TIMING OF CATASTROPHIC GEOPHYSICAL EVENTS ON THE

PACIFIC RING OF FIRE.

By T.E. McLaughlin, P.E.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
March 22, 2017

This article is an original report by the author, a licensed professional engineer in

Florida, who has spent 20++ years researching the timing of major, catastrophic geo-
physical events [earthquakes of magnitude 8.8M and above, and explosive volcanic
events of land-altering magnitude], to attempt to determine a correlation between the
timing of such events and periodic, repeating time in days, or planetary alignments
such as new and full moons, or solar and lunar eclipses. As explained in the following
paragraphs, a periodic cycle in days does appear to exist, but the correlation to solar
and lunar events remains under investigation.

To begin the research, a chart of events was produced which includes earthquakes,
volcanic activity, and other noteworthy geophysical events from historical records.
This chart is marked Master List, and is included in the appendix, attached hereto.

A second chart [included at the end of this text] was then produced using data from
the Master List; this second chart includes only magnitude 8.8 and above earth-
quakes, plus several recent catastrophic volcanic eruptions, all of which lie on the
Pacific Ring of Fire. A few events of lesser magnitude have been included as test
events, to demonstrate the applicability of the timing sequence, and how it applies
only to magnitude 8.8 and above earthquakes, and truly catastrophic, explosive vol-
canic eruptions. Events on this list were not ranked by number of deaths, or reports
of the value of property damage. For purposes of this report, such information is of
side interest only. For example, a volcanic eruption could take place on the Kamchat-
ka Peninsula, produce no property damage, and result in no casualties, because the
area is uninhabited, but the eruption could be catastrophic and very significant in a
geologic context.

The second chart, dated February 13, 2017, begins with the explosive, catastrophic
eruption on Krakatau Island in what is now Indonesia on August 27, 1883. This event
is well-recorded in historical documents, the most accurate being ships logs, which
described tsunami wave height, destruction, and sound events, which occurred with
the explosions. Examining other events on this chart, a loose 389 - 400+ day cycle x N
can be seen from the Krakatau event to the Chilean earthquake of 1960. However,
there is no exact cycle length which can be extracted during this period of historical
events.

page one
Moving forward in time to the December 26, 2004 event centered on Banda Aceh,
Sumatra, we see the appearance of a distinct 378 - 380 day cycle x N, which appears
to hold to the present time. Again, this cycle applies only to the Pacific Ring of Fire
and events thereon. From the Banda Aceh event to Fukushima, March 11, 2011, we
see there is a near-exact 378 day x 6 period, or 2268 days, compared to 2266 days ac-
tual time between those two events. From the Mt. Pinatubo eruption on June 15, 1991
to the Mt. Sinabung eruption on May 21, 2016, there is a loose correlation of 9107
days or 24 x 379.458 days. Between Fukushima and Mt. Sinabung, we have 1898
days, or another loose correlation to 5 x 379 days = 1895 days.

Taking the 2266 days between Banda Aceh and Fukushima, we extrapolate another
2266 days, and according to calendar calculations, this gives us a date of May 24,
2017. The second, compressed chart to which we are referring indicates a higher
than normal probability of a catastrophic event occurring within the window of 3 days
plus or minus, centered around May 24, 2017. We have noted New Zealand on the
chart because it has experienced recent, significant earthquakes, and a marine mam-
mal beaching occurred there on February 10, 2017. Russian research indicates ma-
rine mammal beachings may be predictive of a forthcoming geophysical event.

Conversely, a major event in the Seattle - Vancouver - Puget Sound area will have a
higher than normal probability of occurring around May 24, 2017, which is on the 378
day cycle. If an event does not occur in 2017, the probability will increase for a time
window of 5 days or so, plus or minus, centered on June 06, 2018, and so on. This
timing sequence can apply anywhere on the Pacific Ring of Fire, but we are looking at
both New Zealand and the Cascadia Subduction Zone.

Double earthquakes hit the Seattle - Vancouver area on February 22, 2017:
a) - West of Vancouver Island @ M4.8.
b) - Hood Canal, depth 4 Km, 55 Km SW of Downtown Seattle, M4.2.

Both quakes occurred in the Cascadia Subduction Zone, an area which includes the
Juan de Fuca Plate, the Gorda Plate, and the North American Plate. These plate inter-
sections are relatively shallow, and USGS predicts an event centered on the Puget
Sound area in their web page titled Pacific Northwest Geologic Mapping and Urban
Hazards. Other predictions refer to an M9+ event, including U.S. FEMA, which has a
publication titled Cascadia Rising 2016, which describes a simulated response for
an M9 event in the Oregon-Washington area.

page two
from U.S. FEMA Report: Cascadia Rising 2016

page three
 Figure 1 from USGS web page: Pacific Northwest Geologic Mapping
and Urban Hazards, [web site listed in bibliography].

We reiterate that this report indicates only an elevated window of probability which
occurs every 378 - 379 days on the Pacific Ring of Fire. We are not predicting an
event, just illustrating elevated probability for a catastrophic event on the Pacific Ring
of Fire. We have noted New Zealand because of recent earthquake events there. We
also note the recent earthquakes in the Seattle & Vancouver Island area, which indi-
cate that the plates are active, and may be indicative of a major forthcoming geologic
event during one of the upcoming probability windows.

page four
NOTES:

For reference it should be noted that the apparent 378 - 379 day time period is a near
exact 54 week cycle, or close to one earth year plus 2 weeks. 365 days minus one
day = 364 days or 52 weeks. Taking this number [364 days] and adding 2 weeks = 378
days, which is the apparent base number for the 378 days x N repeating cycle period
which has been seen since the Banda Aceh event on December 26, 2004.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BIBLIOGRAPHY

1. Wikipedia.org

2. https://www.usgs.gov/

U.S. Geologic Survey official government website

3. https://www.fema.gov/cascadia-rising-2016

4. https://geomaps.wr.usgs.gov/pacnw/lifeline/eqhazards.html

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COPYRIGHT NOTICE:
With the exception of the two U.S. Government-produced diagrams shown above,
this is an original work by the author, T. E. McLaughlin, P.E., copyright 2017, all rights
reserved. Reproduction for personal or educational purposes is permitted under the
fair use clause of the Copyright Act of 1976. Quotation permitted with citation of title,
author, publication date, and link to the web site where the article was viewed.
Reproduction for sale or commercial distribution is prohibited.

page six
 APPENDIX

MASTER LIST OF GEOLOGIC EVENTS

562 AD COMET HITS ENGLAND ? UNVERIFIED

1264 GREAT COMET [DATE UNKNOWN]

JAN. 01, 1513 PERU, M8.7

APR. 16, 1514 GREECE M8.7

JAN. 23, 1556 EQ SHAANXI, CN M8.3-8.0 830K DEAD

MAR. 01, 1556 GREAT COMET

JAN. 23, 1582 PERU, AREQUIPA M8.2

OCT. 04, 1582 GREGORIAN CALENDAR

[ADDED 10 DAYS TO ALL DATES AFTER
THIS DATE]

OCT. 15, 1582 GREGORIAN CALENDAR DATE START.

WAS OCT. 05, 1582 JULIAN CALENDAR

JULY 9, 1586 PERU, LIMA M8.6

NOV.24, 1604 PERU, ARICA M8.8

FEB. 14, 1619 PERU, TRUJILLO M8.6

NOV. 30, 1645 PHILLIPINES M8

MAY 12, 1650 PERU, CUZCO M7.7

MAY 12, 1664 PERU, ICA M8.0

OCT. 20, 1687 PERU, ICA SEABED M8.7

>JUN. 07, 1692 PORT ROYALE, JAMAICA M? 2K DEAD

JAN. 26, 1700 CASCADIA, B.C. @9PM LOCAL T. M9+

MAY ??, 1716 ALGIERS, ALGERIA M8.6

JAN. 6, 1725 PERU, LIBERTAD M7.6, 5000 DEAD

JULY 8, 1730 VALPARAISO, CHILE M8.7

>OCT. 16, 1737 KAMCHATKA, RUSSIA M

OCT. 28, 1746 LIMA, PERU M8.7

NOV. 1, 1755 LISBON, PORT. M9 [M8.7] 70,000 DEAD

MAY 13, 1784 PERU, AREQUIPA M8.2

mAY 02,1787 PUERTO RICO M8.0

1797 EQ

DEC. 16, 1811 NEW MADRID M7.7 [2 EQ - MO & ARK]

JAN. 23, 1812 NEW MADRID M7.5

FEB. 7, 1812 NEW MADRID M7.7

MAR. 26, 1812 VENEZUELA CARACAS M7.7 26K D.

APR. 10, 1815 INDONESIA SUMBAWA VOLCANO

MT. TAMBORA [1816 YR. W/OUT SUMMER]

JULY 10. 1821 PERU, AREQUIPA-CAMANA M7.9-8.2

NOV. 25, 1833 SUMATRA INDONESIA M9.2

FEB. 20, 1835 CHILE, CONCEPTION M8.2

FEB. 08, 1843 LEEWARD ISL. M8.3 5000 DEAD

JAN. 23, 1855 WELLINGTON, NZ M8.0

AUG. 28, 1859 FIRST SOLAR FLARE EVENT

SEPT. 01, 1859 CARRINGTON SOLAR EVENT 9/01-9/02

1861 EQ

AUG. 17, 1865 MEMPHIS, TN M5? 15:00 UTC

APR. 02, 1868 HAWAII EQ R7.9 @4PM LOCAL T.

AUG. 13, 1868 PERU/CHILE M9.0 25K D.

MAY 09, 1877 PERU, TARAPACA M8.5

MAY 10, 1877 CHILE M8.3 @00:59 UTC. 24MTR TSUN.

AUG 27, 1883 KRAKATAU M9+ VOLCANIC ERUPT. &TS

DEC. 25, 1884 SPAIN, MALAGA M6.7

AUG. 31, 1886 CHARLESTON, SC M7+

SEPT. 1, 1888 LEWIS PASS, NZ M7.1

OCT. 27, 1891 JAPAN MINO-OWARI M8.0 7.3K DEAD

OCT. 31, 1895 MISSOURI, CHARLESTON R6.8

JUNE 15, 1896 JAPAN, SANRIKU M8.5 27K DEAD

JUNE 12, 1897 INDIA ASSAM M8.3 1.5K DEAD

SEPT. 21, 1897 WELLINGTON, NZ & PHILLIPINES M6.5

JUNE 15, 1898 HONSHU, JAPAN M8.3 - 8.7

SEPT. 10, 1899 ALASKA YAKUTAT M8.0

SEPT. 29, 1899 INDONESIA M7.8 2460 DEAD

OCT. 24-25,1902 GUATEMALA SANTA MARIA VOLCANO

NOV. 01, 1903 SOLAR STORM - ST. CARS DISABLED

AUG. 27, 1904 ALASKA FAIRBANKS M7.3

JAN. 31, 1906 ECUADOR COAST ESMERALDA M8.6-8.8

>APR. 18, 1906 SAN FRAN EQ M7.8? FIRE 3K DEAD

AUG. 17, 1906 CHILE VALPARAISO M8.2 3.9K DEAD

>MAR. 17, 1906 TAIWAN, MEISHAN EQ M7.1 @06:43 LT

1.26K D.

JAN. 30, 1908 TUNGUSKA EVENT SIBERIA [METEOR?]

APR. 12, 1910 TAIWAN, KEELUNG M8.3 @8:22AM

JUN. 15, 1911 JAPAN RYUKYU ISL. M8.1

JUN. 06, 1912 ALASKA NOVARUPTA VOLCANO

DEC. 02, 1914 PERU, AYACUCHO M6.7 400 DEAD

MAY 01, 1915 RUSSIA, KURIL ISL. M7.8

JUN. 05, 1920 TAIWAN, HUALIEN M8.3 @12:21 PM

DEC. 16, 1920 CHINA, NINGXIA M7.8 200K DEAD

MAY 13, 1921 SOLAR STORM NYC RR SHUT DOWN

NOV. 11, 1922 CHILE-ARGENT. M8.5

>FEB. 03, 1923 RUSSIA, KAMCHATKA M8.5

SEP. 01, 1923 JAPAN, KANTO M7.9 143K DEAD

MAY 14, 1928 PERU, AMAZONAS M7.6 1928 DEAD

MAR. 07, 1929 ALASKA FOX ISL. M7.8

FEB. 02, 1931 NZ HAWKER BAY M7.9 256 DEAD

AUG. 10, 1931 CHINA XINJIANG M8.0 10K DEAD

JUN. 03, 1932 MEXICO JALISCO M8.1 45 DEAD

MAR. 02, 1933 JAPAN, SANRIKU M8.4 2990 DEAD

JAN. 15, 1934 INDIA-NEPAL M8.1 10.7K DEAD

APR. 21, 1935 JAPAN SHINCHIKU-TAICHU R7.1

MAY 31, 1935 PAK. QUETTA M7.7 2:33 AM PST

APR. 28, 1937 SOLAR STORM - WORST IN 100 YR.

JAN. 25, 1938 SOLAR STORM FATIMA

FEB. 01, 1938 INDONESIA, BANDA SEA M8.5

NOV. 10, 1938 ALASKA SHUMAGIN ISL. M8.2

MAY 24, 1940 PERU CALLAO M8.2 249 DEAD

AUG. 24, 1942 PERU COAST M8.2 30 DEAD

APR. 06, 1943 CHILE SALAMANCA-ILLAPEL M8.2

DEC. 07, 1944 JAPAN TONANKAI M8.1 1223 D. 13:35LT

AUG. 04, 1946 DOM.REP. SAMANA M8.1sw 100 D.

MAR. 25, 1946 SOLAR STORM EASTER STORM

APR. 01, 1946 ALASKA UNIMAK ISL. M8.1 165 D.

AUG. 22, 1949 CANADA, B.C. M8.1

AUG. 15, 1950 TIBET-ASSAM M8.6 @14:09 UTC

NOV. 04, 1952 RUSSIA - KAMCHATKA M9.0

FEB. 24, 1956 SOLAR EVENT - ACHERON STORM

MAR. 09, 1957 ALASKA ANDREANOF ISL. M8.6

FEB. 9-11, 1958 SOLAR STORM XFORMERS OUT, RADIO

NOV. 06, 1958 RUSSIA - KURIL ISL. M8.3

AUG. 17, 1959 SE MT-HEBGEN LK. M7.3 @11:37 PM L.T

MAY 22, 1960 CHILE M9.5 @15:11 LT 1655 DEAD

JAN. 18, 1964 TAIWAN BAIHE M6.3? @20:04 CST

MAR. 28, 1964 ALASKA M9.2

AUG. 29, 1965 PUGET SOUND M6.7 @08:29 PDT

>>>>> 1966 TAIWAN HUALIEN M7.8 @00:31 LT

>MAY 31, 1970 PERU CHIMBITE M7.9 @4:23PM EDT 66K

FEB. 09, 1971 CA SAN FERNANDO EQ, M6.7 @6AM PST

HOSPITALS COLLAPSED, FWY COLLAPSE

AUG. 02, 1972 SOLAR FLARES: 3 EVENTS, WORST EVR.

AUG. 04, 1972 SOLAR FLARES @06:20 GMT CONTINUE

AUG. 07, 1972 SOLAR FLARE @15:19 GMT CONTINUE

MOST POWERFUL EVENT RECORDED

JULY 28, 1976 CHINA TANGSHAN M7.5 @3:42AM LT

MAY 18, 1980 MT. ST. HELENS ERUPTION [VOLC.]

MAR. 29, 1982 MEXICO CHIAPAS EL CHICHON VOLC.

APR. 03, 1982 MEXICO CHIAPAS EL CHICHON VOLC.

APR. 04, 1982 MEXICO CHIAPAS EL CHICHON VOLC.

JAN. 24, 1985 AK-COOK INLET M6.8 @1:30AM LT

APR. 26, 1986 BELARUS CHERNOBYL EXPL.

MAR. 13, 1989 QUEBEC BLACKOUT - PWR. GRID

OCT. 17, 1989 CALIF. LOMA PRIETA M6.9 @5:04 PM LT

NIMITZ FWY. COLLAPSE

JUL. 14, 1990 LUZON, PHILL. M7.8 @4:26 AM LT

JUNE 15, 1991 PINATUBO STRATOVOLCANO

PHILLIPINES - LUZON [2ND LARGEST]

JAN. 17, 1994 CALIF-NORTHRIDGE M6.7@4:55 AM PST

AUG. 17, 1999 TURKEY M7.6 17K D.

>SEPT. 20, 1999 TAIWAN M7.7 2415 D.

SEPT. 21, 1999 TAIWAN JIJI M7.7 @01:47 TST [LT]

KNOWN AS 921 EARTHQUAKE

JAN. 26, 2001 INDIA GUJARAT M7.7

JUNE 23, 2001 PERU M8.4 100 D.

SEPT. 25, 2003 JAPAN HOKKAIDO M8.3 @04:50 AM LT

OCT. 29, 2003 SOLAR STORM, X-RAYS, SATELLITE FAIL

HALLOWEEN STORM

NOV. 04, 2003 SOLAR X-RAY STORM X34

NOV. 17, 2003 ALASKA RAT ISL. M7.8 06:43 UTC

DEC. 26, 2003* IRAN BAM M6.6 @01:56 UTC 43K DEA

DEC. 26, 2004* SUMATRA EQ+TSUNAMI BANDA ACEH

M9.1++ DEADLIEST IN REC. HISTORY

MAR. 28, 2005 SUMATRA NIAS-SIMEULUE M8.6

@23:09:37 LT 1000++ D.

OCT. 08, 2005 PAK/INDIA KASHMIR M7.6 @08:50 PST

MAY 03, 2006 TONGA M8.0 EQ & PACIFIC TSUNAMI

>MAY 27, 2006 YOGYAKARTA M6.4 @5:54 LT 5.8K D.

JULY 17, 2006 JAVA - PANGANDARAN EQ & TSUNAMI

APR. 21, 2006 RUSSIA KAMCHATKA M7.6

NOV. 11, 2006 RUSSIA KURIL ISL. M8.3 8:14PM JST

DEC. 26, 2006* TAIWAN HENGCHUN M7.0 @12:26 LT

JAN. 13, 2007 RUSSIA KURIL ISL. M8.1 13:23 JST

APR. 01, 2007 SOLOMON ISL. M8.1

AUG. 15, 2007 PERU SE LIMA M8.0 @18:41 LT

SEPT. 12, 2007 SUMATRA M8.4 @18:10 LT

>>> 2008 PAKISTAN ??????

MAY 12, 2008 CHINA SICHUAN M7.9 @2:28 PM CST

69K DEAD, 374K INJURED

JULY 05, 2008 RUSSIA SEA OF OKOHTSK M7.7

SEPT 29, 2009 SAMOA M8.5 @17:48 UTC EQ & TSUNAM

SEPT. 30, 2009 SUMATRA M7.6 1117 D.

OCT. 07, 2009 VANUATUN M7.8

JAN. 12, 2010 HAITI M7.0 @16:53 LT 160K DEAD

FEB. 27, 2010 CHILE MAULE M8.8 @03:34 LT & TSUNA

MAR. 04, 2010 TAIWAN KAOHSIUNG M6.7 @08:20 LT

APR 06, 2010 SUMATRA M7.8

OCT. 25, 2010 SUMATRA M7.7 @21:42 LT 711 DEAD

MENTAWI EQ

MAR. 11, 2011 JAPAN HONSHU M7.7 & M7.9

MAR. 11, 2011 JAPAN TOHOKU M9.1 EQ & TSUNAMI

FUKUSHIMA @14:46 JST

SEPT. 18, 2011 SIKKIM M6.9 @18:25 NPT

APR. 11, 2012 INDONESIA ACEH M8.6

APR. 11, 2012 INDONESIA ACEH M8.2

JULY 02, 2012 COLOMBIA NEVADO DEL RUIZ VOLCANO

OCT. 28, 2012 CAN. HAIDA GUSII M7.8

SEPT. 24, 2013 PAKISTAN BALOCH. M7.7 @16:29 PKT

OCT. 15, 2013 PHILL. BOHAL ISL. M7.2

APRIL 01, 2014 CHILE IQUIQUE M8.2

APR. 03, 2014 CHILE IQUIQUE M7.7

JUN 23, 2014 ALASKA LITTLE SIRKIN ISL. M7.9

AUG. 24, 2014 CA SO. NAPA VALLEY M6.0 @10:20 UTC

>APR. 27, 2015 NEPAL M7.9 @11:56AM NST 9K DEAD

MAY 30, 2015 JAPAN IZU ISL. M7.8

SEPT. 16, 2015 CHILE ILLAPEL M8.3

OCT. 26, 2015 HINDU KUSH M7.5 @14:09 PKT

JAN. 24, 2016 ALASKA COOK INLET M7.1 @10:30 LT

FEB. 06, 2016 TAIWAN KAOHSIUNG M6.6 @03:57 LT

MAR. 02, 2016 INDONESIA M7.8

APR. 16, 2016 ECUADOR M7.8 676 D.

JULY 29, 2016 N. MARIANA ISL. M7.7

>SEPT. 06, 2016 KAMCHATKA KLYUCHEVESKOY

NOV. 13, 2016 NZ M7.8

DEC. 08, 2016 SOLOMON ISL. M7.8

DEC. 17, 2016 PAPUA NEW GUINEA M7.9

JAN. 10, 2017 PHILL. CELEBES SEA M7.2 @6:13:47 LT

NOTE: This chart represents ongoing research and may

be missing data, magnitude, or dates of events.

Copyright 2017 by T.E. McLaughlin, P.E.