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Paper 265
Paper 265
Radicalisation in Kenya
Recruitment to al-Shabaab and
the Mombasa Republican Council
Anneli Botha
Summary
Despite a history of extremism and unconventional political developments in Kenya,
relatively little empirical research has been done to determine why and how individuals
join al-Shabaab and the Mombasa Republican Council (MRC). This paper is based
on interviews with Kenyan and Somali-Kenyan individuals associated with al-Shabaab
and the MRC. These organisations have very different profiles. Al-Shabaab pursues
an Islamist terrorist agenda while the MRC pursues a secessionist agenda; the latter
has not carried out terrorist attacks. Muslim youth have joined extremist groups as a
counter-reaction to what they see as government-imposed collective punishment
driven by the misguided perception that all Somali and Kenyan-Somali nationals are
potential terrorists. As long as Kenyan citizens exclusively identify with an ethnic/
religious identity that is perceived to be under threat, radicalisation will increase.
of extremism in post-independence
growing threat.
PAPER
attacks, al-Shabaab was also implicated
devastating consequences.
95
individuals associated
with al-Shabaab,
45
individuals associated
with the MRC,
46
relatives of individuals
associated with
al-Shabaab, and
relatives of individuals
associated with MRC
Introduction to al-Shabaab
and the mrc
from al-Shabaab.
being arrested.
PAPER
government responds to terrorism. For
example, following the killing of at least
15 people in the village of Poromoko
near Mpeketoni on the Kenyan coast
on 15 June 2014, President Kenyatta
blamed official political opponents,
even though al-Shabaab accepted
responsibility.11 Instead of attempting
15
people were
killed on
15 June 2014
President Kenyatta
blamed official political
opponents, even though
al-Shabaab accepted
responsibility
Radicalisation facilitators
and process
PAPER
60% of MRC respondents were middle
children, 26% of al-Shabaab and 11%
of MRC respondents were the oldest,
while 12% of al-Shabaab and 29% of
MRC respondents were the youngest.
70
60
50
15
40
30
20
10
33
24
13
0
18
21
11
26
34
0
7
0
5
25
Pa
r
su ent
pp al
o
Pa rt
re
Re nt
lig
leaious
de
Fr r
ien
d
S
Co ibli
n
m g
m
u
leanity
Re de
lat r
iv
No e
bo
dy
59
MRC
al-Shabaab
62%
60%
of al-Shabaab and
of MRC respondents
were middle children
more importantly, the ideology behind alShabaab is relatively new in the area.
category, 91% of MRC and 55% of alShabaab respondents rated their sense
of belonging in joining their respective
organisations at between 5 and 10 (1
represented the least and 10 the highest
level of being accepted and experiencing
a sense of belonging in the respective
organisation). When asked to rate their
sense of belonging while being members,
71
50
54
40
36
20
10
13
9 010 684
23
Protestant
18 307 466
49
Other Christian
4 559 584
12
Muslim
4 304 798
11
Hindu
53 393
Below 1
Traditionalist
635 352
Other religion
557 450
No religion
922 128
Unsure
61 233
Below 1
Jo
al-Shabaab
MRC
Religion
in
w
fri ith
en
ds
Jo
in
w
fa ith
m
ily
Jo
alo in
ne
Re
cr
fa uit
m
ily
Re
cr
fri uit
en
ds
6 7
11
23
30
Total
60
80
70
PAPER
Union (KANU) government to deal
with the potential challenge these two
parties might pose to the predominantly
Christian political status quo. Despite
the fact that Kenya is a secular country,
Muslims feel discriminated against. In
the first instance, Muslims are not well
represented in key government positions
and institutions. It is, however, when
applying for national identity cards and
passports that Muslims especially feel
discriminated against. For example,
when applying for a passport, Muslims
73%
THE PERCENTAGE OF
AL-SHABAAB RESPONDENTS
WHO HATED
OTHER RELIGIONS
80
79
73
60
50
53
49
40
74
60
37
49
40
30
32
0
nm
er
40
ov
42
34
20
al-Shabaab
21
6
bi
Co
m
Ph
ys
na
tio
ica
l
ca
gi
lo
eo
13
5
MRC
al-Shabaab
en
60
16
t
te
rn
en al
em
O y
th
G reli er
ov gi
er on
an nm
d en
ot t
he
r
Al
l-o
ut
O
ng
oi
ng
67
60
26
24
18
10
Id
80
MRC
50
20
97
hr
ea
M
ot ar
he ry
r r int
eli o
gi
on
lig
d io
(n iver us
eg si
at ty
ive
)
Re
R
eq elig
ua io
l (y ns
es
)
al-Shabaab
100
rt
de
10
Un
20
63
Ex
70
30
MRC
PAPER
Figure 6: Reason why respondents joined al-Shabaab and the MRC
100
90
87
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
25
21
14
hn
ec ic a
on nd
om
ic
Et
hn
ic
po an
liti d
ca
l
ic
Et
hn
Et
us
Re
lig
io
u
ec s a
on nd
om
ic
Po
lig
liti
io
ca
al
14
on
rs
om
Re
12
ic
Pe
Ad
ve
nt
ur
e
12
on
Ec
10
al-Shabaab
10
THE PERCENTAGE OF
AL-SHABAAB RESPONDENTS
WHO CITED RELIGION
AS THEIR REASON FOR
JOINING THE ORGANISATION
87%
MRC
Population
Kikuyu
6 622 576
Luhya
5 338 666
Kalenjin
4 967 328
Luo
4 044 440
Kenyan Somali
2 385 572
Kisii
2 205 669
Nyanza (95%)
Mijikenda
1 960 574
Coast Province
Meru
1 658 108
Turkana
988 592
Maasai
Predominant location
841 622
Teso
338 833
Embu
324 092
Taita
273 519
Kuria
260 401
Samburu
237 179
Tharaka
175 905
Mbeere
168 155
Borana
161 399
Northern Province
Basuba
139 271
Swahili
110 614
Coast Province
Gabra
89 515
Northern Province
Orma
66 275
Rendile
60 437
Source: Oparanya, 2009 Population & Housing Census results, 3435; S Elischer, Ethnic coalitions of
convenience and commitment: political parties and party systems in Kenya, German Institute of Global and
Area Studies 68 (February 2008), 11
11
PAPER
Coast and North Eastern provinces are
home to the Mijikenda (who include the
Giriama, Digo, Kauma, Duruma, Jibaba,
Kambe, Rabai and Ribe), Pokomo,
Taita, Taveta Malakote and Swahili (the
group, not the language). Kenyas small
ethnic minority groups, including the
Borana, Burji, Garba, Orma, Sakuye and
Waata, also live in these two provinces.
However, over the years other ethnic
groups, including the Kamba, Kikuyu and
Luo, migrated to the coast from other
regions.28 The economic consequences
of this migration have contributed to
the ethnic marginalisation of the original
inhabitants. Although MRC respondents
interviewed included Bajun, Digo,
Duruma, Gariama, Kamba, Luhya, Meru,
Rabai, Shirazi, Somali and Taita, the
majority of respondents came from four
ethnic backgrounds: the Gariama (39%),
Digo (13%), Bajun (9%) and Luhya (9%).
Al-Shabaab respondents, on the other
hand, included Arab-Kenyan, Bajun,
Barawa, Boran, Gabra, Garre, Giriama,
Jomvu, Kamba, Kauma, Kikuyu, Kenyan
Somali, Luhya, Luo, Mgunya, Mijikenda,
Mohonyi, Nubi, Orma, Pokomo and
Swahimis. The majority of respondents
interviewed came from the following
ethnic backgrounds: Bajun (20%),
Kikuyu (10%), Luhya (7%), Luo (7%) and
Mijikenda (7%). Although from a larger
THE PERCENTAGE OF
MRC RESPONDENTS
WHO INDICATED THAT
ETHNIC DIVERSITY WAS
NOT A GOOD THING
12
90
80
70
50
30
10
49
40
20
92
60
95
90
47
38
Di
92%
100
al-Shabaab
MRC
E
d thn
(n iver ic
eg si
at ty
ive
)
Et
hn
eq gro ic
ua up
l (n s
o)
sc
r
tio imi
n na
(ye s)
78
70
60
68
66
50
40
30
39
20
Political circumstances
1 0
al-Shabaab
po Tru
liti st
cia
ns
El
ec
tio
b ns
ch rin
an g
ge
22
10
sc
po uss
liti
Vo
cs
te
d
be
or jo for
ga in e
ni ing
sa
tio
n
Di
MRC
13
PAPER
Figure 9: Trust in the political
system
100
99
86
80
60
100
96 96
72
40
20
28
14
No
t
an fre
d e
fa
ir
N
ni ot
se re
c
po o
g
pr litic oc al
G
e
ov
er ss
nm
pr e
ot nt
ec
a ts
fe
w
Re
vo
leg lt
al
al-Shabaab
MRC
social conflict.
14
Socio-economic factors
96%
(emphasis added).30
Region
Income
(top
10%)
Unemployment
Access
to electricity
Nairobi
45%
24%
71%
Nyanza
43%
12%
5%
Rift Valley
43%
12%
11%
42%
7%
7%
41%
28%
2%
39%
6%
19%
34%
23%
19%
27%
35%
3%
61 233
Below 1
Eastern
Province
Western
Province
Central
Province
Coast
Province
North
Eastern
Province
Unsure
Pulling apart, 10 13
15
PAPER
more susceptible than al-Shabaab
respondents in this study.
In addition to the economic and social
development issues raised in this
section, education or a lack thereof was
identified as a crucial contributing factor
to relative deprivation. Education is not
only key in securing a future, but, as
mentioned before, the type of education
a person receives is equally important. It
is, however, in the area of education that
Muslim areas, most notably the Coast
and North Eastern provinces,
feel discriminated against, especially
when comparing the education figures
of Kenyas provinces, as presented in
Table 4.
Pre-primary
Primary
Secondary
Tertiary
Population
Nairobi
155 936
490 314
176 837
69 345
3 138 369
Central
220 612
987 348
265 881
25 321
4 383 743
Coast
250 380
758 062
108 401
8 941
3 325 307
Eastern
257 690
1 509 526
268 751
13 645
5 668 123
24 383
414 541
60 133
2 431
2 310 757
Nyanza
426 046
1 513 952
309 130
18 359
5 442 711
Rift Valley
640 044
2 475 352
411 416
49 061
10 006 805
Western
271 971
1 276 295
195 918
11 016
4 334 282
2 247 071
9 425 390
1 796 467
198 119
38 610 097
North Eastern
Total
16
60
50
47
40
45
30
24
20
10
8 9
ry
tia
Te
r
nd
co
Se
Pr
im
ar
ar
al-Shabaab
MRC
kinship networks.
39
disproportionately concentrated in
38
17
PAPER
religious and ethnic background. The
only remaining yet essential questions are
why and how respondents joined the two
organisations and if there is a difference
between the organisations in this regard.
Figure 11: Age at which respondents joined al-Shabaab and the MRC
50
45
45
40
35
35
30
25
younger respondents.
25
20
21
14
10
5
20
17
15
7
1
5 0
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
7
1
40+
al-Shabaab
18
MRC
66
60
50
40
38
34
30
20
21 20
lf
Se
io
fig us
ur
e
lig
ive
lat
Re
d
ien
Fr
ch
3 7
0 0
Re
ed
rc
e
Fo
10
al-Shabaab
MRC
42
30
30
20
19
17
10
3 3
1-30
days
2-6
7-12
months months
al-Shabaab
1-5
years
5+
years
MRC
3
0
al-Shabaab
MRC
15
10
5
18 19 18
15
22
25
22
20
ge
r
ge
ra
ha nd
tre
Ha d
tre
d
40
25
An
50
30 32
60
40
35
Fe
a
40
m
pt
45
te
lt
ui
Co
n
50
An
70
pr
oa
Ap
19
PAPER
When asked to clarify or to provide
additional information that finally pushed
the person to join, the majority of both alShabaab and MRC respondents referred
to injustices at the hands of Kenyan
security forces, specifically referring to
collective punishment. When asked
to identify the single most important
factor that drove respondents to join alShabaab, 65% specifically referred to the
governments counterterrorism strategy.
Comments included: Government and
security forces hate Islam, and All
4 005
THE NUMBER OF SOMALILOOKING INDIVIDUALS
ARRESTED IN THE PERIOD
410 APRIL 2014
20
90
80
60
50
40
30
20
10
84
70
68
32
0 0
14
0
0 0
Fa
m
ily
O
rg
an
i
s
m at
em io
be n
rs
R
et el
hn igi
ic on
O
g /
m rga rou
p
em ni
s
et ber atio
hn s n
ic an
gr d
ou
p
Co
un
try
al-Shabaab
MRC
21
PAPER
people, land grabbing on the part
of government and other ethnic/tribal
groups and resource distribution.
60
50
52
40
43
30
30
20
10
O
re the
lig r
io
ns
t
en
nm
G
ov
er
O
co the
un r
G
try
ov
er
n
et and men
hn o t
ic th
gr er
ou
p
al-Shabaab
MRC
61
59
50
100
90
40
30
70
32
%
16
8
20
33
22
5-7
8-10
10
0
ad
ng
in
g
ve and
nt
ur
e
0 0
Be
lo
ic
no
m
Ec
o
sib
il
be a ity
lo nd
ng
in
g
on
y
ilit
Re
sp
on
s
ib
gi
lo
n
Be
Re
sp
ng
ur
e
ve
nt
Ad
al-Shabaab
0 0
ar
2 2
45
30
Fe
13
39
50
40
10
48
60
20
22
13
80
MRC
1-4
Joining
53
70
47
60
%
radicalisation process.
80
40
79
30
20
10
0
90
50
12
1-4
5-7
8-10
Joining
Conclusion
identity provided a bridge between alShabaab and the MRC, especially in the
coastal and north-eastern regions.
23
PAPER
Kenyan Somalis can be traced back to
the Shifta war that gained momentum
following the growing economic and
political marginalisation of coastal people.
The role perceptions played in classifying
people further fuelled marginalisation and
the entrenching of in- and out-groups. At
the same time it is important to
remember that the MRC is multireligious, although the majority of
members are Muslim. Religious identity,
however, became increasingly prominent
following the anti-terrorist campaign after
the US embassy bombings in 1998. As a
67%
The percentage of MRC
respondents who only
attended primary
school
24
Notes
1
Ibid.
17 Ibid, 198.
25
PAPER
37 C Rakodi, R Gatabaki-Kamau and N Devas,
Poverty and political conflict in Mombasa,
Environment and Urbanization 12 (2000), 158.
38 Ibid.
39 BBC Monitoring Newsfile, Kenyan police say
key suspect in Mombassa terror attacks has
Yemeni links, 27 December 2002.
46 Ibid.
26
PAPER
ISS Pretoria
Anneli Botha has been a senior researcher on terrorism at the Institute for
Security Studies in Pretoria since 2003. After completing an honours degree
in international politics she joined the South African Police Services Crime
Intelligence Unit in 1993, focusing, among other things, on terrorism and
religious extremism. She has a masters degree in political studies from the
University of Johannesburg and a PhD from the University of the Free State.
Her specific areas of interest are counter-terrorism strategies and the underlying
causes of terrorism and radicalisation.
Acknowledgements
This paper is based on the authors research for a doctoral thesis at the
University of the Free State entitled Radicalisation to commit terrorism from a
political socialisation perspective in Kenya and Uganda. The ISS is grateful for
support from the members of the ISS Partnership Forum: the governments of
Australia, Canada, Denmark, Finland, Japan, Netherlands, Norway, Sweden and
the USA.
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ISS Paper
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