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Pennsylvania CD 17 Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President Q5 Your Congressman Keith Rothfus won’t oppose
Donald Trump’s job performance? this lawsuit that is currently in court. He’s
stayed silent. Does that make you more likely
Approve ....................................................... 44%
or less likely to vote for Keith Rothfus next
Disapprove ................................................... 51% time, or does it not make a difference?
Not sure ....................................................... 5% More likely .................................................... 13%
Q2 Which of the following would you most like to Less likely..................................................... 47%
see the Congress do about the Affordable Care
Act, given the choices of: keeping what works Doesn't make a difference ............................ 36%
and fixing what doesn’t, or repealing it and Not sure ....................................................... 4%
starting over with a new healthcare law?
Q6 Now I am going to read you a list of
Would most like Congress to keep what consequences that independent, nonpartisan
works in the Affordable Care Act and fix analysts have identified could result from the
what doesn't ................................................. 59% Republican effort to repeal the Affordable Care
Would most like Congress to repeal the Act, and ask how concerning each is to you.
Affordable Care Act and start over with a Here’s the first one: repeal would allow
new healthcare law....................................... 35% insurance companies to charge people fifty
Not sure ....................................................... 6% years of age and older up to five times more
Q3 Keith Rothfus voted last year for the effort to than younger people for health insurance. Is
repeal the Affordable Care Act. Does that this a major concern to you about the
make you more likely or less likely to vote for Republican effort to repeal the Affordable Care
Keith Rothfus next time, or does it not make a Act, a minor concern, or not really a concern at
difference? all?

More likely .................................................... 32% A major concern ........................................... 62%

Less likely..................................................... 47% A minor concern ........................................... 21%

Doesn't make a difference ............................ 17% Not really a concern at all.............................. 15%

Not sure ....................................................... 3% Not sure ....................................................... 2%

Q4 The Trump administration recently went to Q7 Here’s the next one: repeal would eliminate
court to eliminate the health care law’s protections for people who have pre-existing
protections for people with pre-existing medical conditions. Is this a major concern to
conditions like cancer, asthma and diabetes. you about the Republican effort to repeal the
Do you support or oppose the lawsuit to Affordable Care Act, a minor concern, or not
eliminate the health care law’s protections for really a concern at all?
people with pre-existing conditions like cancer, A major concern ........................................... 63%
asthma, and diabetes?
A minor concern ........................................... 18%
Support ........................................................ 15%
Not really a concern at all.............................. 17%
Oppose ........................................................ 68%
Not sure ....................................................... 2%
Not sure ....................................................... 17%

September 17-18, 2018 3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Survey of 558 PA-17 voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Q8 How important will the issue of healthcare be Q10 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press
for you when deciding who to vote for in this 2.
election – is it the most important issue, a very
Woman ........................................................ 53%
important issue, a somewhat important issue,
not that important an issue, or not an important Man.............................................................. 47%
issue at all? Q11 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a
The most important issue.............................. 16% Republican, press 2. If an independent, press
3.
A very important issue .................................. 44%
Democrat ..................................................... 48%
A somewhat important issue ......................... 30%
Republican ................................................... 34%
Not that important an issue ........................... 7%
Independent ................................................. 18%
Not an important issue at all.......................... 2%
Q12 If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2.
Not sure ....................................................... 0%
White ........................................................... 89%
Q9 In the election for President, did you vote for
Republican Donald Trump, Democrat Hillary Other............................................................ 11%
Clinton, someone else, or did you not vote in Q13 If you are 18-45 years old, press 1. If 46-65,
the election? press 2. If you are older than 65, press 3.
Donald Trump............................................... 45% 18 to 45........................................................ 26%
Hillary Clinton................................................ 45% 46 to 65........................................................ 46%
Someone else / Did not vote ......................... 10% Older than 65 ............................................... 28%

September 17-18, 2018 3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Survey of 558 PA-17 voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
2016 Vote
Donald Hillary Someone else
Base Trump Clinton / Did not vote
Trump Approval
Approve 44% 93% 1% 14%
Disapprove 51% 4% 94% 69%
Not sure 5% 3% 4% 17%

2016 Vote
Donald Hillary Someone else
Base Trump Clinton / Did not vote
Congressional Action
Regarding ACA
Would most like 59% 25% 91% 65%
Congress to keep what
works in the
Affordable Care Act
and fix what doesn't
Would most like 35% 68% 6% 23%
Congress to repeal the
Affordable Care Act
and start over with a
new healthcare law
Not sure 6% 7% 3% 12%

September 17-18, 2018 3020 Highwoods Blvd.


survey of 558 PA-17 voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
2016 Vote
Donald Hillary Someone else
Base Trump Clinton / Did not vote
Rothfus Voted to
Repeal ACA More /
Less Likely Vote
More likely 32% 68% 1% 16%
Less likely 47% 8% 88% 42%
Doesn't make a 17% 20% 10% 34%
difference
Not sure 3% 5% 1% 8%

2016 Vote
Donald Hillary Someone else
Base Trump Clinton / Did not vote
Trump Administration
Health Care Protection
Lawsuit Support /
Oppose
Support 15% 22% 8% 12%
Oppose 68% 51% 85% 70%
Not sure 17% 27% 7% 18%

September 17-18, 2018 3020 Highwoods Blvd.


survey of 558 PA-17 voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
2016 Vote
Donald Hillary Someone else
Base Trump Clinton / Did not vote
Rothfus Remained
Silent on Lawsuit More
/ Less Likely Vote
More likely 13% 25% 2% 7%
Less likely 47% 15% 79% 46%
Doesn't make a 36% 56% 16% 38%
difference
Not sure 4% 4% 3% 8%

2016 Vote
Donald Hillary Someone else
Base Trump Clinton / Did not vote
Consequences of ACA
Repeal: Charge 50+
Five Times More Than
Younger People Level
of Concern
A major concern 62% 36% 85% 69%
A minor concern 21% 33% 11% 18%
Not really a concern at 15% 29% 4% 11%
all
Not sure 2% 2% 1% 1%

September 17-18, 2018 3020 Highwoods Blvd.


survey of 558 PA-17 voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
2016 Vote
Donald Hillary Someone else
Base Trump Clinton / Did not vote
Consequences of ACA
Repeal: Eliminate
Protections for Pre-
Existing Conditions
Level of Concern
A major concern 63% 33% 87% 67%
A minor concern 18% 30% 8% 17%
Not really a concern at 17% 33% 4% 14%
all
Not sure 2% 4% 1% 3%

2016 Vote
Donald Hillary Someone else
Base Trump Clinton / Did not vote
Importance of
Healthcare When
Deciding Vote
The most important 16% 14% 18% 21%
issue
A very important issue 44% 33% 58% 28%
A somewhat important 30% 38% 22% 34%
issue
Not that important an 7% 11% 3% 10%
issue
Not an important issue 2% 5% - 5%
at all
Not sure 0% - - 3%

September 17-18, 2018 3020 Highwoods Blvd.


survey of 558 PA-17 voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Gender
Base Woman Man
Trump Approval
Approve 44% 46% 42%
Disapprove 51% 50% 53%
Not sure 5% 5% 5%

Gender
Base Woman Man
Congressional Action
Regarding ACA
Would most like 59% 60% 58%
Congress to keep what
works in the
Affordable Care Act
and fix what doesn't
Would most like 35% 36% 35%
Congress to repeal the
Affordable Care Act
and start over with a
new healthcare law
Not sure 6% 4% 7%

Gender
Base Woman Man
Rothfus Voted to
Repeal ACA More /
Less Likely Vote
More likely 32% 33% 32%
Less likely 47% 43% 51%
Doesn't make a 17% 20% 14%
difference
Not sure 3% 4% 3%

September 17-18, 2018 3020 Highwoods Blvd.


survey of 558 PA-17 voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Gender
Base Woman Man
Trump Administration
Health Care Protection
Lawsuit Support /
Oppose
Support 15% 17% 12%
Oppose 68% 67% 70%
Not sure 17% 16% 18%

Gender
Base Woman Man
Rothfus Remained
Silent on Lawsuit More
/ Less Likely Vote
More likely 13% 10% 16%
Less likely 47% 47% 48%
Doesn't make a 36% 40% 32%
difference
Not sure 4% 3% 4%

Gender
Base Woman Man
Consequences of ACA
Repeal: Charge 50+
Five Times More Than
Younger People Level
of Concern
A major concern 62% 62% 62%
A minor concern 21% 21% 20%
Not really a concern at 15% 15% 15%
all
Not sure 2% 1% 2%

September 17-18, 2018 3020 Highwoods Blvd.


survey of 558 PA-17 voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Gender
Base Woman Man
Consequences of ACA
Repeal: Eliminate
Protections for Pre-
Existing Conditions
Level of Concern
A major concern 63% 62% 63%
A minor concern 18% 20% 15%
Not really a concern at 17% 16% 19%
all
Not sure 2% 2% 3%

Gender
Base Woman Man
Importance of
Healthcare When
Deciding Vote
The most important 16% 17% 15%
issue
A very important issue 44% 43% 46%
A somewhat important 30% 32% 28%
issue
Not that important an 7% 5% 9%
issue
Not an important issue 2% 3% 2%
at all
Not sure 0% - 1%

September 17-18, 2018 3020 Highwoods Blvd.


survey of 558 PA-17 voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Party
Base Democrat Republican Independent
Trump Approval
Approve 44% 20% 81% 37%
Disapprove 51% 74% 16% 58%
Not sure 5% 6% 3% 6%

Party
Base Democrat Republican Independent
Congressional Action
Regarding ACA
Would most like 59% 75% 32% 66%
Congress to keep what
works in the
Affordable Care Act
and fix what doesn't
Would most like 35% 19% 62% 30%
Congress to repeal the
Affordable Care Act
and start over with a
new healthcare law
Not sure 6% 6% 6% 4%

Party
Base Democrat Republican Independent
Rothfus Voted to
Repeal ACA More /
Less Likely Vote
More likely 32% 13% 64% 28%
Less likely 47% 70% 14% 49%
Doesn't make a 17% 14% 19% 21%
difference
Not sure 3% 4% 3% 2%

September 17-18, 2018 3020 Highwoods Blvd.


survey of 558 PA-17 voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Party
Base Democrat Republican Independent
Trump Administration
Health Care Protection
Lawsuit Support /
Oppose
Support 15% 11% 23% 10%
Oppose 68% 77% 54% 70%
Not sure 17% 11% 23% 20%

Party
Base Democrat Republican Independent
Rothfus Remained
Silent on Lawsuit More
/ Less Likely Vote
More likely 13% 7% 21% 13%
Less likely 47% 66% 22% 44%
Doesn't make a 36% 22% 56% 41%
difference
Not sure 4% 6% 1% 2%

Party
Base Democrat Republican Independent
Consequences of ACA
Repeal: Charge 50+
Five Times More Than
Younger People Level
of Concern
A major concern 62% 77% 37% 64%
A minor concern 21% 16% 31% 19%
Not really a concern at 15% 6% 31% 15%
all
Not sure 2% 1% 2% 2%

September 17-18, 2018 3020 Highwoods Blvd.


survey of 558 PA-17 voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Party
Base Democrat Republican Independent
Consequences of ACA
Repeal: Eliminate
Protections for Pre-
Existing Conditions
Level of Concern
A major concern 63% 80% 35% 61%
A minor concern 18% 8% 29% 26%
Not really a concern at 17% 9% 33% 12%
all
Not sure 2% 2% 3% 1%

Party
Base Democrat Republican Independent
Importance of
Healthcare When
Deciding Vote
The most important 16% 22% 10% 13%
issue
A very important issue 44% 45% 42% 46%
A somewhat important 30% 26% 33% 33%
issue
Not that important an 7% 6% 10% 6%
issue
Not an important issue 2% 1% 5% 1%
at all
Not sure 0% - - 1%

September 17-18, 2018 3020 Highwoods Blvd.


survey of 558 PA-17 voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Race
Base White Other
Trump Approval
Approve 44% 46% 25%
Disapprove 51% 49% 67%
Not sure 5% 5% 8%

Race
Base White Other
Congressional Action
Regarding ACA
Would most like 59% 58% 70%
Congress to keep what
works in the
Affordable Care Act
and fix what doesn't
Would most like 35% 37% 22%
Congress to repeal the
Affordable Care Act
and start over with a
new healthcare law
Not sure 6% 5% 8%

Race
Base White Other
Rothfus Voted to
Repeal ACA More /
Less Likely Vote
More likely 32% 34% 17%
Less likely 47% 47% 53%
Doesn't make a 17% 16% 27%
difference
Not sure 3% 3% 3%

September 17-18, 2018 3020 Highwoods Blvd.


survey of 558 PA-17 voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Race
Base White Other
Trump Administration
Health Care Protection
Lawsuit Support /
Oppose
Support 15% 14% 20%
Oppose 68% 68% 73%
Not sure 17% 18% 7%

Race
Base White Other
Rothfus Remained
Silent on Lawsuit More
/ Less Likely Vote
More likely 13% 13% 12%
Less likely 47% 48% 46%
Doesn't make a 36% 36% 39%
difference
Not sure 4% 4% 3%

Race
Base White Other
Consequences of ACA
Repeal: Charge 50+
Five Times More Than
Younger People Level
of Concern
A major concern 62% 63% 57%
A minor concern 21% 21% 19%
Not really a concern at 15% 14% 23%
all
Not sure 2% 2% 1%

September 17-18, 2018 3020 Highwoods Blvd.


survey of 558 PA-17 voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Race
Base White Other
Consequences of ACA
Repeal: Eliminate
Protections for Pre-
Existing Conditions
Level of Concern
A major concern 63% 62% 68%
A minor concern 18% 19% 7%
Not really a concern at 17% 16% 24%
all
Not sure 2% 3% 1%

Race
Base White Other
Importance of
Healthcare When
Deciding Vote
The most important 16% 15% 27%
issue
A very important issue 44% 45% 35%
A somewhat important 30% 31% 19%
issue
Not that important an 7% 6% 15%
issue
Not an important issue 2% 3% 1%
at all
Not sure 0% - 2%

September 17-18, 2018 3020 Highwoods Blvd.


survey of 558 PA-17 voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Trump Approval
Approve 44% 47% 41% 45%
Disapprove 51% 51% 52% 50%
Not sure 5% 2% 7% 5%

Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Congressional Action
Regarding ACA
Would most like 59% 59% 59% 59%
Congress to keep what
works in the
Affordable Care Act
and fix what doesn't
Would most like 35% 34% 36% 35%
Congress to repeal the
Affordable Care Act
and start over with a
new healthcare law
Not sure 6% 7% 5% 6%

September 17-18, 2018 3020 Highwoods Blvd.


survey of 558 PA-17 voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Rothfus Voted to
Repeal ACA More /
Less Likely Vote
More likely 32% 31% 35% 29%
Less likely 47% 48% 46% 49%
Doesn't make a 17% 22% 15% 16%
difference
Not sure 3% - 4% 5%

Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Trump Administration
Health Care Protection
Lawsuit Support /
Oppose
Support 15% 17% 14% 14%
Oppose 68% 73% 67% 67%
Not sure 17% 10% 19% 19%

September 17-18, 2018 3020 Highwoods Blvd.


survey of 558 PA-17 voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Rothfus Remained
Silent on Lawsuit More
/ Less Likely Vote
More likely 13% 5% 14% 17%
Less likely 47% 52% 46% 45%
Doesn't make a 36% 42% 35% 33%
difference
Not sure 4% - 5% 5%

Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Consequences of ACA
Repeal: Charge 50+
Five Times More Than
Younger People Level
of Concern
A major concern 62% 46% 66% 71%
A minor concern 21% 31% 18% 17%
Not really a concern at 15% 23% 14% 10%
all
Not sure 2% - 2% 2%

September 17-18, 2018 3020 Highwoods Blvd.


survey of 558 PA-17 voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Consequences of ACA
Repeal: Eliminate
Protections for Pre-
Existing Conditions
Level of Concern
A major concern 63% 51% 65% 69%
A minor concern 18% 22% 15% 19%
Not really a concern at 17% 26% 17% 8%
all
Not sure 2% - 3% 4%

Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Importance of
Healthcare When
Deciding Vote
The most important 16% 14% 14% 22%
issue
A very important issue 44% 45% 44% 43%
A somewhat important 30% 31% 30% 29%
issue
Not that important an 7% 6% 9% 5%
issue
Not an important issue 2% 4% 3% 1%
at all
Not sure 0% - 1% -

September 17-18, 2018 3020 Highwoods Blvd.


survey of 558 PA-17 voters Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

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