Name: Nguyen Mai Minh Chau

MSSV: BABAIU21199

ASSIGNMENT 2
6.23
Call X is a customer paying with an American Express credit card at the Ardmore Hotel
π = 0.2, n =10
𝑛! 10!
a) P(X=0) = 𝑥!(𝑛−𝑥)! 𝜋 𝑥 (1 − 𝜋)𝑛−𝑥 = 0!(10−0)! 0.20 (1 − 0.2)10−0 = 0.107

b) P(X≥2) = 1 − P(X<2) = 1 − [P(X=0) + P(X=1)

10!
= 1 − [0.107 + 0.21 (1 − 0.2)10−1 ]
1!(10−1)!

= 1 − (0.107 + 0.268) = 0.625

c) P(X<3) = P(X=0) + P(X=1) + P(X=2)
10!
= 0.107 + 0.268 + 2!(10−2)! 0.22 (1 − 0.2)10−2 = 0.107 + 0.268 + 0.301 = 0.676

d) E(X) = nπ = 10*0.2= 2

e) σ = √𝑛𝜋(1 − 𝜋) = √10 ∗ 0.2(1 − 0.2) = 1.265

f) The probability distribution:
g)

The distribution is skewed right

6.37
1.70 × 𝑒 −1.7
a) P(X≥1) = 1 − P(X<1) = 1 − = 0.8173
0!

𝜆𝑥 𝑒 −𝜆 1.70 ×𝑒 −1.7
b) P(X=0) = = =0.1827
𝑥! 0!

1.7𝑥 ×𝑒 −1.7
c) P(X>3) = 1 – P(X≤3) = 1 − ∑3𝑥=0 = 0.0931
𝑥!

d) The probability distribution:

The distribution is skewed right

6.92
1
λ=n × π = 2500 × = 2.5
1000

𝜆𝑥 𝑒 −𝜆 2.50 ×𝑒 −2.5
a) P(X=0) = = = 0.082
𝑋! 0!

2.5𝑥 ×𝑒 −2.5
b) P(X≥3) = 1 − P(X < 3) = 1 − ∑2𝑥=0 = 0.4561
𝑥!

c) E(X)=λ=2.5

7.38
a) P(Z>z) = 0.05
=> 1 − 𝑃(𝑍 ≤ 𝑧) = 0.05
=> P(Z≤z) = 0.95
=> z=1.645
x = zσ + µ = 1.645 × 100 +600 = 764.5
b) P(Z>z) = 0.75
=> 1 − 𝑃(𝑍 ≤ 𝑧) = 0.75
=> P(Z≤z) = 0.25 => z = -0.675
x= -0.675 × 100 + 600 = 532.5
c) P(𝑧1 < 𝑍 < 𝑧2 ) = 0.8
=> P(Z<𝑧2 )=0.1 and P(Z>𝑧1 )=0.1
P(Z<𝑧2 )=0.1 => 𝑧2 = −1.285
𝑥2 = −1.285 × 100 + 600 = 471.5
P(Z>𝑧1 )=0.1 => 1 − P(Z ≤ 𝑧1 ) = 0.1 => P(Z ≤ 𝑧1 ) = 0.9 => 𝑧1 = 1.285
𝑥1 = 1.285 × 100 + 600 = 728.5

7.59
4.2
λ=4.2 telephone/hour => λ= 60 = 0.07 telephone/min

a) 𝑒 −𝜆𝑥 = 0.5
 −𝜆𝑥 = ln(0.5)
 −0.07𝑥 = ln(0.5)
−ln (0,5)
 x= = 9.9 (minutes)
0.07

b) e−λx = 0.25
=> -λx=ln(0.25)
−ln (0.25)
=> x= = 19.8 (minutes)
0.07

c) 𝑒 −𝜆𝑥 = 0.1
=> - λx=ln(0.1)
−ln (0.1)
=> x = = 32.89 (minutes)\
0.07

8.3
a) In what interval 95% of the bushing diameters fall:
=> x ± 𝑧𝛼 σ = 4.035 ± (1.96 × 0.005) = 4.035 ± 0.0098
2

b) In what interval 95% of sample mean

𝜎 0.005
=> 𝑥 ± 𝑧𝛼 × = 4.035 ± (1.96 ×
2 √𝑛 √25

c) Both outside expected range

8.17
a) Calculate 99% CI for true mean mental thickness
𝛼
1 − α = 0.99 => α = 0.01 => = 0.005 => 𝑧𝛼 = ±2.575
2 2
𝜎 0.000959
 𝑥̅ ± 𝑧𝛼 × = 0.2731 ± 2.575 × => (0.2728; 0.27342)
2 √ 𝑛 √58

8.23
a) 95% confidence interval for the true mean repair cost:
95% => α=0.05 => 𝑡(𝛼;𝑑.𝑓) = 2.086
2

𝑠 27.79
 x ± 𝑡(𝛼;𝑑.𝑓) × = 45.66 ± (2.086 × ) = 45.66 ± 12.6501
2 √ 𝑛 √21
 (33.01;58.31)
b) We can increase sample size or decrease 95% to make the confidence interval be narrower

9.17
a) The hypotheses for a right-tailed test:
Null hypothesis 𝐻0 : µ = 3.5 𝑚𝑔
Alternative hypothesis 𝐻1 : µ > 3.5
b) The z test statistic to test the manufacturer’s claim:
n=25, 𝑥̅ = 3.59, σ = 0.18
𝑥̅ −µ 3.59−3.5
z= 𝜎 = 0.18 = 2.5
√𝑛 √25

c) The sample exceeds the manufacturer’s claim:

α=0.01 => z=2.576
Because |𝑧| > (2.5 > 2.576), reject H0 at 1% level
Hence, at the 1% level of significance (α=0.01) the sample exceed the manufacturer’s claim
d) P-value:
P(z>2.5)=1-P(z≤2.5)=1 − 0.99379 = 0.00621
9.38
Null hypothesis 𝐻0 : µ = 18
Alternative hypothesis 𝐻1 : µ ≠ 18
a) n=18, 𝑥̅ = 17.78, s=0.41, α=0.05
𝑥̅ −µ 17.78−18
𝑡= 𝑠 = 0.41 = −2.2765
√𝑛 √18

 Critical value = -1.739

Because |t|>(2.2765>-1.739).Hence, at the 5% level of significance, the true mean smaller
than the specification
b) Yes, the conclusion is sensitive to the choice of null hypothesis
c) P-value = t.dist (|t|, d.f, tails)=t.dist (2.2765,17,1)=0.018