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Momentum Picks

September 23, 2016


Market Outlook

Domestic Indices
Indices

Close

Change

Change%

28773.13

265.71

0.93

Nifty 50

8867.45

90.30

1.03

Nifty 50 future

8884.45

77.50

0.88

S&PBSE 500
S&PBSE Midcap

11970.49
13294.56

130.09
182.79

1.10
1.39

S&PBSE Smallcap

12948.98

127.62

1.00

Indices
Close
Dow Jones
18392.46
Nasdaq
5339.52
FTSE
6911.40
DAX
10674.18
Hang Seng
23787.36
Nikkei
16783.10
SGX Nifty
8894.00
* Asian Market as at 7:30am

Change
98.76
44.34
76.63
237.69
35.80
-29.22
9.50

Change%
0.54
0.84
1.12
2.28
0.15
-0.17
0.11

S&P BSE Sensex

Snapshot

Global Indices

Days action

CNX Nifty Technical Picture


Nifty 50
Trend

Intraday
Range bound

Short Term
Range bound

Support

8830-8790

8650

Resistance

8900-8940

Trend Reversal
9119

20 Days EMA

8768

200 days EMA

8228

Institutional Activity
Cash Segment (| Cr)
22-Sep-16
21-Sep-16
20-Sep-16
19-Sep-16
16-Sep-16

FIIs (Cash)
336.9
183.9
-1146.9
205.4
660.6

DIIs
310.4
-230.6
777.5
-252.3
-213.1

Structurally
speaking

Equity benchmarks ended on a strong note on Thursday mirroring strength across the global markets after the US
Federal Reserve kept policy rates unchanged and plotted a lower trajectory for future hikes. The Sensex rallied 265
points or 0.93% to 28773 while the Nifty surged 90 points or 1.03% to end at 8867 levels. The broader markets also
rose inline with the benchmarks as the BSE midcap and small cap indices rallied over 1% each. As a result the
overall market breadth was positive with an A/D ratio of 1.6:1 on BSE
The Nifty gapped up on Thursday following strong global cues after the US Fed maintained status quo, but hinted
a hike could come in the December meet. The index hit an intraday high of 8893 in the opening trades and
thereafter turned sideways to oscillate between 8880 and 8837 levels before finally closing at 8867 levels.
Sectorally, barring IT index which settled marginally lower, all major sectoral indices closed in the green. Gains
were led by banking, auto, capital goods and oil & gas indices which rose over 1.4% each
The price action resulted in a high wave candle as the index turned sideways after a strong opening however it
carries a 60 point bullish gap below its base between 8837 and 8777 levels. The index broke out the last three
sessions narrow consolidation band and also filled the Island reversal gap formed in the previous week to signal
resumption of positive momentum after the brief corrective decline. Going forward, we expect the index to
remain in rising trajectory and attempt a move towards the upper band of short term consolidation range of 8600
to 9000 levels over the coming weeks
The Nifty resolved higher from the narrow trading range of previous three sessions after taking support precisely
at the key medium term rising trendline formed by connecting the February, June and August 2016 placed
around 8700 region. The overall trend remains positive as the index continues to form rising peaks and trough on
the weekly scale. However, the current pullback lacks faster retracement as the index has consumed six sessions
to retrace about 61.8% of the recent corrective decline from 8968 to 8688 levels. Slower pace of retracement in
the current pullback indicates continuance of range bound consolidation in the short term precisely inline with
our expectations. We expect the index to extend the time wise consolidation in the coming weeks and oscillate
between the broad range of 8600 to 9000 levels amid stock specific action
We believe the current cool off provides fresh entry opportunity as we do not foresee the index going below its
key support base placed around 8650-8600 region as it is the confluence of the following parameters:
The bullish gap area formed on August 30, 2016 is placed in the range of 8642-8607
Upper band of last months consolidation is around 8660-8700
Since February 2016, the intermediate price corrections have not lasted more than 367 points. Similar
magnitude of correction from recent high of 8968 also projects support placed around 8600
50 day EMA that has acted as strong base during corrections since February 2016 is placed at 8607
The broader markets have also undergone a round of profit bookings in the current corrective phase which has
helped work off the highly overheated conditions as the BSE mid cap, small cap and NSE 500 indices had rallied
strongly to new life time highs well ahead of the benchmarks. The persistent outperformance of the broader
markets in the entire up move since February 2016 highlights the robust price structure

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Oscillators

Among oscillators, the short-term stochastic remains in rising trajectory above its three period average suggesting
continuance of the ongoing pullback efforts over the coming sessions

IntradayStrategy

Nifty September futures are set to open on flattish note amid muted Asian cues. Failure to sustain above
Thursdays high (8918) could lead to choppy consolidation in the coming session. We recommend creating
intraday shorts in the range of 8915-8925 for target of 8870 with a protective stop loss placed at 8945 levels

Intraday Spot
levels
CNX Nifty Spot

The Nifty spot has resistance at 8900, 8940 while support is at 8830, 8790

Exhibit 1: CNX NSE Nifty Daily Candlestick Chart

Open

High

Low

Close

8873.35

8893.35

8837.80

8867.45
8968
8728

8543
8294

7992
7927

Immediate Support @ 8650


- Bullish gap area &
- Upper band of recent consolidation
- 50 day EMA

7715

Stochastic remains in rising trajectory and supports continuance of pullback efforts

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 2

CNX Bank Nifty Futures Outlook

CNX Bank Nifty Futures


Indices
Nifty Bank

Close

Change

change%

20,162.1

260.9

1.3

Snapshot

CNX Bank Nifty Spot Performance


Index
Nifty Bank

Current

1M

3M

6M

12M

20,109.6

4.0

12.4

26.6

16.5

CNX Bank Nifty Future Technical Picture


Nifty Bank
Trend

Days action

Intraday
Range bound

Short Term
Range bound

Support

20040-19900

19200

Resistance

20240-20350

20935

Trend Reversal

20 Days EMA

18772

200 days EMA

17296

CNX Bank Nifty vs. Nifty


8900
8600
8300
8000
7700
7400
7100
6800
6500

Structurally
speaking

29-Mar
18-Apr
5-May
23-May
8-Jun
24-Jun
13-Jul
29-Jul
17-Aug
2-Sep
22-Sep

19500
18300
17100
15900
14700
13500

Bank Nifty (RHS)

NSE (LHS)

Oscillators
Intraday Future
levels

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

The Nifty Bank snapped a two session of decline and closed sharply higher by more than 1% on Thursdays
session amid strong global cues as US Federal Reserve in its monetary policy left policy rates unchanged and
plotted a lower trajectory for future hikes. Nifty Bank near month futures ended at 20162, up by 261 points or
1.3% for the session
The index opened with a huge gap up amid strong global cues and formed an intraday high of 20349 in
the opening trade. Profit booking at the higher levels saw the index giving up some of its intraday gains,
as the index dragged lower and formed an intraday low of 20040 in the midsession. However a steady
recovery in the second half of trade saw the index gaining from strength to strength and finally closed
with healthy gains of 1.3% at 20162 levels
The price action resulted in a high wave candle with long shadows in either direction highlighting the
intraday volatility. It also carries a bullish gap between 19901 and 20040 in the intraday chart which will
act as immediate support for the index in the coming sessions. Nifty Bank is likely to continue with its
current consolidation in the broad range of 19750-20350 and only a sustain closing above 20350 can see
the index testing its previous life-time high of 20934 in the coming months
Nifty Bank on Thursdays session traded with positive bias however it reacted lower after facing resistance
near the higher band of the last seven sessions consolidation range of 20350. Index in the last seven
sessions has been consolidating in the broad range of 19750-20350, after achieving price wise equality
with the last rising segment at recent high of 20649 from the August 2016 bottom of 18355. On the last
occasion after rallying from 16910 to 19176, the index entered into a sideways consolidation mode for the
next three to four weeks. In the current scenario, the index is already in consolidation trend for the last
two weeks which is likely to continue in the coming sessions
The index is likely to continue with its sideways consolidation in the broad range of 19750-20350 in the
coming sessions, before resumption of the up move to challenge the previous life-time high of 20934 in
the coming months
We have now revised the short-term support base for the index to 19200-19400. Any cool-off towards the
same should be used as incremental buying opportunity as it is the confluence of key technical
parameters:
The recent breakout area of the month long consolidation placed around 19200
The lower band of the rising channel in placed since June 2016 is placed around 19400 levels
The previous major trough of last week of August 2016 is also placed at 19182 levels
The short-term stochastic oscillator has rebounded from the oversold territory signalling continuance of the
positive trend in the coming sessions
For the coming session, Nifty Bank September futures have resistance at 20240, 20350 while supports are at
20040, 19900

Page 3

Exhibit 2: Nifty Bank Generic Future Daily Candlestick Chart

20649
CNX Bank Nifty Future
Open

High

Low

Close

20225.30

20349.00

20040.60

20162.10

19176

19182
18355
17069
16910

50 day EMA
16379

Short-term major support near 19200-19400


levels being the presence of rising channel and
the upper band of the recent consolidation

Bullish Gap

RSI is placed near the neutral reading of 50 signalling range bound consolidation in the short term

Stochastic oscillator has rebounded from the oversold territory signalling continuance of the positive trend in the coming sessions

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 4

Trend Scanner

Sectoral Indices Performance


Sector

Close

Points Chg % Change

Auto

22695.61

322.25

1.44

Banks

23035.22

338.52

1.49

BSE Small Cap

12948.98

127.62

1.00

Capital Goods

15137.48

204.71

1.37

Consumer Durables

12762.21

112.84

0.89

8775.33

36.38

0.42

Healthcare

16673.93

168.92

1.02

IT

10333.67

-37.26

-0.36

Metals

9819.53

100.41

1.03

Mid Cap

13294.56

182.79

1.39

Oil & Gas

FMCG

11350.11

168.34

1.51

Power

2081.54

27.88

1.36

PSU

7604.78

103.09

1.37

Real Estate

1554.94

17.89

1.16

Sectoral Indices - Monthly Performance (%)

Overbought Stocks

Scrip Name

Close

% Change

10-day SMA

Delivery (%)

ACC Ltd

1666.05

2.3

1636.64

58.31

BASF India Ltd

1163.45

3.3

1142.19

87.06

930

3.2

902.56

57.84

1413.25

1.5

1403.86

81.81

412.4

2.1

405.22

62.05

Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Ltd


Housing Development Finance Corp
Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd

Scrip Name
Coal India Ltd
Oberoi Realty Ltd
Tech Mahindra Ltd

LTP

Stochastic

1180.15

92.4

BEL

1256

83.95

MRF

44376

93.06

Oil India

406.8

89.52

LTP

Stochastic

Ceat

Close

% Change

10-day SMA

Delivery (%)

327.45

-1.1

328.39

65.78

292.6

-1.5

296.71

63.03

454.75

-1.4

462.07

78.35

Scrip Name
Britannia

3400.95

15.98

GodreJCP

1589

10.94

Kotak Bank

795.2

12.09

Stocks hitting 52 week High


Scrip Name

Bullish Candlestick Formations


Scrip Name

Scrip Name

Oversold Stocks

Negative Trends

Candlestick Patterns

7.1
6.6
4.5
4.1
4.1
3.8
2.7
2.5
1.3
1.1
0.0

Auto
Oil & Gas
Consumer Durables
BSE Small Cap
Healthcare
Banks
Mid Cap
PSU
Capital Goods
FMCG
Power
Real Estate
Metals
IT

Positive Trends

Pattern name

Mahindra Holiday

Engulfing

KPR Mills

Piercing Line

Bearish Candlestick Formations


LTP
477.0
1229.0

Scrip Name

Pattern name

LTP

2033.0

Bajaj Finserv

3229.3

VST Ind

Engulfing

2265.0

Coal India

Engulfing

327.5

Maruti
TVS Motors

Aurobindo Pharma

Continuation

857.0

UBL

Engulfing

875.5

TVS Motors

Continuation

349.2

Tech Mahindra

Continuation

454.8

M&M Finance

Continuation

359.2

Idea Cellular

Continuation

83.4

Ajanta Pharma

Continuation

2041.7

LTP

Ajanta Pharma
Dishman Pharma

215.0
5607.5
348.4

Stocks hitting 52 week Low


Scrip Name
Astrazen

LTP
957.1

Note: For Candlestick pattern description please refer towards end of the report.

-1.4
-2.3
-2.6
-11

-1

19

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 5

Global Asset Classes

Market Activity Report

Global Currencies

Nifty Heat Map

1.308

-0.13

Japanese Yen

101.180

100.760

-0.41

Australian ($)

0.763

0.764

-0.13

Swiss Franc

0.970

0.969

-0.10

Global Treasury Yields


Closing Yield (%)

Previous Yield (%)

6.81

6.81

US 10 Year

1.62

1.62

EURO 10 Year

-0.10

0.00

GBP 10 Year

0.71

0.80

JPY 10 Year

-0.05

-0.03

India 10 year

BPCL

US Dollar
Close

Prev. Close

%Chg

Gold/ounce

1335.12

1337.07

-0.14

Copper /ton

4835.00

4739.75

2.01

Brent Crude/barrel

47.21

47.65

-0.92

Silver/ounce

19.80

19.87

-0.33

598.8
2.0%

Power
Grid

178.6

Bharti
Airtel

327.0

Grasim
Ind

4,927.4

Bajaj
Auto

2,926.8

M&M
HUL

Commodities

2.3%

Lupin

1.9%
1.6%
1.2%
0.8%
1,413.6
0.5%
910.2
-0.3%
1,528.7
-1.1%

ACC
Tata Steel
IDFC
RIL
Cairn
India
GAIL

1,666.1
2.3%
377.3
2.0%
61.1
1.8%
1,089.0
1.6%
195.1
1.1%
390.1
0.7%

Ambuja
Cement

265.6

Tata
power

76.0

Axis
Bank

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

0.4%
-0.4%
591.8
-1.2%

Yes Bank
NTPC

169.5
3.1%
1,246.6
2.2%
157.0
1.9%

Asian
Paints

1,192.0

Tata
Motors

558.5

HDFC
Bank

1,306.9

NMDC
Infosys
Wipro
IDEA

1.8%
1.6%
1.1%
103.2
0.6%
1,058.8
0.3%
481.8
-0.4%
83.4
-1.3%

Indusind
Bank

1,219.6

ICICI
Bank

275.5

BHEL
Maruti
HDFC Ltd
Sun
Pharma
ITC
Dr Reddy
HCL Tech
Tech M.

2.9%
2.1%
147.1
1.9%
5,597.1
1.7%
1,413.3
1.5%
786.8
1.0%
255.3
0.6%
3,149.3
-0.1%
788.9
-0.5%
454.8
-1.4%

SBI
Vedanta
Ltd
L&T
ONGC
Cipla
Kotak
Bank
Ultratech
United
Spirits
Coal India
TCS

257.9
2.7%
168.7
2.1%
1,500.0
1.9%

35000
30000
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
0

15-Sep

259.5
1.6%
609.1
1.3%
795.2
0.9%
3,980.0
0.5%

16-Sep

19-Sep

20-Sep

21-Sep

Exchange Cash Turnover (| crore)


BSE Cash
700000
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0

2,310.1

3,312
21,823

1.306

3,538.6

Bank of
Baroda

22-Sep

NSE Cash

NSE Derivative

619,180

British Pound

Hero
Moto

3.4%

3,181
18,705

-0.05

154.6

333,377

0.03

1.121

Hindalco

5,381
19,328

95.448

1.120

4.0%

228,260

95.489

Euro

141.2

3,616
19,226

Dollar Index

PNB

231,635

0.53

4,507
31,684

% Chg

67.021

433,877

Prev.close

66.665

3,801
19,232

Close

Rupee (|)

501,428

Spot

NSE Derivatives Turnover (| crore)

15-Sep

16-Sep

19-Sep

20-Sep

21-Sep

22-Sep

-0.2%
327.5
-1.1%

Advances / Declines

2,378.0
-1.5%

BSE

NSE

33%

4%

63%

37%

5%

58%

Page 6

Stock recommendations for the day


Exhibit 3: TVS Motors (TVSSUZ)

Daily Candlestick Chart

Trendline breakout joining major swing highs signaling


further northward journey in coming sessions
TVS Motors(TVSSUZ) Sep Future

CMP :

349.30

Comment : Trendline breakout joining major swing


highs & bullish crossover in RSI
Action :

Buy above 350.00

Targets :

356.00/359.00

Stop-loss : 347.00

14 period RSI generated bullish crossover suggest positive bias

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 7

Exhibit 4: M&M Financial (MAHFIN)

Daily Candlestick Chart

Price rebound taking support at 50 day EMA suggests


further upward momentum in coming sessions
M&M Financial (MAHFIN) Sep Future

CMP

359.85

Comment : Price rebound taking support at 50 day


EMA & Stochastics in rising trajectory
Action :

Buy above 360.00

Targets :

366.00/369.00

50 day EMA

Stop-loss : 356.80

Stochastics (5,3,S,3) in rising trajectory suggest bullish bias

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 8

Exhibit 5: Tech Mahindra (TECMAH)

Daily Candlestick Chart

Price forming lower low after facing resistance at short term


trendline signaling further downsides in coming sessions

Tech Mahindra(TECMAH) Sep Future

CMP

456.30

Comment : Price forming lower low after facing


resistance at short term trendline
Action :

Sell below 456.00

Targets :

450.00/446.00

Stop-loss : 460.00

14 period RSI generated bearish crossover suggest negative bias

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 9

Previous Days Performance


Scrip

Product

Strategy

Recommended Price

Targets

SL

Gain/Loss %*

Bharti Infratel
Bata India

Future
Future

Buy
Buy

above 375
below 509.50

381.0/384.0
500.50/496

371.50
514.50

-1.00

Stocks return: Avg -1.00 per trade

Strike Rate for the day: 0/1

Comment

No Trade (Opened at Target)


Stoploss triggered

(Cum. Profits over last 114 trading days: 98.45%)

(Cum strike rate over 114 trading days: 123/231

Note: The follow-up and performance review table of the strategies indicates the profit opportunity that was available in the strategies. Individual profits may vary,
depending upon the entry and exit price and stop losses

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 10

Derivative Comments

35.9
2.7

65.0

8.7

51.7
25.4

47.8

38.6
52.8

55.4
21.0

11.3

6.9

5.0
35.6

66.8

Nifty Call Put Concentration (September)

2.6
30.2

80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0

3.9
23.6

OI in Lacs

Nifty Options OI Distribution

Post a gap up opening, the index witnessed difficulty to carry on with the same pace above 8900 levels. However, towards the
end, the Nifty managed to close 90 points higher. Nifty futures settled at a premium of 17 points. India VIX fell 9.9% to settle at
13.3
FIIs bought | 337 crore while DIIs bought | 310 crore in the cash segment. FIIs sold | 299 crore in index futures and bought |
498 crore in index options. In stock futures, they sold | 127 crore
The highest Put base is at 8500 strike with 67 lakh shares while the highest Call base is still at the 9000 strike with 65 lakh
shares. The 8700 and 8800 Call strikes saw reductions of 4.3 and 7.5 lakh shares, respectively, while the 8700 and 8600 Put
strikes saw reductions of 6.1 and 6.7 lakh shares, respectively
Stock Analysis

OI addition: We saw long build-up in Ajanta Pharma, Federal Bank, TVS Motors and IFCI while short build-up was seen in
CALL

PUT

31.9
34.5
35.2
34.8
35.6
35.8
36.2
35.3
34.7
34.6
34.0
34.2
34.6
34.7
35.1
35.3

37
36
35
34
33
32
31
30
29

9050
9000
8950
8900
8850
8800
8750
8700
8650
8600

30-Aug
31-Aug
1-Sep
2-Sep
6-Sep
7-Sep
8-Sep
9-Sep
12-Sep
14-Sep
15-Sep
16-Sep
19-Sep
20-Sep
21-Sep
22-Sep

OI In million

Nifty OI vs. Future Price

Nifty Futures OI

Nifty Fut Price (RHS)

Dabur, JSW Energy, Tech Mahindra and Lupin


OI shedding: We saw short covering in Jubilant Foodworks, Yes Bank, Reliance Capital and PFC whereas long closure was
seen in UBL, Divis Labs, and Infosys

OI Gainers
Symbol
AJANTPHARM
FEDERALBNK

OI Losers
OI

%Chg

Price

%Chg

524800

22.62

2050

4.3

APOLLOHOSP

34408000

18.31

74

3.1

JUBLFOOD

Symbol

OI

%Chg

Price %Chg

552000

-18.05

1342

2.3

2526500

-8.58

979

3.0

TVSMOTOR

6612000

18.28

349

4.6

TORNTPHARM

356000

-8.15

1652

2.1

DABUR

6195000

16.94

286

-1.5

SRTRANSFIN

3493200

-7.43

1,188

3.7

VOLTAS

4630000

16.33

381

0.3

12920600

-7.20

1247

2.1

YESBANK

Nifty Active Strikes


Call
Strike

Put

8600

OI chg %
-18.05

Price
287.15

OI chg %
-10.71

Price
5.85

8700

-17.04

193.30

-11.34

8800

-16.15

109.25

14.81

11.30
26.60

8900

-6.96

47.05

25.50

62.00

9000

2.79

14.85

-20.04

126.45

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 11

Support and Resistance


SCRIP

CLOSE

S1

S2

S3

R1

R2

R3

TREND

SENSEX

28773.13

28776.25

28731.55

28686.85

28865.7

28968.85

29072

+ve

BANK NIFTY FUTURE

20162.1

20173

20095.9

20018.8

20327.2

20407.55

20487.95

+ve

NIFTY FUTURE

8884.45

8886.15

8871.9

8857.65

8914.6

8946.05

8977.5

+ve

BANK NIFTY

20109.6

20116.7

20049.7

19982.75

20250.65

20339.7

20428.8

+ve

NIFTY

8867.45

8866.85

8852.95

8839.05

8894.6

8927.15

8959.7

+ve

ACC

1666.05

1662.55

1654.8

1647.05

1678.05

1685.9

1693.75

+ve

ADANI ENTER.

71.85

71.75

71.35

71

72.5

72.85

73.2

+ve

ADANI PORT

275.35

275.05

273.6

272.15

278

280.45

282.9

+ve

ADANI POWER

27.9

27.85

27.75

27.6

28.1

28.25

28.4

+ve

ADITYA BIRLA

1402.05

1401.3

1396.9

1392.45

1410.15

1414.65

1419.1

+ve

AJANTA PHARMA

2041.7

2029.65

2007.95

1986.3

2073.05

2079.65

2086.3

+ve

ALLAHABAD BANK

82.45

82.2

81.7

81.15

83.2

83.9

84.55

+ve

AMARA RAJA BATT.

1032.65

1027.95

1017.7

1007.45

1048.4

1054.5

1060.55

+ve

AMBUJA CEMENT

265.55

264.5

263.25

261.65

267

268.25

269.8

Neutral

ANDHRA BANK

61.05

60.9

60.6

60.35

61.5

62

62.55

+ve

APOLLO HOSP.ENT.

1342

1338.6

1332.05

1325.45

1351.75

1358.6

1365.45

+ve

APOLLO TYRES

215.7

214.25

212.75

211.2

217.2

218.65

220.25

Neutral

ARVIND

342.6

341.75

339.35

336.95

346.5

348.5

350.5

+ve

ASHOK LEYLAND

83.95

83.85

83.45

83.05

84.65

85.2

85.8

+ve

ASIAN PAINTS

1192

1190

1184.5

1179

1201

1204.85

1208.7

+ve

AUROBINDO PHARMA

856.95

849.8

837.7

825.55

874.05

877.75

881.4

+ve

AXIS BANK

591.8

583.85

582

580.15

594.85

600.35

605.85

-ve

BAJAJ AUTO

2926.75

2932.75

2918.7

2904.6

2960.9

2991.8

3022.65

+ve

BAJAJ FINANCE

1127.95

1119.1

1103.75

1088.4

1149.85

1154.7

1159.5

+ve

BOB

169.45

169.05

168.25

167.4

170.75

172.45

174.1

+ve

BOI

119.65

119.3

118.6

117.95

120.65

121.65

122.65

+ve

BATA INDIA

511.5

509.5

507.3

504

513.85

516.05

519.35

Neutral

BEML

910.9

910.9

908.45

905.95

915.85

923

930.15

+ve

BHARAT ELECTRON.

1256.35

1255.2

1251.75

1248.3

1262.1

1267.25

1272.35

+ve

BHARAT FORGE

924.85

920.95

913.9

906.9

935.05

939.25

943.45

+ve

BPCL

598.8

597.4

594.45

591.5

603.3

607.6

611.9

+ve

327

326.45

325.1

323.8

329.1

330.35

331.6

+ve

BHEL

147.1

146.95

146.4

145.85

148.05

149.5

150.9

+ve

BHARTI INFRATEL

375.1

376.55

372.4

368.25

384.85

390.05

395.2

+ve

BHARTI AIRTEL

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 12

SCRIP

CLOSE

S1

S2

S3

R1

R2

R3

TREND

BIOCON

962.95

960.95

956.15

951.3

970.65

976.85

983.05

+ve

BOSCH

23403.55

23427.8

23353.2

23278.55

23577

23681.35

23785.7

+ve

BRITANNIA IND.

3400.95

3402.5

3387.75

3373

3431.95

3453.9

3475.85

+ve

CADILA HEALTHCARE

392.05

390.65

388.75

386.1

394.45

396.35

398.95

Neutral

CAIRNS INDIA

195.1

194.9

193.7

192.45

197.35

198

198.65

+ve

CANARA BANK

308.1

307.85

305.85

303.85

311.85

313.55

315.2

+ve

CASTROL INDIA

470.45

469.5

465.3

461.15

477.9

480.6

483.35

+ve

CEAT

1180.15

1170.75

1162.75

1154

1186.75

1194.75

1203.55

Neutral

CENTURY TEXT.

901.35

899.15

893.5

887.85

910.45

920.4

930.4

+ve

CESC

644

644.95

641.4

637.8

652.1

655.7

659.25

+ve

CIPLA

609.1

608.55

606.8

605

612.05

615.2

618.3

+ve

COAL INDIA

327.45

324.9

323.8

322.7

328.35

330.05

331.8

-ve

COLGATE PALM.

975.2

974.4

971.45

968.5

980.3

984.8

989.25

+ve

CONTAINER CORP

1336.1

1335.45

1330.5

1325.55

1345.35

1353.3

1361.3

+ve

CROMPTON GREAVES

81.55

81.6

81.2

80.8

82.4

82.8

83.2

+ve

CUMMINS INDIA

906.75

906.45

902.15

897.85

915.05

920

925

+ve

DABUR INDIA

285.35

282.45

281.4

280.3

286.4

288.35

290.3

-ve

DEWAN HOUSING F.

291.55

290.55

288.55

286.55

294.55

296.55

298.6

+ve

DISH TV

98.55

98.1

97.65

96.85

99

99.5

100.25

Neutral

1329

1319.55

1313.85

1308.2

1330.25

1335.6

1340.95

-ve

153.75

153.1

151.9

150.65

155.5

156.5

157.45

+ve

DIVI'S LAB.
DLF
DR.REDDY'S LAB.

3149.3

3135.8

3124.8

3113.8

3152.45

3160.8

3169.15

-ve

EICHER MOTORS

24808.95

24725.25

24579.2

24433.15

25017.35

25270.75

25524.1

+ve

ENGINEERS INDIA

261.65

261.6

260.15

258.7

264.55

266.8

269.05

+ve

EXIDE IND.

194.95

195.25

194.3

193.3

197.2

198.95

200.7

+ve

73.2

73.05

72.5

71.9

74.2

74.8

75.4

+ve

390.05

390.4

389

387.6

393.25

395.2

397.2

+ve

GLENMARK PHARMA.

930

926.9

920.55

914.2

939.6

945

950.35

+ve

GODREJ CONSUMER

1588.75

1564.1

1552.15

1540.2

1597.45

1614.1

1630.75

-ve

GODREJ IND.

428.3

427.25

425.3

423.35

431.1

433.15

435.15

+ve

GRANULES INDIA

122.15

122.1

121.7

121.3

122.9

123.85

124.8

+ve

GRASIM

4927.35

4921.6

4906.75

4891.85

4951.35

4968.55

4985.75

+ve

FEDERAL BANK
GAIL

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 13

SCRIP

CLOSE

S1

S2

HAVELL'S INDIA

409.45

409.3

407.9

HCL TECH

788.85

781.8

779.4

S3

R1

R2

R3

TREND

406.5

412.1

414.3

416.55

+ve

777.05

789.85

793.9

797.95

-ve

HDFC BANK

1306.9

1307.5

1303.4

1299.3

1315.7

1320.15

1324.55

+ve

HDFC

1413.25

1412.4

1408.05

1403.7

1421.1

1427.9

1434.65

+ve

HERO MOTO

3538.55

3538.7

3519.8

3500.85

3576.6

3611.15

3645.65

+ve

HEXAWARE TECH.

195.15

192.95

191.6

190.3

195.5

196.75

198.05

-ve

HINDALCO

154.6

154.5

153.5

152.5

156.45

158.95

161.45

+ve

HIND. UNILEVER

910.15

902.95

899.45

895.95

910.3

914

917.65

-ve

HPCL

412.4

411.5

409.6

407.75

415.3

418.25

421.2

+ve

HINDUSTAN ZINC

223.2

222.8

221.85

220.9

224.7

225.85

227.05

+ve

HDIL

84.35

84.5

84

83.45

85.5

86.15

86.8

+ve

IBULL HSG FIN

801.55

801.7

798.7

795.7

807.7

811

814.3

+ve

IDBI

74.65

74.75

74.3

73.9

75.6

76.55

77.5

+ve

IDEA CELLULAR

83.35

82.6

82.4

82.15

83.55

84.05

84.5

-ve

IDFC

61.05

61.1

60.85

60.6

61.6

62.1

62.6

+ve

IFCI

30.05

30.1

29.85

29.6

30.55

30.9

31.2

+ve

INDUSIND BANK

1219.6

1217.05

1210.05

1203.05

1231.05

1236.95

1242.8

+ve

INDIA CEMENTS

151.25

150.95

149.95

149

152.95

153.85

154.75

+ve

INDO COUNT IND.

809.3

805.35

796.6

787.85

822.85

836.85

850.85

+ve

INDRAPRASTHA GAS

748.65

749.1

746.6

744.15

754.1

756.95

759.85

+ve

IOC

579.3

578.6

576.75

574.85

582.35

585.1

587.85

+ve

IB REAL ESTATE

87.35

87.45

86.9

86.35

88.6

89.75

90.9

+ve

INFOSYS

1058.8

1058.05

1055.8

1053.55

1062.55

1065.3

1068.1

+ve

IRB INFRA.

249.85

248.5

247.1

245.2

251.35

252.75

254.65

Neutral

ITC

255.25

255.35

254.45

253.6

257.05

258.55

260

+ve

96.5

96.25

95.6

94.95

97.5

98.6

99.7

+ve

539.25

539.3

537.6

535.9

542.75

545.8

548.85

+ve

JINDAL ST&POW

82.2

82.1

81.7

81.35

82.9

83.45

84.05

+ve

JSW ENERGY

78.75

77.8

77.45

77.1

79

79.6

80.2

-ve

JSW STEEL

1762.7

1764.45

1757.3

1750.15

1778.75

1786.4

1794.05

+ve

JAIN IRRIGATION
JET AIRWAYS

JUBILANT FOOD

976.45

974.1

965.35

956.65

991.5

998.4

1005.35

+ve

JUSTDIAL

467.85

467.65

465.05

462.45

472.85

475.7

478.6

+ve

KARNATAKA BANK

155.65

155.55

154.95

154.35

156.7

157.55

158.4

+ve

KAVERI SEEDS.COM

362.25

361.75

359.4

357

366.5

369.1

371.7

+ve

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 14

SCRIP

CLOSE

S1

S2

S3

R1

R2

R3

KOTAK MAH.BANK
KPIT TECH.

795.15

795.6

792.85

790.15

801.05

803.95

806.9

+ve

131.05

130.65

130.1

129.45

131.7

132.25

132.9

Neutral

L&T

1499.95

1496.8

1490.05

1483.3

1510.3

1516.95

1523.55

+ve

LIC HOUSING

583.45

582.45

579.95

577.45

587.4

590.45

593.45

+ve

L&T FINANCE

94.15

93.9

93.25

92.65

95.15

95.7

96.3

+ve

LUPIN

1528.65

1509.55

1504.25

1499

1531.75

1542.85

1554

-ve

M&M

1413.6

1414.2

1410.6

1407.05

1421.35

1427.85

1434.35

+ve

MARICO

285.85

283.6

282

280.4

286.55

288.05

289.55

-ve

MARUTI SUZUKI

5597.1

5597.9

5580.6

5563.35

5632.5

5668.5

5704.55

+ve

MCLEOD RUSSEL

181.05

181.1

180.3

179.5

182.65

183.8

184.95

+ve

MINDTREE

509.75

508.45

505.8

501.75

513.7

516.35

520.45

Neutral

M&M FIN.SERV.

359.15

357.5

354.4

351.25

363.75

367.35

370.9

+ve

MOTHERSON SUMI

323.75

324

322.4

320.75

327.2

328.45

329.7

+ve

MRF

44375.85

44306.3

44140.45

43974.55

44638.05

44868.55

45099.05

+ve

NCC

87.05

87.2

86.55

85.9

88.45

88.9

89.3

+ve

NHPC

26.85

26.8

26.7

26.6

27

27.1

27.15

+ve

NIIT TECHNOLOGIES

412.35

412.55

411.6

410.6

414.5

415.85

417.2

+ve

NMDC

103.15

103.2

102.8

102.45

103.95

104.35

104.8

+ve

NTPC

157

156.7

156.15

155.55

157.85

158.65

159.45

+ve

406.8

405.9

405

403.55

407.75

408.7

410.1

Neutral

OIL INDIA

TREND

ONGC

259.5

259.5

258.75

257.95

261.1

263.2

265.3

+ve

OBC

130.65

130.15

129.2

128.3

132

133.45

134.9

+ve

15098.45

14895.65

14830.15

14764.65

15125.65

15240.65

15355.65

-ve

504.3

504.2

501.2

498.2

510.15

517.5

524.85

+ve

PAGE INDUSTRIES
PC JEWELLER
PETRONET LNG

341.3

340.5

338.7

336.85

344.1

346.1

348.1

+ve

PIDILITE INDUSTRIES

706.15

704.75

702.4

699.4

709.45

711.8

714.75

Neutral
+ve

POWER FINANCE

122.75

122.7

122.25

121.8

123.6

124.55

125.5

POWER GRID

178.55

178.45

177.45

176.4

180.5

182.1

183.75

+ve

PTC INDIA

79.95

79.65

79.15

78.15

80.6

81.1

82.05

Neutral

PNB

141.15

140.65

139.65

138.65

142.65

144.05

145.4

+ve

RCOM

48.6

48.55

48.4

48.2

48.9

49.2

49.5

+ve

REL. CAPITAL

575.7

573.3

567.55

561.85

584.75

588.7

592.7

+ve

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 15

SCRIP

CLOSE

S1

S2

S3

R1

R2

R3

TREND

RELIANCE INFRA.

611.95

609.55

604.75

599.95

619.2

624.45

629.7

+ve

RELIANCE

1088.95

1088.45

1084.25

1080.05

1096.85

1102.5

1108.15

+ve

51.8

51.75

51.6

51.45

52.1

52.4

52.7

+ve

REC

247.55

246.95

245.65

244.35

249.6

251.2

252.8

+ve

SAIL

48.95

48.85

48.65

48.4

49.3

49.65

49.95

+ve

SHRIRAM TRANS.

1186.85

1182.45

1172.8

1163.15

1201.75

1212.2

1222.7

+ve

SIEMENS

RELIANCE POWER

1262.35

1255

1248.25

1237.2

1268.45

1275.2

1286.25

Neutral

SINTEX IND.

84.6

84.5

83.9

83.35

85.65

86.3

86.95

+ve

SOUTH INDIAN BANK

23.25

23.3

23.15

22.95

23.6

23.75

23.85

+ve

S.R.F.

1624.2

1627.15

1618.65

1610.15

1644.1

1654.05

1663.95

+ve

SBI

257.9

257.5

256.7

255.85

259.2

261.6

263.95

+ve

STRIDES SHASUN

1028.95

1018.35

1010.9

1003.45

1030.55

1036.65

1042.75

-ve

SUN PHARMA

786.75

786.55

785.15

783.75

789.3

792.45

795.6

+ve

SUN TV

508.25

505.95

501.15

496.4

515.45

520.1

524.75

+ve

SYNDICATE BANK

76.45

76.35

76.05

75.75

76.95

77.45

77.95

+ve

TATA COMM.

533.6

534.9

531.15

527.45

542.35

545.7

549.05

+ve

TATA CHEM.

553.35

552.65

549.8

546.95

558.3

561.75

565.2

+ve

TATA ELXSI

1547.9

1537.8

1530.3

1522.8

1551.5

1558.35

1565.25

-ve

TATA MOTOR DVR

355.35

355.1

353.65

352.25

357.95

361.05

364.2

+ve

TATA MOTORS

558.45

558

555.1

552.2

563.8

567.3

570.75

+ve

TATA POWER

75.95

75.5

75.2

74.9

76.05

76.35

76.6

-ve

TATA GLOBAL BEV.

138.9

138.3

137.75

137.05

139.45

140

140.7

Neutral
-ve

TCS

2378

2356.75

2350.9

2345.1

2385.2

2399.4

2413.65

TECH MAHINDRA

454.75

450.05

447.4

444.75

456.6

459.85

463.1

-ve

TATA STEEL

377.25

376.95

375.2

373.45

380.45

383

385.55

+ve

414.4

413.85

411.75

409.65

418.1

420.5

422.95

+ve

TORRENT PHARMA

1649.05

1644.65

1635.15

1625.65

1663.65

1670.45

1677.2

+ve

TV18 BROADCAST

45.5

45.25

44.7

44.15

46.4

46.85

47.3

+ve

TVS MOTOR

349.15

347.6

344.6

341.55

353.65

357.4

361.1

+ve

UCO BANK

38.65

38.75

38.5

38.25

39.25

39.4

39.6

+ve

ULTRATECH CEMENT

3980

3981.5

3969.25

3957.05

4006

4027.35

4048.7

+ve

875.45

857.75

849.1

840.45

879.1

889.8

900.5

-ve

TITAN IND.

UNITED BREW.

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 16

SCRIP

CLOSE

S1

UNITED PHOSPH.

684.25

677.95

672.6

UNITED SPIRITS

2310.1

2294

2288.75

VEDANTA

168.65

168.4

167.1

VOLTAS

379.5

375.3

WIPRO

481.75

WOCKHARDT

S2

R3

TREND

689.55

693.45

-ve

2325.2

2335.6

-ve

170.9

171.85

172.75

+ve

371.8

379.95

382.25

384.55

-ve

477.05

481.95

483.35

484.75

-ve
Neutral

S3

R1

R2

667.3

685.7

2283.5

2314.8

165.85

373.55

479.15

478.1

898.6

895.85

891.55

875.75

904.45

908.8

924.55

YES BANK

1246.55

1246

1239

1231.95

1260.05

1267.9

1275.75

+ve

ZEE

525.65

524

521.15

518.65

529.7

532.55

535.05

Neutral

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 17

NOTES:

Please execute the recommendation within the levels provided in the report
Once the recommendation is executed, it is advisable to keep strict stop loss as provided in the report
Avoid entering into the recommendation in the first 5 min of trade
If the recommendation opens near the target levels due to gap up/gap down opening, then the recommendation
is considered not initiated
The recommendations are valid only for the day and should be squared off by the end of the day.
Only stocks in derivatives segment have been considered for daily trading.
Medium to long-term prospects of a stock does not have any bearing on the daily view.

Trading Portfolio allocation


It is recommended to spread out the trading corpus in a proportionate manner between the various technical
research products.
Please avoid allocating the entire trading corpus to a single stock or a single product segment.
Within each product segment it is advisable to allocate equal amount to each recommendation.
For example: The Momentum Picks product carries 3 to 4 intraday recommendations. It is advisable to allocate
equal amount to each recommendation

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Recommended Product wise Trading Portfolio allocation

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Candlesticks Glossary:
Candlestick patterns describe the market sentiment for the specified period. Some of the formations suggest reversal of sentiment
(trend) and, therefore, are important for a chart reader. By themselves, the patterns do not carry any price target but only an
indication of change in market behaviour. More importance needs to be given to the placement of the pattern within larger trend

Bullish Engulfing Line: A potential bottom reversal pattern. This pattern typically appears at the culmination of a decline or
downtrend. The market falls, and a black candle forms (ideally a small black candle). Next, a white real body wraps around the
prior sessions black body. Low of the pattern becomes short term support for prices

Piercing Line: Potential bottom reversal pattern. A black body forms in the downtrend. The market continues moving south on
the next sessions open but that session culminates in a white real body that closes (e.g. pierces) than half way or more into the
prior black body. Lowest low between two candles is referred to as technical support for prices
Hammer: A candlestick line which, during a downtrend, has a very long lower shadow and small real body (black or white) at the
top end of the sessions range. There should be no, or a very small, upper shadow. Pattern suggests buying support during
declines and needs confirmation in terms of sustainability of prices above head of the Hammer in following session
Bearish Engulfing Line: Potential top reversal signal. This two candlestick pattern emerges during a rally. A black candle real
body wraps around a white real body (classically a small white candle) Highest high between two candles becomes resistance
level for prices for future reference
Dark Cloud cover: A dark cloud cover forms a top reversal pattern. The first session should be a strong, white real body. The

second sessions price opens over the prior sessions high (or above the prior sessions close). By the end of the second session, it
closes near the low of the session and should fall well into the prior sessions white body. Pattern suggests that market has a poor
chance of rising immediately

Shooting Star: A single candlestick line during a rally in which there is a small real body (white or black) at the bottom end of the
session's range and a very long upper shadow. The candle line should also have little or no lower shadow. Pattern suggest the
trouble for prices overhead
Continuation Patterns: Other than widely known Candlestick reversal patterns discussed above, there are numerous patterns
mentioned in literature on Candlestick which describe the continuation of existing sentiments i.e. bullish or bearish. We have
refrained from mentioning names of these patterns to avoid confusion. However, the remark Continuation Pattern refers to bullish
or bearish candlestick patterns which suggest continuation of existing trend

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Pankaj Pandey

Head Research

pankaj.pandey@icicisecurities.com

ICICIdirect.com Research Desk,


ICICI Securities Limited,
1st Floor, Akruti Trade Centre,
Road No 7, MIDC
Andheri (East)
Mumbai 400 093
research@icicidirect.com

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Disclaimer
ANALYST CERTIFICATION
We /I, Dharmesh Shah, Dipesh Dagha, Nitin Kunte, Pabitro Mukherjee,Vinayak Parmar Research Analysts, authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research
report accurately reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in
this report.

Terms & conditions and other disclosures:


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The information and opinions in this report have been prepared by ICICI Securities and are subject to change without any notice. The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and meant solely for
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ICICI Securities or its associates might have managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company or might have been mandated by the subject company for any other assignment in the past
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ICICI Securities or its associates might have received any compensation from the companies mentioned in the report during the period preceding twelve months from the date of this report for services in respect of
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ICICI Securities or its associates might have received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the companies mentioned in the report in
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ICICI Securities encourages independence in research report preparation and strives to minimize conflict in preparation of research report. ICICI Securities or its analysts did not receive any compensation or other
benefits from the companies mentioned in the report or third party in connection with preparation of the research report. Accordingly, neither ICICI Securities nor Research Analysts have any material conflict of interest
at the time of publication of this report.
It is confirmed that Dharmesh Shah, Dipesh Dagha, Nitin Kunte, Pabitro Mukherjee Research Analysts of this report have not received any compensation from the companies mentioned in the report in the preceding
twelve months.
Compensation of our Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transactions.
ICICI Securities or its subsidiaries collectively or Research Analysts do not own 1% or more of the equity securities of the Company mentioned in the report as of the last day of the month preceding the publication of
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Since associates of ICICI Securities are engaged in various financial service businesses, they might have financial interests or beneficial ownership in various companies including the subject company/companies
mentioned in this report.

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