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  • Holt Winters

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    David Arechaga
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    Programación holt winters

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    Programación holt winters

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    4 views6 pages

    Holt Winters

    Uploaded by

    David Arechaga
    Programación holt winters

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    of 6

    X_t=TECA TC CMA=TC

    1 77.1
    2 92.8 100
    3 103.2 107 103.5
    4 126.9 115.175 111.1
    5 105.1 123.925 119.6
    6 125.5 128.8 126.4
    7 138.2 133.725 131.3
    8 146.4 141.15 137.4
    9 124.8 146.675 143.9
    10 155.2 152.95 149.8
    11 160.3 157.75 155.4
    12 171.5 161.275 159.5
    13 144 162 161.6
    14 169.3 161.75 161.9
    15 163.2 163.275 162.5
    16 170.5 160.075 161.7
    17 150.1 155.7 157.9
    18 156.5 149.2 152.5
    19 145.7 141.425 145.3
    20 144.5 136.075 138.8
    21 119 135.45 135.8
    22 135.1 137.275 136.4
    23 143.2
    24 151.8
    0.89288273 0.89180492 86.4538854
    1.01846248 1.01723308 91.2278633
    0.99710145 1.01774284 1.0165143 101.523412
    1.14234275 1.07574626 1.07444771 118.107191
    0.87913007 0.89288273 0.89180492 117.850887
    0.9931744 1.01846248 1.01723308 123.373888
    1.05285211 1.01774284 1.0165143 135.954801
    1.06521146 1.07574626 1.07444771 136.25605
    0.86719361 0.89288273 0.89180492 139.94092
    1.03596162 1.01846248 1.01723308 152.570737
    1.03186353 1.01774284 1.0165143 157.695765
    1.07515085 1.07574626 1.07444771 159.616889
    0.89088238 0.89288273 0.89180492 161.470292
    1.04586873 1.01846248 1.01723308 166.431867
    1.00423044 1.01774284 1.0165143 160.548651
    1.05458482 1.07574626 1.07444771 158.686178
    0.95067691 0.89288273 0.89180492 168.310353
    1.02656609 1.01846248 1.01723308 153.848713
    1.00266667 1.01774284 1.0165143 143.332956
    1.04144144 1.07574626 1.07444771 134.487699
    0.87653071 0.89288273 0.89180492 133.437255
    0.99074159 1.01846248 1.01723308 132.811254
    1.01774284 1.0165143 140.873571
    1.07574626 1.07444771 141.281887

    I II
    1988
    1989 0.87913007 0.9931744
    1990 0.86719361 1.03596162
    1991 0.89088238 1.04586873
    1992 0.95067691 1.02656609
    1993 0.87653071 0.99074159
    PROM 0.89288273 1.01846248
    0.89180492 1.01723308

    0.89180492 1.01723308

    0.89288273 1.01846248
    III IV
    0.99710145 1.14234275
    1.05285211 1.06521146
    1.03186353 1.07515085
    1.00423044 1.05458482
    1.00266667 1.04144144

    1.01774284 1.07574626 4.00483432


    1.0165143 1.07444771 4

    1.0165143 1.07444771

    1.01774284 1.07574626
    X_t=T+E+C+A T+C
    1 77.1
    2 92.8 100
    3 103.2 107
    4 126.9 115.175
    5 105.1 123.925
    6 125.5 128.8
    7 138.2 133.725
    8 146.4 141.15
    9 124.8 146.675
    10 155.2 152.95
    11 160.3 157.75
    12 171.5 161.275
    13 144 162
    14 169.3 161.75
    15 163.2 163.275
    16 170.5 160.075
    17 150.1 155.7
    18 156.5 149.2
    19 145.7 141.425
    20 144.5 136.075
    21 119 135.45
    22 135.1 137.275
    23 143.2
    24 151.8
    CMA=TC
    0.8928827332 0.8918049155
    1.0184624841 1.0172330763
    103.5 -0.3000 1.0177428406 1.0165143015
    111.1 15.8125 1.0757462629 1.0744477067
    119.6 -14.4500 0.8928827332 0.8918049155
    126.4 -0.8625 1.0184624841 1.0172330763
    131.3 6.9375 1.0177428406 1.0165143015
    137.4 8.9625 1.0757462629 1.0744477067
    143.9 -19.1125 0.8928827332 0.8918049155
    149.8 5.3875 1.0184624841 1.0172330763
    155.4 4.9500 1.0177428406 1.0165143015
    159.5 11.9875 1.0757462629 1.0744477067
    161.6 -17.6375 0.8928827332 0.8918049155
    161.9 7.4250 1.0184624841 1.0172330763
    162.5 0.6875 1.0177428406 1.0165143015
    161.7 8.8250 1.0757462629 1.0744477067
    157.9 -7.7875 0.8928827332 0.8918049155
    152.5 4.0500 1.0184624841 1.0172330763
    145.3 0.3875 1.0177428406 1.0165143015
    138.8 5.7500 1.0757462629 1.0744477067
    135.8 -16.7625 0.8928827332 0.8918049155
    136.4 -1.2625 1.0184624841 1.0172330763
    1.0177428406 1.0165143015
    1.0757462629 1.0744477067
    86.4538854427
    91.2278632705
    101.5234117645
    118.1071905245
    117.8508866411
    123.3738883669
    135.9548014133
    136.2560495885
    139.9409196271
    152.5707368489
    157.6957645916
    159.6168886915
    161.4702918774
    166.4318669364
    160.5486511625
    158.6861779703
    168.3103528528
    153.8487133818
    143.3329563381
    134.4876992182
    133.4372550932
    132.8112535328
    140.8735713632
    141.2818874832

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