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Economic
Theory
? Springer-Verlag 2003
(e-mail: cpapa@lsu.edu)
Received: October 27, 2001; revised version: February 25, 2002
Summary. It is often asserted that the more substitutable capital and labor are in
the aggregate production the more rapidly an economy grows. Recently this has
been formally confirmed within the Solow model by Klump and de La Grandville
(2000). This paper demonstrates that there exists no such monotonie relationship
between factor substitutability and growth in the Diamond overlapping-generations
model. In particular, we prove that, if capital and labor are relatively substitutable,
a country with a greater elasticity of substitution exhibits lower per capita output
growth in transit and in steady state.
1 Introduction
The development of modern growth theory owes much to the use of Cobb-Douglas
aggregate production function. However, it is also true that the general conclusions
of growth theory have been somewhat limited because of the unitary elasticity of
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156
investigate the effect on growth of the elasticity of substitution itself.1 Among his
findings is the fact that an increase in the elasticity of substitution not only increases
the curvature of the isoquant for a given level of output but also causes the isoquant
to shift inwards by making labor and capital more efficient. The latter effect has
the implication that despite initially having identical endowments of capital and
labor an economy with a higher elasticity of substitution begins its growth path at
a greater level of per-capita income than an economy with a smaller elasticity of
substitution.
in steady state. The objective of this paper is to extend this line of research within
lowers output and income per worker both in transition and in steady state. Our
result obtains because unlike in the Solow model, agents save a fraction of wage
exceeds one by enough higher elasticities imply lower growth and a lower steady
state capital stock.
the nonhomothetic CES derived by Sato (1975) and Shimomura (1999). This paper considers only the
former.
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157
Leontief
Cobb-Douglas
Perfect Substitutes
B
Figure
1.
Illustration
parameters
Uh)
into
the
A{a)
of
de
La
initial
eq
{5{a)k
for
by
line
BAC).
h+i
1 + n/*(**), =
where 7 is the exogenous saving rate out of output per worker, n is the exogenous
labor growth rate and where for simplicity capital is assumed to depreciate fully at
the end of each period.3
Despite the translation into the discrete-time setting, the KG result is evident; a
country having a greater value of a clearly has more capital per worker in transition
2 For extensive discussions on the normalized CES function see Klump and Preissler (2000, pp. 44
45).
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158
10
15
20
25
k(t)
Figure 2. Transitional paths of per capita capital for different a in the Solow model
and in steady state than a country endowed with a lower value of a. It follows that,
the greater the value of <j, the greater is income per worker both in transition and
in steady state.
competitive wage
of their lives. All savings are invested as capital to be used in the next period's
production; that is
X I ft= J.
kt+i = j^-w^kt)
-^-[1I -IL
?(^[?Mn/^fct)]1-' = M**), (2)
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159
k-h(7(k) = 0. (3)
If a > 1 (p e [0,1]), there always exists one unique positive steady state for k*,
since limhfa(k)
and lim hfa(k) ? 0. If a < 1 (p < 0), there are either zero
k??0> 1 k?>-+oo
h > fc,
(A) the higher the elasticity of substitution the lower the level of capital and output
Theorem 2 Suppose that a stable steady state exists in the one-sector Diamond
model with a normalized CES aggregate production function. Ifp> j?, the higher
the elasticity of substitution, the lower the steady-state level of capital and output
per worker.
K K 777
Note that p > f implies a > ^K> 1.
and to oo, the level of capital per worker falls both in transition and in ste
Why do our results contrast with those from the Solow model? The Di
model differs from the Solow model in one important respect: individual
by the representative agent in period t +j,j = 0,1. The representative agent maximizes U(c], c|+1 )
c2
subject to the constraint, c\ + R t+1 < wa,t, where wa,t and Ra,t+i represent the returns to labor
and capital, respectively. Maximization yields the transition equation, kt+\ = j?^wa(kt), which is
5 When there are two positive steady states, the larger of the two is locally asymptotically stable.
In this case, the trivial steady state (k* = 0) is also locally asymptotically stable. The domains of
attraction of the two stable steady states are distinct, and depend on whether the initial capital stock lies
above or below the locally unstable equilibrium. The conditions for and characterization of multiple
equilibria in the Diamond (1965) model (see e.g. Azariadis, 1993, pp. 198-204) remain unaffected by
the normalization.
6 Duffy and Papageorgiou (2000) use panel data techniques to estimate a cross-country aggregate
CES production specification. For their entire sample of 82 countries they find that the elasticity of
substitution between capital and (skilled) labor is significantly greater than unity.
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160
10
15
20
25
k(t)
Figure 3. Transitional paths of per capita capital in the Diamond model when p > ^
10
15
20
25
k(t)
Figure 4. Transitional paths of per capita capital in the Diamond model when P < ?
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161
come out of wage income in the former and out of total (wage and rental) income
in the latter. A useful way to demonstrate the difference is offered by Galor (1996).
Suppose that the fraction saved out of wage income, 7 , differs from the fraction
7"
kt+i
Since Y r
(4)
[fa(kt) - fUkt)kt] + -^f'a(h)
model, the dynamical path in the former contains the additional term, j^_ fG(kt)ku
that represents savings out of rental income.
Now, to get an intuition of our result differentiate equation (4) with respect to
a to obtain:
dkt+i
do
1+n
(1-**) do
1+n
dnt
fAh) do
(5)
where irt = af /kV is the rental income share. The first (second) expression on
the right shows how wage (rental) income is affected by a change in o. As shown
by KG, a higher elasticity of substitution implies an increase in income and rental
shares. That makes the effect on rental income clearly positive since capital benefits
from an increase in both output and rental share. But the effect on wage income
is ambiguous as labor share falls. In the Solow model where total savings matter,
the second expression in (6) is absent. Within the first expression, (1 - nt) da
measures how wage income increases when total output is increased, and this
magnitude clearly depends on labor share, (1 ? 7^). The second term, -fa(h)^
represents a fall in labor share triggered by an increase in substitutability of capital
for labor. If labor share (1 - irt) is sufficiently small, the second term dominates
the first, and our result follows. Indeed p > j- implies (1 ? 7f) < 1/2 which is
4 Conclusion
In this paper we have shown that the positive relationship between the elasticity
of substitution and economic growth discovered recently by KG (2000) does not
8 Since fr = -r-^ implies that ? = ^^ ; substitution into p > ~ yields ? > j^-. Given that
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162
carry over to the Diamond model. Thus, whether the elasticity of substitution has a
positive or negative effect on economic growth depends on our view of the world,
that is, on the particular framework (Solow vs. Diamond) we believe to be a better
representation of the world.
Appendix
Proof of Theorem 1. Rewrite equation (2) as
fct+i = 1 7+ [fa(kt)-ktfa(kt)
n
7
[/or(fet) (1 - 7Tt)] ,
dk;t+i
da
' ^^dfa(kt)
fu^t
(1
-7Tt)??-f*(kt)^r
da
da
1+n
^^
7Ttln^ + (l-7rt)ln^
Substituting^^ = -??yt
1?TT
= 4,(1
7rt)7Tt Ink& from Klump and de La Grandville (2000, pp. 284-285) yields
dkt+i
da
= 7 f (i - n)yt
1 + n \ T2p2
a
7Tt In ? + (1 - 7Tt) In
7Tt 1 - 7Tt
+?<1-..),, In*}
7 (1 - ttQ^
1 + n cr2p2
. 7f 1 ? ft o fct
(A.1)
7Tt In-h (17Ti
- 17Tt)
m-\- p 7Tt
In T
- 7Tt fc
where 7r =fc-fm From
7T
1 - 7f
1-TTt
we obtain^ ? fc
? V-^.
this into the last term in the brackets of
7TtSubstituting
1?7T ?
equation (Al) gives
dfct+i
da
7 (1 - nt)yt
2r?
1 + n a2p
TT
, VI 1 - TT / TT 1 -TTt
tt* fl"t
In-h (1 - 7Tt)
In-pnt In ?
7Tt 1 - VT? V TTt 1 - TT
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163
1 Kt
In
? <7Tt
?? 17Tt
=> ?7Tt
In ? > 1 ??
7T
7T
(A.2)
! 7T , 7Vt
1Tt 7T
^-lni^>l-i^
(A.3)
1 ? 7T
- ? 1 ? 7f
7T
l-7Tt
1 ? 7Tt ' 1 ? 7T '
In 7T 1 - 7Tt \ K_ l-7Tt
-In 7f_1 ~ V
(A.4)
7Tt 1 -7T
7Tt 1 - 7T
7Tt 1 -7f
In- > 1
7T 1 - 7T?
> 1
7Tt 1 -7T
Assume that cr > 1 (p E (0,1]) and kt > k. Multiplying both sides of the final
inequalities in (A2), (A3) and (A4) by 7r?, (1 ? irt) and pnu respectively, yields the
following inequality:
1 -7rA , A 7f 1 ? 7Tt>
>..(i-?)+a-*>(i-^)+P*(i
TTt ,_ v 1 - 7Tt
? K - Tri +
= ? 7T
(7T - 7Tt) +
l-7f
7Tt 1 -7T
(TTt - 71")
1-TTt
+ P _ TTt
l-7f
1 ? 7f 7f
7Tf - 7T
l-7f
7Tt(l -7f)
1 - 7Tt + p
7T
7Tt -7f
1 ? 7T
7Tt - 7f
1 ? 7T
1 + p
/fc + m
kfjfc1-"
k J k%kl-P + m
tfk1-?
(A.5)
where the last equality comes from the fact that 7r? = fcP^i-P+yfl- The function
0(fct) - 1+p
is monotonically decreasing with the horizontal asymptote at p - ^. Therefore, if
P > y, </>(&t) > 0. Then since ^p > 0 for kt > k, the last expression in (A5) is
<9<7 ^t+l do
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164
We have just shown that ^i < 0 for p > f and kt > fc. Given that ?f^- is
positive for all fci+i > 0, then Vq+x < 0. This completes the proof of Theorem 1 A.
To prove Theorem IB, define the growth rate of capital per worker by g^ =
-^ ? 1 and the growth rate of output per worker by gy ? ^^ ? 1. Differentiation
yields
dgk 1 dkt+i m -
-?
?-??
oa =kt
oa <o,
k Vp> T, andfci > fc,
yt oa fc
^ oa
= l%?l<0,Vp>f,andfct>fc.
This completes the proof.
dk* 1^?)' mu
da 1-?W (B1)
where ?)' = [(1 - v*)d? - f*%] and (w*k)' = [(1 - tt*)(/*)' - /*f^
By Theorem 1, (w*) < 0 for p > ^ and fc* > ku so the numerator is negative.
To show that the denominator is positive, solve the definition of tt* = ^?k? and
the steady-state polynomial equation fc* = j^- [f* _ (/*)'fc*] simultaneously for
(1 + n, r
7 1 ? tt*
7 1 - TT*
(/')' = ^^tA(B3)
Substituting equations (B2), (B3) and ?j? - p**a--0 int0 (w*y gives
(lui.) =(1? TT j
da dk* da '
Given that |j? > 0 for all fc* > 0, and ^ < 0 for p > f and fct > fc as shown
above, -jfc < 0 as desired.
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Elasticity of substitution and growth: normalized CES in the Diamond model 165
References
Arrow, K.J., Chenery, H.B., Minhas, B.S., Solow, R.M.: Capital-labor substitution and economic
efficiency. Review of Economics and Statistics 43, 225-250 (1961)
Azariadis, C: Intertemporal macroeconomics. Cambridge, MA: Blackwell 1993
Diamond, P. A.: National debt in a neoclassical growth model. American Economic Review 55, 1126?
1150(1965)
Duffy, J., Papageorgiou, C: A cross-country empirical investigation of the aggregate production function
Klump, R., de La Grandville, O.: Economic growth and elasticity of substitution: Two theorems and
some suggestions. American Economic Review 90, 282-291 (2000)
Klump, R., Preissler, H.: CES production functions and economic growth. Scandinavian Journal of
Sato, R.: The most general class of CES functions. Econometrica 43, 999-1003 (1975)
Shimomura, K.: A simple proof of the Sato proposition on non-homothetic CES functions. Economic
65-94(1956)
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