Professional Documents
Culture Documents
MODERN BRITAIN
By: Rowan Emslie // MPP Programme // 2016
Advisor: Andrea Rmmele
April 2016
Table of Contents
1. Executive Summary
2. Introduction
Thesis outline
3. Theoretical Approach
The decline of trust and rise of political dissatisfaction
8
8
11
Branding in politics
13
4. Methodology
20
Conceptual approach
20
22
29
30
30
General characteristics
32
Measures of centrality
33
36
6. Discussion
40
40
43
47
7. Conclusion
48
8. Bibliography
50
Statement of Authorship
66
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1. Executive Summary
Political branding is an emerging field that has largely focused on
individual political actors and their ability to manage a brand from
the top-down. This is a problematic approach for three main
reasons.
First, the direct application of brand management techniques and
theories, which emerged from the private sector, to the political
market is decidedly sketchy as there is only a limited number of
characteristics this sectors have in common (Lock & Harris, 1996).
Second, the primacy of individuals, rather than longer term
institutions such as political parties, makes it difficult to assess the
implications for democracy in general terms: the failure and success
of individual politicians is a sign of health in a democracy. Thirdly, a
top-down application of branding fails to recognise the increasingly
networked nature of modern democracies (Castells, 2011) and the
attendant changes to the expectations of the citizenry.
This study, therefore, takes a consumer-oriented methodology and
applies it to political parties. How do voters conceptualize the brand
a mainstream political party? Can a political party rebrand in the
eyes of the voter? Can political branding give any insight into the
wider disaffection of democratic citizens?
I have taken the UK Labour Party - a mainstream political party
undergoing a process of rebranding - as a case study. I apply the
Brand Concept Mapping technique (John et al, 2006) to reveal the
way that changes in the brand of the Labour Party have or have not
occurred in terms of what has registered in the associative memories
of voters.
Perhaps the most surprising finding of this study is that voters
associate historical events, ideas and individuals very closely with
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the Party. They can hold onto associations for years even if they
were not alive or cognisant at the inception of those associations.
Political party brands in general must have deeper and wider scope
than those of individual politicians or the electoral cycle.
Party leaders are consistently the most central association for
political parties, exacerbating a tension between the institution and
the personalised politics of the digital age (Garzia,2011). The role of
individual politicians in reference to political parties in late-modern
democracies is a serious concern for the relevance of political
parties. However, any change process for political parties must
heavily involve party leaders as both the most visible and most
central association for their brand. Party leaders are both a risk and
opportunity for political parties.
Political branding can potentially act as way to combat democratic
disaffection if it is used to rebrand political parties as more inclusive
and more responsive - as institutions whose primary focus is on
representativeness, not on securing parliamentary majorities. The
customer-oriented approach is currently under-researched,
especially in political markets. This paper is a pilot for the
application of branding research to comparative and change
oriented political inquiry.
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2. Introduction
None of the candidates, not even the party favorites, are campaigning on
behalf of their party; most are campaigning to crash it.
Professor Jill Lepore on the US primary elections (2016).
the state has been decided, major political concerns are more
managerial than they are ideological. As such, branding has emerged
as a major force in politics to better differentiate political parties as
they converge both ideologically and in the eyes of the general
public.
Much attention is given to the idea of branding in politics as a
managerial challenge: from perfecting the art of spin (McNair, 2004;
Brissenden & Moloney, 2005) to constructing clear and targeted
political messaging (Needham, 2005; 2006) to the usage of
symbolism in politics (Bennett, 2004) - there is an enormous
amount of analysis of the ways political parties and political leaders
communicate to the public. All too often, political branding is
conceptualized as a top-down process. Scant attention is given to the
opinions of voters (or, in branding terms, consumers) despite the
issue of steadily increasing dissatisfaction, disillusionment and
mistrust in advanced democracies. By investigating the consumer
perspective of the current rebranding of the Labour Party in the UK,
I aim to relate the study of political branding to the wider narrative
of democratic disaffection.
The most profound re-branding of British politics in the last 30
years came bound to the trend of convergence. New Labour
emerged from the 'Old' when, with Tony Blair as leader, they
formally severed the party's ties with trade unionism, the last
remains of its founding socialist tenets (Page, 2007). This set the
scene for the 'Third Way' to enter British politics, an approach that
saw New Labour pairing progressive social policies with neo-liberal
economic policies and thereby straddling the traditional left-right
cleavage (Giddens, 2013). This rebrand set a pattern of overlap
between Labour and Conservatives seeking to win over moderates
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Thesis outline
First, this thesis will examine the literature related to the loss of
political trust in advanced democracies and trace how that affects
the function of political parties, which are taken to be the core of
liberal democracies: as Elmer Schattschneider put it, modern
democracy is unthinkable save in terms of political parties (1942,
p1). Individual political actors may come and go with little lasting
consequence to the political system. The short-term, electoral focus
of individual politicians is mediated by political parties, whose
long-term survival requires membership. A representative system
fails when the general public no longer feel represented the
political party is, historically, the best delivery mechanism for that
(Galeotti, 2003).
One way of measuring representation is in party membership,
which is in general decline. Citizens are choosing not to join political
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parties how can parties change their minds? To unpack this, I will
explore the research surrounding the branding of political actors
and political parties in particular, including how branding differs in
this context compared to its origins in the private sector.
Next, I will contribute an original study of the ongoing Labour Party
party rebrand under Jeremy Corbyn including an assessment of its
relative successes and failings. Finally, I will compare my study to its
model, a previous study conducted in 2007, and relate my findings
to the wider issue of deteriorating trust in liberal democracies.
3. Theoretical Approach
The decline of trust and rise of political dissatisfaction
There is a wealth of literature on the general decline of political trust
in advanced democracies. This is most persuasive with regards to
the specific decline in confidence of political institutions in
advanced democracies since 1975 (Pharr, Putnam & Dalton, 2000).
The decline manifests itself in terms of decreased confidence in
practically every social institution as communicated through surveys
which have been done by multiple scholars over several decades in
dozens of liberal democracies (Pharr & Putnam, 2000). While the
USA demonstrates the most rapid and consistent declines for the
latter part of the 20th century (King, 2000), Putnam, Pharr & Dalton
noted that across Europe the pattern of declining political support
has apparently accelerated in the past decade (2000, p11).
The notion of long term declining trust in stable democracies is
relatively undisputed, even if it is not the crisis some have claimed
it to be (Norris, 2011). Some scholars contextualise the trust levels in
terms of other forms of government e.g. emerging democracies or
dictatorships and find stable democracies are either on par or
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performing better than their competitors (Mishler & Rose, 2001) but
these finding do not contest the general thesis of decline.
In contrast, the causal mechanisms for such widespread and
long-lasting declines are widely debated.
A respected study of the USA focused on specific shocks the
Vietnam War, Watergate or the Cold War and concluded that the
political malaise cannot be explained by individual events
(Katzenstein, 2000). The perception of corruption of politicians has
been shown to be a key predictor of public dissatisfaction with (Della
Porta, 2000) and distrust of (Pharr, 2000) the government. The
actual performance of politicians is of relatively limited importance
it is how the electorate perceives their behaviour and character
that matters. The change in perception may lie on the demand side
Dalton argues that it is the increase in citizens' expectations and
not decrease in political performance that best explains the decline
(2005). Pre-existing levels of trust can affect perceived quality of
service which, in turn, affects trust. This leads to a difficult
conclusion: causality arguments related to perception have a
problematic cyclical nature (Van de Walle & Bouckaert, 2003).
Crucially, widespread disaffection is agreed to be related to the
perception of political performance, not whether or not liberal
democracy should be replaced by an alternative system of
governance (Newton & Norris, 2000; Peffley & Rohrschneider,
2003). In the eyes of the public, the problem does not lie the system
itself, but the actors and institutions within it.
As this phenomenon cannot be explained through looking at
particular historical events or the actions of individual actors, the
most sensible units of analysis for this topic are the existing
dominant institutions of liberal democracies.
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Branding in politics
Branding developed from the corporate world as a way of
distinguishing products from one another, thereby inducing
consumers to choose particular products. In essence, branding is a
way to convince consumers that meaningful differences exist
between similar products (Keller, 2013). However, branding is now
applied much more widely than this original context. When
discussing brands, one need not be tied to products:
A successful brand is an identifiable product, service, person or place,
augmented in such a way that the buyer or user perceives relevant, unique,
sustainable added values which match their needs more closely (de
Chernatony, 2001, p. 9).
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This definition is useful for the comparative purposes of this paper as French and Smith also used it in their 2010
paper.
2
99% and the Guy Fawkes mask (see Figure 2) which was originally
taken from fictional protests in the comic book
V For Vendetta
(Lush
& Dobnik, 2011; Kohns, 2013).
Communication online is more individual and fragmentary than the
th
mass media forms that dominated the 20
century (Chaffee &
4. Methodology
Conceptual approach
The measurement of consumer based brand equity can be
extremely costly and time consuming. Partly for the sake of
practicality, I have adopted the Brand Concept Mapping (BCM)
process developed by John et al (2006), a way of mapping consumer
based brand equity that is significantly less laborious and more
flexible than other psychoanalytical approaches. In general, brand
mapping is an extremely useful way of showing both how brands are
held in consumers' memories which features come to mind, which
people, which concepts etc and how those brands are related to
other aspects of the market (Keller, 2003).
It should be noted that such developments are mostly US focused but expected to be replicated further afield in
SUMMARY
EQUITY DIMENSIONS
1. Brand Loyalty
2. Perceived Quality
3. Brand Associations
4. Brand Awareness
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For more discussion on the methodological concerns of this paper, see Suggestions for further research in
Section 6.
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Benefits
2. NHS
3. Ed Miliband
4. Opposition
5.
Equality
6. Red
7.
EU
8. Rose
9. Fair
10. Socialism
12. Split
13. Iraq
17. Left
18. Welfare
19. Liberal
20. Workers
PHASE 2:
The mapping phase used a discrete group (
n=62
) of
students from the population used in Phase 1. Using the 22
associations as a prompt, participants were asked to draw out a map
of brand associations related to the Labour Party. I showed them an
example Brand Map (Figure 3) to help explain the process.
They could use any of the 22 associations shown to them and were
fee to add their own. In fact, two associations added during this
phase, Weak and The North, cleared the four participant
threshold of Phase 1. Respondents were asked to relate their
associations not only to the Labour Party but to each other.
Respondents drew out their maps in a sketch pad while I answered
any questions they had.
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Each association pair was given one, two or three lines to indicate
the strength of association (three lines = strongest, one line =
weakest) and they could indicate whether they thought an
association was positive, negative or neutral this final element was
not included in the original BCM outlined by John et al, but added
by French and Smith.
5
PHASE 3:
The aggregation phase condenses all 62 Brand Maps into
a single consensus map thus creating a representative Brand Map for
a particular group of people on a particular topic. This process is
6
The French and Smith paper is very light on details so I relied on the in-depth methodological discussion in the
John et al paper.
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Core Associations
BRAND
MENTION
ASSOCIATIONS FREQUENCY
1ST
ORDER
1ST
ORDER
INTERCONNECT
MENTION
MENTION
IONS
FREQUENCY
RATIO
SUBORDINATE SUPERORDINATE
Ed Miliband
32
47
27
84.4%
18
Gordon Brown
36
47
22
61.1%
15
16
Jeremy Corbyn
50
96
37
74.0%
14
55
Left
42
54
28
66.7%
16
20
Tony Blair
51
101
38
74.5%
14
55
Working class
38
57
24
63.2%
15
22
Iraq
40
47
12
30.0%
28
NHS
39
48
26
66.7%
12
11
Trade unions
31
41
14
45.2%
17
13
Welfare
28
44
10
35.7%
18
19
Benefits
25
35
11
44.0%
16
10
Equality
15
22
60.0%
EU
14
17
64.3%
Fair
12
14
33.3%
Liberal
11
32
63.6%
14
10
New Labour
24
32
12
50.0%
14
10
The North
100.0%
Opposition
19
33
13
68.4%
16
Red
27
32
26
96.3%
Rose
55.6%
Socialism
29
32
10
34.5%
17
10
Split
10
20.0%
Weak
10
66.7%
Workers
14
16
21.4%
10
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1.
1.2.
2.
2.2.
The calculations for the first two steps are summarised in Table 3. I
bundled some associations (such as 'Ed' and 'Ed Miliband' and
'Miliband') to get a more accurate read of the frequencies of mention
across the maps the open ended nature of the survey and map
making sessions naturally led to variations of similar associations.
Some associations were borderline. For example, 'Welfare' was close
to being a 1st order association it lay in the 45-49% frequency with
greater than 41 interconnections, it also had more superordinate
than subordinate connections but did not have the requisite 1st
order ratio to be counted as a 1st order association.
These first two steps identified ten associations for the consensus
map: six 1st order, which are placed directly around the central
node, and four core which have to be mapped in relation to those 1st
order associations according to step 3.
3.
3.2.
3.3.
st
Include all links between core and 1
order associations
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[Note: I removed null values from the X-axis and bounded the scale of the Y-axis to improve legibility]
This stage seeks to eliminate some of the noise from the maps unrepresentative associated pairs that occur only a small number of
times make up a sizeable chunk of the total 752 pairs. To create a
consensus map these low occurring pairs need to be cut away. Out of
286 distinct pairs, 218 pairs occurred on just one map7 , 24 occurred
on two maps, 4 on three maps and so on. These results were plotted
on a frequency plot (Figure 4) to identify the inflection points.
The links found during this stage are summarised in Table 4.
This frequency count is the spike on the right of the graph (i.e.that goes out of the bounds of the y-axis) on
Figure 4.
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Gordon
Miliband
Brown
Iraq Jeremy
Corbyn
NHS Tony
Left
Blair
Trade
unions
Working
Welfare
class
Ed
Miliband
10
27
Gordon
Brown
Iraq
Corbyn
Left
NHS
Tony Blair
10
27
unions
Welfare
Jeremy
Trade
Working
class
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4.2.
While such links have less importance than those between core and
st
1
order associations, it is useful to include them on the map because
a) they are fairly prevalent across all the maps and b) the fact they
are linked to core associations helps to better elucidate the meaning
of those core association - a chain of associations that links Tony
Blair with Gordon Brown and Iraq tells a different story to one that
also includes a Strong Leader association.
There were an additional seven non-core associations added in this
stage.
5.
6.
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General characteristics
The first and most obvious observation to be made when comparing
the two maps is that the 2016 version exhibits both more
associations and more interconnections. As noted in the
Methodology, the respondents put down an extremely diverse array
of associations and links which is reflected in the considerably more
chaotic structure of the 2016 consensus map.
It is interesting to note that Tony Blair and Gordon Brown retain
their 1st order status six years after the latters resignation as Prime
Minister signalled the end of their time in front line UK politics.
Other nodes common to both maps relate to the working class, the
Iraq war and the NHS.
The structure of the maps isnt too different - 5 1st order associations
in 2007 compared with 6 in 2016; 4 additional core associations on
both - until non-core associations are reached. A lot of the confusion
of the 2016 map comes from these additions. Perhaps another
feature worth noting is the increased primacy of individual
politicians - in 2007, less than half of the 1st order associations were
politicians, in 2016 two-thirds are.
Brown, the party leader at the time of the first study, was not the
most linked association on the consensus map unlike the current
leader on the 2016 version. This shows that not only have individual
politicians become more prominent, the party leader has become
further immeshed in the network of party associations.
The intervening years have narrowed the associations of Tony Blair
who retains negative links to Brown and Iraq but is no longer
associated with Strong leader or Has improved education.
The current Labour leader, Jeremy Corbyn, has close links to Left,
Socialism and Working class, indicating that he has captured
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Measures of centrality
Analysing the consensus brand map would be incomplete without
applying quantitative methods. In an unweighted network analysis
of this kind, centrality is used to better assess which associations are
considered the most important by respondents (Borgatti, 2005).
I applied three measures of centrality used by French and Smith8 to
the final 17 associations that made it to the consensus map. These
measures were:
1. Degree centrality.The number of associations linked to each
association (Freeman, 1978).
a. Where
n
is the number of associations in the consensus
map,
a
= 1 if associations
i
and
k
are directly connected
ik
in the consensus map and 0 otherwise.
The formulae for these calculations can be found in the Appendix of French and Smiths paper (2010, p476-477).
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a. Where
b
= g
ij.gij
connecting associations
i
and
j
in the consensus map and
g
is the number of the shortest paths that pass
ij(k)
through association
k
.
3. Closeness centrality.How close associations are to other
associations in the map (Sabidussi, 1966).
a. Where
d
is the number of links in the shortest path
ik
linking associations
i
and
k
.
In 2007, French and Smith found that Tony Blair, Gordon Brown
and Party for the working class were the three most important
associations on the map, with Tony Blair the most central of all.
They found this last result peculiar but, considering he had been
Prime Minister for ten years and only resigned a few months before
their study, I would say it was unsurprising. The relative ubiquity of
Tony Blair in 2016 is probably more surprising.
French and Smith came to their centrality conclusions by finding
broad agreement between each of the three measures.
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Degree
Betweenness
Closeness
Jeremy Corbyn
7.000
47.667
0.033
Working class
4.000
47.000
0.032
Left
5.000
26.833
0.029
Trade Unions
3.000
17.667
0.026
New Labour
2.000
4.000
0.025
Tony Blair
4.000
16.000
0.024
Socialism
2.000
0.000
0.024
Welfare
3.000
28.000
0.024
Gordon Brown
2.000
0.000
0.023
Split
1.000
0.000
0.022
Opposition
1.000
0.000
0.022
Ed Miliband
1.000
0.000
0.022
Liberal
1.000
0.000
0.020
Workers
1.000
0.000
0.019
Iraq
1.000
0.000
0.018
NHS
1.000
0.000
0.018
Benefits
1.000
0.000
0.018
(Key:
Highest scores
,
2nd highest scores
,
3rd highest scores
)
These results show that, once again, two of the most central
associations are the party leader and a connection to the Working
Class. Despite Blairs high number of mentions across the 62
individual brand maps, his centrality to the brand has waned - and
I have omitted The Labour Party from these results as its centrality is, by design, the highest.
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10
These are also the three operational categories used by French and Smith.
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2007
2016
1st Order
Core
Non-core
Total
11
17
Favourability
. The overall valence of the network is a good start.
French and Smith follow Krishnans (1996) lead and calculate using
the following formula: (number of positive association - number of
negative associations)/total number of associations. This gives a
score of 0.63 for the 2007 map and a score of 0.29 for the 2016 map.
This is clearly a major difference but it is probably most reflective of
the fact that the 2007 study was created using only self-identified
Labour supporters. As I mentioned earlier, the opinions of
supporters may be of interest - particularly to campaign managers but they are not a true indication of how the brand is understood by
voters.
Valence is, however, only a partial measure of favourability.
Showing the associations in binary terms does not show the
distribution of scores, which are shown on Figure 7. The least
favourable association is Iraq at -27, the most favourable is
Welfare with +13, and the median is +1. Its clear that most scores
fall in the 0 to +5 range but the extreme negativity connected to the
legacy of the Iraq war drags the overall score down. This graph
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shows that, without looking at the actual weights of scores, you lose a
lot of information. For instance, policy advisors for the Labour Party
can much better recognise that distancing the party brand from the
Iraq War should be a priority when the distribution of scores is
included as a measure of favourability.
It is interesting to note that the majority of the 1st order associations
are negative (4 out of 6) but that, overall, there are far more positive
associations on the map (11 out of 17). The bottom cluster of the map
that includes Gordon Brown, Tony Blair, Iraq and New Labour
represents a considerable amount of the negativity surrounding the
Labour Party. Of the non-core associations, only 1 of 7 is negative, so
the increased strength of the network as noted above should be
regarded as a beneficial development for the Party. Labour under
Corbyn has become easier to access (i.e. conceptualize) and that ease
comes via positive associations.
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6. Discussion
Assessing political rebranding
It is important to reassert that the consensus map produced for this
paper is a snapshot of a particular topic at a particular point of time.
The timing of the study gives it particular interest because it allows
closer analysis of how voters see The Labour Party as it is in the
process of rebranding.
Rebranding can be a complex change process. In the private sector,
it can take two broad forms: the revolutionary, which is best
exemplified by a change in brand name and identity; or the
evolutionary, which can take the form of a modified slogan (Stuart &
Muzellec, 2004). While it is not impossible for the former to transfer
to the political market, it is most likely that political scientists would
be more interested in the evolution of political brands - although
some marketing scholars would argue that a rebrand only occurs
when there has been a name change (Muzellec & Lambkin, 2006).
In some way, changing the party leader can act as a similar
revolutionary rebrand in politics. The leader is, as seen above,
usually the most important aspect of a party brand in the eyes of the
public - when the party leader changes, voter conceptualization of
the party has at least the potential to change radically.
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Our electric extensions of ourselves simply by-pass space and time, and
create problems of human involvement and organisation for which there is
no precedent. We may yet yearn for the simple days of the automobile and
the superhighway. (p114, 2001)
11
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7. Conclusion
It is often quipped that a week is a long time in politics. From
analysing how voters understand and conceptualise the central
institution of representative democracy - political parties - it would
seem that this is a misguided notion.
Branding in politics should not be sidetracked by either managerial
nor campaign focused concerns. The application of the BCM
methodology reveals fascinating insights for campaigners and party
advisors, but it also provides a bottom-up perspective on nature of
the political market as a whole. The longevity of political parties is
not some obscure or mysterious topic of interest only to political
scientists, it is directly reflected in how voters think about them.
Party rebranding may well be necessary for many traditional parties
in advanced democracies as they struggle with low memberships
and low public confidence. There is no clear path for success in this
regard. But the institutional value of the party comes from its ability
to communicate information that is not explicitly tied to the
election cycle. Because of this, parties have the potential to play a
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