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Physics 12A
6 December 2016
Effects of Light Shielding and Wavelength on Light Pollution
The objective of this experiment was to reduce the amount of light pollution in the
sky. The data from this experiment may allow astronomers to study the stars to study
them in closer, more convenient locations rather than travel to remote areas.
This experiment was conducted by projecting stars on the ceiling of a dark room.
The stars were then obstructed by a second light that emitted either long or short
wavelengths, and the number of unobstructed stars were recorded. Afterwards, a two
factor DOE was used to analyze the data from the two populations (light shielding and
light wavelength) to find if light pollution could be significantly reduced by using full,
downward shielding and long wavelength lights, shielding being the amount of outer
covering the light is surrounding by. No shielding, a plate-shaped shield, and a bowl-
shaped shield were used along with compact flourescent, incandescent, and high-pressure
sodium light bulbs. Although the data did show more visible stars with longer wavelength
lights (high pressure sodium), the difference between the populations of high and low
wavelength lights was not significant enough to conclude that long light wavelength
could reduce light pollution. However, after analyzing the data, light shielding was found
to significantly reduce light pollution. Overall, it may be said that if light shielding was
used more frequently in urban areas the amount of light pollution could be reduced.
Table of Contents
Introduction1
Review of Literature...3
Problem Statement.10
Experimental Design..11
Conclusion..21
Appendix A.23
Appendix B.24
Appendix C.25
Appendix D.26
Works Cited31
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Introduction
Light pollution has long been labeled as a major issue by the environmentalist
community, because it cuts off the visibility of the stars in the sky. In crowded and
bustling cities like Los Angeles, almost no stars are visible even in the dead of night, due
to the amount of artificial light coming from the city. Obviously, there are more stars in
This research is a study into how light pollutions effects may be reduced. The
solution is not as simple as not using lights during the night, because lights are obviously
necessary to be able to see at night. This experiment uses both the type of light shielding
fixture and the type of light bulb as variables. These two factors, while they may not be
the only major factors in the issue, are realistically changeable for both the purposes of an
experiment, and in the real world. The shielding is the amount of casing or outer shell
that blocks an amount of light from being projected upward. These usually range from
covering the back or top of the light to about half of the whole light. The light bulb itself
is a different factor. Different makes of light bulbs give off different kinds of light
This research will benefit both stargazers and astronomers who are affected by the
large amounts of artificial lights around urban areas. Cities such as Los Angeles or New
York would benefit most from changing their lighting policies, due to their apparent
starless skies. The reduced quantity of light pollution will also aid astronomers by making
less remote locations viable for observatories, whereas currently astronomers usually
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need to travel to mountains or deserts to observe the sky properly. Overall, reducing light
With the data obtained from this research, it is hoped that further experimentation
will be done on the subject of light pollution. At a certain point, there may be sufficient
evidence to place more shields or use less severe light bulbs, reducing the amount of light
in the atmosphere and giving more visibility to the stars in the sky. While it is not
expected that this issue will be eradicated, it certainly is possible for this paper to aid in
the efforts to lessen the severity of light pollution for everyone who is affected by it.
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Review of Literature
Many amateur astronomers may look up at the sky near urban areas and wonder
why some of the stars they have seen before seem to have disappeared. They know that a
star couldnt have just vanished without explanation, so why is it not where they have
seen it before? This is due to light pollution, an effect of artificial lighting that causes the
brightness of the sky to increase (Demonstrating Light Pollution & Shielding), therefore
concealing some of the dimmer stars behind the illuminated atmosphere. This can
become a huge problem for people who wish to study the stars. Many astronomers must
travel to deserts or mountains to escape light pollution and see the stars properly, which
can be a huge inconvenience. It may seem hopeless to ever see the stars from suburban
neighborhoods, but there are some things that can be done to reduce light pollution that
Light pollution is a term used to refer to the effect of copious amounts of artificial
light on the sky on the Earth. While light pollution is the easily identifiable and most
eventually toxic effect on the local wildlife. Light pollution is not cumulative, meaning
that it will not build up over time, and only debatably toxic, as will be discussed later in
the section. A better term for the phenomena would be something along the lines of light
aura or light persistence. Light pollution occurs when the artificial lights are used to
increase visibility or extend the workday also produce light into the sky (Light
Pollution). This most visibly creates an area of light visible from most cities and heavily
populated suburbs. This coating of light prevents people from naturally seeing the sky at
night from where they are on the ground. Many stars and constellations simply are not
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visible, since the glow outshines them, so to speak. They are not gone; simply
they must go out of their way to avoid civilization and city lights to study the stars
(Vandernoot). This research will attempt to reduce the amount of light pollution by
This will make it easier for amateur astronomers to see the night sky.
Light Pollution Affects How We See the Night Sky). This is known as the Bortle Scale,
unobstructed sky while 9 is almost entirely obstructed except for a few of the brightest
Figure 1 gives a direct visual aid to the description of light pollution. Giving
some context, a sky with a scale of 1 would be the most secluded of parks, campsites, and
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deserts, with most major celestial bodies visible, and the silver cloud of the Milky Way
visible. The Milky Way remains visible to an extent, up to scale 4 and 5 areas, which are
low-light suburbs and transitions into suburban areas from less-polluted areas. Most
people live in areas that land on 7, 8, and 9 on the scale, being located in urbanized areas
or cities, which tend to be most heavily populated, in addition to having taller buildings
Beginning to move past the basics, light pollution usually manifests in three
separate forms: sky glow, glare, and light intrusion (Mizon). Sky glow is caused by
wasted light shining upwards into the atmosphere from unshielded light fixtures. This
creates the aforementioned aura of light above most cities and populated areas in the
developed world.
Glare is a more safety-related aspect of light pollution, and is commonly the end
result of use of the standard-issue 500W home security lamp. Glare is a visual sensation
caused by uncontrolled lights that shine into peoples eyes and obstruct their vision
(Mizon). One cause of this is security lamps used in an effort to ward off criminals from
the brightly-lit property; however, there is little data present to suggest that this is true.
Road lights create a similar conundrum; despite being angled downwards towards the
streets, light can escape upwards since the sides of road lights are not covered. Due to a
lack of regulation, poorly aimed, designed, or shielded domestic, commercial and sports
Light intrusion is the spilling of light past the originating property (All About
Light Pollution). This occurs when porch or security lights bleed into neighboring
houses and gardens. This has been a point of contingency to environmentalists. One point
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used by environmentalists against these lights is that using thick bedroom curtains may
not solve the problem of one bothered by the lighting, making the intrusion an
Another one of the scientific concepts needed to understand this topic is light
shielding. Shielding refers to preventing light from projecting upwards, directly at the sky
(Shultz). Typical shielding fixtures cut off light from projecting above 90 degrees, or the
horizontal angle perpendicular to the ground. This action significantly reduces the
amount of light that can reflect off the atmosphere and cause light pollution because the
light will first have to reflect off some other object before indirectly heading up towards
the sky, which is certainly possible in places like large cities, but the reduction in excess
light is still present. Some shielding fixtures also shield light below the 90 degree
horizontal point to reduce the glare of the lights on drivers and homes, this will further
reduce light pollution by decreasing the range of angles the light can project downward
towards the ground ("Difference between Full Cutoff and Fully Shielded."). The concept
of light shielding will be used in this research by experimenting with different shielding
Figure 2 shows how different shielding fixtures on street lights project light in
various directions, and the effect that they would have on the amount of stars visible at
night. By properly shielding lights, the amount of light that can project directly upwards
Moving forward, most research efforts on light pollution have been ways to
reduce it or the effects of it by either reducing the amount of artificial lights used by
calculating the most efficient placement, or by designing shielding to block out light that
isnt directed towards the ground. The research outlined in this paper attempts to do the
same, while adding experimentation with other types of light into the data.
Light travels in waves, and the color of the light changes the length of those
waves, and how they behave on the environment. For example, on the light spectrum, red
light has the longest wavelengths, while violet light has the shortest wavelengths. Since
the human eye is more sensitive to blue and green wavelengths, lights that have more
emission lines between 450 - 570 nm will cause more sky glow than lights with fewer
emission lines between that range ("Lamp Spectrum and Light Pollution").
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As seen in the figure above, the light spectrum displays a rainbow-esque pattern.
The lights in the center of the spectrum are the brightest to the human eye, specifically
the 555 nm green light. Most common light bulbs give off yellow light, near the center
of that spectrum. The higher the light is on the spectrum, the longer its wavelength is.
One possible way to reduce the reach of light pollution is to use lights with lower
wavelengths when possible, due to our eyes being less sensitive to those wavelengths
("Spectral Sensitivity of the Human Eye"). Red lights are used in photography dark
rooms, military bunkers, submarines, and other environments where something must be
done in the dark. It provides enough light to see, while keeping the human eye adjusted
for the dark (Koberlein). The most obvious use is in a photography rooms. While
celluloid pictures develop, they cannot be exposed to bright lights, lest it ruin the image
by developing impossibly pale. Red lights have a long wavelength, and are very non-
One of the previous experiments on subjects similar to the one covered by this
paper is the work outlined in the National Optical Astronomy Observatorys setup
made and recorded using a paper cube planetarium, created by cutting a small hole on
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one side of a cardboard cube and pinholes on the opposite side to simulate stars. The
amount of stars visible during a trial was the data primarily collected once a second
light was placed near the projection point of the stars to simulate light pollution.
Makeshift shielding for the secondary light would recreate streetlights against the night
sky and create a variable for the data to be compared around. The setup of using a
planetarium cube to project stars on the ceiling will be used in this research, however
this research will also experiment with various wavelength lights in addition to shielding.
Coming back, the main factors the research aims to deal with are sky glow, glare,
and light intrusion. Ways to affect these phenomena include light shielding of various
shapes and sizes, and the placement of the light on the light spectrum. This research will
test these factors by using a planetarium box and measuring the number of visible
stars when they are obscured by lights of various wavelengths and shielding fixtures.
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Problem Statement
Problem:
How do varying light wavelengths and light shielding fixtures affect the amount
Hypothesis:
If a lamp is shined at stars on the ceiling, the lamp with the longest wavelength
light and most downward shielding will obscure the least amount of stars.
Data Measured:
using different light bulbs (incandescent, compact fluorescent, high pressure sodium) that
emit different wavelengths. The dependent variable was the amount of stars not obscured
by the lights. To analyze the data, a two factor DOE was run five times, with 7 trials per
run.
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Experimental Design
Materials:
Procedure:
1. Cover the floor with black paper to avoid light bouncing off of reflective tiles.
2. Place the smartphone LED in the paper cube to recreate stars. An iPod Touch 5 was
used as the smartphone LED in this experiment.
3. Place the planetarium cube with stars facing up. Place the other light for the trial on
the whiteboard 1 meter away.
4. Plug one of the bulbs into the outlet and hold it near the floor covered by the black
paper. The HPS bulb requires a ballast.
5. Test to see how many stars are visible out of the total when in the secondary lights
presence.
7. Repeat for each bulb used and for each level of shielding.
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Diagrams:
Figure 4. Materials.
Figure 4 shows all materials used in the experiment. The constructed shields and
planetarium box can be seen here, as well as all lightbulbs, sockets, and other materials
used during data collection. The high pressure sodium light bulb would not work in
standard sockets and required a special outlet with a ballast to work properly.
The experiment was performed in a locker room, where there is no light when
closed off. The black paper was spread across the floor to cut down on light reflection off
the tiles. The planetarium cube was placed on the floor, with a smartphone flashlight to
provide stars. A meter away, another light bulb was held near the floor to simulate light
Table 1
Factors in the Experiment
Light Shielding Light Bulb
- Control + - Control +
None Plate Bowl CFL Incandescent High-Sodium
Table 1, shown above, displays the factors that the experiment focused on. The
first variable is the level of shielding around the light, or the amount of the light that the
shield covers, and the second variable is the kind of light bulb that is being used during
the test.
Table 2
Experimental Data
Run 1 Run 2 Run 3
Order Runs Result Order Runs Result Order Runs Result
1 Stand 13 1 Stand 15 1 Stand 14
3 ++ 19 2 ++ 20 3 ++ 19
2 - - 0 3 - - 2 6 - - 6
4 Stand 13 4 Stand 13 4 Stand 12
5 +- 18 6 +- 19 5 +- 20
6 - + 6 5 - + 5 2 - + 7
7 Stand 13 7 Stand 12 7 Stand 15
Run 4 Run 5
Order Runs Result Order Runs Result
1 Stand 14 1 Stand 14
5 ++ 20 2 ++ 20
2 - - 1 5 - - 5
4 Stand 15 4 Stand 15
3 +- 17 3 +- 20
6 - + 7 6 - + 7
7 Stand 15 7 Stand 14
Table 2 is the data obtained over the course of trials. The test used is a two-factor
DOE. The data seemed to show that that larger shields cover up more light. The CFL
produced the least amount of light, while the high-sodium light far outshined the other
Table 3
Experimental Observations
DOE Trial Observation
1 Some stars appeared on the wall. Bulbs got dangerously hot
2 The CFL blinked and hummed when attached to the dimmer
1 3 The sodium light gradually got brighter.
5 The CFL blinked and hummed when attached to the dimmer
6 The sodium light gradually got brighter.
2 The sodium light gradually got brighter.
3 The CFL blinked and hummed when attached to the dimmer
2
5 The sodium light gradually got brighter.
6 The CFL blinked and hummed when attached to the dimmer
2 The sodium light gradually got brighter.
3 The sodium light gradually got brighter.
3
5 The CFL blinked and hummed when attached to the dimmer
6 The CFL blinked and hummed when attached to the dimmer
2 CFL blinked and hummed.
3 CFL blinked and hummed.
4
5 The sodium light gradually got brighter.
6 The sodium light gradually got brighter.
2 The sodium light gradually got brighter.
3 The CFL blinked and hummed when attached to the dimmer
5
5 The CFL blinked and hummed when attached to the dimmer
6 The sodium light gradually got brighter.
Table 3 shows the observations recorded after each trial. Any unlisted trials went
as expected without abnormalities. No singular trial in any DOE stood out in any
particular fashion; any observations that seemed unusual in the first run then consistently
occurred across every test with the same factors, an example being the CFL light, which
Figure 6 shows an example of one of the standard trials. The stars needed to be
circled due to the camera being unable to pick up the light, despite being clearly visible
during the trials. Figure 5 is heavily edited to make the image visible since the picture
The experiment below used tests randomized through a seed number generator on
subterranean locker room, so no outside light would affect the data. Every test was run in
the same place in the locker room each testing day with the light being the same distance
This experiment was conducted to determine the effect that light shielding and
varying types of light bulbs can have on the amount of light pollution in the sky. It was
hypothesized that downward shields and light bulbs with long wavelengths would reduce
the number of visible stars and reduce light pollution. The dependent variable in this
experiment was the number of visible stars on the ceiling, while the two independent
variables were the type of shield and the type of light bulb. Five two-factor design of
experiments was used to analyze the data. This design was an appropriate choice because
two different independent factors were tested against each other: light shielding and the
Table 4
DOE Trial Results and Averages
First Second Third Fourth Fifth
Trial Average
DOE DOE DOE DOE DOE
+,+ 19 20 19 20 20 19.6
-,- 0 2 6 1 5 2.8
+,- 18 19 20 17 20 18.8
-,+ 6 5 7 7 7 6.4
Average 11.9
Table 4 shows the average number of stars for the high-high, low-low, high-low,
and low-high trials. Each individual average was calculated by adding all the high-highs,
high-lows, etc. and dividing them by five, since there are five data sets. The grand
Beswick-Borders 17
average is the average of all the averages, found by adding the four up and dividing by
Table 5.
Effect of Light Shielding.
Light Shielding
None (-) Bowl (+)
2.8 19.6
6.4 18.8
Avg = 4.6 Avg = 19.2
Table 5 shows the average values for light shielding. The averages were
calculated by adding the averages of the high shielding trials together and dividing by
two, as well as doing the same for the low shielding averages.
Figure 7 presents a visual of the averages of light shielding. Using the low value
of 4.6 stars and the high value of 19.2, the effect value can be obtained by subtracting the
low average from the high average. This gives an effect value of 14.6. The graph shows
that as the shielding fixture enlarges, the number of visible stars increases.
Table 6.
Effect of Light Bulb.
Light Bulb
CFL (-) High-Sodium(+)
2.8 19.6
18.8 6.4
Avg = 10.8 Avg = 13.2
Table 6 shows the average values for the light bulb used. Again, the high and low
averages were found by adding the number of stars together for that trial.
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Figure 8 presents the averages of the light bulb used as a graph. The effect value
can also be calculated at this point, by subtracting the low average from the high average.
This gives the light bulbs an effect value of 2.4. Light wavelength does appear to some
effect on the number of visible stars. The low positive slope of the line shows that
although the number of stars may increase slightly as longer wavelength lights are used,
the amount of light pollution reduced by these lights is not likely statistically significant.
Table 7.
Interaction Effect of the Variables.
Light Bulb
- +
Solid
+ 18.8 20
Line
Shielding
Dotted
- 2.8 6.4
Line
Figure 9. Interaction Effect.
Table 7 arranges the average values for shielding fixture and light bulb used. The
interaction effect can be found by finding the difference between the slopes of the lines.
Here, the slope of the solid line (0.6), minus the slope of the dotted line (1.8), so the
Figure 9 shows the interaction between shielding fixture and light bulb type
displayed on a graph. Neither factor seemed to have an influence on the other. The slopes
of the two lines are nearly parallel, suggesting no interaction between the two effects.
Also, it can be seen below in Figure 11 that the interaction between the two is not
significant, since the effect is not close to being outside double the range of standards.
Table 8.
Standard Values.
Standards
13 13 13 15 13 12 14 12 15 14 15 15 14 15 14
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Table 8 shows all the results from the standard tests in the five DOEs. The
standard test used an incandescent bulb with a plate shield. On average, this test resulted
in visibility of about 13.8 out of the twenty total stars. There is little variability in these
trials due to all data collected only varying within 3 stars of any other standard trials.
Figure 10 shows graph of each of the standards. The standards range from 12 to
15, giving a range of 3. This range is considered low due to the total range of 20 stars and
the comparatively larger ranges found between other non-standard trials. The low range
suggests that there is little variation in the data and our results are accurate.
Figure 11 shows a dot plot of the effects of the variables. The dotted lines show
double the range of standards. The points are labeled S for shielding, L for light bulb, and
SL is the interaction of the two variables. The effect of shielding was the only effect
Figure 12 shows the prediction equation. In this equation, all effects were used no
matter if they were deemed significant. The factors used in this equation were the grand
average, half effect of light shielding, half the effect of light bulb, half the interaction
effect, and noise. Noise was used to describe unexplainable or uncollectable data and
Figure 13 shows the parsimonious prediction equation. In this equation, only the
significant effects were used. For this experiment, only the effect of light shielding was
deemed statistically significant. The only factors in the equation were the grand average,
half effect of light shielding, and noise. Neither light bulb type nor the cross effect of the
factors were included in this equation, as neither had a significant effect on the number of
visible stars. Noise was used to describe unexplainable or uncollectable data and errors
Interpretation:
The original hypothesis was rejected. This is due to the effect of light bulbs not
being strong enough to be deemed significant, although it did show positive correlation.
However, the type of shielding fixture was found to have a significant effect on the
number of stars visible, agreeing with the hypothesis. Both the full shielding and the high
pressure sodium lights longer wavelengths seemed to increase the number of visible
stars.
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Conclusion
The goal of this experiment was to determine ways in which light pollution could
be reduced by testing different light bulbs and lighting shields. Overall, light shielding
was found to have a significant impact on the amount of light pollution, while the light
bulb itself had a lesser impact on the data. In addition, light shielding and light bulb type
were independent from one another. The hypothesis predicted earlier in the paper states
that the larger shields and longer wavelength lights would block more of the excess light
more effectively. Due to the results of the analysis, this hypothesis was rejected.
Although it correctly predicted that larger shielding fixtures would increase the number
of visible stars, there was not enough evidence to conclude that longer light wavelengths
would increase the number of visible stars. This may have been due to the short distance
the light had to travel, not giving the HPS bulb a large enough distance to dissipate more
The research findings seem to indicate that the high pressure sodium (HPS) bulb
produced the least invasive light of the three lights used. The incandescent bulb showed a
smaller range of data points than the CFL (incandescent range was 3 while CFL range
was 6), being used only in the standard tests of the DOE where all the variables were
consistent. However, the incandescent bulb was brighter than the CFL, though it is only
slightly so. The HPS light bulb was extremely bright, continuously gaining brightness as
it remained plugged in. It also had a back plate which could have skewed data.
Results from testing agree with other work in the field. Most research done
around this topic indicated that both larger shielding fixtures and longer wavelength
lights would reduce light pollution. Shielding lights downward prevented the most light
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from obscuring the stars. Although deemed to be insignificant in this experiment, the type
of light bulb did seem to have a small effect on the results; the majority of trials using the
HPS bulb showed an equal or slightly higher number of visible stars when compared to
CFL bulbs with equal shielding. The results of this experiment could show the scientific
community the need to push for more conservative lighting policies in urban areas, so
that both astronomers and stargazers will be able to observe the night sky more easily.
Weaknesses in the design or practice of the experiment may firstly include the
need for a completely dark test environment, which is not necessarily possible, as was the
case in this experiment, where the test area had an exit sign lit in red light. While this did
not seem to affect the data, it very well could have. Another issue occurred in the design
of the planetarium box; the corners of the poster board box had holes in them. This was
remedied with extra electrical tape, but it is possible for additional holes to appear over
time, or for the researchers to miss covering one and skew the data. The researchers
themselves present a lurking variable in the form of their level of perception. It is not
realistically possible for a perfect scale of visibility to be developed for this particular
model, so having more people to view the setup and give multiple observations may have
Further research on the topic could potentially increase the scale to produce more
realistic or reliable data. By either upscaling or using materials that would be more
accurate for field testing, more useful observations may be obtained than were possible
from this papers iteration of the research. A possible alternative variable is the lights
placement on the light spectrum. For example, red lights are usually used in photography
dark rooms because they are not very bright, but still provide light enough to see.
Beswick-Borders 23
Materials:
Procedure:
1. Cut two circles from the poster board with radius 9 cm.
2. Use one of these circles as the flat shield for the standard trials.
4. Attach the rectangle to the circumference of the circle with electrical tape to form
the bowl shaped shield.
Diagrams:
Figure 14 shows the completed plate and bowl shields. The tape along the edges
prevents light from traveling directly through the shield, so it has to go around the shield
Materials:
Procedure:
2. Fold the six squares into a cube, and poke 20 one-millimeter diameter holes
into the top of the box.
3. Cut a 1.5 cm x 8 cm rectangle from the bottom of one side of the box so a
smartphone can slide into the box.
4. Cover all edges and corners of the box with electrical tape so excess light
cannot escape from the box
Diagrams:
Figure 15 shows the completed planetarium cube. The holes in the top are not
easily visible due to their small size. The cube has electrical tape along all edges and
Appendix C: Randomization
Materials:
TI-Nspire CX calculator
Procedure:
6. The display of randInt() should now be on your screen. Type 1,7 in the
parenthesis.
8. Record the number in the order of the blanks in the Run 1 column on the data
table (Note that the standard trials will always be 1, 4, and 7).
9. Continue pressing enter until all trials are accounted for, if a number repeats or if
it has the same number as a standard trial, ignore it and press enter again.
10. Repeat steps 1-9 until the trial orders for all 5 runs are randomized.
Beswick-Borders 26
tables and graphs. Two independent variables are chosen to be tested separately, as well
as against each other. Each run consists of five different treatments high-high, high-
low, low-high, low-low, and standard. However, to be sure the experiment is valid and
uniform, three standard trials were performed per run, for a total of seven trials.
Calculating the range of standards was the first step in analyzing the experiment.
To find the range of standards, all three standards from each of the runs were taken into
consideration. To call the experiment valid, there should be a small range between the
highest and lowest standard values. To calculate the value, take the lowest standard trial
= ( ) ( )
Figure 16 below shows a calculation using sample values to simulate the range of
standards calculation.
= ( ) ( )
= (60.75) (42.25)
= 18.50
Figure 16. Sample Range of Standards Calculation.
Beswick-Borders 27
Second, calculate the grand average. The grand average is, respectively, the
average of all the averages. Find the average of all trials in each run, omitting the three
standard trials, and separating by treatment. There should be four different averages for
the four different treatments (high-high, low-low, high-low, and low-high). Add the
Next, is to analyze the effects each treatment had on the dependent variable. The
averages must be found before calculating the effects. Each effect value must be
calculated individually, two averages were used for each independent variable, one high
and one low. The averages used for both high and low values must correspond to the
correct independent variable. To calculate the high trial average for the first independent
variable, add together the two high trial values for that variable and divide by two. Repeat
with the low values for that same variable for the low trial average. Repeat both of the
( ) 1 + ( ) 2
=
2
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Figure 18 below shows a sample calculation for finding one effect value average.
( ) 1 + ( ) 2
=
2
24.45 + 36.02
=
2
= 30.24
Figure 18. Sample Effect Value Average Calculation.
In order to complete the procedure and actually find the final effect values, the
low average must be subtracted from the high average. This must be done for both of the
= ( ) ( )
= ( ) ( )
= (45.23) (23.09)
= 22.14
Figure 19. Sample Effect Value Calculation.
Next, the basic formula for finding the slope of a line is used to calculate the
interaction effect. The first step in finding this effect is to place both the effect values on
the same graph. For the graph, place low averages for each independent variable on the
left (at -1), and high averages for each on the right (at +1). Be sure to connect the low and
high values that correspond to the correct variables. To ensure accuracy, make one line
dotted and one solid. After that, find the slope of each line. To calculate slope, look at the
solid line, then take the y-value of the low point and subtract it from the y-value of the
high point. After, subtract the x-value of the low point from the x-value of the high point.
Beswick-Borders 29
Divide the y-value answer by the x-value answer to get the final slope. Repeat the process
( )
=
( )
( )
=
( )
(27.45 19.34)
=
(31.29 25.93)
= 1.51
Figure 20. Sample Slope Calculation.
Then, to complete the calculations and find the overall interaction effect, the
slopes of the lines must be subtracted. Subtract the slope of the dotted line from the slope
= ( ) ( )
= ( ) ( )
= (2.89) (13.98)
= 11.09
Figure 21. Sample Interaction Effect Calculation
Beswick-Borders 30
Next is to analyze which variables, if any, are significant. Create a dot plot, with
each effect as a point on the number line. Be sure to include individual effects and the
interaction effect. Also, plot dotted lines (fences) at the positive and negative values of
the range of standards, however, the value should be doubled. Any effects outside of the
= ( ) 2
Figure 22 below shows a sample calculation to find where the fences should be placed
= ( ) 2
= (40.23) 2
= 80.46
Figure 22. Sample Dot Plot Fences Calculation.
Lastly, insert the most important calculated values into the parsimonious prediction
equation. The parsimonious prediction equation consists of the grand average, the
significant variables, and noise. Noise accounts for any uncontrolled variables within
the experiment. To figure out which variables are significant, refer to the dot plot
explained previously. Add the values together for the final equation.
Beswick-Borders 31
= ( ) + ( ) + ""
= ( ) + ( )
+ ""
= (40.23) + ( )
+ ""
= (40.23) + (20.34) + ""
= 60.57 + ""
Figure 23. Sample Parsimonious Prediction Equation.
Beswick-Borders 32
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