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A Clash of Mentalities Uncertainty Creat
A Clash of Mentalities Uncertainty Creat
Clash of Mentalities:
Uncertainty, Creativity, and Complexity in Times of Upheaval
Alfonso Montuori
California Institute of Integral Studies
San Francisco, California
amontuori@ciis.edu
Why Uncertainty?
Uncertainty: It’s been an intrinsic part of human existence for as long as human
beings have walked the earth. At the beginning of the 21st century, we find it takes
Social theorists Zia Sardar and Zygmunt Bauman argue that we are, respectively, in
“runaway world.” (Bauman, 2005, 2007; Giddens, 2002; Sardar, 2010). Nothing is
demographics, gender roles, global power dynamics, all seem to be changing rapidly,
This transitional state requires us to live with the recognition that uncertainty is
now a central feature of our lives (Morin & Viveret, 2010). But surely uncertainty
has always been part of the human experience? Our ancestors coped with
uncertainty, with diseases, predators, famines, floods, wars, with loss and shock…
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are things really different today? I want to argue that things are indeed different,
world.
A key factor in this postnormal state of affairs is that with the Enlightenment a quest
emerged for order and certainty, bringing the goal and very real hope of a world
that would be ordered and stable and where human beings would not be subjected
reassessment of this project, but we are also reeling because the way we understand
the world, our larger worldview, and the way we think about and organize our lives
and the world is based on a now crumbling illusion of control and certainty.
1964; Morin, 1981; Peat, 2002; Russell, 1983; Toulmin, 1992). Human beings were
the mind and body (Dupuy, 2000). Machine thinking was borrowed from physics
and applied to all human activities. It is still very common to hear terms like
machine-like elements to life, all too often this language reflects a reductionist bias
thinking” with its stress on certainty, order, prediction, and control (Montuori,
2005a, 2012; Morgan, 2006; Morin, 1994, 2008a). Despite dramatic changes in the
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scientific understanding of the world and in the social world, at the beginning of the
21st century, the machine metaphor still underlies much of our thinking and
organizing at a very deep level (Capra, 1984, 1996; Montuori, 1989; Morgan, 2006;
At the beginning of the 21st century, the assumptions of the Newtonian/Cartesian
worldview have become deeply problematic (Capra, 1996; Elgin, 2009; Kincheloe,
1993; Morin, 2008a; Prigogine & Stengers, 1984). The goal and possibility of
the 20th century has been framed as a movement from certainty to uncertainty
(Peat, 2002). Wallerstein has discussed the "uncertainties of knowledge" in the 21st
century, arguing that two key movements in academia can shed light on the
2004). In Wallerstein's view, complexity science and cultural studies are central to
understanding the changes. From complexity science we learn that the future is not
given, and that the Universe is uncertain and unpredictable. This shatters any
deterministic view of the world as ordered and predictable, and the "certainty of
Cultural Studies has, at the same time, challenged the validity and universality of the
Western Canon, and therefore substantially destabilized views of what is good and
true and worthy of emulation. What was held to be certain and universal in the
sciences and humanities, their "hubris of omniscience" (Ceruti, 1994), has been
Along with the irruption of uncertainty in the attacks on Newtonian Science and the
Humanities (Peat, 2002), there are also the disastrous realities of the 20th Century,
most notably two World Wars (culminating in the horror of the Holocaust), the
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"progress" was consequently lost in the postmodern melee (Journet, 2000;
Montuori, 1998; Morin, 2006; Sardar, 1999). What we can learn from our history of
mistakes, horrors, wrong turns, environmental devastation, and so on, is that our
dreams of order, control, and prediction may lead to islands of certainty but that the
1981). In fact, every human order also seems to bring with it resistance, rejection,
disorder, creativity, and constraints. Following Wallerstein, we can also say that the
of our world, just as cultural studies has pointed us to its incredible cultural
pluralism, complexity, and richness. The West may have thought it could predict,
control, and lead the way, but most if not all of the postnormal crises we are facing
are the result of precisely this hubris, this obsession with certainty, control, and the
one right way to progress (Sardar, 1999). It is also becoming increasingly clear that
the very quest for order, control, and prediction is not a value-free scientific
endeavor, but a value-laden project that has psychological, sociological, cultural, and
political roots (Devereux, 1968; Merchant, 1983; Morin, 1992; Wilden, 1980, 1987a,
1987b).
Certainty: Neuroscientists argue that the brain doesn’t just prefer certainty over
which means that even if we are not necessarily actually right, we want to feel right
(Burton, 2008).
it were threatened. The part of the brain associated with responses to threats, the
Amygdala, jumps into action. Our the reward system, the Ventral Striatum, stops
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rewarding us (DiSalvo, 2011). If a deviation to our way of seeing the world is
perceived as a threat, it should not come as a surprise that in a time of rapid and
significant change such as ours, there are high levels of anxiety, coupled with
attempts to impose specific ways of seeing the world that bring a return to certainty,
In a world that is perceived as chaotic it should also not surprise us that there is a
quest for new (as well as a return to old) ways of making sense of our lives. The
fascination with Eastern religions and more broadly the world’s wisdom traditions
is part of this quest for meaning as old narratives break down. So is the resurgence
this quest is for ways of understanding life and existence that account for
uncertainty. Titles such as philosopher Alan Watts’s The Wisdom of Insecurity and
ongoing and intensifying trend to find ways to live with uncertainty (Chodron, 2008;
Watts, 1951). But the need for meaning and order is not just found in spiritual texts
and contexts, it is also found in the practical world of management. Business texts
have been drawing on Chaos and Complexity theories for several decades, with titles
such as Brafman and Pollack’s The Chaos Imperative, VISA founder and former CEO
Dee Hock’s Birth of the Chaordic Age, management guru Tom Peters’s Thriving on
Chaos among many others (Brafman & Pollack, 2013; Hock, 1999; Peters, 1988).
Unfortunately, much of this work seems to run aground on the traditional ways of
The American philosopher Richard J. Bernstein (Bernstein, 1983) has looked at the
relationships between certainty and uncertainty and order and disorder and coined
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the quest for some fixed point, some stable rock upon which we can secure our lives
against the vicissitudes that constantly threaten us. The specter that hovers in the
background of this journey is not just radical epistemological skepticism but the
dread of madness and chaos where nothing is fixed, where we can neither touch
bottom nor support ourselves on the surface. With a chilling clarity Descartes leads
us with an apparent and ineluctable necessity to a grand and seductive Either/Or.
Either there is some support for our being, a fixed foundation for our knowledge, or
we cannot escape the forces of darkness that envelop us with madness, with
intellectual and moral chaos. (p. 18)
and is also part and parcel of a larger philosophical perspective. One could say that
Cartesian Anxiety describes a view that, as he points out, is marked by the “grand
and seductive Either/Or,” what Morin calls disjunctive thinking (Morin, 2008a).
Here we find the need for certainty, the rejection of uncertainty as wrong,
dangerous, and weak, and the absence of certainty as a bottomless pit. In Richard
Dawkins’s highly polemical neo-atheist documentary about religion, The Root of All
Evil, he interviews two fundamentalists, one Jewish and one Islamic. Both
fundamentalists express their concern that without a God who is a law-giver, there
can be no foundation for morality. Without laws that are fixed and forever, and
come from an absolute source, in their view ethical behavior is an impossibility. For
believes in the wrong fundaments, or a secular (moral) relativist who does not
The battle I see taking place is not between religious believers with firm moral
commitments and secular relativists who lack conviction. It is a battle that cuts
between the so-called religious/secular divide. It is a battle between those who find
rigid moral absolutes appealing, those who think that nuance and subtlety mask
indecisiveness, those who embellish their ideological prejudices with the language
of religious piety, and those who approach the world with a more open, fallibilistic
mentality—one that eschews the quest for absolute certainty. Such a mentality is
not only compatible with a religious orientation; it is essential to keeping a religious
tradition alive to new situations and contingencies. What we are confronting today
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is not a clash of civilizations, but a clash of mentalities. And the outcome of this clash
has significant practical consequences for how we live our everyday lives—for our
morality, politics, and religion. (pp. 16-17)
This is a key point. Bernstein does not demonize religion, as the new atheists do,
but rather outlines two radically different mentalities. One open, fallibilistic, and, as
I shall argue, complex, creative, and collaborative, and the other closed, dogmatic,
and polarizing.
Responding to the critique that without absolutes no decisive, let alone moral,
There is no incompatibility between being decisive and recognizing the fallibility and
limitations of our choices and decisions. On the contrary, this is what is required for
responsible action (Bernstein, 2005, p. 58).
For Bernstein, it is essential to go beyond the grand and seductive Either/Or, and
find another way, which recognizes the inevitability of uncertainty and limitation of
minded way. Morin has likewise argued for an ethics that acknowledges and
of what Morin refers to as “the ecology of action,” meaning that no matter what our
intention, any action exists in a context, and ecology, and once we can never be sure
Are we then abject victims of this need to feel certain, trapped by the workings of
trapped on the horns of the grand either/or? It appears that this is not the case. As
Does knowing that knowledge cannot be guaranteed by a foundation not mean that
we have already acquired a first fundamental knowledge? And should this not lead
us to abandon the architectural metaphor, in which the term “foundation” assumes
an indispensable meaning, in favor of a musical metaphor of construction in
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movement that transforms in its very movement the constitutive elements that form
it? And might we not also consider the knowledge of knowledge as a construction in
movement? (p.21-22)
altogether?
American psychologist William Perry begins to provide us with some insights about
human responses to pluralism and uncertainty (Perry, 1998). Perry found students
the popularity of stage models in the United States) that are relevant to our
The first of these positions is dualism. The student makes a clear distinction
between the self and the external world. Knowledge resides in the external world.
Knowledge is absolute truth, objectivity, and learning involves searching for the
appropriate authority and the right answer. Any differences in perspectives are
framed by a logic of either/or, and reduced to right and wrong, good and bad. The
student rejects ambiguity because it suggests that the proper authority has not been
found, and ambiguity and uncertainty are the result of incorrect knowledge.
pluralistic world can break down absolute categories of right and wrong, as
students begin to see there are many different perspectives. In any given discipline,
and from many authorities and experts, students find conflicting positions and
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perspectives, and a lot of debates among experts, all of whom claim to be right. Any
conflicting ways: Religion is the opium of the masses (Marx), a way to create social
sense of the world (Berger). What does this mean? What is the “right” answer?
different assumptions about the world, also break down the assumption that our
view of the world is the “objective” one and things cannot—or should not—be
otherwise (Montuori & Fahim, 2004). Rather than believing in a single, absolute
truth, the student in the position of multiplicity begins to believe that there are as
many truths as there are people. It seems the experts can’t agree, so what’s the point
of listening to their theories? They’re just ‘theories,’ and it’s clear anybody can
present a theory. The self now becomes the source and arbiter of knowledge, and in
fact there is a privileging of subjectivity. “You see it your way, I see it my way.” An
Magolda, 1999).
Perry’s third position, the least articulated in his original study, is contextual
multiplicity, from the need to participate more actively with values and direction
rather than the arguably narcissistic and opportunistic wanderings of the relativistic
there to make any choices or commitments? What basis do I have for any view, even
my own? Multiplicity can easily become selfish, acquisitive individualism, where the
isolated self is the lowest common denominator. Whereas dualism saw the source of
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knowledge as external and objective, and multiplicity as internal and subjective,
contextual relativism reconciles the two in an ongoing process and appreciates the
between self and world. In this sense, it is more like Morin’s musical metaphor of
To follow up on the musical metaphor proposed by Morin, the dualist looks for the
correct musical score to play. There is only one correct score, and any deviation
from that score is an error. People performing a different score are simply wrong.
The score comes from the great composer, the law giver, whether a terrestrial or
celestial authority, viewed as the ultimate arbiter, and passed down through his
(because it rarely if ever is her) orchestral hierarchy, starting with the conductor.
We might say that multiplicity on the other hand involves the realization that there
are many composers, and that we ourselves can “compose,” so why play anybody
else’s score? The problem with multiplicity is that it tends to be isolating and
operates within the Cartesian Anxiety of Either/Or. What should also be noted is
divide and rule from larger authorities which, while allowing for an illusion of
Contextual relativists are like skilled improvising musicians: they are aware of a
multiplicity of perspectives, and construct their own meaning and performance out
of their encounter with the history and contexts of their traditions, as well as with
the musicians and audiences they engage in the present (Montuori, 2003). Rather
than seek the certainty of a fixed score, or reject the possibility of anything but
entirely subjective performance, playing only for themselves, their ability to play in
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the moment emerges out of a network of interactions and knowledge across space
and time, and out of self-reflection and an understanding of their own participation
in the word.
In the years since Perry’s work was published, a line of research has emerged
(Love & Guthrie, 1999). The work of Baxter-Magolda, Commons, Kegan, and Gidley
Magolda, 1999, 2000, 2004, 2008; Commons & Ross, 2008a, 2008b; Gidley, 2007,
2009, 2010; Kegan, 1982, 1998; King & Baxter Magolda, 2005).
consciousness.” Most relevant to us are order three, four, and five, since the first two
are childhood stages. 3rd order consciousness, or the “socialized mind,” involves
absorbing the values of our society and our community, and is similar to Perry’s
the “self-authoring mind,” involves forging one’s own identity and ideology, shifting
the subject/object split, and sees beyond one’s own fixed position to engage in a
When you get to the edge of the fourth order, you start to see that all the ways that
you had of making meaning or making sense out of experience are, each in their own
way, partial. They’re leaving certain things out. When people who have long had
self-authoring consciousness come to the limits of self-authoring, they recognize the
partiality of even their own internal system, even though like any good system, it
does have the capacity to handle the “data,” or make systematic, rational sense of
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our experience. In the Western world, we often call that “objectivity.” But just
because you can handle everything, put it all together in some coherent system,
obviously doesn’t make it a truthful apprehension—or truly objective. And this
realization is what promotes the transformation from the fourth to the fifth order of
consciousness, from the self-authoring self to what we call the self-transforming self.
So, you start to build a way of constructing the world that is much more friendly to
contradiction, to oppositeness, to being able to hold on to multiple systems of
thinking. You begin to see that the life project is not about continuing to defend one
formation of the self but about the ability to have the self literally be transformative.
This means that the self is more about movement through different forms of
consciousness than about defending and identifying with any one form.
One of the most important points Kegan makes is that 5th order consciousness
involves the awareness that any view, including our own view, is only partial, and
that there is inherent in our knowledge a great deal of ambiguity and uncertainty.
What makes 5th order consciousness so interesting is that it seems to thrive on not-
knowing. Rather than attempt to hide her or his own ignorance, or dismiss other
Murphy (Gilligan & Murphy, 1979) find that it involves an evolution from a closed-
play a key role in 5th order consciousness, and are strikingly close to the key
knowing and thinking are not about reaching an absolutely certain truth, but about
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An expanded view of creativity
(T)he most important ingredients for coping with postnormal times, (…) I would
argue, are imagination and creativity. Why? Because we have no other way of
dealing with complexity, contradictions and chaos. Imagination is the main tool,
indeed I would suggest the only tool, which takes us from simple reasoned analysis
to higher synthesis. While imagination is intangible, it creates and shapes our
reality; while a mental tool, it affects our behaviour and expectations. We will have
to imagine our way out of the postnormal times. The kind of futures we imagine
beyond postnormal times would depend on the quality of our imagination. Given
that our imagination is embedded and limited to our own culture, we will have to
unleash a broad spectrum of imaginations from the rich diversity of human cultures
and multiple ways of imagining alternatives to conventional, orthodox ways of being
and doing. (Sardar, p.443)
We have seen neuroscientists make a strong case for the human need for certainty.
beings want to believe they’re right, even when they’re not right.
While these findings might leave us disheartened, it is important to note that there
are decades of research on a phenomenon that involves people who seem to thrive
on uncertainty, ambiguity, and disorder. These are the people who are socially
identified as “creative.” They seem to buck the trend in a rather remarkable way
Uncertainty is not, in other words, always viewed as a threat: for certain kinds of
(Barron, 1958, 1963). Creative individuals have been shown to have characteristics
Independence of Judgment rather than Conformity (Dacey & Lennon, 1998), as well
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They are Tolerance of Ambiguity, Complexity of Outlook, and Androgyny (Barron,
1990, 1995; Dacey & Lennon, 1998; Norlander, Erixon, & Archer, 2000; Piirto,
2004). The first two indicate an openness to, and even preference for, ambiguous,
complex phenomena over dichotomous, black and white thinking and simplicity,
Those personality correlates generally ascribed to one sex or the other are much
less pronounced in creative people. Creative women have fewer "feminine" traits
and more "masculine" interests than noncreative control groups. Sex-specific
interests and traits that are descriptive of men and women in general seem to break
down when we examine creative people (1972, 33).
of creative persons to the extent that they are self-confident, tolerant, and non-
authoritarian, possessed of a more resilient, fluid ego, rather than one that is hard
scapegoating, stereotyping, and aggression. Recent research has confirmed the role
(Hetherington & Weiler, 2009; Jost, Glaser, Kruglanski, & Sulloway, 2003; Mooney,
2012; Sanford, 1973; Stenner, 2005; Stone, Lederer, & Christie, 1993).
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Authoritarianism, in both its psychological and sociological manifestations, is
associated with rigid and stereotyped gender roles. It is not surprising to note that
roles, and un-ambiguous, rigid differentiation of male and female roles and
characteristics (Eisler, 1987, 1995, 2007; Eisler & Miller, 2004; Eisler & Montuori,
ambiguity, need for order and closure, fear of threat and loss, and death anxiety,
Hetherington & Weiler, 2009; Jost et al., 2003; Sanford, 1973; Stenner, 2005; Stone
certainty is not merely conceptual, it is profoundly tied to the need to feel one is
right. And this anxiety-driven feeling of being right is inextricably tied to the need to
control the world and those in it, and to be part of clear order.
This rich vein of research, dating back to Adorno et al.’s classic Authoritarian
study of political conservatism (Hetherington & Weiler, 2009; Jost et al., 2003;
Mooney, 2012; Stenner, 2005; Stone et al., 1993). It has historically not been
explicitly connected to creativity research, and yet there is much to be learned from
the comparison of the authoritarian person and the creative person, as I have
digression to address not what we can learn but how to interpret these findings
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The original research cited here, both on authoritarianism and creativity, was
“creatives.” The problem was that these traits were viewed as fixed, and this led to a
rather over-simplified, fixed view. The view I present here is that authoritarianism
or creativity may be more dominant in some persons (there is some suggestion that
a cultural one with certain cultures having high “uncertainty avoidance” (Hofstede,
2001)) but that all persons can approach the world in with an “authoritarian” as
well as a “creative” mentality. Even the most creative person may under certain
and white solutions, rigid categories, and so on, and vice versa. The authoritarian
education and socialization. Shocks and climates of fear can lead to authoritarian
mentalities, and climates that are open to creativity can lead to the flourishing of
Creativity has historically been associated with unusual individuals of genius in the
arts and sciences. At the beginning of the 21st century this view is beginning to
pluralistic, changing, liquid, uncertain society, the ability to create alternatives and
articulating, developing, and embodying new ways of being, relating, knowing, and
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The emerging view might be called, drawing on Morin, “complex creativity.” If the
old view was reductive, focusing on the creative individual as a closed system at the
expense of context and history and relations, and with a fixed nature—either
creative or not—in the new view the creative process is contextual and occurs in a
network of relationships and interactions: it does not eliminate the individual but
rather takes an open system view which acknowledges the complexity of the
creative process and sees creativity as a capacity that can be cultivated (Glaveanu,
2010; Glăveanu, 2011a, 2011b, 2013, 2014; Montuori, 2011b, 2011c; Montuori &
Creativity, Complexity and Collaboration
We have seen how uncertainty has become a central feature of these postnormal
times, this transitional period where one world is ending but a new one is yet to
emerge. The response to this transitional time has led to what Bernstein has called a
seek certainty above all, and all too often morph into a closed mentality of
Bernstein’s two mentalities can be framed as authoritarian and creative, the former
for creativity. The former stresses control, simplicity, black and white, either/or
thinking, and rigid categories, the latter allows for emergence, complexity,
the creative mentality (in line with Perry’s contextual relativism, post-formal
thought, and most notably Morin’s complex thought) we see the ability to act while
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recognizing what Bernstein calls the fallibility of our choices. But this does not mean
lack the courage of our convictions. Rather it means remaining open to ongoing self-
we do not become the convicts, the prisoners, of our own beliefs at all costs, rigidly
both create, in the sense of acknowledging the creativity of our own process of
world-making and decision-making, and also taking responsibility for it, and being
able to reflect on it, all the while knowing that we act. Indeed, from the perspective
of a complex creative mentality we cannot not act, in the same way that Gregory
Bateson argued we cannot not communicate (Bateson, 2002). We are always already
in the world, we are not bystanders to it. Paradoxically, if we do not act, we are still
acting: if we do not take action to pay a bill, the non-action is our action. We are also
always already creating: the question is not if we are creating, but what are we
Precisely because of the often conflictual pluralism and uncertainty of today’s world,
we need complex thought, as Morin has argued, a thought that contextualizes and
connects and is thus, among other things, better able to account for the increasingly
what linguist Deborah Tannen has called “argument culture,” with its inevitable
words, the ability to dialogue with others in ways that respect and reflect
complexity and are generative, leading to the creation of new and more
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The authoritarian mentality involves a contraction—both socially and
psychologically—to the defense of the ego and the group one identifies with, with
exclusion of, and in opposition to, another group or other groups. A complex,
creative mentality seeks to expand both our view of the self and of our context to a
larger planetary culture, a “community of destiny” (Morin & Kern, 1999), in an effort
In order to address these postnormal times, this transitional period between two
worlds, we have to first of all understand the characteristics of the world we are
leaving behind. We can also point to desired directions for the future, for the new
world: but there are multiple challenges here. All too often the way we think about
the future is grounded in the problematic thinking of the old world: it is reductive
and disjunctive. It is not easy to embody the future, as it were, with the
competencies (Montuori, 1989). In an uncertain world, we can learn from Heinz Von
Foerster, who stated that the problem was not truth but trust, because we have to
make decisions on questions that are in principle undecidable (Von Foerster, 1990).
These types of problems must be confronted with a complex creative mentality, one
that is generative not only in the sense of increasing the number of choices, as Von
Foerster urged, but also by creating a larger context where human beings learn how
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uncertainty, and the courage to revise, modify, and abandon our most cherished beliefs
when they have been refuted (p. 29).
Our present educational systems and socialization processes do not cultivate the
essential, as Morin and others have argued (Montuori, 2012; Morin, 2001; Naranjo,
2010). More broadly, I believe there is a need to develop personal and social
treasure trove of global “wisdom” traditions with practices that address the
contraction of the authoritarian mentality with wisdom and compassion (Macy &
Johnstone, 2012; Walsh, 1999). Even in the world of management education such
new set of individual and collective capacities, new ways of knowing, relating, being,
and doing that embody and generate alternatives to our present, clearly obsolete
ways, and create the spaces of generative trust where their formulation and
heart of our being, and our existence on the planet. Uncertainty creates anxiety and
reframing of who we are, how we know, and how we can act in this world of
that takes into account our full humanity, including the relational and affective
dimensions.
1 I am indebted to my colleague Gabrielle Donnelly for her articulation of the concept of practice in
the context of the present planetary crisis.
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