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    6 views16 pages

    15

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    Nguyễn Hoàng Tuấn
    15

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    Cau 13 (GKT-Hian): Cho X(h)~N 2°) la théigian san xuat mét san pham a. Quan sat mat san phém, tinh xdc suat thd’ gian san xuét ra né trén 3,2(h) Hutdng dan: X(h)~ N(3:.22) Xdc suat thdigian san xuat ra nd trén 3,2(h) P(X >3,2)=1- P(X 3, ay=1-7(2252|=0 43382 b. Tinh xdc sua trong 15 sin pham cd khéng qué 2 san phdm ma méi san phém duc sdn xuat trong thoi gian khdng qua 2,5(h) Huténg dan: X4c suat san phdm direc san xuat trong thoi gian khong qua 2,5(h) i 5 P(xsasy-7| 2° 12 } = 0.33846 Goi Y 1a s6san phém cd thoi gian san xuat khdng qué trong 2,5(h) Y ~ B(L5:0, 33846) 2 PW s2) => C}.0,33846" (1-0,33846)"* = = Cau 14 (HK11617): Trong luong sin phém cia nha may H la bin ngiu nhién X eo ph8n phéi chuan voi trong lugng trung binh 18 100g v8 4 Ich chudn {8 0,45g. SEn phdmcé trong long ty 98g 480 101gTS san phdm 6 trong lvong dat chun 3. Tinh ty 8 s8n phSm cé trongluong dat chun cla nha may H Huéng dan: X 1B trong lutcng s8n phém Ee nh8 my H X'~ 1¥(100:0,45") /=0,973736 7) lesan phe dat chugn P(99<.X'<101) =F sel ( U 04s J b. Tinh xde suat dé trong 1000 san pham chon ngéu-nhién cue nh’ may H cd itnhat 950s pham <6 trong luong dat chugn Hudng di Goi ¥ [a 58 sn phm 6 trong Ivong dat chun trong 1000 sn phdm duoc chon neu nhién cla nha may H nén ¥.cé phn phéi nhi the ¥ ~ B(1000;0,973736) Do nlén va p khang gin 0 cling khéng gn 1 nén ta xp si theo phan phdi chudn véi = 1000.0,973736 =973, 736;<° =1000.0, 973736,(1-0,973736} = 25, 5742023 ¥~ (973, 736;25, 5742023) 5 st ['950-973.736 | 5 P(¥2950)=1-P(¥<950)=1-7 , 999986563 ¢ ¢ )= 1S eeeemeerene| Cau 2 (HK 111314): Nha may M san xudt mot laai truc may ed durong kinh la bién ngdu nhién X ed phan phéi chuan véi duong kinh trung binh 11,2 cm va dé l@ch chudn |2.0,01 cm. Doanh nghiép H mua loai truc may nay cia nha may M vdi gid 30.000 déng/truc va ban véi gid 40.000 déng/truc d6i véi truc cé dung kinh ti 1,18 cm dén 1,22 cm, 25.000 déng/truc déi vai truced durang kinh nhd hon 1,18.cm hodc lén hon 1,22 cm. Goi Ya sé tién Iai doanh nghiép H thu duge khi ban mét trucméy leai nay. Tinh ky vong va phuong sai cla Y. Hung dan: X cO phan phéi chuan véi dung kinh trung binh la 1,2 m va 6 léch chun [8 0,01 cm nén: X ~N(.2:0,00) Xdc suat truc cé duéng kinh tir 1,18 cm dén 1,22 cm Poise x <12)=2/ 1 Bot) -o( wes 2 see = = 0.9545 ool J 0.01 } Yt 86 tién lai doanh nghiép H thu duoc khi ban mét truc may nén ta cd bang ppxs y__| _25000-30000=-so00 | 40000-30000 =10000 p | I= POISEX <1,22)=0,0455 | PULISSX <1.22)= 0.9545 S6 tién lai trung binh khi baén mt truc may la EY =—5000.0,0455 +10000. 9317.5 (dang) b. Chong 1.6 200 trang, chung 2 cd 100 trang, chutong 3 cé 400 trang. Tinh xdc su at mdi chirong cé khng qué 3 [di chinh t& Huréng dai Goi X, 18 s616i trung binh cé trong churong i (i=1,2,3) X~ ~P[ 200. ee P(4) X,~P(100.\e> x, ~P(2) \ ( 100} | Xac suat dé trong mdi chucng cd khdng qué 3 Idichinh ta ‘TA: Nguyén Sire Toan X, ~ P| 400. mes ~P(8) Trang BAI TAP ON TAP PHAN XAC SUAT-LOP TRO’ GIANG HK Il 2016-2017 p= P(X, <3) P(X; £3) P(X; <3)=| Ye kl aw Cau 11 (D8 GK C.Trang): X4c suat 8 mdi san pham do nha may X san xuat khdng str dung duoc la p. Nha may X 43 sn xuat n sn phdm. Néu cé itnhét k san phdm strung duroc thi nhS may sé [di Qddng/1 sn pham, ngurgc lai sé loi W déng/1 san pham. Tinh s6 tian lai trung binh cho 1s8n pham Huéng dan: Xdc suat dé sn pham nha may X stv dung duce [a L-p A la s6 sn phdm str dung duoc cla nha may X, As® cé phan phéi nhithtrc A~B(ml=p) Gidstn, knhd Xac suat dé co it nhat k san pham sit dung duoc P(A=k)= 1C* (1p) -p™* Goi Y a 96 tién lai cho 1 san phdm cua nha may X y | Q | Ww ° Delpy 2" Perez) py i ag 86 ti&n 13% trung binh cho 1 sn phdm cia nha may x 1a er=0|$-c(1-p)' am ew [Ber (=p) | = Lick Cau 10 (Bé GK C.Nhung): Gid si’ 16i trong mét cuén tiéu thuyét 18 bién ngau nhién cd phan phdi chuan Poisson. Trung binh 100 trang tiéu thuyét cé 2 Idi chinh ta. Tinh xc swat a. Trong 500 trang tiéu thuyét c6 khéng qua 8 Idi chinh ta. Huéng dn: _ | Posen BY Goi X [a sé I6itrung binh cé trong 500 trang tigu thuyét ¥ ~P( 500 a |e x~P(10) } Xdc suat dé trong 500 trang tiéu thuyét cd khdng qua 8 Idi chinh ta: ov 10° P(X<8)= Be “ar CAu 12 (GKT.Hién); Goi X la s6 tai nan lac déng trong mét thang (X cd phan phéi Poison) gia str P(X=0)=0,17 a. Tinh E(X) Huréng dan: Goi X 1a 86 tai nan lao déng trong mét thang X~P(2) i P(X =0)=0,17 oe" £ -017-24-n( 1.) # or 0.17 TA: Nguyén Bic Toan BAI TAP ON TAP PHAN XAC SUAT-LOP TRO’ GIANG HK II 2016-2017 aaaf (ck B(x)==u{ 555) Cau 7 (HK II 1516): Trong long san pham cia nha méy H la bién ngdu nhién X co phan phi chudn voi trong luong trung binh la 100 gam va 46 l&ch chuan la 0,5 gam. Tinh xde suat dé trong 10 san pham cia nha may H khéng cé san phdm nao trong luong dudi 99 gam. Huéng dan: X [a trong luvong sn phdm cla nh3 méy H cé trong lvong trung binh 18 @=100 gam va d& léch chudn la o=0,5gam X ~ N@00:0.5°) 9=100 } _ 0.0207: 05 P(X <99)= P| \ Xac cudt dé khéng od sn phdm nao dirdi 99 gam trong 10 sén phdm ciia nha méy P=Ch.0,02275" (1-0,02275)" = 0,7944321128 Cu 8 (HK | 1314): Thdi gian can thiét dé san xudt mét san pham la bién ngau nhién xX (don vi: phut) cd phan phéi chudn N(8;4). Goi Y la s6 san pham cé thdi gian san xuat khéng qua 9 phut trong 4 san pham da san xuat. Tinh EY, DY, Mody Huéng dan: X 18 thoi gian cAn thiét dé san xudt mét san pham X ~ N(8;4) 9-8 a Y las6 san pham cé thi gian khdng qué 9 phut trong 4 san phaém d@ san xuat nan Y nhén cdc gid tri 0,1,2,3,4 P(X 59) -»( }-0 69146 P(¥ =0) =C}.0,69146" (1-0, 69146)‘ = 0,009062455 PQ =1) = C}.0,691461.1 —0,69146)' = 0,08123842196 P(¥ =2) =Cj.0,69146° (1-0, 69146)" = 0,273091589 P(¥ =3) = Cj.0,69146°.(1—0,69146)' =0, 408011733 P(Y =4) =C}.0,69146*.(1-0,69146)° = 0,2285958003 EY = 0.P(Y =0)+LP(Y =1)+2.P(Y = 2)+3.P(Y = 3)+4.P(Y = 4) = 2, 76584 DY =07.P(Y =0)+1.P(¥ =1)+2.P(Y = 2)+3°.P(Y =3) +4°.P(¥ =4)-(EV) =0,8533722736 ‘Mody =3 C4u 9 (Dé GK C.Trang): Can nang cia mét gidng ga (don vi: kg) lA BNN X co ludt phan phdi N(3;0,25). Mat con ga goi la dat tiéu chuan néu c4n nang cla ndélén hon 2,5 kg. Mat ngu’di mua 10 con ga loai nay. Tinh xac suat ngudi nay mua dugc nhiéu nhat 9 con dat tiéu chuan. Huong dan: 25-3 0,25 Goi Y la s6.ga dat tiéu chuan trong 10 con ga ngudi nay da mua Y ~ B(10;0,84134) Xac suat ga dat tiéu chuan p= P(X > 2,8) =1- P(X <2,5) => |-ons X XAc suat dé ngudi nay mua duc nhiéu nhat 9 con ga dat tiéu chuan P(Y<9)=1-P(¥>9)=1-P(Y¥=10)=1-Cy} p* (1—p)’ Cau 3 (HK 11445); Nha may M san xuat mét loai truc may cé dudng kinh la bién ngdu nhién X 6 phan ph6i chudn voi dudng kinh trung binh 18 1,2.cm va 46 l&ch chudn [a 0,01 cm. Nha may M d@ san xudt 10000 truc may loai nay. Goi Y la sd truc co dudng kinh tir 1,18 cm dén 1,22 cm trong 10000truc da san xut. Tinh ky vong, phutong sai cla Y va P(Y = 9500) Hudng dan: X 1a duéng kinh cla truc may cé phan phéi chuan véi dudng kinhtrung binh [a 1,2.em va a6 léch chudn [a.0,01cm X~N(.2:0,01) Xéc suat truc cd dudng kinh tu 1,18 cm dén 1,22 om POAGS¥<1,22)=P( 1,22-1,2)_ p( 118-12 aor J} (wee). 0.9545 Ylasé truccd dutng kinh tir 1,18 cm dén 1,22 cm trong 10000 truc dd san xuat nén Y cé phan phdinhi thirc ¥ ~ B(10000:0,9545) Ky vong cila ¥: EY = 10000.0.9545 =9545 Phuong sai cla Y: DY =10000.0,9545.1—0,9545) =434, 2975 (9500-9545 \Ja34.2975 P(¥ 29500) =1- P(Y < 9500) =1- P roses b. Tinh xéc sudt cé khéng qué 3 tai nan lao déng trong mét thang Huréng dan: Xac suat cd khong qua 3 tai nan lao dong trong mat thang P(X <3)=P(¥=0)+P(X=1)+P(X 2)+ P(X =3)=0. yes 0,8958 io kt C4u 1 (HK | 1314):X4csuat mdi san phdm do nha may M san xudt khong sir dung duc la 0,001. Nha may M a3 san xudt doc 5000 sn phm. Tinh xée suat od itnhdt 4995 sn phdm str dung duoc. Huéng dan: Goi XA 86 san phdm khong sit dung duge cia nha may M Ive nay X~ B(5000:0,001) Do n qua Idn va p qué nhé nén ta xdp siphan phdi nhi thirc qua phan phi Poison voi tham sé A=n_p=5000.0,001=5 X~P(5) é sé san phdm sir dung duc lA 4995 san pham thisé san phdm KHONG str dung duoc téi da lA 5 san pham (tirO'dén 5 san pham) gift PO

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