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Singapore Property

1H 2016 Review
Your guide to the private non-landed residential market

DREA.SG

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Disclaimer
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Recipient agrees that it shall only use this document for the purpose of evaluation and
considering the matter to which this document relates to. This document may not be published
or reproduced in whole or in part to any other person nor relied upon by the Recipient or any
other person without the prior written consent of DREA.
This document does not constitute nor does it form part of an offer to sell any assets described
herein or an offer or recommendation to enter into any transaction described herein. The
Recipient is responsible for making its own independent investigation and appraisal of the risks,
benefits, appropriateness and suitability of any transaction or matter contemplated by this
document and DREA is not making any recommendation (personal or otherwise) or giving any
investment advice and will have no liability with respect thereto. The decision to proceed with
any transaction or action contemplated by this document must be made by the Recipient in
the light of its own commercial assessment and DREA will not be responsible for such
assessments.
This document was prepared on the basis of information and data, obtained from publicly
available sources. The information in this document has not been independently verified by
DREA. DREA has relied on the information provided by third party or public sources as
complete, true, fair, accurate and not misleading. DREA does not make any warranty or
representation, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness or reasonableness of the
information (including assumptions) contained in this document whether obtained from or
based upon third party or public sources or otherwise.
This document is given as at the date hereof and is based on information available to DREA as
at the date hereof, is subject to any assumptions set out therein and is subject to change
without notice. Accordingly, this document may be based on data and information that may
no longer be current and subjective assessments. It should also be understood that DREA does
not undertake any obligation to provide any additional information or to correct any
inaccuracies which may become apparent. Any data or information regarding, or based on,
past performance is no indication of future performance. Recipients should consider whether
any advice or recommendation is suitable for their particular circumstances and if,
appropriate, seek professional advice, including tax advice.

DREA Editorial Team

Yuet Whey Siah


Founder, CEO
DREA.sg
yuetwhey@drea.com.sg

Jing Yi Wang
Real Estate Analyst
DREA.sg

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Content
A. Singapore Property Market Overview 1H 2016 Update

Price trend, cooling measures and interest rates


Prices and demand for new sale and resale
Profitability of resale units

B. Property Market Outlook

A look at upcoming supply


Are Singaporeans overleveraged

C. For those looking to buy or invest

A guide on the buying process


Things to look out for when buying
Which properties should you look out for
Opportunities for property investors
New loans and refinancing deals

D. For those looking to rent

Rental price trends and opportunities


101 on rental contracts and negotiation

Appendix

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Executive Summary

The Singapore Property Market is softening under controlled cooling measures

However, regulators are of the view that it is still too early to lift the cooling measures

Local interest rates have remained low for a long time but are starting to creep up Coupled with cooling measures this may result in further softening of the property
market

That said, buyer demand seems to have recovered for the first 6 months of 2016
(1H16) at least; Private non-landed residential transaction volume is up 12%
compared to the same period last year

We see strongest demand for 500-1000 sqft units and a preference for new sale units;
59% of all transactions in 1H16 are for developer sale units

We estimate there to be ~17,200 unsold new units outstanding in the market today
and expect some pricing pressure from the supply overhang

Despite cooling measures and potential supply risk, median per-square-foot prices for
500-1000 sqft units increased in 18 out of 26 districts profiled across Singapore

For sellers, more and more resale units are being sold at a loss with 12% of all resale
transactions being sold at >5% loss in 1H16. This is particularly true in D9,D10 and D15
where we have also seen material decline in rental volume

Without tenants and with limited holding power, more and more people are opting to
cut losses and sell out

Proportion of loss making resale transaction has also increased for 4 straight years
now; This is surprising given that the household debt situation and other consumer
debt metrics have improved over the recent years

Given these improvements, we do not see material downside risk in the housing
market arising from mortgage defaults in the near term

Overall, this continues to be a buyers market and despite some near term supply
headwinds, the market remains healthy under prudent regulation

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URA Private non-landed residential property price index (Q4 1998 = 100)
ABSD
160

TDSR

LTV

150
140
130
120
110
100
90
80
70
60
50

00

01

02

03

04

05

06

Prices have softened since 2013

07

08

09

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

Sources: URA, DREA

Property prices in Singapore first took a dip in the first quarter of 2009 from the
fallout of the global financial crisis. Thereafter, a series of interest rate cuts and
efforts from governments to reenergize the economy led to a rapid increase in

property prices.
To avoid an overheated property market and to reduce the risk of a housing
bubble, the Singapore government put in place a series of cooling measures
(see next page) to curb price increases. Since then, prices have moderated in
a slow, controlled fashion which is healthy for the broader economy.
The most interesting point though, is that anyone sitting on properties bought in
2009 or before 2007 are sitting on potentially huge capital gains.

The Singapore Property Market is


softening under controlled
cooling measures
6

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Summary of Key Property Regulations


As property prices surged between 2009 to 2013, the Singapore government stepped in and
introduced several cooling measures. Two of the main objectives commonly cited, are to:
Prevent Singaporeans from over-leveraging by introducing limits on total loans
Prevent investors from overheating the market by introducing various stamp duties
The cooling measures have been effective in softening Singapores property prices. Many
Singaporeans had expected the cooling measures to be removed in 2016 after property prices
have stopped rising. In response to this, Minister for National Development Lawrence Wang
stated we dont want to risk a premature market rebound, indicating that the government has
plans to let the property prices fall further, and it is still too early to ease cooling measures1.
Singapore Citizens
Buyer's Stamp
Duty (BSD)

Additional
Buyer's Stamp
Duty (ABSD)

Total Debt
Servicing Ratio
(TDSR)
Seller's Stamp
Duty (SSD) on
higher of
market value
or actual price
*for properties
bought on or after
14 Jan 2011

Foreigners

First $180,000

1%

Next $180,000

2%

Remainder

3%

1st Property
Purchase
N/A
2nd Property
Purchase
7%
3rd and subsequent
Property Purchase
10%

Permanent Residents

1st Property
Purchase
5%
2nd and subsequent
Property Purchase
10%

15%

Maximum total debt limit of 60% (taking into account the monthly repayment of the
property loan being applied for + all other outstanding debt obligations)
Haircut of 30% applied to all variable income and amortise value of eligible
financial assets when computing TDSR

Holding Period

SSD

Less than 1 year

16%

More than 1 year & up to 2 years

12%

More than 2 years & up to 3 years

8%

More than 3 years & up to 4 years


More than 4 years

4%
NIL
Loan Limit

1st loan (<30 years)

80%

Loan-toValuation (LTV)

1st loan (31-35 years) and/or >65yrs borrowers retirement age

60%

2nd loan (<30 years)

50%

Max Tenure of
35 years

2nd loan (31-35 years) and/or >65yrs borrowers retirement age

30%

3rd loan (<30 years)

40%

3rd loan (31-35 years) and/or >65yrs borrowers retirement age

20%

1.

A complete timeline of cooling measures can be found in the appendices

Sources: IRAS, MAS, DREA

is not time yet to ease the property cooling


Itmeasures.
There is still some way to go, to

entrench the gains in stabilising the property


market and restoring household debt
sustainability.
7
- Ravi Menon, MAS Managing Director

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Singapore Mortgage Reference Rates (%)


4.0

Forward Rates(2)
Market expects
3-mth SIBOR to
be 1.425% in
3mths time

3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0

00

01

02

03

04

05

06

3-mth SIBOR (%)

07

08

09

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

DBS 18-mth Fixed Deposit Rate1 (%)


Source: Bloomberg

Singapores home loan / mortgage packages are based on a reference rate which
can be based on SIBOR or fixed deposit rates such as DBSs Fixed Deposit Rate. Any
change in these reference rates will impact monthly mortgage payments
Mortgage rates in Singapore are directly related to the state of the global economy. In
the recovery years following the early 2000s recession, SIBOR increased by as much as
~2.75% while fixed deposit rates (which are more stable) gained ~1%.
If history is to be an indicator, we should be mindful that the current low-interest rate
environment is unusual and rates are already starting to climb back up.
1.
2.

18-mth Fixed Deposit Rate calculated as the average of the 12-mth and 24-mth SGD Fixed Deposit Rate, as per
DBS original methodology for calculating the 18-Mth FHR
Forward rates are based on market expectations and is not a forecast. It is derived based on Association Banks of
Singapores published 3-mths and 6-mths SIBOR rates. With the current 3-month and 6-month rate, it is possible to
deduce market expectations of 3-mth SIBOR 3 months in the future

Local interest rates have remained


low for a long time but are starting
to creep up; Market expects rates
8
to be higher in 3-mths time

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Mortgage Rates
SIBOR and why it matters
SIBOR is the reference rate used by banks in Singapore when lending unsecured funds
to each other. It reflects how much it would cost banks to borrow from each other.
Why does it matter? It matters to home owners and home buyers as majority of
Singapores home loan packages are based on SIBOR.
In Singapore, there are no fixed-rate mortgages. While banks typically advertise both
'fixed-rate' and 'floating-rate' mortgages, the so-called 'fixed-rate' is only fixed for a
period of 2 to 5 years and eventually reverts to a floating rate.
'Floating-rate' mortgages are set in relation to a reference rate. Simply put:
Mortgage rate = Spread + Reference rate

Spread is a variable amount set by the bank


Reference rate depends on the loan you choose and is either
based on SIBOR or deposit rates such as DBS FHR

While the reference rate has traditionally been the 3-Mth SIBOR, banks increasingly
prefer using their own fixed deposit rates as reference.
Forward Rates where SIBOR will be in the near term
The Association of Banks in Singapore publishes the 3-mth and 6-mth SIBOR rates. With
the current 3-month and 6-month rate, it is possible to deduce market expectations of
3-mth SIBOR 3 months in the future. Note: The Forward Rate for the 3-mth SIBOR is a
market expectation and not a forecast.
When the forward rate is higher than todays spot rate, it implies that the reference rate
(and hence the overall mortgage rate) will be higher 3 months in the future.
For those looking to refinance or to enter into a new mortgage, we have started to see
a slowdown in the rise of interest rates amid slower economic growth. The US Central
Bank signalled that it would raise rates more gradually given concerns around
employment and the US economic outlook, on the back of Brexit.
Current forward rates imply that 3-mth SIBOR is expected to be 1.425% in 3 months time
Find out more about market expectations for the SIBOR here

Property buyers should take note


of interest rates as they directly
affect monthly mortgage
9
payments

Email to enquire about latest mortgage packages here at


drea@redbrick.sg

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Mortgage Rates

Brought to You by

Demand for housing loans (1H16 vs 1H15)


Largely driven by demand from home upgraders; appetite for investment properties has
tapered out
Total outstanding housing loans attributed to owner-occupied properties has grown by
3.7% in comparison to housing loans taken out on investment properties of 0.7%
Mortgage advisory company, Redbrick saw a 26% increase in new home loan enquiries in
1H 2016 and majority of these enquiries came from upgraders wanting to move to a bigger
space or nearer to town

Outstanding Housing Loan in Banks (S$bn)

3.7%
Owner Occupied
Investment Property

140

97

147

152 157

162

171

177

214 214 215


208 209 210
204 205 207
201
199
194 197
184 189

158 157 159


147 149 150 152 153 154
137 140 142 144
133
131
122 127
114
110
102 106
0.7%

.
43

45

47

47

48

48

51

53

55

56

57

57

56

57

56

57

56

.
56

56

57

57

56

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2011 2011 2011 2011 2012 2012 2012 2012 2013 2013 2013 2013 2014 2014 2014 2014 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 2016

Many believe that the market is close


to bottoming out and current pricing
is attractive enough for them to
10
10
make that switch

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11

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Did you know?

DREA shows you prices of properties immediately


around you. Simply flip out drea.sg on your mobile
with location services turned on the next time you
are in a housing estate which you like

12

*Refer to Appendices for name of districts

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Change in volume
(1H 2016 vs 1H 2015)

Volume of sale transactions by district (1H 2016)


19

726

589

12

+343
+287

442

23

-183

+93

420

15

376

-25

10

373

+1

27

344

20

-348
+85

327

16

+66

296

13

+169

269

261

+13

257

+145

14

256

-141

18

248

+32

243

+172

28

+101

194

21

163

11

136

22

134

+37
-2
-43
+9

78

17

51

-11

50

-35

25

36

26

31

+3

29

-1

7
6 0
24 0

+8

-110

19

0
Sources: URA, Realis, DREA

Buyer demand seem


to have recovered,
volume is up 12%

1H 2016: 6348 transactions


1H 2015: 5683 transactions

+11.7%

5,683

6,348

1H15

1H16

13

*Refer to Appendices for name of districts

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Upcoming Supply
(2016 2020)

Demand for new sale vs. resale units


19

81.9%

18.1%

54.4%

12

45.6%

83.0%

23

17.0%

67.7%

32.3%

726 14569

589

1851
2079

442
420

4628

15

85.1%

14.9%

376

940

10

91

282

373

1184

27

83.0%

20

17.0% 344

20.1%

16

79.9%

21.9%

13
5

64.4%

3
14

84.6%

18

63.6%

71.2%

21
11 17%
22

83%

65.2%

6.7% 269

2745
1985

48.1% 257

2945

15.4%
36.4%

2760

256

7198

248

20.2% 243

1334

28.8% 194
89.9% 10.1%
163

2180

79.8%

28

2418

261

35.6%

51.9%

2422

327

296

78.1%
93.3%

5118

547
403

136

34.8% 134

2460

78

366

17

95.3% 51

454

66.7% 50

1552

4 21% 79%

25 100% 36
2

100%

100%

24

1632

29

369

19

1161
0
Sources: URA, Realis, DREA

For 1H 2016, volume is


largely driven by new
launch sale

New Sale

Resale 2601
41%

Resale

3747
59% New Sale

1H 16 Total
Transaction Volume

14

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Price change by district (1H 2016 vs 1H 2015)

For private non-landed residential properties between 500-1000 SQFT


D21 Clementi Park / Upper Bukit Timah
D9 Orchard / River Valley
D20 Ang Mo Kio / Bishan / Thomson

33.0%
23.0%
17.1%

D13 Macpherson / Potong Pasir


D26 Mandai / Upper Thomson
D11 Newton / Novena

16.1%
14.5%
11.6%

D4 Harbourfront / Telok Blangah

11.4%

D10 Tanglin / Holland


D2 Chinatown / Tanjong Pagar
D28 Seletar / Yio Chu kang

7.1%
4.9%
4.6%

D5 Buona Vista / West Coast / Clementi New Town


D15 East Coast / Marine Parade
D19 Hougang / Punggol Seng Kang

4.3%
3.9%
3.5%

D23 Bukit Batok / Bukit Panjang


D12 Balestier / Toa Payoh
D25 Admiralty / Woodlands

2.2%
2.1%
1.3%

D3 Alexandra / Commonwealth
D14 Eunos / Geylang / Paya Lebar
D18 Pasir Ris / Tampines

1.1%
0.9%
-0.1%

D8 Farrer Park / Serangoon

-0.8%

D17 Changi Airport / Changi Village


D16 Bedok / Upper East Coast
D22 Boon Lay / Jurong / Tuas

-2.0%
-2.3%
-9.6%

D27 Sembawang / Yishun


-17.0%
D1 Boat Quay / Raffles Place / Marina
-20.5%
D7 Beach Road / Bugis / Rochor -27.7%

Volume. of Transactions by size


(1H2016)
2,625
2,016
603

Sources: URA, Realis, DREA

SQFT

<500

547
501-1000 1001-1500 1501-2000

303
>2000

Demand for 500-1000 sqft units are the


highest; Median prices for most districts
have increased vs 1H 2015
Click here for district price trends

15

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Top 5 planning areas with highest growth in number of residents living in private non-landed homes
No. of households (2011 vs 2015)
2015

2011

5,290

Yishun

14.1%

8,970

14,420

Hougang

Sembawang

Property purchases in many


areas have been supported
by real household demand

19,450
1,460
2,040

10.4%

16,190

Pasir Ris

Sengkang

10.7%

21,340
8,110
9,620

8.7%

9.7%

Between 2011 and 2015,


many areas have seen HDB
upgraders
moving
into
condos and apartments.
There is no surprise that
heartlands such as Yishun,
Hougang, Sembawang, Pasir
Ris and Sengkang have had
HDB
upgraders
driving
transaction
volume
and
prices. The main question is
whether such a trend can be
sustained.

Planning areas with low private non-landed residential population


No. of households living in private non-landed properties (2015 vs Median for all planning areas)
Sembawang
Woodlands
Yishun
Sengkang
Bukit Merah

Sources: DREA, Singstat

Some areas will continue to


have appetite for private
properties

2.84%
4.02%

8%

4.44%
5.49%

5.84%
Median % across all
Planning Areas

Despite the shift in recent


years, some areas are still
very much HDB centric and
have low % private property
resident households.
Across different areas in
Singapore, the median is for
8% of households to be in
private non-landed homes.

Sembawang, Sengkang & Yishun still have


relatively low proportion of residents living in
private properties but has seen significant
increases
16
16

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Are people
selling at a gain
or at a loss?

17

*Refer to Appendices for name of districts

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Profitability of Resale Transactions


7,999

Sold at a gain (> 5%)


Sold at a loss (> 5%)

6,952

0-5% gain/loss

6,351

Holding Period >10 years

5,732

3,899
3,496

4,807

4,694

2,808

2,756

3,598
3,462

313
227
182
3,366

Sold at>5%
gain
Sold at >5%
loss
0-5%
gain/loss
Holding
Period >10yrs
Total resale

2,853

2,276

158

195

1,649

1,497

192
1,815

3,267
2,035

2,145

1,872
1,144

127

100

985

87
523

2,422

2,169

2,671

2,601

1,446

1,190

1,219

1,395

130

226

281

322

660

620

677

754

1H10

2H10

1H11

2H11

1H12

2H12

1H13

2H13

1H14

2H14

1H15

2H15

1H16

49%

50%

56%

58%

59%

60%

62%

61%

61%

56%

58%

54%

46%

4%

3%

3%

3%

4%

3%

4%

5%

5%

6%

9%

11%

12%

5%

5%

5%

4%

5%

5%

4%

4%

6%

7%

7%

10%

13%

42%

41%

36%

34%

32%

32%

30%

30%

28%

30%

26%

25%

29%

8037

6965

6409

4808

4697

5732

3267

2145

1872

2169

2422

2671

2601

Top 10 districts with highest volume of loss-making resale transactions (1H16)


62
2
3
9

24

24

District

57
0
6
5

17

13

29

55
1 3
36
1 1
4
9

33
21

33
1
5
4
8

15

31
1
5
5

20

>50% loss

20-30% loss

40-50% loss

10-20% loss

30-40% loss

<10% loss

23
2
3
4

23
3 1

14

20
2

18

18
0
5

15

13

9
9

10
10

15
15

16
16

21
21

23
23

19
5

5
19

18
18

11
11

Resale Vol

305

282

316

145

142

151

158

107

92

113

% Txn Loss
making

20%

20%

17%

25%

23%

21%

15%

21%

22%

16%

Source: Realis, DREA Analytics

We continue to see more units being


sold at a loss; For 1H 2016, 12% of
resale units were sold at >5% loss
18

18

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Holding Period
For those transactions sold at a Loss
78
(24%)
61
(19%)
47
(15%)

47
(15%)

17
(5%)

4
(1%)
10
years +

Year of
Purchase

< 2006

25
(8%)

18
(6%)

20
(6%)

5
(2%)
8-9
years

2007

7-8
years

6-7
years

5-6
years

2008

2009

2010

4-5
Years

3-4
Years

2-3
Years

1-2
Years

< 1 Year

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Lowest number of loss-making transactions for homes bought before 2007 and
for homes bought in between 2008 and 2009 when property prices were
bottoming out
URA Property Price Index

160
140
120
100
80

2008
2009

Before 2007

60

Sources: URA, Realis, DREA

40

00

01

02

03

04

05

06

07

08

09

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

Lowest capital risk for those who


bought their house before 2007
and between 2008 - 2009
19

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20

*Refer to Appendices for name of districts

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New Supply by Units (2016 - 2020)


(000)
15
Sold units

D19 Hougang / Punggol / Seng Kang


D18 Pasir Ris / Tampines
D27 Sembawang / Yishun
D23 Bukit Batok / Bukit Panjang
D3 Alexandra / Commonwealth

10

Unsold units

0
District 19 18 27 23

14 13 22 20 16 28 12

Total
Supply

14.6 7.2 5.1 4.6 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.2 2.1

1.9 1.6 1.6 1.3 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4

Sold

12.3 6.5

Unsold

2.3 0.7 2.1 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.8 1.2 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.4

% Unsold 16

10

25

10

15 21 17 11

3.2 1.5 2.1 2.2 2.1 1.9 2.1 1.9 1.3 1.2 0.7 1.4 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.2

42 32

48

25

21

17

20

14 12 39

38

63 17 51

57

53

20

45

0
0

0.3 0.2 0.2

1.3 70

55 44

Sources: URA, DREA

There has been a surge in new private property construction, and this is especially so in
districts 19, 18, 27 and 23. Given the upcoming supply, market observers have highlighted
potential supply risk and potential price decline as supply volume outstrips buyers demand.
Today, there are ~17,230 unsold units in the new launch market. While there continues to be
demand from HDB upgraders and foreign investors, some developments have had poor
sales given unrealistic price expectations from developers. To win buyers, some developers
are offering very attractive sales commissions to agents while others have experimented with
innovative ways of lowering initial upfront cost as part of developer discount schemes

We estimate there are ~17,200


unsold units outstanding in the new
launch market today
21

*Refer to Appendices for name of districts

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New supply unsold new units and units bought 4 years ago that might enter the market
10,000
9,000
8,000
7,000

D19 Hougang / Punggol / Sengkang


D23 Bukit Batok / Bukit Panjang
D27 Sembawang / Yishun
D15 East Coast / Marine Parade
D18 Pasir Ris / Tampines

Units bought 4 years ago and


may potentially enter the market
Unsold new units

6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0

19 23 27 15 18 14 9 12 16 10 5

8 17 11 25 13 21 22 28 4

2 20 7 26

Sources: URA, DREA

Buyers and sellers today are equally concerned about supply risk
Buyers worry about potential losses if they buy today and the risk of their home value declining
because of the supply overhang. Sellers on the other hand face difficulties in selling their units
given the volume of units (new and resale) available for sale out there in the market.
On top of the new supply, units brought 4 years ago are no longer subjected to Sellers Stamp
Duty (SSD) should they enter the resale market.
Owners of these units face less restrictions and there are less barriers to selling their properties
now as they no longer have to pay a hefty tax on the sale. The chart above shows the total
number of unsold new units, and the number of units bought 4 years ago that might potentially
enter the market.
As potential supply risk affects both buyers and the sellers, this is a critical area to watch.
District 19 Punggol, Hougang and Sengkang has the highest volume of unsold units and also
the highest volume of units exiting the 4-year SSD lock-in period

This is a buyers market and buyers


should push hard for a good deal
Click here for analysis on supply

22

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A question which many


have asked, as they fear
a housing crisis sparked
by mortgage defaults

23

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Household Debt vs. Income Growth


S$ 000
250

Average
household
debt1

Growth

15%

Average Household Debt

200

10%

150

5%

100

0%

50
0

-5%

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09

10 11 12 13 14 15

S$ 000
140

Average
Annual
Income
(000)

120

Growth

15%

Average Household income

10%

100
80

5%

60

0%

40

-5%

20
0

-10%
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09

10 11 12 13 14 15

Multiple (X)
2.3 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2

Debt-toIncome
Ratio

2.1 2.0

1.8

2.0 2.0 2.1 2.0


1.9 2.0 2.0

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
1.

Household debt includes mortgage loans, car loans, credit card debt, and other personal loans

Source: Singstat

While absolute household debt


has increased, debt-to-income
ratio in Singapore has moderated
24

24

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Household Debt vs. Income Growth


Household debt has been growing, but the increase was supported by income growth
Household debt includes mortgage and car loans, credit card debt, and other personal loans.
For Singapore, average household debt has been increasing steadily after the financial crisis.
The growth only started to slow since 2013 and debt levels stabilized between 2014 and 2015.
Although household debt level has been increasing, income has been growing as well.
Annual Income per household has been on the rise since 2011, and over the past fifteen years,
the overall household debt to annual income ratio has decreased. Debt-to-income ratio was
2.33 in year 2000, and 2.0 in 2015. In other words, on average, Singapore households are less
leveraged now as compared to year 2000.
This implies that Singaporeans are better able to pay off their debt today as compared to the
past. This is further validated by the decline in Non-performing Loans (NPL)

Majority of borrowers are capable of


paying off their mortgage loans
Housing non-performing loans refer to
mortgage loans on which the
borrower has not made payments
according to the schedule for more
than 90 days. There is a high risk of
default on these loans, and the odds
of the bank getting their money back
is substantially lower. The housing NPL
ratio is calculated by dividing the
number of non-performing housing
loans by the total number of
outstanding housing loans.
There has been a drastic decrease in
Housing NPL since 2000, and
mortgage default rates are at an all
time low.

Housing Non-performing Loan1 (NPL) Percentage

6%

1.0

5%

0.5

4%

0.0

3%

12

13

14

15

2%
1%
0%

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
DBS

OCBC

UOB

Sources: Annual Reports, DREA


1.

Housing loans include private loans from banks and HDB housing loans

Housing NPL is less than 1% and the


majority of borrowers are able to
pay off their mortgage loans
25

25

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Since 2013, there has been a
meaningful decline in credit card
loans as a % of household income

Credit card loans as a percentage of monthly household


income
90%
2009
GFC:
74.72%

80%
70%

Credit card loans as a percentage of


household income has historically
been on the rise. In 2013, it reached
a peak of 90%.
The introduction of the total debt
serving ratio in late 2013 was
unsurprising and may have been the
reason for the trend reversal.

60%
50%
40%

00 01 02 0304 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15

Credit card charge-off rate is rising


The charge-off rate is an indicator of the
percentage of debt that cannot be
recovered. A higher charge-off rate
suggests that people are increasingly
dragging out their credit card payments.
We note that charge-off rate in 2014
and 2015 was even higher than that of
2009. This is unexpected because 2009
was the year when the global financial
crisis
hit
Singapore
the
hardest.
Unemployment rate was 3.2% in March
2009, and 1.9% in March 2015. This is a
concern because data suggests that
more people are unable to pay off their
credit card debt in 2015 even when
unemployment rate was lower.

Since the introduction of the TDSR, it is


common to hear of locals tightening
their credit card spend to maintain
flexibility and room for taking on
housing mortgage loans.

Credit card charge-off rate1


8%
7%
6%
5.20%

5%

2009
GFC

4%
3%
2%

000102 0304050607 0809101112 131415

It is critical to understand whether this is a trend across all segments of the resident population.
As seen in the US housing bubble, delinquency in consumer finance is often a leading indicator
of mortgage defaults. While not an immediate alarm bell, this is a critical metric to track. As the
credit card charge-off rates increase, what implications would it have on the real estate
property market?

Sources: Singstat, MAS

1. The charge-off rate is an indicator of the percentage of debt that will not recovered. Charge-off rate = amount of chargeoffs/average outstanding balance owed by issuer

Credit card loans as a percentage of


household income has declined but
charge-off rates have increased as more
people drag out payments
26

26

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Pawnshop business provide further guidance on consumer borrowing


People usually turn to pawn shops when they are looking for short-term and small-dollar
loan options that are not offered by banks. However, pawn shops only offer loans when
the borrower secures the loan with an item of value, such as jewellery, watches, and
gadgets. The pawnbroker will determine the value of the loan based on the value of the
item secured.
Pawn shops do not do a credit check on the borrower, hence the borrowing process from
a pawn shop is relatively shorter and easier as compared to banks and traditional lenders.
Borrowers who are unable to take a loan from banks might try to take a loan from
pawnshops by bringing in their assets which are of value.
Pawn shop gross amount of loans given out to borrowers
S$ b
8

7.1

6
4
2
0

5.5 5.3 5.4

4.9
1.6 1.8 2.0
1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.6

2.7

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15

Pawn shop loan issuance - redemption


S$ m
200

192

100
50
0
-50
-100
-150

Net amount
borrowed and
not paid back
in time during
the year

141

150
60

43

78

90

69
30

50

44

6
-3

-34 -39

-56
-107

Net amount paid


back for claiming
items pawned in
prior periods

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Amounts borrowed from pawn shops had grown significantly since 2009 from the
aftershock of the global financial crisis but has started slowing down since 2012. More
importantly, people are starting to make claims for items pawned in prior periods. We view
this as a positive sign, but are cautious about it.
Sources: Singstat

Pawn shop loans have increased,


but borrowers are now paying off
loans in time and also claiming
items pawned in past years 27

27

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28

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Resale private property buying process


Steps

T-90

T-90

Obtain AIP (Approval In


Principal) from a bank
Valid for 30-90 days

Research on condos

Pay Option fee (1% of


property price)

Give banks a whole set of documents so you dont


get surprises when you raise an actual loan request

Understand cash flow requirements, deadlines,


mode of payment of different fees (e.g. ABSD has
to be paid in cash first) and the different policies
that may restrict you from getting a loan (e.g. TDSR,
LTV)

Do your research however note that some


intangible factors may not be quantifiable
DREA.sg provides various information in one place
so as to make it easier to research on homes
Confirm with your bank beforehand that they will
be able to issue a bank loan letter of offer within 14
days of exercise of option

Option to Purchase issued by


Seller and is valid for 14 days

T+14

Exercise Option to
Purchase and pay 4%
Exercise fee

T+28

T+84
T+ 108

Pay Stamp Duty and/or


Additional Buyers Stamp
Duty

Cash flow

Things to look out for

Decide on a condo and


make Offer to Purchase

Louis Neo
+65 9090 5898

Be careful not to download an Offer to Purchase


from unverified sources not all documents are
valid In Singapore, and not all terms and clauses
are in line with market norms in Singapore
Specify which fixtures are included and whether
you are buying with tenancy in the Offer to
Purchase
If buying with tenancy, it is advisable to review the
rental contract and look out for tenant escape
clauses
Hire an experienced lawyer
Lawyers will do title search for the buyer
Check for major external environment changes
before paying exercise fee
Buyers have the right to cancel Option to purchase
under specific circumstances

None

None

1%
Option
fee in
Cash

4%
Exercise
fee in
Cash

First 180,000: 1%
Next 180,000: 2%
Remainder: 3%

Stamp duty has to be paid in cash first

15% downpayment in
Cash and/ or
CPF

Pay Remaining down


payment

When buying a property in Singapore, do


take time to plan and take note of the
above
29

29

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New launch sale buying process

Louis Neo
+65 9090 5898

Cash flow

Things to look out for

T-90

Obtain AIP (Approval In


Principal) from a bank (valid
for 30-90 days)

T-90

Research on condos

T+14
to
T+21

Before
T+35

Decide on a new launch

None

Do your research however note that some


intangible factors may not be quantifiable
Confirm with your bank beforehand that they will
be able to issue a bank loan letter of offer within 14
days of exercise of option

None

Many buyers have already paid the option fee


before realizing that they are unable to get a bank
loan due to TDSR, LTV or other loan restrictions
AIP is very important, buyers are recommended to
fill out the actual application form and provide the
full set of documents

5-10%
Option
fee in
Cash

Sign Option to Purchase

Sale & Purchase Agreement


(S&P) to be delivered to
buyer

Sign S&P Agreement and


return to developer

If buyers decide to not exercise the option, they


can be refunded up to 75% of the option fee paid
(market norm)

Different developers require down payment to be


paid at different times buyers should check with
the developer of the condo

10-15% down
payment in Cash
and/or CPF

Stamp duty has to be paid in cash first

Pay Remaining down


payment (Some
developers may allow
payment to be made
within 8 weeks of signing of
OTP)

T+49

Give banks a whole set of documents so you dont


get surprises when you raise an actual loan request
Understand cash flow requirements, deadlines,
mode of payment of different fees (e.g. ABSD has
to be paid in cash first) and the different policies
that may restrict you from getting a loan (e.g. TDSR,
LTV)

Pay Stamp Duty and/or


Additional Buyers Stamp
Duty

Option to purchase is valid for 3 weeks from


delivery of S&P

First 180,000: 1%
Next 180,000: 2%
Remainder: 3%

COMPLETION

When buying a property in Singapore, do


take time to plan and take note of the
above
30

30

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31

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Did you know?

DREA allows your to search for both information and


listings naturally just by asking.
Try the following:
Find me a 1 bedroom in novena with yield of >3%
32

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For buyers - Tips and things to look out for


AIP and Mortgage Loans Confirm loan eligibility before paying option fees
For buyers, it is recommended to fill out the actual AIP application and
provide the bank a complete set of documents. AIP can be conducted in
written format or verbally, and is only based on the information the buyer
provides the bank. The loan amount stated in the AIP is not a guaranteed
amount offered to the buyer. Banks may end up making very different
assessments on a borrowers eligibility if the original AIP is based on
incomplete information. Providing a complete set of documents allows for a
more accurate estimate of the amount that the bank is willing to lend.
There have been instances where buyers obtain an AIP based on verbal or
incomplete information that they provide. After paying the option fee, they
realize that they are eligible for a much lower loan amount than what was
stated in the AIP. These buyers may have to forfeit the option fee that they
have paid if they are not able to fully finance the house. Hence, buyers
should always ensure that they are truly qualified to secure a loan before
paying for the option fee and to avoid any unpleasant surprises.
Cash flow requirements and housing policies Plan your finances and budget
Buyers are also advised to work out all the cash flow requirements, deadlines,
modes of payment, and their ability to pay the relevant charges and loans.
For example, some buyers may not be aware that Stamp Duty has to be paid
in cash first, before getting a refund from their CPF (for Singapore Citizens and
Permanent Residents). In such cases, when cash needs cannot be met, the
buying process becomes problematic. Buyers should therefore read up on
housing policies, cash flow requirements and carefully plan their finances and
budget before committing to a home purchase
Research It is not just about prices and some things cannot be quantified
When researching on a property, there are many things to look out for. While
some information such as prices and distance to MRT stations can be
expressed in numbers, many other factors such as furnishing, facing, and
surroundings cannot be quantified. However, these factors are equally
important in determining whether a unit is a good deal. DREAs property
pages summarize everything you need to know, from prices to on the ground
reviews.

Remember to do your research on


cash flow requirements and
policies before committing to a
33
33
purchase

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For buyers - Tips and things to look out for


Ownership Check Do so before paying the Option Fee
Before paying the 1% Option Fee, buyers should do an ownership check on
the property to ensure that the seller actually owns the property. While cases
like these arent very common in Singapore, its always better to be safe than
sorry. Ownership checks can be easily done through SLAs web portal.
Offer to purchase Be specific with what is required and get help if possible
We typically recommend getting a property agent to assist you with all the
paperwork however it is possible to do it on your own. For Buyers purchasing a
unit without an agents help, do a thorough read and review of your Offer to
Purchase letter. Some Offer to Purchase templates found online may not be
valid in Singapore. Even if these templates are valid, some clauses in the
templates may not be the norm for the Singapore property market, and
buyers may end up losing out.
The Offer to Purchase letter is also important because it specifies the wants
of the buyer. In the Offer to Purchase, buyers should state all the fixtures and
requirements that they want and expect to have. For example, the in-build
oven in the kitchen. It also sets the basis for negotiation.
Purchase of units with tenancy Always fact check the tenancy agreement
When purchasing a unit with tenancy, buyers are always advised to review
the tenancy agreement and look out for clauses that might potentially be a
problem. For instance, buyers should look out for any escape clauses which
would allow an existing tenant to terminate the contract at any time. In
addition, it is advisable to fact check the rental rate to see if it is inline with
market prices.
Pictures They can be helpful for resolving disputes
One tip for buyers when purchasing a resale property, is to take detailed
pictures of the unit before paying the option fee. This is useful in the event
that problems such as faulty power outlets or cracks in the wall are found
after moving in. With pictures as evidence, many arguments can be avoided.

Read through your Offer to


Purchase letter and review the
rental contact (if buying a unit
34
with tenancy)

34

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Top 15 most searched properties on Google as of July 2016


Condo Name

District

ICON

2 Chinatown/Tanjong Pagar

Gem Residences

12 Balestier/Toa Payoh

Zedge

11 Newton/Novena

Kingsford Waterbay

19 Hougang/Punggol/Seng Kang

Star of Kovan

19 Hougang/Punggol/Seng Kang

D'Leedon

10 Tanglin/Holland

Cairnhill Nine

9 Orchard/River Valley

Lake Grande

22 Boon Lay/Jurong/Tuas

Sol Acres

23 Bukit Batok/Bukit Panjang

Eight Riversuites

12 Balestier/Toa Payoh

Sage

10 Tanglin/Holland

Leedon Residence

10 Tanglin/Holland

Sky Habitat

20 Ang Mo Kio/Bishan/Thomson

High Park Residences

19 Hougang/Punggol/Seng Kang

Botanique at Bartley

19 Hougang/Punggol/Seng Kang
Sources: Google Adwords,
DREA Analytics

We found a list of top 15


properties which are most
searched on Google
36

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Top 10 schools in Singapore and the price of properties within 1KM


Prices of properties within 1km radius of Top 10 Primary Schools1 in Singapore
(1,000 1,500 sqft unit)
Median

Paya Lebar
590
Methodist Girls
Pei Hwa
Presbyterian

990

590

1,010

St. Hilda Primary

670

970

Nan Hua Primary

740

1,050

Rulang Primary

805

1,040

Henry Park
Primary

940

Nanyang Primary

960

Tao Nan

1,000

Raffles Girls
(Primary)

1,040

ACS Primary

1,070

Min Yeley Building


Max Park Residences Kovan

1,820

Min Kismis Court


Max Gardenvista

1,420

Min Bedok Court


Max Riviera Residences

1,150

Min Park West


Max Freesia Woods

1,190

1,300

1,390

1,070

1,300

1,620

Min Parc Vista


Max The Lakefront Residences

1,310

1,630

1,790

1,430

1,630

3,240

Min Pandan Valley


Max The Trizon
Min DChateau @ Shelford
Max Gallop Green
Min The Hacienda
Max Bedok Residences
Min Dover Parkview
Max The Trizon
Min Ferrell Residences
Max Balmoral Heights

For families with children, one concern regarding home location would be the schools near it. In
Singapore, enrolment in top primary schools can get really competitive. In some cases, parents sign up to
volunteer for the school a few years before their children start their primary education. However, one key
factor that determines a childs eligibility and possibility of getting into a prestigious primary school would
be the Home-School Distance.

1. Top 10 schools determined based on extensive qualitative research across various Singapore
parenting forums

For parents, there are actually


many options for living within 1
Km from a top 10 school

37

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Best value private properties which are near to Top 10 Schools


PSF prices of homes within 1km radius of Top 10 Primary Schools in Singapore
(1,000 1,500 sqft unit)

1,115

0.88km to Raffles Girls

Dover Parkview

768

Faber Crest

778

957

0.65km to Nan Hua

Pandan Valley

829

1,032

0.73km to Henry Park


1.13km to Raffles Girls

The Infiniti

851

DChateau @ Shelford

956

956

0.91km to Nanyang
2.77km to ACS Primary

Coronation Arcade

1,003

1,003

0.33km to Nanyang
2.28km to Raffles Girls

Crescendo Park

1,050

Quinterra

1,134

1,287

0.44km to Henry Park


0.87km to Raffles Girls

Ridgewood

1,216

1,258

0.63km to Henry Park


0.98 to Raffles Girls

1,095

1,069

0.68km to Nan Hua

0.93km to Tao Nan Sch

Sources: DREA Analytics

Here are some of the bestvalue properties near top 10


primary schools in Singapore

38

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For those looking to stay within the CBD


Properties within the Raffles Place / Shenton Way area
(500 1000 sqft units)

International Plaza 966

1,084

(13 min to Raffles Place)

ICON

1,532

1,930

(15 min to Raffles Place)

The Sail @ Marina Bay

1,475

2,447

(4 min to Raffles Place)

Marina Bay Suites

1,977

2,601

(6 min to Raffles Place)

Marina Bay Residences

2,186

3,365

(12 min to Raffles Place)

Sources: DREA Analytics

For buyers looking for 500-1000 sqft


units in the CBD area, it is possible to
live near Raffles Place for ~S$1000 PSF
39

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40

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Properties that might be affected by the Qualifying Certificate


(QC) extension fees
Condo

Total Units %
TOP
Units Unsold Unsold

Deadline
to Sell

OUE Twin Peaks

462

392

84.8% 2015

Feb-17

Nouvel 18

10

156

156

100% 2014

Nov-16

Leedon Residence

10

381

158

41.4% 2015

Jun-17

Twentyone Angulia Park

54

45

83.3% 2014

Apr-16

Le Nouvel Ardmore

10

43

39

90.7% 2014

Apr-16

Ardmore 3

10

84

80

95.2% 2015

Dec-16

DLeedon

10

1715 193

11.3% 2014

Oct-16

The Interlace

1040 179

17.2% 2013

Sep-15

iLiv @ Grange

10

30

30

100% 2013

Oct-15

Goodwood Residence

10

210

37

17.6% 2013

Jun-15

Starlight Suites

105

31

29.5% 2015

May-16

Waterscape at Cavenagh

200

51

25.5% 2014

Sep-16

Tomlinson Heights

10

70

36

51.4% 2014

Mar-16

Lincoln Suites

11

175

11

6.3%

2014

Apr-16

Cityscape @ Farrer Park

250

25

10%

2015

Oct-16

Sources: Analyst reports, DREA Analytics, URA, Realis

Developers will have to pay QC extension


fees yearly if all units are not sold within
two years of completion. To avoid this
charge, some developers might offer
41
41
price discounts on unsold units

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Rental PSF Price Change

3.3%
1H 16 vs 1H 15

1H 16 vs 1H 14

-5.7%

-5.4%

-6.2%
-8.6%

-9.1%

-8.8%

-9.9%

-12.1%
-15.4%

1BR

2BR

3BR

4BR

5BR/PH

Rental prices have generally declined across all condo sizes.

Rental Volume by number of bedrooms


9.433

10.751

5.157
2.463

83
No. of bedrooms

Sources: DREA, URA, Realis

Rental prices have declined, 2


and 3 bedroom units have the
highest rental liquidity

42

42

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Growth
(1H 15 VS 1H 16)

Rental Volume by district (2016)


9

3,305

15

3,171

10

3,042

14

2,271

19

-185
-29
-497
+342
+862

2,090

16

1,573

+310

11

1,561

-76

1,503

12

-8

1,434

+201

23

1,277

+1

21

1,255

+53

18

-262

1,227

1,186

+256
+12

891

-106

830

+1

796

22

728

-23

716

-249

20
17

+135

609

27

+55

479
433

13
7

+160

664

+50
+9

345

25

236

-40

28

217

+102

26

192

+5
+18

6 18

Sources: DREA, URA, Realis

Rental demand
continues to grow,
volume is up 5.3%

+5.3%

30,428

1H15

32,049

1H16

43

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Rental Price change by district for 1-bedroom condos (1H 2015 VS 1H 2016)

18%

D4 Harbourfront / Telok Blangah

13%

D21 Clementi Park / Upper Bukit Timah


D27 Sembawang / Yishun

3%

D2 Chinatown / Tanjong Pagar

3%

D7 Beach Road / Bugis / Rochor

2%

D17 Changi Airport / Changi Village

0%

D23 Bukit Batok / Bukit Panjang

0%

D22 Boon Lay / Jurong / Tuas

-2%

D20 Ang Mo Kio / Bishan / Thomson

-2%

D12 Balestier / Toa Payoh

-2%

D25 Admiralty / Woodlands

-3%

D16 Bedok / Upper East Coast

-3%

D15 East Coast / Marine Parade

-3%

D28 Seletar / Yio Chu kang

-3%

D9 Orchard / River Valley

-5%

D19 Hougang / Punggol Seng Kang

-5%

D1 Boat Quay / Raffles Place / Marina

-5%

D8 Farrer Park / Serangoon

-5%

D3 Alexandra / Commonwealth

-6%

D26 Mandai / Upper Thomson

-8%

D5 Buona Vista / West Coast / Clementi New Town

-8%

D11 Newton / Novena

-9%

D13 Macpherson / Potong Pasir

-9%

D14 Eunos / Geylang / Paya Lebar

-10%

D10 Tanglin / Holland

-10%

D18 Pasir Ris / Tampines -16%


Sources: DREA, URA, Realis

Median rental prices for 1-bedroom


units in most districts have fallen, with
the exception of some districts
See Appendix for price trend of other unit types

44

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Rental Price change by district for 3-bedroom condos (1H 2015 VS 1H 2016)
D22 Boon Lay / Jurong / Tuas

-0.1%

D23 Bukit Batok / Bukit Panjang

-0.9%

D20 Ang Mo Kio / Bishan / Thomson

-1.4%

D12 Balestier / Toa Payoh

-2.1%

D1 Boat Quay / Raffles Place / Marina

-2.2%

D8 Farrer Park / Serangoon

-2.3%

D13 Macpherson / Potong Pasir

-2.9%

D10 Tanglin / Holland

-3.1%

D9 Orchard / River Valley

-3.7%

D28 Seletar / Yio Chu kang

-3.8%

D19 Hougang / Punggol Seng Kang

-4.2%

D5 Buona Vista / West Coast / Clementi New Town

-4.2%

D27 Sembawang / Yishun

-4.3%

D15 East Coast / Marine Parade

-4.4%

D16 Bedok / Upper East Coast

-4.6%

D14 Eunos / Geylang / Paya Lebar

-4.8%

D3 Alexandra / Commonwealth

-4.8%

D26 Mandai / Upper Thomson

-5.3%

D21 Clementi Park / Upper Bukit Timah

-6.0%

D2 Chinatown / Tanjong Pagar

-6.1%

D11 Newton / Novena

-6.8%

D17 Changi Airport / Changi Village

-8.6%

D18 Pasir Ris / Tampines

-8.6%

D4 Harbourfront / Telok Blangah


D25 Admiralty / Woodlands

-9.9%
-10.7%

D7 Beach Road / Bugis / Rochor -12.8%


Sources: DREA, URA, Realis

For 3 bedroom units, median rental


prices have fallen across all districts
See Appendix for price trend of other unit types

45

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Top 10 properties with high rental liquidity


Property

Last 12 Month Rental Volume


(As of 30 Jun 2016)
655

The Sail @ Marina Bay

503

Reflections At Keppel Bay

Bedok Residences

427

Gross Yield

3.7%
3.4%
3.5%

City Square Residences

400

3.3%

Bartley Residences

397

3%

DLeedon

362

2.7%

Caribbean At Keppel Bay

365

3.9%

A Treasure Trove

342

2.9%

Bayshore Park

343

4.0%

EUHabitat

335

3.6%

Sources: DREA, URA, Realis

Investors may take comfort in some


of these properties which still offer
high rental yield
46

46

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drea@redbrick.sg

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Brought to You by

Mortgage Rates Today

Deposit pegged mortgage rates (DPMR) which goes by different names across the major banks, first
came into the market as a solution to tackle rising interest rates specifically SIBOR.
As DPMRs gain popularity, the current FD rates may not remain attractive to potential depositors and
there may be pressure on the banks to increase these rates. This will result in increased FD rates and a
surge in DPMR schemes. Borrowers should take note that DPMR rates are still board rates and are
ultimately controlled and regulated by the individual banks

Bank

Rate Type

Lock-in

Initial Rate

Thereafter

18M FHR
(0.6%)*

18M FHR + 1.2%

18M FHR + 1.2%

36M FDMR
(0.65%)*

3 Years

36M FD + 1.13%

36M FD
+1.70%

36M FDPR
(0.65%)*

2 Years

FDPR
+ 1.15%

FDPR
+ 1.65%

48M FDR
(0.50%)*

FDR
+ 1.15%

FDR
+ 1.15%

Fixed

3 years

1.80%
Fixed 3 yrs

18mth FHR +
1.20%

2 years

1.80%
Fixed 1 yr

Year 2 & 3
36FDMR + 1.15%
Thereafter
36FDMR + 1.70%

2 years

1.68%
Fixed 2 yrs

Year 3
FDPR + 1.03%
Thereafter
FDPR + 1.15%

2 years

1.68%
Fixed for 2 yrs

Year 3
SRFR(1) 1.60%
Thereafter
SRFR 1.01%

Fixed

Fixed

Fixed

*Refers to reference rate as of 3 August 2016.


1. SRFR is currently 4.0%

Get the best rates in town from


more than 16 banks and lenders
Click here for the latest rates

49

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Median rental price trend for 1-bedroom condos (S$ PSF)


5.6

1 Bedroom
units

5.5

5.45 5.45

5.4
5.3

5.22

5.2

Mainly for
expats and
young working
professionals

5.11

-5.2%

5.1
5.0

4.92

4.92

4.9
4.8

4.73

4.7
4.6
2Q14

3Q14

4Q14

1Q15

2Q15

3Q15

4Q15

4.67

4.67

1Q16

2Q16

1 bedroom units are a popular choice for young working professionals and expats.
On the other hand, families looking to rent a condo would tend to go for 3-4 bedroom
units, as they would need more space as compared to working professionals and
expats.

Median rental price trend for 3-bedroom condos (S$ PSF)


3.40
3.35

3 Bedroom
units

3.30
3.25

3.24

3.27
3.20

3.20
3.15

Mainly for
families

-5.0%
3.13

3.12
3.08

3.10
3.05
3.00

2.98

2.97

2.96

4Q15

1Q16

2Q16

2.95
2.90
2Q14

3Q14

4Q14

1Q15

2Q15

3Q15

Sources: DREA, URA, Realis

Rent for larger units have declined


as much as smaller units, tenants
should expect a 5% discount when
49
renegotiating rates

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For 1 Bedroom Units


Top 10 District By Volume

Orchard,
River Valley
Eunos, Geylang,
Paya Lebar

Monthly Rental Range


(S$ /month)

Properties

Lowest

D9

7,300

1,900

Mackenzie 88
Highest

Two8One Studio
Lowest

D14

1,200

Treasures @ G20

3,800

Highest

Waterbank At Dakota
Lowest

East Coast,
Marine Parade

D15

Tanglin, Holland

D10

La vida @ 130

4,500

1,500

Highest

Cote DAzur
Lowest

5,700

2,000

Viz at Holland
Highest

The Holland Collection

Boat Quay, Raffles


Place, Marina
Chinatown,
Tanjong Pagar
Balestier,
Toa Payoh
Farrer Park,
Serangoon
Hougang, Punggol,
Sengkang

Lowest

D1

6,300

2,300

Pearls Centre
Highest

Marina Bay Residences


Lowest

D2

6,600

2,600

Spottiswoode Residences
Highest

Altez

Lowest

D12

1,500

3,350

Suites @ Topaz
Highest

Domus
Lowest

D8

1,700

4,050

Tyrwhitt 139
Highest

Residences @ Somme
Lowest

D19

1,500

Casa Cambio

3,000

Highest

The Chuan
Lowest

Newton, Novena

*Excludes outliers

D11

1,900

4,300

Zedge
Highest

Miro

Sources: DREA, URA, Realis

Visit DREA.sg for the latest insights on rental


price trends for different districts
Click here for district rental trends
50

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For 3 Bedroom Units


Top 10 District By Volume

Monthly Rental Range


(S$ /month)

Properties

Lowest

Tanglin, Holland

D10

The Sierra

18,500

2,500

Highest

Nassim Lodge

Orchard,
River Valley

Lowest

D9

Hougang, Punggol,
Sengkang

D19

Clementi Park,
Upper Bukit Timah

D21

Buona Vista, West


Coast, Clementi
Harbourfront, Telok
Blangah

Highest

Lowest

D15

Bukit Batok,
Bukit Panjang

Oxley Mansion

20,000

Scotts 28

East Coast,
Marine Parade

Bedok
Upper East Coast

2,650

Coastarina

14,500

2,250

Highest

Coasta Rhu
Lowest

2,000

Glasgow Residence

7,000

Highest

Kensington Park Condominium


Lowest

2,000

Hume Park I

7,500

Highest

Pandan Valley
Lowest

D16

2,300

Bagnall Court

7,880

Highest

Riviera Residences
Lowest

D23

1,800

Montrosa

5,300

Highest

The Dairy Farm


Lowest

D5

2,400

Pasir Panjang Court

10,400

Highest

Island View
Lowest

D4

30,000

3,400

Harbour View Towers


Highest

Seven Palms Sentosa Cove


Lowest

Newton, Novena

*Excludes outliers

D11

2,700

10,300

Novena Lodge
Highest

Trilight

Sources: DREA, URA, Realis

Visit DREA.sg for the latest insights on rental


price trends for different districts
Click here for district rental trends
51

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52

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Things to take note of


Have a good understanding of the rental market
Landlords are typically represented by agents and are more often than not, familiar with market
prices and norms. You are likely to be on the losing end if you enter a rental negotiation without
any view on prices in the area, price trends or demand for a particular property.
To get started, you can get access to rental information from Singapores Urban Redevelopment
Authority (URA). For those who would like easy access to property insights on the go, DREA.sg
provides you instant real estate insights on past transactions, prices in the area, trends and even
a comparison of properties to help you shortlist the right homes for you.
It would also be advantageous for both landlords and tenants to know the market norm. Prior to
signing the contact, landlords, tenants, and agents should sit down and go through the tenancy
agreement. It would be useful to highlight any clause that is out of the norm so that all parties are
fully aware of what the contract entails.
Letter of Intent - Agree on furnishing items and itemize them where possible
A letter of intent is typically provided by the tenant to the landlord before a rental contract is
issued. Tenants are the ones providing the Letter of Intent, and they should try to be as detailed
as possible in the letter to achieve mutual agreement with the landlord from the onset on which
items and fixtures are provided. For example, if there is verbal agreement for landlord to provide
a television and a fridge, these should be itemized and reflected in the Letter of Intent.
Tenants renting a unit without the help of their own agent should thoroughly review their Letter of
Intent before sending it across to the landlord. Do note that templates for Letter of Intent found
online may not always reflect rental norms in Singapore.
Take pictures likely to come in handy when resolving disputes
It is advisable for tenants to take detailed pictures of the rental unit prior to moving in. This is
helpful if tenants end up finding fault with the unit after moving in for a period of time. e.g. a
cracked ceiling. With pictures as evidence, it is easier to determine who is responsible for the
repair fees and arguments over minor issues can be avoided.
Negotiation Research matters and dont just negotiate on rental prices
One way to negotiate for a discount is to offer to pay several months worth of rent upfront.
However, this may not necessarily work on all landlords. The best way to get a good rental price
would be to research on past rental transactions in the property and in the area, and use that as
a base for negotiation. DREAs instant negotiation tool provides you with key points for
negotiation as well as data to back you up.
Aside from prices, tenants may also negotiate for a warranty period on furnishing items. This way,
if items such as the Television were to break down soon after moving in, they will be covered by
the landlord.
Minor repair fees Agree on the amount and the process for getting quotes
Minor repair fees refer to the amount a tenant would have to pay out of pocket. Any repair cost
above this amount should be paid by the landlord unless it is a case of damage caused by the
tenant. It is therefore important for tenant and landlord to agree on this and have in in the rental
contract.
Separately, it is also important to agree on the process for getting a quotation for repair. Will the
landlord be the one to get a quotation or should the tenant be getting a quotation? Landlords
will always want to get the cheapest quote so they dont have to pay as much; tenants will
always want to get a quote higher than the agreed minor repair fee so they dont have to pay
for the repairs and get the best quality possible. Hence, landlords and tenants should agree on a
procedure for getting quotes to avoid arguments in the future.

53

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Things to take note of


Tenancy Agreement

The Tenancy Agreement is actually a standardized agreement that is commonly


used for all rentals. This is a template that real estate agents would use. If there are
clauses that the tenants and landlords would like to include or remove, the agent
should edit the agreement before having both the landlords and tenants sign it.

More tips on saving money when renting a condo


1.

Start apartment hunting early - Always allocate 1-2 months to do your


research on the condos that will fit your requirements

2.

Know your landlord - Understand if the landlord has had multiple enquiries
and find out if the apartment or condo has been on the market for a while

3.

Identify your needs - Identify the things that matter to you from the onset so
you dont end up paying a premium for things that matter to others but not
to you.

4.

Be sure of what youre asking for - Do not show hesitation or weakness as


the landlord might sense that and you will lose bargaining power.

5.

Be creative with your asks - If you tried lowering the rent but failed, dont
give up. Try for something else. Be creative with your asks and you might just
get it.

6.

Find the right agent to represent you - The right agent will recommend the
right homes and provide additional input to help you get the best deal
possible.

Visit DREA.sg to find out about


market norms and negotiation
points

54

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Monthly rental prices of condos within 1km radius of Top 10 Primary Schools
(1,000 1,500 sqft unit)

Southaven I

2,400

Pandan Valley

2,500

Crescendo Park

2,500

Kellett Court

2,750

Freesia Woods

2,900

Astor Green

3,100

4,300

0.83km to Henry Park


1.02km to Pei Tong

Ridgewood

3,000

4,400

0.63km to Henry Park


0.98 to Raffles Girls

4,400

0.44km to Henry Park


0.87km to Raffles Girls

Quinterra

3,600

3,200

0.91km to Pei Hwa

0.73km to Henry Park


1.13km to Raffles Girls

3,800

3,400

0.93km to Tao Nan Sch

0.85km to Nanyang
2.73km to ACS Primary

3,900

4,800

0.81km to Nan Hua


0.90km to Pei Tong

Sources: DREA, URA, Parenting forums

Here are some of the bestvalue rental properties near top


primary schools in Singapore
56

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Rental Properties within walking distance to Raffles Place

International Plaza 2,600

5,700

(13 min to Raffles Place)

The Sail @ Marina Bay 2,800

13,000

(15 min to Raffles Place)

ICON 2,900

7,200

(4 min to Raffles
Place)

Marina Bay Residences

3,900

17,568

(6 min to Raffles Place)

Marina Bay Suites

6,300

15,800

(12 min to Raffles Place)

Sources: DREA, URA

For tenants looking at units in Raffles


Place, there are options going for
less than S$ 3000 / month
57

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Rental - Top 10 Most Value For Money condos with the most amenities
(across all sizes and time periods)

4,060

D2 Chinatown Plaza 1,300

D23 Glendale Park

2,100

D27 Sun Plaza

2,100

D20 Thomson View


Condominium

2,300

D15 Tembeling Centre

2,600

D20 Thomson Imperial


Court

2,600

D14 Sims Residences

2,800

D10 Botanic Gardens


Mansion

3,100

D20 Boonview

3,200

D21 Meadowlodge

3,200

<10-minute walk to

MRT

3,400

4,250

4,400

Supermarkets

Food
Courts

2,600

Shopping
Malls

2,600

4,000

Search condos by
amenities with
DREA here

4,700

3,900

4,200

For those who are not concerned with the distance to schools and CBD, and are just
looking to rent a value-for-money condo located near amenities, we compiled a list
of the Top 10 most value-for-money condos that are under a ten minute walk to the
MRT, a supermarket, a shopping mall, and a food court.
Sources: DREA, URA

For rental properties near


amenities, the above offer good
value-for-money options
58

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Districts in Singapore

D1 Boat Quay / Raffles Place / Marina

D15 East Coast / Marine Parade

D2 Chinatown / Tanjong Pagar

D16 Bedok / Upper East Coast

D3 Alexandra / Commonwealth

D17 Changi Airport / Changi Village

D4 Harbourfront / Telok Blangah

D18 Pasir Ris / Tampines

D5 Buona Vista / West Coast / Clementi New Town

D19 Hougang / Punggol Seng Kang

D6 Cityhall / Clarke Quay

D20 Ang Mo Kio / Bishan / Thomson

D7 Beach Road / Bugis / Rochor

D21 Clementi Park / Upper Bukit Timah

D8 Farrer Park / Serangoon

D22 Boon Lay / Jurong / Tuas

D9 Orchard / River Valley

D23 Bukit Batok / Bukit Panjang

D10 Tanglin / Holland

D25 Admiralty / Woodlands

D11 Newton / Novena

D26 Mandai / Upper Thomson

D12 Balestier / Toa Payoh

D27 Sembawang / Yishun

D13 Macpherson / Potong Pasir

D28 Seletar / Yio Chu kang

D14 Eunos / Geylang / Paya Lebar

60

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Cooling Measures
Feb10

Introduced Sellers Stamp Duty (SSD) for private residential property


Lowered Loan-to-Valuation (LTV) from 90% to 80% for private
property

Aug10

Further increased holding period of SSD from 1 to 3 years with


graduated stamp duty
Increased minimum cash payment to 10% for buyers with >1 loan
Decreased LTV for multiple mortgage holders from 80% to 70%

Jan11

Increased SSD period from 3 to 4 years and increased rates (1st yr 16%
(from 3%), 2nd yr 12% (from 2%), 3rd yr 8% (from 1%) and 4th yr 4%
(from 0%)
Lower LTV for non-individual purchasers (50%) as well as individuals (60%)

Dec11

Introduction of Additional Buyers Stamp Duty (ABSD)


10% for foreigners and non-individual buyers
3% for PRs buying 2 properties and Singaporeans buying 3
properties

Sep12

Issuance of new guidelines for shoebox units

Oct12

Further LTV restrictions:


Loan tenure capped at 35yrs for individual and non-individual buyers
LTV for non-individual buyers lowered to 40%
For 2nd mortgage loan borrowers and above, LTV lowered to 40% for
loans >30 years or extend beyond 65
LTV of 60% for first time borrowers beyond 65

Jan13

Increased ABSD for Singaporean buyers (1st home 0%, 2nd home 0%
to 7%, 3rd home 3% to 10%)
Increased ABSD for Singapore PRs (1st home 0% to 5%, 2nd home 3%
to 10%)
Increased ABSD for Foreigners ( 1st home: 10% to 15%)
1st loan LTV 80%, 2nd 50%, 3rd 40%; LTV will be even lower for loan
tenure of more than 30 years or where borrower is >65 years
Increased cash downpayment for 1st property to 5% - 10% and 2nd to
10% - 25%

Jun13

New total debt servicing ratio (TDSR)


Maximum total debt limit of 60% taking into account monthly
repayment for property loan and other debt obligations
Apply a haircut of 30% to all variable rental income and amortise
value of eligible financial assets when computing TDSR

The Singapore government has


introduced several cooling
measures over a period of 3
61
years

61

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Appendices
Sale Transactions - Price change by district (1H 2016 vs 1H 2015)

For private
non-landed
residential
properties
<500 SQFT

For private
non-landed
residential
properties
between
500-1000
SQFT

D28
D15
D11
D10
D20
D14
D18
D8
D3
D2
-0.9%
D21
-2.5%
D19
-3.9%
D25
-5.8%
D16
-6.6%
D23
-7.3%
D13
-7.6%
D9
-9.7%
D12
-11.7%
D17
-12.3%
D5
-13.4%
D1
-18.6%
D27 -22.4%

26.4%
22.8%
21.7%
14.7%
8.5%
4.3%
2.6%
2.1%
0.5%

D21
33.0%
D9
23.0%
D20
17.1%
D13
16.1%
D26
14.5%
D11
11.6%
D4
11.4%
D10
7.1%
D2
4.9%
D28
4.6%
D5
4.3%
D15
3.9%
D19
3.5%
D23
2.2%
D12
2.1%
D25
1.3%
D3
1.1%
D14
0.9%
D18
-0.1%
D8
-0.8%
D17
-2.0%
D16
-2.3%
D22
-9.6%
D27
-17.0%
D1
-20.5%
D7 -27.7%

Sources: DREA, URA

Powered by DREA

Sale Transactions - Price change by district (1H 2016 vs 1H 2015)

For private
non-landed
residential
properties
between
1000-1500
SQFT

For private
non-landed
residential
properties
between
1500-2000
SQFT

D7
D9
D3
D1
D26
D8
D22
D21
D16
D13
D18
D10
D23
D12
D20
D19
D28
D5
D4
D25
D11
D14
D17
D15
D27
D2 -26.3%
D10
D3
D8
D7
D9
D21
D13
D26
D16
D18
D23
D4
D1
D15
D5
D17
D19
D27
D20
D28
D11
D25
D22
D12
D14
D2 -70.2%

32.4%
28.7%
20.4%
14.9%
14.5%
11.5%
11.1%
10.1%
7.0%
6.4%
4.6%
4.0%
3.1%
2.2%
1.6%
-0.2%
-1.2%
-1.8%
-2.0%
-2.3%
-2.5%
-2.7%
-7.4%
-8.6%
-12.3%

25.9%
25.9%
24.7%
18.5%
5.0%
3.3%
1.3%
1.3%
-1.1%
-1.2%
-2.2%
-2.6%
-3.4%
-5.7%
-5.9%
-9.7%
-10.0%
-11.6%
-12.8%
-13.1%
-16.1%
-18.6%
-20.5%
-23.5%
-38.1%

Sources: DREA, URA

Powered by DREA

Sale Transactions - Price change by district (1H 2016 vs 1H 2015)


D1

15.4%

D3

14.6%

D18

13.8%

D11

7.5%

D16

7.2%

D28

For private
non-landed
residential
properties
>2000 SQFT

3.4%

D5

3.3%

D14

3.1%

D10

2.2%

D20

0.9%

D17

0.7%

D19

0.4%

D23

-2.8%

D21

-4.9%

D9

-6.9%

D27

-9.0%

D15

-9.8%

D4

-11.3%

D25

-12.4%

D22 -25.6%

Number of sale transactions by unit size


2,625
2,299
2,164

1H14
1H15

2,016

1H16

1,842
1,776

747
482

603
411

526 547
367
244

<500

500-1000

1000-1500

1500-2000

303

>2000

Sources: DREA, URA

Powered by DREA

Rental Transactions - Price change by district (1H 2016 vs 1H 2015)

For 1bedroom
private nonlanded
residential
properties

For 2bedroom
private nonlanded
residential
properties

D4
D21
D27
D2
D7
D17
D23
D22
D20
D12
D25
D16
D15
D28
D9
D19
D1
D8
D3
D26
D5
D11
D13
D14
D10
D18 -15.9%

18.2%
12.7%
3.2%
2.6%
1.9%
0.0%
0.0%
-1.5%
-2.2%
-2.2%
-3.0%
-3.3%
-3.3%
-3.3%
-4.5%
-5.0%
-5.3%
-5.3%
-5.6%
-8.3%
-8.3%
-8.9%
-9.1%
-9.5%
-9.5%

D1
D2
D22
D23
D15
-1.3%
D27
-2.0%
D11
-2.6%
D3
-2.8%
D21
-3.0%
D16
-3.1%
D19
-3.5%
D9
-4.0%
D14
-4.4%
D5
-4.6%
D10
-4.8%
D4
-5.2%
D7
-5.4%
D18
-6.2%
D12
-6.5%
D17
-6.9%
D26
-7.4%
D25
-7.6%
D28
-8.2%
D13
-8.4%
D8
-8.7%
D20 -9.5%

1.6%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Sources: DREA, URA

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Rental Transactions - Price change by district (1H 2016 vs 1H 2015)


D22
D23
D20

-0.1%
-0.9%
-1.4%
-2.1%

D12
D1
D8
D13
D10
D9

For 3bedroom
private nonlanded
residential
properties

-2.2%
-2.3%
-2.9%
-3.1%
-3.7%

D28
D19
D5
D27
D15
D16
D14
D3

-3.8%
-4.2%
-4.2%
-4.3%
-4.4%
-4.6%
-4.8%
-4.8%

D26
D21
D2
D11
D17
D18
D4
D25
D7 -12.8%

For 4bedroom
private nonlanded
residential
properties

D28
D22
D5
D25
D17
D14
D27
D3
D16
D13
D20
D9
D18
D12
D15
D21
D10
D23
D1
D11
D4
D26
D8
D19 -19.7%

-5.3%
-6.0%
-6.1%
-6.8%
-8.6%
-8.6%
-9.9%
-10.7%

9.0%
6.8%
4.7%
3.8%
3.2%
2.9%
1.4%
-0.4%
-1.8%
-2.1%
-2.8%
-3.4%
-4.3%
-4.7%
-5.0%
-5.7%
-6.2%
-6.6%
-6.7%
-7.5%
-7.8%
-8.3%
-9.3%

Sources: DREA, URA

Powered by DREA

Rental Transactions - Price change by district (1H 2016 vs 1H 2015)


D15

For 5bedroom
private
nonlanded
residential
properties

13.3%

D10

6.4%

D4

5.6%

D9

2.6%

D16

-1.0%

D5

-13.8%

D11

-41.7%

D12 -52.0%

Number of rental transactions by unit size


10,751
10,220
9,433

1H14

7,927

1H15
1H16

5,157
3,773

3,413
2,462

2,351 2,463

1,003

702
20

97

83

No. of bedrooms

Sources: DREA, URA

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