X1

9
55
89
20
40
51
73
99
44
41
44
3
91
22
2
99
11
25
87
45
26
97
19
60
88
39
62
50
92
20
83
88
23
18
3
49
16
11
84
44
35
58
47
51

X2
236
315
162
283
237
298
498
264
357
210
101
432
149
288
242
271
222
369
107
354
391
269
134
306
260
305
328
405
438
287
454
251
434
127
160
388
150
388
265
140
207
477
119
100

X3
35
30
28
25
13
44
17
40
7
32
37
41
2
45
37
26
4
3
30
2
30
33
14
43
18
47
13
2
25
5
39
42
19
42
48
31
49
36
23
5
9
12
8
32

Y
1381
1407
1302
911
544
2340
895
2325
472
1305
1656
1866
587
2397
1458
1336
229
310
1381
421
1277
1790
423
2417
897
2708
660
437
1346
291
2042
2362
664
1927
2568
1389
2708
1532
1145
360
408
620
428
1338

Y = 5.X1 + 10 SQRT (X2) + X3^2

60
8
48
12
12
40

340
335
353
289
141
428

25
21
42
22
5
44

1120
677
2236
714
214
2296

2) + X3^2

X1
10
4
10
4
1
5
8
8
7
2
3
5
4
2
2
2
9
2
10
8
10
6
1
3
2
5
2
2
6
6
4
2
10
5
1
1
7
6
5
1
1
9
3
8

X2
1.74
1.74
3.3
2.86
3.36
4.69
4.67
4.73
1.67
2.46
4.43
2.26
3.17
1.64
3.19
3.82
1.3
4.43
1.63
2.55
1.98
2.08
1.51
2.85
2.31
4.45
1.76
4.92
2.54
4.06
2.52
2.88
2.71
1.79
3.98
2.14
1.68
1.18
3.85
2.48
1.09
2.99
3.23
3.64

X3
16
38
44
46
49
22
17
29
16
13
1
23
22
20
41
14
45
13
13
20
5
17
28
9
10
21
43
35
12
33
14
27
8
24
33
11
2
26
16
39
17
22
45
5

Y
211
253
395
301
307
281
291
361
175
101
129
194
194
125
256
156
335
176
180
219
147
174
151
105
85
266
257
321
156
307
127
183
180
186
242
73
95
204
205
231
99
240
283
166

Y = 12.X1 + (X2)^3 + 5.X3

8
6
7
10
10
2

2.39
3.72
2.98
3.39
1.09
4.26

36
44
40
7
15
17

278
330
304
196
196
192

CPI

Food
0.9
0.6
0.9
0.9
1.2
1.1
2.6
1.9
3.5
4.7
4.5
3.6
3
7.4
11.9
8.8
4.3
5.8
7.2
11.3
5.7
3.6
4.7
8.9
7.2
8.5
8.3
4
13.5
9.7
12.9
9.6
10.8
11.2
10.1
2.8
6.5
9.9
13
8.9
13.9
3.7
8.8
10.7

Shelter
1
1.3
0.7
1.6
1.3
2.2
5
0.9
3.5
5.1
5.7
3.1
4.2
14.5
14.3
8.5
3
6.3
9.9
11
1.7
3.3
6.1
6
3.2
7.3
7.9
3
13.7
10
14.1
12.4
13.3
10.5
9.3
3.9
3.1
8.1
13.3
9.7
14.3
3.9
9
13.3

Apparel
Fuel Oil
2
1.6
3.7
0.8
0.9
2.7
1.6
0.4
2.6
1.2
1.3
2.6
1.5
0.9
2.1
1.9
1.1
2.4
3
2.5
4.4
3.6
4.1
7.2
4.5
5.3
6
8.3
5.8
6.7
8.9
4.2
6.6
4.2
3.2
6.2
4.6
2
3.3
4.7
3.7
4
9.6
7.4
9.3
9.9
4.5
12
5.5
3.7
9.5
6.6
4.5
9.6
10.2
3.6
8.4
13.9
4.3
9.2
2.8
9.2
9.8
11.1
3.7
4.7
11.4
2.1
4.9
7.4
13.3
13.8
8.7
11.4
10.5
7.9
6.5
11.9
9.1
13.8
3.5
14.2
3.7
7.2
4.7
11.9
12.8
3
6.2
12.3
11.6
14.8
13.3
12.9
10.6
4.9
6.8
12.7
1.3
8.7
11.5
8.6
4.4
12.3
8
14.2
2.9
1.6
14.5
11.8
6
1.4
14.2
9.3
11.8
13.3
10.5
11.1
8.7
11
6.9
12.1
12.6
11.8
6.7
1.3
1.3
6.9
14
12.3
8
9.2

Find what are the weights given to e

11.6
9
12.9
5.2
9.9
8.9
6.7
5.7
7
10.9
6.4
4.8
8.5
6
8.2
5.8
6.2
4.9
6
7
9.8
10.8
7.2
7.1
10.7
8
4
9.2
7.5
8.4
8.6
6.9
4
7.6
7.2
10.5
8.5
9
6.6
6.2
13.2
8.3
8.6
7.7
8.6

11.6
11.2
14.4
3.6
12.6
9.7
7.7
7.7
10.3
14.4
6.7
3.1
7.4
1.1
13.3
1.7
5.1
1.2
7.7
3.6
14.8
9.1
2.2
5.7
8.5
2.5
4.7
13.4
6.1
10.8
12.9
6.9
3
14.1
8.1
12.4
13.1
8.8
4.4
8.6
14.4
5.4
9
5
8.2

8
5.1
8.9
8.2
4
14.7
12
10.2
11.7
2.9
7.5
10.8
2.4
4.2
13.6
8.3
4.2
5.6
12.3
2.2
8.2
4.9
5.7
1
2.7
10
5.9
9
11.9
9.1
2.5
8.1
6.5
13.7
9.1
4.7
1.2
2.5
11.1
1.1
14.4
12.1
11.7
12.8
13

13.6
11.9
13.2
14.6
8.6
7.7
6.7
1.6
4.5
3.7
9.6
7.9
9.6
15
2.5
12.5
2.9
13.9
3.4
8.9
4.4
14.2
15
7.9
14.1
14.4
4.8
1.7
4.3
9.5
1.6
11.6
8
2.2
4.9
4.1
6.1
5.9
13.1
2.2
9.3
8.3
5.4
8.8
14.7

11.1
4.4
14.5
1.5
4
11.8
5.4
6.3
3.9
8.6
5.5
5.9
6.8
9.4
2.7
7
10.5
3.1
6.7
10
4.6
11.6
6.9
8.5
14.1
12.4
2.7
5.7
14
1.4
5.4
2.1
2.9
2.1
11.1
11.3
4.1
9.7
6
6.4
11.7
13.2
8.6
13.2
1.4

13.3
8.6
4.8
9.1
9.8
6.8
5.5
10.6
5.7
11.2
7.7

12.4
13.6
4.4
9.1
9.9
8.1
3.4
11.7
3.4
11.5
8.3

12.2
12
1.4
8
14.9
3.1
3.1
8.1
7
13.8
11.6

13.7
1.5
7.9
6.4
5.7
7.7
12.3
3.8
1.4
11.9
10.3

12.5
6.2
4.6
9.6
10.6
5.9
1.5
13.2
13.4
6.2
4.9

e the weights given to each commodity to calculate CPI

Moving Average technique

Year

Actual
MA
1
1,402
2
1,458
3
1,553
4
1,613
5
1,676
6
1,755
7
1,807
8
1,824
9
1,826
10
1,780
11
1,759

Error
1,430
1,506
1,583
1,645
1,716
1,781
1,816
1,825
1,803
1,770

28
48
30
32
40
26
9
1
23
11
25

Weighted moving average tec

Year

T
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

27
31
58
63
59
66
71
86
101
97

erage technique
MA(3)

Error

MA(4)

Error
y

1,471
1,541
1,614
1,681
1,746
1,795
1,819
1,810
1,788

82
72
62
74
61
29
7
30
29
49

moving average technique

43.83333
56
60.16667
63.16667
67.33333
77.66667
91
96.5

1,507
1,575
1,649
1,713
1,766
1,803
1,809
1,797

107
101
106
94
59
23
29
38
70

Year

Total
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16

Ft=alpha0.2
1193
1014
1200
1288
1457
1354
1477
1474
1617
1641
1569
1603
1705
1848
1956
2068

1193.00
1157.20
1165.76
1190.21
1243.57
1265.65
1307.92
1341.14
1396.31
1445.25
1470.00
1496.60
1538.28
1600.22
1671.38

Ft=Alpha0.5
1193
1103.50
1178.60
1226.88
1323.60
1298.78
1371.33
1390.96
1479.07
1518.66
1507.12
1536.50
1600.80
1693.14
1778.11

Ft=alpha0.8
1193
1049.80
1169.96
1264.39
1418.48
1366.90
1454.98
1470.20
1587.64
1630.33
1581.27
1598.65
1683.73
1815.15
1927.83

Question no. 15.5

Time Period
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Average

Value

error
27
31
58
63
59
66
71
86
101
97

14.25
13.25
9.5
21.25
30.5
16
17.458333333

MA

WMA

44.75
52.75
61.5
64.75
70.5
81

Error

426
451
503
538
611
713

53.25
56.375
62.875
67.25
76.375
89.125

5.75
9.625
8.125
18.75
24.625
7.875
12.45833

Time

Period
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

Alpha=0.1
211
228
236
241
242
227
217
203

Alpha=.8

211
211
212.7
224.6
215.03
233.72
217.627 239.544
220.0643 241.5088
220.75787 229.9018
220.382083 219.5804

2.68435E-018

Error1

Error2

23.3
11.4
25.97
7.28
24.373
2.456
6.9357
14.5
3.75
12.9
17.38
16.58
16.95145 10.85267

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.994126
R Square 0.988286
Adjusted R 0.987669
Standard Er0.689006
Observatio
21
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
F
Significance F
1 760.9801 760.9801 1602.977 8.16E-020
19 9.019855 0.474729
20
770

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Intercept -3.661923 0.395871 -9.250285 1.82E-008 -4.490491 -2.833354 -4.490491
Total numb9.98E-005 2.49E-006 40.0372 8.16E-020 9.46E-005 0.000105 9.46E-005

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
Predicted Year
Residuals
1 1.831314 -0.831314
2 1.921067 0.078933
3 2.745821 0.254179
4 3.925996 0.074004
5 5.056551 -0.056551
6 4.838107 1.161893
7 6.273166 0.726834
8 7.830225 0.169775
9 9.479533 -0.479533
10 11.07443 -1.074431
11 11.9485 -0.948505
12 13.1132 -1.113204
13 12.52566 0.474337
14 13.85459 0.145406
15 15.59456 -0.594555
16 15.87679 0.123205
17 15.82668 1.173324
18 17.24287 0.757135
19 19.00359 -0.003592
20 20.37465 -0.374655
21 20.66268 0.337315

Total number of new orders Residual Plot

2
Residuals

0
0

100,000

200,000

-2
Total number of new orders

Upper 95.0%
-2.833354
0.000105

300,000

rs Residual Plot

200,000

new orders

300,000

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.996869
R Square 0.993748
Adjusted R 0.992644
Standard Er0.532156
Observatio
21
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
3 765.1858 255.0619
17 4.814231 0.28319
20
770

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
Intercept -0.676294 0.837198 -0.807806
t^2
0.033911 0.010061 3.37058
t^3
-3.4E-005 1.29E-005 -2.629397
Total numb5.32E-005 1.26E-005 4.214159

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
Predicted Year
Residuals
1 2.284083 -1.284083
2 2.433124 -0.433124
3 3.039861 -0.039861
4 3.900037 0.099963
5 4.79502 0.20498
6 5.028908 0.971092
7 6.196794 0.803206
8 7.477484 0.522516
9 8.849022 0.150978
10 10.22636 -0.226357
11 11.24672 -0.246725
12 12.44042 -0.440423
13 12.70976 0.290239
14 13.99905 0.000946
15 15.49529 -0.495293
16 16.1911 -0.191105
17 16.6734 0.326598
18 17.88698 0.113016
19 19.21999 -0.219986

F
Significance F
900.674 6.32E-019

P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%

Lower 95.0%
0.430361 -2.442628 1.09004 -2.442628
0.003632 0.012685 0.055138 0.012685
0.017577 -6.1E-005 -6.7E-006 -6.1E-005
0.000584 2.66E-005 7.98E-005 2.66E-005

20 20.2662 -0.266204
21 20.64037 0.359628

t^2 Residual Plot

2
Residuals

0
0

50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500

-2
t^2

Upper 95.0%
1.09004
0.055138
-6.7E-006
7.98E-005

Total number of new or

2
Residuals

0
0

100,000

-2

Total numb

t^3 Residual Plot

2
Residuals

0
0

50000

100000

-2
t^3

umber of new orders Residual Plot

duals

150000

2
0
0

100,000

200,000

-2
Total number of new orders

300,000

200000

250000

Year

t^2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21

1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
121
144
169
196
225
256
289
324
361
400
441

t^3

Total number of new orders

1
55,022
16
55,921
81
64,182
256
76,003
625
87,327
1296
85,139
2401
99,513
4096
115,109
6561
131,629
10000
147,604
14641
156,359
20736
168,025
28561
162,140
38416
175,451
50625
192,879
65536
195,706
83521
195,204
104976
209,389
130321
227,025
160000
240,758
194481
243,643

300000
250000
200000
150000
100000
50000
0

f(x) = 98
R = 0.9

300000
250000
200000

f(x) = 9898.9857142857x + 37969.6333333333

R = 0.9882859021
Year

150000
100000
50000
0

Total number of new

orders
Linear (Total number of
new orders)
Exponential (Total
number of new orders)

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.914408
R Square
0.836142
Adjusted R Square
0.829018
Standard Error
3.04328
Observations
25
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
Union Members

SS
MS
F
1 1086.9843378478 1086.984337848 117.3652656237
23
213.0156621522
9.2615505284
24
1300

Coefficients
2207.897
-0.012936

Standard Error
t Stat
P-value
19.5688333763 112.8272101821 4.5925479E-033
0.0011940975 -10.8335250784 1.6529348E-010

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation

Predicted Year
1 1983.582
2 1988.032
3 1988.303
4 1989.105
5 1987.954
6 1988.497
7 1991.343
8 1993.568
9 1995.871
10 1993.18
11 1991.24
12 1996.259
13 1997.436
14 1999.493
15 1998.187
16 1994.746
17 1996.596
18 1996.971
19 1999.041
20 2003.814
21 2007.747

Residuals
0.4183167705
-3.0317654923
-2.3034274909
-2.1054772011
0.0458522215
0.5025282243
-1.3434546182
-2.5684957496
-3.8711545949
-0.1804071802
2.760035667
-1.2592431644
-1.4364451583
-2.4933145764
-0.1867497259
4.2543022564
3.4044134088
4.029261125
2.9594554213
-0.8140339827
-3.7466648197

22
23
24
25

2004.991
2009.208
2005.185
1999.649

0.0087640233
-3.2084650979
1.8147197386
8.3514499959

Union Members Residu

10
Residuals

Significance F
1.65293481E-010

Lower 95%
Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
2167.4156605037 2248.378 2167.416 2248.378
-0.0154064646 -0.010466 -0.015406 -0.010466

5
0
15,000
-5

15,500

16,000

16,500

Union Members

Members Residual Plot

15,500

16,000

16,500

Union Members

17,000

17,500

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.914349
R Square 0.836034
Adjusted R 0.828906
Standard Er12152.77
Observatio
25
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
F
Significance F
1 1.7E+010 1.7E+010 117.2734 1.67E-010
23 3.4E+009 1.5E+008
24 2.1E+010

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Intercept
4829907 78144.47 61.80741 4.50E-027 4668253 4991561 4668253
Union Mem -51.6384 4.768405 -10.82928 1.67E-010 -61.5026 -41.77421 -61.5026

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
Predicted Y^2
Residuals
1 3934497 1758.803
2 3952261 -12035.81
3 3953345 -9149.215
4 3956547 -8377.796
5 3951951 193.0222
6 3954120 2001.209
7 3965480 -5380.24
8 3974362
-10281
9 3983554 -15489.68
10 3972813 -763.8933
11 3965067 10968.87
12 3985103 -5077.834
13 3989802 -5785.928
14 3998012 -10003.43
15 3992797 -792.9559
16 3979061 16939.86
17 3986445 13554.57
18 3987943 16058.05
19 3996205 11798.91
20 4015260 -3250.662
21 4030958 -14941.74

22
23
24
25

4019959 66.24315
4036793 -12756.88
4020733 7315.667
3998632 33431.9

Union Members Residual Plot

40000
20000
Residuals
0
15,000
-20000

15,500

16,000

16,500

Union Members

Upper 95.0%
4991561
-41.77421

17,000

17,500

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.915263
R Square 0.837706
Adjusted R 0.814521
Standard Er224.0496
Observatio
25

Y^3
500
Residuals

0
7600000
-500

ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

3
21
24

SS
MS
5441211 1813737
1054162 50198.21
6495373

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
Intercept
-2E+008 1.2E+009 -0.192648
Y^3
0.029781 0.15347 0.194047
Y^2
-177.9339 918.9814 -0.193621
Year
354306.2 1834276 0.193159

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
Predicted Union Members
Residuals
1 17173.64
166.36
2 17109.03 -113.0315
3 17043.24 -68.24126
4 16976.45 -63.44811
5 16908.83 93.16931
6 16840.57 119.4323
7 16771.84 -31.83774
8 16702.82 -134.8196
9 16633.69 -243.6919
10 16564.63 33.36667
11 16495.82 252.1774
12 16427.44 -67.43836
13 16359.66 -90.65932
14 16292.66 -182.6642
15 16226.63 -15.63154
16 16161.74 315.2598
17 16098.17 235.8313
18 16036.1 268.9041
19 15975.7 169.2997

F
Significance F
36.1315 1.78E-008

P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%

Lower 95.0%
0.849086 -3E+009 2.3E+009 -3E+009
0.848004 -0.289379 0.34894 -0.289379
0.848333 -2089.06 1733.193 -2089.06
0.848691 -3460279 4168891 -3460279

20
21
22
23
24
25

15917.16
15860.66
15806.36
15754.46
15705.14
15658.56

-141.1607
-388.6558
-121.3642
-395.4646
-35.13573
439.4438

Y^2 Resi

Y^3 Residual Plot

500

500
Residuals

0
7600000000

Residuals
7800000000

8000000000

8200000000

0
3900000

3950

-500

-500
Y^3

Upper 95.0%
2.3E+009
0.34894
1733.193
4168891

Year Residua
500
Residuals

0
1980

1985

1990

-500

Ye

Y^2 Residual Plot

500

uals

0
3900000

3950000

4000000

4050000

-500
Y^2

Year Residual Plot

500
0
1980

1985

1990

1995

500
Year

2000

2005

2010

Y^3
Y^2
Year
7809531904 3936256
7821346625 3940225
7833173256 3944196
7845011803 3948169
7856862272 3952144
7868724669 3956121
7880599000 3960100
7892485271 3964081
7904383488 3968064
7916293657 3972049
7928215784 3976036
7940149875 3980025
7952095936 3984016
7964053973 3988009
7976023992 3992004
7988005999 3996001
8000000000 4000000
8012006001 4004001
8024024008 4008004
8036054027 4012009
8048096064 4016016
8060150125 4020025
8072216216 4024036
8084294343 4028049
8096384512 4032064

1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008

Union Members
17,340
16,996
16,975
16,913
17,002
16,960
16,740
16,568
16,390
16,598
16,748
16,360
16,269
16,110
16,211
16,477
16,334
16,305
16,145
15,776
15,472
15,685
15,359
15,670
16,098

Union Membe
18,000
17,500
17,000
16,500
16,000
15,500
15,000
14,500
14,000

f(x) = 0.3919360832x^2
+1
- 64.6353846154x -+74.8257227796x
17220.3
R = 0.8374146274
0.8361417983

Union Members

Union Members
32x^2
+ 17266.1565217391
6154x -+74.8257227796x
17220.3
4
Linear (Union Members)
3
Polynomial (Union
Members)

Year

Loans
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

741
807.4
871.3
951.6
1,033.60
1,089.80
1,002.60
940.8
888.5

Period Residual Plot

600
400
200
Residuals
0
-200 0

10

15

20

25

-400
Period

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.5286902423
R Square
0.2795133723
Adjusted R Squa
0.2394863375
Standard Error
239.026297477
Observations
20
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
Period

SS
MS
F
1 398970.27406 398970.3 6.983115
18 1028404.2759 57133.57
19
1427374.55

Coefficients
Standard Error
t Stat
P-value
4167.6631578947 111.03523401 37.5346 1.51E-018
24.4939849624 9.2690422477 2.642558 0.016547

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation Predicted Shipments Residuals
1 4192.1571428572 -183.1571429
2 4216.6511278196 104.34887218
3 4241.145112782 -17.14511278
4 4265.6390977444 -321.6390977
5 4290.1330827068 -167.1330827
6 4314.6270676692 207.37293233
7 4339.1210526316 317.87894737
8 4363.615037594 -333.6150376
9 4388.1090225564 104.89097744
10 4412.6030075188 393.39699248
11 4437.0969924812 113.90300752
12 4461.5909774436 23.409022556
13 4486.084962406 108.91503759
14 4510.5789473684 288.42105263
15 4535.0729323308 -118.0729323
16 4559.5669172932 -301.5669173
17 4584.0609022556 -339.0609023
18 4608.5548872181 291.44511278
19 4633.0488721805 -48.04887218
20 4657.5428571429 -124.5428571

Year

Quarter
1

Period
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4

Shipments
T.C
1
4009
2
4321
3
4224
4
3944
5
4123
6
4522
7
4657
8
4030
9
4493
10
4806
11
4551
12
4485
13
4595
14
4799
15
4417
16
4258
17
4245
18
4900
19
4585
20
4533

Significance F
0.016547

Lower 95%Upper 95%

Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
3934.387 4400.94 3934.387 4400.939528
5.02045 43.96752 5.02045 43.96752008

16498
16612
16813
17246
17332
17702
17986
17880
18335
18437
18430
18296
18069
17719
17820
17988
18263
14018

33110
33425
34059
34578
35034
35688
35866
36215
36772
36867
36726
36365
35788
35539
35808
36251
32281
14018

4139
4178
4257
4322
4379
4461
4483
4527
4597
4608
4591
4546
4474
4442
4476
4531
4035
1752

102
94
97
105
106
90
100
106
99
97
100
106
99
96
95
108
114
259

Month(1st year)
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.582677
R Square 0.339513
Adjusted R 0.273464
Standard Er11.89135
Observatio
12
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
F
1 726.8655 726.8655 5.140341
10 1414.041 141.4041
11 2140.907

Significance F
0.0467901266

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value
Lower 95%
Intercept 152.5879 7.318618 20.84928 1.43E-009 136.2809820999
Period
-2.254545 0.994404 -2.267232 0.04679
-4.4702164087

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation
Predicted Broccoli
Residuals
1 150.3333 -17.83333
2 148.0788 16.72121
3 145.8242 -4.624242
4 143.5697 -9.769697
5 141.3152 -2.915152
6 139.0606 11.83939
7 136.8061 9.793939
8 134.5515 12.34848
9 132.297 6.40303
10 130.0424 -2.042424
11 127.7879 -15.38788
12 125.5333 -4.533333

Period

Broccoli
1
132.5
2
164.8
3
141.2
4
133.8
5
138.4
6
150.9
7
146.6
8
146.9
9
138.7
10
128
11
112.4
12
121

Period Resid
20
Residuals

0
0

-20

Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
168.8947754758 136.280982
-0.0388745004 -4.47021641

Upper 95.0%
168.8947754758
-0.0388745004

Month(2nd year)
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December

Period

Broccoli
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

104.9
99.3
102
122.4
112.1
108.4
119
119
114.9
106
111.7
112.3

Period Residual Plot

20
0
0

-20
Period

10

12

14

Year

Quarter
1

1 January
February
March
April
2 May
June
July
August
September
3 October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December

1,891
1,986
1,987
1,987
2,000
2,082
1,878
2,074
2,086
2,045
1,945
1,861
2,336
2,474
2,546
2,566
2,473
2,572
2,336
2,518
2,454
2,559
2,384
2,305

Year

Quarter
1

Total
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4

5864
6069
6038
5851
6166
6640
6588
6469
6635
7217
7248
7093
7356
7611
7308
7248
7374
7377
7309
7122
7026
7220
7284
7215

23822
24124
24695
25245
25863
26332
26909
27569
28193
28914
29308
29368
29523
29541
29307
29308
29182
28834
28677
28652

47946
48819
49940
51108
52195
53241
54478
55762
57107
58222
58676
58891
59064
58848
58615
58490
58016
57511
57329
28652

5993
6102
6243
6389
6524
6655
6810
6970
7138
7278
7335
7361
7383
7356
7327
7311
7252
7189
7166
3582

101
96
99
104
101
97
97
104
102
97
100
103
99
99
101
101
101
99
98
202