Double Degree MSc Programme

GEO-INFORMATION FOR SPATIAL PLANNING AND

DISASTER RISK MANAGEMENT
UGM
Graduate School Gadjah Mada University, Yogyakarta Phone/Fax. (0274) 564239
Website http://www.geo.ugm.ac.id, www.geoinfopasca.ugm.ac.id and
http://www.itc.nl/pub/study/programmes/joint-educations

SUPERVISED PRACTICUM

Module M
Multi-Hazard Risk Assessment

LECTURER:

Fathiyya Ulfa, M.Sc

By:
Haikal Muhammad Ihsan (17/420008/PMU/09219)
Moh. Taufiq Ismu Abadi (17/420015/PMU/09226)

APRIL 2018
Table 1. Alternative Losses of Flood Flash and Landslide ($ US Dollar)
FL_20_20 FL_50_20 LS_20_20 LS_50_20 FL_20_20 FL_50_20 LS_20_20 LS_50_20 FL_20_20 FL_50_20 LS_20_20 LS_50_20
14_A0_S0 14_A0_S0 14_A0_S0 14_A0_S0 14_A1_S0 14_A1_S0 14_A1_S0 14_A1_S0 14_A2_S0 14_A2_S0 14_A2_S0 14_A2_S0
_PH _PH _PH _PH _PH _PH _PH _PH _PH _PH _PH _PH

outside 0 0 3764 7528 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

S01 107089 172185 97156 254543 0 0 0 0 0 18044 0 0
S02 244070 393916 147586 324886 0 0 0 0 0 110533 0 0
S03 47087 102842 79157 193589 0 0 0 9737 0 17881 0 9542
S04 213466 341315 28480 97771 0 0 1055 2111 0 42095 1055 2111
S05 138005 222681 150766 275594 0 0 1738 1738 0 80977 1356 1356
S06 17089 49840 281378 594735 0 0 33234 118184 0 0 37111 127399
S07 305787 292743 68676 149110 305787 292743 0 680 308133 293465 0 680
S08 313900 524954 11 54 313900 524954 0 0 313900 524954 0 0
S09 28676 81455 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
S10 136799 113470 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
S11 104561 187266 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
S12 79251 175603 310 932 0 0 0 0 0 2968 0 0
S13 5571 8182 0 49286 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
S14 0 0 484 2419 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
S15 101 301 15102 31119 0 0 0 0 0 11 0 0
S16 593 437 64210 136915 0 0 493 4787 0 1134 493 4767
S17 0 0 26490 56351 0 0 6306 13600 0 147 6306 13600
S18 0 0 174612 338917 0 0 4419 5289 0 0 4389 5259
S19 0 0 52418 109526 0 0 610 5909 0 0 610 5909

Min 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Max 313900 524954 281378 594735 313900 524954 33234 118184 313900 524954 37111 127399
Avg 87102 133360 59530 131164 30984 40885 2393 8102 31102 54610 2566 8531
StD 106436 154753 76896 158519 95377 131358 7448 26186 95733 130435 8298 28231
Sum 1742045 2667190 1190600 2623275 619687 817697 47855 162035 622033 1092209 51320 170623
 Table 2. Annual Risk Losses
AR_2014_A0_S0 AR_2014_A1_S0 AR_2014_A2_S0
outside 319.94 0.00 0.00
S01 13297.91 0.00 631.54
S02 20124.42 0.00 3868.65
S03 8979.44 340.80 959.81
S04 15957.36 89.71 1563.04
S05 16215.22 86.90 2902.00
S06 25045.01 4634.95 5015.63
S07 20397.86 14856.61 14917.07
S08 23083.95 23081.89 23081.89
S09 3281.07 0.00 0.00
S10 6023.44 0.00 0.00
S11 8122.73 0.00 0.00
S12 7334.87 0.00 103.88
S13 1808.58 0.00 0.00
S14 91.93 0.00 0.00
S15 1315.70 0.00 0.39
S16 5779.37 174.94 213.93
S17 2369.64 570.59 575.74
S18 14481.28 251.40 249.90
S19 4619.68 215.97 215.97
Min 91.93 0.00 0.00
Max 25045.01 23081.89 23081.89
Avg 9932.47 2215.19 2714.97
StD 8030.03 5971.12 5896.81
Sum 198649.40 44303.76 54299.44
 Total Losses
3000000

2500000

2000000

1500000

1000000

500000

0
FL20 FL50 LS20 LS50

A0 A1 A2

Diagram 1. Total Losses

The severe losses of return period 20 years and 50 years are flash flood. The number of losses by flash
flood is 4,409,235 dollars, which is 1,742,025 dollars in return period 20 years and 2,667,190 dollars in 50
years. While, landslide hazard in 50 years return period is suffered severe losses compared with landslide
hazard in 20 years return period. The severe losses in 50 years period is higher due to the potential hazard is
bigger and the vulnerability area is wider. The vulnerability condition of exposed hazard area in 50 years return
period is higher than their condition in 20 years return period as an impact of economic and social condition.
There is different result of flash flood hazard losses, if the alternative mitigation scenario is applied. In
return period 20 years there is no different effectiveness between alternative 1 (engineering mitigation) and
alternative 2 (ecological mitigation). While, the effectiveness of alternative 1 and 2 is shown in 50 years return
period. The same condition also happen in land slide hazard. It is caused the engineering mitigation scenario
requires such a long period planning. The effectiveness from the two of alternative is also shown in table 4
below.
Table 4. Fund Saved
An0-An1 154345.64 Engineering Mitigation
An0-An2 144349.96 Ecological Mitigation
The engineering mitigation is more effective to reduce the risk rather than ecological mitigation. The
number of losses that can be saved is around 154,345.64 dollars.