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INTRODUCTION l GARP does not disclose passing score, only passing percent of
the test taking population. Our best guest from the data GARP
l Success will take a lot of hard work, around 200 hours of study provides is the passing population is a double-hump normal
time, and intuition and understanding of the topics rather than distribution. That is, there is a large population under the passing
just wrote memory. score that is normally distributed and also a normal distribution
l Wileys FRM Exam Review lectures have as much information as among those who meet the passing grade. This would imply that
the Study Guides. Dont neglect them. Read the study notes but GARP first decides on a passing percent of the population and
then put them aside and focus on the tips in the lectures. Make that then informs the passing grade, which can change from year
sure you are really comfortable with the calculate learning to year. Instead of trying to game the exam, we are going to focus
objectives and focus mostly on what lead author Christian Cooper on the parts of the exam you must know, but also stop short of
tells you is important. making you a complete expert in every subject area. We want to
to be sure you are going to pass but pretty sure you arent going
l The FRM Exam Review program has been created in a way that
to get a perfect score and that is OK.
connects as many of the dots as possible to reduce memorization,
increase understanding, and give you the confidence to rely on
your best guess. Weve all taken tests where two answers are TIPS
obviously wrong but those last two could be 50/50. This is where
you will pass the test, using intuition to increase your odds
beyond a random guess. FOUNDATIONS OF RISK MANAGEMENTPART I
EXAM WEIGHT 20%
THE SYSTEM (FRM) 14 total readings in the 2016 curriculum
l The class/lecture notes provide the basis for the lectures.
Students should underline, highlight, circle, as well as annotate RISK MANAGEMENT SECTION WITHIN
in the margins any examples, insights, tips and so forth given by
Christian. FOUNDATIONS OF RISK MANAGEMENT
l The act of writing will greatly enhance retention, so it is an Basic risk types, measurement and management tools
integral part of the approach. Creating value with risk management
l The importance of practice to retain the material until exam day The role of risk management in corporate governance
cannot be overstated. We are going to focus on topics that can
Enterprise Risk Management (ERM)
be connected, the calculate learning objectives, and the must
know 80% to get you to a passing score on exam day. Financial disasters and risk management failures
l Pay particular attention to hot topics such as the financial
THE WINNING STRATEGY disaster section.
l Set up a study plan, follow it, and reach out to Christian for l This section begins what is a top-down approach to risk
anything you are stuck on. No question is dumb and if you are management. These sections are very light on formulas and are
having a problem, a big chunk of the other students are, too, a qualitative introduction to best practices across firms. More
and that is something Christian can focus on to explain better. importantly, this section begins to focus on how risk management
Christian is your partner in passing and wants to help in anyway actually creates firm value as opposed to the cost center it is
he can. Sometimes the dreaded duo of personal and professional normally seen as.
responsibilities often conspire to disrupt study plans. At some
point, intelligent compromises may have to be made (e.g., reduce
trips to the gym from 5 to 3 days per week, install Web browser PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT SECTION WITHIN
extensions that block Reddit, Recode, ZeroHedge etc.) FOUNDATIONS OF RISK MANAGEMENT
The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
FRM TOPIC WEIGHTS Risk-adjusted performance measurement
l In the morning session of the FRM exam, there are 100 multiple- Multi-factor models
choice questions (in 3 hours) on the Part I FRM Exam. Thats
just under 2 minutes per question, so pace and stamina are Information risk and data quality management
important. You should time yourself when you are taking the Ethics and the GARP Code of Conduct
practice exams.
Here, we move into a more quantitative treatment of risk
l The following table outlines the most important topics in terms management by looking at the return of some asset relative to the
of the Weight to Study Session (SS) Ratio; it helps FRM candidates risk (expressed as standard deviation) and the theoretical bounds we
determine where theyll get the best bang for their buck. place around the pricing of risky assets.
Foundations of Risk ManagementPart I Exam Weight: 20% The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) introduces the idea of a single
Quantitative AnalysisPart I Exam Weight: 20% parameter to define risk and then any investor can use leverage to
increase or decrease their exposure to the market portfolio as they
Financial Markets and ProductsPart I Exam Weight: 30%
wish. This notion of a single measure of risk is then extended in the
Valuation and Risk ModelsPart I Exam Weight: 30%

Wiley 2015
FRM Exam Review efficientlearning.com/frm

later readings to include additional factors to explain asset returns. One-tailed test or two-tailed test: For a level of significance
It is important to note that both of these require assumptions to be (alpha) of 5%, we use p = 0.05 for a one-tailed test and 0.025 for
made about future volatility and future expected returns so they a two-tailed test.
dont have predictive uses, just risk management and portfolio
We use the t-statistic instead of the Z-score when:
allocation uses.
The sample size is small (< 30), and
QUANTITATIVE ANALYSISPART I The population standard deviation is unknown.
EXAM WEIGHT 20% When practicing these types of questions, be sure to
(QA) 15 total reading in the 2016 curriculum understand what the interpretation of the results are. These
questions can ask for an interpretation rather than whether
Discrete and continuous probability distributions the null can be rejected.
Estimating the parameters of distributions l Regarding conceptual hypothesis testing questions on Type I and
Type II errors, note the following:
Population and sample statistics
Because hypothesis acceptance depends on probabilities,
Bayesian analysis
Type I and Type II errors may very well result.
Statistical inference and hypothesis testing
The probability of a Type I error is equal to the level of
Correlations and copulas significance (alpha). FYI, the probability of a Type II error is not
Estimating correlation and volatility using EWMA and GARCH 1the probability of a Type I error.
models When doing a test of a hypothesis, there are four possible
Volatility term structures outcomes:

Linear regression with single and multiple regressors Not reject a true null No error, good

Time series analysis Reject a true null Type I error

Simulation methods Reject a false null No error, good

l Quantitative Methods may seem intimidating. Practice will help Not reject a false null Type II error
you master this topic! FRM candidates should be prepared to use The only way to reduce the risk of Type I and Type II errors is to
calculations in otherwise what might be an explain learning increase the sample size.
objective. GARP likes to combine topics especially in the longer
The power of the hypothesis test is the probability of rejecting
vignette style questions to be prepared for quantitative analysis
a false null hypothesis.
to pop up anywhere.
There is typically at least one question directly or indirectly on
l Most importantly, understand relationships between the concepts
Type I and Type II errors on the exam. Be sure you understand
because sometimes you can easily eliminate clearly wrong
this concept.
answers.
l A diagram often helps answer hypothesis questions, whether
l The following topics will always be on the exam, make sure you
conceptual or involving calculating acceptance ranges. By
know these cold.
sketching the diagram and the indicated change in level of
significance, FRM candidates can easily see the effect of a change.
HYPOTHESIS TESTING For example, by increasing the level of significance from 5%
l A question that appears with great regularity is a typical to 10%, the fail-to-reject-null zone becomes narrower and the
hypothesis test to draw conclusions about a sample. Because rejection zone becomes wider. A wider rejection zone will increase
we can never prove something to be true, the next best thing is the chances of incorrectly rejecting the null hypothesis (increase
to try and prove that something is not true, then by default, we the chance of a Type I error). However, the risk of a Type II error
can conclude that the opposite is true given a specified level (failing to reject a false null hypothesis) will decrease.
of confidence. Be sure to practice the procedures for performing l Remember that in statistics, one can never really prove a
hypothesis tests: null hypothesis is true; we can only infer that an alternative
1. State the hypothesis. hypothesis is true by proving that the null hypothesis is not true.
Therefore, we should be setting up the null and alternative such
2. Identify the test statistic for the hypothesis test. that the alternative hypothesis is what we are really trying to
3. Specify the level of significance for the hypothesis test. prove. If our calculations can lead us to reject the null hypothesis,
then we can say with a level of confidence that the alternative is
4. State the decision rule. true.
5. Collect the data and perform all necessary calculations.
6. Make the statistical decision. CONFIDENCE INTERVALS
l With practice, FRM candidates hypothesis testing can be tackled l A typical confidence interval question involves a confidence
easily. Key things to notice from these problems are: interval of 95%. What often throws FRM candidates off is a
confidence interval that is not common (80%). An 80% confidence

Wiley 2015
FRM Exam Review efficientlearning.com/frm

interval is bound by 10% on either side under the normal curve, additional yield (called a term premium) increases with
so the appropriate Z-score for an 80% interval will actually be maturity. Hence, the yield curve should normally be biased
found with the area representing 90% cumulative probability (an upward.
area of 0.9000). Further, the exact Z-score corresponding to 0.9000
The market segmentation theory hypothesizes that groups of
is not in the table. This unusual outcome, combined with the
investors and issuers are restricted to specific maturity regions
stresses on exam day, can be distracting
of the yield curve. It argues that the shape of the yield curve
l For questions asking for the confidence interval of a sample, will reflect the relative supply and demand in various maturity
the first thing is to identify what the question is really asking, regions of the yield curve. If there is excess demand for bonds
and then be able to pick out the data that is required for the at the shorter maturities and excess supply at the longer
calculations while ignoring the distracters. For example, because maturities, then the yield curve will be upward sloping. The
the sample size of 16 is small (< 30), we know that we must use market segmentation theory can potentially explain any shape
the t-score and can ignore any information given regarding the of the yield curve.
Z-scores. From there, plug in the relevant inputs into the formula
The preferred habitat theory is a variant of the market
and calculate the confidence interval. FRM candidates should also
segmentation theory, but is less restrictive. It posits that,
be prepared to notice whether one-tailed or two-tailed probability
while particular groups of investors prefer to invest in specific
tables are given and use the appropriate figures.
segments along the yield curve, they can be lured away from
their normal market segment, or preferred habitat, by higher
FINANCIAL MARKETS AND PRODUCTSPART I yields offered in other maturities. The preferred habitat theory
EXAM WEIGHT 30% accommodates any shape the yield curve might take.

(FMP) 20 total readings


YIELD CURVES (PAR, SPOT, FORWARD)
In order to answer more complex problems about the slope or
GENERAL POINTERS
l

level of the various yield curves, FRM candidates first need to


This is a huge chunk of the reading and much of the exam will know the basics:
draw from this section.

Par yield curve:
The readings for the Part I exam focus on the basic definitions
The par yield curve is the coupon yield of newly issued, on-
of the product first then extend those ideas into pricing
the-run securities trading at par (which can be approximated
methodology using replicating portfolios
by the yield to maturity).
FRM candidates will need this base knowledge in order to
Effectively, par yields are the compounded total of the
understand the securitized product and credit risk readings in
appropriate spot rates for each cash flow on a bond.
Part II of the exam:

Spot yield curve:
Structure and mechanics of OTC and exchange markets
Spot rates apply to a single future cash flow (and therefore can
Structure, mechanics, and valuation of forwards, futures,
be used to value a bond).
swaps and options
Not all spot rates can be directly observed, but par yields are
Hedging with derivatives
observable. It is possible to use a sectors par yield curve to
Interest rates and measures of interest rate sensitivity determine the sectors spot rate curve through a process called
Foreign exchange risk bootstrapping, which is where we calculate the implied
spot rates (rates that apply to a single cash flow) from the par
Corporate bonds rates. FRM candidates should be prepared to do the math. The
Mortgage-backed securities assigned reading spends a lot of time on notation, but notation
itself is not important. The only important item is getting the
Rating agencies correct answer.

Forward yield curve:
TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATE THEORIES
Once we have the spot rates, it is possible to use them to find
l FRM candidates should know the theories on the slope of the the implied forward rates. A forward rate is a future rate, such
term structure of interest rates: as the six-month rate, one year from now. Using the spot rates,
The pure expectations theory says that the yield curve reflects find forward rates by determining what the market is implying
the markets expectation of future interest rates. If the market the future rate will be. For example, the six-month forward rate
consensus is that yields will be rising, then a longer maturity in one year is found based on an equivalency: Aninvestor should
bond must have a higher yield than a shorter maturity bond be indifferent between investing in the 1.5-year zero-coupon
(i.e., the yield curve is upward sloping). bond or investing in a 1-year zero-coupon bond and rolling the
proceeds in one year into a six-month zero-coupon bond.
The liquidity preference theory (biased expectations theory)
says that longer-maturity bonds must offer a higher yield There is a trick that can save time if a forward rate is re-
compared to shorter-maturity bonds to compensate investors quested. With very short compounding periods (five periods
for reducing their liquidity. According to the theory, this or less), the forward rate can be estimated as being the simple

Wiley 2015
FRM Exam Review efficientlearning.com/frm

average. This allows for a quicker answer and does not require The party obligated to make payment and take delivery is the
the use of a calculator. For example, if the two- year spot is buyer, or long position.
7.0% and the one-year forward is 6.0%, then the two-year
The quantity of the underlying asset to be delivered is the
forward has to be approximately 8.0% [(6.0 + 8.0)
contract size.
/ 2 = 7]. The 7.0% is for two periods, so approximately 14.0%
The date of delivery is the expiration, maturity, or
isearned.
settlementdate.
l With the basics out of the way, we can answer more complex
Advantages/disadvantages for forwards are:
questions such as:
Customized to meet specific needs (advantage).
Whether the spot rate curve will be upward or downward
sloping and lower or higher, given an upward-sloping par yield No money exchanges until contract expiration (advantage,
curve. The par yield curve can be viewed as weighted average except for credit risk).
of spot rates. As a result, the slope of the spot rate curve Credit risk that the counterparty will default (disadvantage).
determines the slope of the par yield curve. The spot rate curve
is steeper than the par yield curve. Early exit requires negotiation with the counterparty (dis-
advantage).
Accordingly, when the par yield curve slopes upward, the spot
yield curve will reside above it, and when the par yield curve Private transaction that provides little transparency (can be
slopes downward, the spot yield curve resides below it. advantage or disadvantage).
Whether the implied one-year forward rates will increase at a FRM candidates should be able to understand currency
slower, same, or faster rate than the annualized spot rates are movements and read the exchange rate quotes closely with
increasing. The two-year spot rate is effectively the average of forward contracts (and swaps, forwards, options).
the one- year spot rate and the one-year forward rate one year With a forward rate agreement (FRA), the buyer pays fixed and
from now. receives floating. For example, with a 7 10 month FRA, the
Accordingly, if the two-year spot rate is larger than the one- buyer has agreed to pay the fixed rate. The floating rate it will
year spot rate, then the one-year forward rate one year from receive in return is the three-month rate of interest that exists
now must be even larger. in seven months. The amount to be paid by the insurance
company is the difference in the rates times the notional
amount. But instead of paying the interest differential three
PAR, PREMIUM, DISCOUNT months after the seven months, the amount is paid immediately
l FRM candidates should know that given an assumption of (at the end of the seven months when the rate has been set).
constant YTM that discount bonds will increase to par value at
maturity, premium bonds will decrease to par value at maturity,
and par bonds will remain about the same price until maturity.
FUTURES
For example, in the case of a discount bond, the discount l Be sure to know the basics on futures:
amortizes over the life of the bond such that it will be worth par Futures contracts are standardized, which provides less
at maturity. Thus, because it was sold below its par value, it must flexibility but more liquidity.
increase in price to be worth par at maturity.
They are exchange traded with a clearinghouse acting as the
l FRM candidates should know that zero-coupon bonds are valued intermediary between the longs and the shorts. The clearing-
based on their bond-equivalent yield. That requires discounting house guarantees performance and this minimizes credit risk.
the one bond cash flow at maturity by the semiannual yield and
number of compounding periods. For example, for a five-year The clearinghouse requires each participant to deposit initial
zero-coupon bond, the number of discounting periods would be margin before entering a trade. This deposit is not a cost of the
10 periods in order to compare it to a semiannual-pay five-year contract.
bond. The rate would be half the yield-to-maturity. Futures positions are marked-to-market daily.
l FRM candidates need to understand that the required yield, or If the margin balance falls below the maintenance margin, a
YTM, is the discount rate. If a bond pays a higher rate of interest margin call will be generated. As discussed earlier, the futures
than the discount rate, then it will sell at a premium to its par investor must bring the margin balance back up to the initial
value. This is really just time value of money. margin level.

FORWARD CONTRACTS
l FRM candidates need to remember the basics:
A forward contract is an agreement to enter into a future trans-
action at a price specified at the contracts initiation. The basic
forward contract terminology is as follows:
The party obligated to deliver the underlying is the seller, or
short position.

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OPTIONS VALUATION AND RISK MODELSPART I


l Covered call strategy: EXAM WEIGHT 30%
This strategy entails buying the stock (that are likely to remain (VRM) 17 readings in total
unchanged or appreciate over the next 30 days) and writing a l This is a deep dive into risk management building on all the
call option (that are slightly in the money) on the stock.
previous concepts within the FRM curriculum and builds strongly
The risk of loss exists and it occurs as the stock price falls. upon the properties of the normal distribution and correlation
The investors breakeven stock price is equal to the cost per with respect to quantifying risk and the way to hedge that risk to
share for the stock bought less the premium per share received desired levels.
for writing the calls. Value-at-Risk (VaR)
The maximum loss will occur when the stock falls to $0, and Expected shortfall (ES)
will equal the cost of the stock less the call premium.
Stress testing and scenario analysis
This strategy should only be used if the outlook suggests the
Option valuation
stocks price will stay relatively unchanged or fall slightly.
It should not be used if the stock could rise or fall by a Fixed income valuation
substantial amount. Hedging
l Another common strategy is a protective (covered) put, also Country and sovereign risk models and management
known as portfolio insurance.
External and internal credit ratings
This strategy entails buying the stock and buying a put option
on the stock. Expected and unexpected losses
This allows the investor to retain the upside potential of the Operational risk
portfolio and limit the downside risk. l Make sure you are very comfortable with correlation problems,
There is the cost of the put, which reduces the investors profit especially how changing correlation impacts risk. Lastly, make
if the stock rises. sure you are very clear on hedging with options and other
derivatives. This section continues into a little bit of content on
The investors maximum loss is equal to the price paid for the credit but the vast majority of credit readings will appear in PartII.
stock and put, less the strike price for the put. The maximum
gain is unlimited and the breakeven point is equal to the sum
of the per share prices paid for the stock and the put. COVARIANCE AND CORRELATION
Portfolio insurance is an attractive strategy if the stock might l While it may be more likely to be tested on concepts (most
rise or fall significantly. It performs poorly if the stock price re- questions ask for an interpretation, e.g. its role in diversification)
mains relatively flat. rather than straight calculations, you should know the formula for
calculating covariance.
l Under the heading of Volatility Risk in the Fixed Income
section above, you were told to remember that an options value Note that the data required to solve for covariance can also
increases when the underlying instruments volatility increases. be used for several other calculations (variance, standard
If the value rises, the writer (seller) of the option will receive deviation, coefficient of variation, correlation, and coefficient
a higher option premium. Thus, higher volatility will cause an of determination). Case in point: Remember that correlation
option to sell at a higher premium. is a standardized measure of the relationship between two
assets. It is dependent on the covariance between two assets.
l For options, FRM candidates should know the difference between So with that in mind, be ready for a 2 3 format question like
American and European options. An American option, which does this one on exam day:
not mean it is only traded in North America, can be exercised
at any time until expiration. In contrast, a European option can Covariance Correlation
be exercised only at expiration. Given the higher flexibility, an a. 2.5 0.3
American option should sell for a price equal to or greater than a b. 2.5 0.60
European option with the same terms. c. 11.6 0.60
l Also, you should know how other factors affect an options value. We interpret that there is a high likelihood of these concepts
FRM candidates should also know the following DIVUTS cheat (co- variance, correlation, etc.) appearing on the exam for the
sheet by heart; it is simple, quick, and a great reference guide following reasons:
that can be used across all three levels.
There is overlap here with the material in Quantitative
Dividends Call Put Methods.
Volatility Call Put
These concepts underlie much of what is done by portfolio
Interest Rate Call Put managers. In addition, it is critical at Part II and is included in
Underlying Asset Price Call Put the Part I curriculum as well. We also interpret that as meaning
Time to Expiration Call Put there is a greater likelihood of this concept appearing on the
exam.
Strike Price Call Put

Wiley 2015
FRM Exam Review efficientlearning.com/frm

These concepts can be indirectly embedded in other


questions.
Accordingly, understanding these concepts is by far more

Smarter Test Prep


valuable than memorizing them.

SWAPS
l FRM candidates should understand the basics of swaps.
www.efficientlearning.com/frm
A swap agreement is a private over-the-counter contract,
where both parties agree to enter into a transaction at some
future date and at an agreed upon price at initiation. Often, Sign Up
no money changes hands at the initiation of the contract (true for Free
for interest rate swaps; not true for currency swaps). Swaps Resources
involve a commitment by both parties and normally involve a and Tips
series of transactions. Today!
Typically, one party to a swap agrees to pay a fixed set of cash
flows in return for a variable set of cash flows from another
party. For example, in an interest rate swap, the fixed-rate
payer agrees to pay a fixed amount each period based on a
fixed interest rate and notional amount determined today.
In return, the counterparty (the floating-rate payer) agrees to
pay a variable amount each period based on a reference rate
applied to the same notional amount agreed to today.
The exam might have FRM candidates estimate the payment
on a swap and maybe even one where the return is negative. It
Everything you need
is important to review the basics of swaps and not be confused
by negative numbers. The trick is to understand that the payer
to pass the FRM Exam
of a negative return in a swap can be interpreted as receiving
the return. For example, by agreeing to pay the S&P 500 return, While I am only one third of the way through volume 1,
the firm has effectively shorted the market. If the market I must say it is splendid! Ironically, it is the most
indeed falls, the firm benefits from the decline because it is informative and I might say tactical, of all the curricula available,
short the market. Often, FRM candidates find drawing a swap yet without being pedantic. A truly valuable resource
diagram to see the swaps flows very helpful. that would aid anyone involved in nance, not just FRM
candidates. Again, bravo! - Mike Mcdonnell, USA

I am very impressed with the quality of the


material from Christian Cooper for FRM part I. Not only they
Free FRM Resources are comprehensive and complete as compared to
Schweser Study Notes or Pristine FRM handbook (Total of 300
To find out more about FRM Exam Review and to access pages) they are easy and convenient to read which
free practice questions, webcasts, our blog, tips and makes dealing with the whole thing a lot easier.
tools visit www.eicientlearning.com/frm. - Ashish Natu, India

We look forward to being your partner in passing After comparing your books with Kaplan, I feel that your
the FRM exam. material is more comprehensive, exam focused
and straight to the point. You wrote your books as a
mentor and practitioner who is guiding the candidate through the
www.eicientlearning.com/frm syllabus in a more eicient and eective way. You
helped me understand what I should focus on and emphasized
www.twitter.com/wiley_nance the most important concepts for the exam...
www.facebook.com/wileyglobalnance - Yu Junli, Singapore

GARP does not endorse, promote, review, or warrant the accuracy of the products or services oered by Wiley of FRM related information, nor
does it endorse any pass rates claimed by the provider. Further, GARP is not responsible for any fees or costs paid by the user to Wiley, nor is GARP
responsible for any fees or costs of any person or entity providing any services to Wiley. FRM, GARP, and Global Association of Risk Professionals
are trademarks owned by the Global Association of Risk Professionals, Inc. Wiley 2015

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