Binomial Distribution (pg.

237)

Arg. ResultFreq (X) RF Pr.

Win 45 0.9 (P)
Loss 5 0.1 (Q)
Sum (X) 50 1
n!
Pr. of 'r' number of success in 'n' number of trials = ---------------- * P to the power n * Q power (n-r)
r! (n-r)!

pr. of 3 wins in 5 games 5!

------------- *(0.9) power 5*(0.1) power (5-3)
3! * (5-3)!

5!
= ------------- *(0.9) power 5*(0.1) power 2
(0.9) power 5 = 0.59 3!*2!
(0.1) power 2 = 0.01
5! = 120 120
2! = 2 = ------------- *(0.59*0.01)
3! = 6 6*2

0.0059
= 10 * 0.0059

= 0.059 or 5.9%

Prob. Value
P(0) 0.01
P(1) 0.02
P(2) 0.03
P(3) 0.6
P(4) 0.75
P(5) 0.35

Value
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
Value
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0.5
Value
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
P(0) P(1) P(2) P(3) P(4) P(5)