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The Millennium Development Goals Report

2011

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UNITED NATIONS
This report is based on a master set of data that has been compiled by an Inter-Agency and Expert Group on
MDG Indicators led by the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat, in
response to the wishes of the General Assembly for periodic assessment of progress towards the MDGs. The
Group comprises representatives of the international organizations whose activities include the preparation of
one or more of the series of statistical indicators that were identified as appropriate for monitoring progress
towards the MDGs, as reflected in the list below. A number of national statisticians and outside expert advisers
also contributed.

INTERNATIONAL LABOUR ORGANIZATION

FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION OF THE UNITED NATIONS

UNITED NATIONS EDUCATIONAL, SCIENTIFIC AND CULTURAL ORGANIZATION


Cover Inside
UNITED NATIONS INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATION

WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION

THE WORLD BANK

INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

INTERNATIONAL TELECOMMUNICATION UNION

ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR AFRICA

ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR EUROPE

ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN

ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL COMMISSION FOR ASIA AND THE PACIFIC

ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL COMMISSION FOR WESTERN ASIA

JOINT UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON HIV/AIDS

UNITED NATIONS CHILDREN’S FUND

UNITED NATIONS CONFERENCE ON TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT

UNITED NATIONS DEVELOPMENT FUND FOR WOMEN

UNITED NATIONS DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME

UNITED NATIONS ENVIRONMENT PROGRAMME

UNITED NATIONS FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE

UNITED NATIONS HIGH COMMISSIONER FOR REFUGEES

UNITED NATIONS HUMAN SETTLEMENTS PROGRAMME

UNITED NATIONS POPULATION FUND

INTERNATIONAL TRADE CENTRE

INTER-PARLIAMENTARY UNION

ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT

WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION


The Millennium Development Goals
Report 2011

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United Nations
New York, 2011
Foreword  | 3

Foreword
Since they were first adopted, the Millennium Disparities between urban and rural areas are also
Development Goals (MDGs) have raised awareness and pronounced and daunting. Achieving the goals will
shaped a broad vision that remains the overarching require equitable and inclusive economic growth —
framework for the development activities of the United growth that reaches everyone and that will enable all
Nations. people, especially the poor and marginalized, to benefit
from economic opportunities.
At the September 2010 MDG Summit, world leaders
put forward an ambitious action plan — a roadmap We must also take more determined steps to protect
outlining what is needed to meet the goals by the the ecosystems that support economic growth and
agreed deadline of 2015. The information presented sustain life on earth. Next year’s United Nations
on the following pages demonstrates that this can be Conference on Sustainable Development — Rio + 20 —
done if concrete steps are taken. is an opportunity to generate momentum in this
direction, which is vital for achieving the MDGs.
Already, the MDGs have helped to lift millions of
people out of poverty, save lives and ensure that Between now and 2015, we must make sure that
children attend school. They have reduced maternal promises made become promises kept. The people of
deaths, expanded opportunities for women, increased the world are watching. Too many of them are anxious,
access to clean water and freed many people from angry and hurting. They fear for their jobs, their
deadly and debilitating disease. At the same time, families, their futures. World leaders must show not
the report shows that we still have a long way to go in only that they care, but that they have the courage and
empowering women and girls, promoting sustainable conviction to act.
development, and protecting the most vulnerable from
the devastating effects of multiple crises, be they
conflicts, natural disasters or volatility in prices for
food and energy.

Progress tends to bypass those who are lowest on


the economic ladder or are otherwise disadvantaged Ban Ki-moon
because of their sex, age, disability or ethnicity. Secretary-General, United Nations
4  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

Overview
Lives have been saved or changed worldwide—from nearly 985,000 in 2000 to 781,000 in
for the better 2009. This was accomplished through critical interventions,
including the distribution of insecticide-treated mosquito
nets, which, in sub-Saharan Africa alone, are sufficient
More than 10 years have passed since world leaders
to cover 76 per cent of the population at risk. The largest
established goals and targets to free humanity from extreme
absolute drops in malaria deaths were in Africa, where 11
poverty, hunger, illiteracy and disease. The Millennium
countries have reduced malaria cases and deaths by over 50
Declaration and the MDG framework for accountability
per cent.
derived from it have inspired development efforts and helped
set global and national priorities and focus subsequent
•• Investments in preventing and treating HIV
actions. While more work lies ahead, the world has cause
are yielding results
to celebrate, in part due to the continued economic growth
of some developing countries and targeted interventions in New HIV infections are declining steadily, led by sub-Saharan
critical areas. Increased funding from many sources has Africa. In 2009, an estimated 2.6 million people were newly
translated into the expansion of programmes to deliver infected with HIV—a drop of 21 per cent since 1997, when
services and resources to those most in need. Here are some new infections peaked. Thanks to increased funding and
of the highlights: the expansion of major programmes, the number of people
receiving antiretroviral therapy for HIV or AIDS increased 13-
•• Poverty continues to decline in many countries fold from 2004 to 2009. By end-2009, 5.25 million people
and regions were receiving such treatment in low- and middle-income
countries—an increase of over 1.2 million people since
Despite significant setbacks after the 2008-2009 economic
December 2008. As a result, the number of AIDS-related
downturn, exacerbated by the food and energy crisis, the
deaths declined by 19 per cent over the same period.
world is still on track to reach the poverty-reduction target.
By 2015, it is now expected that the global poverty rate will
•• Effective strategies against tuberculosis are saving
fall below 15 per cent, well under the 23 per cent target. This
millions of lives
global trend, however, mainly reflects rapid growth in Eastern
Asia, especially China. Between 1995 and 2009, a total of 41 million tuberculosis
patients were successfully treated and up to 6 million lives
•• Some of the poorest countries have made the greatest were saved, due to effective international protocols for the
strides in education treatment of tuberculosis. Worldwide, deaths attributed to the
disease have fallen by more than one third since 1990.
Burundi, Rwanda, Samoa, Sao Tome and Principe, Togo
and the United Republic of Tanzania have achieved or are
•• Every region has made progress in improving access
nearing the goal of universal primary education. Considerable
to clean drinking water
progress has also been made in Benin, Bhutan, Burkina
Faso, Ethiopia, Guinea, Mali, Mozambique and Niger, where An estimated 1.1 billion people in urban areas and 723
net enrolment ratios in primary school increased by more million people in rural areas gained access to an improved
than 25 percentage points from 1999 to 2009. With an 18 drinking water source over the period 1990-2008. Eastern
percentage point gain between 1999 and 2009, sub-Saharan Asia registered the largest gains in drinking water coverage—
Africa is the region with the best record of improvement. from 69 per cent in 1990 to 86 per cent in 2008. Sub-
Saharan Africa nearly doubled the number of people using an
•• Targeted interventions have succeeded in reducing improved drinking water source—from 252 million in 1990 to
child mortality 492 million in 2008.
The number of deaths of children under the age of five
declined from 12.4 million in 1990 to 8.1 million in 2009.
Despite real progress, we are failing to reach
This means that nearly 12,000 fewer children are dying each the most vulnerable
day. Between 2000 and 2008, the combination of improved
immunization coverage and the opportunity for second-dose Alhough many countries have demonstrated that progress
immunizations led to a 78 per cent drop in measles deaths is possible, efforts need to be intensified. They must also
worldwide. These averted deaths represent one quarter of the target the hardest to reach: the poorest of the poor and
decline in mortality from all causes among children under those disadvantaged because of their sex, age, ethnicity or
five. disability. Disparities in progress between urban and rural
areas remain daunting.
•• Increased funding and control efforts have cut deaths
from malaria •• The poorest children have made the slowest progress
in terms of improved nutrition
Through the hard work of governments, international
partners, community health workers and civil society, In 2009, nearly a quarter of children in the developing
deaths from malaria have been reduced by 20 per cent world were underweight, with the poorest children most
Overview  | 5

affected. In Southern Asia, a shortage of quality food and is 1.8 times more likely to use an improved drinking water
poor feeding practices, combined with inadequate sanitation, source than a person living in a rural area.
has contributed to making underweight prevalence among
children the highest in the world. In that region, between Continued progress requires an active
1995 and 2009, no meaningful improvement was seen commitment to peace, equity, equality and
among children in the poorest households, while underweight
prevalence among children from the richest 20 per cent of sustainability
households decreased by almost one third. Children living
in rural areas of developing regions are twice as likely to be At the 2010 High-level Plenary Meeting of the General
underweight as are their urban counterparts. Assembly on the Millennium Development Goals, world
leaders reaffirmed their commitment to the MDGs and
•• Opportunities for full and productive employment remain called for intensified collective action and the expansion of
particularly slim for women successful approaches. They acknowledged the challenges
posed by multiple crises, increasing inequalities and
Wide gaps remain in women’s access to paid work in at
persistent violent conflicts.
least half of all regions. Following significant job losses in
2008-2009, the growth in employment during the economic
They called for action to ensure equal access by women and
recovery in 2010, especially in the developing world,
girls to education, basic services, health care, economic
was lower for women than for men. Women employed in
opportunities and decision-making at all levels, recognizing
manufacturing industries were especially hard hit.
that achievement of the MDGs depends largely on women’s
empowerment. World leaders also stressed that accelerated
•• Being poor, female or living in a conflict zone increases
action on the goals requires economic growth that is
the probability that a child will be out of school
sustainable, inclusive and equitable—growth that enables
The net enrolment ratio of children in primary school has only everyone to benefit from progress and share in economic
gone up by 7 percentage points since 1999, reaching 89 per opportunities.
cent in 2009. More recently, progress has actually slowed,
dimming prospects for reaching the MDG target of universal Finally, further and faster movement towards achievement
primary education by 2015. Children from the poorest of the MDGs will require a rejuvenated global partnership,
households, those living in rural areas and girls are the most expeditious delivery on commitments already made, and an
likely to be out of school. Worldwide, among children of agile transition to a more environmentally sustainable future.
primary school age not enrolled in school, 42 per cent—
28 million—live in poor countries affected by conflict.

•• Advances in sanitation often bypass the poor and those


living in rural areas
Over 2.6 billion people still lack access to flush toilets or Sha Zukang
other forms of improved sanitation. And where progress
Under-Secretary-General for Economic
has occurred, it has largely bypassed the poor. An analysis
and Social Affairs
of trends over the period 1995-2008 for three countries
in Southern Asia shows that improvements in sanitation
disproportionately benefited the better off, while sanitation
coverage for the poorest 40 per cent of households hardly
increased. Although gaps in sanitation coverage between
urban and rural areas are narrowing, rural populations remain
at a distinct disadvantage in a number of regions.

•• Improving the lives of a growing number of urban poor


remains a monumental challenge
Progress in ameliorating slum conditions has not been
sufficient to offset the growth of informal settlements
throughout the developing world. In developing regions, the
number of urban residents living in slum conditions is now
estimated at 828 million, compared to 657 million in 1990
and 767 million in 2000. Redoubled efforts will be needed to
improve the lives of the urban poor in cities and metropolises
across the developing world.

•• Progress has been uneven in improving access to safe


drinking water
In all regions, coverage in rural areas lags behind that of
cities and towns. In sub-Saharan Africa, an urban dweller
6  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

Target
Goal 1 Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people
whose income is less than $1 a day

Eradicate extreme Sustained growth in developing countries,


poverty and particularly in Asia, is keeping the world on
hunger track to meet the poverty-reduction target

Proportion of people living on less than $1.25 a day, 1990 and 2005
(Percentage)
Sub-Saharan Africa
58
51
Southern Asia
49
39
Southern Asia (excluding India)
45
31
Caribbean
29
26
Caucasus & Central Asia
6
19
South-Eastern Asia
39
19
Eastern Asia
60
16
Latin America
11
7
Western Asia
2
6
Northern Africa
5
3
Developing regions
45
27

0 20 40 60 80

1990 2005 2015 target

Robust growth in the first half of the decade reduced the


number of people in developing countries living on less than
$1.25 a day from about 1.8 billion in 1990 to 1.4 billion
in 2005. At the same time, the corresponding poverty rate
dropped from 46 per cent to 27 per cent. The economic and
financial crisis that began in the advanced countries of North
America and Europe in 2008 sparked declines in commodity
prices, trade and investment, resulting in slower growth globally.
Goal 1: Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger  | 7

Despite these declines, current trends suggest that the


momentum of growth in the developing world remains
strong enough to sustain the progress needed to reach
the global poverty-reduction target. Based on recently
updated projections from the World Bank, the overall
poverty rate is still expected to fall below 15 per cent
by 2015, indicating that the Millennium Development
Goal (MDG) target can be met.

The World Bank’s new poverty projections for 2015


incorporate several changes: additional data from
over 60 new household surveys, updates of historical
consumption per capita from national accounts, and
a new forecast of growth in per capita consumption.
The forecast therefore captures changes in income
distribution in countries for which new survey data
are available, and assumes that inequality remains
unchanged in other countries. It also incorporates
some of the effects of the global economic crisis, such
as food and fuel price shocks. By 2015, the number
of people in developing countries living on less than
$1.25 a day is projected to fall below 900 million.

The fastest growth and sharpest reductions in poverty


continue to be found in Eastern Asia, particularly in
China, where the poverty rate is expected to fall to
under 5 per cent by 2015. India has also contributed
to the large reduction in global poverty. In that country,
poverty rates are projected to fall from 51 per cent
in 1990 to about 22 per cent in 2015. In China
and India combined, the number of people living in
extreme poverty between 1990 and 2005 declined
by about 455 million, and an additional 320 million
people are expected to join their ranks by 2015.
Projections for sub-Saharan Africa are slightly more
upbeat than previously estimated. Based on recent
economic growth performance and forecasted trends,
the extreme poverty rate in the region is expected to
fall below 36 per cent.

The task of monitoring progress on poverty reduction


is beset by a lack of good quality surveys carried
out at regular intervals, delays in reporting survey
results, and insufficient documentation of country-
level analytical methods used. It is also hampered by
difficulties in accessing the underlying survey micro-
data required to compute the poverty estimates. These
gaps remain particularly problematic in sub-Saharan
Africa, where the data necessary to make comparisons
over the full range of MDGs are available in less than
half the countries. For example, between 2007 and
2009, the countries that had collected, analysed and
disseminated survey data, represent only 20 per cent
of the region’s population.
8  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

More than three years have passed since the onset


Target
of the fastest and deepest drop in global economic
Achieve full and productive employment and activity since the Great Depression. While global
decent work for all, including women and young economic growth is rebounding, the global labour
people market is, in many respects, behaving as anticipated
in the middle of the crisis: stubbornly elevated
Economic recovery has failed to translate unemployment and slow employment generation
in developed economies, coupled with widespread
into employment opportunities deficits in decent work in even the fastest-growing
developing countries.
Employment-to-population ratio, 2000, 2009 and 2010
preliminary estimates In the developed regions, the employment-to-
population ratio dropped from 56.8 per cent in 2007
Eastern Asia
74
to 55.4 per cent in 2009, with a further drop to 54.8
70 per cent in 2010. Clearly, many developed economies
70 are simply not generating sufficient employment
Oceania
opportunities to absorb growth in the working-age
66 population. Again, this reflects an ongoing lag between
66 economic recovery and a recovery in employment
66 in this region. This contrasts with many developing
South-Eastern Asia regions, some of which saw an initial decline in the
67 employment-to-population ratio but where, with the
66
exception of the Caucasus and Central Asia and
66
Eastern Asia, the estimated employment-to-population
Sub-Saharan Africa
ratio in 2010 has changed little since 2007.
63
64
64
Latin America & the Caribbean
58
61
61
Caucasus & Central Asia
55
59
60
Southern Asia
57
58
58
Northern Africa
43
46
46
Western Asia
45
44
43
Developed regions
5 5.8
5 5.4
54.8
Developing regions
63.2
62.7
62.7

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
2000 2009 2010
Goal 1: Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger  | 9

Progress in reducing vulnerable is characterized by informal working arrangements,


employment stalled following the lack of adequate social protection, low pay and difficult
working conditions.
economic crisis
On the basis of available data, it is estimated that
Proportion of own-account and contributing family workers in the vulnerable employment rate remained roughly the
total employment, 1999, 2008 and 2009 (Percentage) same between 2008 and 2009, both in developing
Oceania and developed regions. This compares with a steady
77 average decline in the years preceding the economic
78 and financial crisis. Increases in the vulnerable
78 employment rate were found in sub-Saharan Africa
Southern Asia and Western Asia.
80
78
77
Sub-Saharan Africa
80
75
76
South-Eastern Asia
66
62
62
Eastern Asia
61
53
51
Caucasus & Central Asia
57
44
44
Northern Africa
33
33
33
Latin America & the Caribbean
36
32
32
Western Asia
37
28
29
Developed regions
11
10
10
Developing regions
65
60
60

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

1999 2008 2009

In developing regions overall, the majority of workers


are engaged in “vulnerable employment”, defined
as the percentage of own-account and unpaid family
workers in total employment. Vulnerable employment
10  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

Worldwide, one in five workers and their families are living in extreme poverty

Proportion of employed people living on less than $1.25 a day (Percentage) and number of working poor (Millions), 1999-2009

Millions Percentage
1000 35.0

Working poor
Working poverty rate
800 30.0
Pre-crisis trend
(2002-2007)

600 25.0

400 20.0

200 15.0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

A slowdown in progress against poverty is reflected of the working poverty incidence curve beginning in
in the number of working poor. According to the 2007. The estimated rate for 2009 is 1.6 percentage
International Labour Organization, one in five workers points higher than the rate projected on the basis of
and their families worldwide were living in extreme the pre-crisis trend. While this is a crude estimate, it
poverty (on less than $1.25 per person per day) in amounts to about 40 million more working poor at the
2009. This represents a sharp decline in poverty from extreme $1.25 level in 2009 than would have been
a decade earlier, but also a flattening of the slope expected on the basis of pre-crisis trends.
Goal 1: Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger  | 11

Target
Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of
people who suffer from hunger.

The proportion of people going hungry


has plateaued at 16 per cent, despite
reductions in poverty

Number and proportion of people in the developing regions


who are undernourished, 1990-1992, 1995-1997,
2000-2002 and 2005-2007

Millions Percentage

1,500 25

20
1,200 18 20
16 16

900 15
828 818 837
770
600 10

300 5

0 0
1990- 1995- 2000- 2005-
1992 1997 2002 2007

Number of Percentage of
undernourished people undernourished people

The proportion of people in the developing world who


went hungry in 2005-2007 remained stable at 16 per
cent, despite significant reductions in extreme poverty.
Based on this trend, and in light of the economic
crisis and rising food prices, it will be difficult to meet
the hunger-reduction target in many regions of the
developing world.

The disconnect between poverty reduction and the


persistence of hunger has brought renewed attention
to the mechanisms governing access to food in the
developing world. This year, the Food and Agriculture
Organization of the United Nations will undertake
a comprehensive review of the causes behind this
apparent discrepancy to better inform hunger-reduction
policies in the future.
12  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

Disparities within and among regions are found in the fight against hunger

Proportion of undernourished population, 2005-2007 (Percentage)

Very high (undernourishment 35% and above) Moderately low (undernourishment 5-14%)
High (undernourishment 25-34%) Very low (undernourishment below 5%)
Moderately high (undernourishment 15-24%) Missing or insufficient data

Trends observed in South-Eastern Asia, Eastern Asia in Eastern Asia since 1990 are largely due to progress
and Latin America and the Caribbean suggest that they in China, while levels in South-Eastern Asia benefit
are likely to meet the hunger-reduction target by 2015. from advances made in Indonesia and the Philippines.
However, wide disparities are found among countries in Based on current trends, sub-Saharan Africa will be
these regions. For example, the strong gains recorded unable to meet the hunger-reduction target by 2015.
Goal 1: Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger  | 13

Nearly a quarter of children under lack of quality food, suboptimal feeding practices,
five in the developing world remain repeated attacks of infectious diseases and pervasive
undernutrition. In Southern Asia, for example, one
undernourished finds not only a shortage of quality food and poor
feeding practices, but a lack of flush toilets and
Proportion of children under age five who are underweight, other forms of improved sanitation. Nearly half the
1990 and 2009 (Percentage) population practises open defecation, resulting in
Southern Asia repeated bouts of diarrhoeal disease in children, which
52 contribute to the high prevalence of undernutrition.
43 Moreover, more than a quarter of infants in that region
Sub-Saharan Africa weigh less than 2,500 grams at birth. Many of these
27 children are never able to catch up in terms of their
22 nutritional status. All these factors conspire to make
South-Eastern Asia underweight prevalence in the region the highest in the
30 world.
18
Western Asia* Nutrition must be given higher priority in national
11
7
development if the MDGs are to be achieved. A
number of simple, cost-effective measures delivered
Eastern Asia
15
at key stages of the life cycle, particularly from
6 conception to two years after birth, could greatly
Northern Africa
15 reduce undernutrition. These measures include
10 improved maternal nutrition and care, breastfeeding
6 within one hour of birth, exclusive breastfeeding for the
Caucasus & Central Asia first 6 months of life, and timely, adequate, safe, and
7 appropriate complementary feeding and micronutrient
5 intake between 6 and 24 months of age. Urgent,
Latin America & the Caribbean accelerated and concerted actions are needed to
10 deliver and scale up such interventions to achieve
4
MDG 1 and other health-related goals.
Developing regions
30
23

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

1990 2009 Target

* Regional aggregate only covers 47 per cent of the regional


population, due to lack of data from Yemen.

Note: Trend analysis is based on data from 64 countries covering


73 per cent of the under-five population in developing regions.
Prevalence of underweight children is estimated according
to World Health Organization (WHO) Child Growth Standards.
For the Caucasus & Central Asia, the baseline for trend analysis
is 1996, since there are not sufficient data for 1990.

In developing regions, the proportion of children under


age five who are underweight declined from 30 per
cent to 23 per cent between 1990 and 2009. Progress
in reducing underweight prevalence was made in all
regions where comparable trend data are available.
Eastern Asia, Latin America and the Caribbean, and
the Caucasus and Central Asia have reached or nearly
reached the MDG target, and South-Eastern Asia and
Northern Africa are on track.

However, progress in the developing regions overall


is insufficient to reach the target by 2015. Children
are underweight due to a combination of factors:
14  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

In Southern Asia, progress in combating


child undernutrition is bypassing the
poorest

Proportion of under-five children who are underweight in


Southern Asia, by household wealth, around 1995 and 2009
(Percentage)

80
64 63
60
60
51
60
54 37
40 47
40

20 26

0
-5
-20 -14
-21 -21
-30
-40
Poorest Second Middle Fourth Richest
20% 20% 20% 20% 20%

Prevalence around 1995


Prevalence around 2009
Relative reduction between 1995 and 2009

Children from the poorest households are more likely


to be underweight than their richer counterparts.
Moreover, the poorest children are making the slowest
progress in reducing underweight prevalence. In
Southern Asia, for example, there was no meaningful
improvement among children in the poorest
households in the period between 1995 and 2009,
while underweight prevalence among children from the
richest 20 per cent of households decreased by almost
a third.

Children in developing regions are twice as likely to


be underweight if they live in rural rather than urban
areas. Little difference was found in underweight
prevalence between girls and boys.
Goal 1: Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger  | 15

Close to 43 million people worldwide are displaced because of conflict or persecution

Number of refugees and internally displaced persons, 2000-2010 (Millions)


40

Refugees
15.2 15.4
30 16.0 16.0 15.2
14.6 13.7 13.8 14.3 Internally displaced persons
15.9 13.0

20

25.3 26.0 26.0 27.1 27.5


25.0 25.0 24.6 23.7 24.4
10 21.2

0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Humanitarian crises and conflicts continue to uproot have been confined to camps and other settlements
millions of people across the globe. They also hinder for many years without any solution in sight. Excluding
the return of refugees and those internally displaced. refugees under UNRWA’s mandate, UNHCR estimates
As of end 2010, close to 43 million people worldwide that 7.2 million refugees spread across 24 countries
were displaced due to conflict and persecution, the are currently trapped in a protracted situation of this
highest number since the mid-1990s and about half kind. This is the highest number since 2001 and
a million more than the previous year. Of these, 15.4 clearly demonstrates the lack of permanent solutions
million are refugees, including 10.5 million who fall for many of the world’s refugees. The number of
under the responsibility of the United Nations High refugees who have returned to their homes has
Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) and 4.8 million continuously decreased since 2004, with the 2010
Palestinian refugees who are the responsibility of the figures (197,600 returns) being the lowest since 1990.
United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine
Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA). In addition, 27.5 On average, four out of five refugees are hosted by
million people have been uprooted by violence and developing countries. Afghans and Iraqis continue to
persecution but remain within the borders of their own be the largest refugee populations under the UNHCR
countries. While often not displaced per se, UNHCR mandate with 3 million and 1.7 million refugees,
estimated that some 12 million people were stateless. respectively, at the end of 2010. Together they account
for nearly half of all refugees under UNHCR’s mandate.
While millions of refugees have found a durable
solution to their situation over the decades, others
16  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

Target
Goal 2 Ensure that, by 2015, children everywhere, boys and girls
alike, will be able to complete a full course of primary
schooling
Achieve universal
primary education Sub-Saharan Africa has the best record for
improvement in primary school enrolment

Adjusted net enrolment ratio in primary education,* 1998/1999


and 2008/2009 (Percentage)
Sub-Saharan Africa
58
76
Western Asia
83
88
Southern Asia
79
91
Caucasus & Central Asia
94
93
Northern Africa
86
94
South-Eastern Asia
93
94
Latin America & the Caribbean
93
95
Eastern Asia
95
96
Developed regions
97
96
Developing regions
82
89

0 25 50 75 100

1999 2009

* Defined as the number of pupils of the theoretical school age for primary
education enrolled either in primary or secondary school, expressed as a
percentage of the total population in that age group.
Note: Data for Oceania are not available.

In the developing world as a whole, enrolment in primary


education has increased slowly. The net enrolment ratio has
gone up by just 7 percentage points since 1999, reaching 89
per cent in 2009. In more recent years, progress has actually
slowed, with an increase of just 2 percentage points between
2004 and 2009, dimming prospects for reaching the MDG
target of universal primary education by 2015.
Goal 2: Achieve universal primary education  | 17

Most regions have advanced somewhat, though Being poor, female or living in a
progress varies considerably among geographical conflict zone increases the probability
groupings. With an 18-percentage-point gain between
1999 and 2009, sub-Saharan Africa has the best
that a child will be out of school
record for improvement, followed by Southern Asia
and Northern Africa, which had a 12-percentage- Distribution of out-of-school children by region,
1999 and 2009 (Percentage)
point and an 8-percentage-point increase,
respectively. By contrast, the net enrolment ratio fell 100
from 94 per cent to 93 per cent in the Caucasus and
Central Asia.

To achieve universal primary education, children 80


44
everywhere must complete a full cycle of primary 48

schooling. Current statistics show that the world


is far from meeting that goal. Only 87 out of 100
children in the developing regions complete primary 60
education.1 In half of the least developed countries,
at least two out of five children in primary school drop
out before reaching the last grade.
40 34 24
In 2009, more than 20 per cent of primary-age
children in least developed countries were excluded Sub-Saharan Africa
from education. Nevertheless, some of the poorest 6
Southern Asia
countries have made the greatest strides since 1999. Eastern Asia
20 6 5 South-Eastern Asia
Burundi, Rwanda, Samoa, Sao Tome and Principe, 4 4 Latin America & the Caribbean
Togo and the United Republic of Tanzania have 4 4 Western Asia
achieved or are nearing the goal of universal primary 3 2 Northern Africa
3 6
education (with an adjusted net enrolment ratio above 0 3 Rest of the world
95 per cent). Considerable progress was also made 1999 2009

in Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Ethiopia, Guinea,


Mali, Mozambique and Niger, where net enrolment The total number of children out of school fell from
ratios increased by more than 25 percentage points 106 million to 67 million between 1999 and 2009.
from 1999 to 2009. The abolition of school fees is Almost half of these children—32 million—live in
considered an important driver of rapid progress in sub-Saharan Africa, despite the region’s strong efforts
many of these countries. to increase enrolment. A quarter of the children
out of school, or 16 million, are in Southern Asia.
Being female, poor and living in a country affected
1 Measured by the gross intake rate to the last grade of
by conflict are three of the most pervasive factors
primary education.
keeping children out of school. Of the total number
of primary-age children in the world who are not
enrolled in school, 42 per cent—28 million—live in
poor countries affected by conflict. Over the decade,
the share of girls in the total out-of-school population
dropped from 58 per cent to 53 per cent.
18  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

Refugee children face steep barriers to getting an education


Children displaced from their homes face a multitude the remaining 62 camps, fewer than 70 per cent were
of problems, including getting an education, according enrolled. One reason for poor enrolment may be the
to the United Nations High Commissioner for lack of qualified teachers willing to work in refugee
Refugees. In 87 urban areas for which the UNHCR has camps. Moreover, classrooms tend to be overcrowded,
data, 37 per cent of refugee children had no access textbooks are generally in short supply, and basic
to schooling. When they do, it is often an unsettling sanitation is frequently lacking. Among youth in
experience, due to stigma and discrimination that refugee camps, 73 per cent of adolescent girls and 66
can result from being an outsider, the fact that they per cent of adolescent boys were out of school.
may not understand the language of instruction
and difficulties in obtaining certification of classes It is important to note that these data reflect only
completed. In addition, governments may not allow registered refugees. Those who are unregistered are
refugee children to attend public schools. A strained probably even less likely to attend school, since they
economic situation in the family often means that may have entered the country illegally. Access to
children are forced to work or care for their siblings, education is particularly difficult for refugees living
and obligatory school fees may simply make education without legal status in urban areas.
unaffordable.
A major obstacle in remedying the situation is the
Out of the 132 refugee camps with available data (in lack of funding for education in emergencies. Just 2
both urban and rural areas), only 38 reported that all per cent of humanitarian aid globally is allocated to
refugee children were enrolled in school. In 32 camps, education.
at least 70 per cent of children were enrolled. And in

The majority of children who are out of school in sub-Saharan Africa


will never enter a classroom

Distribution of out-of-school children by school exposure, selected countries, surveys between 2002 and 2010 (Percentage)

100

80

60

40

20

0
Senegal

Guinea

Ghana

Liberia
Mali

Niger

Nigeria

India

Ethiopia

Nepal

Bolivia

Bangladesh

Brazil
Yemen

Zambia

Maldives

Cambodia

Colombia
Pakistan
Kyrgyzstan
Tajikistan

Timor-Leste

D. R. Congo

Expected never to enter Expected to enter Dropped out


Goal 2: Achieve universal primary education  | 19

The majority of out-of-school children in sub-Saharan out-of-school children will eventually enter school,
Africa are largely excluded from education, and most revealing the extent to which late entry is a widespread
will never enter a classroom. However, household phenomenon. In that country, dropping out of primary
survey data from 23 countries show that in several school is uncommon. In Nigeria, about three quarters
countries with large out-of-school populations, many of primary-age children who are out of school will likely
children do have exposure to education. Countries have no exposure to education at all. This pattern
show distinct patterns in the distribution of out-of- indicates that barriers to education in Nigeria are
school children. especially difficult to overcome.

In the Democratic Republic of the Congo, for example, In some countries, such as Brazil, Colombia and the
about half of all out-of-school children of primary Maldives, a significant proportion of out-of-school
age are expected to enter school late. About one children had attended school in the past, but dropped
quarter will never enter a classroom, while another out. In other countries, such as Cambodia, Liberia and
quarter attended school in the past but dropped out. Zambia, most out-of-school children will be attending
In Ethiopia, almost three quarters of primary-age school at some point in the near future.

Southern Asia and Northern Africa lead the way in expanding


literacy among youth

Youth literacy rate, 1990 and 2009 (Percentage)

Sub-Saharan Africa 65 72
Oceania 73 75
Southern Asia 60 80
Northern Africa 68 87

World 83 89

Western Asia 87 93

Latin America & the Caribbean 92 97

South-Eastern Asia 94 98

Eastern Asia 95 99

Caucasus & Central Asia 100

Developed regions 100

60 70 80 90 100

Worldwide, the literacy rate of youth (aged 15 to 24) Still, it remains the region with the lowest youth
increased from 83 per cent to 89 per cent between literacy rate (72 per cent in 2009). In spite of overall
1990 and 2009. Southern Asia and Northern Africa progress, 127 million young people lacked basic
chalked up the most progress, with increases of reading and writing skills in 2009. Nearly 90 per cent
20 percentage points and 19 percentage points, of all illiterate youth live in just two regions: Southern
respectively. Sub-Saharan Africa showed significant Asia (65 million) and sub-Saharan Africa (47 million).
improvement as well—a rise of 7 percentage points.
20  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

Target
Goal 3 Eliminate gender disparity in primary and secondary
education, preferably by 2005, and in all levels of
education no later than 2015
Promote gender
equality and Girls are gaining ground when it comes
empower women to education, though unequal access persists
in many regions

Gender parity index for gross enrolment ratio in primary, secondary


and tertiary education (Girls’ school enrolment ratio in relation to boys’
enrolment ratio), 1998/1999 and 2008/2009 (Girls per 100 boys)
Primary education
Oceania 90 89
Sub-Saharan Africa 85 92
Western Asia 86 92
Northern Africa 90 95
Southern Asia 83 95
Latin America & the Caribbean 97 97
South-Eastern Asia 96 97
Caucasus & Central Asia 99 98
Eastern Asia 101 104
Developing regions 91 96
Secondary education
Sub-Saharan Africa 82 79
Western Asia 74 86
Oceania 89 88
Southern Asia 75 89
Caucasus & Central Asia 98 98
Northern Africa 93 98
South-Eastern Asia 95 103
Eastern Asia 93 106
Latin America & the Caribbean 107 108
Developing regions 88 96
Tertiary education
Sub-Saharan Africa 67 63
Southern Asia 65 74
Oceania 81 86
Western Asia 78 87
Northern Africa 74 98
Eastern Asia 67 103
Caucasus & Central Asia 91 107
South-Eastern Asia 96 109
Latin America & the Caribbean 117 126
Developing regions 82 97

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

1999 2009 Target = Gender parity index between 97 and 103

In developing regions, 96 girls were enrolled in primary and


in secondary school for every 100 boys in 2009. This is a
significant improvement since 1999, when the ratios were 91
and 88, respectively.

However, only three regions—the Caucasus and Central Asia,


Latin America and the Caribbean, and South-Eastern Asia—
have achieved gender parity in primary education (defined
Goal 3: Promote gender equality and empower women  | 21

as a gender parity index between 97 and 103). Latin America and the Caribbean when it comes to
Exceptionally, in Eastern Asia, girls slightly outnumber participation in secondary school.
boys in primary school. Progress for girls has lagged
in most other parts of the developing world, and The picture is quite different at the tertiary level of
equal access to education in the early years remains education. It is at this level that the gender parity
a distant target in Northern Africa, Oceania, Southern index for the whole of the developing world is highest,
Asia, sub-Saharan Africa and Western Asia. at 97 girls for every 100 boys. But it is also where
the greatest gender disparity is observed. Among the
At the level of secondary education, the Caucasus and developing regions, only Eastern Asia and Northern
Central Asia, Northern Africa and South-Eastern Asia Africa have achieved gender parity in tertiary
have achieved gender parity. However, girls remain education. Participation rates are either skewed heavily
at a distinct disadvantage in Oceania, Southern Asia, in favour of boys, as in Oceania, Southern Asia, sub-
sub-Saharan Africa and Western Asia. In contrast, Saharan Africa and Western Asia, or in favour of girls,
girls have surpassed boys in Eastern Asia and in as in the Caucasus and Central Asia, Latin America
and the Caribbean, and South-Eastern Asia.

Wide gaps remain in women’s access to paid work in at least half of all regions

Employees in non-agricultural employment who are women, 1990, 2009 and projections to 2015 (Percentage)

50
48 49
45 45 46 44
43 43 44
40 42 41
40
38 38 38
36 36 37 36
35 35
33 33
30

24
20 22
20 19 19 20 19
19
15
13
10

0
Western Northern Southern Sub-Saharan Oceania South-Eastern Eastern Latin America Caucasus Developed World
Asia Africa Asia Africa Asia Asia & the & regions
Caribbean Central Asia
1990 2009 2015 projections

Worldwide, the share of women in non-agricultural wage employment represents only a minor share of
paid employment increased from 35 per cent in 1990 employment for both women and men, who tend to
to almost 40 per cent in 2009. Progress has slowed work in jobs that lack financial security and social
in recent years, however, due to the financial and benefits.
economic crisis of 2008-2009.
The situation in Northern Africa has remained
Southern Asia and sub-Saharan Africa saw the greatest practically unchanged since 1990. In that region as
improvement, though the proportion of women in paid well as in Western Asia, fewer than one in five paid
employment in the former region remains below 20 per jobs outside the agricultural sector are held
cent. In sub-Saharan Africa, progress is undermined by women.
to some extent by the fact that non-agricultural
22  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

Women have yet to see the fruits of the Representation by women in parliament
2010 economic recovery is at an all-time high, but falls shamefully
short of parity
The global financial and economic crisis of 2008-
2009 had an adverse impact on labour markets Proportion of seats held by women in single or lower houses
of national parliaments, 2000 and 2011 (Percentage)
worldwide and slowed progress towards many of the
MDGs. Employment declined, unemployment increased Oceania
and millions of people dropped out of the labour force 4
because they were too discouraged to continue looking 2
for work. Pay cheques, too, were affected. Western Asia
4
At the onset of the crisis in 2009, unemployment rates 9
for men were increasing faster than those for women. Northern Africa
In 2010, the world economy began to recover and 3
unemployment started to decrease among both sexes. 12
However, the unemployment rate for men declined Caucasus & Central Asia
faster than that for women. This trend—combined 7
with the fact that women’s unemployment rates 16
already exceeded those of men—suggests that the South-Eastern Asia
gap between women and men in many regions will not 12
close any time soon. 18
Southern Asia
Similarly, following significant job losses in 2008- 7
2009, the growth in employment that occurred during 18
the recovery in 2010, especially in the developing Eastern Asia
regions, was lower for women than for men. Women 19,9
employed in manufacturing industries were especially 19,5
hard hit. Sub-Saharan Africa
13
20
Latin America & the Caribbean
15
23
Developed regions
16
23
Developing regions
12
18
World
14
19

0 5 10 15 20 25
2000 2011

Despite growing numbers of women parliamentarians,


the target of equal participation of women and men in
politics is still far off. By end-January 2011, women
held 19.3 per cent of seats in single or lower houses
of parliament worldwide. This is an all-time high. Still,
it confirms a pattern of slow progress over the past 15
years from a world average of 11.6 per cent in 1995.

In addition, large disparities are found in women’s


representation among countries. In early 2011, women
Goal 3: Promote gender equality and empower women  | 23

made up 30 per cent or more of the members of parliamentarians, from 19.3 per cent to 17.6 per cent
single or lower houses of parliaments in 25 countries, between 2010 and 2011. In the Philippines, women
including seven countries where the share was 40 lost ground in the upper house. In Oceania, the
per cent or more. Some countries have achieved high percentage of women parliamentarians dropped to only
levels of participation by women in either of these 2.3 per cent in 2011.
houses of parliament: Rwanda (56.3 per cent), Sweden
(45.0 per cent), South Africa (44.5 per cent) and Cuba Quota arrangements and measures taken by political
(43.2 per cent). In contrast, 48 countries have less parties continue to be key predictors of success.
than 10 per cent women members in their lower or Legislated quotas or voluntary party quotas have been
single houses. Nine countries—Belize, the Federated implemented for 67 per cent of the 43 lower houses
States of Micronesia, Nauru, Oman, Palau, Qatar, with 30 per cent or more women members.
Saudi Arabia, Solomon Islands and Tuvalu—have no
women parliamentarians at all. At the leadership level, two parliaments saw women
speakers elected for the first time: Mozambique and
In 2010, gains for women were registered in just half the United Republic of Tanzania. Worldwide, women
of all parliamentary elections or renewals. The most now account for only 13.4 per cent of presiding
notable progress was seen in Northern Africa, where officers in parliament. In January 2011, just 10
women’s representation in single or lower houses countries had female heads of state, and 13 countries
increased from 9.0 per cent to 11.7 per cent between had female heads of government.
2010 and 2011. Progress was also made in Western
Asia, where women’s representation in single or lower Quotas are not the only factors that influence the level
houses continued to rise: from 4.2 per cent in 2000 of women’s political participation, however. Electoral
to 8.8 per cent in 2010 to 9.4 per cent in 2011. systems are also key, as are gender-sensitive electoral
Even so, vast disparities are found among countries arrangements. In 2010, many women contenders for
in the region. Moreover, progress for women is often political office suffered from a shortage of both media
dependent on special measures. In Bahrain, only one coverage and public appearances. Well trained and
woman parliamentarian, who ran unopposed, was financed women candidates and political will at the
elected to the lower house. Meanwhile, the women in highest levels of political parties and governments are
Bahrain’s upper house, representing 27.5 per cent of paramount for overcoming gender imbalances in the
its members, were mostly appointed. Jordan now has world’s parliaments.
13 women in its lower house and nine women in its
upper house due to a strengthened quota system.

In the Americas, Costa Rican women continue to wield


power, representing 38.6 per cent of the lower house.
The mid-term elections in the United States saw a
record number of women running for both houses of
Congress, but this did not result in major gains.

Sub-Saharan Africa has also seen recent progress,


with Ethiopia, Madagascar and the United Republic
of Tanzania recording improvements in 2010. Burundi
consolidated its representation by women in the lower
house of parliament with an increase to 32.1 per cent,
from 30.5 per cent in 2005, and saw a significant
rise in the upper house (from 34.7 to 46.3 per cent),
largely due to a quota system. Women’s representation
in Sao Tome and Principe, unaided by quotas,
increased from 7.3 per cent in 2006 to 18.2 per cent
in 2010.

In a year of high-profile elections, Southern Asia


and South-Eastern Asia saw no progress. Women
maintained strong representation in Afghanistan in
the 2010 polls, but this resulted in only a small gain
of one additional woman parliamentarian. South-
Eastern Asia saw a small drop in the number of women
24  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

Target
Goal 4 Reduce by two thirds, between 1990 and 2015, the under-
five mortality rate

Reduce child Achieving the goal for child survival hinges on


mortality action to address the leading causes of death
Under-five mortality rate, 1990 and 2009 (Deaths per 1,000 live births)
Sub-Saharan Africa
180
129
Southern Asia
122
69
Oceania
76
59
Caucasus & Central Asia
78
37
South-Eastern Asia
73
36
Western Asia
68
32
Northern Africa
80
26
Latin America & the Caribbean
52
23

Eastern Asia
45
19
Developed regions
15
7
Developing regions
99
66

0 50 100 150 200

1990 2009 2015 target

Steady progress is being made in reducing child deaths.


Globally, the mortality rate for children under five has declined
by a third, from 89 deaths per 1,000 live births in 1990 to
60 in 2009. All regions, except sub-Saharan Africa, Southern
Asia and Oceania, have seen reductions of at least 50 per cent.
Despite population growth, the number of deaths in children
under five worldwide declined from 12.4 million in 1990 to
8.1 million in 2009, which translates into nearly 12,000 fewer
children dying each day.

The greatest success is found in Northern Africa and Eastern


Asia, where under-five mortality declined by 68 per cent and
Goal 4: Reduce child mortality  | 25

58 per cent, respectively. Among countries with high time, major inroads are being made. Four of the ten
under-five mortality (above 40 deaths per 1,000 live countries with more than a 50 per cent reduction in
births), 10 countries reduced their rates by at least child deaths between 1990 and 2009 are in sub-
half. Among them, Bangladesh, Eritrea, Lao People’s Saharan Africa. Furthermore, five of the six countries
Democratic Republic, Madagascar, Nepal and Timor- with a reduction of more than 100 deaths per 1,000
Leste recorded a 60 per cent drop or more. live births are in this region.

The highest levels of under-five mortality continue Increasing evidence suggests that the MDG target can
to be found in sub-Saharan Africa, where one in be reached, but only with substantial and accelerated
eight children die before the age of five (129 deaths action to eliminate the leading killers of children. In
per 1,000 live births), nearly twice the average in sub-Saharan Africa, diarrhoea, malaria and pneumonia
developing regions overall and around 18 times the are responsible for more than half the deaths of children
average in developed regions. With rapid progress in under five. In Southern Asia, over half of all childhood
other regions, the disparities between them and sub- deaths occur in the first 28 days after birth, pointing
Saharan Africa have widened. Southern Asia has the to the need for better post-natal care. In both regions,
second highest rate—69 deaths per 1,000 live births undernutrition is an underlying cause of a third of these
or about one child in 14. deaths. Special efforts to fight pneumonia, diarrhoea
and malaria, while bolstering nutrition, could save the
All of the 31 countries with under-five mortality of lives of millions of children.
at least 100 deaths per 1,000 live births, except
Afghanistan, are in sub-Saharan Africa. At the same

Children in rural areas are more at risk of dying, even in regions where
child mortality is low

Ratio of rural to urban under-five mortality rate, 2000/2008 Despite substantial progress in reducing child
Latin America & the Caribbean deaths, children from rural households are still at a
1.7 disadvantage, according to household survey data from
Eastern Asia (excluding China) & South-Eastern Asia
80 countries. This holds true for all developing regions.
1.6 Disparities are most pronounced in Latin America and
Southern Asia
the Caribbean and in Eastern and South-Eastern Asia
1.5 (excluding China), where overall child mortality is low.
Northern Africa & Western Asia
1.4
Sub-Saharan Africa
1.4
Caucasus & Central Asia
1.3
Developing regions
1.4

0 1 2
Higher under-five mortality Higher under-five mortality
in urban areas in rural areas
Equal

Note: Analysis is based on 80 developing countries with data on


under-five mortality rate by residence, accounting for 73 per cent of
total births in developing regions in 2008.
26  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

Children from the poorest households are two to three times more likely to die before
the age of five than children from the richest households

Ratio of under-five mortality rate for children from the poorest According to data from 66 countries, children from
households to that of children from the richest households, the poorest households are also at a disadvantage
2000/2008
when it comes to surviving their first five years of life.
Latin America & the Caribbean In the developing regions as a whole, children from
2.9 the poorest 20 per cent of households have more
Eastern Asia (excluding China) & South-Eastern Asia than twice the risk of dying before their fifth birthday
2.8 as children in the richest 20 per cent of households.
Southern Asia Again, the greatest disparities are found in Latin
2.7 America and the Caribbean and in Eastern and South-
Northern Africa & Western Asia Eastern Asia (excluding China), where the risk is nearly
2.6 three times as high.
Sub-Saharan Africa
1.8
Caucasus & Central Asia
1.7
Developing regions
2.2

0 1 2 3
Higher under-five Higher under-five
mortality among mortality among
the richest 20% Equal the poorest 20%

Note: Analysis is based on 66 developing countries with data on


under-five mortality rate by household’s wealth quintile, accounting
for 71 per cent of total births in developing regions in 2008.

A mother’s education is a powerful determinant of child survival


Ratio of under-five mortality rate of children of mothers with no education to that of children of mothers with secondary
or higher education; ratio of under-five mortality rate of children of mothers with no education to that of children of mothers
with primary education, 2000/2008
Latin America & the Caribbean Children of mothers with no education compared to children
3.1 of mothers with secondary or higher education
1.6
Children of mothers with no education compared to children
Eastern Asia (excluding China) & South-Eastern Asia of mothers with primary education
3.0
1.9 Note: Analysis is based on 68 developing countries with data on
under-five mortality rate by mother’s education, accounting for 74 per
Southern Asia cent of total births in developing regions in 2008.
2.1
1.3
Northern Africa & Western Asia A mother’s education is key in determining whether her
2.0 children will survive their first five years of life.
1.2 In all developing regions, children of mothers with
Sub-Saharan Africa some education are at less risk of dying. A child’s
2.0 chances of surviving increase even further if their
1.2 mother has a secondary or higher education. In
Developing regions addition to education, child survival rates can also
2.1 be improved by increasing equity in other social
1.3
services. Empowering women, removing financial and
0 1 2 3 social barriers to welfare, encouraging innovations to
Higher Higher under-five mortality make critical services more available to the poor, and
under-five among children of increasing the accountability of health systems at the
mortality among Equal less educated mothers local level are examples of policy interventions that
children of more
educated mothers could improve equity, with benefits for child survival.
Goal 4: Reduce child mortality  | 27

Children who are poor and hardest to Child deaths due to measles have
reach still lack access to the lifesaving plummeted, but shortfalls in funding put
measles vaccine continued success in jeopardy

Proportion of children 12-23 months old who received Estimated child deaths due to measles, 1999-2008
at least one dose of measles vaccine, 2000 and 2009 (Thousands)
(Percentage)
900
Oceania
66
58
Sub-Saharan Africa
55 600
68
Southern Asia
56
75
300
Western Asia
84
82
South-Eastern Asia
81 0
88 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Caucasus & Central Asia Middle East & Central Asia Southern Asia
93 Eastern Asia & the Pacific Africa
92
Latin America & the Caribbean
92 Between 2000 and 2008, the combination of
93 improved immunization coverage and the opportunity
Eastern Asia for a second dose led to a 78 per cent drop in measles
84 deaths worldwide. These averted deaths represent
94 one quarter of the decline in mortality from all causes
Northern Africa among children under five.
93
94
However, this resounding success could be in jeopardy.
Developed regions
Reduced funding for measles-control activities means
92
94
that a number of priority countries are facing shortfalls
in resources for both routine immunizations and
Developing regions
69 immunization campaigns. As a result, outbreaks of the
80 disease are on the rise. With adequate funding, strong
political commitment and high-quality implementation,
0 25 50 75 100
the exceptional gains made so far can be maintained
2000 2009
and protection extended to all children.

Expanded coverage of immunization against measles


is an important indicator for child survival. In 2009,
80 per cent of children in the appropriate age group
received at least one dose of the measles vaccine, up
from 69 per cent in 2000.

Though important gains have been made, the poorest,


most marginalized children, especially in hard-to-reach
areas, have been left behind. In countries with lower
coverage, immunization campaigns have been effective
in vaccinating children who are beyond the reach of
existing health services. However, reinvigorated and
sustained efforts are needed to consistently improve
access to the most vulnerable, through both routine
immunization and campaigns.
28  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

Target
Goal 5 Reduce by three quarters, between 1990 and 2015, the
maternal mortality ratio

Improve maternal Despite progress, pregnancy remains a major


health health risk for women in several regions
Maternal deaths per 100,000 live births, 1990, 2000, 2008
Sub-Saharan Africa
870
790
640
Southern Asia
590
420
280
Oceania
290
260
230
Caribbean
320
230
170
South-Eastern Asia
380
230
160
Northern Africa
230
120
92
Latin America
130
99
80
Western Asia
140
98
70
Caucasus & Central Asia
70
69
54
Eastern Asia
110
63
41
Developed regions
26
17
17
Developing regions
440
370
290
0 200 400 600 800 1000
1990 2000 2008 Target

Despite proven interventions that could prevent disability or


death during pregnancy and childbirth, maternal mortality
remains a major burden in many developing countries. Figures
Goal 5: Improve maternal health  | 29

on maternal mortality tend to be uncertain. Still, the Major gains have been made in increasing
most recent estimates suggest significant progress. skilled attendance at birth, most notably
In the developing regions as a whole, the maternal
mortality ratio dropped by 34 per cent between 1990
in Northern Africa and Southern Asia
and 2008, from 440 maternal deaths per 100,000
live births to 290 maternal deaths. However, the MDG Proportion of deliveries attended by skilled health personnel,
around 1990 and around 2009 (Percentage)
target is still far off.
Sub-Saharan Africa
Eastern Asia, Northern Africa, South-Eastern Asia 42
and Southern Asia have made the greatest strides. 46

Between 1990 and 2008, 90 countries showed Southern Asia


declines in their maternal mortality ratios of 40 per 32
cent or more, while another 57 countries reported at 50

least some gains. However, more can and must be Oceania


done to save women’s lives and prevent disabilities 54
that could irrevocably alter a woman’s and her family’s 56

future. This is especially true given the increasing Caribbean*


number of young women entering their prime 67
reproductive years in countries already hard pressed to 69
meet current demands for improved maternal health South-Eastern Asia
and reproductive health care. 49
72
Maternal deaths are concentrated in sub-Saharan Western Asia
Africa and Southern Asia, which together accounted for 62
87 per cent of such deaths globally in 2008. Southern 78
Asia has made steady progress, with a 53 per cent Northern Africa
decline in maternal mortality between 1990 and 45
2008. In contrast, the ratio has fallen by only 26 per 81
cent in sub-Saharan Africa, though evidence suggests Latin America*
that progress has picked up speed since 2000. 70
90
The vast majority of maternal deaths are avoidable. Caucasus & Central Asia
The largest proportion of such deaths are caused by 93
obstetric haemorrhage, mostly during or just after 97
delivery, followed by eclampsia, sepsis, complications Eastern Asia
of unsafe abortion and indirect causes, such as malaria 94
and HIV. Studies have also shown that the likelihood 99
of maternal death increases among women who have Developed regions
many children, are poorly educated, are either very 99
young or very old, and who are subjected to gender 99
discrimination. Developing regions
55
65

0 20 40 60 80 100
1990 2009

* Includes only deliveries in health-care institutions.

The presence of a trained health-care worker during


delivery is crucial in reducing maternal deaths. A
skilled health professional can administer interventions
to prevent and manage life-threatening complications,
such as heavy bleeding, or refer the patient to a higher
level of care when needed.

In developing regions overall, the proportion of


deliveries attended by skilled health personnel rose
30  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

from 55 per cent in 1990 to 65 per cent in 2009.


Despite dramatic progress in many regions, coverage Target
remains low in sub-Saharan Africa and Southern Asia, Achieve, by 2015, universal access to
where the majority of maternal deaths occur. That reproductive health
said, the proportion of deliveries attended by a skilled
health professional in Southern Asia has increased
substantially—from 32 per cent in 1990 to 50 per Across all regions, more pregnant women
cent in 2009. are offered at least minimal care

Proportion of women (15-49 years old) attended at least


once by skilled health personnel during pregnancy,
1990 and 2009 (Percentage)
Southern Asia
51
70
Sub-Saharan Africa
68
78
Oceania
77
79
Northern Africa
51
79
Western Asia
62
84
Eastern Asia
70
91
South-Eastern Asia
72
92
Latin America & the Caribbean
77
95
Caucasus & Central Asia
90
96
Developing regions
64
81
0 20 40 60 80 100
1990 2009

Health care during pregnancy is vitally important


in detecting and managing conditions that may
complicate pregnancy and childbirth. Basic antenatal
care provides women with a package of preventive
interventions, including nutritional advice. Women
are also alerted to danger signs that may threaten
their pregnancy and given support in planning a
safe delivery. Moreover, in countries where malaria
is endemic, they may be provided with intermittent
preventive treatment. Women who are HIV-positive
receive help in avoiding transmission of the virus to
their babies.
Goal 5: Improve maternal health  | 31

Since 1990, the proportion of women receiving Gains made during the 1990s to reduce
antenatal care has increased substantially in all adolescent pregnancies have stalled in
regions. Across all developing regions, the share
of pregnant women attended at least once during
many regions
pregnancy increased from 64 per cent in 1990 to 81
per cent in 2009. Number of births per 1,000 women aged 15-19,
1990, 2000 and 2008
Sub-Saharan Africa
Not enough women receive the 124
123
recommended frequency of care during 122
pregnancy Latin America
92
88
Proportion of women (15-49 years old) attended four 82
or more times by any provider during pregnancy, Caribbean
1990 and 2009 (Percentage) 81
Southern Asia (excluding India) 77
69
10
26 Oceania
83
Sub-Saharan Africa 63
44 61
43 Southern Asia
Southern Asia 89
23 59
53
44
Western Asia
Western Asia 64
32 53
54 52
Northern Africa South-Eastern Asia
20 54
57 40
44
South-Eastern Asia
Northern Africa
46 43
69 33
Latin America & the Caribbean 30
69 Caucasus & Central Asia
84 45
28
Developing regions 29
35
Eastern Asia
51 15
0 20 40 60 80 100 6
6
1990 2009
Developed regions
Note: Data for Eastern Asia are not available. 34
26
24
A minimum of four antenatal care visits is Developing regions
recommended to ensure that pregnant women receive 65
the interventions they need to prevent and manage 56
complications. The proportion of women receiving the 54

recommended number of visits in developing regions 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140


remains low, though progress is being made, increasing 1990 2000 2008
from 35 per cent in 1990 to 51 per cent in 2009.
Very early childbearing brings with it heightened risks
of complications or even death. In almost all regions,
the adolescent birth rate (the number of births per
1,000 women aged 15 to 19) decreased between
1990 and 2000 and then slowed its decline or even
32  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

increased in the subsequent eight years. Sub-Saharan Contraceptive use rises, but gains
Africa has the highest birth rate among adolescents made will be difficult to sustain due
(122 births per 1,000 women), which has changed
little since 1990.
to the growing number of women of
reproductive age
Across the developing world, women are having fewer
children. But even in some of the regions where overall Proportion of women who are using any method of
contraception among women aged 15-49, married or
fertility has declined, adolescent fertility remains
in a union, 1990, 2000 and 2008 (Percentage)
relatively high.
Sub-Saharan Africa
13
20
22
Oceania
29
32
37
Southern Asia
40
47
54
Western Asia
44
51
55
Caucasus & Central Asia
54
60
56
Northern Africa
44
59
61
Caribbean
54
60
62
South-Eastern Asia
48
57
62
Latin America
63
72
74
Eastern Asia
78
86
84
Developed regions
69
71
72
Developing regions
52
60
61

0 20 40 60 80 100
1990 2000 2008

Throughout the world, increased access to safe,


affordable and effective methods of contraception
has provided individuals with greater opportunities for
choice and responsible decision-making in matters of
Goal 5: Improve maternal health  | 33

reproduction. Contraceptive use has also contributed in sub-Saharan Africa—where maternal mortality is
to improvements in maternal and infant health by high and access to skilled care during pregnancy and
preventing unintended or closely spaced pregnancies at childbirth is limited—continue to have the lowest
and pregnancy in very young women, which can be level of contraceptive prevalence (22 per cent), with
risky. little progress reported since 2000. As the number
of women of reproductive age in developing regions
By 2008, more than half of all women aged 15 to continues to rise, increasing by nearly 50 per cent
49 who were married or in a union were using some since 1990, family planning programmes and health-
form of contraception in all but two regions—sub- care services need to invest more, to simply keep pace
Saharan Africa and Oceania. However, progress slowed with the growing number of women wishing to use
from 2000 to 2008 in almost all regions. Women contraception.

The unmet need for contraceptives remains high in many regions,


with inadequate support for family planning
Proportion of women who have an unmet need for family Worldwide, more than 120 million women aged 15 to
planning among women aged 15-49 who are married or 49 who are married or in a union have an unmet need
in a union, 1990, 2000 and 2008 (Percentage)
for family planning. In other words, these women have
Sub-Saharan Africa the desire to delay or avoid pregnancy, but are not
26
using any form of contraception. The unmet need for
24
25 family planning has remained at the same moderate to
Caribbean
high level in most regions since 2000, but is highest
19.5 in sub-Saharan Africa and the Caribbean. In those
20.4 regions, respectively, at least one in five and one in
20.2 four women of childbearing age who are married or
Southern Asia in a union have an unmet need for contraception.
20 The unmet need for family planning is lowest where
17 contraceptive prevalence is already high (above 60
15
per cent). Yet, even in regions such as South-Eastern
Caucasus & Central Asia
Asia and Northern Africa, where contraceptive use is
14
12
relatively widespread, the family planning needs of at
12 least one in ten women are not being met.
Western Asia
16
14
12
South-Eastern Asia
15
11
11
Northern Africa
19
11
10 18
Latin America
16
10
9
Eastern Asia
3
2
2
Developing regions
14
12
11
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
1990 2000 2008
34  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

Reaching adolescents is critical to In sub-Saharan Africa, contraceptive use among


improving maternal health and achieving adolescents is substantially lower than that of all
women of reproductive age, though they have similar
other Millennium Development Goals levels of unmet need (25 per cent). This was the
conclusion drawn from data available for 22 countries,
Contraceptive prevalence, unmet need for contraception, which looked at contraceptive use among women aged
and total demand for contraception that is satisfied among
women who are married or in a union, by age group, selected 15 to 19 who were married or in a union. Thus, the
countries in sub-Saharan Africa, 1998/2008 (Percentage) percentage of adolescents who have their demand
for contraception satisfied is much lower than that
50
of all women aged 15 to 49. This disparity in access
has changed little according to data from the same
45 sources for earlier periods, pointing to scant progress
40 in improving access to reproductive health care for
adolescents.

Global population estimates suggest that the number


30 of women aged 15 to 19 is approaching 300 million.
29
The fastest growth is expected in sub-Saharan Africa
and in the least developed countries overall, where
26
24 the risks associated with pregnancy and childbearing
20
21
are greatest. Intensified efforts are urgently needed
to delay or prevent unintended pregnancies among
this vulnerable age group. These efforts will not only
result in improved maternal and child health, but will
10 contribute to reduced poverty, greater gender equality
10
and the empowerment of women by improving the
chances that these young women will go to school and
0
eventually engage in paid employment.
Contraceptive Unmet need Total demand for
prevalence for contraception contraception that
is satisfied
15-49 years old 15-19 years old
Goal 5: Improve maternal health  | 35

Official development assistance to health, total (constant 2009 US$ millions) and proportion going to reproductive health care
and family
Aid for planning planning2000-2009
family(percentage), has fallen in all recipient countries

Official development assistance to health, total (Constant 2009 US$ millions) and proportion going to reproductive health care
and family planning (Percentage), 2000-2009

Millions Percentage
20,000 19,790 100

18,000 17,581 90
Total aid to health
16,726 (Constant 2009 US$ millions)
16,000 15,442 80
Aid to reproductive health care
(Percentage)
14,000 70
12,584 Aid to family planning
(Percentage)
12,000 60
10,353
10,000 9,745 50

7,949
8,000 40
6,557 6,402
6,000 30

4,000 20
11.3
9.2 9.8
2,000 8.5 7.2 7.7 10
6.1 6.1 5.1 6.0
8.2 1.3 3.2 3.3
5.9 5.4 1.0 1.7 2.6
0 3.1 0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Over the coming decades, demand for family planning in 2009. This means that, on a per capita basis, aid
will likely increase, based on substantial unmet need for family planning has fallen in virtually all recipient
and the expected rise in the number of women and men countries. Ensuring the funding necessary to meet the
of reproductive age. Yet funding for family planning growing demand for contraceptives could ultimately
services and supplies has not risen commensurately. Aid reduce the cost of maternal and newborn health care by
for family planning as a proportion of total aid for health preventing unintended pregnancies.
declined over the past decade and stood at 2.6 per cent
36  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

Target
Goal 6 Have halted by 2015 and begun to reverse the spread
of HIV/AIDS

Combat HIV/AIDS, New HIV infections are declining, led by sub-


malaria and other Saharan Africa, but trends in some other regions
diseases are worrisome
HIV incidence rates* (Number of new HIV infections per year
per 100 people aged 15-49), 2001 and 2009
Sub-Saharan Africa
0.57
0.40
Caribbean
0.09
0.08
South-Eastern Asia & Oceania
0.04
0.04
Latin America
0.04
0.03
Caucasus & Central Asia
0.01
0.03
Southern Asia
0.04
0.02
Eastern Asia
0.01
0.01
Northern Africa
0.01
0.01
Western Asia
<0.01
<0.01
Developed regions
0.05
0.03
Developing regions
0.09
0.08
World
0.08
0.06

0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60

2001 2009

* The incidence rate is the number of new HIV infections in a population over a
certain period of time, expressed as a percentage of the adult population aged
15-49. For example, an incidence rate of 0.4 per cent in sub-Saharan Africa in
2009 meant that 4 adults out of 1,000 were newly infected that year (leading to
a total of 1.8 million new infections in the region).

Between 2001 and 2009, the HIV incidence rate declined


steadily, by nearly 25 per cent worldwide. However, this global
progress masks substantial regional differences. While the
Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases  | 37

incidence rate fell significantly in sub-Saharan Africa In 2009, an estimated 2.6 million people were newly
and Southern Asia, it remained unchanged in Eastern infected with HIV. This represents a drop of 21 per
Asia, Western Europe, Central Europe and North cent since 1997, the year in which new infections
America. Worse, it is on the rise in Eastern Europe and peaked.
Central Asia after an initial decline during the first half
of the decade.

The number of people living with HIV continues to rise, due


to life-prolonging treatment

Number of people living with HIV, number of people newly infected with HIV, and number of AIDS deaths worldwide,*
1990-2009 (Millions)
People newly infected with HIV and number of deaths due to AIDS (Millions)

3.5 40.0

35.0
3.0

33 33
32
31 31 30.0
30 32
2.5 30

People living with HIV (Millions)


29
28
26 25.0
25
2.0
23
21 20.0
19
1.5
17
15.0
15
1.0 13
10.0
10
8
0.5
5.0

0.0 0.0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Number of people living with HIV Number of people newly infected with HIV Number of deaths due to AIDS

* All AIDS-related figures are the midpoint in a range. The estimate of 2.6 million new infections in 2009, for example, is based on
a range of 2.3 million-2.8 million. The complete data series of ranges and corresponding midpoints is available at http://mdgs.un.org.

The number of people receiving antiretroviral treatment of AIDS deaths. Yet the epidemic has not spared other
for HIV or AIDS increased 13-fold from 2004 to 2009. regions, with more than 10.8 million people outside of
As a result, the number of AIDS-related deaths declined sub-Saharan Africa living with the virus.
by 19 per cent over the same period. Although new
infections are waning, the number of people living with Women and young people are especially vulnerable.
HIV has grown. Globally, nearly 23 per cent of all people living with
HIV are under the age of 25. And young people (aged
In 2009, 33.3 million people were living with the 15 to 24) account for 41 per cent of new infections
virus—a 27 per cent increase over 1999. Sub-Saharan among those aged 15 or older. In 2009, women
Africa remains the most heavily affected region, represented a slight majority (about 51 per cent) of
accounting for 69 per cent of new HIV infections, 68 people living with HIV.
per cent of all people living with HIV and 72 per cent
38  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

Most young people lack comprehensive Understanding how HIV spreads is the first step to
knowledge of HIV, but now know avoiding infection. On average, only 33 per cent
of young men and 20 per cent of young women in
specific ways to prevent its spread developing regions have a comprehensive and correct
knowledge of HIV.1
Proportion of women and men aged 15-24 who know they
can reduce their risk of getting HIV by using a condom every
time they have sexual intercourse, selected countries, Though global averages remain low, a number of
2005/2009 (Percentage) countries have made impressive progress in increasing
people’s knowledge about HIV, as measured by the five
D. R. Congo 54 components that make up the indicator. For instance,
63
knowledge of the methods that can be used to avoid
Niger 54
HIV transmission is generally widespread among young
63
people.
Sierra Leone 47
64
Liberia 52 Recent data from population-based surveys in selected
66 sub-Saharan African countries show that the proportion
Ethiopia 47 of young people who know that using condoms can
66 reduce the chances of getting HIV ranges from about
Mali 59 50 per cent to almost 90 per cent in some countries.
68 However, in almost all countries surveyed, young
Madagascar 67 women are less likely to have such knowledge. Youth in
70
rural areas are also less likely to know about prevention
Nigeria 52
methods than their urban counterparts.
70
Senegal 71
71
United Republic of Tanzania 68 1 China is not included in the calculation.
73
Zambia 71
74
Côte d'Ivoire 63
75
Lesotho 85
79
Zimbabwe 72
79
Kenya 73
79
Sao Tome and Principe 76
80
Guinea 74
82
Uganda 72
82
Ghana 75
83
Congo 66
83
Namibia 83
86
Benin 73
87
Swaziland 89
87
Rwanda 80
88

0 20 40 60 80 100

Women Men
Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases  | 39

Condom use to prevent HIV is still Despite low levels of condom use on average, some
dangerously low in many developing countries are doing better than others, with condom-
use levels of 60 per cent or more among either young
countries, especially among women men or women. However, disparities persist.

Proportion of women and men aged 15-24 reporting Young women in developing countries are less likely
use of a condom during higher-risk sex, selected countries
than young men to use condoms during sex that poses
2005/2009 (Percentage)
special risks. Condom use is also much less common
D. R. Congo among young people in poorer households and among
17
27
those living in rural areas.
India
22
37
Zambia
33
39
United Republic of Tanzania
46
49
Nigeria
36
49
Ethiopia
28
50
Uganda
38
55
Malawi
40
58
Central African Republic
41
60
Kenya
40
64
Lesotho
66
68
Zimbabwe
42
68
Swaziland
54
70
Ukraine
68
71
Namibia
64
81

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Women Men

Condom use during higher-risk sex is still low among


young people in developing regions. On average, less
than half of young men and just over a third of young
women used condoms during their last high-risk sexual
activity in sub-Saharan African countries.
40  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

More children orphaned by AIDS in The impact of the HIV epidemic has been acutely
sub-Saharan Africa are now in school, felt by children in terms of both health and social
outcomes. Globally, in 2009, about 16.6 million
increasing their chances of receiving vital children were estimated to have lost one or both
protection and support parents to AIDS, up from 14.6 million in 2005; 14.8
million of these children live in sub-Saharan Africa.2
Ratio of school attendance of children aged 10-14
who have lost both biological parents to school attendance Education is vital to children’s futures, and school can
of non-orphaned children of the same age, selected countries provide them with a safe, structured environment in
in sub-Saharan Africa, around 2000 and around 2008
which they can benefit from the emotional support and
Rwanda supervision of adults. Disparities in school attendance
0.83
0.82
show that children who have lost both parents are less
Côte d'Ivoire
likely to be in school than children who have two living
0.83 parents and who are residing with at least one of them.
0.83 This gap, however, is narrowing rapidly in sub-Saharan
Burundi Africa.
0.70
0.85
Recent progress has been remarkable. In some
Mozambique
0.80
countries in which survey-based trend data are
0.89 available, the level of school attendance among
Ethiopia children aged 10 to 14 who have been orphaned has
0.60 increased to near parity with that of other children.
0.90 These improvements suggest that policies such as the
Zambia elimination of school fees and targeted educational
0.91
0.93
assistance to orphans and other vulnerable children
Kenya
are working. Furthermore, recognition is growing that
0.74 child-sensitive social protection plays an important role
0.95 in scaling up support for children orphaned or made
Zimbabwe vulnerable by AIDS and in keeping these children in
0.85 school.
0.95
Lesotho
0.87
0.95 2 The numbers of children orphaned by AIDS are estimates.
Uganda Lower and upper bounds of these estimates are available
0.95 at http://mdgs.un.org.
0.96
Central African Republic
0.91
0.96
United Republic of Tanzania
0.74
0.97
Malawi
0.93
0.97
Swaziland
0.91
0.97
Namibia
0.92
1.00
Chad
0.94
1.05

0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20

Around 2000 Around 2008 Parity


Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases  | 41

need) to antiretroviral therapy and/or interventions


Target to prevent mother-to-child transmission of HIV. For
Achieve, by 2010, universal access to treatment a good number of countries, universal access by the
for HIV/AIDS for all those who need it end of 2010 was clearly within reach. Despite these
encouraging findings, it is unlikely that the global
target for HIV treatment was achieved that year.
Treatment for HIV and AIDS has
expanded quickly, but not fast enough to In 2009, the World Health Organization (WHO) revised
its guidelines for treatment of adults and adolescents
meet the 2010 target for universal access with HIV, including pregnant women. As a result, the
number of people defined as needing antiretroviral
Proportion of population living with HIV who are receiving therapy grew—from 10.1 million to 14.6 million at the
antiretroviral treatment*, 2004 and 2009 (Percentage)
end of 2009. In the medium term, the higher initial
Eastern Asia investments required to conform to these guidelines
6
23
are expected to be fully compensated for by fewer
hospitalizations and lower morbidity and mortality
Southern Asia
2
rates.
24
Northern Africa
Based on the new 2009 guidelines, coverage of
10 antiretroviral therapy increased from 28 per cent in
25 December 2008 to 36 per cent at the end of 2009.
Caucasus & Central Asia Under the previous 2006 guidelines, global coverage
2 would have reached 52 per cent in 2009.
26
Sub-Saharan Africa Antiretroviral therapy coverage varies by sex and
3 age. In 2009, coverage was higher among women
37 (39 per cent) than among men (31 per cent).
Caribbean Also, overall coverage among children in low- and
5 middle-income countries was lower than that among
38
adults. About 356,400 children under age 15 were
South-Eastern Asia & Oceania receiving antiretroviral therapy at the end of 2009,
12
46
up from 275,300 at the end of 2008. These children
represented an estimated 28 per cent of all children
Latin America
39
under 15 who needed treatment in low- and middle-
51 income countries, up from 22 per cent in 2008.
Western Asia
44
57
Low- and middle-income countries
6
36

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
2004 2009 Range of estimates

* Antiretroviral treatment coverage is measured among people living


with HIV with a CD4 cell count at or below 350 cells/mm3.

By the end of 2009, 5.25 million people were


receiving antiretroviral therapy for HIV or AIDS in low-
and middle-income countries. This represents a jump
of over 1.2 million people from December 2008, the
largest increase ever in one year.

Some countries, including Botswana, Cambodia,


Croatia, Cuba, Guyana, Oman, Romania and Rwanda,
have already attained universal access (defined as
coverage of at least 80 per cent of the population in
42  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

Steady progress is being made in reducing


Target
the risk of HIV in newborns
Have halted by 2015 and begun to reverse the
incidence of malaria and other major diseases
Proportion of women receiving antiretroviral drugs to prevent
mother-to-child transmission of HIV, 2004 and 2009
(Percentage)
Intensive control efforts have cut deaths
Northern Africa
0 from malaria by 20 per cent, with major
20
advances in hard-hit African countries
Western Asia
0
22 Major advances are being made against malaria. Over
Southern Asia the past decade, increases in funding and attention to
7 malaria control have resulted in widespread reductions
24
in the number of malaria cases and deaths. This
Eastern Asia was accomplished through critical interventions,
3
particularly in sub-Saharan Africa, involving the
25
development of more effective tools to prevent
Sub-Saharan Africa
and fight the disease. These include long-lasting
9
53 insecticide-treated mosquito nets and artemisinin-
based combination therapies. Bottlenecks have also
Latin America
33 been reduced in their production, procurement and
53 distribution.
South-Eastern Asia & Oceania
28 Globally, deaths from malaria are down by an
54 estimated 20 per cent—from nearly 985,000 in 2000
Caribbean to 781,000 in 2009. At the same time, the number of
20 malaria cases rose from about 233 million in 2000 to
55 244 million in 2005 but decreased to 225 million in
Caucasus & Central Asia 2009. In all countries, the decreases are associated
11 with intensive control efforts. The largest percentage
56
drops in malaria deaths were found in Europe and
Low- and middle-income countries the Americas; the largest absolute decreases were
10
observed in Africa. Nevertheless, 90 per cent of all
53
deaths from malaria still occur in sub-Saharan Africa,
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 and most of these deaths are among children under
2004 2009 Range of estimates age five.

Without treatment, approximately one third of children Since 2000, 11 countries in Africa showed reductions
born to women living with HIV will become infected of more than 50 per cent in the number of confirmed
with the virus in the womb, at birth or through malaria cases (and/or reported hospital admissions for
breastfeeding. This risk can be greatly reduced by malaria) and deaths. These include Algeria, Botswana,
treating an expectant mother with antiretroviral Cape Verde, Eritrea, Madagascar, Namibia, Rwanda,
therapy. Sao Tome and Principe, South Africa, Swaziland and
Zambia. In other regions, the number of confirmed
An estimated 53 per cent of pregnant women living malaria cases declined by more than half between
with HIV received antiretroviral medicines in 2009, 2000 and 2009 in 31 of the 56 countries where
up from 45 per cent in 2008. Sub-Saharan Africa is malaria is endemic; downward trends of between
home to about 91 per cent of the 1.4 million pregnant 25 per cent and 50 per cent were reported in eight
women who are in need of treatment. other countries. In 2009, for the first time, Europe
reported no cases of Plasmodium falciparum malaria.
The following year, WHO certified that Morocco and
Turkmenistan had eliminated malaria.

In 2009, evidence pointed to an increase in malaria


cases in three countries that had previously reported
reductions (Rwanda, Sao Tome and Principe, and
Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases  | 43

Zambia). The reasons behind these resurgences are The use of mosquito nets in Africa is
uncertain, but they highlight the fragility of progress rising rapidly, with lifesaving benefits
in malaria control and the need to maintain control
programmes rigorously, even when cases have been
for children
reduced substantially.
Proportion of children under age five sleeping under an
insecticide-treated mosquito net, sub-Saharan African
countries with two or more comparable data points,
around 2000 and around 2010 (Percentage)

0 Swaziland
1
1 Côte d’Ivoire
3
2000
1 Guinea 2010
5
1 Nigeria
6
2 Burkina Faso
10
1 Chad
10
1 Cameroon
13
2 Central African Republic
15
3 Zimbabwe
17
7 Benin
20
1 Djibouti
20
2 Sierra Leone
26
4 Ghana
28
2 Senegal
29
2 Ethiopia
33
0 Uganda
33
11 Namibia
34
7 Guinea-Bissau
36
1 D. R. Congo
38
2 Togo
38
1 Niger
43
1 Burundi
45
0 Madagascar
46
3 Kenya
47
15 Gambia
49
1 Zambia
50
4 Rwanda
56
23 Sao Tome and Principe
56
3 Malawi
57
2 United Republic of Tanzania
64
27 Mali
70
44  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

One of the most effective ways to prevent malaria More African children are receiving the
is to sleep under an insecticide-treated net, since recommended medicines for malaria, but
mosquitoes carrying the malaria parasite mostly bite at
night. Regular use of mosquito nets can reduce deaths
accurate diagnosis remains critical
in children under five.
Prompt diagnosis and treatment are needed to prevent
The past 10 years have seen a remarkable surge in the life-threatening complications from malaria. However,
production, purchase and distribution of insecticide- accurate diagnosis is critical. The majority of childhood
treated mosquito nets globally, particularly in Africa. fevers, for example, are not due to malaria, and should
Data from household surveys indicate a marked not be treated with antimalarial drugs. In 2010, WHO
increase in both net ownership and use among declared that everyone with suspected malaria has a
children. Between 2008 and 2010, 290 million nets right to a diagnostic test before treatment, rather than
were distributed in sub-Saharan Africa, enough to presumptive treatment based on clinical symptoms,
cover 76 per cent of the 765 million people at risk in such as fever.
2010.
As a consequence, an indicator that tracks the
Most African countries with data for 2009-2010 proportion of febrile children receiving antimalarial
show increased mosquito net coverage and reduced medicines does not reflect current treatment policy
disparities among various population groups—largely guidance and should be interpreted with caution.
due to nationwide campaigns for the distribution of Household surveys indicate that, during 2008-
free nets that emphasize poor, rural areas. Rural and 2010, 38 per cent of febrile children in sub-Saharan
urban children in Africa are now equally likely to sleep Africa received antimalarial drugs, which may be an
under an insecticide-treated mosquito net. underestimate of appropriate treatment of malaria
if suspected cases were actually confirmed through
diagnostic testing. However, it may also reflect patients
receiving antimalarial medicines who do not, in fact,
have the disease.

The recommended treatment for uncomplicated


malaria in nearly all African countries is artemisinin-
based combination therapy. In five African countries
with trend data on drug types, a greater proportion of
feverish children receiving antimalarial drugs are using
this first-line treatment.
Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases  | 45

The incidence of tuberculosis is falling, bringing the MDG target within sight

Number of new tuberculosis cases per 100,000 population (incidence) (including people who are HIV-positive), 1990-2009

Sub-Saharan Africa South-Eastern Asia Oceania


400 400 400

300 300 300

200 200 200

100 100 100

0 0 0
1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008

Southern Asia Caucasus & Central Asia Eastern Asia


250 250 250

200 200 200

150 150 150

100 100 100

50 50 50

0 0 0
1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008

Latin America & Northern Africa Western Asia


250 the Caribbean 250 250

200 200 200

150 150 150

100 100 100

50 50 50

0 0 0
1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008

Developing regions World


250 250
Range of estimates
200 200
Incidence trends

150 150
Note: The scale used for the
sub-Saharan Africa, South-Eastern Asia
100 100 and Oceania regions is different from
the scale used for the rest of the regions
due to the higher tuberculosis incidence
50 50 levels in the former three regions.

0 0
1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008
46  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

The burden of tuberculosis is gradually easing. Tuberculosis prevalence and mortality


Globally, the incidence rate peaked at 142 cases per are also declining
100,000 people in 2004. Since then, it has fallen
by about 1 per cent a year, reaching 137 cases per
Number of tuberculosis deaths per 100,000 population
100,000 people in 2009. This corresponds to an (excluding people who are HIV-positive), 1990 and 2009
estimated 9.4 million people (range, 8.9 million–9.9
million)3 newly diagnosed with the disease worldwide Sub-Saharan Africa
in 2009, the same number as in 2008. If these trends 32
53
continue, the world is on track to achieve the goal of
halting and reversing the incidence of tuberculosis. South-Eastern Asia
52
31
In 2009, most new cases of tuberculosis were reported
in Asia (55 per cent) and Africa (30 per cent). The Southern Asia
47
five countries with the largest numbers of cases were
26
India, China, South Africa, Nigeria and Indonesia.
China and India combined accounted for 35 per cent Oceania
53
of the world’s new tuberculosis cases. An estimated 12
20
per cent of people newly diagnosed with the disease
Caucasus & Central Asia
in 2009 were HIV-positive, and sub-Saharan Africa
23
accounted for approximately 80 per cent of those 20
cases.
Eastern Asia
37
12
3 All tuberculosis-related figures are the midpoint in Western Asia
a range. The complete data series of ranges and 8
corresponding midpoints are available at 5
http://mdgs.un.org. Latin America & the Caribbean
13
3
Northern Africa
7
2
Developed regions
8
4
Developing regions
37
23
0 10 20 30 40 50 60

1990 2009

Mortality rates from tuberculosis are dropping in all


regions. Worldwide, deaths attributed to the disease
have fallen by more than one third since 1990. In
2009, tuberculosis caused an estimated 1.3 million
deaths among those who were not infected with HIV.
An additional 0.4 million deaths from tuberculosis were
recorded among people who were HIV-positive. The
total of 1.7 million deaths is equivalent to 26 deaths
per 100,000 people.

Current projections suggest that the Stop TB


Partnership target of halving 1990 death rates by
2015 could be achieved at the global level and in a
number of regions. Several regions have already halved
their 1990 mortality rate from tuberculosis.
Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases  | 47

Tuberculosis prevalence is also falling in most regions. Only Western Asia appears to be on track to achieve
An estimated 14 million people were living with the the Stop TB Partnership target of halving 1990
disease in 2009—the equivalent of 200 cases per prevalence rates by 2015.
100,000 people. However, trends remain uncertain.

Up to 6 million lives have been saved since 1995, thanks to an effective international
strategy for the diagnosis and treatment of tuberculosis
Progress against tuberculosis today is the result of more remains to be done. In approximately one third
intensive efforts over the past 15 years to implement of new cases, the recommended strategy is not
the “DOTS” strategy (1995-2005) and its successor, being used. Moreover, about 90 per cent of patients
the Stop TB Strategy (launched in 2006). Between with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis are not being
1995 and 2009, a total of 41 million tuberculosis diagnosed and treated according to international
patients were successfully treated according to the guidelines. Many people with tuberculosis who are
DOTS/Stop TB Strategy and up to 6 million lives were also HIV-positive do not know their HIV status, and are
saved as a result. not yet accessing antiretroviral therapy. Funding gaps
remain large, despite increased resources over the past
In 2009, it was reported that 5.8 million people decade and substantial financing in many countries
worldwide had been officially diagnosed with from the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and
tuberculosis. This represents about 63 per cent of the Malaria.
estimated number of all cases. Among patients that
were notified of their diagnosis in 2008, 86 per cent In the next five years, intensified efforts are needed to
were successfully treated—exceeding the 85 per cent plan, finance and implement the range of interventions
target of successful treatment of new positive cases. and approaches included in the Stop TB Strategy,
according to the targets established in the Global Plan
Despite these positive outcomes, and related to Stop TB, 2011-2015.
interventions such as antiretroviral therapy, much
48  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

Target
Goal 7 Integrate the principles of sustainable development into
country policies and programmes and reverse the loss of
environmental resources
Ensure
environmental Forests are disappearing rapidly in South
America and Africa, while Asia — led by
sustainability China — registers net gains

Net change in forested area between 1990 and 2000 and between
2000 and 2010 (Million hectares per year)

3.0 Africa Asia Europe North & Oceania South


Central America
America
2.0 2.2

1.0
0.9
0.7
0.0
0.0
-0.3 -0.04
-0.6 -0.7

-1.0

-2.0

-3.0 -3.4

-4.1 -4.0
-4.0 -4.2

-5.0

Net gain Net loss


1990-2000 2000-2010 1990-2000 2000-2010

Note: The composition of regions is different from the rest of the report.
In this chart, Oceania corresponds to what in the MDG regions is Oceania
and Australia combined; Europe in the MDG regions is part of the developed
regions; and North & Central America are included under developed
regions and Latin America, respectively.

Although still alarmingly high, the rate of deforestation and loss


of forest from natural causes is slowing down. At the global
level, it decreased from an estimated 16 million hectares
per year in the 1990s to about 13 million hectares per year
in the past decade. At the same time, afforestation and the
natural expansion of forests in some countries and regions have
reduced the net loss of forest area significantly at the global
level. The net change in forest area over the period 2000-2010
is estimated at -5.2 million hectares per year, down from -8.3
million hectares per year in the period 1990-2000. However,
most of the forest loss is still occurring in countries in the
tropics, while the net gain is mostly found in countries in the
temperate and boreal zones.
Goal 7: Ensure environmental sustainability  | 49

South America and Africa saw the largest net losses Despite the downturn in economic
of forest areas between 2000 and 2010. Oceania also activity, global greenhouse gas emissions
reported a net loss, largely due to severe drought and
forest fires in Australia over the past decade. Asia,
continue their ascent
on the other hand, registered a net gain of some 2.2
million hectares annually in the past 10 years, mostly Emissions of carbon dioxide (CO²), 1990 and 2008
(Billions of metric tons)
because of large-scale afforestation programmes
in China, India and Viet Nam. Rapid conversion of Eastern Asia
forested lands to other uses continued in many other 3.0
7.7
countries in the region.
Southern Asia
1.0
The rich biodiversity of the world’s forests remains 2.5
imperilled by the still high rate of global deforestation Latin America & the Caribbean
and forest degradation as well as a decline in primary 1.0
forests. One positive trend, however, is growth in the 1.7
establishment of protected areas, which increased Western Asia
by 94 million hectares since 1990 and now cover an 0.6
estimated 13 per cent of the world’s forests. 1.3
South-Eastern Asia
0.4
Forests play an important role in the global carbon 1.2
cycle. Trees absorb carbon from the atmosphere and Southern Asia (excluding India)
store it in their wood, but the carbon is released
0.3
back into the atmosphere when the wood is burned 0.8
or decomposes. It is estimated that the forestry Sub-Saharan Africa
sector alone is responsible for one sixth of all human- 0.5
induced greenhouse gas emissions—mainly due 0.7
to deforestation. In late 2010, countries agreed to Eastern Asia (excluding China)
establish a mechanism under the United Nations 0.5
0.6
Framework Convention on Climate Change to reward
Caucasus & Central Asia
developing countries that reduce carbon emissions
0.5*
from deforestation and forest degradation—through 0.5
the so-called REDD+ mechanism. So far, more than Northern Africa
$4 billion has been pledged for early action. 0.2
0.5
In addition, the United Nations General Assembly Oceania
designated 2011 as the International Year of Forests <0.1
<0.1
to raise awareness of sustainable management,
Developing regions
conservation and development of all types of forests.
6.8
“Forests for People” is the theme for the Year, 16.0
highlighting the dynamic relationship between forests Developed regions
and the people who depend on them. 15.0
13.9
World
21.8
30.1

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
1990 2008
* Data for Caucasus & Central Asia refer to 1992.

In 2008, the latest year for which data are available,


global carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions continued to
rise, reaching 30.1 billion metric tons, an increase
of 1.7 per cent from the previous year. This change
was smaller than in the period 2006-2007 (2.9 per
cent) due to the economic crisis, which resulted in a
decrease in emissions in 2008 in several countries,
50  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

in particular in developed regions. Still, emissions The Montreal Protocol is not only
overall increased, underscoring the urgent need for helping to restore the ozone layer,
strengthened global action against climate change. but to curb climate change
According to the World Meteorological Organization,
which issues annual updates on the status of climate Consumption of all ozone-depleting substances (ODSs),
change and greenhouse gas emissions, the decade 1986-2009 (Thousands of tonnes of ozone depleting
2001-2010 was the warmest on record since 1880 in potential)
terms of average global temperatures. It was warmer 1,400
than the previous record decade 1991-2000. Developed regions
1,200 Developing regions
The 2008 emissions were 38 per cent above the 1,000 Caucasus, Central Asia,
1990 level. Per capita emissions remain highest in the Eastern & South-Eastern Europe
developed regions—11.2 metric tons of CO2 per person 800
per year in 2008, compared to about 2.9 metric tons
600
in the developing regions and 0.8 metric tons in sub-
Saharan Africa, the lowest regional value. The gap 400
in CO2 emissions per capita between developed and
200
developing regions has diminished somewhat since
1990: In 1990, 12.3 metric tons of CO2 were emitted 0
per person per year in developed regions, compared 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2009

to about 1.7 metric tons in the developing regions and


0.9 metric tons in sub-Saharan Africa. The Montreal Protocol is an undisputed—but still
unfinished—success story. Much more work remains
Emissions per unit of economic output fell by more to be done to ensure the protection of the ozone layer
than 36 per cent in the developed regions and by for this and future generations. Still, what the parties
about 9 per cent in the developing regions. The 2008 to the Protocol have managed to accomplish since
values for this indicator were significantly higher for 1987 is unprecedented, providing an example of what
developing than for developed regions: 0.58 versus international cooperation at its best can achieve.
0.38 kilograms of CO2, respectively, per dollar of As of end-2009, the consumption of 98 per cent of
economic output. all ozone-depleting substances controlled under the
Montreal Protocol had been phased out.
The December 2010 United Nations Climate Change
Conference in Cancún, Mexico, was an important Global observations have verified that atmospheric
step forward in international negotiations under the concentrations of such substances are declining. With
UN Framework Convention on Climate Change. At the full implementation of the Protocol’s provisions, the
conference, a set of decisions known as the “Cancun ozone layer is expected to return to its pre-1980 levels
Agreements” were adopted by the international around the middle of this century.
community to address collectively and comprehensively
the long-term challenge of climate change. However, The Protocol has also delivered substantial climate
many of these decisions need to be elaborated upon benefits, since ozone-depleting substances are
to drive national actions to mitigate greenhouse gas also global-warming gases. The reduction in such
emissions. Operationalizing these decisions will be the substances between 1990, when they reached peak
subject of further negotiations, which are expected to levels, and 2000 has yielded a net reduction of about
take place at the next major climate change conference 25 billion tonnes equivalent of CO2-weighted global-
in Durban, South Africa, in December 2011. warming gasses.
Goal 7: Ensure environmental sustainability  | 51

managed by indigenous and community groups. By


Target 2020, under the new targets, at least 17 per cent of
Reduce biodiversity loss, achieving, by 2010, a land and inland water areas, and 10 per cent of coastal
significant reduction in the rate of loss and marine areas, are to be conserved, including more
priority sites for conservation. An expansion of sites
will only deliver benefits for biodiversity, however, if
Added effort and innovative approaches they are well managed and supported.
are needed to meet new targets
for the conservation of priority The global tide of extinctions continues
ecosystems unabated

Proportion of terrestrial areas protected and proportion IUCN Red List Index of species survival* (showing the
of coastal waters (up to 12 nautical miles) protected, proportion of species expected to remain extant in the near
1990-2010 (Percentage) future in the absence of additional conservation action) for
mammals (1996-2008), birds (1988-2008), amphibians
14 (1986-2004) and aggregate index (1986-2008)
12
0.95
10
8 0.90

6
0.85
4
2 0.80
0
1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 0.75
Developed regions Developing regions
0.70
Land Land
Sea Sea
1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2008

Aggregate index Birds


The extent of ecosystems worldwide designated as
Mammals Amphibians
protected areas has increased dramatically over the
last half century. In 2010, over 150,000 protected * A Red List Index value of 1.0 means that the species in question is
sites covered 12.7 per cent of the world’s land area of least concern since it is not expected to go extinct in the near future.
A Red List Index value of zero indicates that species has gone extinct.
and 7.2 per cent of its coastal waters (extending out
to 12 nautical miles). Beyond this, marine protection
is still very limited. Only 3.5 per cent of exclusive To measure trends in the percentage of species
economic zones (up to 200 nautical miles) and threatened with extinction, the International Union for
less than 1.5 per cent of the total ocean area are Conservation of Nature and its partners have compiled
designated as marine protected areas. what is known as the Red List Index, now available
for all the world’s birds (10,000 species), mammals
Despite the overall increase in protected ecosystems, (4,500 species) and amphibians (5,700 species). The
biodiversity is still in decline, owing to inadequate latest indices show that, overall, species are declining
management of existing sites and gaps in the in population and range and are moving towards
protection of areas deemed priorities for conservation. extinction—with consequences for the ecosystem
Two global networks have been formed for the services upon which all people depend. An aggregated
protection of such sites: Important Bird Areas (11,000 index shows the average trends across these three
sites of importance for avian conservation) and Alliance groups. Amphibians are most threatened, and are
for Zero Extinction sites (588 areas supporting the only declining most rapidly, but all groups with known
remaining populations of one or more highly threatened trends show a deterioration in status. Other classes
species). However, only 26 per cent and 22 per cent of of organisms not yet indexed are likely to mirror this
these critical sites, respectively, are fully protected. pattern, with some being even more threatened (such
as cycads—a palm-like tropical plant) and others
New targets adopted in 2010 by the 193 parties disappearing even more quickly (such as corals).
to the Convention on Biological Diversity called for
the expansion of the global protected area network.
Targeted sites include ecological corridors and areas
52  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

Global marine resources continue The global production of marine capture fisheries
to decline reached a peak of 86.3 million tonnes in 1996. Since
that time, it has declined slightly, to 79.5 million tonnes
in 2008, with large fluctuations between years. The
Status of the exploited fish stocks, 1974-2008 (Percentage)
proportion of fish stocks estimated to be underexploited
100 or moderately exploited declined from 40 per cent in
the mid-1970s to 15 per cent in 2008. Over roughly
the same period, the proportion of overexploited,
80
depleted or recovering fish stocks increased from
10 per cent to 33 per cent. The proportion of fully
60 exploited stocks has remained relatively stable at about
50 per cent since the 1970s, with some slightly lower
levels between 1985 and 1997.
40

In spite of action on the part of coastal States, and


20 good progress in some cases, the overall decline in
global fisheries continues. The most serious pressures
on fisheries resources remain overfishing, pollution
0
and loss of habitats. Policy and management actions
1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2008
to safeguard these resources must focus on countering
Overexploited + Depleted + Recovering the overcapacity of fishing fleets and the integration of
Fully exploited plans to rebuild marine resources with national political
Underexploited + Moderately exploited and economic decision-making.

The limits for sustainable water resources have already been exceeded
in Western Asia and Northern Africa
Surface water and groundwater withdrawal as a percentage of internal renewable water resources, taking into consideration
official treaties between countries, around 2005

Western Asia 166


Northern Africa 92
Southern Asia 58
Caucasus
56 Water resources
& Central Asia
are still abundant
Eastern Asia 20
Water scarcity
South-Eastern Asia 8 is approaching
Sub-Saharan Africa 3 Sustainable limits
Latin America have been exceeded
& the Caribbean 2

Oceania <0.1
Developed regions 10

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180

The proportion of water resources used by a country is Most regions withdraw less than 25 per cent of their
a complex indicator reflecting development, national renewable water resources. Considering usage trends
water policies, and physical and economic water since 1960, they will not approach the range of
scarcity. At low levels of development, it is generally physical water scarcity for some time. Two regions,
advantageous to increase total water withdrawal. But however, Western Asia and Northern Africa, have far
beyond a certain “inflection point”, ecosystems will exceeded the threshold of 75 per cent, meaning that
be strained and competing water uses will not allow their water resources are no longer sustainable. Two
all users to receive their fair share. Dry years may other regions are approaching the threshold of 60 per
exacerbate the problem, which makes identifying the cent.
exact inflection point difficult, as do years of above-
normal precipitation.
Goal 7: Ensure environmental sustainability  | 53

Target
Halve, by 2015, the proportion of the population without sustainable access to safe drinking water and basic
sanitation

The world is likely to surpass the drinking water target, though more than
1 in 10 people may still be without access in 2015

Proportion of population using different sources of water, 1990 and 2008 (Percentage)
100
11 10 8 7
14 13 12 12 14 14 15 16
28 25 8 12 9 28
31 6 8
80 40 13
49 50 51 28
32
35
14 35
60 53
33
64
54
55
83 80 84
40 44 82
29 78
31 34 72
58
56 53 55
49
20 39
33
22 19 16 21 23
15 17
0
1990 2008 1990 2008 1990 2008 1990 2008 1990 2008 1990 2008 1990 2008 1990 2008 1990 2008 1990 2008

Oceania Sub-Saharan South-Eastern Southern Caucasus & Eastern Western Northern Latin America Developing
Africa Asia Asia Central Asia Asia Asia Africa & the Caribbean regions

Piped water on premises Other improved sources Unimproved sources


54  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

Progress to improve access to clean drinking water cent in 1990, to 86 per cent in 2008. Sub-Saharan
has been strong. Globally, coverage increased from 77 Africa nearly doubled the number of people using an
per cent in 1990 to 87 per cent in 2008. If this trend improved drinking water source—from 252 million in
continues, the MDG drinking water target of 89 per 1990 to 492 million in 2008. Coverage in that region
cent coverage will be met—and likely surpassed—by increased from 49 per cent in 1990 to 60 per cent in
2015. 2008.

In 92 per cent of developing countries (103 out of 112 In all regions, coverage in rural areas lags behind that
countries), drinking water coverage increased between of cities and towns. In 2008, an estimated 141 million
1990 and 2008 or stayed the same, at a rate of 98 urbanites and 743 million rural dwellers continued
per cent or higher. In only 13 countries did coverage to rely on unimproved sources for their daily drinking
decline. water needs. In sub-Saharan Africa, an urban dweller
is 1.8 times more likely to use an improved drinking
Latin America and the Caribbean, Eastern Asia and water source than a person living in a rural area.
South-Eastern Asia have already met the MDG drinking
water target. Eastern Asia registered the largest
increase in drinking water coverage—from 69 per

Poor, rural populations remain at a disadvantage in accessing clean drinking water

Proportion of population using different sources of water by wealth quintile, rural and urban areas, sub-Saharan Africa,
2004/2009 (Percentage)

Urban areas Rural areas


100 100
8 6
12
20
35 32
80 80
32 46
56 53
53 65
60 60
62

64

40 40 59
60
62
52
46
20 20 44
39
35
26
16
2 9
5 1
0 0
Poorest Second Middle Fourth Richest Poorest Second Middle Fourth Richest
20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20%

Piped on premises Other improved sources Unimproved sources

An analysis of survey data from sub-Saharan African the poorest households are 12 times less likely than
countries shows that the poorest 20 per cent of the richest households to enjoy the convenience and
the population in urban areas are almost six times associated health benefits of having a piped drinking
more likely to rely on an unimproved drinking water water supply on premises.
source than the richest 20 per cent. In urban areas,
Goal 7: Ensure environmental sustainability  | 55

Over 2.6 billion people still lack flush 17 per cent in 2008. Almost two thirds of the people
toilets and other forms of improved who practise open sanitation reside in Southern Asia.
sanitation Northern Africa is the only region that has already
surpassed the MDG sanitation target, increasing
Proportion of population using an improved sanitation facility, coverage from 72 per cent in 1990 to 89 per cent in
1990 and 2008 (Percentage) 2008.
Sub-Saharan Africa
28 The International Year of Sanitation in 2008 gave
31 64 much needed impetus to the debate on sanitation. And
Southern Asia in various regions, yearly sanitation conferences are
25 held to ensure that sanitation remains on the political
36 63
agenda and receives the attention it deserves.
Oceania
55
53 78 Gaps in sanitation coverage between
Eastern Asia
43
urban and rural areas are narrowing
56 72
South-Eastern Asia Urban/rural ratio of the proportion of population using
46 an improved sanitation facility, 1990 and 2008
69 73
Southern Asia
Latin America & the Caribbean
4.3
69
2.2
80 85
Western Asia Latin America & the Caribbean
79 2.1
85 90 1.6
Northern Africa Sub-Saharan Africa
72 2.0
89 86 1.8
Caucasus & Central Asia South-Eastern Asia
91 1.9
95 96 1.3
Developing regions Oceania
42 1.8
53 71 1.8
World
Western Asia
54
1.8
61 77
1.4

0 20 40 60 80 100 Northern Africa


1.7
1990 2008 2015 1.1
Eastern Asia
1.4
The world is far from meeting the sanitation target. In 1.2
fact, at the current rate of progress, it will take until
Caucasus & Central Asia
2049 to provide 77 per cent of the global population 1.1
with flush toilets and other forms of improved 1.0
sanitation. Almost half the population of developing Developing regions
regions and some 2.6 billion people globally were not 2.2
using an improved form of sanitation in 2008. 1.7
Developed regions
That year, an estimated 1.1 billion people did not use 1.1
any facility at all and practised open defecation, which 1.1
poses enormous health risks, particularly for poorer 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0
segments of the population who are most exposed Equal
to the dangers of inadequate human waste disposal. Rural populations at
Globally, open defecation rates have declined by one a disadvantage
1990 2008
third, from 25 per cent of the population in 1990 to
56  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

Rural populations everywhere are disadvantaged when Asia, where an urban resident is 2.2 times more likely
it comes to improved sanitation, though disparities to use an improved facility than a rural resident. Still,
with urban areas are decreasing in all regions. Globally, this represents significant improvement since 1990,
an urban resident is 1.7 times more likely to use an when an urban resident was 4.3 times more likely to
improved sanitation facility than someone living in use an improved sanitation facility than a person living
a rural area. Inequalities are most stark in Southern in a rural area.

Improved sanitation has failed to reach the poorest households


in parts of Southern Asia

Proportion of population by sanitation practices and wealth quintile, Southern Asia, 1995 and 2008 (Percentage)
100 2
6
1 4 Open defecation
18
Unimproved

Improved
80
6
51
56

74 77
60
86 87
94
4
93 94

40
8 76

8 4 45
20
36
5
7 18 19
4
7 8
2
0
1995 2008 1995 2008 1995 2008 1995 2008 1995 2008
Poorest 20% Second 20% Middle 20% Fourth 20% Richest 20%

An analysis of trends over the period 1995-2008 increased, and four out of five people in the bottom
for three countries in Southern Asia shows that two quintiles continue to practise open defecation.
improvements in sanitation have disproportionately The most progress was made by those in the fourth
benefited the wealthy. Sanitation coverage for wealthiest quintile, while the richest 20 per cent of the
the poorest 40 per cent of households has hardly population has maintained its very high coverage level.
Goal 7: Ensure environmental sustainability  | 57

39 per cent to 33 per cent. More than 200 million


Target of these people gained access to either improved
By 2020, to have achieved a significant water, sanitation or durable and less crowded housing.
improvement in the lives of at least 100 million However, in absolute terms, the number of slum
slum dwellers dwellers continues to grow, due in part to the fast
pace of urbanization. The number of urban residents
living in slum conditions is now estimated at some 828
Growing urbanization is outpacing million, compared to 657 million in 1990 and 767
slum improvements, calling for new and million in 2000.
realistic national and local targets
In 2010, the highest prevalence of slum conditions
was found in sub-Saharan Africa. There, 62 per cent of
Population living in slums and proportion of urban population the urban population were sheltered in slums, followed
living in slums, developing regions, 1990-2010 by Southern Asia (35 per cent) and South-Eastern
Proportion of urban population Asia (31 per cent). Particularly critical is the situation
Population in slums (Millions) in slums (Percentage) in conflict-affected countries, where the proportion of
900 60 urban populations living in slums increased from 64
800 per cent in 1990 to 77 per cent in 2010.
46.1 50
700 42.8 Redoubled efforts will be needed to improve the lives
39.3
600 35.7 40 of the urban poor in cities and metropolises across
34.3
32.7 the developing world. Towards that end, in April 2011,
500
30 the Governing Council of the United Nations Human
400 Settlements Programme encouraged countries to
300 20
enumerate their slum populations, and to set realistic
national, regional and local targets for improving the
200 lives of slum dwellers. These could extend beyond
10
100 the current MDG target, which has a deadline of
2020. Priorities include housing and basic services,
0 0
1990 1995 2000 2005 2007 2010
infrastructure such as water and sanitation facilities,
transport, energy, health and education. Countries are
Percentage of urban Population in slums also urged to promote access to affordable land with
population living in slums secure tenure and to create the conditions in which
people are able to carve out and sustain a livelihood.
From 2000 to 2010, the share of urban residents in
the developing world living in slums declined from
58  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

Aid to developing countries is at a record high,


Goal 8 but falls short of promises made in 2005

Official development assistance (ODA) from developed countries,


Develop a global 2000-2010 (Billions of constant 2009 US$ and current US$)
140
partnership
for development 120

100

80

60

40

20

0
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
(Preliminary)
Net debt forgiveness grants
Humanitarian aid
Multilateral ODA
Bilateral development projects, programmes and technical cooperation
Total net ODA in billions of current US$

In 2010, net aid disbursements amounted to $128.7 billion,


equivalent to 0.32 per cent of developed countries’ combined
national income. This was the highest level of real aid ever
recorded and an increase of 6.5 per cent in real terms over
2009.

If debt relief and humanitarian aid are excluded, bilateral aid


for development programmes and projects rose by 5.9 per
cent in real terms, as donors continued to scale up their core
development projects and programmes. Most of the rise was
in new lending (which grew by 13.2 per cent), but grants also
increased (by 6.8 per cent).

In 2005, at the Gleneagles Group of Eight (G8) Summit and


other forums, donors committed to increase their assistance
to developing countries. The pledges they made at these
meetings, combined with other commitments, implied a lifting
of aid from about $80 billion in 2004 to nearly $130 billion
in 2010 (at constant 2004 prices). However, when comparing
the 2010 outcome with pledges made in 2005, there was a
shortfall of $19 billion. A little over $1 billion of this shortfall
can be attributed to lower-than-expected levels of gross national
income due to the economic crisis. However, the remaining
gap—$18 billion—was due to the failure of donors to meet their
commitments. Overall, the combined effect of the increases has
lifted aid by 37 per cent in real terms since 2004, or about $30
billion (in 2004 dollars).
Goal 8: Develop a global partnership for development  | 59

At the Gleneagles summit, G8 donors also envisaged


that their commitments, combined with those of other Target
donors, would raise official development assistance Address the special needs of the least developed
(ODA) to Africa by $25 billion in 2010. That year, countries, landlocked countries and small island
bilateral aid to the continent as a whole was $29.3 developing states
billion, of which $26.5 billion was for sub-Saharan
Africa. These amounts represent increases of 3.6 per
cent and 6.4 per cent in real terms, respectively, over ODA outlook: Expect leaner years ahead
2009. Preliminary estimates show that Africa will
receive only about $11 billion out of the $25 billion Net official development assistance from OECD-DAC countries
increase promised at Gleneagles, due mainly to the as a proportion of donors’ gross national income to all
underperformance of some European donors that give developing countries and to the least developed countries
large shares of their aid to Africa. (LDCs), 1990-2010 (Percentage)
0.40
Total ODA
0.35 ODA to LDCs
0.30

0.25

0.20

0.15

0.10

0.05

0.00
1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010
(Preliminary)

In 2010, Denmark, Luxembourg, the Netherlands,


Norway and Sweden continued to exceed the United
Nations target for ODA of 0.7 per cent of their gross
national income (GNI). The largest donors by volume
were the United States, followed by the United
Kingdom, France, Germany and Japan. The largest
increases in ODA in real terms between 2009 and
2010 were made by Australia, Belgium, Canada,
Japan, Portugal, the Republic of Korea and the United
Kingdom.

In 2005, the 15 European Union countries that are


members of the Development Assistance Committee
of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and
Development (OECD-DAC) committed to allocate a
minimum of 0.51 per cent of their GNI to ODA by
2010. The following countries surpassed that goal:
Luxembourg (1.09 per cent), Sweden (0.97 per cent),
Denmark (0.90 per cent), the Netherlands (0.81 per
cent), Belgium (0.64 per cent), the United Kingdom
(0.56 per cent), Finland (0.55 per cent) and Ireland
(0.53 per cent). France nearly met the goal with an
ODA/GNI ratio of 0.50 per cent, while others fell short
by a larger margin: Spain (0.43 per cent), Germany
(0.38 per cent), Austria (0.32 per cent), Portugal
(0.29 per cent), Greece (0.17 per cent) and Italy (0.15
per cent).

Other DAC member countries, including Australia,


Canada, Norway, Switzerland and the United States,
60  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

also made promises for 2010 that they kept. In 2005,


Japan committed to providing an additional $10 billion Target
in aid over the period 2004 to 2009. It fell short Develop further an open, rule-based, predictable,
by $3.6 billion due to severe economic constraints; non-discriminatory trading and financial system
however, in 2010 its ODA again rose significantly. New
Zealand plans to achieve an ODA level of $NZ 600
million ($472 million) by 2012-2013 and appears to
Protectionism was averted, despite
be on track. The Republic of Korea was not a DAC troubling economic times, due to strong
donor in 2005 and made no promises to increase its international cooperation
aid. Still, since 2005, its aid programme has increased
in real terms by 56 per cent. Proportion of developed country imports from developing
countries and from the LDCs admitted free of duty,
Looking ahead, a recent OECD survey shows that all duty-free access and preferential duty-free access,*
most donors plan to increase aid over the coming 1996-2009 (Percentage)
three years, though at a sharply reduced pace. Aid will 90
grow at 2 per cent a year between 2011 and 2013,
80
compared to an average of 8 per cent a year over the
past three years. Aid to Africa is expected to rise by 70
just 1 per cent a year in real terms, compared to the 60
average of 13 per cent over the past three years. In
50
2008-2009, out of an average total of $82.1 billion
in ODA that was allocable by sector, $23.1 billion 40
focused on support for gender equality and women’s 30
empowerment. Aid concentrates increasingly on the
20
poorest countries, with the least developed countries
(LDCs) receiving about a third of donors’ total aid 10
flows. 0
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2009

Total duty-free access, all developing countries


Total duty-free access, LDCs
Preferential duty-free access, all developing countries
Preferential duty-free access, LDCs

* Preferential duty-free access is calculated by subtracting from the


total duty-free access all products receiving duty free treatment
under the most-favoured-nation treatment (MFN) regime.

Despite fears of renewed protectionism at the


beginning of the economic crisis in 2008, the strong
international governance that emerged from the
Group of Twenty (G20) Summit and other multilateral
initiatives averted a return to restrictive trade
practices. The preferential market access granted to
the LDCs and developing countries remained relatively
unchanged from the levels of the previous five years.

The vast majority of exports from developing countries


are now imported free from custom duties in developed
country markets. Recent years have seen a slight
increase in the proportion of duty-free imports from
developing countries other than LDCs, with the
proportions for the two groups converging at about 80
per cent of their exports.

The preferential nature of the duty-free access granted


by developed countries is very different between LDCs
and developing countries more generally. Thanks to
Goal 8: Develop a global partnership for development  | 61

the general reduction of tariffs in developed markets, On the other hand, true preferential duty-free
more and more products are now routinely imported treatment remains the dominant mode through
duty free under the World Trade Organization’s most- which LDCs gain access to the markets of developed
favoured-nation (MFN) treatment. Products that are countries. The proportion of LDC exports benefiting
MFN duty free include not only raw materials but from such preferences has been increasing over the
also manufactures, such as electronics equipment years, reaching 53 per cent in 2009. All but one of
under the Information Technology Agreement. This the developed countries have granted duty-free market
has benefited many of the more advanced developing access to at least 97 per cent of products originating
countries. When MFN treatment is excluded, only from LDCs. The exception is the United States, which
19 per cent of exports by developing to developed has tariffs on imports of textile and clothing from Asian
countries benefited from “true” preferential treatment. LDCs.

Tariffs on agricultural products from developing countries continue to fall,


but remain unchanged for clothing and textiles

Developed countries' average tariffs on imports of key Developed countries' average tariffs on imports of key
products from developing countries, 1996-2009 (Percentage) products from LDCs, 1996-2009 (Percentage)
12 Agricultural goods 12 Agricultural goods
Clothing Clothing
10 Textiles 10 Textiles

8 8

6 6

4 4

2 2

0 0
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2009 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2009

In 2009, applied tariffs on agricultural products and the best tariff for all developing countries, have
from developing countries and LDCs continued to fall seen only marginal changes in the past five years.
slowly, while remaining largely unchanged for textiles However, thanks to the special preference granted
and clothing. During a period dominated by the to them, the margin of preference for LDCs is higher
global economic crisis, no major tariff initiatives were than that for other developing countries. Nevertheless,
undertaken. Rather, specific modifications, such as these preferences are declining as tariffs in developed
those by the European Union relating to rice and sugar, economies diminish. As a result, the LDCs have been
served to advance progress. turning their attention to large emerging economies,
where demand is increasing and MFN tariffs remain
Since 2005, the decline in preferential tariffs has high (about 10 per cent for raw materials and 18
tended to follow the trend observed for most-favoured- per cent for processed products). Other developing
nation treatment. As a result, preference margins, countries now absorb half the exports of LDCs.
measured as the difference between MFN treatment
62  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

A country’s external debt burden affects its


Target creditworthiness and vulnerability to economic shocks.
Deal comprehensively with developing countries’ debt Better debt management, the expansion of trade and,
particularly for the poorest countries, substantial
debt relief have reduced the burden of debt service.
A sharp drop in exports in 2009 Between 2000 and 2008, the average ratio of public
interrupted the downward trend of debt service to exports for developing regions declined
from 12.5 per cent to 3.4 per cent. In 2009, due
developing countries’ debt service ratios to the global economic crisis, export earnings of
developing countries declined by 21 per cent, while
External debt service payments as a proportion of export total public debt service remained at about the same
revenues, 2000, 2008 and 2009 (Percentage)
level as in 2008. As a consequence, the ratio of public
Western Asia debt service to exports increased for all developing
16.2 regions except Southern Asia, Western Asia and
9.2
9.0
Oceania, with the overall average rising to 3.6 per cent.
Latin America & the Caribbean
The impact was most pronounced for the small island
21.8 developing States (SIDS) and the LDCs.
6.8
7.2 Forty countries are eligible for debt relief under the
Northern Africa Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) initiative.
15.3
Of these, 36 countries have reached the “decision
6.1
6.9 point” stage in the process and have had future debt
South-Eastern Asia
payments reduced by $59 billion (in end-2009 net
6.5 present value terms); 32 countries that subsequently
3.0 reached their “completion point” have received
4.0 additional assistance of $30 billion (in end-2009 net
Southern Asia present value terms). The debt burdens of countries
13.7
included in the HIPC initiative are below the average
5.2
3.5 for all LDCs.
Sub-Saharan Africa
9.4
2.0
3.1
Oceania
5.9
2.8
1.9
Caucasus & Central Asia
8.4
0.6
1.0
Eastern Asia
5.1
0.6
0.6
Developing regions
12.5
3.4
3.6
Small island developing States
8.7
7.6
9.5
Least developed countries
11.4
2.9
5.6
0 5 10 15 20 25
2000 2008 2009
Goal 8: Develop a global partnership for development  | 63

68 per cent by end-2010. Mobile cellular networks


Target are offering alternative communications opportunities
In cooperation with the private sector, make to previously unconnected regions. In the LDCs, for
available the benefits of new technologies, example, mobile cellular penetration is around 30 per
especially information and communications cent, compared to only 1 per cent fixed telephone line
penetration.

The world is increasingly interconnected Mobile communications are not only connecting remote
through mobile, high-speed and rural populations to basic voice services. They are
communications also offering innovative applications in, for example,
the areas of business, health and education, which can
contribute to the achievement of other MDGs.
Number of fixed telephone lines and mobile cellular
subscriptions per 100 inhabitants, 1995-2010

120
Two thirds of the world’s population have
yet to gain access to the Internet
100
Number of Internet users per 100 inhabitants, 1995-2010
80
80
Least developed countries
60 70
Developing regions
60
40 Developed regions
50

20 40

30
0
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2010* 20
Mobile cellular telephone subscriptions, developed regions 10
Fixed telephone lines, developed regions
0
Mobile cellular telephone subscriptions, developing regions
1995 1999 2003 2007 2010*
Fixed telephone lines, developing regions
* Data for 2010 are estimates.
* Data for 2010 are estimates.
The number of Internet users continues to expand.
By the end of 2010, 90 per cent of the world’s However, penetration levels in the developing world
inhabitants were covered by a mobile cellular signal. remain relatively low, at 21 per cent by end-2010,
The number of mobile cellular subscriptions had grown compared to 72 per cent in the developed regions.
to an estimated 5.3 billion—including nearly 1 billion Globally, two out of three people are not using the
subscriptions to 3G (third generation) services—and Internet. And in LDCs, Internet penetration was as
more than 2 billion people worldwide were using the low as 3 per cent by end-2010. In absolute numbers,
Internet, increasingly through broadband access. the developed regions have been surpassed by the
developing world, which in 2010 accounted for 60 per
Growing demand for information and communications cent of Internet users worldwide, up from 40 per cent
services, combined with technological advances, in 2005.
growing infrastructure and falling prices, are allowing
more and more people across the globe to join the
information society. By the end of 2010, mobile
cellular penetration levels had reached an estimated
76 per cent, and almost one in three people were
online.

Many developed countries are reaching saturation


levels in mobile cellular subscriptions, with an average
penetration level of 116 per cent. Growth in mobile
telephony continues to be strong in the developing
world, where mobile penetration had reached around
64  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

High-speed Internet connections, now networks. More countries are introducing national
more widely available, have promising broadband plans to bring more people online, but
major differences in broadband access persist.
applications for development
By the end of 2010, fixed broadband penetration in the
Fixed broadband subscriptions and mobile broadband developed regions averaged 24.6 per cent, compared
subscriptions per 100 inhabitants, 2000-2010 to only 4.4 per cent in the developing world. And fixed
60 broadband subscriptions in the developing world are
Mobile broadband, developed regions heavily concentrated in a few countries. In the majority
50 Mobile broadband, developing regions of LDCs, the number of fixed broadband subscriptions
Fixed broadband, developed regions
remains very low and services are prohibitively
40 expensive.
Fixed broadband, developing regions

30 Mobile broadband has started to become a true


alternative to fixed broadband access. In 2010, 143
20 countries were offering mobile broadband services
commercially, compared to less than 50 in 2005.
10 Demand is expected to grow rapidly over the next few
years, especially in the developing world and in such
0 regions as Africa, where fixed-line infrastructure to the
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010*
end-user is limited.
* Data for 2010 are estimates.
Two thirds of mobile broadband subscriptions are still
Some of the most promising applications and services in the developed regions, where, in 2010, penetration
in information and communications for development levels had surpassed the 50 per cent mark.
are those that are delivered over high-speed broadband
Goal 8: Develop a global partnership for development  | 65
66  |  The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011

A note to the reader


Measuring progress towards the MDGs are also accompanied by metadata with a detailed description
of how the indicators are produced and the methodologies
Progress towards the eight Millennium Development Goals is
used for regional aggregations.
measured through 21 targets and 60 official indicators.1 This
report presents an accounting to date of how far the world
Reconciling national and international data
has come in meeting the goals using data available as of June
2011.2 Reliable, timely and internationally comparable data on the
MDG indicators are crucial for holding the international
Most of the MDG targets have a deadline of 2015, using
community to account. They are also important in
1990 as the baseline against which progress is gauged.
encouraging public support and funding for development,
Country data are aggregated at the subregional and regional
allocating aid effectively, and comparing progress among
levels to show overall advances over time. Although the
regions and across countries.
aggregate figures are a convenient way to track progress, the
situation of individual countries within a given region may Discrepancies among sources and gaps in national data have
vary significantly from regional averages. Data for individual raised concerns in the statistical community and troubled
countries, along with the composition of all regions and country data producers who find themselves dealing with
subregions, are available at http://mdgs.un.org. different figures for the same indicator.
A number of initiatives have been launched to reconcile
The basis for this analysis national and international monitoring and to resolve
Regional and subregional figures presented in this report are differences in methods and definitions used by various
compiled by members of the United Nations Inter-Agency agencies within countries and in international agencies.
and Expert Group on MDG Indicators (IAEG). In general, The IAEG has promoted a dialogue between national
the figures are weighted averages of country data, using and international agencies to improve the coherence of
the population of reference as a weight. For each indicator, national and international data and to ensure the quality
individual agencies were designated as official providers of and transparency of methodologies and data produced. The
data and as leaders in developing methodologies for data IAEG has also provided training to national statistics experts
collection and analysis (see inside front cover for a list of in more than 60 countries. As a result, data production
contributing organizations). in countries is increasingly aligned with internationally
agreed-upon recommendations and standards. Moreover,
Data are typically drawn from official statistics provided by
international agencies have developed a better understanding
governments to the international agencies responsible for the
of countries’ data availability and of how to work with national
indicator. To fill data gaps, data for many of the indicators are
experts to produce and estimate indicators.
supplemented by or derived exclusively from data collected
through surveys sponsored and carried out by international
Improving monitoring systems
agencies. These include many of the health indicators, which
are compiled, for the most part, from Multiple Indicator Cluster Improved data and monitoring tools are crucial for devising
Surveys (MICS) and Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS). appropriate policies and interventions needed to achieve
the MDGs. Although some progress is being made, reliable
In some cases, countries may have more recent data that
statistics for monitoring development remain inadequate
have not yet become available to the relevant specialized
in many poor countries, and the challenge of building
agency. In other cases, countries do not produce the data
in-country capacity to produce better policy-relevant data
required to compile the indicator, and the responsible
is enormous. Building such capacity demands increased
international agencies estimate the missing values. Even
and well-coordinated financial and technical support from
when national data are available, adjustments are often
development partners. It also requires country ownership and
needed to ensure international comparability. Data from
government commitment to spur the institutional changes
international sources, therefore, often differ from those
needed to ensure the sustainability of capacity-building
available within countries.
efforts.
The United Nations Statistics Division maintains the official
As a results of recent efforts, more data are now available
website of the IAEG and its database (http://mdgs.un.org). In
in the international series for the assessment of trends for
an effort to improve transparency, the country data series in
all MDGs. In 2010, 119 countries had data for at least two
the database are given colour codes to indicate whether the
points in time for 16 to 22 indicators; in contrast, only four
figures are estimated or provided by national agencies; they
countries had this data coverage in 2003. These advances
are the result of increased national capacity to venture into
1 new data collection initiatives as well as to increase the
The complete list of goals, targets and indicators is available at
frequency of data collection. For instance, the number of
http://mdgs.un.org.
2
Given the time lag between collecting data and analysing them, countries with two or more data points on contraceptive
few indicators can be compiled for the current year. Most of them prevalence increased from 50 in the period 1986-1994 to
are based on data from earlier years—generally up to 2009 or 103 in 2010. At the same time, the number of countries with
2010. no data on this indicator decreased from 106 to 34.
Regional groupings   | 67

Regional groupings

Developed regions This report presents data on progress towards the Millennium Development
Goals for the world as a whole and for various country groupings. These
Caucasus & Central Asia are classified as “developing” regions and the “developed” regions.* The
Northern Africa developing regions are further broken down into the subregions shown on the
map above. These regional groupings are based on United Nations geographical
Sub-Saharan Africa divisions, with some modifications necessary to create, to the extent possible,
South-Eastern Asia groups of countries for which a meaningful analysis can be carried out.
A complete list of countries included in each region and subregion is available
Oceania at mdgs.un.org.
Eastern Asia The designations employed and the presentation of the material in the present
Southern Asia publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part
of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any
Western Asia country, territory, city or area of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation
Latin America & the Caribbean of its frontiers or boundaries.

* Since there is no established convention for the designation of “developed” and


“developing” countries or areas in the United Nations system, this distinction is made
for the purposes of statistical analysis only.
For more information visit the UN Statistics Division
Millennium Development Goals website at http://mdgs.un.org
Visit the UN Millennium Development Goals website at
www.un.org/millenniumgoals
Visit the UN Millennium Campaign Office website at
www.endpoverty2015.org

PHOTO CREDITS
Cover: © Jonathan Ernst/World Bank
Foreword: © Roger LeMoyne/NYHQ2010-0750/UNICEF
Page 6: © Scott Wallace/World Bank
Page 7: © Sara Duerto Valero/UNDESA
Page 9: © Sara Duerto Valero/UNDESA
Page 10: © Id No. 443349/UN Photo
Page 11: © Tran Thi Hoa/World Bank
Page 12: © Martine Perret/UN Photo
Page 14: © Kibae Park/UN Photo
Page 16: © Tom Pietrasik/NYHQ2009-2174/UNICEF
Page 20: © Olivier Chassot/UN Photo
Page 24: © Sara Duerto Valero/UNDESA
Page 28: © Isaac/NYHQ2008-0845/UNICEF
Page 30: © Shehzad Noorani/NYHQ2006-0088/UNICEF
Page 32: © Olivier Asselin/NYHQ2010-1030/UNICEF
Page 34: © Masaru Goto/World Bank
Page 36: © Isaac/NYHQ2008-0852/UNICEF
Page 39: © Nesbitt/NYHQ2010-0875/UNICEF
Page 43: © Masaru Goto/World Bank
Page 44: © Arne Hoel/World Bank
Page 47: © Nesbitt/NYHQ2010-0849/UNICEF
Page 48: © Jonathan Ernst/World Bank
Page 53: © Curt Carnemark/World Bank
Page 57: © Sara Duerto Valero/UNDESA
Page 58: © Charlotte Kesl/World Bank
Page 59: © Sara Duerto Valero/UNDESA
Page 65: © Jonathan Ernst/World Bank

Editor: Lois Jensen


Copyright © United Nations, 2011
All rights reserved.
  | 5
2  |  The Millennium Development Goals: Report 2010

“Between now and 2015, we must make sure


that promises made become promises kept.
The consequences of doing otherwise are
profound: death, illness and despair, needless
suffering, lost opportunities for millions upon
millions of people.”

— UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon

USD 15
ISBN 978-92-1-101244-6

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