Professional Documents
Culture Documents
W
2008 Worldwide
e called it Mr. Toads
Total (in millions) 87,651.7
Wild Ride last year, as 1 Siemens 12,850.5
tion sales had remained strong while 3 Emerson Process Management 6,782.8
into the pot. It didnt take long, how- 6 Honeywell Process Solutions/Sensing & Control 3,632.5
sion cliff. Starting in the first quar- 10 Danaher Industrial Technologies 2,539.4
11 FANUC 1,890.6
ter of 2009, sales softened and, in
12 GE 1,887.2
some cases, plummeted. Sales fun- 13 Endress+Hauser 1,775.3
19 Spectris 1,298.7
ing economy the company faced de- 20 Azbil Group (Yamatake) 1,077.7
termined how fast and how deep the 21 Metso Automation 1,026.1
industries and their suppliers were 29 IMI Fluid Controls Severe Service PLC 664.5
34 Advantech 527.0
The numbers we present here, how-
35 Pepperl+Fuchs 526.3
ever, do not reflect the precipitous de- 36 Toshiba 507.1
1972Q1
1974Q1
1976Q1
1978Q1
1980Q1
1982Q1
1984Q1
1986Q1
1988Q1
1990Q1
1992Q1
1994Q1
1996Q1
1998Q1
2000Q1
2002Q1
2004Q1
2006Q1
2006Q1
great year just like 2007. The down-
turn in Q4 2008 was sudden and in
many cases violent. The numbers Gross domestic product Manufacturing production
also do not show the large transition
that is going on related to system mi- Figure 1. Contrary to popular belief, the U.S. economy is NOT de-industrializing
gration and modernization, as com-
petitors continue to go after each sive investments are growing. While he to add capacity? They are not going to
others installed base amid a rapidly expects the overall economic recovery have the human resources necessary to
aging base of automation systems to be tepid, Leonard forecasted that meet demand, and they will increas-
that must be replaced. the manufacturing sector over the next ingly turn to automation suppliers to
Internationally, the former design two years will grow quite a bit faster provide them with outsourced main-
institutes of China are being spun off than the economy as whole. This tenance services, training services and
into independent system integrators. should translate as faster growth for theother plant-performance-related ser-
The transition to private enterprise is automation industry than the manu- vices.
agreeing with many of these compa- facturing industry itself, and thus faster Companies that provide a value-
nies, but not so much for others. Rock- than the economy as a whole. added service will have greater success
well Automation acquired one of these as the recovery improves than compa-
companies, called Xian Hengsheng, at Winners, Losers and Why nies who just provide a product. Years
the end of 2008, for example. Overall, winners will be determined ago, the argument among automation
Leonard says, U.S. manufactur- by their strength in the services busi- marketers was how to productize ser-
ing remains an engine for growth in ness, both project services and, more vices and software. In the years ahead,
the global economy. Productivity and importantly, after-sales services. The the argument will be how to service-
wages have consistently outpaced the companies that will weather the re- ize products, so they do not become
rates of other U.S. industries, as well as commodities.
foreign manufacturers. Manufacturing If you are an automation professional Something else that
productivity has more than doubled in will happen in the
with a good idea, it may be that now is
the last two decades, almost twice the near term is that off-
the time to take a flyer and see if the
growth for the overall economy. shoring in the classic
This is a boom for our competitive- marketplace agrees with you. sense of closing facto-
ness and the general prosperity of the ries in North America
economy, Leonard said. Contrary to cession the best are the ones with the and Western Europe to open them
popular belief, the U.S. economy is not strongest emphasis on services. Take up again in Asia is becoming a thing
de-industrializing. the DCS market, which is over 50% of the past. Companies are beginning
According to Leonard, this is a good services already. Services are renew- to realize that engineering, R&D and
thing for the automation companies able business, and they are directly manufacturing of very complex prod-
and for automation workers in general. tied to plant performance and the la- ucts are sometimes done better in the
Leonard adds the actionable items bor crisis that is affecting so many end First World, and that offshoring is
manufacturers need to focus on in- users today. sometimes false economy. What will
clude capital-intensive automation im- Consequently, what is going to hap- happen is that plants will be located
provements, and to start to reach out to pen when the economy comes back close to markets, and since the U. S.
emerging markets where capital-inten- full steam and end users find they need and North America are still the worlds
largest market, they will be located here. It appears that GEs mation company has let go personnel in 2009, and not all
Jeffrey Immelts idea that the U. S. economy requires about of them were, in a word, turkeys. In every recession, many
20% manufacturing is taking root and being listened to by of these quality personnel who have been furloughed come
CEOs and analysts. Commodities will continue to be made back into the market as entrepreneurs with a new product or
in the cheapest location possible, but many automation service that they were unable to produce back at the farm.
products are not commodities. This trend will continue throughout the 2010-2012 recov-
Some of the things that always accompany recessions are ery time frame. If you are an automation professional with a
layoffs and restructuring. Automation companies removed good idea, it may be that now is the time to take a flyer and
all the fat from their employee base long ago. Every auto- see if the marketplace agrees with you.
Reprinted with permission from Control Magazine, December 2009. On the Web at www.controlglobal.com.
PUTMAN. All Rights Reserved. Foster Printing Service: 866-879-9144, www.marketingreprints.com.