AO P (mm) Q (m3/s) DETERMINAR LAS PRUEBAS DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE CON LA

1965 90.50 8.64

1966 85.00 8.12 m X (mm) P1 (X) = m/(N+1)

1967 88.50 8.45 1 74.50 0.0323

1968 89.50 8.55 2 75.50 0.0645
1969 90.00 8.59 3 75.50 0.0968
1970 83.50 7.97 4 76.00 0.1290
1971 83.00 7.93 5 76.50 0.1613
1972 81.00 7.73 6 77.00 0.1935
1973 80.50 7.69 7 77.50 0.2258
1974 91.50 8.74 8 78.00 0.2581
1975 80.00 7.64 9 78.50 0.2903
1976 82.50 7.88 10 79.00 0.3226
1977 84.00 8.02 11 79.50 0.3548
1978 84.50 8.07 12 80.00 0.3871
1979 85.50 8.16 13 80.50 0.4194
1980 75.50 7.21 14 81.00 0.4516
1981 78.00 7.45 15 82.00 0.4839
1982 78.50 7.50 16 82.50 0.5161
1983 79.50 7.59 17 83.00 0.5484
1984 79.00 7.54 18 83.00 0.5806
1985 77.50 7.40 19 83.50 0.6129
1986 83.00 7.93 20 84.00 0.6452
1987 77.00 7.35 21 84.50 0.6774
1988 75.50 7.21 22 85.00 0.7097
1989 76.00 7.26 23 85.50 0.7419
1990 76.50 7.30 24 88.50 0.7742
1991 82.00 7.83 25 89.00 0.8065
1992 89.00 8.50 26 89.50 0.8387
1993 74.50 7.11 27 90.00 0.8710
1994 100.00 9.55 28 90.50 0.9032
29 91.50 0.9355
N= 30.00 30 100.00 0.9677
Promedio= 82.70
Desv.est= 5.94

X X acumulado
74.50 74.50
75.50 150.00
ANALISIS
75.50 225.50
105
76.00 301.50
76.50 378.00 100
77.00 455.00
ipitaciones (mm)

95

90

85
 105

100

Precipitaciones (mm)
95
77.50 532.50
78.00 610.50 90

78.50 689.00 85
79.00 768.00
80
79.50 847.50
80.00 927.50 75

80.50 1008.00 70
0 500 1000
81.00 1089.00
82.00 1171.00 Precip
82.50 1253.50
83.00 1336.50
83.00 1419.50
83.50 1503.00
84.00 1587.00
84.50 1671.50
85.00 1756.50
PRECIPITACION
85.50 1842.00
88.50 1930.50
89.00 2019.50
89.50 2109.00
90.00 2199.00
90.50 2289.50
91.50 2381.00
100.00 2481.00

70
0
REGISTRO HIST
DISTRIB.LOG NO
Column U

Tr ( AOS) P (mm) Tr (AOS)

31.00 100.00 31.00
15.50 91.50 15.50
10.33 90.50 10.33
7.75 90.00 7.75
6.20 89.50 6.20
5.17 89.00 5.17
4.43 88.50 4.43
3.88 85.50 3.88
3.44 85.00 3.44
3.10 84.50 3.10
2.82 84.00 2.82
2.58 83.50 2.58
2.38 83.00 2.38
2.21 83.00 2.21
2.07 82.50 2.07
1.94 82.00 1.94
1.82 81.00 1.82
1.72 80.50 1.72
1.63 80.00 1.63
1.55 79.50 1.55
1.48 79.00 1.48
1.41 78.50 1.41
1.35 78.00 1.35
1.29 77.50 1.29
1.24 77.00 1.24
1.19 76.50 1.19
1.15 76.00 1.15
1.11 75.50 1.11
1.07 75.50 1.07

CURVA
120.00

100.00

80.00

60.00

40.00

20.00

0.00
1 6 11

Tr = 31
 m X (m3/s) P1 (X) = m/(N+1)
1 7.11 0.0323
2 7.21 0.0645
3 7.21 0.0968
4 7.26 0.1290
5 7.30 0.1613
6 7.35 0.1935
7 7.40 0.2258
8 7.45 0.2581
9 7.50 0.2903
10 7.54 0.3226
11 7.59 0.3548
12 7.64 0.3871
13 7.69 0.4194
14 7.73 0.4516
15 7.83 0.4839
16 7.88 0.5161
17 7.93 0.5484
18 7.93 0.5806
19 7.97 0.6129
20 8.02 0.6452
21 8.07 0.6774
22 8.12 0.7097
23 8.16 0.7419
24 8.45 0.7742
25 8.50 0.8065
26 8.55 0.8387
27 8.59 0.8710
28 8.64 0.9032
29 8.74 0.9355
30 9.55 0.9677

Q prom = 7.90 m3/s

Desv.esta= 0.57 m3/s
 BONDAD DE AJUSTE CON LA PRUEBA KOLMOGOROV SMIRNOS (K-S)

P1(X)*100 P2 (X) = m/N P2(X)*100 Z = (X-PROMEDIO)/S F (Z) /F(Z) - P1(X)/

3.23 0.0333 3.33 -1.38 0.0836 0.0514

6.45 0.0667 6.67 -1.21 0.1126 0.0481
9.68 0.1000 10.00 -1.21 0.1126 0.0159
12.90 0.1333 13.33 -1.13 0.1296 0.0005
16.13 0.1667 16.67 -1.04 0.1482 0.0131
19.35 0.2000 20.00 -0.96 0.1685 0.0250
22.58 0.2333 23.33 -0.88 0.1906 0.0352
25.81 0.2667 26.67 -0.79 0.2143 0.0438
29.03 0.3000 30.00 -0.71 0.2397 0.0507
32.26 0.3333 33.33 -0.62 0.2666 0.0560
35.48 0.3667 36.67 -0.54 0.2950 0.0599
38.71 0.4000 40.00 -0.45 0.3246 0.0625
41.94 0.4333 43.33 -0.37 0.3555 0.0639
45.16 0.4667 46.67 -0.29 0.3873 0.0643
48.39 0.5000 50.00 -0.12 0.4531 0.0308
51.61 0.5333 53.33 -0.03 0.4866 0.0296
54.84 0.5667 56.67 0.05 0.5201 0.0282
58.06 0.6000 60.00 0.05 0.5201 0.0605
61.29 0.6333 63.33 0.13 0.5536 0.0593
64.52 0.6667 66.67 0.22 0.5867 0.0585
67.74 0.7000 70.00 0.30 0.6191 0.0583
70.97 0.7333 73.33 0.39 0.6508 0.0589
74.19 0.7667 76.67 0.47 0.6814 0.0605
77.42 0.8000 80.00 0.98 0.8357 0.0615
80.65 0.8333 83.33 1.06 0.8557 0.0492
83.87 0.8667 86.67 1.15 0.8740 0.0352
87.10 0.9000 90.00 1.23 0.8906 0.0196
90.32 0.9333 93.33 1.31 0.9055 0.0023
93.55 0.9667 96.67 1.48 0.9308 0.0046
96.77 1.0000 100.00 2.91 0.9982 0.0305

tabular = 0.0643
o = 0.24
(P=95%)
( = 5%)

CONDICIN: o > tabular

ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
105

100

95

90

85
105

100

95

90

85

80

75

70
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500

Precipitaciones acumuladas (mm)

PRECIPITACIONES DE DISEO POR LOS MTODOS ESTADSTICOS PRECIPITA

R = 0.9997901237

70
0 2 20 200
REGISTRO HISTRICO DISTRIB.NORMAL DISTRIB.LOG NORMAL 2P 70
DISTRIB.LOG NORMAL 3P DISTRIB.GAMMA 3P DISTRIB.LOG PEARSON III 2
Column U DISTRIB.LOG GUMBEL

1 2 3 4 5 6
100.00 50.00 33.33 25.00 20.00 16.67
90.50 45.25 30.17 22.63 18.10 15.08
90.50 45.25 30.17 22.63 18.10 15.08
90.00 45.00 30.00 22.50 18.00 15.00
89.50 44.75 29.83 22.38 17.90 14.92
89.00 44.50 29.67 22.25 17.80 14.83
88.50 44.25 29.50 22.13 17.70 14.75
85.50 42.75 28.50 21.38 17.10 14.25
85.00 42.50 28.33 21.25 17.00 14.17
84.50 42.25 28.17 21.13 16.90 14.08
84.00 42.00 28.00 21.00 16.80 14.00
83.50 41.75 27.83 20.88 16.70 13.92
83.00 41.50 27.67 20.75 16.60 13.83
83.00 41.50 27.67 20.75 16.60 13.83
82.50 41.25 27.50 20.63 16.50 13.75
82.00 41.00 27.33 20.50 16.40 13.67
81.00 40.50 27.00 20.25 16.20 13.50
80.50 40.25 26.83 20.13 16.10 13.42
80.00 40.00 26.67 20.00 16.00 13.33
79.50 39.75 26.50 19.88 15.90 13.25
79.00 39.50 26.33 19.75 15.80 13.17
78.50 39.25 26.17 19.63 15.70 13.08
78.00 39.00 26.00 19.50 15.60 13.00
77.50 38.75 25.83 19.38 15.50 12.92
77.00 38.50 25.67 19.25 15.40 12.83
76.50 38.25 25.50 19.13 15.30 12.75
76.00 38.00 25.33 19.00 15.20 12.67
75.50 37.75 25.17 18.88 15.10 12.58
75.50 37.75 25.17 18.88 15.10 12.58

CURVAS I-D-F I-D-Tr

6 11 16 21 26

Tr = 31 aos Tr = 2 aos
P1(X)*100 P2 (X) = m/N P2(X)*100 Z = (X-PROMEDIO)/S F (Z) /F(Z) - P1(X)/
3.23 0.0333 3.33 -1.38 0.084 0.0514
6.45 0.0667 6.67 -1.21 0.113 0.0481
9.68 0.1000 10.00 -1.21 0.113 0.0159
12.90 0.1333 13.33 -1.13 0.130 0.0005
16.13 0.1667 16.67 -1.04 0.148 0.0131
19.35 0.2000 20.00 -0.96 0.169 0.0250
22.58 0.2333 23.33 -0.88 0.191 0.0352
25.81 0.2667 26.67 -0.79 0.214 0.0438
29.03 0.3000 30.00 -0.71 0.240 0.0507
32.26 0.3333 33.33 -0.62 0.267 0.0560
35.48 0.3667 36.67 -0.54 0.295 0.0599
38.71 0.4000 40.00 -0.45 0.325 0.0625
41.94 0.4333 43.33 -0.37 0.355 0.0639
45.16 0.4667 46.67 -0.29 0.387 0.0643
48.39 0.5000 50.00 -0.12 0.453 0.0308
51.61 0.5333 53.33 -0.03 0.487 0.0296
54.84 0.5667 56.67 0.05 0.520 0.0282
58.06 0.6000 60.00 0.05 0.520 0.0605
61.29 0.6333 63.33 0.13 0.554 0.0593
64.52 0.6667 66.67 0.22 0.587 0.0585
67.74 0.7000 70.00 0.30 0.619 0.0583
70.97 0.7333 73.33 0.39 0.651 0.0589
74.19 0.7667 76.67 0.47 0.681 0.0605
77.42 0.8000 80.00 0.98 0.836 0.0615
80.65 0.8333 83.33 1.06 0.856 0.0492
83.87 0.8667 86.67 1.15 0.874 0.0352
87.10 0.9000 90.00 1.23 0.891 0.0196
90.32 0.9333 93.33 1.31 0.906 0.0023
93.55 0.9667 96.67 1.48 0.931 0.0046
96.77 1.0000 100.00 2.91 0.998 0.0305

tabular = 0.0643
o = 0.24
(P=95%)
( = 5%)

CONDICIN: o > tabular

 PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE KOLMOGOROV - SMIRNOV (K - S)
/F(Z) - P2(X)/ 105

0.0503 100
0.0460
0.0126 Precipitacin (mm) 95

0.0038
0.0185 90

0.0315
85
0.0428
0.0524
80
0.0603
0.0667
75
0.0717
0.0754 70
0.0778 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
0.0794
Probabilidad (%)
0.0469
0.0468 REGISTRO HISTRICO F (Z)
0.0465
0.0799
0.0797 F (Z)
0.0800 P(%) P(mm)
0.0809 16 76.76
0.0826 50 82.70
0.0853 80 88.64
0.0357
0.0223
0.0073
0.0094
0.0278
0.0358
0.0018

0.0853

CUMPLE
 MTODOS ESTADSTICOS O DISTRIBUCIONES
Tr (aos)
NORMAL LOG NORMAL 2P LOG NORMAL 3P GAMMA 3P
2 82.70 82.50 81.58 81.83
5 87.70 87.51 86.93 87.27
10 90.31 90.26 90.56 90.65
25 93.10 93.27 95.22 94.67
50 94.90 95.28 98.74 97.51
100 96.51 97.12 102.29 100.22
200 98.00 98.83 105.91 102.83

PRECIPITACIONES DE DISEO POR LOS MTODOS ESTADSTICOS

R = 0.9997901237

70
2 20 200
DISTRIB.LOG GUMBEL Logarithmic (DISTRIB.LOG GUMBEL)

DURACIONES EN HORAS
7 8 9 10 11
14.29 12.50 11.11 10.00 9.09
12.93 11.31 10.06 9.05 8.23
12.93 11.31 10.06 9.05 8.23
12.86 11.25 10.00 9.00 8.18
12.79 11.19 9.94 8.95 8.14
12.71 11.13 9.89 8.90 8.09
12.64 11.06 9.83 8.85 8.05
12.21 10.69 9.50 8.55 7.77
12.14 10.63 9.44 8.50 7.73
12.07 10.56 9.39 8.45 7.68
12.00 10.50 9.33 8.40 7.64
11.93 10.44 9.28 8.35 7.59
11.86 10.38 9.22 8.30 7.55
11.86 10.38 9.22 8.30 7.55
11.79 10.31 9.17 8.25 7.50
11.71 10.25 9.11 8.20 7.45
11.57 10.13 9.00 8.10 7.36
11.50 10.06 8.94 8.05 7.32
11.43 10.00 8.89 8.00 7.27
11.36 9.94 8.83 7.95 7.23
11.29 9.88 8.78 7.90 7.18
11.21 9.81 8.72 7.85 7.14
11.14 9.75 8.67 7.80 7.09
11.07 9.69 8.61 7.75 7.05
11.00 9.63 8.56 7.70 7.00
10.93 9.56 8.50 7.65 6.95
10.86 9.50 8.44 7.60 6.91
10.79 9.44 8.39 7.55 6.86
10.79 9.44 8.39 7.55 6.86
/F(Z) - P2(X)/ PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE KOLMOGOROV - SMIRNOV (K
0.0503 10.00
0.0460
0.0126 9.50
0.0038
9.00
0.0185
0.0315 8.50

Caudales (m3/s)
0.0428
0.0524 8.00
0.0603
7.50
0.0667
0.0717 7.00
0.0754
0.0778 6.50
0.0794
6.00
0.0469 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
0.0468
0.0465 Probabilidad (%)

0.0799 REGISTRO HISTRICO F (Z)

0.0797
0.0800
0.0809
0.0826 F (Z)
0.0853 P(%) Q (m3/s)
0.0357 16 7.33
0.0223 50 7.90
0.0073 80 8.46
0.0094
0.0278
0.0358
0.0018

0.0853

CUMPLE

MTODOS ESTADSTICOS O DISTRIBUCIONES (CAUDALES)

Tr (aos)
NORMAL LOG NORMAL 2P LOG NORMAL 3P GAMMA 3P
 2 82.70
5 87.70
10 90.31
25 93.10
50 94.90
100 96.51
200 98.00
KOLMOGOROV - SMIRNOV (K - S)

0 60 70 80 90 100

ad (%)

RICO F (Z)
COS O DISTRIBUCIONES
LOG PEARSON III GUMBEL LOG GUMBEL
81.83 81.72 81.56
87.19 86.97 86.77
90.58 90.45 90.40
94.70 94.83 95.21
97.68 98.09 98.94
100.58 101.32 102.79
103.42 104.54 106.77

PRECIPITACIONES DE DISEO POR LOS MTODOS ESTADSTICOS

R = 0.9994699578

200 70
2 20 200
DISTRIB.LOG NORMAL 3P Logarithmic (DISTRIB.LOG NORMAL 3P)

ACIONES EN HORAS
12 13 14 15 16 17 18
8.33 7.69 7.14 6.67 6.25 5.88 5.56
7.54 6.96 6.46 6.03 5.66 5.32 5.03
7.54 6.96 6.46 6.03 5.66 5.32 5.03
7.50 6.92 6.43 6.00 5.63 5.29 5.00
7.46 6.88 6.39 5.97 5.59 5.26 4.97
7.42 6.85 6.36 5.93 5.56 5.24 4.94
7.38 6.81 6.32 5.90 5.53 5.21 4.92
7.13 6.58 6.11 5.70 5.34 5.03 4.75
7.08 6.54 6.07 5.67 5.31 5.00 4.72
7.04 6.50 6.04 5.63 5.28 4.97 4.69
7.00 6.46 6.00 5.60 5.25 4.94 4.67
6.96 6.42 5.96 5.57 5.22 4.91 4.64
6.92 6.38 5.93 5.53 5.19 4.88 4.61
6.92 6.38 5.93 5.53 5.19 4.88 4.61
6.88 6.35 5.89 5.50 5.16 4.85 4.58
6.83 6.31 5.86 5.47 5.13 4.82 4.56
6.75 6.23 5.79 5.40 5.06 4.76 4.50
6.71 6.19 5.75 5.37 5.03 4.74 4.47
6.67 6.15 5.71 5.33 5.00 4.71 4.44
6.63 6.12 5.68 5.30 4.97 4.68 4.42
6.58 6.08 5.64 5.27 4.94 4.65 4.39
6.54 6.04 5.61 5.23 4.91 4.62 4.36
6.50 6.00 5.57 5.20 4.88 4.59 4.33
6.46 5.96 5.54 5.17 4.84 4.56 4.31
6.42 5.92 5.50 5.13 4.81 4.53 4.28
6.38 5.88 5.46 5.10 4.78 4.50 4.25
6.33 5.85 5.43 5.07 4.75 4.47 4.22
6.29 5.81 5.39 5.03 4.72 4.44 4.19
6.29 5.81 5.39 5.03 4.72 4.44 4.19
AJUSTE KOLMOGOROV - SMIRNOV (K - S)

40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Probabilidad (%)

RO HISTRICO F (Z)

DISTRIBUCIONES (CAUDALES)
LOG PEARSON III GUMBEL LOG GUMBEL
S

200
3P)

19 20 21 22 23 24
5.26 5.00 4.76 4.55 4.35 4.17
4.76 4.53 4.31 4.11 3.93 3.77
4.76 4.53 4.31 4.11 3.93 3.77
4.74 4.50 4.29 4.09 3.91 3.75
4.71 4.48 4.26 4.07 3.89 3.73
4.68 4.45 4.24 4.05 3.87 3.71
4.66 4.43 4.21 4.02 3.85 3.69
4.50 4.28 4.07 3.89 3.72 3.56
4.47 4.25 4.05 3.86 3.70 3.54
4.45 4.23 4.02 3.84 3.67 3.52
4.42 4.20 4.00 3.82 3.65 3.50
4.39 4.18 3.98 3.80 3.63 3.48
4.37 4.15 3.95 3.77 3.61 3.46
4.37 4.15 3.95 3.77 3.61 3.46
4.34 4.13 3.93 3.75 3.59 3.44
4.32 4.10 3.90 3.73 3.57 3.42
4.26 4.05 3.86 3.68 3.52 3.38
4.24 4.03 3.83 3.66 3.50 3.35
4.21 4.00 3.81 3.64 3.48 3.33
4.18 3.98 3.79 3.61 3.46 3.31
4.16 3.95 3.76 3.59 3.43 3.29
4.13 3.93 3.74 3.57 3.41 3.27
4.11 3.90 3.71 3.55 3.39 3.25
4.08 3.88 3.69 3.52 3.37 3.23
4.05 3.85 3.67 3.50 3.35 3.21
4.03 3.83 3.64 3.48 3.33 3.19
4.00 3.80 3.62 3.45 3.30 3.17
3.97 3.78 3.60 3.43 3.28 3.15
3.97 3.78 3.60 3.43 3.28 3.15