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The 2% Company

By Knut Haanaes, Martin Reeves, and Jules Wurlod

V ery few companies can excel at


innovation and efficiency at the same
time. Of the 2,500 public companies we
before they see the benefits of the initial
change. Conversely, operational success to-
day makes it more difficult to change and
analyzed, just 2% consistently outperform explore.
their peers on both growth and profitabili-
ty during good and bad times. These “2% The 2% companies take varied approaches
companies,” as we call them, are able to to exploration and exploitation and thus
renew themselves in large part by driving manifest themselves in different ways. (See
innovation and efficiency simultaneously. Exhibit 1.) Three examples:
All ambitious companies should, in our
opinion, strive to become 2% companies, •• The fashion retailer Zara has developed
which are positioned to succeed over time “fast fashion” DNA that combines
and thrive during both turbulent and adaptive innovation and speed-to-store.
nonturbulent periods. Zara consistently taps into unpredict-
able changes in taste through excellence
Being excellent at both exploration (new in design agility and fosters continuous
ideas and innovation) and exploitation (op- improvements in efficiency through a
erational proficiency and efficiency) simul- very tight supply chain.
taneously is difficult because these activi-
ties are contradictory; they pull companies •• Amazon is also a 2% company, but it
in different directions. They require differ- manifests this status differently. Ama-
ent skills, different performance manage- zon has been visionary since its found-
ment, and an ability to drive success with ing, rolling out a global marketplace for
different time perspectives. They are also its expanding customer base. From the
potential traps—each in its own way. For top, CEO Jeff Bezos constantly pushes
example, pursuing too much innovation for a culture of innovative thinking
tempts companies to seek further change through his “day one” mantra, stressing
how the company should never stop and revise their strategies and operat-
being a startup. In parallel, the global ing models while improving their
retailer is able to drive efficiency by current products and operations.
building an ever-tighter customer
insight, logistics, and delivery operation. •• Second, they retain an “outside in”
focus even when successful. By
•• Toyota is another 2% company, here bringing outside perspectives in, they
manifested through a long-term quest to avoid succumbing to the risks posed by
develop new products (such as hybrid success and growth, which, although
engines) and new ways of using materi- they are positive and desired outcomes,
als and by continuously improving its tend to increase organizational compli-
lean manufacturing system. By playing catedness and push companies toward
the long game, Toyota has shown that an internal focus. In a rapidly changing
gradual improvements in quality and environment, any company with too
manufacturing can be combined with much of an inward gaze will fail to
breakthrough innovation and industry detect fundamental external market
shaping. changes.

All three companies excel at both innova- •• Third, the 2% companies embrace
tion and efficiency: the hallmark of the 2% necessary disruptions (even if pain-
company. ful). This also implies deprioritizing
profitable businesses to bet on future
growth areas and build early-mover
Traits of 2% Companies advantages.
The 2% companies share four traits:
•• Finally, they have a clear model for
•• First and foremost, these companies are renewal. Renewal models help to
excellent at both exploration and manage the inevitable tradeoffs be-
exploitation. They continually rethink tween short- and long-term objectives.

Exhibit 1 | The 2% Companies Excel at Innovation (Exploration) and Efficiency (Exploitation)

Exploration Exploitation
Long term Short term
Innovation Efficiency
Flexible adaptation Discipline
Empowerment Clarity of direction
External focus Internal focus
Growth focus Productivity focus

2%
Amazon of companies Zara
Toyota
Sources: BCG Henderson Institute.

The Boston Consulting Group | The 2% Company 2


They also fit specific business environ- means that innovations can take time to
ments and organizational capabilities. reach critical mass and yield any substan-
For instance, in industries where tial profits. If companies make projections
disruption is imminent but directionally based on the very short term, prospects will
unclear and when go-to-market capabil- always look unfavorable. In fact, applying a
ities are strong, companies can capital- short-term perspective to exploration
ize on innovation from outside by makes almost all new ideas look bad.
scanning the market for relevant
innovations, bringing them in-house, The success trap, conversely, is associated
and commercializing them. This allows with too much exploitation. That is the
them to build an early-mover advantage case when a company is satisfied by the re-
while avoiding the risk of going full turns on exploiting present knowledge and
steam in the wrong direction. technologies. Its current success will tempt
the company to continue exploiting, at the
Excellence In Exploration expense of exploration—although explora-
and Exploitation tion is necessary in the long term. We
On the one hand, exploitation activities fo- found that fully one-third of companies fall
cus on short-term improvements and refine- into the success trap during a five-year pe-
ment of existing knowledge. Capitalizing on riod and that only one in five manages to
current opportunities has the advantage of escape. These companies are pictured in
providing payoffs that are imminent and the lower-left quadrant of Exhibit 2.
that offer greater certainty.
In the long run, the best performers are
On the other hand, exploration activities companies that are able to do both: to fos-
(new ideas and innovation) are linked to ter efficiency and to explore future growth
the longer term and represent the search options.
for new opportunities. Exploration is neces-
sary to build the knowledge to cope with Maintaining an “Outside In”
disruption risks and to seize new opportu- Focus Even When Successful
nities, which is fundamental for long-term Disruption usually comes from the outside,
success. and being too inward-looking puts compa-
nies at risk of missing key customer or mar-
Most companies aren’t good at both, be- ket trends. The 2% companies don’t just ex-
cause these two areas require very different cel at both exploration and exploitation
skills. The short-term focus on cost, efficien- activities, they also manage to keep an ex-
cy, and process improvement is fundamen- ternal (outside-in) focus even when they are
tally at odds with the long-term need for in- successful. This is not as easy as it seems;
novation, experimentation, and risk taking. successful companies very often become in-
Despite this inherent tension, both view- troverted. History is paved with examples of
points are critical for sustainable business companies that reached the top of their in-
success. dustry but failed to remain there. Recall Mo-
torola, Blockbuster, Dell, Nokia, and Kodak.
The 2% companies manage to be excellent
at both, which in practice means that they Some current industry leaders, flush with
avoid two traps: the perpetual-search trap current success, might be overlooking
and the success trap. (See “An Atlas of emerging threats. Traditional banks, for ex-
Strategy Traps,” BCG interactive.) ample, may be underestimating fintechs.
The fintech industry has exploded over the
Companies mired in the perpetual-search last decade and is now worth an estimated
trap do not have the patience to wait for £7 billion in the UK alone. A recent report
the payback on exploration because realiz- by the Bank of England found that tradi-
ing value from exploration is both time- tional banks believe they can cope with fin-
consuming and uncertain. The diffusion of tech competition without making big
new ideas is often an S-shaped curve, which changes to their business models or taking

The Boston Consulting Group | The 2% Company 3


Exhibit 2 | How Many Fall into the Success Trap? How Many Escape?

IN A FIVE-YEAR PERIOD, ONE IN THREE COMPANIES FALLS INTO THE SUCCESS


TRAP AND JUST ONE IN FIVE ESCAPES
PVGO
(% of market capitalization, 2014)

140 Rising
Explorer
120

100
Trapped
80 Exploiter
1 in 3
firms
60

40

20 1 in 5
firms

–0.2 –0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2


Change in PVGO
(percentage points, 2012–2014)
Source: BCG Henderson Institute.
Note: One in three (37%) companies that are explorers today will move into the exploitation zone for at least two years over the next five years.
Conversely, one in five (22%) exploiters today will move out. PVGO = present value of growth options.

on more risk—but also that fintechs may trast, board members might want to maxi-
cause “greater and faster disruption” to mize the payoff for shareholders and thus
banks’ business models than the banks avoid investing in projects that gradually
themselves project.1 become, according to the law of diminish-
ing returns, less attractive.
One reason for an inward shift could be
complexity. Successful companies have a Maintaining an outside-in drive starts by
tendency to gradually become inward fac- continuously scanning the market, both de-
ing because organizational complexity has mand and supply. On the demand side, suc-
increased. When successful companies cessful companies must see themselves
grow, so do the breadth and depth of busi- through the eyes of the customer and con-
ness requirements. As a response, compa- stantly look out for early signs of potential
nies tend to create dedicated structures, megatrends. On the supply side, companies
processes, systems, and metrics that in- must be willing and able to engage in part-
crease the complicatedness of the organiza- nerships and collaborations.
tion. Significant resources and attention
must then be devoted to internal manage- For example, in 2011, Umicore, a Belgian
ment. (See “How Complicated Is Your Com- metals and mining company, wanted to ex-
pany?,” BCG article, January 2018.) pand its recycling activities in order to re-
cover rare earth elements from recharge-
Success can also make companies look in- able batteries. The company possessed a
ward because, by generating too much free state-of-the-art battery-recycling process—
cash flow for allocation, success can exacer- the Ultra High Temperature (UHT) pro-
bate an agency problem: managers might cess—but lacked the capabilities to refine
push to keep as many resources as possible rare earths. It thus partnered with Rhodia, a
under their control and thus invest all ex- French chemical company. Together, the two
tra cash in projects in-house, while, in con- companies developed the first industrial

The Boston Consulting Group | The 2% Company 4


process that closed the loop on the rare Another example involves the introduction
earths contained in batteries. of mobile technologies. When telecom com-
panies faced the entrance of mobile technol-
Breakthrough innovation is rarely per- ogies, they could have responded either by
formed by one single actor end-to-end, and incrementally refining their old landline
participation in relevant partnerships, plat- business or by using those innovative mo-
forms, or ecosystems can be key. bile technologies themselves to become part
of the disruptive force. In the longer term,
Embracing Disruption only the latter approach allowed companies
When disruptive shocks hit, they must be to realize the full benefits of disruption.
fully embraced. Doing so first requires com-
panies to recognize risks. Strategic decision Overall, when disruption hits, major com-
making in the context of risk can be subject mitments have to be made, even if doing so
to multiple cognitive biases. One example is is painful. These commitments can also
loss aversion, in which the thought of losing mean deprioritizing profitable activities to
something one has is more abhorrent than focus resources—management attention,
not taking advantage of a new opportunity talent, or financial resources—on disruptive
for gain. Therefore, there is a tendency to trends. Neste, a Finnish oil-refining compa-
overvalue current business models com- ny, invested heavily in renewable-diesel
pared with new, disruptive models and their production, foreseeing regulatory changes
opportunities. To sidestep that problem, in the EU that would create a market for
companies must be brutally honest and rec- diesel made from renewable sources.3 The
ognize that market conditions won’t remain firm developed technology that allows it to
the same forever. They never do. Profitable produce diesel from vegetable oils and
businesses inevitably attract potential en- waste animal fats. With this technology, it is
trants with innovative business models. possible to slash CO2 emissions by 40% to
60% compared with its fossil-fuel-based
In practice, fully embracing disruption counterpart. This strategy paid off. In 2015,
means that at times companies must re- Neste was the largest producer of renew-
spond by being disruptive themselves rath- able fuels from waste and residues world-
er than making small incremental fixes to wide. In 2016, thanks to high margins, re-
their current model. newable products reached close to 50% of
the company’s total operating margin, for
Tobacco companies understood this when approximately 20% of total revenue.
they invested—massively—in electronic
cigarettes. Electronic cigarettes have been Having The Right Model
around for nearly 30 years but gained For Renewal
strong momentum only recently, pushed by The 2% companies have an explicit model
small emerging players such as V2, Juul, for managing the inevitable tradeoffs be-
and Mig Vapor. tween near- and long-term priorities. The
right model for the subsequent renewal also
Large tobacco companies decided to em- optimally leverages the capabilities of the
brace disruption by bringing to market company and fits the organizational culture.
their own solutions. Philip Morris Interna- Needless to say, these models are company
tional (PMI), for example, invested about specific and there is no “one size fits all.” In
$3 billion to develop its iQOS. The compa- our work with various industries and in on-
ny has done so despite the high cannibal- going discussions with executives, we’ve
ization risk to its current business.2 In fact, identified a set of models. A few examples:
PMI’s CEO, André Calantzopoulos, even de-
clared, in late 2017, that this new technolo- •• The Freeze Timeframe Model. In this
gy will eventually fully replace traditional model, companies define a specific time
cigarettes. (Admittedly, this statement horizon and operate within this window
might have been motivated in part by pub- to optimize their existing product
lic-image concerns.) portfolio and pursue exploration

The Boston Consulting Group | The 2% Company 5


activities accordingly. This can be a good a strong in-house innovation engine.
strategy if, for example, management Most big pharma companies rely on this
has limited long-term priorities, can model to supplement their own drug
predict the near future fairly confident- pipelines, for instance. By in-licensing
ly, has the resources to invest in the products that are already fairly well
desired product enhancements, and developed, getting FDA approval, and
believes that building these enhance- taking them to market quickly, pharma
ments upfront will deliver a competitive companies can ensure a steady stream
advantage. Private equity firms are good of new products with faster time to
examples of businesses that invest to market and lower R&D risks.
create value in a defined time window,
usually approximately three to five •• The Win-Stay/Lose-Shift Model.
years. When taking on a company, they Another model is to gather, screen, and
will do the exploration that creates test many ideas quickly, with minimal
visible value in the medium term. financial investment in each. This
diversified strategy can be far less risky
•• The No-Regrets Model. This strategy than one big bet-the-farm commitment.
means making sure that your company But it requires the company to identify
encounters no surprises in its market early the ideas that are less promising
domain. Companies need to identify and to “fail fast” before too many
the domain they are playing in and resources are spent. It therefore necessi-
then, within it, engage a wide variety tates clear criteria and metrics and
of technological options. By adopting disciplined objectivity. Once a winner is
this strategy, companies guarantee an identified, the company also needs the
early-mover advantage whatever capabilities to quickly scale up. Zara,
winning option the market ultimately the fashion company, typically masters
picks. Companies need to be able to this model. Another good example is
recognize winners early by picking up Amgen: The biotech company used to
weak signals. A case in point: Essilor, fund as many drugs as possible and
the world leader in eyeglass lenses, has hope for the best. Now, although
proved that it can stay successful by Amgen’s R&D strategy still focuses only
continuously scanning and engaging on breakthrough drugs, the company
with all novelties in its domain that evaluates drugs quickly, weeding out
can change the industry. With this candidates that don’t make the grade.
strategy, the company has successfully This fail-fast approach saved the
caught multiple innovation waves, such company $1 billion in research spend-
as online retailing, plastic lenses, ing on just a single drug.
sunglasses, and low-cost manufacturing
in Asia. •• The Innovation Platform Model.
Some companies are able to create an
•• The Commercializer Model. Compa- attractive technology platform on which
nies do not always have a monopoly on other companies can build their
good ideas. The commercializer model businesses. Amazon and Alibaba have
implies scanning outside for relevant made this strategy work, providing
products developed externally, bringing partners with tools, data, and other
them in-house, and then commercializ- services to help online businesses
ing them. This strategy requires strong succeed. Key success factors here
go-to-market capabilities and the include a truly differentiated platform,
resources necessary to acquire the cutting-edge technology, the satisfaction
targets identified. It also rests on the of merchants and business partners,
ability to scan the market for relevant and the continuous incorporation of
opportunities and recognize them early, new ideas and improvements—there
before their market value shoots up. To has to be a clear reason why an outside
some extent, this strategy complements business would use your platform

The Boston Consulting Group | The 2% Company 6


rather than taking products to market cency and self-satisfaction. Rather, keep
themselves or through others. a mindset of continuous quest for
improvement and search for novel
ideas. This will trickle down through the
Recommendations for entire organization and ensure that key
Top Management stakeholders always push the frontier of
We offer five recommendations for becom- possibilities.
ing a 2% company:
5. Review your renewal strategies
1. Invite challenge and coaching from explicitly. Pursuing excellence on all
the outside. Welcome differing opin- four of the previously described traits
ions. Be willing to be challenged by, and can be exhausting for an organization.
to learn from, others. No one can be As a result, explicitly reviewing your
right all the time, and welcoming company’s performance is necessary to
outsiders so that you can benefit from ensure that all dimensions are tackled
their unbiased, outside-in perspectives and that there are no gaps between
will help you stay close to customers intention and action. To this end, we
and nascent market trends. Having a have built a simple, pragmatic assess-
clear picture of those trends will also ment tool that helps executives to
prevent your company from setting out rapidly weigh their strategies against
in a wrong direction and provides the the four traits. We call it the “2%
confidence necessary to make difficult cockpit” because it helps to show
decisions. executives how to pilot their organiza-
tions the way that 2% companies do.
2. Think in multiple time frames. Ask Exhibit 3 is a sample cockpit view.
yourself what you’re doing to best
position yourself for next year, five
years from now, and ten years from
now. This mindset will enable both
exploration and exploitation activities
T he 2% companies set a high bar. But
by emulating these performance lead-
ers and heeding the recommendations set
and strike the right balance of the two. forth above, other companies can achieve
Thinking in multiple time frames is also and sustain a higher level of success than
a critical first step toward defining the they currently enjoy. Ten years from now,
right renewal model for your company, we may find ourselves talking about new
as it ensures that your chosen strategy manifestations of exploration and exploita-
will deliver results at all relevant time tion and an expanded roster of companies
frames. that excel at both innovation and efficien-
cy: the 3%—or more.
3. Get ahead of any crisis. Recognize risk
and be brutally honest. Once risks and
opportunities have been clearly identi- Notes
fied, make sure you address disruption in 1. Bank of England, Stress Testing the UK Banking
System: 2017 Results, November 2017. The report is
the way that best positions your compa- based on a stress test of seven major banks in the
ny and takes full advantage of the dis- UK: HSBC, Barclays, Lloyds Bank, the Royal Bank of
ruptive forces. Have the courage to act Scotland, Santander UK, Standard Chartered, and
Nationwide.
promptly and preemptively: establish an
2. The disruptive risk posed by electronic cigarettes is
early-mover advantage that can be material: they are most popular among young
instrumental for sustainable success. smokers, and specialists believe that young people
who miss the early tobacco habit may never become
traditional smokers, given that nine out of ten adult
4. Be skeptical of current success. One tobacco smokers began smoking by age 18 and that
should never rest on one’s laurels. nearly all began smoking by age 25.
Successful companies must stay sober 3. The EU required 5.75% of transport fuels to be
biofuels by 2010 and the share of energy from
and modest so as to avoid creating a renewable sources in all forms of transportation to be at
company culture that rests on compla- least 10% of the final consumption of energy by 2020.

The Boston Consulting Group | The 2% Company 7


Exhibit 3 | The 2% Cockpit Helps to Review Your Renewal Strategies

ARE WE ADDRESSING DISRUPTION? 5. Organizational alignment


1. Embracing disruption 2. Balancing exploration
and exploitation
Intent ALIGNMENT SCORE
Action Reality Action

SUMMARY
2. Balancing exploration
0.0 5.0 0.0 5.0 and exploitation

Reality > Action Intent > Action

1. Embracing 3. Remaining
HOW ARE WE ADDRESSING DISRUPTION? disruption outside-in
3. Remaining outside-in 4. Fitting renewal model
to business footprint
Action Intent Model/footprint fit

5. Organizational 4. Fitting renewal model


0.0 5.0 0.0 5.0 alignment to business footprint
Intent > Action Model = footprint INTENT ACTION

Source: BCG analysis.

About the Authors


Knut Haanaes is a professor of strategy at IMD in Lausanne. He is also a senior advisor at The Boston
Consulting Group and a fellow at the BCG Henderson Institute. You may contact him by email at knut.
haanaes@imd.org.

Martin Reeves is a senior partner and managing director in the firm’s New York office and the director of
the BCG Henderson Institute. You may contact him by email at reeves.martin@bcg.com and follow him
on Twitter @MartinKReeves.

Jules Wurlod is a consultant in BCG’s Geneva office and an ambassador to the BCG Henderson Institute.
You may contact him by email at wurlod.jules@bcg.com.

Acknowledgments
The authors thank Steven Eisenberg and Johann Harnoss for their useful insights and contributions to
this article.

The BCG Henderson Institute is The Boston Consulting Group’s internal think tank, dedicated to exploring
and developing valuable new insights from business, technology, and science by embracing the powerful
technology of ideas. The Institute engages leaders inprovocative discussion and experimentation to ex-
pand the boundariesof business theory and practice and to translate innovative ideas from within and be-
yond business. For more ideas and inspiration from theInstitute, please visit https://www.bcg.com/
bcg-henderson-institute/thought-leadership-ideas.aspx.

The Boston Consulting Group (BCG) is a global management consulting firm and the world’s leading advi-
sor on business strategy. We partner with clients from the private, public, and not-for-profit sectors in all
regions to identify their highest-value opportunities, address their most critical challenges, and transform

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their enterprises. Our customized approach combines deep insight into the dynamics of companies and
markets with close collaboration at all levels of the client organization. This ensures that our clients
achieve sustainable competitive advantage, build more capable organizations, and secure lasting results.
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© The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. 2018. All rights reserved. 2/18

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