Professional Documents
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SIRS – based
“Severe Sepsis”
Different criteria
yielding different results
SIRS Sensitivity
Confusing
Most people say “sepsis” when they mean
“severe sepsis”
Is “severe sepsis” really needed ?
Different Criteria, Different Results
Germany – 60.5%
Heublein et al, In press
CONSENSUS
Key Distinctions
Key Distinctions
As opposed to the
“regulated host response”
that characterizes the non-septic response to infection
The Definition of Septic Shock
More problematic
Is septic shock sepsis where the dysfunctional organ is the
cardiovascular system ?
Task force opinion - NO
Also involves cellular/metabolic abnormalities
Clinical criteria
Existing
Newly derived and validated
Clinical criteria for sepsis
1 2
Infected
Septic
Really
sick
We did not..
Study criteria for infection
Build an alert or sniffer among non-infected patients
We did..
Really
sick Cases
Our challenges
>700,000 encounters
Transfer to ICU
Admission to ED
Time of infection
Discharge
suspected
72 hrs
6 hrs
Variables Statistic
Total encounters 148,907
Confirmed bacteremia 6,875 (5)
Age, mean (SD) 61 (19)
Male, no. (%) 63,311 (43)
Onset of infection within 48 hrs, no. (%) 128,358 (86)
Location when infection suspected, no. (%)
Emergency department 65,934 (44)
Ward 49354 (33)
Intensive care 15,768 (11)
Distribution of existing criteria
50
ICU only (N=7,932) 50 50
40 40 40
Proportion (%)
30 30 30
20 20 20
10 10 10
0 0 0
0 1 2 3 4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
No. of
9
4
7
6
5
2
4
8
2
9
8
7
3
4
4
5
8
7
8
3
2
3
2
8
7
7
0
1
0
5
2
4
1
32
60
37
69
92
68
77
86
55
54
48
28
28
16
35
24
45
62
77
87
86
80
69
58
46
39
31
25
17
13
10
17
26
99
45
85
36
patients
These criteria are complex
2,
2,
1,
40 40 40
Proportion (%)
30 30 30
20 20 20
10 10 10
0 0 0
0 1 2 3 4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
30
57
52
No. of
77
40
5
8
8
3
1
90
72
41
20
31
16 56 0
9, 67
5, 90
3, 13
1, 26
1, 92
7
15 8 9
4, 5
8
2
6
1
8
8
52
2
7, 9
4, 8
1, 6
1, 0
8
,1
,3
,8
62
41
23
16
11
04
patients
78
44
36
21
12
11
12
8
42
87
42
60
08
6,
1,
,0
6
0
3
9
20
22
15
,7
,0
,
27
29
SIRS criteria SOFA score Logistic organ dysfunction score
Developing new criteria
Focus on timeliness, ease of use
Studied 21 variables from Sepsis-2
Multivariable logistic regression for in-hospital mortality
Altered mentation
100
10
0.1
Baseline risk (%) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
0.9 1.3 14.0
Median
Minimum 0.6 1.1 Decile
13.3 of15.1
14.6
16.1
baseline 17.0
15.6 risk
16.6 of17.9 18.8
in-hospital
17.4 18.3
20.0
19.2
21.9
20.9
Maximum 1.1 13.2 14.6 15.6 mortality
16.5 17.4 18.3 19.2 20.9 26.8
100
10
0.1
Baseline risk (%) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Median 0.2 0.8 1.4 1.9 2.4 2.9 3.4 3.9 4.6 6.2
Minimum 0.2 0.6 Decile
1.1 of1.6baseline
2.1 risk
2.6 of 3.1
in-hospital
3.6 4.2 5.2
Maximum 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.6 4.2 5.2 17.7
mortality
Decile of baseline risk for in-hospital mortality
Change in SOFA
Increase by 2 or SOFA points from baseline
Greater predictive validity than SIRS criteria
Similar to SOFA alone
Serum lactate
Not retained during qSOFA model build
Serum lactate at various thresholds added to qSOFA
10
Sensitivity
Sensitivity
Baseline risk
qSOFA + baseline
qSOFA + lactate ≥2.0
0.1
+ baseline 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Baseline risk (%)
Median 1.0 1.9 2.7 3.4 4.2 5.0 5.8 6.7 7.9 10.4
Minimum 0.6 Decile
1.4 of baseline
2.3 3.0 3.8 risk
4.6 of5.4in-hospital
6.2 7.3 8.9
1 - 1-specificity Maximum 1.4 2.3 3.0 3.8 4.6 5.4 6.3 7.3 8.9 30.3
Specificity
mortality
Decile of baseline risk for in-hospital mortality
Conclusions
In the ICU, the SOFA and LODS have greater predictive
validity than qSOFA or SIRS
1991
Sepsis-induced hypotension, persisting despite adequate
fluid resuscitation, along with the presence of hypoperfusion
abnormalities or organ dysfunction
2001
State of acute circulatory failure characterized by persistent
arterial hypotension unexplained by other causes
Validation cohort
12 hospitals in Pennsylvania (UPMC)
2010-2012; n = 1,309,025
20 Hospitals (Kaiser Permanente Northern California, KPNC)
2009-2013; n = 1,847,165
Systematic review
Systematic review
Wide heterogeneity
Circulatory dysfunction
Hypotension after adequate fluid resuscitation
Outcome
Acute hospital mortality
6 patient groups based on 3 variables
hypotension Prevalence
vasopressor lactate >2
after fluids (SSC)
Group 1 Yes Yes Yes 42.3%
Clinical criteria
Hypotension requiring use of vasopressors to maintain MAP
≥65 mmHg and having a serum lactate >2 mmol/l persisting
despite adequate fluid resuscitation
Controversies, Concerns and FAQs
Mervyn Singer
University College London, London, UK
Task Force Co-chair
Soft launch
talking publicly for >1 year – really useful feedback
extensive informal peer review
formal peer review by >30 (inter)national societies
(developed and developing world) + JAMA process
heard/considered most (all ?) of the arguments
Some of the concerns raised …
‘SIRS is vital to diagnose sepsis and to treat patients early’
‘SOFA won’t be measured daily on every patient’
‘do I need to measure SOFA twice to measure change’
‘lactate should be in the sepsis criteria’
‘lactate should go from the septic shock criteria’
’80% of the world cannot measure lactate’
‘why not shock = hyperlactatemia OR hypotension?’
‘patients will die if we wait until qSOFA hits ≥2 before treating’
‘why don’t we just use qSOFA to diagnose sepsis?’
‘the coders won’t like it’
‘what about children?’ …
A pragmatic offering
predictive validity
can also occur with liver disease, catecholamine Rx, other drugs ..