Professional Documents
Culture Documents
E Finance Forums
Market Roundup
Volume 1, Issue 25, 7th August 2015
EQUITY Market
Sensex 28236.39
LTP
282.85
393.4
129.3
955.5
3808.70
% Change
11.9
10.3
2.70
16.9
56.55
Scrip
BHEL
COAL India
LTP
266.15
414.7
% Change
-16.3
-16.7
SBI
Bank of Baroda
Asian Paints
281.30
185
898.65
-7.75
-4.40
-17.45
Currency
V/S INR
Nifty 8564
24.05
Market News:
61.74
Closing Price
Change(%)
Dollar
63.81
-0.05
Euro
69.96
0.37
Pound
98.82
0.00
Yen(100)
51.4
0.27
th
efo
pa e as
Market Roundup
EDITORIAL
Hi Guys,
Welcome to the 21st issue of market roundup brought to you by the SIMSREE Finance Forum.
The Chamber of Lok Sabha e a e the Hall of ha e this eek when members of various opposition
parties, including Congress and Aam Aadmi Party boycotted the proceedings. Leaders of these parties
announced that they will boycott proceedings for the week as a protest against the suspension of 25 Congress
MPs. Apart from this, RBI has kept its key rates unchanged in its 3 rd bi-monthly monetary policy review.
Governor Raghuram Rajan remarked that the headline inflation is at elevated levels and banks still ha e t
passed on the full benefits of the previous 75 basis points rate cut. Raghuram Rajan used strong words against
banks for holding on to rates. Dr. Rajan has also said that RBI and the government have reached a consensus
on the structure and composition of Monetary Policy Committee. He said that there is no difference of
opinion between the two parties regarding the role that will be played by the governor in the MPC.
Rural Development Minister Chaudhary Birender Singh launched SAMANVAY, a compilation of all schemes
of both Central and State governments for Gram Panchayats. The purpose of bringing out SAMANVAY is to
help MPs utilize relevant schemes in the planning and execution of Saansad Adarsh Gram Yojana. More than
1800 state schemes from various states have been integrated into SAMANVAY. In addition to this, the
Government is in the process of developing a Uniform Code for Pharmaceutical Marketing Practices in order
to reduce unethical practices. The uniform code which is under implementation till this month-end is only on
a voluntary basis initially.
Moreover, in order to regulate commodity trading, SEBI has warned small investors against coming for
quick gains through speculation in the a ket, hi h is isk a d e uires technical knowledge. Small
investors were warned not to fall prey to people saying small margins can bring in lot of money. SEBI asserted
that it is prepared to begin regulating commodities trading and all necessary safeguards would be put in place
to keep the scamsters and manipulators at bay.
On a sadder note, one civilian was killed in the ceasefire violation by Pakistan along the international
border in Jammu district this week. Pakistani forces started heavy firing and mortar shelling on Indian
positions and civilian areas in Kanachak and Pargwal around 6 on tuesday morning. Later, Pakistani forces also
opened fronts in RS Pura Sector along the international border.
Lastly, US President Barack Obama has shown confidence of having a successful Paris Summit on climate
change later this year, with the White House hoping countries like China and India will be fully cooperative for
the "most ambitious international climate change in human history". Mr. Obama has announced an ambitious
clean energy target to curb pollution from coal-fired power plants yesterday.
- SIMSREE Finance Forum Team
Market Roundup
Maruti market value soars; overtakes Japanese parent company Suzuki; creates history
- PRATIK NAIK
MUMBAI: The nation's no. 1 automaker Maruti
Suzuki has achieved a feat no other Indian
company with a foreign parent has ever done. It
has outgrown its parent company Suzuki Motor in
market value. It has recently also ousted Tata
Motors as India's most valuable automotive
company.
It s sto k i eased % i the past ea , s elli g
its market capitalisation to $19.73 billion (Rs 1.26
lakh crore) based on 21st Jul s losi g sto k p i e
of Rs 4,158.80 on the Bombay Stock Exchange;
while its Japanese parent Suzuki is valued at $19
billion.
Maruti's stock rally has been mostly due to its
stellar operational and financial performance and
rosy outlook in a sluggish automobile market. On
the other hand, Suzuki had a bumpy ride in recent
years with sales weakening in all major markets
except Asia.
Barring Maruti, no other constituent of the CNX
MNC - an index that captures the stock
performance of top MNC subsidiaries - has a
market cap close to that of the parent.
Historically, for Maruti, the parent held an upper
hand. Data compiled by ETIG show on average,
since the listing of the Indian unit in 2003, Suzuki's
market cap had been $5.6 billion more than
Maruti's. Analysts and investors remain bullish on
the Indian company that the lead Maruti has taken
over the parent could widen.
Market Roundup
Our view:
The parent company Suzuki holds a 56% stake in Maruti. As disclosed in Suzuki's FY-14 annual report, on a
consolidated basis, 40% of its sales volume comes from India. In its vision 2020 document, the Japanese
company expected the proportion of cars sold in India to reach 60% in 2020. The widening disparity between
the performance at Suzuki and Maruti; implies that the Indian unit plays an important role in achieving the
target. Suzuki has taken several strategic steps which connotes the growing prominence of the Indian
subsidiary.
Being the market leader, Suzuki also invested in developing a diesel engine to cater to the demand Maruti was
facing in India. More importantly, shifting from its policy of collaborative development, Suzuki's design team
has started developing products targeted mainly at the Indian buyer. Utility vehicle Ertiga was the first
product designed primarily for the Indian market. Maruti has been given a free hand to develop business in
Africa and Latin America by using the existing dealer network of Suzuki. This is with a view that in the near
future, arkets outside Asia ould e i stru e tal to Marutis arket apitalisatio .
Market Roundup
Has I fosys got its Mojo a k? I fosyss highest e e ue g o th i 19 ua te s a d high dolla guida e
for FY16 lift stock to two year high
- DIVYA NADAR
Market Roundup
. % i p o e e t. The igge o t i uto is
ope atio al e elle e, ikka said. I
e e
quarter, the contribution of new initiatives should
get bigger, and that will certainly help us get to that
goal (of becoming a $20 billion company
.
The strong results prompted some analysts to
ha ge thei outlook o the o pa . I fos s s
strong first-quarter revenue washes away the blues
of its dismal fourth-quarter drop and sets it up for a
st o g fis al ea
, A ku ud a, a al st at
brokerage CLSA, said in a note to clients.
La gest usto e ea ele atio is a sig ifi a t
positive and indicates Infosys regaining mindshare
a d
a ket sha e, ud a added. till, so e
worried if Infosys was sacrificing its profitability to
generate additio al usi ess. To e su e, I fos s s
profitability took a hit in the April-June period as
operating margins declined by 115 basis points
over the year-ago period to 24.9%. A basis point is
one-hundredth of a percentage point.
A su essful tu around can happen only if the
company can either increase its market share or
improve its profitability. One cannot make a
turnaround without giving away one. Infosys seems
to be taking the route of increasing topline even as
the margins come under pressure, said a
Singapore-based analyst working at a foreign
brokerage who did not wish to be identified.
Infosys and other home-grown IT firms also have a
few challenges. Business from energy and telecom
clients continues to be a cause of concern. For
Infosys, insurance was another business that
lagged othe i dust u its. We eite ate ou ie
that I fos s s oad to e o e
ill e a u p o e.
Infosys has not only the challenge to put its own
house in order but has to deal with the secular and
highly disruptive journey into the As-a-Service
Market Roundup
Our View:
Since the entry of Vishal Sikka as the CEO of Infosys, there have been tremendous changes in the strategic
planning of the company. The Infosys 3.0 strategy was bid adieu and new tactics were drawn out. While the
Q1 FY16 remained favorable for IT sector, Infosys definitely was the top gainer. It differentiated itself from its
top competitors, especially TCS, in terms of its approach towards clients, markets and employee retention. The
strategies of investing in disruptive as well as innovative solutions such as automation; venturing in newer
avenues (e.g. the US based Dreamworks spin-off); linking payments to milestones achieved and creating a
conducive environment for employees paid off handsomely well. Infosys struck the iron while it was hot by
securing major businesses in US, a region which is speculated to bring huge prospects for Indian IT sector in the
coming quarters.
While the current scheme of things are falling in place for Infosys, it can still capitalize on the huge untapped
market in India. The volatility of global markets, ever changing needs and reduction in IT spending by the
global clients make it important for IT firms to secure a strong grip in the domestic market. Infosys reaps
arou d 3% of its re e ue fro I dia hi h is less tha t i e of its i
ediate o petitor, TCS 7%. E ergi g
markets will hold the key to success in future. Hence, as Infosys basks in the glory of beating TCS in the
quarterly revenue growth, it should keep innovating and look for new opportunities to stay ahead.
Market Roundup
Our View:
In the past year, the Central Bank has been implementing measures in anticipation of consolidation in the BFSI
space. Since amendment of the NBFC norms in 2014, there have been continual efforts to organize and
streamline the NBFC sector further. Since NBFCs like Mannapuram Finance and Muthoot Finance have been
responsible for bringing several borrowers from the unorganized sector into the NBFC space, the RBI is
implementing measures to ensure that these borrowers are protected by regulations. Additionally, the
Microfinance space has also seen a lot of new entrants, most of whom, will have their consumers from
unorganized and economically backward sectors. The NBFC norms ensure that these companies have the
adequate capital to bear defaults and also that consolidation takes place within the regulatory framework to
protect the interests of the clients.
Market Roundup
Sun pharma merger with Ranbaxy turns sour : Company considers exiting some business
-ANKITA NARNAWARE
Market Roundup
Our views:
As was thought to be one of the greatest merger of the pharma sector, Sun pharma and Ranbaxy has turned
out to be a bad decision from Sun pharma point of view. The company is reconsidering to actually exiting few
parts of the business entered into with Ran a
hi h are loss aki g e tures. The Ra a s API usi ess
with two plants at Toansa (Punjab) and Dewas (MP) is small now and was impacted after the USFDA import
ban. It may also exit certain brands in Ranbaxy's portfolio which are not adding to profits, she said. "A
thorough assessment has been made of current overlaps across the organisation," a Sun spokesperson said.
"While all attempts have been made to ensure that most employees are accommodated in various positions,
there will be a few who we need to help in the process of actually transitioning out of the organisation." Sun
Pharmaceutical Industries is cutting staff again as it digests the $3.2-billion acquisition of Ranbaxy
Laboratories. Facing the axe this time are research and development staff, a move that comes a month after
about 150 senior executives were asked to leave. Close to 15 employees from the R&D department are to exit
as Sun integrates a combined staff base that's 30,000 strong. Among the erstwhile Ranbaxy executives who
left in the earlier round were the head of India operations, the chief financial officer and the vice-president of
marketing among others. Sun said it's trying to handle the transition as sensitively as possible.
Market Roundup
Oil at multi month lows; hunt for new bottom as gasoline piles up
-ROHIN JACOB
Market Roundup
Our View:
The price of crude oil is decreasing due to oversupply in the market. OPEC players like Iran, Iraq and Saudi
Arabia are all gradually increasing their respective supplies. Others developing members like Angola will
sustain their oil exports as their economies are dependent on oil. In the case of Iraq, the increase in supply has
resulted from the execution of various oil field expansion projects that the Government had signed with major
International Oil companies as part of its long term project to increase oil production significantly. Even the
export infrastructure is being developed in order to avoid wastage of the potential to produce oil. In Iran, the
recent removal of export sanctions that were earlier imposed on it by EU and USA is leading to a gradual
increase in supply from the country. The removal of sanctions has allowed the country to bring back its
production capacity that had gone offline in the presence of the sanctions and the consequent absence of
demand. However, around 25-30% of its offline capacity is expected to have been lost permanently. Both these
poor countries are very unlikely to reduce exports in order to stabilize crude oil prices. Apart from this, Saudi
Arabia, the oil mammoth, is a country that has a spare capacity of 2.5 million barrels per day which it is
currently using to some extent in order to prevent western nations like US and Canada to eat i to OPECs
market share. In the near future, even Russia will increase exports of crude oil in a desperate attempt to revive
its economy. Thus, the oil prices are expected to remain under pressure.
Market Roundup
La se & Tou o
efo
pa e as p ofit slides
-JEET JUNEJA
Market Roundup
Our View:
Companies like L&T have looked to the BJP Government to give the economy the much needed push by
clearing stalled projects in order to fasten the investment cycle; the Government decided to splurge money on
public infrastructure this year in the hope that it would be complemented by private funds to kick start the
economy. However, private investment has been constrained by spare capacity and weak demand in the past
few months. According to Mood s A al ti s, there are sig s that thi gs are t er good ith a ufa turi g,
the industry that is expected to increase the size of our economy drastically. Moreo er, a ufa turi g is t the
only industry that is in trouble. The Pur hasi g Ma agers I dices - economic indicators derived from monthly
surveys of private sector companies have dropped for both manufacturing and service industries. The major
reaso for this drop is the go er e ts i a ilit to ri g a out ke refor s. On the whole, it would t e
inappropriate to say that the economy will benefit by further cuts in the benchmark interest rate by RBI. The
consequent lower costs for borrowing could help the private sector, which, at present, is unable to clear stalled
projects.