TALLER 1.

DISTRIBUCION DE PROBABILIDAD
DISTRIBUCIÓN BINOMIAL, POISSON E HIPERGEOMETRICA

Fecha entrega: 19 DE OCTUBRE

ESTUDIANTE: Paula Lorena García
Resolver:

1.

𝑛
Px = . P X . P n−x
𝑥
a. X = 2 n=5 P = 0,01 q = 1-0,01 = (0,99 No este enfermo)
5
P(x=2) = (0,01)2 (0,99)5−2 = 0,00097 x 100% = 0,097%
(5−2)!2!

b. X = 1,2,3,4,5
P (X˃1) = 1 – P(X=0)
5
P(x=0) = (0,01)0 (0,99)5−0 = 0,951
(5−0)!0!
P(x>1) = 1 – 0,951 = 0,049 x 100 % = 4,9%

c. P = 0,99 ( No enferme) q = 0,01

X = 2, 3, 4, 5
P(x>2) = 1 - [P(x=0) + P (x=1)]
5
P(X=0) = (0,99)0 (0,01)5−0 = 1 x 10−10
(5−0)!0!
5
P(X=1) = (0,99)1 (0,01)5−1 = 4,95 x 10−8
(5−1)!1!
P(X>2) = 1 - [1x10−10 + 4,95x10−8 ]
P(X>2) = 0,999 x 100% = 99,9 %

¡ÉXITOS!
2.

𝑛
Px = . 𝑃 𝑋 . 𝑃𝑛−𝑥
𝑥
5 5
a. P (x=0) = [( ) (0,8)0 (0,2)5 + ( ) (0,8)0 (0,2)5 ] = 0,00032x100% = 32%
0 5
5 5 5
b. P (x=5) = [( ) (0,8) (0,2) ] = 0,3277x100%= 32,77%
5
5
c. P (x>1) = 1 - P (x=0) = 1 - [( ) (0,8)0 (0,2)5 ] = 1 – 0,00032 = 99,968%
0
5
d. P (x>1) = 1 - P (x=0) = 1 - [( ) (0,8)5 (0,2)0 ] = 1 – 0,32768 = 0,67232x100% =
0
67,23%
3.

𝑛
Px = . 𝑃 𝑋 . 𝑃𝑛−𝑥
𝑥
a. P (x>2) = 1 - [P(x=0) + P(x=1)]
5 5
P (x>2) = 1 - [( ) (0,009)0 (0,901)5 + ( ) (0,009)1 (0,901)4 ]
0 1
= 1 - [0,5938 + 0,3262] = 1 – 0,9200 = 0,800x100% = 8%
b. P (x>3) = 1 - [P(x=4) + P(x=1)5]
5 5
P (x>3) = 1 - [( ) (0,009)2 (0,901)4 + ( ) (0,009)0 (0,901)5] = 1 - [0,5938 + 0,3262] = 1
4 5
– 0,9200 = 0,800x100% = 8%
4.

¡ÉXITOS!
 3
P= = 0,003 n = 500 x = n .P = (500) (0,003) = 1,5
1000

a. X = 3,4,5,6,7……. 500
P (x>3) = 1 - [P(x=0) + P(x=1) + P(x=2) ]
1,50 𝑒 −1,5
P(x=0) = = 0,2231
0!
P(x=1) = 0,3346
P(x=2) = 0,21
P (x>3) = 1 - [ 0,2231 + 0,3346 + 0,251) ] = 0,1913 x 100%=19,13%

b. X= 0,1,2
P (x>2) = 0,2231 + 0,3346 + 0,251 = 0,8087 x 100%= 80,87%

1
P= = 0,0001 n = 30.000 x = n .P = (30.000) (0,0001) = 3
10.000
31 𝑒 −3 30 𝑒 −3
a. P (x>2) = +
1! 0!
P (x>2) = 1 – (0,0498)
P (x>2) = 0,9502 x 100% = 95,02%
31 𝑒 −3 30 𝑒 −3
b. P (x>2) = +
1! 0!
P (x>2) = 1 – (0,1494 + 0,0498)
P (x>2) = 0,8008 x 100% = 80,08%

6.

N = 15
A=6

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n=5
X=2
6 15−6 15 6 9 15 (15).(84)
a. P x=2 = ( )( )/ =( )( )/ = = P x=2 = 0,41x100%= 41%
2 5−2 5 2 3 5 3003
6 6!
( ) = (6−2)!2! = 15
2
9 9!
( ) = (9−3)!3! = 84
3
15 15!
( ) = (15−5)!5! = 3003
5

N = 15
A=6
n=5
X=3
6 15−6 15 6 9 15 (20).(36)
b. P x=3 = ( )( )/ =( )( )/ = = P x=3 = 0,23x100% = 23%
3 5−3 5 3 2 5 3003
6 6!
( ) = (6−3)!3! = 20
3
9 9!
( ) = (9−2)!2! = 36
2
15 15!
( ) = (15−5)!5! = 3003
5
7.

N = 15
A = 10
n=5
10 15−10 15 10 5 15 (45).(10)
a. P x=2 = ( )( )/ =( )( )/ = = P x=2 = 0.15x100%= 15%
2 5−2 5 2 3 5 3003
10 10!
( ) = (10−2)!2! = 45
2
5 5!
( ) = (5−3)!3! = 10
3

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 15 15!
( ) = (15−5)!5! =3003
5

10 15−10 15 10 5 15 (120).(10)
b. P x=3 = ( )( )/ =( )( )/ = = P x=3 = 0,4x100% = 4%
3 5−3 5 3 2 5 3003
10 10!
( ) = (10−3)!3! = 120
3
5 5!
( ) = (5−2)!2! = 10
2
15 15!
( ) = (15−5)!5! = 3003
5

¡ÉXITOS!