Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Presented by:
Mary Jane Bobyock, CFA, Director, Advisory Team
Rob Ludwig, Managing Director, Risk Management Group
Risk management at multiple levels
FUNDS
MANAGERS
SECURITIES
Risk Limit
Implementation with active management seeks to add excess return or lower risk
over shorter-term horizons
Active security selection creates dynamic exposures
Dynamic asset allocation creates deviations from long-term policy
Asset class correlations are not static
Risk management monitors that the active implementation supports the long-term
asset allocation strategy
7
Risk model explains the variability of individual security
returns in terms of systematic factors
8
Correlation matrix of risk factors
Risk Factors
Equities
Risk Factors
Fixed
Income
Alternatives
Risk Factors
Equities Equities
Fixed
Risk Factors
Equities Fixed
Fixed Income
Alternatives
Risk Factors
Equities Equities
Fixed
Risk Factors
Fixed Alternatives
Alternatives
Risk Factors
Weight of each security in the portfolio Contribution to risk from each factor
Exposure of each security to each risk Contribution to risk from each manager
factor
Covariance matrix of the risk factors Contribution to risk from each asset class
13
U.S. Managed Volatility Strategy:
Contribution to risk by factor
Information as of 4/30/2014.
14
Risk decomposition of moderate volatility hedge fund
Information as of 4/30/2014.
15
Actual portfolio implementation reflects active view and
current market conditions
16
Current environment: Volatility is low
17
Total portfolio exposures to higher yielding fixed
income sectors in sample client portfolio
Bank Loans
Non-Agency Mortgages
CMBS
CDO / CLO
0% 2% 4% 6%
Portfolio Exposure
18
Stress testing exposures to higher yielding fixed income
sectors in sample client portfolio
19
Stress test results for high yield credit shock on sample
client portfolio
Alternatives / Credit
-6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0
Return Impact (%)
20
Portfolio comparison
Diversified Portfolio
80/20 Passive Portfolio
Private Assets 5.0% Large Cap 9.0%
Structured Credit 5.0%
Barclays Aggregate
20.0% S&P 500 Index 7.0%
Core Prop 7.0%
Diversified Risk
Alternative
Inflation
FX
Interest Rates
Spread
Equity
$- $1,000,000.00 $2,000,000.00 $3,000,000.00 $4,000,000.00 $5,000,000.00 $6,000,000.00 $7,000,000.00 $8,000,000.00 $9,000,000.00 $10,000,000.00
$5,000,000.00
$-
$(5,000,000.00)
$(10,000,000.00)
$(15,000,000.00)
$(20,000,000.00)
$(25,000,000.00)
1% 10 Yr Treas Hypothetical Inflation Fed Tapering Tech Bubble -10% Equity VIX jumps to 35