KEY CONCEPT KEY

CONCEPT

You can determine the theoretical probability of You can use theoretical probability and proportional
an event, P(event), if you know all the possible reasoning to make predictions, such as in a game
outcomes and they are equally likely. situation.
number of favorable outcomes number of number of
P(event) = favorable outcomes winning outcomes
total number of possible outcomes =
total number of total number of
possible outcomes possible outcomes

Do You Understand? Do You Know How?

1. Essential Question   How can the probability In 4–6, Monique rolls a six-sided number cube
of an event help make predictions? labeled 1 to 6.

4. Find P(rolling a 4).

2. Construct Arguments  A game board has a 5. Find P(rolling an odd number).

spinner with 10 equal-sized sections, of which
4 are green, 3 are blue, 2 are yellow, and 1 is
red. What is the sum of the probabilities of the
pointer landing in the green, blue, yellow, and
red sections? Explain.  MP.3

6. If Monique rolls the number cube 12 times, how

many times would she expect a number greater
than 4 to be rolled?

3. Reasoning  What does it mean that there is an

equal theoretical probability of each outcome?
Explain.  MP.2

364 7-2 
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