional buyers (QIB)?
1.
ICICI
2.
LIC
3.
EPFO
4.
A.
Only 2 and 3
B.
Only 1 and 4
C.
Only 2 and 4
D.
All of them.
It mandates the Rural regional banks to lend atleast 15% of their total loans to rural cottage industries.
2.
3.
A.
Only 1 and 2
368
B.
Only 2 and 3
C.
Only 2
D.
Only 1 and 3
2.
To enjoy the priviledges under SARFAESI act, the Asset Reconstruction Companies have to get themselves registered with SEBI.
A.
Only 1
B.
Only 2
C.
Both
D.
None
Boring details
1.
Committees
SARFAESI was based on recommendation of these two Committees
1. Committee on Banking Sector Reforms (Narasimham Committee II), 1998
2. Restructuring of weak Public Sector Banks -Verma Committee
The latest amendment (Debt to Equity), is based on recommendations of Alok Nigam Panel on ARCs, made by Finance Ministry.
Economy] Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR): Meaning, provision in Companies Bill 2012
1.
What is CSR?
2.
Examples of CSR?
3.
Why CSR?
4.
Methods of CSR?
5.
369
6.
Who is covered?
7.
Provision?
8.
Punishment?
9.
CSR: Pro-Arguments
1.
IndianOil gives special allotment of petrol/diesel station dealerships and LPG distributorships to beneficiaries from among SC/ST/PH/Exservicemen, war widows, etc.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Big companies like Tata, Wipro, Birla, Essar have done many such projects.
Why CSR?
The term Corporate social responsibility was coined in late 50s, but it remained just an academic concept for many years.
The issue was raised in Rio Earth Summit (1992). But MNC-giants were non-committal and lobbied heavily against such moves. (recall
how American corporate giants did not allow UN to get control over DNS registry in the recent WCIT Dubai conference. Click me)
In the 90s, big NGOs such as Greenpeace started exposing the environmental and human rights abuse done by American oil and mining
companies abroad. (particularly Shale company in Africa.)
This led to huge negative publicity for those companies particularly among the consumers in first world.
Hence the MNC giants started taking up CSR initiatives in third world (Asia, Africa) as a PR-image improvement exercise.
2.
3.
Long term interest: e.g. a company spends money in child-education of XYZ, in long term those kids grow up= can provide skilled labour,
or atleast earn more money than their parents= more purchasing powers =good for all companies.
4.
370
Via
Charity
Via
Contract
Company will hire an NGO/another special agency to carry out a project and pay them money.
By itself
Company will create separate Administrative machinary and staff of its own, to do the social welfare work. (E.g.in
big companies like Microsoft, IBM, Dabur etc.)
Lok Sabha
Rajya Sabha
Who is
covered?
Provision?
1.
2.
3.
^These companies are expected to spend 2 per cent of their profit in preceding three financial years towards
CSR.
The bill says, theyre expected tomeaning it is not compulsory to spend money. BUT, the same bill provides
that
Punishment?
1.
Board of directors will be responsible for seeing that company spends money for CSR.
2.
3.
If company is not spending money for CSR, itll have to explain why they are not doing so.
4.
Companies that do not report will face a penalty ranging from Rs 50,000 to Rs 25 lakh or even
imprisonment of up to three years
In Budget 2013, Chindu is likely to allow some tax-deduction /benefits to companies who spend money for CSR, thus making it attractive
for the companies to spend money for CSR.
CSR activities in the first year would be between Rs 9,000 crore and Rs 10,000 crore spent in social welfare. This could significantly
benefit the society at large.
CSR: Pro-Arguments
371
1.
Big Companies in India are already making a killing, particularly in mining, real-estate and IT sector, so spending a few crores on CSR
shouldnt be an issue. Besides, CSR spending has been kept very low: only 2%.
2.
Government could increase the tax-rates to collect additional 2% and then spend the money on its own for various social welfare
schemes. But instead Government has given flexibility to the companies to do take up projects on their own= there would be corruption
and leakages. So, If the companies themselves spend the money on CSR, more likely to show some result.
3.
Media is unnecessarily creating panic- CSR spending is not compulsory, CSR-reporting is compulsory.
4.
This provision will lead to about 30% increase in CSR-linked jobs. (those special project officers, MSW degree etc). For example, Dabur
is reviewing its existing CSR programmes in the wake of the latest developments. It will hire more professionals if it feels the need to
extend the existing CSR-programmes.
CSR: Anti-Arguments
Companies already paying so much in taxes + global economic crisis= decline in profit.
It is the job of Government to do all the social welfare stuff. Companies are only responsible to their shareholders and not to society as a
whole.
If company has to spend 2% of profit in CSR= means less profit will be shared among the shareholders.
Might lead to creative accounting (only showing work on paper) or doing work that actually benefits the company rather than society.
Corporate Affairs ministry doesnt have the manpower to manually inspect the CSR-projects done. Thus making the whole exercise
useless to society.
NGOs often feed journalists stories of supposed corporate malpracticies, tribal exploitation etc, which the reporters are happy to print
without much background check.
Hence companies just throw off donation money to such NGOs in the name of CSR and to media houses in the name of
advertizemenst, just to keep them both in good humor. So in many cases, CSR is done because of yellow-journalism and yellowNGOism. Thus, CSR doesnt cleanse the sins of a company. often it merely allow companies to continue bad behavior in the shadows.
(child labour, environmental degradation etc.)
[Economy] SEBI-Sahara OFCD case: Optionally fully-convertible debentures- Meaning explained
1.
What is Debenture?
2.
3.
Types of Debentures
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
Governments response
What is Debenture?
From the earlier Debt + Equity article, you know there are two (legit) ways to arrange money for starting or expanding a company
Type
Meaning
Debt
Borrow money from someone. Offer him interest rate and guarantee to
Example
1.
Bank loans
372
Equi
ty
Take money from someone and offer him part ownership of the
company.
2.
3.
Bonds
4.
Debentures
1.
IPO-> Share.
2.
Venture Capitalist
3.
Angel Investor
The company needs additional finance of 100 Crore rupees just for the make-up, jewelry and expensive sarees of those actresses.
Company can approach the bank for a loan, but problems: 1) terms and conditions are heavy 2) the SARFAESI act (with its new
amendments)
Whoever gives you Rs.100, you give him a piece of paper titled blah blah blah..these are the terms and conditions, repayment dates,
interest rates etc.
In this case, you need 100 crores, meaning print 1 crore papers (debentures) each worth Rs.100.
Overall, the principle behind Bonds and Debentures is same: They offer fixed interest rate + principal repaid at the specified date.
Ok then whats the difference?
1.Bond
2.Debenture
Issued by
1.
Union Government
2.
State Government
3.
PSUs
Issued by companies.
Second difference: the different rates of Stamp Duty applied on each of them.
Third difference: The interest rate offered by Debenture is (usually) higher than Government Bonds. Because Government more likely
to repay = no need to seduce customers with higher interest rate.
373
Types of Debentures
Based on convertibility the Debentures are of two types
1.Convertible debentures
2.Non-Convertible Debentures
They can be converted into shares of the company on the expiry of xyz date.
When debenture is converted into shares, it means debt holder becomes an equity holder.
Both debt vs equity have their own advantages and disadvantages. Weve discussed it in the earlier article (click ME)
But by and large, from the investors point of view, Debt is safer than Equity.
What is Optionally fully-convertible debentures (OFCD)?
These debentures can be converted into shares, when debt holder (investor) wishes (after expiry of xyz pre-decided date).
But the rate, will be decided by the company e.g. 20 debentures =>1 share.
From investors view, this option to convert Debenture into Shares is good ONLY IF
1.
Company is likely to make huge profit (so you, the shareholder can earn more dividend.) OR
2.
Companys share-price is likely to rise in the share market (then you can sell shares to third-party and make profit).
BUT if the Company is going bankrupt, then it is better to avoid converting the Debenture into shares. Because when a company is liquidated (i.e.
its assets sold off), the Debenture holders get the money before the shareholders.
It means OFCD is a bit tricky game. Investors should have some knowledge and understanding of share prices, company performance etc. else
they could lose money. (or end up not getting maximum profit out of their investment). Now lets move to the SEBI-SAHARA case.
2008-09: The game begins
Two firms of Sahara Conglomerate:
1.
2.
SEBI
You (SAHARA) have violated rules. If OFCDs are issued then whole process should be completed within 10 working
days, but here you continue collecting money from people for more than two years!
SAHA
RA
This fund-raising was in the form of a private placement. I.e. we offered the schemes only to our select clients, this
wasnt meant a Public Offer! So whats your problem?
SEBI
Dude if this is private placement, then maximum only 50 people can invest money in it.
Here ~23 million people have parked their hard earned cash! Hell the number of investors in this case, is
374
even more than the total number of people investing in the conventional stock-exchanges of India!
Indias biggest IPO till date was of Coal India worth Rs.15000+ crores, and youve made 24,000 crores out of
these OFCDs! It is my responsibility to protect the investors in Capital market.
Hence, By the powers given to me under SEBI Act, I hereby order you to stop collecting money and refund all
the money to those investors with 15% interest rate.
SAHA
RA
SEBI
Well, if youre unhappy with my order you can go to the Securities Appellate Tribunal (SAT)
SAHA
RA
SAT
SAHA
RA
SC
SAHA
RA
Those two companies are unlisted. Meaning, their shares are not listed on any Stock Exchange of India.
Therefore, their conduct is outside the jurisdiction of SEBI. Because SEBI is regulator for listed firms only.
Our matter falls under Union Corporate Affairs Ministry and not under SEBI.
OFCD is a security under the Securities Act= it comes under the Sebi Act= Ive the jurisdiction= Hence I
can pass a special order to regulate unlisted companies!
SEBI
To SAHARA
At the end of day, they would come and say that they
were cheated. You know Harshad Mehtas case,
To SEBI
375
Governments response
SEBI: SAT
2.
CCI: COMPAT
a.
Only 1
b.
Only 2
c.
Both
d.
None
[Economy] Sugar Pricing and Decontrol, Rangarajan Committee, FRP vs SAP meaning, issues, explained
This is a guest-post by Mr.Shiva Ram
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Rangarajan Committee:Recommendations
6.
376
How does Government control Sugar industry?
There is a lot of control by the government both state and centre over the sugar industry.
To look at this one must look into the production lineup of sugar.
Now the government control on the major aspects can be visualized easily. So the control by government at every stage is:
Stage #1: Crops and Farmer
The farmers must sell their produce to the nearest mill. And just the converse of this, the sugar mills have to purchase sugarcane from reserved
areas.
Stage #2: Sugar Mills:
1.
Distance
Pricing of Sugar
Pricing of Other
products
Levy of Sugar
The mill owners must give 10% of their production to the central government which they use to
supply to the state governments for their state Public Distribution Systems (PDSs).
Packaging
The sugar must be packaged in jute bags. (this is done to promote labour intensive jute
industry.)
The mill owners must compensate the farmers according to 2 different norms for giving them
the sugarcane FRP and SAP.(explained below).
The other products such as Molasses, Bagasse, Press Mud are very useful side products of sugar
industry. Their remuneration to the farmer is not fixed and varies with the time.
377
The market is also heavily government controlled. The export and import of sugar is decided by
the government depending upon the domestic demand.
Market
Before going into the recommendations of the committee let us look at the difference between FRP and SAP.
What is FRP and SAP?
The FRP and SAP are prices set by the different governments at which the mill owners will reimburse the farmers.
This is the minimum price that they pay to the farmers for the sugarcane.
FRP
SAP
Generally lower.
Generally higher.(To fulfill the votebank issues as sugarcane farmers form a large
votebank).
When the state government issues its SAP then the mills in the state are bound to pay by that amount only. This was held valid in a Supreme Court
judgment in 2009.
Rangarajan Committee:Recommendations
Remembering the earlier diagram of the sugar process and the government control, the Rangarajan committee report recommendations can be
easily mapped.
Governmen
t Control
Sugar crop
area
Mill distance
Pricing of
Sugar
Packaging
Levy of Sugar
Market
Recommendation
Remarks
To enable competition.
1. Give the farmers FRP price at the 1st stage and do away with
SAP.2. Share 70% of the sold value of
sugar+molasses+bagasse+press mud at the 2nd stage.
378
This is similar to many other committees formed by the government to recommend the sugar industry decontrol. Committees under
Mahajan (1998), Tuteja (2004), Thorat (2009) and Nandakumar (2010) had similar recommendations.
So most probably these recommendations will also bite the dust like others.
[Economy] Banking Business Correspondents Agents (BCA): Meaning, functions, Financial Inclusion, Swabhimaan, Common Service Centres
(CSC)
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Swabhimaan
7.
Reforms in BC model
1.
Common BC
2.
NREGA payment
3.
Kiosk Banking
8.
9.
Mock questions
What is financial inclusion?
Give every poor man a bank account. And help him get a loan from banks.
Give formal banking services to poor people in urban & rural areas.
2.
3.
Help them get loans at reasonable rates from normal banks. So they dont become victims in the hands of local moneylender cum thugs.
196
9
200
5
That Bank will be responsible for promoting banking services and financial literacy, in that district.(=financial
inclusion).
No frills account.
Poor people can open bank accounts with very low balance e.g. Rs.5 only.
379
200
6
If Financial inclusion means open bank accounts for poor people. Then whats the big deal, just open a damn account!
Not so easy. India has around 6 lakh villages. Most of them dont have bank branches.
Because Administrative costs will be high= Building rent, telephone, electricity, staff salary, security guards.
On the other hand volume of business is very low in village areas=amount of money deposited, loans taken.
In many villages, there is no electricity, no good schools/drinking water, naxalite problem= Bank staff doesnt want to serve there.
Therefore banks dont like to open branches below district HQ or Tehsil level. Now comes the problem
Hardships faced by poors
Now, He wants to take out some money from his bank account.
So Hell have to make a trip for 10-20 kms =travel =time and cost.
He is illiterate so he doesnt know how to fillup bank slips, other paperwork. He needs to ask for help here and there in the bank office.
And most banks/post-offices dont treat poor people with respect or priority like they do with regular customers.
So, he may have to wait for many hours, move from this table to that table, before he gets his money.
Same process repeats, when this man wants loan to buy a new cow, pumpset, seeds or fertilizers.
One the other hand, local money lenders in his village, give money quickly, without asking many questions or requiring him to fillup two
dozen application forms. (but then they extract 36% compound interest from this poor man, thus making his life a living hell.)
Ultimately
We cant open branches @every village, because its not profitable.
1.
Banks
380
poor people
We cant make trip to nearest town to access banking facilities, because it is inconvenient.
They help villagers in banking transactions. (deposit money, take money out of savings account, loans etc.)
The villager gives his thumb impression or electronic signature, and get the money.
Business Correspondents get commission from bank for every new account opened, every transection made via them, every loanapplication processed etc.
Who can become Business correspondent for Banks?
1.
Non-Governmental Organisations(NGOs)
2.
3.
4.
Post Offices
5.
Insurance agents
6.
Panchayats
7.
farmers clubs
Cooperatives societies
2.
Give advice to villagers, about how to save/invest money and how to arrange/manage loans.
3.
4.
5.
Preliminary processing of loan applications for example: verification of persons identity, home-address etc.
381
6.
7.
launched in 2011
Make banking facilities available to every habitat with a population >2000 (by March 2012.)
Banks will provide basic services like deposits, withdrawal, Kisan Credit Card (KCCs) etc via Business Correspondents (BCs) also known
as Bank Saathi.
Banks will also working together with the Unique Identification Authority of India (UIDAI) for opening new bank accounts.
Government will send subsidies and social security benefits (pension etc.) directly to beneficiarys account.
Beneficiary can withdraw the money from the Business Correspondents (BCs) in their village itself.
Government has provided 500 million rupees to banks for taking these ^initiatives.(e.g. paying Commissions to Bank Saathi, their training
cost, doing paperwork with UID.)
Reforms in BC model
Common BC
A common BC be appointed for all public sector banks operating in that geography.
Such a move would improve the economics of the BC model. (otherwise so many BCs, fragmentation=nobody earning decent
Commission=nobody improving the service delivery.)
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has permitted all business correspondents (BCs) working for one particular bank, to conduct business for
other banks as well.
It is promoted by various Public and Private sector banks and insurance companies like LIC.
Last year, FINO become the common Business Correspondents company for all public sector banks operating in Jharkhand.
NREGA payment
Old system
1.
New system
1.
382
2.
3.
4.
2.
3.
Villagers will have the freedom to make their withdrawals from any
BC they choose.
Kiosk Banking
The D.I.Y. (Do it yourself) banking services e.g. ATM, internet kiosks = still expensive.
There is also lack of education + awareness in rural areas about such things.
So even if Government /bank installs such automatic ATM, internet kiosks=> most of the time they just gather dust.
Therefore, technology-based self-service model (e.g ATM, internet kiosks) is not useful at this stage.
And hence we need Personnel (these Business Correspondents=middlemen). Because often villagers are illiterate, so they cant even fill
up the forms for opening bank accounts or loan-application or filling the deposit slips etc. Business Correspondents are essential at this
stage.
But again problem: The cost per transaction remains high. (Because Bank has to pay commission to B.C.agent.)
Migrate from banking correspondent model to Kiosk banking = mobile vans fitted with ATM machines+ biometric devices.
In November 2012, Mohan announced Direct Cash transfer scheme. (will be covered in detail, later)
Anyways, under Direct Cash transfer scheme, Government will directly deposit payments, subsidies, scholarships, pensions etc into the
beneficiarys bank account.
And despite all these financial inclusion initiatives (of FINMIN+RBI), still only ~75,000 villages have a bank branch or business
correspondent agents (BCA). So for the poor people in remaining ~525000 villages still face the problems we saw` in MNREGA payment
withdrawl.
So Direct Cash Transfer will be #EPICFAIL unless each and every village is covered under banking services.
Therefore, recently Chindu asked the banks to have at least one bank branch or business correspondent agents (BCA) for every village
or group of villages with 1,000 to 1,500 households.
In the villages without BCA, Department of Electronics and Information Technology will install Common Service Centre (CSC).
Right now, CSC will used only for opening new accounts of beneficiaries under the scheme for direct cash transfer.
Only after banks install the software and complete other technical requirements for cash transactions, the CSC will allow villagers to
withdraw cash from their accounts.
383
Side note on CSC
Aim= set up of 100,000+ (one lakh) internet enabled centers in rural areas under the National e-Governance plan (NeGP)
Mock questions
MCQs
2.
3.
4.
5.
Ans.choices
a.
Only 1, 3 and 5
b.
c.
Only 3 and 4.
d.
All of them
2.
3.
a.
Only 3
b.
Only 1 and 2
c.
Only 2 and 3
d.
Only 1 and 3
Ans
Q3. Who among the following, is/are eligible to become Business correspondents for banks?
Ans
1.
Post office
2.
Panchayats
3.
4.
384
a.
Only 1 and 2
b.
Only 2 and 4
c.
Only 2 and 3
d.
All of them.
Descriptive Questions
1.
Swabhimaan (5m)
2.
Swavalamban (5m)
3.
4.
5.
Define Financial inclusion. Discuss the initiatives taken to achieve financial inclusion. (15m)
Interview
1.
Apart from what is already being done, what new initiatives should be taken to achieve 100% financial inclusion?
[Economy] Dedicated Freight Corridors (DFC), High Speed Rail Corridors, Rail Tariff Regulatory Authority, Issues, Reforms in Indian Railways
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
Passenger trains
385
Why Dedicated Freight Corridors (DFC)?
For high GDP growth, we need lot of electricity =lot of coal need to be transported from mines to thermal power station.
For infrastructure (bridges, roads, buildings)= need fast transport of cement, steel, machinery.
Because of growing international trade via sea lanes= need to quickly transport products from factories to ports.
This has led to birth of Dedicated Freight Corridors along the Eastern and Western Routes in 2005.
Start
Eastern Corridor
Western Corridor
Ludhiana in Punjab
Via
1.
Haryana,
2.
Uttar Pradesh
3.
Bihar
1.
Haryana
2.
Rajasthan
3.
Gujarat
4.
Maharashtra
End
When to complete?
2017
2016.
Length approx.
1800
1500
Total length 3000+Kms. Japan is providing financial and technical help for this project.
2.
The Dedicated freight corridor will operate entirely on electric trains= less greenhouse gases.
3.
After Dedicated freight corridor, the passenger traffic and freight (goods) traffic will be separated = leading to faster speeds and efficiency.
HIGH SPEED RAIL CORRIDORS
Under the High Speed Railway corridors (HSR) plan, the Railways intend to run trains at the speed of 160 km to 200 km per hour.
1.
Delhi-Chandigarh-Amritsar
2.
Pune-Mumbai-Ahmedabad
3.
Hyderabad-Dornakal-Vijaywada-Chennai
4.
Chennai-Bangalore-Coimbatore-Ernakulam
5.
Howrah-Haldia
386
6.
1.
A high-speed rail moving at speeds of 300 km/hr would take just about 2 hours to reach from New Delhi to Lucknow. Currently, it takes six
hours for the fastest train on the route to cover the same distance.
2.
The benefits of high-speed rail are immense vis-a-vis road and airlines. These rail systems have 30% less land requirement in
comparison to expressways for same carrying capacity.
3.
High-speed railways would directly compete with economy class tickets of an airline.
4.
These trains are highly fuel-efficient as their energy consumption is one third less than private cars and 5 times less than airplanes.
problem
But Planning Commission recommends that Delhi-Agra corridor should be constructed first. Because it is shorter and cheaper than AbadMumbai project.
National High Speed Rail Authority
Ministry of Railways has decided to set up a National High Speed Rail Authority (NHSRA)
NHSRA will be responsible for planning, implementation and monitoring of High Speed Rail Corridor projects.
NHSRA is being proposed to be set up on the lines of the National Highway Authority and it would be under the Railways Ministry.
selection of chairman and members of the NHSRA would be done by the Public Enterprise Selection Board (PESB) with the approval of
Appointment Committee of Cabinet.
Rail Tariff Regulatory Authority
Railways Act, 1989, Ministry of Railways enjoys full powers to fix tariffs.
But Finance Ministry recommends that a separate body should be established to regulate tariff in Railways.
This authority will help Railways to improve performance and tighten productivity loss.
And To ensure that the Railways meet the transport requirement at the minimum cost to economy.
Counter arguments: Rail Tariff Regulatory Authority
Road transport segment is entirely in the private sector and it doesnt have any regulatory body to fix transport prices.
In Aviation sector, there are both private and public operators (Airindia!) and yet there is no regulatory authorities to control transport
prices in Aviation either.
So, if they dont have a price regulator then why should Railways?
Besides, Ministry of Railways doubts such authority will not help fulfilling the social-objectives.(such as concessional passes for students,
cheap tickets for poor people)
387
On these arguments, the Working Group of planning Commission has said,maintain status-quo. No need to setup Railway Tariff
regulatory authority.
India vs China: Railway success
The Productivity of Chinese Railways= >More than twice of Indian Railways! Why? Because
China
India
1.
Not done.
Not done
388
On popular routes, 24/26 coaches trains should be run to generate additional capacity.
Railways should hasten the implementation of Dedicated Freight Corridor. This way passenger and freight traffic will become separate
from eachother= faster passenger services, quicker freight movement.
Goods transport
Following the Chinese success story, our strategy should be HEAVIER, LONGER, FASTER trains for freight (goods) transport.
Upgrade to heavier (higher axle load), speedier (100 kmph) and longer freight trains=maximum utilization of existing track capacity.
We should Import bogies from USA. Theyre more track-friendly and capable of carrying enhanced loads.
No subsidy on magazines
But nowadays the cost of magazines is very high and it is a profitable business!
Therefore, Railways should stop giving concessional rates for transporting Magazines.
However, Railways should continue giving concessional rates for transporting Newspapers.
Perishable cargo
There are almost 15000 unmanned level crossings. = Theyre responsible for 40% accidents (2011 data.)
Accordingly, Indian Railways Vision 2020 and Railway Budget Speech, these unmanned crossing have to be fixed in the next five years.
For Signaling & Telecommunication in Railways, switch over to systems and equipment of higher reliability and safety levels.
Use of GPS technology and RFID technology for tracking railway trains.
Biometric VCD
389
It is a small wrist-watch like device. It constantly moniters drivers posture, pulse etc.
So if the driver has consumed desi-liquor and fell half-asleep in the cabin, the station manager would get alarmed and can automatically
stop the train.
Russia has been using such telemetry system for Locopilots (=train drivers) since a long time.
Train Collision Avoidance systems (TCAS).
It avoid collisions due to human errors, rain or fog, natural calamities or sabotage.
This would minimize human dependence in train operations and enhance the level of safety
problem
Railway would need more than 16000 crores to do all these things. And Government of India is tight on cash already (MNREGA, food
security etc..you get the picture)
So Railways will need to arrange the cash by itself = need to raise the tariffs, otherwise safety reforms cant be done.
Misc. Cost reduction
Provision of solar Panels, Solar Water heaters, Solar Pumps etc. in Hospitals, Running Rooms, Rest Houses run by railways.
Provision of roof top Solar Panels on passenger coaches running in Close Circuits
But in the long term, railways itself should hire personnel from IIMs/IITs.
Railways should also allow for lateral recruitment in R&D, marketing and finance, HR.
Outsourcing
Minor works
Major works
Examples
Suggestion of planning
commission:
390
Mock Questions
Q1. Correct statement about Dedicated Freight Corridors?
1.
2.
3.
4.
a.
Only 1 and 4
b.
Only 1 and 3
c.
Only 2 and 3
d.
Only 2 and 4
2.
a.
Only 1
b.
Only 2
c.
Both
d.
None
Q3. Which of the following states are common for both Eastern and Western Dedicated Freight Corridor projects?
a.
b.
c.
Haryana and UP
d.
UP and Bihar
Descriptive
1.
2.
3.
Examine the case for setting up a nation railway tariff authority (10m)
4.
1.
1.
(in context of the issue that Planning Commission says run high speed train on Delhi-Agra while Railways wants Ahmedabad-Mumbai)
which project should be taken up first and why?
391
2.
Should Government establish a separate regulatory authority to regulate transport price in highway and aviation sector? Yes/No why?
3.
Youre made the Railways minister. What will be your first five initiatives?
Economy] Banking Ombudsman: Meaning, functions, appointment, reforms explained
1.
2.
3.
Jurisdiction
4.
5.
1.
2.
Punishment
3.
2.
6.
Location of Offices
7.
Mock questions
From UPSC point of view, you dont need to memorize all minute details given in this article (theyre provided for IBPS/SBI PO exam).
What is Banking Ombudsman (BO)?
Earlier RBI used to appoint reputed persons from banking, finance, management, legal etc. sectors as Banking Ombudsmen (BO).
But now RBI has reserved this BO post for its own Chief General Managers and General Managers.
Banking Ombudsman (BO) Scheme applies to whole of India (including Jammu and Kashmir).
All commercial banks (scheduled and non scheduled, public and private)
2.
392
3.
4.
1.
Demand draft, cheques, pay orders etc. not issued on time. (or not paid on time)
2.
Credit card related complaints (e.g. bank putting hidden charges. Your credit card was stolen but bank did not disable it even after you
called them.)
3.
You asked the bank to close your account / credit card but they are not doing it.
4.
5.
6.
Government / your company deposited salary / pension in your account but the bank is not releasing it on time.
7.
Bank is taking out money from your account in pretext of some flimsy charges.
8.
Branch office notice board says 10.30 to 5 but staff refuses to provide you service after 3.30PM.
9.
NRIs having bank account in India and facing problems about remittances etc. (e.g. he deposited money from America, but his parents
are not given money on time.)
Loans
1.
2.
3.
You loan application is accepted but money is not released in time. (and still bank is charging interest on it!)
4.
Bank doesnt follow RBI guidelines regarding loan-recovery agents (e.g. bank hires some criminals to bully and harass you.)
5.
Youre unhappy with the bank for xyz reason. But you cannot directly approach BO.
First youve to give written complaint to the concerned bank that Ive so and so problem.
and IF the bank doesnt deal with your complaint within one month, then you can approach BO.
On the other hand, you cannot approach BO if the matter is older than 1 year.
You dont need to pay any fees/ stamp papers for approaching BO.
You cant approach BO in following situations
1.
393
2.
If the matter is pending before any other court, tribunal, forum then you cannot approach BO.
3.
If any other court, tribunal, forum has already passed an order on the same matter.
4.
You cannot approach BO for frivolous or vexatious complaints (e.g. AC or water cooler was off when I went to the branch. Someone
jumped the queue but security guard did nothing.)
How does BO settle complaint?
Upon receiving your complaint, first BO will try to solve the matter via settlement /arbitration (=try to achieve a compromise, conciliation or
amicable solution between bank and its customer.)
But if either party (customer/bank) is not accept this (compromise/negotiation/settlement) then after 1 month, BO will have to pass order.
Now, hell ask both parties to present their case/documents etc. And hell pass the order accordingly.
1.
2.
BO can order the Bank to compensate the actual money loss OR Rs.10 lakh (whichever is lower).
In case of Credit card related cases, BO can order the bank to pay additional fines (upto Rs.1 lakh) for the mental harassment caused to
the customer.
Appellate authority for Banking Ombudsman
If either party (Bank / Customer) is unhappy with Ombudsmans order, then they can approach the Appellate authority (=Deputy Governor
of RBI.)
1.
2.
But if youre the Bank, then you can approach him only after getting permission from your Chairman/CMD/MD or CEO. (This ensures
Banks lower staff doesnt automatically go for frivolous appeals against every order).
Reforms and Issues
But in subsequent years, RBI made many reforms in it, some of them are:
Originally
After reforms
Only RBIs own officers can become BO. (=outsiders not allowed for
this post.)
394
According to RBIs scheme, Ombudsman can also look into internet banking related matters.
But Ombudsmen across the country often wash away their hands and ask the victim to wait for police investigation to finish.
And on the other hand, Banks donot take responsibility saying net banking frauds as most of them happen due to customers negligence
and cyber-crime.
A Committee formed by RBI has recommended that instead of having only 15 Banking ombudsman across country, have one BO
appointed for every bank.
Those whore preparing for IBPS/SBI PO should prepare this table for MCQs, others need not worry much.
1.
Abad
Banglore
Bhopal
Bhuvneshwar
Chandigarh
Chennai
Guwahati
Hyd.
Karnataka.
MP+Chattisgarh
Odisha
HP+Punjab+part of Haryana
TN+Andaman, Nico
AP
395
Jaipur
Kanpur
Kolkata
Mumbai
Delhi
Patna
Thiruvanthapuram
Raj
WB+Sikkim
Mah+Goa
Bihar+Jharkhand
Kerala+Lakshdweep+Puducherry
Mock questions
Q1. Which of the following falls under the jurisdiction of Banking Ombudsman
1.
2.
3.
Answer choice
a.
Only 1 and 3
b.
Only 2 and 3
c.
Only 1 and 2
d.
All of them.
2.
BOs staff and office expenditure are charged on the consolidated fund of India.
a.
Only 1
b.
Only 2
396
c.
Both
d.
None
If the promises made by a sales agent, are not kept by the bank, you cannot approach BO.
2.
If the matter involves loss of more than Rs.10 lakhs, you cannot approach BO.
3.
4.
Answer choices
a.
Only 2
b.
2 and 4
c.
1,3 and 4
d.
All of them.
Net banking
2.
Credit cards
3.
ATM cards
4.
Answer choices
a.
Only 2 and 3
b.
Only 1, 2 and 3
c.
d.
All of them.
[Economy] Geographical Indication GI-tag: Features, Issues, benefits, Madurai Malli, Meerut scissors
1.
What is GI tag?
2.
3.
GI Vs. trademark?
4.
Mechanism: Internationally
5.
6.
7.
8.
Pakistani Basmati
397
9.
Meerut scissors
For example: Kanchipuram Silk Saree, Alphanso Mango, Nagpur Orange, Kolhapuri Chappal, Bikaneri Bhujia, Agra Petha
So outsiders cannot sell other variety of teas with title/label Darjeeling, else they can be punished.
Why is GI-tag important?
1.
When a product is given GI status, its price increases in international market (because consumers in first world prefer such exotic items)
2.
It boosts exports.
3.
4.
The poor farmers/artisans from the given region have to face less competition from fake guys selling bogus products.
5.
GI
Trademark
Mechanism: Internationally
WTO> Trade related Intellectual property rights (TRIPS)
1.
2.
Theyve to take measures to prevent violation of GI rights. (e.g. order custom authorities seize bogus products.)
3.
If a product enjoys GI status in member nation A then, Member nation B shouldnot grant trademark for the same.
Multilateral register: problem area
398
For example, Darjeeling tea is given GI tag in India, under India law.
So if someone inside /from India is selling fake Darjeeling tea, he can be jailed/fined in India.
But If a Sri Lankan guy exporting fake Darjeeling tea to France, you cannot do anything in India.
Youve to manually file petition in Frances court to protect your GI. (or India Government need pursue the matter via WTO).
So, to prevent such problem, youve to again apply for GI status in European Unions office for Protected Geographical Indication (PGI).
=this is Gaddha Majoori (donkey labour) just like for getting MBA admission, youve to apply for so many entrance tests such as CAT,
XAT, SNAP, CMAT etc. and each of them costs around 1000 rupees.
The ideal system should be:
1.
2.
Database is uploaded on WTO website and notification is served to all nations. (=multilateral register).
3.
Whoever sells fake stuff, in xyz country will be caught and prosecuted. And you dont need to run from pillar to post in every foreign
country, to protect your GI-tag.
But this Multilateral register system has not been established yet.
But China, Hong Kong want this system compulsory for only those country that agree to participate in it.
However, the wine and liquor business lobby of Europe is very powerful. Hence theyve managed to get WTO to negotiate for a
multilateral GI register for Wine and liquor.
Such liquor register is hardly of any use to India because our GI-expertise is handicraft and agriculture products.
India wants a common GI register for all products and not just for liquors.
Mechanism in India: GI Act 99
Government of India enacted Geographical Indications of Goods (Registration and Protection) Act in 1999. (Came into force in 2003)
This act provides for
1.
2.
Intellectual Property Appellate Board to hear appeals over the decisions of the Registrar of Geographical Indications.
3.
4.
GI can be given to agricultural, natural or manufactured goods originating in the said area.
5.
GI rights are given to an association of persons, producers, organization. (=it is a community right.) Because geographical indications
are not built up by one individual but by a community of persons
6.
Punishments for violating GI. (e.g. some guy selling Banaras Saree but theyre actually made in Bengal.)
7.
Customs authorities have the power to seize imported goods at the border, if there is prima facie evidence that xyz product is in infringing
on the geographical indication of the rights holder
399
+ Customs authorities dont even need a court order to carry out such raid or seizure.
Problem/issues with GI Act?
India has huge social, cultural, ethnic, food diversities= thousands of products that would qualify for a geographical indication.
But Most of the people engaged in the production of such products are small households or small units, although in the same area.
So it is often difficult to organize them into associations and apply for the GI registration.
Pakistani Basmati
Post 1947, Punjab was divided between India and Pakistan, so now both nations claim GI tag for Basmati rice.
After much negotiations, India and Pakistan decided to get a Joint GI for Basmati globally.
But the talks came to a halt soon after 26/11 attack in Mumbai.
In the meantime, Philippines etc. are selling their rice as Basmati in EU and USA (despite the fact that Basmati is native to Indian
subcontinent).
Meerut scissors
They can be repaired, unlike other scissors that are thrown out after use.
Meerut scissors are made of carbon steel blades sourced from scrap metal found in cars, buses, trucks and railways.
400
Madurai Malli
Madurai Malli is mentioned in Tamil Literature since the Sangam age.( 5thcent.BC)
Here comes the Problem= some clowns mixup other cheap varieties of Jasmine flowers and export them under the label of Madurai
Malli.
Such fake Madurai Malli flowers donot have decent fragrance of original Malli. So foreign consumers think this is not a good flower. =
demand falls in international market = Indian farmers suffer.
But Now GI status is given to Madurai Malli = such bad guys can be punished and legit farmers can get decent price for their produce**.
(**in theory, because we have not counted the Middlemen in the equation!)
This list is not exhaustive, just some prominent names that popped up in Hindu in recent years.
Item
Place
What is it?
Shankarpura
mallige
Karnatak
a
Jasmine flower.
Navalgund
Dhurries
Karnatak
a
Handwoven fabric
Karimnagar Silver
Filigree
Andhra
401
Palakkad
madhalam
Kerala
hand-held drums
Darjeeling Tea
W.Bengal
Earlier other blends of cheap tea varieties mixed up and sold as Darjeeling tea abroad= they
can be punished.
Mysore Silk
Karnatak
a
Self explanatory.
Tirukanur Papier
Mache
Pondiche
rry
Villianur
Terracotta
Pondiche
rry
can be moulded in virtually any thickness, and so it can produce idols up to 30 feet in height.
This is not possible with most other forms of terracotta
Matti Gulla
Karnatak
a
Place
Characteristic
Pokkali rice
Kerala
grows in the saline waters of the coastal areas with disease-resistant quality. No
fertilizer/pesticide used.
Around
Banglore
originally an American variety, introduced here 150 years ago. Acid-sugar blend of
the fruit is perfect for wine making.
Dindigul locks
TN
Dindigul locks are mango shaped iron and brass locks. They are handmade and each
one is unique in design and system.
MP
Malwi potatoes are significant because they contain negligible quantities of starch,
which is highly suitable for manufacturing chips and wafers
Entire list?
Download this PDF file (click me). It contains name of goods given GI status (till July 2012). You dont have to mugup all of them but only
those originating from your state for Profile based interview questions.
+any other names that sound important from Culture point of view (in GS Mains paper 1)
Mock Questions
Q1. Which of the following are eligible to apply for GI-tag in India?
1.
Agriculture produce
2.
Handicrafts
3.
Manufactured goods.
Answer choices
402
a.
Only 1 and 2
b.
Only 2 and 3
c.
Only 1 and 3
d.
All of them
Provides for GI registration for any Goods or services associated with a particular region in India.
2.
3.
Recently Madurai Scissors and Meerut Malli were given GI-protection under this act.
Answer choice
a.
Only 1 and 3
b.
Only 2 and 3
c.
Only 2
d.
All of them.
Economy] EPFO: Compulsory UID, Investment in AAA Corporate bonds, Air India
1.
2.
3.
4.
Mock Questions
EPFO: UID proposal =cancelled
Earlier EPFO had decided that Aadhaar numbers must be compulsory for subscribers from 1st March 2013.
But after EPFO officials held meeting with UIDAI officials, they came to know that
1.
2.
In the remaining states, the Registrar General of India (RGI) is collecting data for the National Population Register (NPR). And then data
is sent to UIDAI then UIDAI issues Aadhar card = time consuming.
Aadhar card
Voluntary.
If there are discrepancies between UIDAI data and NPR data, NPR will
403
prevail.
1.
2.
1.
2.
3.
Hence EPFO has decide to delay this compulsory Aadhar number rule. (because it is very unlikely that entire India will be covered under Aadhar
numbers by March 2013).
By the way, why this Double labour (by UIDAI and RGI)?
Because there is a turf-war going on between UIDAI and Home Ministry. Home ministry has two problems with data Collected by UIDAI:
1.
it is not secure
2.
At present, EPFO can invest in only bonds issued by PSUs and seven private companies and banks viz.
1.
HDFC
2.
IDFC
3.
4.
5.
HDFC Bank
6.
ICICI Bank
7.
Axis Bank
Recently,
EPF
O
CRIS
IL
I suggest you invest some money in Corporate bonds with AAA rating.
EPF
O
Why?
CRIS
IL
Because AAA rating= means company is reputed. Itll not default on the payments (unlike Pawnfisher).
And they offer good rate of return. For example RELIANCE Industries, Tata etc. They offer good interest rate too
and quicker installments (compared to Air India).
404
Youve total fund of Rs.3.5 lakh crores, itd be a good idea if you invest 10% of it (=Rs.35000 crores) into
Corporate Bonds.
EPF
O
Sounds like a good idea, but Ill have to get this proposal approved by Central Board of Trustees (CBT). (in Feb-end
2013)
CRIS
IL
Why?
EPF
O
EPFO can earn more money on its investment= it can offer higher returns to its subscribers.
2.
Those corporates companies get more investment money (from EPFO)= they can new plants/ machinery / employees and expand their
production capacity =better IIP, better GDP.
EPFO: Air India=invested
December 2012
Air India
I need to borrow cash from market, just to repay some previous bank loans. So, In way Im totally awesome
Pawnfisher airlines!
LIC and
EPFO
Air India
Oh come on!! Im the National Airline of India. You must not let me collapse!
LIC and
EPFO
Oh the patriotism angle. In that case, we must not apply the basic principles of free market economy hahaha!
Please tell us how much cash do you need?
Air India
LIC and
EPFO
By the way, in case you wondered: If Air India=#EPICFAIL, then why did LIC+EPFO take risk?
Ans. Because Government of India (GoI) gave unconditional guarantee, if Air India fails to make the payment on these bonds, we will pay money
(to bond holders).
And due to this assurance (by GoI), Air Indias bond was given AAA rating. (Despite the fact that Air Indias financial situation is not very
sound).
Anyways, If Air India collapses, the bond payment will be done by Government of India (=from the pockets of Indian Tax payers.)
Mock Questions
405
1.
2.
Registrar General of India functions under Ministry of Statistics and program implementation.
a.
Only 1
b.
Only 2
c.
Both
d.
None
2.
a.
Only 1
b.
Only 2
c.
Both
d.
None
LIC, PFRDA and EPFO should invest only in G-sec (Government securities).
b.
LIC, PFRDA and EPFO should invest AA or AAA rated Indian corporate bonds.
c.
LIC, PFRDA and EPFO should invest in foreign bonds with D rating.
d.
None of above.
Interview
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
The trend of LIC/EPFO investing money in PSUs (or financing Governments disinvestment targets) breeds inefficiency. Agree/Disagree,
why?
6.
LIC, EPFO, PFRDA should look @ larger national interest and not just maximum profit to their subscribers. Agree/disagree. Why?
[Economy] Rangarajan Gas Pricing, Production Sharing Contract (PSC), APM, Non-APM, issues, recommendations
1.
Introduction
2.
3.
Royalty-tax regime
4.
5.
CAG-Audit
406
6.
2. Non-APM
7.
8.
Summary points
Introduction
Rangarajan is a noted economist, ex-Governer of RBI, ex-MP, Chairman of 12th Finance Commission and Chairman of Economic Advisory Council
to the PM.
Mohan had appointed Rangarajan Committee to look into following matters
1.
2.
3.
Rangarajan submitted report in December, 2012. It mainly revolves around following issues
1.
2.
3.
CAG auditing
4.
This contract made between the government and a contractor (oil/gas exploration company).
Oil exploration =lot of investment and risk taking involved. This is borne by contractor. (lets say 150 million dollars were invested).
Once the oil is discovered, contractor will start commercial production and sells it.
Lets say he makes profit of 1 million dollar per month. According to contract, he has the right to first recover the investment.
So for the first 150 months, he doesnt need to share profit with Government. (because 1 million x 150 = 150 million.)
Once contractor has recovered his the cost of exploration, then hell have to share part of his profit with the Government (as per the
terms and conditions in production sharing contract.)
Sounds well and good, right? But CAG and Rangarajan Committee found some flows in ^this Production sharing contract. (PSC)
1.
This system encourages Contractor to inflate costs. (I would rather show cost of exploration as 2 billion dollars, even if it took me only 1
billion dollar.)
2.
Difficult for Government to check the accuracy of contractors account and get the correct share. (I may be making 1.5 million per month
but I would doctor my accounts to show profit of only 1 million.)
407
3.
I intentionally dont run my plant on full capacity. Ill just wait till the oil prices in international market to sky rocket, and only during those
days/ months, Ill run plant on full capacity to make lot of profit.
From the total profit from selling the oil, a fixed royalty is to be paid to the govt.
2.
After royalty is paid, the rest of revenue is shared by the govt and contractor.
3.
Government should allocate block to a company that offers maximum share from profit.
Advantages of the system are:
1.
2.
3.
Government gets more money = more money for MNREGA, food security.
#2: Problems faced by Oil/Gas exploration companies
1. Policy Issues
2.Management
Issues
3. Contractual
Issues
1.
Environment ministry cancelled the NOCs given to areas under the oil blocks.
2.
Contractors have difficulty in oil-exploration in North East and Naxal affected regions.
3.
Once oil is found, contract would want to dig more wells but he wont be allowed under the license
granted.
1.
If there are merger/acquisitions of companies, the Production sharing contract doesnt recognize
them.
2.
In the difficult terrain, it takes many years to complete survey, research, exploration. But production
sharing contracts allow only 8 years to finish this.
1.
2.
Procurement of goods and services has to be done according to the PSC. (e.g. Government would
say buy xyz machinery only from Government controlled PSU, even if a foreign company is
providing better equipment at cheaper cost.)
Ranga recommends:
For Policy Related Issues Make an Inter-Ministerial Committee to iron out the issues.
To solve other issues, there is already an Empowered Committee of Secretaries(ECS). Give them more powers to resolve these issues.
For companies exploring oil / gas in difficult terrains, should be given following extensions:
408
Currently
Rangarajan wants
Tax holiday
7 years
10 years
8 years
10 years.
#3:CAG-Audit
Another controversial issue is : CAG auditing. Oil/ Gas exploration companies like Reliance, want following things:
1.
CAG should only check our financial accounts, he should not do performance auditing. (because Production sharing contract doesnt
mention performance auditing).
2.
CAG should not reveal details of audit to public( not even in Parliament) because that leads to bad publicity for our company.
3.
Audit should be within 2 years. If later, then under permission of the contractor.
Ranga on CAG
The CAG is bound by the constitution to share all its audit with the Parliament. Just because some private company doesnt want it, we
cant change that!
If a block has high value, then CAG himself should audit it.
If the block has low value, then CAG should outsource this auditing work to others. (reputed private audit firms selected by CAG)
#4: Gas Pricing Mechanism
2. Non-APM
Since there are ^two mechanisms, the price of gas is neither constant nor predictable in Indian market.
Ranga on GAS
Rangarajan says, first you gather two values.
Value #1
409
Value #2
Then, take average of values #1 + #2. Thatll be the final pricing for gas in the country.
Criticism on Rangas gas pricing
1.
There are two types of gases: Wet gas vs. dry gas. The wet gas contains crude oil too. So obviously wet gas is more useful. But
Committee has not considered it in in the pricing mechanism.
2.
Countries that export LNG, donot openly declare the price. Because it depends on many variables. (e.g. Iran may sell us gas cheap, if
we support their nuclear program.) So it is hard to determine value #1 objectively.
3.
While calculating Value #2 (weighted avg in global market), Rangarajan has included Japan in the list, but Japan doesnt have its own gas
production/suppliers. (counter: Japan is a big buyer so whatever gas prices go in Japan, they reflect benchmark for Asia-Pacific
region.)
4.
Rangarajan says take average of Value #1 + #2. This Average logic is unheard of in International markets. No country is doing this!
Ranga Defends
In free market, price of a commodity is determined by Supply demand, but Indian market is not yet ready to introduce direct market based gas
pricing. Because
1.
there is huge gap in supply-demand of gas. And our sea-ports donot have sufficient capacity to handle lot of imported gas.
2.
Gas is essential for fertilizer, power industries and these sectors are essential for overall performance of economy and controlling
inflation. So we cant let the gas prices to be determined by free market.
So, use ^above pricing mechanism be used until such provision can be made.
Rangas implication?
If Rangas pricing mechanism is implemented, we (public) will have to pay higher price for gas, just like we do for petrol right now.
On the other hand, itll reduce the subsidy burden on Government = fiscal consolidation.
Summary points
410
Feature
Recommendation of Rangarajan
1. PSC
2. Issues
3. Audit
4. Pricing for
domestically produced
Gas
[Economy] Liquidity Adjustment facility (LAF), Marginal Standing facility (MSF), Repo, reverse repo, SLR, CRR, NEFT, RTGS, NDTL: meaning
explained
1.
Liquidity?
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
What is NDTL?
8.
9.
411
For assets: Rs.1 crore worth gold is more liquid than Rs.1 crore worth farmhouse. Because you can quickly sell the gold in a few days,
but for selling farmhouse youll have to deal with so many prospective customers, real-estate agents, paper work, stamp duty etc., this
would take more than 15 days= not so liquid.
today SBI has Rs.200 to give as loan, then we say liquidity has increased. (And vice versa).
In winter, supply of green vegetables increases (compared to summer) so selling price of green vegetables decreases in winter
(compared to summer).
Similarly when liquidity (money supply) increases, the cost of borrowing (=interest rates) goes down.
Very high liquidity can create demand pull inflation=bad. for more, click me
Very less liquidity=cost of borrowing is extremely high for businessman = bad because he cannot easily start or expand his business=less
people get employment.
RBI mainly uses following tools to control this liquidity / money supply in the banking system.
1.
2.
3.
4.
For the sake of simplicity, lets assume there are only four people in India: 1) common men and 2) businessmen 3) Commercial banks
(like SBI) 4) Central Bank (RBI.)
Common men save their money in bank. Bank gives them say 7% interest rate on savings.
Then Bank gives that money as loan to businessmen and charges 12% interest rate. So 12-7=5% is the profit of Bank. Although thats
technically incorrect, because weve not counted banks input cost=staff salary, telephone-internet-electricity bill, office rent, xerox
machine etc. So actual profit will be less than 5%.
1.
SBI has only one branch in a small town. It was opened on Monday.
2.
On the very same day, Total 100 common men deposited 1 lakh each in their savings accounts here (=total deposit is 1 crore)
3.
and SBI offered them 7% interest rate per year on their savings
WHY CRR: Cash reserve ratio?
On Tuesday, SBI Branch manager gives away entire 1 crore to a businessman as loan for 12% interest rate for 5 years.
From SBIs point of view, sounds very good right? 12-7=5% profit!
But weve not considered the fact that on Wednesday, some of those common men (account holders) will need to take out some money
from their banks savings account- to pay for gas, electricity, mobile bills, college fees, writing cheques and demand drafts etc.
412
But SBIs office doesnt have a single paisa left! = problem, protest, rioting, suicides.
So condition #1: Banks must not give away all of the deposit money to businessmen for loans. Banks must keep some money with
aside.
Ok but wholl decide how much minimum cash should a bank keep aside? Ans. RBI via CRR.(Cash reserve ratio).
But banks donot like high CRR. We already saw that in the CRR controversy article: click me
WHY SLR: Statutory liquidity ratio?
But suppose, RBI gave him order, you must keep Rs.10 lakhs aside. (CRR)
So SBI manager decides to get maximum profit out of remaining money. Suppose ongoing rate for business loans is 12%.
No bank is offering him loan, because his past track record is not good: his earlier business adventures were epic fail.
Mr.Parajay,
the
businessman
I desperately need loan for my business. but no other bank is giving me loan. Tell you what, give me all of
those 90 lakh rupees as loans, Im ready to pay 36% interest rate on it! And trust me, Im going to make lot of
money in my new business project. And Im ready to mortgage all of my factories, cars, farmhouses. So if I
cant repay loan, you can auction them and recover your money.
SBI manager
After six months, Mr. Parajays new business project = also #EPICFAIL.
Although SBI can attach his assets and auction them to recover the money. But itll take lot of time.
In the mean time, common-men also read this story in local newspapers and they panic that SBI will collapse and bank manager will shut
down the office and run away.
So all the common men line up in front of bank and demand back their money. Recall that SBI still has 10 lakh left in CRR. But people
want total 1 crore back!
Again money of account holders (common men) is stuck =problem, protest, rioting, suicides.
So, Condition #2: Bank must not give away all its loans to risky loan takers. Banks must invest part of its money in safe and liquid
investment. So during emergency, bank can sell those liquid investments and take out the money.
For example, Government securities, gold, corporate bonds of reputed companies like Infosys, reliance, TCS. These are safe
investments.
These are also liquid, because you can sell them quickly whenever you want. (recall that SBI could also auction Mr.Parajays properties,
but itll take lot of time in paperwork, legal issues etc.)
Ok so, bank should invest part of common-mens money in safe investments like Government securities, gold and corporate bonds of
highly reputed companies.
BUT who will decide how much money should be invested in this sector?Ans. RBI via SLR (Statutory liquidity ratio). In earlier
article, weve already seen SLR in detail. click me
413
Lets assume RBI ordered SBI to keep Rs.25 lakhs under SLR.
Thus, out of original Rs.1 crore that SBI had, 10 lakhs (CRR) + 25 lakhs (SLR) are gone.
Bank Runs: SLR+CRR
Suppose a rival bank of SBI, hires some people to spread rumors against SBI.
The rumor is something like this= SBI invested lot of money in sharemarket but sharemarket is crashed so now SBI doesnt have any
money left. Theyre going to shut down the office and run away.
^this is totally ridiculous rumor because according to RBI rules, banks cannot invest depositors money in the sharemarket in the first
place!
Anyways, out of the 100 SBI account holders (common men), 30 common men believe in this rumor and run to the SBI office.
They demand SBI to return their entire savings deposit. Such panic movement of bank customers is known as bank run.
Thankfully, SBI has total 10 lakh (CRR), so they can directly give it back. SBI also has set aside Rs.25 lakhs under (SLR), so SBI can sell
away those Government securities, gold worth 25 lakhs and give that money back to account holders.
However in case of a totally awesome bankrun, nothing can protect a bank. (i.e. when all of the account holders simultaneously demand
all of their money on the same day!) anyways back to the topic:
WHY Priority Sector lending?
1 crore=100 lakh
MINUS 10 lakh
MINUS 25 lakh
Money left
100-10-25=Rs.65 lakh.
Out of that 65 lakhs, lets assume SBI manager has to keep aside 15 lakh for Administrative costs, salaries of employees, electricity bill,
internet bill, Xerox machine etc. So he has only 50 lakh left for providing loan to needy people.
50 farmers
Give us loans of 1 lakhs each for buying seeds and fertilizers. However, given the vagaries of monsoon and
low profit margin in agriculture, we cannot pay more than 5% interest rate.
25 Small
businessman
Give us loans of 2 lakhs each to setup small retail shops / car mechanic / hair saloon etc. We offer 11%
interest rate. we cannot offer a penny more because our profit margin isnot good.
2 Students
Sir please give us loan of Rs.25 lakhs each, for paying self-financed medical college. We can pay atmost 9%
interest rate.
414
1 Big
businessman
Give me those 50 lakhs. In a few months, Diwali is coming and I want to setup a new firecracker factory. I
offer you 15% interest rate.
if SBI is run from purely profit point of view, then farmers, small businessmen, students and weaker sections of the society will never get
any loan.
Because SBI manager would want to give loan to a person that offers him highest interest rate.
Then who is going to protect those weak people? Who is going to help them get loans at reasonable rates? Ans. RBI.
Suppose RBI tells the SBI manager, 40% of the money you lend, must go to priorities sectors viz. agriculture, small scale business,
housing and education. (=40% of 50 lakh=20lakh).
^This is the basic funda of priority sector lending. More details are given on page 15.12 of Ramesh Singh.
What is NDTL?
So far, We know that Banks have to comply with the CRR, SLR and priority sector lending rules of RBI.
CRR, SLR is counted on amount of money a bank receives. But bank receives lot of money,
1.
from depositors,
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
So how does bank exactly count CRR, SLR requirements? = Net Demand and Time Liabilities (NDTL)
Time
liabilities
Demand
liabilities
1.
2.
Cash certificates
3.
gold deposits.
4.
Staff security deposit. E.g. in some banks when you join as Probationary officer, youve to sign bond
worth RS.1-2 lakh rupees.
1.
2.
3.
Demand drafts
4.
unclaimed deposits;
415
Im not going into minute nitty-gritty involved in computing NDTL because thats irrelevant from exam point of view. So long story cut
short, CRR and SLR are calculated on this NDTL number with some caveats.
And banks have to send reports to RBI on fortnight basis that our NDTL is xyz and we are maintaining xyz SLR and CRR on it as per
your direction.
Now here comes the problem: In our example, SBI followed SLR, CRR and 50 lakh rupees left for loaning.
However in the given period, priority sector loan takers (farmers, students etc.) and regular loan taker (businessmen, car/bike loans).all
of them together take total loans worth only Rs.30 lakhs.
These 20 lakhs are just gathering dust in the office. Nobody is coming to take new loans! What should SBI do? because SBI has to give
7% interest even on these 20 lakh rupees, so SBI cannot afford to let this money gather dust!
Now comes the Liquidity adjustment facilities, Repo Rate and reverse repo rate.
The book definition of Reverse repo rate = it is interest rate paid by RBI to itsclients for short term loans. Ok but who are the clients of
RBI?
1.
Central Government
2.
State Government
3.
4.
anyways, Reverse repo rate in crude words= when SBI parks its surplus money in RBI for short term, SBI makes ^this much profit.
But actually reverse repo rate works in a bit complicated manner= via selling and repurchase of Government securities.
Youre aware of Government securities: when Government wants to borrow money from market, Government security / Government
bond is issued.
Basically its a piece of paper. It has agreement something like: whoever gives me Rs.100 will get 8% interest rate for 10 years and then
principle will be repaid.
For the purpose of understanding Reverse repo, lets construct a simplified technically incorrect model:
1.
2.
SBI has surplus Rs.100 lakhs and nobody is taking them as loans. But SBI is sure more people will come to take loans before Diwali. So
SBI just wants to park this surplus 100 lakhs somewhere for the short-term.
3.
4.
The agreement reads I (SBI) will give buy Government securities worth Rs.100 lakhs from the RBI, and RBI promises to buy back those
securities from me after 6 months @Rs.106 lakhs.
Read it carefully:
416
So profit of SBI (or interest earned by SBI or interest paid by RBI)=(106-100)/100 = 6%. This is reverse repo rate.
Tied to repo rate
reverse repo rate would not be announced separately but will be linked to repo rate.
2.
The reverse repo rate will be 100 basis points below repo rate.(=minus 1%)
So if RBI declares Repo rate=8% then reverse repo-rate is automatically 8-1=7%.But now comes the question:
What is repo rate?
Common sense says, it has to be reverse of reverse repo rate right? Yes that is right.
Textbook definition says
Repo rate is the rate RBI charges on its clients for short term loans.
To put this crudely, when SBI wants to borrow money from RBI for short term, SBI will have to pay ^this much interest rate.
(again) For the purpose of understanding repo rate, lets construct a simplified technically incorrect model:
1.
2.
3.
4.
The agreement reads I (SBI) am selling my Government securities worth Rs.100 lakh to RBI and I (SBI) promise to buy
back(repurchase) those securities from RBI after 6 months @Rs.107 lakhs.
Read it carefully:
1.
2.
3.
4.
So profit of RBI (or interest earned by RBI or interest paid by SBI)=(107-100)/100 = 7%. This is Repo rate.
Question:
Why all this gadhaa majoori (donkey labour), involving Government security? Why cant RBI and SBI give money to eachother without
involving Government securities just like the normal people borrow and lend to each other?
Answer= Because Government security acts as collateral. So if first party doesnt honor the agreement (of repurchase), then second
party can sell away the Government security to a third party and recover its money.
Just like pawning your jewelry in Muthoot finance or Mannapuram gold loans.
Repo rate vs Bank rate?
Repo rate
Bank rate
RBI lends money to banks for short term loans @this interest rate.
RBI lends money to its clients for long term loans @this interest rate.
What is LAF?
417
Recall that one of the main task of RBI is to control money supply in the economy.
RBI controls money supply via monetary policy. For this RBI uses various tools e.g. SLR and CRR.
Liquidity adjustment facilities (LAF) is also a tool used by RBI to control short-term money supply.
LAF timeline
1998
1999
2000
In the old Bollywood movies, international smugglers often come to main villains hideout with suitcases loaded with cash. Then main
villain will auction some ancient Indian statues to them. Something similar happens under LAF.
LAF helps banks to quickly borrow money incase of any emergency or for adjusting in their SLR/CRR requirements.
Under LAF, RBI auctions Government securities, starting at the repo and reverse repo rate. Minimum bidding amount is Rs.5 crore.
So LAF is a tool used by RBI to control short-term liquidity / money supply in the market.
In LAF, money transaction is done via RTGS. (RTGS is an online money transfer method). So in this auction, players dont need to bring
suitcases loaded with cash.
What is RGTS?
RTGS, NEFT=These are online facilities for transferring money within the country.
Under MSF, Scheduled Commercial Banks can borrow money from RBI @1% higher than the ongoing Repo rate under liquidity
adjustment facility (LAF.)
Although, the system of lending remains same just like under repo. = SBI sells Government security to RBI, and promises to buy it back
after sometime, at a higher rate. Difference in selling and purchase = interest rate earned by RBI.
1.
2.
418
LAF
MSF
1 cr.
Repo rate has been around 8%. That means reverse repo is around 7% and MSF is 9%.
SBI offers 0% interest on current account, 4% on savigns account, around 7% interest rate on term deposits.
SBI charges around 10% on home loans, 12% on car loans and 18% on bike loans.
Now consider what If SBI parks its money in RBI (via reverse repo rate). Well RBIs reverse repo is also around 7%! may be a few 0.250.75% higher than SBIs term deposit interest rate. Point being, SBI is better off finding more loan takers than parking money in Reverse
repo rate because it can earn more profit that way.
Open market operations?
Well in LAF or MSF, one party buys Government security from second party. But second party has agreed to buy back (repurchase) the
same security from first party after some time. So Government security is not permanently sold, it is only used as a collateral= thats like
pawning your jewelry in Muthoot finance company.
But in case of OMO, first party permanently sells the Government security to second party. Second party is free to do whatever it wants
with that security.
When RBI purchases Government securities =liquidity increased (because RBI is paying that party some money to buy that security,
right? so RBI is pouring additional money into the system.)
On reverse, when RBI sells Government securities= liquidity is decreased. (because those players are giving their cash to RBI to
purchase the securities= money is sucked out of the system by RBI).
Summary
CRR
I must keep this much money aside. I cannot give it as loan to anyone. I will not earn any interest rate on
it.
SLR
Ive to invest this much money in gold, Government securities (G-sec) and RBI approved corporate bonds.
419
Repo rate
If I borrow money from RBI for short term, Ill have to pay them this much interest rate.
Bank rate
If I borrow money from RBI for long term, Ill have to pay this much interest rate.
Mock Questions
Q1. If RBI purchases Government securities via open market operations, then liquidity _______.
a.
increases
b.
decreases
c.
d.
None of above.
Repo rate is always 100 basis points higher than MSF lending rate.
b.
Reverse repo rate is always 100 lower than MSF lending rate.
c.
Repo rate is always 100 basis point higher than reverse repo rate.
d.
None of above.
RTGS and NEFT are two online money transfer methods within India.
2.
3.
Choice
a.
Only 1
b.
Only 1 and 2
c.
Only 2 and 3
d.
All of them
Q4. In which of the following, Bank will not be making any money?
1.
2.
3.
Choice
420
a.
Only 1 and 3
b.
Only 2 and 3
c.
Only 1
d.
All of them
b.
c.
d.
b.
c.
d.
demand drafts
b.
cheques
c.
fixed deposits
d.
credit cards
fixed deposits
b.
cash certificates
c.
current account
d.
1.
Introduction
2.
3.
4.
Economies of scale
421
5.
Mock Questions
Introduction
The fifth chapter is about financial intermediaries, so before going through the gist of chapter 5, it is essential to understand:
What are financial intermediaries?
On one side weve common men (households), these folks spend money and save money. So these are the people who have surplus
money.
On the opposite side, weve businessmen (industries) who provide goods n services. They need money to start new business, to expand
existing business, sometimes Government also needs money. So These are the people that want money.
Financial intermediaries are the middlemen between these two types of people.
Banks, insurance companies, pension funds, mutual funds etc. are the examples of financial intermediaries.
They take money from the savers (or lenders) and loan it directly or indirectly to the borrowers (Government / businessmen)
And the Common men will earn some profit / interest / dividend/ return on his investment.
Thus in financial intermediation, everyone goes home happy. (except the person who is writing this article for some stupid exam and the
person who is reading his article for some stupid exam.)
Definition
1.
The institutions that channel funds from savers to users are called financial intermediaries.
2.
Institutions that channel funds between surplus and deficit agents are called financial intermediaries.
3.
1.
Commercial banks
2.
3.
4.
Development banks and All India finance institutions (IDBI, NABARD, SIDBI, NHB etc.)
5.
6.
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7.
8.
Non banking financial companies (NBFC, eg. Mannapuram gold loans, Muthoot finance etc. Jab ghar mein pada hai sona to fir kaahe ko
rona?)
Why financial intermediaries = NOT bad?
If we look at the middlemen from common mans point of view, theyre usually considered undesirable/ bad.
For example real-estate agents, they take commission and hence increase the price of building or land.
And Youd have heard this argument hundred times : the middlemen buy carrots from farmers for just Rs.2 rupees a kilo and charges
Rs.20 per kilo to the final consumer in the city without doing any value addition. The FDI in multibrand retail will cut down these
middlemen and hence reduce the prices of fruits and vegetables.
So based on that logic, can we say financial intermediaries are also bad because theyre also middlemen? Answer is no. Because of
following reasons:
Economies of scale
Financial intermediaries are big in size, spend lot of money in advertisements, have branches in many places, so for them finding
prospective loan taker=very easy.
When loans are given, lot of paperwork, background check has to be done. Financial intermediaries have thousand of employees to do it.
They buy stationary, printer inks etc. on wholesale so their operation costs are low.
On the other hand, if you (aam aadmi) directly try to find someone who needs loan/finance then amount of rickshaw fare for searching
clients, making telephone calls, seeking help of CAs and accountants, no. of hours spent in paperwork- all that will reduce your profit
margin to a very low level. So itd be better if you let the financial intermediaries do all that work.
Your Investment is safe
Hell invest part of your money in risky securities that offer higher profit.
Hell invest part of your money in Government securities, or high rated corporate bonds, where profit is less but theyre more secure.
In addition, He has lot of clients and many new clients keep incoming, so even if he makes losses in first place, he can make do by
making profit in second place.
Often you hear newstories where someone committed suicide after losing money in sharemarket. But You never see a news story where
a mutual fund manager committed suicide after losing money in share market.
Banks
Same goes for bank. You deposit your money in savings account then youre certainly going to earn interest (profit).
It is banks headache to find a loan taker, collect EMIs and recover loans. Besides banks have to maintain CRR, SLR, it also ensures
safety of your investment.
Often we see in newspaper that SBI has non-performing assets (NPAs) worth thousands of crores. It means SBI gave loans to some
people but unable to recover the money.
Yet you never hear a newstory where SBI branch manager told a customer ,sorry, you cant take out money from your savings account
or fixed deposit because weve unable to recover loans from third party.
Why? Because SBI has lot of new incoming customers, and if it makes losses in one place, it makes profit in several other places
besides SBI is doing business for years, so it has deep pockets full of cash. It can afford to bleed, it can afford to make temporary losses
and yet maintain a smile on its face.
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But If a common man directly gives loan to someone, and the loan-taker doesnt repay on time = troublesome situation. Because then
common man will have to either hire goons or goto police/court: first solution is quick but very risky, second solution is expensive and
time consuming.
Insurance / Pension funds
Lot of people takes insurance and pay premium. But not everyone dies at the same time.
Similarly, lot of people invest money in pension / provident funds, but not everyone retires at the same time.
Hence there is lot of idle money that insurance /pension /provident company can invest in Government securities, corporate shares,
bonds etc.
And They also take help of experts and invest some money in risky areas, some money in safe areas.
Thats the second advantage of financial intermediaries: they ensure safety of your investment. To put this in refined words: financial
intermediaries invest in diversified portfolios and hence suffer less risk compared to an individual investor.
Besides, financial intermediaries are supervised by regulators (RBI, SEBI, IRDA etc.) so they cant fleece small investor and run away.
And financial intermediaries offer you a reasonable return on investment, their profit margin is also reasonable. It is not like they give your
2% return on your investment and loan it to businessman for 48%.
Body of Experts and asymmetry of information
Again the example of Mutual funds. A mutual fund manager is an expert in financial matters, he has lot of experience on share market
fluctuations, how individual companies are performing, which companies shares are likely to go up in near future etc.etc.etc.
So he can make better investment decision compared to a new player in the sharemarket.
Similarly bank has battery of full time officers for processing loans application and recovering the loans. They look at the credit history /
record of a Borrower before granting loans.
Insurance company also has experts to look into fraudulent insurance claims, and make prudent investment decisions.
Thus, there exists an asymmetry of information. (Those intermediaries have experts so they can make better decisions compared to an
individual investor).
Large Pool of money
For the moment lets assume you love challenges and despite all the odds presented to you so far, you still decide to play this game on
your own.
But at most youll have a few lakh rupees to invest but on the other side there is a big businessmen who needs loan worth cores of
rupees for a long term project (e.g. 25 years).
You may not have the time / mood to wait for 25 years to recover your entire investment. (even if he took partial loan from you).
But on the other hand a financial intermediary receives lot of money (e.g. SBI has lakhs of savings accounts and fixed deposits ), so they
can offer large amount of loans and wait for years to recover the entire investment.
And if you had saved money in SBI, you would still be earning regular interest and can take out your money any time you want.
^These are the advantages from investor / lenders side. Now lets look at the advantages from borrowers side.
From Borrowers side
If youre a businessman, how does a financial intermediary help you?
1.
Easy availability: because you can easily find their office, take the application form.
2.
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3.
a.
Debt: if you borrow from a money lender, hell charge very high interest rate, compared to a bank.
b.
Equity: if mutual fund has invested in your shares, all you have to do is pay reasonable amount of dividend on the shares (if
your company makes profit).
So far we know how financial intermediaries help the lenders/investors/households/Aam-Aadmi and the borrowers/loan-takers/businessmen. Now
lets see how financial intermediaries help the entire economy of a country.
+ve impact on the Whole economy
1.
Financial intermediaries help circulating money in the system. If money is staying idle (e.g. under your bed pillow or as gold in your
locker) then it is not good for the economy. Money must keep changing hands. If you look at this from a different angle: if nobody buys
skin whitening creams then who will feed the families of those chemists who work there And the businessman who supplies raw material
to that factory?
2.
3.
a.
Individual can use that saved money in bad times / emergency and earn profit in between.
b.
When businessmen can get loans easily at a reasonable cost, theyll start new business, expand existing business, hire more employees,
increase production of goods / services = Indias GDP increases, IIP increases. When people are making more money, they spend more
money. A family goes to restaurant, poor waiter makes money. Family hires maid, gardener, driver. Family buys new car, mobile or bike- it
breaks down, the repairman makes money. Thats how money trickles down from rich people to poor people.
Big picture is: if India wants a better GDP growth rate then
1.
Financial intermediaries should be able to do their business easily. e.g. banks should have better facilities to recover bad loans.there
comes SARFAESI Act amendment.
2.
Regulators (RBI, SEBI) should have more powers to supervise the Financial intermediaries.there comes the amendments in their
respective acts/ rules.
3.
Businessman should be able to raise money not from Indian financial intermediaries but also from abroad, wherever they can get finance
at a cheaper rate.there comes ADR, GDR.
4.
People (particularly in rural areas) should be made aware of the benefits of these financial intermediaries.there comes the topic of
financial literacy.
5.
People should be able to get help from financial intermediaries easily.There comes the topics of financial inclusion, banking
correspondence agents, ultra small branches, New pension schemes etc.
^These are some of the topics discussed in fifth chapter of Economic survey. (well see them in a separate article later.)
Mock Questions
Q1. What do you understand by the term financial intermediaries?
i.
ii.
Persons who take finacial decisions for a firm using the power of attorney.
iii.
iv.
Institutions that act as middleman between those who want to lend and those who want to borrow.
Choice
a.
b.
only I and iv
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c.
d.
only iv
ii.
CAG
iii.
Banking ombudsman
iv.
LIC
Choices
a.
b.
Only ii
c.
d.
Only iv
b.
c.
d.
None of above.
economies of scale
b.
asymmetry of information
c.
d.
All of above.
[Economy] New Pension Scheme, Swavalamban, NPS-lite, PFRDA: meaning, issues
1.
What is PFRDA?
2.
Timeline:
3.
Two accounts
4.
NPS: Eligibility
5.
What is PRAN?
6.
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7.
NPS-lite
8.
Swavalamban Scheme
9.
PFRDA is not a statutory body yet. (Because bill related to PFRDA is yet to be passed).
Timeline:
200
3
PFRDA established
200
4
(compulsory) New Pension System (NPS), for the new recruits in Government of India (except the armed forces).
200
9
New Pension System (NPS) is opened up for any citizens in India who wanted to subscribe, even if they are not in
Government service.
Just like weve NPS in India, In USA, theyve a pension scheme for all citizens called 401 (K).
Two accounts
In New Pension scheme, there are two types of account
Tier-I
Tier II
Can
NPS: Eligibility
427
1.
2.
What is PRAN?
When you subscribe to New pension scheme, youre given a unique account number. Known as Permanent Retirement Account Number
(PRAN)
Recall that UID/Aadhar also gives you a unique number. But there are differences:
Aadhar vs PRAN: Difference
UID/Aadhar
PRAN
Any age
Only 18-60
Free
Cant.
Voluntary
2.
Subscriber
PFRDA
Pension Fund Regulatory & Development Authority. Main boss for NPA.
CRA
National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) works as the CRA for NPA. It maintains record of every
subscriber, based on his PRAN number.
(recall this NSDL also works as a Depository and holds your securities (bonds,shares etc) in electronic
428
(dematerialized) form.
ICICI, UTI, SBI, Kotak etc are the fund managers for NPS.You can decide which fund manager you want to pick up.
When you contribute money to NPS, it goes to these fund managers. They invest your money in following*
Fund
manager
1.
Equities
2.
*You can decide how much you want to invest in each of them. (with some caveats).
2.
You can only tell the fund manager how much % to invest in debt / equity but it is upto the fund manager whether he invests in company X
or Company Y. Each fund manager has different preference for companies.
Thus different NPS account holders will end up earning different % on their investment. On the other hand, the EPFO (Employees provident Fund)
offers uniform 8.5% interest rate to all account holders.
NPS-lite
So far you know that NPS was originally meant for Government employees. Later it was extend to all residents citizens of India. Lets call
that NPS main.
(main) NPS
NPS-lite
Only Rs.100
you get to decide the proportion of money you want to invest debt
vs equities (with some conditions).
Swavalamban Scheme
In 2010.
Started in
Target
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audience
Condition?
What is the
benefit?
They must contribute minimum Rs.1000 to maximum Rs.12000 per year into their NPS or NPS-lite
account.
Government will contribute 1000 rupees in their NPS account each year.
They can exit early. (@age of 50 years or after being in the scheme for 20 years). while a normal
NPS subscriber cannot exit before age of 60.
Ok, everything sounds well and good with NPS but then
Why NPS is not popular?
Main reason = Commi$$ion.
Because NPS offers very low Commission to Fund managers (ICICI, SBI, UTI etc.)
So those players (ICICI, SBI) rather prefer to market their own pension, insurance, retirement plans rather than promoting NPS among
their (regular) bank customers.
Same goes for financial advisor, insurance agents etc. They get more Commission by promoting pension/insurance/retirement plans of
private companies to their clients compared to NPS.
Other reasons
In NPS, there are multiple actors: PFRDA, CRA and fund managers. NPS doesnt offer uniform rate of return. Common people find this
setup difficult and unsecure, unlike tried and trusted LIC or PPF.
Income Tax benefits under NPS are not significantly higher than the existing investment options.
NPS is not spending lot of money on ads with film stars / cricketers.
Why Swavalamban/NPS-lite is not popular?
Chindu
@PFRDA chairman, I want you to subscribe more and more poor people in the Swabhiman pension scheme because
elections are incoming.
1.
2.
Chindu
Ya ya Swabhiman, Swavalamban whatever man.Im not giving UPSC exam so I dont need to worry about such
things. Our job is to harass those aspirants with these catchy terms- not ourselves, Got it? Coming back to the main
topic: I want you to get more and more poor people in whatever pension scheme we are running, because general
elections are coming.
PFRDA
chairma
n
Chindu
Then hold meetings Jholachhap NGOs and bogus microfinance companies and tell them to use their network of
430
grassroot workers to form more self help groups (SHG) and get more and more subscribers.
It is Easier said than done because
PFRDA
chairma
n
1.
I dont have sufficient staff to organize meetings / coordinate with those people.
2.
I dont have any coercive powers like RBI or SEBI to make others dance on my tunes. Hell Im not even a
statutory organization yet!
3.
I cannot offer heavy commission to middlemen unlike those private sector pension and insurance firms.
4.
We could ask the state Governments to use their district and taluk level staff to increase penetration of
Swavalamban, but the Non-congressi state Governments are simply not interested in promoting a pension
scheme of Central Government despite the fact that we have not named this scheme it after Indira/Rajiv
Gandhi! Or perhaps because Swavalamban doesnt offer much corruption opportunities to state politicians
and officials, unlike in MNREGA or Indira Awas Yojana, hence theyre not interested.
5.
Poor and lower middle class people dont have lot of surplus income, especially in the times of inflation.
6.
Youre already opening bank accounts for rural poors, to give MNREGA payments, Direct cash transfer etc.
so whatever surplus income theyve, theyll save it in bank accounts. Then theyll have hardly any cash to
invest in NPS!
Chindu
Man Are you suggesting that I should stop MNREGA and Direct cash transfer so people can put more money in
NPS????????
PFRDA
Chairma
n
Youre putting words in my mouth. But yes, sounds like a good idea.
Chindu
Well it is definitely not a good idea sir-ji. Because MNREGA, Direct benefit transfer and food security act are the
three main selling points of our partys election campaign.
Jokes apart, when it comes to MCQs, DONOT make silly mistakes the schemes starting with S
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Swavalamban
Swabhiman
Sabla
This provides food, shelter, support, counseling to women in difficult circumstances e.g.
Swadhar
Swajaldhara
1.
destitute widows,
2.
3.
4.
5.
rape victims
STEP
Started in 2011.
Helps firms in organized sector, to move their employees to the New pension scheme.
Mock Questions
1.
2.
3.
Initially it was meant for employees in central service and armed forces.
b.
c.
d.
None of above
EPFO
b.
ESIC
c.
NPS
d.
LIC
b.
c.
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d.
4.
5.
6.
None of above
Aadhar card
b.
c.
d.
All of above
e.
None of above
b.
c.
d.
b.
c.
d.
Q7. Who among following, will definitely lose his job/position if he is declared insolvent?
1.
2.
3.
Choices
a.
Only 1 and 2
b.
Only 2 and 3
c.
Only 1 and 3
d.
None of above
2.
Choices:
a.
Only 1
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b.
Only 2
c.
Both
d.
None
Sabla: Widows
2.
3.
4.
Choices
a.
Only 2 and 3
b.
Only 1 and 2
c.
Only 3 and 4
d.
All of them
Mains
1.
Swavalamban (5m)
2.
Write a note on New Pension Scheme and its salient features (12m)
3.
Discuss various pension schemes launched by Government of India for the weaker sections of society. (15m)
Interview
1.
What are the flaws in NPS? If you were the chairman of PFRDA, how would you correct them?
2.
3.
Government shouldnot increase FDI in pension sector because itll hurt NPS. Agree/disagree?
Economy] Gold Exchange Traded Funds (ETF), Gold Deposit scheme, Elasticity of Demand explained
1.
2.
2.
3.
4.
5.
3.
4.
434
5.
Gold =Inelastic?
1.
Elasticity of demand
2.
Giffen goods
3.
6.
7.
Mock Questions
Gold deposit scheme (1999)
Under this scheme, an individual/ religious trust can deposit gold (bar, coins, jewelry) to the bank and earn interest on it.
Then, bank will convert such gold into gold bars and lend it to gems and jewelry industry (so they can use it for manufacturing).
Thus Jewelers have to import less gold = less trade deficit = less Current Account Deficit.
And the gold that was earlier sitting idle with public, now gets used for productive purpose.
Get back your gold. But dont get your original jewelry back. Bank will give you gold bar of equivalent weight. (because theyve
melted your jewelry and gave it to the jeweler)
Such gold deposit scheme, require you to deposit minimum 200-500gm gold for minimum 3 years period. (Although recently the
minimum amount and maturity period was reduced.)
Meaning, target audience for such gold schemes = religious organizations, temples, trusts that get lot of gold in terms of
donation/charity.
This scheme secretly encourages people to buy gold! (and then deposit in the bank under the given scheme to earn interest).
Thus, Governments original objective (that we need to decrease gold consumption) = defeated.
Gold Exchange traded fund (2006)
Like shares
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You already know How mutual funds work. First we (normal/small time investors) give money to the Mutual fund. Mutual fund is managed
by an AMC (Asset Management company.)
They invest your money in variety of securities>> make profit>> redistributes it among the investors (and earn commission in between).
First, the authorized participants will deposit gold / shares with the Asset Management company (AMC).
Each Creation unit is contains set of ETFs (5, 10, 50, 1000 depending on their arrangement).
These ETFs are then sold to small investors and traded @stock exchange.
How does Gold ETF work?
In case of Gold ETF, the authorized participant will give GOLD instead of shares to that Asset Management company. (AMC)
Then AMC will give Creation units to that Authorized participant. Each creation unit contains set of ETFs (5,10,50,1000 whatever).
Examples of gold ETF= UTI gold ETF, SBI gold ETF, Kotak Gold ETF etc.
Gold ETF: Pros
When you invest in Gold ETF, the gold is virtually saved in your DEMAT account = no tension of theft / robbery. And you dont have to pay
wealth tax on it.
If you buy gold jewelry as investment and during emergency you want to sell it, you may not find the buyer quickly (or the jeweler may
try to rip you off by giving lower price given you desperation for money.)
But in case of Gold ETF, you can sell it quickly, no questions asked, as long as stock market is open. You can even do it online.
Gold ETF: Cons
To purchase Gold-ETF, you (small investor) have to pay Commission to the share broker. Although the brokerage on Gold-EFT is less
than the Commission charged by conventional mutual funds (MF).
You need DEMAT account to purchase Gold ETF. And to open DEMAT account, you need to pay regular fees + need PAN card.
To get maximum profit in Gold-EFT, You need working knowledge of share market.
In Gold ETF, you never get possession of actual / physical yellow colored gold. What you get is just virtual gold / piece of paper, that can
be traded in share-market.
Given these reasons, Gold ETF = doesnt attract investors from small towns and villages. (lack of awareness, fear of unknown etc.)
Therefore, gold ETF hasnt been able to drastically reduce gold consumption in India.
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Linking Gold ETF with Gold Deposit Scheme (2013)
1.
in Gold ETF, the mutual fund (asset Management company / AMC) gets possession of gold.
2.
in case of gold deposit scheme (1999), you deposit your gold to bank, bank sells/lends it to jeweler. You earn interest and at the end of
maturity, you can claim you gold back (but in different form e.g. instead of jewelry, bank will give you gold-bar).
Under this linking scheme, the Mutual funds are allowed to deposit their gold (under Gold EFT) to the banks (under Gold deposit
scheme).
Thus, gold held by Mutual funds will come back in circulation, and our jewelers can use it=itll reduce the gold imports of gems / jewelry
industry= less trade deficit = less current account deficit.
Gold deposit scheme (2013)
Given the cons / limitations of the existing gold deposit scheme (1999) and Gold EFT (2006), Chindu came up with this new idea, in Feb
2013.
This new gold deposit scheme (2013) will be operated by Post office (in rural areas) and public sector banks.
You deposit money to the bank / post office, and they will give you a gold deposit receipt.
After end of fixed time (maturity), you give the receipt to bank and youll be given options
1.
2.
3.
Convert the gold deposit into fixed deposit (cash) and get interest rates (like in usual fixed deposit schemes).
Apart from these measures, Government also raised the import duty on gold and platinum from 4 per cent to 6 per cent (in January 2013), to
decrease the gold consumption.
A related topic:
Gold =Inelastic?
Elasticity of demand
In other words, demand for good is negatively related to the price of a good.
However, the impact of price change is not always the same on demand. For example, in some cases, even if price increases, the
demand will not fall down drastically, in other cases itll do.
Formula?
437
ED is a pure number. (Because it is a ratio, were just dividing two percentages). It doesnt depend on the units in which price and
quantity are measured.
ED is a negative number. For example, if the price increases by 5% and quantity demanded decreases by 5%, then the elasticity at the
initial price and quantity = 5%/5% = 1
But for determining the elasticity, we use the absolute value |ED|
Demand of a
goods/service/product
When?
Inelastic
Price of product
increases by x%, still
demand of product
doesnt decrease by
x%. (It decreases by
less than x%)
|ED|<1
Elastic
If price of product
increases by x%,
then demand for
product decreases by
more than x%.
|ED|>1
Implies
Example?
Insulin
injection and
other
lifesaving
drugs.
Spa, Tourist
resorts, cars
and other
luxury stuff.
Common sense suggest that if price of gold increases then its consumption or demand should decrease, right? But if we look at the
import data, that is not happening. Gold consumption hasnt decreased much despite the price rise.
Food is as such inelastic in demand. (After all, whether you like it or not, youll have to eat!)
But specific food item may be elastic, IF close substitutes are available.
For example, if ghee becomes too expensive, people might start using vegetable / Dalda ghee. Similarly, butter to margarine.
Meaning, if close substitutes are available easily, then demand for a good is likely to be elastic.
And, if close substitutes are not available easily, then demand for a good is likely to be inelastic. (for example, again insulin injections and
other lifesaving drugs).
Food for thought: How do you connect food adulteration and piracy with the elasticity of demand?
Giffen goods
So far, We know that when the price of an item increases, its demand should decrease.
But there can be a situation when even after price rise, the demand increases!
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Relation between income and demand?
Normal
goods
Inferior
goods
Example?
Pure ghee,
Ice-cream,
Pizza
Bournvita, Horlicks
basmati rice
As per Mines ministry of India, our domestic gold production is barely 2.8 tonnes= not even 1% of our gold consumption can be met by
this desi gold. Therefore weve to import so much Videshi (foreign) gold.
1.
Switzerland
1.
UAE
2.
UAE
2.
Hong Kong
3.
S.Africa
3.
USA.
2.
b.
c.
d.
All of above
b.
authorized participants
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3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
c.
both
d.
none
In 2013, Government allowed linking between Gold EFT and Gold deposit scheme. This will _________ the current account deficit.
a.
Increase
b.
Decrease
c.
Not affect
d.
Worsen
b.
c.
d.
None of above
b.
c.
Both
d.
None
If A=percentage change in price of a good and B=percentage change in the demand of that good, Then Elasticity of Demand will be
a.
A/B
b.
B/A
c.
AxB
d.
None of Above
b.
c.
Percentage change in demand of a good is less than the percentage change in price of that good.
d.
None of above.
Percentage change in demand of a good is less than the percentage change in price of that good.
b.
Percentage change in demand of a good is more than the percentage change in price of that good.
c.
d.
None of above.
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9.
b.
c.
d.
none of above
10. the definition of elasticity and inelasticity in the demand of goods revolves around
a.
b.
c.
d.
none of above
b.
c.
Those goods, whose demand decreases with the rise in consumers income.
d.
None of above.
12. When quantity demanded rises as incomes rise, the said good is
a.
Normal
b.
inferior
c.
elastic
d.
none of above
b.
c.
Goods that are both elastic and inelastic in demand in different countries at the same time.
d.
None of above
14. If 2% increase in gold price, brings 3% decrease in its demand, then demand of gold is said to be
a.
Elastic
b.
Inelastic
c.
Griffen
d.
None of above
UAE
441
b.
S.Africa
c.
Switzerland
d.
All of above