2/8/2017 MIRS Capitol Capsule, Friday, September 9, 2016

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BreakingNews! QUOTEOFTHEDAY
GovBudgetCallsForLowerInvestmentRate,$48.8MForFlint,$20MForInfrastructure12:12p.m.
"ThisissillyToddseems
bored.Heshouldgetahobby,
ormaybeanewgirlfriend."
GideonD'ASSANDRO,presssecretaryfor
HouseSpeakerKevinCOTTER(RMt.
Pleasant),brushingoffnewsonformerRep.
ToddCOURSER'ssuitagainstCotterand
severalothershebelieveswereinvolvedin
InsideToday'sMIRS Friday,September9,2016 aconspiracytogethimoutofoffice.

TeamSnyderNotStickingPriceTagOnFlintWaterCrisis PRESSRELEASES
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SuitSeeksToHaltBallotPrintingToCountMILegalizePetitions Thursday,Feb.9
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PublicSafetyOfficerSurvivorBenefitsBillClearsHouse Governor'sK12Budget
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FormerSnyderAideRustemAppointedToStateBoard MichiganMunicipalLeague
statementonGov.Snyder's
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proposedbudget
OnThisDayInMichiganHistory
RepDurhalIIIontheGovernor's
HouseCommitteeSchedule ExecuiteBudgetRecommendation
SenateCommitteeSchedule
Sen.Schuitmakerwelcomesthe
Rev.BrianVostostateCapitol
MIRSCapitolCapsuleHeadlines
Rep.LasinskiIntroducesBillto
ExpandBroadbandAccess
TeamSnyderNotStickingPriceTagOnFlintWaterCrisis
Hammoud,WittenbergIntroduce
Foranadministrationthathasbuiltitsreputationonfiscalacumen,thisisonespotwhereGov.Rick ConsumerProtectionLegislation
SNYDERthepoliticianwhoemblazonshisaccountingcertificationoneverybudgetrecommendation
isnumbershy. SnellerIntroducesResolution
RecognizingWhiteShirtDay

Asthestategovernmentapproachesayearsinceitfirstofficiallyrecognizedthepublichealthand ReadMore
economicemergencyknownastheFlintwatercrisis,thestatehasnotformedalongtermprojection,or
evenavagueestimate,onwhatthepriceofaddressingtheproblemwillbebeyondthenexttwoyears. STATEWIDEHEADLINES

AftercallstorejectBetsyDeVos,
Administrationofficials,includingStateBudgetOfficedirectorJohnROBERTS,explainit's"veryhard,if AnnArborschoolsreactsto
notimpossible"topredicttheultimatecostsofthecrisis. confirmation
BetsyDeVosconfirmedas
"Thebiggestvariablesaregoingtobeassistanceonthehealthside,assistanceontheeducationside educationsecretarywithtie
andthentheinfrastructure.Allofthemareunknownvariablesbecauseit'stoosoon,"Robertssaid."We breakingvotefromVPMikePence
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can'tcomeatagoodguess." CongressmanFredUptonurgedto
denounceTrumpstrategistSteven
ButexpertsindisasterresponseandpublichealthtoldMIRSalongtermprojectionofcostsisan Bannon
importanttoolinrespondingtoanydisaster. DeVosOK'd,butfoesvowtofight
on

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2/8/2017 MIRS Capitol Capsule, Friday, September 9, 2016
Inthecaseofleadexposure,afleetingtoxin,whichmanifestsitselfonlylaterinachild'sdevelopment, Dempursuesurbanissues
expertsarguealongtermoutlookisnecessarytoeffectivelymitigatethedamagetoFlint'schildrenand approachunderSnyder
potentiallyreducetheoverallresponsecost. Autoworkers'bigchecksgoodnews
forretailers
Independentexperts,localgovernmentsandotherpoliticianshavehadnoqualmscraftingestimatesof DeVosconfirmation:Some
thecrisis'longtermcosts. 'disappointed,'otherspraise'new
chapter'
AndonJan.12,2016,theadministrationdidn'teither.Itwasonthatdatethestate'sEmergency BetsyDeVosconfirmedas
OperationsCenter(EOC)askedsevenstatedepartmentsforitsestimatesoncost. SecretaryofEducationinhistoric
vote

Atthattime,GeneseeCountyhadformallyaskedthestatetohaveastateofemergencydeclaredin GMhopesNAFTAchangesonly
Flint.SnyderwasaweekawayfromthemostcloselyscrutinizedStateoftheStateAddresssincehetook partof'comprehensivetaxreform'
office.Externalpressuretoaskforfederalhelphadbeenmounting. Michiganralliesplannedtosupport
defundingPlannedParenthood
EvenbeforethestateleveldeclarationhadbeenformalizedandtheEOCactivated,officialsfromthe ReadMore
MichiganStatePolice(MSP)hadbeguntheprocessofformulatingafederaldeclarationrequest.

Emailsinthethicketofdocumentsreleasedbythestateonlineshowthat"coordinatedamage
HouseJournalSummaries
assessment"hadbeenafocusoftheEOCatitsactivationonJan.5.Adaybefore,JoelPEPPER,a
hazardmitigationofficerinMSP,wroteinemails,"Thedamagemustbedefinedandquantifiable." SenateJournalSummaries

Thestatehadoptedtorequestanexpediteddeclarationrequest,whichwaivestheneedtoconducta
preliminarydamageassessmentwithfederalofficials,althoughliaisonsfromtheFederalEmergency
ManagementAdministrationhadbeenonscene.

SoonJan.12at11a.m.,twodaysbeforeSnyderwouldformallysubmittherequesttoFEMA,Tom
WEBER,MSP'splanningunitmanagerintheEOC,reachedouttoatleastsevendifferentstate
departments,askingtheirhelp.

"WearepreparingthedraftoftheletterfromtheGovernortothePresidenttorequestassistance.Weare
attemptingtosendthisasquicklyashumanlypossible,"hesaidintheemail."Whatweneedfromeach
agencyisacompletebutasbriefaspossiblesummaryoftheimpactstothepeopleandeconomyofFlint
resultingfromthewatercrisis,preparedbythebestqualifiedpersoninyouragency."

Weberwasseeking"quantificationofpast,current,andfutureorpotentialfutureimpacts"inareasof
health,theeconomy,insurance,theenvironmentandinfrastructure.Andtheclockwasticking.

"TheGovernor/Captainhaverequestedadraftletterbytonight,so,ANYTHINGyoucoulddotoprovide
backgroundinfo/incidentsummariesby4pmisvital,"hewroteinafollowup.

Fivehourslater,LynneFELDPAUSCHfromtheMichiganDepartmentofTalentandEconomic
Developmentrespondedwitha"veryroughestimate."

Theforecastwasgrim.Theassessmentpredictedtheimpactsofthecrisis"willcreateaneconomic
downturninFlint."

Thestatedidnotknow(evennowitisnearlyimpossibletoknow)whatpercentageofchildrenhadbeen
impacted.ButusinganalgorithmdevelopedbytheUniversityofMichigan,theydeterminedifjust6
percentof05yearoldswereimpactedbyleadexposure,"thelifetimeearningslossrangesfrom$33
Milliontoover$89Million."

"Intermsofpersonalincomelosses,athreetofourpercentlossinnominalpersonalincomeintheCityof
Flintseemsreasonable,whichwouldequalanegativeimpactof$85millionto$115millionperyearin
losteconomicactivity,"shewroteintheemail.

Andindraftsofthedeclarationrequestletterthoseestimatesappear.Asdonumbersfromthe
DepartmentofHealthandHumanServices(DHHS).
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"MDHHSHhasgeneratedthepotentialexpectedimpactofthisemergencyonfuturehealthcosts.They
includeasmuchas$12,000,000insecondarypreventioneducation$1,575,000insecondaryand
tertiarypreventionnutritionDirectmedicalhealthcostsareestimatedat$18,280,849with$120,875,000
insecondaryandtertiarymedicalexpenses,"adraftoftheletterwrote.

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Duetothedisjointedandnonchronologicalformatoftheemaildumpsdocumentsandemailsrepeat
hundredsoftimesthroughoutmultithousandpagePDFsMIRScouldnotdetermineatwhatstageof
thedrafttheestimateswereaddedandhowlongtheyremained.

Regardless,whentheletterwassentoffbytheGovernor'sofficelessthan48hourslater,allspecifics
fromtherequesthadbeenstripped.Thestate'sownestimatesandreferencestoaneconomicdownturn
hadbeenreplacedbymoreinnocuousdescriptions.

TheparagraphfromDHHShadbecomeopaque.

"Whiletheextentoftheimpactisunknown,aworstcasescenarioimpactofthisemergencycouldresult
insignificantfuturehealthcoststotheimpactedpopulation,fordirectmedicalneeds,secondaryand
tertiarymedicalexpenses,andsecondaryandtertiaryprevention(educationandnutrition),"thefinaldraft
oftherequestread.

TheonlycostestimatesthatsurvivedtothefinaldraftwerefromtheGeneseeCountyDepartmentof
Equalization,estimatingthecostofreplacingFlint'swaterinfrastructureat$767.4million.

Fortheadministration'spart,spokespersonAnnaHEATONsaidinastatementtheywerefollowing
federaladvice.

"Inpreparingthedraftrequestforapresidentialdeclaration,MSPworkedincoordinationwithFEMA
abouttheformatoftherequestandthekindofinformationthatshouldbeprovided.Thestatefollowed
FEMA'sguidanceinpreparingtherequest,"shesaid.

TonyKATARSKY,theMSPdivision'sassistantdirector,saidtheinfrastructureassessmentalonewas
enoughtopassFEMA'sthresholdof$13.9millioninstatewideimpact,whichwasneededtomakea
request.

"Ourdamageassessmentessentiallyisbasedonareviewofthelocalnumbers,wetaketheirinformation
andattempttovalidatethat,"hesaid."Sowhenyoulookatthereviewonourpart,itbecomesinthis
caseafairlysimpleprocess."

Thescaleofthedamage,hesaid,alsomadeajointdamageassessmentneedless.

"Becauseofthetypeofdamagewewouldbesofarbeyond$13.9millionthatadamageassessment...
bringingFEMApersonnelonthegroundtoreviewthatisnotgoingtoaccomplishalot,"hesaid.

Katarskydidn'tknowwhentheothernumbershadbeenremoved,butemailsindicatetheeditwasmade
bytheGovernor'soffice,consideringMSPrequestedthequantificationssixdaysafterreceivingthe
GeneseeCountyassessmentonJan.6.

Theestimatesoriginallyincludedintheletterhavenotbeenmadepublic,outsideofthedocument
dumps,andhavenotbeenreferencedsince.Thestatehasyettolookintolongtermcosts,said
DepartmentofTechnology,ManagementandBudgetspokespersonKurtWEISSbecause"wewere
focusedontheneartermneeds."

"NowaswebegintobuildtheFY2018budget,wewillbegatheringinformationandworkingwiththe
agenciestodeterminethefundingneedsforFiscalYear2018,"hesaidinastatement."Whilewedon't
haveanylongtermprojections,weareawarethattherewillbelongtermcostsandwewillbeworking
withtheagenciestobuildthebudgettomeettheneed."

Intheensuingsilencefromstategovernment,othershavesteppedinwiththeirownestimates.

AnundateddocumentfromtheCityofFlintpeggedthefundingneedsatjustnorthof$1.2billion,with
$342millionofitgoingtohealthbasedresources.

U.S.Rep.DanKILDEE's(DFlint)staffevenproducedtheirownassessmentofFlint'sneedsthroughout
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thenext10years,cominginatabout$1.5billion.

Alongwithinfrastructurereplacement,hisestimatealsoincludestheestablishmentofuniversalearly
childhoodeducation,afterschoolprogramming,schoolnurses,behavioraltreatment,summeryouth
employment,alongwith"somemodestsupporttohelprebuildtheeconomiclossesthecommunitywould

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2/8/2017 MIRS Capitol Capsule, Friday, September 9, 2016
continuetosufferasaresultofthereputation."

"Itwasbasicallysaying'look,herearethethingsoverthenextdecadethatwouldmakeitrightoverthe
nextdecadewithoutanybiasnecessarilyastowhowouldpayforit,'"hesaid,notinghislegislation,
currentlystalledinCongress,wouldsplitcostsevenlybetweenthestateandfederalgovernment.

KildeehasbeenfiercelycriticalofSnyder'shandlingofthecrisis.

Hesaidthestateistreatingthecrisis"mainlyapublicrelationsproblem"andare"operatingonthe
assumptionthatinayearorsopeoplearen'tgoingtobetalkingaboutthisanymore."

"Ican'treadtheirminds,butfromthewayIhaveseenthemoperate,Isuspecttheymayhavebeen
concernedaboutquantifyingthedamagethattheyhavetoacknowledgethattheythemselvescaused,
andiftheyquantifyit,thentheyhavetoacceptresponsibility,"hesaid."They'retryingtocreatea
narrativethatexcusesthemfromprovidinganyadditionalresources,andfrankly,thishasbeenmyworry
fromthebeginning...That'sthereality,thatthefullimpactofthecrisiswillgoonlongafterthis
administrationisoutofoffice."

Foratime,even,therewasrumorofacalculationcirculatingamongstateofficesthatputthecostat$2
billion,butRobertswhileacknowledginghewasawareofthefiguredismisseditasasortof"wish
list"ofgovernmentalassistance.

"It'smoreabouteconomicvitalityandthefutureofFlint,whichIthinkisagreatprogramforpeopleto
proposeandbethinkingabout,butIthinkthat'sdifferentthanhavingtheresponsetowhat'sgoingonin
Flintnow,"Robertssaid.

Kildeeclaimed"growingconsensusthatwhatthestatehasprovidedsofarfallswayshortofwhatis
goingtoberequired."

Withoutanauthoritativeestimationofdamages,though,"whatisgoingtoberequired"effectivelyremains
asubjectivepoint.

RashidCHOTANIistheseniorscientistatIEM,aglobalconsultingfirmspecializinginassisting
governmentswithdisasterresponse.Chotani,whoworkedoncoordinatingtheresponsetothe2004
IndianOceantsunami,saidadamageassessmentisintegraltoanysuccessfulresponse.

"Ifyoudonotputaveryseriouseffortondoingdamageassessment,youcannotdefinetheproblem
properly,"hesaid."Thenyou'vegottodotheneedsassessmenttodefinewhattheproblemisandhow
youcandealwiththepeople.Inthiscase,howtoprovidethefilters,howtoprovidethewater,etcetera,
sothepeoplearecomfortableintheirlives.Butyou'vegottoassessacrosseverythingelseandtakea
lookatthetotaldamage."

Thechangestothedeclarationrequest,andthelackofanyassessmentnowtakingplace,underscorea
patternintheSnyderadministrationofavoidingplacingspecificnumbersontheextentofthedamagein
Flint,evenasmoredatahasbeenmadeavailable.

Andthatmaybeacostlymistakeinthestate'sresponsetothecrisis.

Chotanisaidremainingmindfuloffactorslikerevenuelosstothecityiscrucialtocommunicatingthe
seriousnessoftheleadexposure,andwasshockedthosefigureshadbeenexcludedfromtheFEMA
declarationrequest.

"Iwouldthinkthatthatwouldbeaverystrongmessagetothe(Obamaadministration)thatwe'vegotto
takecareofthisproblemveryquickly,otherwisewiththelostrevenuewe'regoingtohavetopayalot
moretotakecareofthisproblem,"hesaid.

It'stheargumentbeingmadeonthegroundinFlintbyoneoftheinstrumentalfiguresinbringingthe
crisistolight,MonaHANNAATTISHA.
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HannaAttisha,adoctorwhoisnowleadingMichiganStateUniversity'sPediatricPublicHealthInitiative
inthecity,saidtheresponsetothecrisismustbecommunitywide.

"It'salmostimpossibletoexactlyquantifywhowasexposedandwhowasn'texposed,whichiswhythe

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2/8/2017 MIRS Capitol Capsule, Friday, September 9, 2016
stateandthefederalgovernmentisassumingeveryonewhodrankthewaterwasexposed,"Hanna
Attishasaid."Wecan'twaittoseewhohasconsequences,becauseifyouwaittoseewhohas
consequences,thenyou'vewemissedtheopportunitytopreventsomeofthoseconsequences."

ThoseconsequenceswerequantifiedinthemostrecentissueofHealthAffairs,anacademicjournal.Ina
lettertotheeditor,PeterMUENNIG,aColumbiaUniversityprofessorofhealthpolicyandmanagement
madeasimplecalculationofthecrisis'socialcost,placingthefigureat$395millionabout$50,000a
child.

"BasicallytheideaisleadinfluencesIQaschildren,andtherelationshipbetweenIQandhighschool
graduationratesisknown,soIjustbasicallyextrapolatedfromhighschoolgraduationtoallthoseother
socialservicecoststhatwe'vegot,"MuennigsaidinaninterviewwithMIRS.

Hisinspirationforcalculatingthesocialcost,hesaid,wastoprovideabetterperspectiveonwhatisat
stakeinrespondingtothecrisis.ThetotalwaspickedupbynewswiresthroughouttheUnitedStates.

"Themediawasjustcoveringleadexposureasthoughitwasjustsomesortofmysteriousentity,without
reallyknowingwhatthoseexposuresmeant,andonewayofunderstandingthoseexposuresmeanis
throughthesocialcosts,"hesaid."Inthisparticularcase,Ithinktherewasalotofeffortandmoneythat
wentintotryingtoaddresstheexistingpoisoningwithoutalotofmoneyandeffortgoingintothinking
aboutthelargersortofcontextofwhatthismeans."

HannaAttisha'sstudyofinfantbloodleadlevelssolidifiedthecrisisasundeniablyreal.Nowthe
pediatricianhasanambitiousvisiontohelpthecityrecover.

"We'retryingtobeveryproactiveandpreventativesothatwedonothavetopaythosefuturecosts,"she
said."Forexample,ifweinvestinearlyeducation,universitypreschool,qualitychildcare,whichweknow
hasanevidencebaseofmitigatingdevelopmentalproblems,soifweinvestinthatwe'renotgoingto
havetopayforsay,specialeducationandbehavioralhealthcosts."

HannaAttishaistryingtosecurefundingtofoundaCenterofExcellenceonLeadExposureinFlint,to
serveasa"groundzero"wheresheandherteamcan"flipthestoryandintervene"inthelivesofFlint
children.HeraspirationistomakeFlintamodelforhowtorespondtopopulationwidepoisoning,
openinganunprecedentedchapterinAmericanpublichealth.

"Flintisreallyjustthetipoftheiceberg,butifwecanproveourlessonslearned,especiallythemitigating
lessonsbecausereallyethicallywehavetodothisaswell,becausethesekidsdidnothingwrong,"
HannaAttishasaid."Wehavetodowhateverwecantoreversethisbutwecanmitigateit,andthenwe
reallycanbeamodelforthenation."

Butthestatehastoshiftitsapproachtomakethispossible.

"Weareverygratefultothestatefundingthathascomein,butallofthatistimelimited,"shesaid.
"Everythinghasaoneyearbudgetcycle.Thisisnotaproblemthatcanbemanagedinoneortwoyear
budgetcycles.Thisissomethingthatwehavetocommittoreallyfordecades,sothatwedon'thaveto
paythosecosts."

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2/8/2017 MIRS Capitol Capsule, Friday, September 9, 2016

McLarenDisputesLinkToLegionnaireCases
McLarenFlintofficialshavebeen"aggressiveinmonitoringandtreating"thewaterithaspurchasedfrom
thecityofFlintsincethe2014switchtoFlintRiverwateranddeniesthestate'ssuggestedlinkon
ThursdaybetweenGeneseeCounty'sLegionnaireDiseasecasesandthehospital,aspokespersontold
MIRS.

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SuitSeeksToHaltBallotPrintingToCountMILegalizePetitions
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DonaldTRUMP'svisitlastweektoaDetroitAfricanAmericanchurchsplitthecity'sBlackcommunity,but
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A62yearoldwomansuingWalMartforagediscriminationundertheElliottLarsenCivilRightsActin
federalcourthadhercasethrownouttoday.

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StrongEconomic,NaturalTailwindsPropelBoatingIndustryIn'16
Michiganboatingboomedthissummeraswaterlevelsreachednearrecordhighs,gaspricesstayedlow
andthestate'sweatherinvitedpeopletocruise,accordingtoboatingindustryexperts.

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BitsAndTidbits
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StateEmployee5KRaises$11KForFlint,SpecialOlympics
The3rdannual5kilometerracearoundtheCapitolonThursdayraised$11,000forapairofcharitiesa
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https://mirsnews.com/capsule.php?gid=4916#47837 6/7
2/8/2017 MIRS Capitol Capsule, Friday, September 9, 2016

OnThisDayInMichiganHistory

OnSept.9,1930,AttorneyGeneralWilburBRUCKERwontheRepublicangubernatorialprimaryby
defeatingformerGov.AlexGROESBECKby4,161votes.FutureDetroitMayorEdwardJEFFRIESwas
alsoontheballot.Thevotewassoclose,Groesbeckfiledarecount,allegingvariousirregularities,but
wasnotsuccessful.

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ContactMIRS 18774828238 info@mirsnews.com Sendpressreleasestorelease@mirsnews.com Sendnewstipstokmelinn@mirsnews.com

MIRS:Michigan'soldestandmostcompreshensivenewslettercoveringtheactivitiesofMichiganstategovernment

Fromthelegislaturetothegovernor,fromthestatebureaucracytoMichigan'scourts,MIRSprovidesoursubscriberswithmorenews
andinsightthananyothersource. Copyright19962017MIRSInc.

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