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Joe Abbott
732-497-5306
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Mali Quintana
480-664-1333
aquintana@yardeni.com
February 19, 2018 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P 500 Sectors & Industries Forward P/Es Yardeni Research, Inc.
www.yardeni.com
S&P 500 Sector Forward P/Es
Figure 1.
35 35
S&P 500 FORWARD P/E RATIOS*
30 30
S&P 500 Index (17.1)
Consumer Staples (18.0)
Financials (13.6)
25
Health Care (15.7) 25
20 20
2/15
15 15
10 10
yardeni.com
5 5
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.
Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Figure 2.
55 55
S&P 500 FORWARD P/E RATIOS*
50 50
35 35
30 30
25 25
20 20
2/15
15 15
10 10
yardeni.com
5 5
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.
Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Page 1 / February 19, 2018 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P 500 Sectors & Industries Forward P/EsYardeni Research, Inc.
www.yardeni.com
S&P 500 Sector Forward P/Es
Figure 3.
65 65
S&P 500 FORWARD P/E RATIOS*
60 60
S&P 500 Index (17.1)
55 55
Energy (19.4)
Industrials (17.6)
50 50
Materials (17.1)
45 45
40 40
35 35
30 30
25 25
20 20
2/15
15 15
10 10
yardeni.com
5 5
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.
Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Figure 4.
30 30
S&P 500 FORWARD P/E RATIOS*
20 20
2/15
15 15
10 10
yardeni.com
5 5
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.
Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Page 2 / February 19, 2018 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P 500 Sectors & Industries Forward P/EsYardeni Research, Inc.
www.yardeni.com
Consumer Discretionary Forward P/Es
Figure 5.
45 45
S&P 500 FORWARD P/E RATIOS* CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
30 30
25 25
20 2/15 20
15 15
10 10
yardeni.com
5 5
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.
P/E capped at 7 and 35 for all industries.
Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Figure 6.
45 45
S&P FORWARD P/E RATIOS:* CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
Consumer Discretionary Sector (20.4) Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines (19.0)
40 40
Casinos & Gaming (22.0) Movies & Entertainment (13.8)
Restaurants (21.3)
35 35
30 30
25 25
20 2/15 20
15 15
10 10
yardeni.com
5 5
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.
P/E capped at 40 for all industries.
Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Page 3 / February 19, 2018 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P 500 Sectors & Industries Forward P/EsYardeni Research, Inc.
www.yardeni.com
Consumer Discretionary Forward P/Es
Figure 7.
35 35
S&P FORWARD P/E RATIOS:* CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
20 2/15 20
15 15
10 10
yardeni.com
5 5
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.
Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Figure 8.
50 50
S&P 500 FORWARD P/E RATIOS:* CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
45 Consumer Discretionary Sector (20.4) Homebuilding (10.6) 45
Computer & Electronics Retailers (15.5) Household Appliances (11.0)
40 Home Improvement 40
Retailers (18.9)
35 35
30 30
25 25
20 2/15 20
15 15
10 10
5 5
yardeni.com
0 0
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.
P/E capped at 5 and 40 for all industries.
Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Page 4 / February 19, 2018 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P 500 Sectors & Industries Forward P/EsYardeni Research, Inc.
www.yardeni.com
Consumer Staples Forward P/Es
Figure 9.
40 40
S&P 500 FORWARD P/E RATIOS:* CONSUMER STAPLES
25 25
20 20
2/15
15 15
yardeni.com
10 10
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.
Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Figure 10.
45 45
S&P 500 FORWARD P/E RATIOS:* CONSUMER STAPLES
40 40
Consumer Staples Sector (18.0)
Brewers (15.7)
35 35
Drug Retail (11.0)
Soft Drinks (20.9)
30 30
Tobacco (17.6)
25 25
20 20
2/15
15 15
10 10
yardeni.com
5 5
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.
Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Page 5 / February 19, 2018 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P 500 Sectors & Industries Forward P/EsYardeni Research, Inc.
www.yardeni.com
Energy Forward P/Es
Figure 11.
65 65
S&P 500 FORWARD P/E RATIOS:* ENERGY
60 60
40 40
35 35
30 30
25 25
20 2/15 20
15 15
10 10
yardeni.com
5 5
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.
P/E capped at 5.5 for all industries.
Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Figure 12.
50 50
S&P 500 FORWARD P/E RATIOS:* ENERGY
45 45
Energy Sector (19.4)
40 Oil & Gas Drilling (45.0) 40
30 30
25 25
20 2/15 20
15 15
10 10
yardeni.com
5 5
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.
P/E capped at 5 and 45 for all industries.
Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Page 6 / February 19, 2018 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P 500 Sectors & Industries Forward P/EsYardeni Research, Inc.
www.yardeni.com
Financials Forward P/Es
Figure 13.
22 22
S&P 500 FORWARD P/E RATIOS:* FINANCIALS
20 20
18 18
16 16
14 14
2/15
12 12
10 10
Financials Sector (13.6)
Asset Management & Custody Banks (14.1)
8 8
Diversified Banks (12.4)
Investment Banking & Brokerage (13.6)
6 6
Other Diversified Financial Services (10.0)
Regional Banks (14.1) yardeni.com
4 4
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.
P/E capped at 20 for all industries.
Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Figure 14.
30 30
S&P 500 FORWARD P/E RATIOS:* FINANCIALS
15 15
2/15
10 10
5 5
yardeni.com
0 0
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.
Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Page 7 / February 19, 2018 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P 500 Sectors & Industries Forward P/EsYardeni Research, Inc.
www.yardeni.com
Health Care Forward P/Es
Figure 15.
70 70
S&P 500 FORWARD P/E RATIOS:* HEALTH CARE
60 60
Health Care (15.7)
Biotechnology (14.2)
50 Health Care Equipment (20.5) 50
30 30
20 20
2/15
10 10
yardeni.com
0 0
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.
Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Figure 16.
40 40
S&P 500 FORWARD P/E RATIOS:* HEALTH CARE
Health Care (15.7)
35 Health Care Distributors (12.3) 35
25 25
20 20
2/15
15 15
10 10
yardeni.com
5 5
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.
P/E capped at 7 and 35 for all industries.
Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Page 8 / February 19, 2018 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P 500 Sectors & Industries Forward P/EsYardeni Research, Inc.
www.yardeni.com
Industrials Forward P/Es
Figure 17.
35 35
S&P 500 FORWARD P/E RATIOS:* INDUSTRIALS
Industrials Sector (17.6)
Construction Machinery & Heavy Trucks (15.3)
30 30
Industrial Conglomerates (18.5)
Industrial Machinery (18.8)
25 25
20 20
2/15
15 15
10 10
yardeni.com
5 5
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.
Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Figure 18.
30 30
S&P 500 FORWARD P/E RATIOS:* INDUSTRIALS
Industrials Sector (17.6)
Aerospace & Defense (20.9)
25 Electrical Components & Equipment (19.6) 25
Environmental & Facilities Services (20.6)
20 20
2/15
15 15
10 10
yardeni.com
5 5
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share using mid-month data.
Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Page 9 / February 19, 2018 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P 500 Sectors & Industries Forward P/EsYardeni Research, Inc.
www.yardeni.com
Information Technology Forward P/Es
Figure 19.
60 60
S&P 500 FORWARD P/E RATIOS:* INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
55 Information Technology Sector (18.2) 55
Application Software (34.9)
50 50
Data Processing & Outsourcing (24.6)
45 IT Consulting & Other Services (14.6) 45
Systems Software (21.7)
40 40
35 35
30 30
25 25
20 20
2/15
15 15
10 10
yardeni.com
5 5
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.
P/E capped at 7 and 50 for all industries.
Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Figure 20.
60 60
S&P 500 FORWARD P/E RATIOS:* INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
55 Information Technology Sector (18.2) Semiconductors (14.5) 55
40 40
35 35
30 30
25 25
20 20
2/15
15 15
10 10
yardeni.com
5 5
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.
P/E capped at 7 and 45 for all industries.
Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Yardeni
Page 10 / February 19, 2018 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P 500 Sectors & Industries Forward P/Es Research, Inc.
www.yardeni.com
Materials Forward P/Es
Figure 21.
45 45
S&P 500 FORWARD P/E RATIOS:* MATERIALS
Steel (13.0)
30 30
25 25
20 20
2/15
15 15
10 10
5 5
yardeni.com
0 0
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.
P/E capped at 5 and 40 for all industries.
Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Figure 22.
30 30
S&P 500 FORWARD P/E RATIOS:* MATERIALS
Materials Sector (17.1)
Diversified Chemicals (16.2)
25 Industrial Gases (22.1) 25
Specialty Chemicals (20.7)
20 20
2/15
15 15
10 10
yardeni.com
5 5
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.
Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Yardeni
Page 11 / February 19, 2018 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P 500 Sectors & Industries Forward P/Es Research, Inc.
www.yardeni.com
Telecommunication Services & Utilities Forward P/Es
Figure 23.
30 30
S&P 500 FORWARD P/E RATIOS:* TELECOMMUNICATION SERVICES
20 20
15 15
2/15
10 10
yardeni.com
5 5
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.
Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Figure 24.
30 30
S&P 500 FORWARD P/E RATIOS:* UTILITIES
20 20
2/15
15 15
10 10
yardeni.com
5 5
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.
Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
Yardeni
Page 12 / February 19, 2018 / Stock Market Briefing: S&P 500 Sectors & Industries Forward P/Es Research, Inc.
www.yardeni.com
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